Saturday, March 11, 2023

Bracket V - KenPom Plus Turnover Margin - Houston beats Marquette for Title

Note: click here for the bracket results for all 8 methods.

The following is the bracket based on putting an extra emphasis on turnover margin.






The following are the top 10 teams in the March Madness field based on turnover differential. This means the percent of the time they force a turnover by the other team minus the times they turn it over on offense.

After each team we list their starting point guard, who has the biggest impact on avoiding offensive turnovers, and then the defensive player who steals the ball the most often.

Rnk Best TO Margin TO Diff Point Guard Best Steals Stl%
1 UCLA 8.5 Tyger Campbell Jaylen Clark 5.1
2 Missouri 8.3 Sean East D'Moi Hodge 5.2
3 Marquette 7.6 Tyler Kolek Stevie Mitchell 4.2
4 Northwestern 6.9 Boo Buie Chase Audige 4.3
5 Houston 6.9 Jamal Shead Jamal Shead 3.4
6 Kent St. 6.3 Sincere Carry Malique Jacobs 4.6
7 Texas 6.3 Marcus Carr Marcus Carr 3
8 Virginia 6 Kihei Clark Reece Beekman 3.5
9 N.C. State 5.7 Terquavion Smith Jack Clark 3.8
10 Northern Kentucky 5.7 Xavier Rhodes Sam Vinson 4.2
11 Iona 5.6 Daniss Jenkins Walter Clayton 3.7
12 Iowa St. 5.3 Tamin Lipsey Tamin Lipsey 4.5
13 Fairleigh Dickinson 5 Demetre Roberts Sean Moore 3.6
14 TCU 4.8 Damion Baugh Shahada Wells 3.7
15 VCU 4.6 Adrian Baldwin Adrian Baldwin 3.9
16 Rutgers 4.5 Paul Mulcahy Cam Spencer 4
17 Oral Roberts 4.4 Issac McBride Patrick Mwamba 2.6
18 Iowa 4.4 Ahron Ulis Tony Perkins 2.8
19 Tennessee 4.1 Santiago Vescovi Zakai Zeigler 4.1
20 Arizona St. 3.7 Frankie Collins Desmond Cambridge 3.6

Here is how the rest of the teams rank:
19*  Gonzaga 4.2 - accidentally left of table above
28* Saint Mary's 2.6 - accidentally left them off
48 Louisiana 0.6 - accidentally left them off

22           Nevada 3.5

23           Texas A&M Corpus Chris                2.9

24           Texas A&M          2.9

25           Memphis             2.7

26           Mississippi St.    2.7

27           Kansas  2.7

28           Vermont              2.6

29           Colgate 2.6

30           Charleston          2.6

31           Furman 2.6

32           Montana St.       2.5

33           West Virginia      2.4

34           Yale        2.2

35           Drake     2.2

36           Maryland             2.2

37           Arkansas              2.1

38           San Diego St.      2

39           Baylor   1.8

40           Kennesaw St.     1.7

41           Miami FL              1.7

42           Southeast Missouri St.   1.7

43           UC Santa Barbara             1.7

44           Florida Atlantic  1.6

45           Auburn 1.2

46           Boise St.               1

47           Kansas St.            0.7

48           Connecticut        0.5

49           Lafayette              0.4

50           Illinois   0.4

51           Clemson               0.3

52           Pittsburgh           0.3

53           Providence          0

54           USC        -0.1

55           North Carolina   -0.4

56           Penn St.                -0.5

57           Indiana -0.6

59           Kentucky             -0.6

60           Xavier    -1

61           Arizona -1.3

62           Utah St. -1.6

63           Duke      -1.6

64           Texas Southern  -1.6

65           Oklahoma St.     -1.7

66           Michigan St.       -1.7

67           Purdue -1.7

68           UNC Asheville    -2.1

69           Howard -2.2

70           Creighton            -2.3

71           Dayton -2.7

72           Princeton             -2.8

73           Alabama              -3.1

74           Grand Canyon   -3.3




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