Thursday, March 17, 2016

8 options for brackets

Here are the options we laid out for brackets - fully admitting that even the best sports analyst at MIT admit at conference the systems really don't work on a single game elimination. You can click on the piece and the options here.

Obviously, Value Add Basketball is an analytical tool to measure past performance and not a predictor of the future, but you can't help filling out brackets to capture the one time people are paying attention!

Sunday, March 13, 2016

Complete Bracket Picks: Streaks, Injuries, NBA Talent, Experienced Point Guards

If you just want a visual of the filled in Fox Sports bracket scroll to the bottom of the post, or you can go to the table and fill in each team on the number of lines indicated.

In the table, the number of bracket lines (wins) recommended for each team is followed by the overall Bracket Rating, then by their Sagarin Rating, if they are hot or cold (see Breitbart Story), how many points they will lose or gain based on the Value Add of injured or returning players, the number of likely NBA players on their team, how much they rely on experienced point guards and if they have the All-American or at least All-Conference players to take them to a title. Explanations of each follow at the bottom. 

You can click on my analysis of the Midwest, East, South and West brackets - which appear in Breitbart Sports.

SeedSouth RegionLines in Bracket    BracSagHotInjNBAPGAll-Americans
1Kansas4101.99320. 5th,5th,B12/2
16Austin Peay69.06720.1-0.70.6 OVC/1
8Colorado83.68210.4-1.01.2 4th
9Connecticut191.98621. Amer/1,2
5Maryland1 (talent for 3)90.487-23.4-0.12.2 5th,B10/2,2
12South Dakota St.80.87801.8-0.11.2 Sum/1,2
4California292.18620.62.4-0.11.2 P12/1,2
13Hawaii81.0800- BW/1,1
6Arizona92.88901.61.9-0.10.4 p12/2
11Vanderbilt92.78810.52.2-0.11.2 SEC/1,2
11Wichita St.292.38720.61.31.4 MVC/1,1
3Miami FL1 (could be 3)91.78901.11.30.4 ACC/2
14Buffalo75.17410.5-0.40.0 No All-MAC
7Iowa187.588-2-0.10.6-0.41.4 3rd
10Temple77.5780-0.8-0.10.4 Amer/2
2Villanova394.592-10.41.4-0.11.8 BE/1,2,2
15UNC Asheville74.2731-1.01.2 BSth/1,2
SeedWest RegionWinBracSagHotInjNBAPGAll-Americans
1Oregon1 (could be 3 or 4)91.48731.1-0.71.0 P12/2,2
16Southern68.267-10.41.8 SWAC/1,2,2
16Holy Cross64.76400.10.6 Amer/1
8Saint Joseph's82.882-10.20.5-0.41.4 A10/1,1
9Cincinnati286.28500.7-0.10.6 Amer/1
5Baylor89.88621.5-0.10.4 B10/2
12Yale183.9823-1.6-0.71.2 Ivy/1,2
4Duke390.289-2-1.52.9-0.72.4 2nd,ACC/1
13UNC Wilmington77.57700.10.4 CAA/2
6Texas190.085- B12/2
13Northern Iowa84.78030.20.11.4 MVC/1,1
3Texas A&M293.08821.60.41.0 Slnd/2,2
14Green Bay76.87420.40.4 Horz/2
7Oregon St.79.4810- 1st
10VCU186.8842- A10/2
2Oklahoma595.29001.01.82.4 1st,B12/2
15Cal St. Bakersfield78.77511.30.11.2 WAC/1,2
SeedEast RegionWinBracSagHotInjNBAPGAll-Americans
1North Carolina4100.19221.43.5-0.41.6 2nd
16Florida Gulf Coast72.57020.2-1.01.2 ASun/1,2
16Fairleigh Dickinson64.2640-0.40.6 NEC/1
8USC84.083- SB/1,2
9Providence187.08221.00.11.8 5th,BE/1
5Indiana192.7892- 4th
13Chattanooga77.3770-0.1-1.01.4 SC/1,1
4Kentucky2100.09020. 2nd,4th
13Stony Brook77.878-1- 3rd
6Notre Dame187.78412.20.10.4 ACC/2
11Michigan80.9840-3.91.8-1.00.0 No All-B10
11Tulsa79.680- Amer/1,2
3West Virginia (could be 4)94.39220.3-1.01.0 B12/2,2
14Stephen F. Austin287.78140.12.6 3rd,Slnd/2,2
7Wisconsin83.284-20.10.9-0.40.6 B10/1
10Pittsburgh185.88500.60.10.0 No All-ACC
2Xavier389.18800.9-0.40.6 BE/1
15Weber St.75.37400.5-0.41.2 BSky/1,2
SeedMidwest RegionWinBracSagHotInjNBAPGAll-Americans
1Virginia1 (could be 3)95.69210.80.41.4 3rd
16Hampton66.96501.10.10.6 MEAC/1
8Texas Tech81.182-10.10.0 No All-B12
9Butler388.88610. BE/2
5Purdue293.19021.7-1.00.4 B10/2
12Arkansas Little Rock79.2790-0.40.6 SB/1
4Iowa St.192.0880- 2nd,5th
13Iona81.97720. MAAC/mvp,2
6Seton Hall288.08430.6-0.10.6 BE/1
11Gonzaga89.5871-0.31.1-1.01.6 WCC/mvp,1
3Utah194.08722.01.4-0.11.8 1st
14Fresno St.77.7762- MWC/1
7Dayton83.783-22.20.1-0.10.6 A10/1
10Syracuse181.783-21.3-1.00.4 ACC/2
2Michigan St.6102.69332. 1st
15Middle Tennessee77.27520.8-1.00.4 CUSA/2

The "Bracket" Rating after each team is the total rating for the team based on the sum of the other columns. The teams with the best chance to win the tournament based on the other factors are Michigan State (102.6), Kansas (101.9), North Carolina (101.1), Kentucky (100.0) and Virginia (95.6).

The Sagarin Rating is how many points the team is better or worse than an opponent (if a team with an 86 plays a team with a 76, they should win by 10 points). The top teams based purely on how well the teams have played this season are Michigan State and Kansas at 93, and UNC, Virginia, Villanova and West Virginia all one point behind at 92.

The "Hot" rating indicates how much a team has been improving or fading over the past few weeks, primary at The hottest team going into the tournament is Stephen F. Austin (+4) followed by Michigan State, Oregon, Seton Hall, Yale and Northern Iowa all at +3.

The "Healthy" rating is a negative if a team is missing players (Oregon State and Michigan are missing key players), but it also indicates the teams that have key players back who missed parts of the season - thus making the team better now than their overall rating (Texas +3.1, Dayton +2.2, Michigan State +2.0 due to missing Valentine for several games, Utah +2.0 and South Dakota State +2.0. The list of players impact this rating were covered in a Breitbart Sports story.

The "NBA" rating is the estimation of how many players on the team will end up playing in the NBA based on Value Add basketball. If a team has two players with a 50% chance of making the NBA, we add the two .5 chances to estimate one NBA player emerges. As usual, Kentucky is first with an estimated four future NBA players on their team (4.33), followed by Kansas (3.54), UNC (3.46), Maryland (3.36), Duke (2.94), California (2.42), Notre Dame (2.19) and Vanderbilt (2.17).

The "Experienced Point Guard" indicates whether or not the team's top players are experienced guards particularly point guards, who can handle the pressure when things are not going well in the tournament. Oklahoma is the best in this regard with senior and Breitbart Sports National Player of the Year Buddy Hield and their second and third best players both being experienced point guards. They have a +1.8, while four teams have a 1.3 (Miami of Florida, Wichita State, UC Irvine and BYU). A team whose top players are all experienced front line players would have a 0.0.

The All-American rating is based on having the go-to players from the Breitbart Sports All-American team or at least an All-Conference posted here. A first team All-American like Denzil Valentine of Michigan State is worth 1.8 points, while Kentucky (3.0) has a second and fourth team All-American for the top spot. All-Conference players are worth much less, but Al McGuire's old saying that a team needs three and a half stars to win a title points to schools like Kansas (two All-Americans and one more All-Big 12 selection) as a contender.

Monday, March 7, 2016

Breitbart Sports 2016 All-Conference Basketball Teams

Following the 4th Breitbart Sports All-American Basketball Team, we added the 32 All-Conference teams below. The first player in each conference is in bold as the Breitbart Sports Conference Player of the Year. The first five players are the 1st Team All-Conference Players, followed by the 2nd Team All-Conference Players. We also tracked the teams eliminated from March Madness every day.

All-ConfPlayer1st T All-AmericanHtClassVANBA%Subj
A10Gibbs, Jack Davidson6' 0Jr6.372.06
A10Adams, Jaylen St. Bonaventure6' 2"So6.990.81
A10Bembry, DeAndre' Saint Joseph's6' 6"Jr6.2854%2.54
A10Cooke, Charles Dayton6' 5"Jr5.142.51
A10Miles, Isaiah Saint Joseph's6' 7"Sr7.82
A10Mason, Micah Duquesne6' 2"Sr6.41
A10Posley, Marcus St. Bonaventure6' 0Sr4.95
A10Johnson, Melvin VCU6' 4"Sr5.1716%
A10Rhoomes, Ryan Fordham6' 8"Sr6.21
A10Allen, Terry Richmond6' 8"Sr5.70
ACCAllen, Grayson Duke6' 5"So8.5765%2.82
ACCJohnson, Brice North Carolina6' 10"Sr7.7859%4.77
ACCBrogdon, Malcolm Virginia6' 5"Sr8.2532%4.29
ACCBarber, Anthony North Carolina St.6' 2"Jr7.9236%2.50
ACCIngram, Brandon Duke6' 9"Fr5.2495%
ACCJackson, Demetrius Notre Dame6' 1"Jr5.3886%
ACCMcClellan, Sheldon Miami FL6' 5"Sr6.9641%
ACCGbinije, Michael Syracuse6' 7"Sr6.9438%
ACCLee, Damion Louisville6' 6"Sr5.3737%
ACCBlossomgame, Jaron Clemson6' 7"Jr7.7932%
AEWarney, Jameel Stony Brook6' 8"Sr8.9032%2.88
AELyles, Jairus UMBC6' 2"So3.380.64
AESanders, Ray Albany6' 4"Sr3.890.00
AEThomas, Cleveland Hartford6' 4"Jr5.500.00
AECremo, Joe Albany6' 4"Fr3.930.64
AESmith, Jaleen New Hampshire6' 4"Jr3.41
AELeissner, Tanner New Hampshire6' 7"So2.30
AEDarley, Will UMBC6' 8"Jr2.82
AEStire, Greig Albany6' 7"So2.58
AESteidl, Kurt Vermont6' 6"Jr3.18
AmerMoore, Nic SMU5' 9"Sr6.243.61
AmerHamilton, Daniel Connecticut6' 7"So4.4639%2.63
AmerWoodard, James Tulsa6' 3"Sr5.5312%0.75
AmerClark, Gary Cincinnati6' 8"So5.9018%0.00
AmerDotson, Damyean Houston6' 5"Jr5.7915%
AmerHarrison, Shaquille Tulsa6' 3"Sr5.7710%
AmerMoore, Ben SMU6' 8"Jr5.5119%
AmerDeCosey, Quenton Temple6' 5"Sr5.14
AmerGoodwin, Shaq Memphis6' 9"Sr4.9221%
AmerMiller, Shonn Connecticut6' 7"Sr5.98
ASunMoore, Dallas North Florida6' 1"Jr5.670.66
ASunRay, Kendrick Kennesaw St.6' 1"Jr4.950.81
ASunBeech, Beau North Florida6' 9"Sr3.430.66
ASunColeman, Tim NJIT6' 5"Jr3.96
ASunNorelia, Marc-Eddy Florida Gulf Coast6' 8"Jr5.20
ASunMyles, Divine Stetson5' 11"So3.86
ASunHoward, Ky NJIT6' 4"Sr3.40
ASunMoran, Nathan Lipscomb5' 9"So3.06
ASunTerrell, Christian Florida Gulf Coast6' 5"So3.55
ASunWilliams, Aubrey Kennesaw St.6' 6"Jr3.32
B10Valentine, Denzel Michigan St.6' 5"Sr8.6781%2.98
B10Uthoff, Jarrod Iowa6' 9"Sr6.9760%4.25
B10Ferrell, Yogi Indiana6' 0Sr6.5834%3.61
B10Trimble, Melo Maryland6' 3"So5.4284%2.66
B10Hayes, Nigel Wisconsin6' 8"Jr5.3173%3.31
B10Hill, Malcolm Illinois6' 6"Jr6.8134%
B10Prince, Taurean Baylor6' 8"Sr4.2174%
B10Carter, Robert Maryland6' 9"Jr5.0242%
B10Hammons, AJ Purdue7' 0Sr5.0166%
B10Stone, Diamond Maryland6' 11"Fr4.3088%
B12Hield, Buddy Oklahoma6' 4"Sr9.3383%5.75
B12Morris, Monte Iowa St.6' 3"Jr7.6369%3.33
B12Mason, Frank Kansas5' 11"Jr6.1117%1.60
B12Niang, Georges Iowa St.6' 8"Sr6.7427%2.80
B12Ellis, Perry Kansas6' 8"Sr6.0427%2.70
B12Taylor, Isaiah Texas6' 3"Jr6.5336%
B12Cousins, Isaiah Oklahoma6' 4"Sr4.8815%
B12Selden, Wayne Kansas6' 5"Jr4.2341%
B12Paige, Jaysean West Virginia6' 2"Sr5.20
B12Williams, Devin West Virginia6' 9"Jr4.1630%
BEDunn, Kris Providence6' 4"Jr5.9394%2.96
BEWhitehead, Isaiah Seton Hall6' 4"So5.7132%1.85
BEBluiett, Trevon Xavier6' 6"So5.0336%2.59
BEBentil, Ben Providence6' 9"So7.308%3.63
BEHart, Josh Villanova6' 5"Jr6.3736%
BEArcidiacono, Ryan Villanova6' 3"Sr5.0311%
BEWatson, Maurice Creighton5' 10"Jr3.7516%
BEJones, Roosevelt Butler6' 4"Sr5.14
BEEllenson, HenryMarquette6' 11"Fr4.5691%3.59
BEOchefu, Daniel Villanova6' 11"Sr5.1520%
BSkyHooker, Quinton North Dakota6' 0Jr8.960%1.13
BSkyMcBroom, Austin Eastern Washington6' 0Sr5.570.00
BSkyBreunig, Martin Montana6' 8"Sr7.240.72
BSkyBolomboy, Joel Weber St.6' 9"Sr6.6834%
BSkyStrings, Justin Sacramento St.6' 7"So5.83
BSkyTelfair, Ethan Idaho St.6' 0Jr4.48
BSkySenglin, Jeremy Weber St.6' 2"Jr4.9413%
BSkySanders, Victor Idaho6' 5"So4.62
BSkyHall, Tyler Montana St.6' 4"Fr4.4911%
BSkyJois, Venky Eastern Washington6' 8"Sr4.39
BSthWiggins, Shivaughn Coastal Carolina5' 11"Jr5.660.69
BSthGavin, Jimmy Winthrop6' 3"Sr5.180.88
BSthJohnson, Keon Winthrop5' 7"Jr4.590.69
BSthBrown, John High Point6' 8"Sr7.7712%2.16
BSthSutton, Dwayne UNC Asheville6' 5"Fr4.44
BSthWeary, Adam High Point6' 3"Sr3.99
BSthMurray, DeSean Presbyterian6' 5"So4.86
BSthJones, Cameron Radford6' 4"Sr4.00
BSthVannatta, Kevin UNC Asheville6' 2"So4.67
BSthNwogbo, Lotanna Longwood6' 8"Sr4.11
BWNelson, Luke UC Irvine6' 3"Jr5.3520%0.00
BWBobbitt, Roderick Hawaii6' 3"Sr4.830.70
BWBryson, Michael UC Santa Barbara6' 5"Sr6.740.90
BWFaust, Nick Long Beach St.6' 6"Sr5.130.90
BWJankovic, Stefan Hawaii6' 11"Jr5.6712%
BWBibbins, Justin Long Beach St.5' 8"So5.27
BWYoung, Alex UC Irvine6' 2"Sr4.74
BWCoggins, Tre' Cal St. Fullerton6' 2"Jr3.78
BWMorgan, Reese Cal Poly6' 2"Sr4.65
BWNdiaye, Mamadou UC Irvine8' 6"Jr4.1232%
CAAWalker, David Northeastern6' 6"Sr7.2235%1.04
CAAGreen, Juan'ya Hofstra6' 3"Sr6.331.77
CAACurry, Ron James Madison6' 3"Sr6.880.71
CAATarpey, Terry William & Mary6' 5"Sr4.530.71
CAAGustys, Rokas Hofstra6' 9"So5.84
CAAHawkins, Byron Towson6' 1"So4.67
CAASamson, Tanner Elon6' 4"Sr4.31
CAAPrewitt, Omar William & Mary6' 7"Jr4.17
CAAFlemmings, Chris UNC Wilmington6' 5"Jr6.45
CAAKing-Davis, Marvin Delaware6' 7"Sr3.90
CUSAHamilton, Alex Louisiana Tech6' 4"Sr6.7614%1.16
CUSAFreeman, Trey Old Dominion6' 2"Sr5.400.00
CUSAKelly, James Marshall6' 8"Sr5.60
CUSADiaz, Adrian FIU6' 11"Sr6.26
CUSAUchebo, Joseph Charlotte6' 10"Sr5.04
CUSAEvans, Marcus Rice6' 2"Fr3.76
CUSAMoore, Lee UTEP6' 4"Jr4.38
CUSAPotts, Giddy Middle Tennessee6' 2"So5.18
CUSACokley, Chris UAB6' 8"So4.3430%
CUSACombs, Jeremy North Texas6' 7"So5.46
HorzFelder, Kay Oakland5' 9"Jr8.560%3.88
HorzMorse, Cameron Youngstown St.6' 2"So6.710.00
HorzCarter, Keith Valparaiso6' 1"Sr4.680.00
HorzPeters, Alec Valparaiso6' 9"Jr7.1930%2.82
HorzHayes, Jalen Oakland6' 7"So5.11
HorzJohnson, Jordan Milwaukee5' 9"Jr5.36
HorzLove, Carrington Green Bay6' 1"Sr4.24
HorzWilson, Anton Detroit6' 5"Sr4.63
HorzTiby, Matt Milwaukee6' 8"Sr4.37
HorzAlstork, Mark Wright St.6' 5"So3.53
IvyLo, Maodo Columbia6' 3"Sr4.7228%0.00
IvyMorgan, Matt Cornell6' 3"Fr4.650.71
IvySears, Justin Yale6' 8"Sr5.240.93
IvyCaruso, Henry Princeton6' 4"Jr5.38
IvyBoudreaux, Evan Dartmouth6' 8"Fr4.80
IvyMullins, Grant Columbia6' 3"Sr5.14
IvySmith, Darryl Cornell6' 2"Jr5.14
IvyWeisz, Spencer Princeton6' 4"Jr4.04
IvyOkolie, Agunwa Harvard6' 8"Sr3.60
IvySherrod, Brandon Yale6' 6"Sr4.51
MAACEnglish, AJ Iona6' 4"Sr6.2221%3.20
MAACRobinson, Justin Monmouth5' 8"Jr7.441.46
MAACNelson, Tyler Fairfield6' 3"So4.870.00
MAACHart, Khallid Marist6' 2"Jr6.470.00
MAACBisping, Brett Siena6' 8"Jr5.10
MAACWyche, Trevis Saint Peter's6' 1"Jr4.82
MAACMcMillan, Malcolm Canisius6' 0Sr4.50
MAACMuch, Deyshonee Iona6' 5"So3.60
MAACOgunyemi, Javion Siena6' 8"Jr4.30
MAACThomas, Kahlil Rider6' 7"Jr3.74
MACWashington, Eric Miami OH5' 10"Sr4.780.69
MACWilder, Thomas Western Michigan6' 3"So5.800.00
MACBoothe, Nathan Toledo6' 9"Sr5.3828%
MACCampbell, Antonio Ohio6' 10"Jr7.14
MACThompson, James Eastern Michigan6' 10"Fr7.22
MACFowler, Chris Central Michigan6' 1"Sr3.4511%
MACSimmons, Jaaron Ohio6' 1"So4.09
MACHouse, Franko Ball St.6' 6"Jr4.22
MACJohnson, Isaiah Akron6' 10"Jr4.99
MACMaric, Marin Northern Illinois6' 10"So3.30
MEACEaves, Eric South Carolina St.6' 3"Jr3.83
MEACDaniel, James Howard5' 10"Jr3.56
MEACTaylor, D'Shon Norfolk St.6' 5"Sr3.02
MEACElliott, Dominique Maryland Eastern Shore6' 8"Sr2.77
MEACChievous, Quinton Hampton6' 6"Sr3.36
MEACHunt, Sam North Carolina A&T6' 2"So2.70
MEACMartin, Devin Maryland Eastern Shore6' 4"Sr2.64
MEACHolmes, Dante North Carolina Central6' 3"Sr2.66
MEACMoody, Mario Bethune Cookman6' 7"Sr2.20
MEACSimpson, Rasean Morgan St.6' 5"Sr2.80
MVCMockevicius, Egidijus Evansville6' 10"Sr7.9531%2.35
MVCVanVleet, Fred Wichita St.6' 0Sr5.0733%
MVCWashpun, Wes Northern Iowa6' 1"Sr4.5519%
MVCBaker, Ron Wichita St.6' 4"Sr6.1631%
MVCMorgan, Jeremy Northern Iowa6' 5"Jr5.52
MVCBalentine, DJ Evansville6' 3"Sr3.849%
MVCLee, Paris Illinois St.6' 0Jr3.95
MVCTimmer, Reed Drake6' 1"So4.90
MVCBeane, Anthony Southern Illinois6' 2"Sr3.68
MVCHawkins, Deontae Illinois St.6' 8"So3.45
MWCAdams, Josh Wyoming6' 2"Sr7.6124%
MWCHarris, Marvelle Fresno St.6' 4"Sr7.0220%
MWCBrown, Elijah New Mexico6' 4"So6.04
MWCMcCaw, Patrick UNLV6' 7"So6.0767%
MWCWebb, James Boise St.6' 9"Jr5.7747%
MWCMcManamen, Jason Wyoming6' 5"Jr4.80
MWCKell, Trey San Diego St.6' 4"So4.39
MWCSmith, Chris Utah St.6' 4"Sr5.20
MWCClarke, Brandon San Jose St.6' 8"Fr4.68
MWCWilliams, Tim New Mexico6' 8"Jr6.01
NECHermannsson, Martin LIU Brooklyn6' 3"So6.22
NECHenson, Corey Wagner6' 3"So4.93
NECCarey, Michael Wagner6' 5"Jr5.79
NECPotts, Earl Fairleigh Dickinson6' 6"So4.72
NECDrinnon, Ronnie St. Francis PA6' 7"Sr4.05
NECBroome, Cane Sacred Heart6' 0So3.64
NECMillaud-Meunier, Ben St. Francis PA6' 3"Sr3.67
NECPettway, Marcel Bryant6' 5"Fr3.54
NECPryor, Rodney Robert Morris6' 5"Sr3.04
NECFrink, Jerome LIU Brooklyn6' 7"Jr3.31
OVCMoss, Jeffery Murray St.6' 4"Sr4.45
OVCBradds, Evan Belmont6' 7"Jr6.07
OVCTaylor, Myles Tennessee Martin6' 7"Sr4.35
OVCLangston, Wayne Murray St.6' 7"Sr4.92
OVCHorton, Chris Austin Peay6' 9"Sr7.369%
OVCRowe, Torrance Tennessee Tech6' 1"Sr3.71
OVCMcCall, Tahjere Tennessee St.6' 5"Jr4.08
OVCDeShields, Keron Tennessee St.6' 2"Sr4.03
OVCMoon, Xavier Morehead St.6' 2"Jr3.72
OVCMartin, Ryan Tennessee Tech6' 9"Sr3.76
P12Payton, Gary Oregon St.6' 3"Sr8.5464%4.01
P12Poeltl, Jakob Utah7' 0So8.0790%4.03
P12Scott, Josh Colorado6' 10"Sr6.9827%3.41
P12Andrews, Andrew Washington6' 2"Sr8.3017%
P12Rabb, Ivan California6' 11"Fr6.0787%
P12Alford, Bryce UCLA6' 3"Jr5.47
P12Brooks, Dillon Oregon6' 7"So5.9836%
P12Brown, Jaylen California6' 7"Fr3.0593%
p12Anderson, Ryan Arizona6' 9"Sr6.1824%
P12Boucher, Chris Oregon6' 10"Sr6.7323%
PatBrown, Stephen Bucknell5' 11"So3.82
PatTillotson, Austin Colgate6' 0Sr4.39
PatPapale, John Boston University6' 3"Sr4.31
PatFerguson, Kevin Army6' 10"Sr4.57
PatKempton, Tim Lehigh6' 10"Jr4.30
PatRoss, Kahron Lehigh5' 11"So3.79
PatO'Brien, Sean Colgate6' 2"So3.37
PatScott, Bryce Lafayette6' 2"Sr3.58
PatPlomb, Tanner Army6' 7"Sr3.3023%
PatHass, Chris Bucknell6' 5"Sr2.58
SBBrown, Tookie Georgia Southern5' 11"Fr5.53
SBHagins, Josh Arkansas Little Rock6' 1"Sr6.12
SBJones, Jalen UT Arlington6' 3"Jr4.19
SBDeng, Majok Louisiana Monroe6' 10"Sr5.53
SBLong, Shawn Louisiana Lafayette6' 11"Sr6.2934%
SBNeal, Erick UT Arlington5' 11"So4.53
SBCarter, Devin Arkansas St.6' 5"Jr5.52
SBEaves, Frank Appalachian St.6' 2"Sr5.48
SBPerson, Wesley Troy6' 3"So4.48
SBHollowell, Jeremy Georgia St.6' 8"Jr3.2714%
SCCroone, Stephen Furman6' 0Sr4.73
SCCromer, TJ East Tennessee St.6' 3"Jr3.97
SCPeterson, QJ VMI6' 0Jr5.06
SCMcLean, Tre' Chattanooga6' 5"Jr3.94
SCTuoyo, Justin Chattanooga6' 10"Jr3.55
SCBrown, Mike Western Carolina6' 3"Sr4.09
SCMagee, Fletcher Wofford6' 4"Fr4.37
SCRafferty, Matt Furman6' 8"Fr4.45
SCJelks, Stephon Mercer6' 6"So4.27
SCWhite, RJ UNC Greensboro6' 8"Jr4.12
SECSimmons, Ben LSU6' 10"Fr8.4396%2.94
SECUlis, Tyler Kentucky5' 9"So8.2651%4.12
SECMurray, Jamal Kentucky6' 4"Fr6.9889%3.43
SECBaldwin, Wade Vanderbilt6' 3"So5.8485%
SECFinney-Smith, Dorian Florida6' 8"Sr6.1145%
SECMoody, Stefan Mississippi5' 10"Sr6.89
SECFrazier, JJ Georgia5' 10"Jr8.74
SECObasohan, Retin Alabama6' 2"Sr7.92
SECJones, Damian Vanderbilt7' 0Jr4.5082%
SECKingsley, Moses Arkansas6' 10"Jr5.9931%
SlndWalkup, Thomas Stephen F. Austin6' 4"Sr9.690%0.91
SlndOdunsi, Anthony Houston Baptist6' 4"Sr5.23
SlndHoward, Jordan Central Arkansas5' 11"So6.54
SlndWoodley, Zeek Northwestern St.6' 2"Jr7.07
SlndMajauskas, Aurimas Sam Houston St.6' 8"Jr5.33
SlndFloyd, Demetrious Stephen F. Austin5' 11"Sr3.42
SlndHittle, Kyle Incarnate Word6' 5"Sr5.63
SlndThomas, Rashawn Texas A&M Corpus Chris6' 8"Jr4.16
SlndGeffrard, Clide Stephen F. Austin6' 5"Sr3.90
SlndDouvier, Bryce Texas A&M Corpus Chris6' 7"Sr4.32
SumLandis, Max IPFW6' 2"Sr6.47
SumHollins, Tra-Deon Nebraska Omaha6' 2"Fr5.56
SumEmegano, Obi Oral Roberts6' 3"Jr5.79
SumDaum, Mike South Dakota St.6' 9"Fr5.92
SumKonchar, John IPFW6' 4"Fr6.06
SumKasperbauer, Casey South Dakota6' 1"Sr3.82
SumCovington, Garret Western Illinois6' 5"Jr4.37
SumMarshall, George South Dakota St.6' 1"Sr4.11
SumJacobson, AJ North Dakota St.6' 6"So3.77
SumWhite, Jake Nebraska Omaha6' 8"Sr5.09
SWACWaters, Jamel Alabama St.5' 9"Sr3.93
SWACHyder, Christopher Southern5' 11"Sr4.19
SWACWorsham, Raeford Jackson St.6' 4"Sr4.28
SWACGriffin, Derrick Texas Southern6' 7"Fr5.69
SWACRiley, Malcolm Texas Southern6' 5"Sr4.51
SWACSam, Jarred Southern6' 9"So3.32
SWACButler, Corvon Alabama St.6' 5"Jr3.83
SWACRodgers, Adrian Southern6' 4"Sr2.41
SWACBrown, Octavius Alcorn St.6' 8"Sr3.23
SWACTabb, Ladarius Alabama A&M6' 5"Sr3.53
WACSiakam, Pascal New Mexico St.6' 9"So9.1849%2.70
WACBasile, Dedrick Cal St. Bakersfield5' 10"Jr5.28
WACBaker, Ian New Mexico St.6' 0Jr4.71
WACBoyd, LaVell UMKC6' 0Fr4.89
WACBraun, Joshua Grand Canyon6' 4"So6.19
WACDavis, Marcel Utah Valley6' 2"Sr2.17
WACJackson, Jaden Utah Valley6' 2"Sr2.73
WACHines, Shaquille UT Rio Grande Valley6' 8"Sr2.95
WACMays, Kevin Cal St. Bakersfield6' 4"Sr4.04
WACGlaze, Grandy Grand Canyon6' 6"Sr3.68
WCCWiltjer, Kyle Gonzaga6' 10"Sr5.7336%3.70
WCCCollinsworth, Kyle BYU6' 6"Sr5.3531%
WCCNaar, Emmett Saint Mary's6' 1"So5.30
WCCDerksen, Tim San Francisco6' 3"Sr5.89
WCCSabonis, Domantas Gonzaga6' 11"So6.7678%
WCCWintering, Alec Portland5' 11"Jr4.03
WCCFischer, Chase BYU6' 3"Sr4.96
WCCBrownridge, Jared Santa Clara6' 3"Jr5.39
WCCEmery, Nick BYU6' 2"Fr3.46
WCCPineau, Dane Saint Mary's6' 9"Jr5.23

Sunday, March 6, 2016

Top Basketball Players 2016 Based on Best Two Subjective Sources

While I believe Value Add Basketball is the best objective measure of how many points each college player is worth to his team, I am also a Bill James disciple who realizes you always want to weigh subjective observation against objective analytics. Therefore each year I look for a couple of sources of objective observation from sources who give a comprehensive list that I can use to weigh against analytics for a final evaluation. Here are the two I picked this year that seem to be the most complete.

Sam Vecenie of CBS Sports ran the most thorough evaluation of the top 100 (plus one) players as the season unfolded. We gave his top player (Buddy Hield) 3.00 points, then Denzel Valentine 2.98, all the way down to St. Joe's Isaiah Miles getting 1.00 for finishing 101st.

USA Today's College Sports Madness tracks the Players of the Week for all 32 conferences, as well as three National Players of the Week. We credit each Player of the Week - from 2.28 points for being the top ACC Player of the Week to 0.58 points for being the Sun Belt Player of the Week. This was based on a fraction the total Value Add of each conference from the top 10% of all players - so while the Big 12 actually ranked higher than the ACC at, it was more difficult to win the ACC Player of the Week because there were more players to beat out (15 teams to 10).

In addition, the player who won the National Player of the week for the Power Conferences that player received an extra three points. The top player in the country from the "High Majors" on the site (the former Mid-Majors) received two points, and the best player from the smaller conferences (now referred to as Mid-Majors) received one point, and any player to win at least one of the above received an extra 0.5.

Buddy Hield won Big 12 Player of the Week three of 10 weeks, and in two of those cases he was also National Player of the Year to get 2.75 total points.

When we tally the points accumulated for Conference Player of the Week Awards and making the CBS Sports Top 101 list, these are the totals. Those figures are added to the objective ratings to choose the All-American and All-Conference teams.

RnkFull NameSchoolCBS Top 100USA Today WeeklyTotal
1Hield, BuddyOklahoma3.002.755.75
2Johnson, BriceNorth Carolina2.762.014.77
3Brogdon, MalcolmVirginia2.881.414.29
4Ingram, BrandonDuke2.861.414.27
5Uthoff, JarrodIowa2.901.354.25
6Ulis, TylerKentucky2.921.204.12
7Poeltl, JakobUtah2.841.194.03
8Payton II, GaryOregon State2.561.454.01
9Wiltjer, KyleGonzaga2.720.983.70
10Bentil, BenProvidence2.461.173.63
11Moore, NicSMU2.620.993.61
12Ferrell, YogiIndiana2.680.933.61
13Ellenson, HenryMarquette2.421.173.59
14Hammons, A.J.Purdue2.600.933.53
15VanVleet, FredWichita State2.640.893.53
16Sabonis, DomantasGonzaga2.740.743.48
17Murray, JamalKentucky2.580.853.43
18Scott, JoshColorado2.221.193.41
19Morris, MonteIowa State2.480.853.33
20Hayes, NigelWisconsin2.380.933.31
21English, A.J.Iona2.141.063.20
22Brooks, DillonOregon2.300.853.15
23Watson, MauriceCreighton1.681.433.11
24Long, ShawnLouisiana Lafayette2.080.933.01
25Valentine, DenzelMichigan State2.980.002.98
26Dunn, KrisProvidence2.960.002.96
27Simmons, BenLSU2.940.002.94
28Warney, JameelStony Brook2.240.642.88
29Allen, GraysonDuke2.820.002.82
30Peters, AlecValparaiso1.321.502.82
31Niang, GeorgesIowa State2.800.002.80
32Felder, KayOakland2.780.002.78
33Adams, JoshWyoming2.000.752.75
34Ellis, PerryKansas2.700.002.70
35Siakam, PascalNew Mexico St.1.860.842.70
36Trimble, MeloMaryland2.660.002.66
37Blossomgame, JaronClemson1.081.562.64
38Hamilton, DanielConnecticut1.880.752.63
39Bluiett, TrevonXavier1.760.832.59
40Bembry, DeAndreSt. Joseph's2.540.002.54
41Miles, IsaiahSt. Joseph's1.001.522.52
42Jackson, DemetriusNotre Dame2.520.002.52
43Cooke, CharlesDayton1.301.212.51
44Barber, Anthony (Cat)NC State2.500.002.50
45Anderson, RyanArizona2.440.002.44
46Kingsley, MosesArkansas1.560.852.41
47Hart, JoshVillanova2.400.002.40
48Paige, MarcusNorth Carolina2.360.002.36
49Mockevicius, EgidijusEvansville1.660.692.35
50Forbes, BrynMichigan State1.420.932.35
51Collinsworth, KyleBYU2.340.002.34
52McClellan, SheldonMiami FL2.320.002.32
53Brown, JaylenCalifornia2.280.002.28
54Prince, TaureanBaylor2.260.002.26
55Jones, DamianVanderbilt1.400.852.25
56Brown, ElijahNew Mexico1.220.992.21
57Selden, WayneKansas2.200.002.20
58Jacobs, JulianUSC1.340.852.19
59Gathers, RicoBaylor2.180.002.18
60House, DanuelTexas A&M1.440.742.18
61Brown, JohnHigh Point2.160.002.16
62Gbinije, MichaelSyracuse2.120.002.12
63Andrews, AndrewWashington1.260.852.11
64Lee, DamionLouisville2.100.002.10
65Gibbs, JackDavidson2.060.002.06
66Gill, AnthonyVirginia2.040.002.04
67Gesell, MikeIowa0.002.032.03
68Ochefu, DanielVillanova2.020.002.02
69Moody, StefanMississippi1.980.001.98
70Arcidiacono, RyanVillanova1.140.831.97
71Baker, RonWichita State1.960.001.96
72Finney-Smith, DorianFlorida1.940.001.94
73Hill, MalcolmIllinois1.920.001.92
74Carter, RobertMaryland1.900.001.90
75Whitehead, IsaiahSeton Hall1.020.831.85
76Webb, JamesBoise State1.100.751.85
77Rabb, IvanCalifornia1.840.001.84
78Jones, JalenTexas A&M1.820.001.82
79Baldwin, WadeVanderbilt1.800.001.80
80LeVert, CarisMichigan1.780.001.78
81Green, Juan'yaHofstra1.060.711.77
82Taylor, IsaiahTexas1.740.001.74
83Beasley, MalikFlorida State1.720.001.72
84Stone, DiamondMaryland1.700.001.70
85Cousins, IsaiahOklahoma1.640.001.64
86Punter, KevinTennessee1.620.001.62
87Mason, FrankKansas1.600.001.60
88Jones, RooseveltButler1.580.001.58
89Georges-Hunt, MarcusGeorgia Tech0.001.561.56
90Reed, DavonMiami (FL)0.001.561.56
91Jok, PeterIowa1.540.001.54
92Williams, DevinWest Virginia1.520.001.52
93Boucher, ChrisOregon1.500.001.50
94Wallace, TyroneCalifornia1.480.001.48
95Robinson, JustinMonmouth1.460.001.46
96Cook, ElginOregon0.001.451.45
97Harris, MarvelleFresno State0.001.391.39
98Jackson, JustinNorth Carolina1.380.001.38
99Emery, NickBYU0.001.381.38
100Williams, TroyIndiana1.360.001.36
101Gustys, RokasHofstra0.001.341.34
102Jankovic, StefanHawaii0.001.301.30
103Beane, AnthonySouthern Illinois0.001.291.29
104Woodard, JordanOklahoma1.280.001.28
105Trier, AllonzoArizona1.240.001.24
106Pierre, DyshawnDayton0.001.211.21
107Paige, JayseanWest Virginia0.001.201.20
108Perrantes, LondonVirginia1.200.001.20
109Alford, BryceUCLA1.180.001.18
110Young, MichaelPittsburgh1.160.001.16
111Evans, MarcusRice0.001.161.16
112Hamilton, AlexLouisiana Tech0.001.161.16
113Wintering, AlecPortland0.001.141.14
114Bolomboy, JoelWeber State0.001.131.13
115Hooker, QuintonNorth Dakota0.001.131.13
116Carrera, MichaelSouth Carolina1.120.001.12
117Felder, KahlilOakland0.001.101.10
118Walker, DavidNortheastern1.040.001.04
119Dotson, DamyeanHouston0.000.990.99
120Smith, ChrisUtah State0.000.990.99
121Artis, JamelPittsburgh0.000.960.96
122Telfair, EthanIdaho State0.000.930.93
123Deng, MajokLouisiana-Monroe0.000.930.93
124Boudreaux, EvanDartmouth0.000.930.93
125Sears, JustinYale0.000.930.93
126Brown, VittoWisconsin0.000.930.93
127Koenig, BronsonWisconsin0.000.930.93
128Mason, NateMinnesota0.000.930.93
129Edosomwan, ZenaHarvard0.000.910.91
130Peterson, QJVMI0.000.910.91
131Thomas, RashawnTexas A&M-CC0.000.910.91
132Walkup, ThomasStephen F. Austin0.000.910.91
133Baldwin, DianteUNC Greensboro0.000.900.90
134Bryson, MichaelUC Santa Barbara0.000.900.90
135Faust, NickLong Beach State0.000.900.90
136Campbell, AntonioOhio0.000.890.89
137Daum, MikeSouth Dakota State0.000.890.89
138Gavin, JimmyWinthrop0.000.880.88
139Robertson, KassiusCanisius0.000.870.87
140Drinnon, RonnieSt. Francis0.000.860.86
141Canty, KareemAuburn0.000.850.85
142Maten, YanteGeorgia0.000.850.85
143Obasohan, RetinAlabama0.000.850.85
144Thornwell, SindariusSouth Carolina0.000.850.85
145Ware, GavinMississippi State0.000.850.85
146Graham, Devonte'Kansas0.000.850.85
147Iwundu, WesleyKansas State0.000.850.85
148Motley, JohnathanBaylor0.000.850.85
149Williams, DevaugntahTexas Tech0.000.850.85
150Bird, JabariCalifornia0.000.850.85
151Thomas, JahadUmass-Lowell0.000.840.84
152Hass, ChrisBucknell0.000.840.84
153Basile, DedrickCSU Bakersfield0.000.840.84
154Glaze, GrandyGrand Canyon0.000.840.84
155Jenkins, KrisVillanova0.000.830.83
156Martin, KelanButler0.000.830.83
157Babineaux, KoriJacksonville0.000.810.81
158Ray, KendrickKennesaw State0.000.810.81
159Adams, JaylenSt. Bonaventure0.000.810.81
160Bishop, JermaineSaint Louis0.000.810.81
161Chartouny, JosephFordham0.000.810.81
162Colter, DerrickDuquesne0.000.810.81
163McGlynn, FourRhode Island0.000.810.81
164Posley, MarcusSt. Bonaventure0.000.810.81
165Brown, OctaviusAlcorn State0.000.790.79
166Griffin, DerrickTexas Southern0.000.790.79
167Worsham, RaefordJackson State0.000.790.79
168Little, KevinMaine0.000.790.79
169Ferguson, KevinArmy0.000.790.79
170Artis, DominicUTEP0.000.760.76
171Bacote, AaronOld Dominion0.000.760.76
172Kelly, JamesMarshall0.000.760.76
173Lee, WilliamUAB0.000.760.76
174McCree, ErikLouisiana Tech0.000.760.76
175Morris, EarvinUTEP0.000.760.76
176Ogbueze, BraxtonCharlotte0.000.760.76
177Uchebo, JosephCharlotte0.000.760.76
178Coleman, DevinTemple0.000.750.75
179DeCosey, QuentonTemple0.000.750.75
180Goodwin, ShaqMemphis0.000.750.75
181Purvis, RodneyConnecticut0.000.750.75
182Woodard, JamesTulsa0.000.750.75
183Siples, CJAir Force0.000.750.75
184Van, JacobAir Force0.000.750.75
185Fischer, ChaseBYU0.000.740.74
186Fitzner, EvanSaint Mary's0.000.740.74
187Naar, EmmettSaint Mary's0.000.740.74
188Eaves, EricSouth Carolina State0.000.740.74
189Brown, TookieGeorgia Southern0.000.730.73
190Bliznyuk, BogdanEastern Washington0.000.720.72
191Breunig, MartinMontana0.000.720.72
192Callandret, PerrionIdaho0.000.720.72
193Luzcando, GenoIdaho State0.000.720.72
194Caruso, HenryPrinceton0.000.710.71
195Morgan, MattCornell0.000.710.71
196Okolie, AgunwaHarvard0.000.710.71
197Sherrod, BrandonYale0.000.710.71
198Weisz, SpencerPrinceton0.000.710.71
199Barry, CanyonCharleston0.000.710.71
200Curry, RonJames Madison0.000.710.71
201Flemmings, ChrisUNC-Wilmington0.000.710.71
202Ingram, DenzelNorth Carolina-Wilmington0.000.710.71
203Tarpey, TerryWilliam & Mary0.000.710.71
204Brummitt, TorrionWestern Carolina0.000.700.70
205Collins, SpencerWofford0.000.700.70
206Cromer, T.J.East Tennessee State0.000.700.70
207Guyn, Ge'LawnEast Tennessee State0.000.700.70
208Lewis, JestinMercer0.000.700.70
209McLean, Tre'Chattanooga0.000.700.70
210Tuoyo, JustinChattanooga0.000.700.70
211Floyd, DemetriousStephen F. Austin0.000.700.70
212Frye, Ja'Dante'Nicholls State0.000.700.70
213Hill, KevinNew Orleans0.000.700.70
214Majauskas, AurimasSam Houston State0.000.700.70
215Odunsi, AnthonyHouston Baptist0.000.700.70
216Pye, BrandonTexas A&M-CC0.000.700.70
217Bobbitt, RoderickHawaii0.000.700.70
218Coggins, TreCal State Fullerton0.000.700.70
219Valdes, AaronHawaii0.000.700.70
220Alstork, MarkWright State0.000.700.70
221Flannigan, DemonteCleveland State0.000.700.70
222Johnson, JordanMilwaukee0.000.700.70
223White, TylerNorthern Kentucky0.000.700.70
224Bradds, EvanBelmont0.000.700.70
225Hawkins, JaVontaeEastern Kentucky0.000.700.70
226Johnston, CornellEastern Illinois0.000.700.70
227Marrero, DeJuanMorehead State0.000.700.70
228McCall, TahjereTennessee State0.000.700.70
229Moss, JefferyMurray State0.000.700.70
230Reischel, JarelleEastern Kentucky0.000.700.70
231Robinson, JoshAustin Peay0.000.700.70
232Rowe, TorranceTennessee Tech0.000.700.70
233Taylor, Myles UT-Martin0.000.700.70
234Baker, TravonNorthern Illinois0.000.690.69
235Fowler, ChrisCentral Michigan0.000.690.69
236Johnson, IsaiahAkron0.000.690.69
237Lee, RavenEastern Michigan0.000.690.69
238Maric, MarinNorthern Illinois0.000.690.69
239Parker, SpencerBowling Green0.000.690.69
240Thompson, JamesEastern Michigan0.000.690.69
241Washington, EricMiami (OH)0.000.690.69
242Brown, KoryNorth Dakota State0.000.690.69
243Hollins, Tra-DeonOmaha0.000.690.69
244Jacobson, A.J.North Dakota State0.000.690.69
245Kasperbauer, CaseySouth Dakota0.000.690.69
246Konchar, JohnIPFW0.000.690.69
247Landis, MaxFort Wayne0.000.690.69
248Patterson, DevinOmaha0.000.690.69
249White, JakeOmaha0.000.690.69
250Abrahamson, KaleDrake0.000.690.69
251Balentine, D.J.Evansville0.000.690.69
252Grady, AntonWichita State0.000.690.69
253Hawkins, DeontaeIllinois State0.000.690.69
254Lee, ParisIllinois State0.000.690.69
255Clemons, ChrisCampbell0.000.690.69
256Cooks, XavierWinthrop0.000.690.69
257Johnson, KeonWinthrop0.000.690.69
258Jones, CameronRadford0.000.690.69
259Nelson, TyrellGardner-Webb0.000.690.69
260Smith, DylanUNC-Asheville0.000.690.69
261White, Tre'VaughnLongwood0.000.690.69
262Wiggins, ShivaughnCoastal Carolina0.000.690.69
263Bisping, BrettSiena0.000.690.69
264Crawford, CalvinManhattan0.000.690.69
265Much, DeyshoneeIona0.000.690.69
266Okereafor, TeddyRider0.000.690.69
267Portley, AntwonSt. Peter's0.000.690.69
268Braun, JoshuaGrand Canyon0.000.670.67
269Davis, MarcelUtah Valley0.000.670.67
270Frey, KonnerUtah Valley0.000.670.67
271Westendorf, BrendanSeattle0.000.670.67
272Anderson, DarianFairleigh Dickinson0.000.660.66
273Broome, CaneSacred Heart0.000.660.66
274Carey, MichaelWagner0.000.660.66
275Frink, JeromeLIU Brooklyn0.000.660.66
276Jenifer, AntonioSt. Francis Brooklyn0.000.660.66
277McLaughlin, ShaneBryant0.000.660.66
278Potts, EarlFairleigh Dickinson0.000.660.66
279Robinson, JuniorMount St. Mary's0.000.660.66
280Saintil, AakimLIU Brooklyn0.000.660.66
281Adeyeye, JoshJacksonville0.000.660.66
282Beech, BeauNorth Florida0.000.660.66
283Dawkins, DariusJacksonville0.000.660.66
284Hampton, J.C.Lipscomb0.000.660.66
285Moore, DallasNorth Florida0.000.660.66
286Norelia, Marc EddyFlorida Gulf Coast0.000.660.66
287Rodgers, AdrianSouthern0.000.650.65
288Sam, JaredSouthern0.000.650.65
289Waters, JamelAlabama State0.000.650.65
290Wilson, TamaricoAlcorn State0.000.650.65
291Bell-Haynes, TraeVermont0.000.640.64
292Cremo, JoeAlbany0.000.640.64
293Hooley, PeterAlbany0.000.640.64
294Leissner, TannerNew Hampshire0.000.640.64
295Lyles, JairusUMBC0.000.640.64
296Stire, GreigAlbany0.000.640.64
297Brown, StephenBucknell0.000.640.64
298Dieudonne, NathanBoston University0.000.640.64
299Husek, MattHoly Cross0.000.640.64
300Jones, JarredLoyola (MD)0.000.640.64
301Kempton, TimLehigh0.000.640.64
302Regisford, MalcolmColgate0.000.640.64
303Swopshire, JordanColgate0.000.640.64
304Daniel, JamesHoward0.000.620.62
305Darden, BrianHampton0.000.620.62
306Elliott, DominiqueMaryland-Eastern Shore0.000.620.62
307Ingram, JeremiahNorth Carolina Central0.000.620.62
308Johnson, ReginaldHampton0.000.620.62
309Moody, MarioBethune-Cookman0.000.620.62
310Oliver, CharlesNorfolk State0.000.620.62
311Potts, JordanBethune-Cookman0.000.620.62
312Coppola, NickLouisiana-Monroe0.000.620.62
313Hollowell, JeremyGeorgia State0.000.620.62
314Person, WesleyTroy0.000.620.62
315Thomas, DonteArkansas State0.000.620.62

Friday, March 4, 2016

FINAL UPDATE: Saturday 9 pm 110 Team Alive for 68 Spots

Continue to follow March Madness through my pieces on Breitbart Sports, but our final post on this table is being made Saturday, March 12 at 9 p.m.

We introduced this table in a story Saturday morning March 5, and we continue to update the table at the bottom of this post on the breakdown of the college basketball teams. On March 13, a total of 68 teams will be in the tournament as an "A" or a "B" and 283 will be left out as an "F" or a "G.

With Selection Sunday upon us, we post our final update as of 9 p.m. on Saturday, March 12 at 9 p.m. As we post, there are 110 teams still technically alive for the 68 spots - though we are being generous on "C" and "C-" and "D" teams who actually will almost all be fighting for NIT and other tournament spots. The tournament championships to be completed after this writing (not counting the games like UNC vs. UVa where both teams will make it) are:

A10: St. Joe's (C) vs. VCU (C+)
American: UConn (C+) vs. Memphis (E)
Big Sky: Montana (E) vs. Weber State (E)
Hawaii (C-) vs. Long Beach State (E)
Arkansas Little Rock (C) vs. Louisiana Monroe (E)
Stephen F. Austin (C-) vs. Texas A&M Corpus Christi (D)
Cal St. Bakersfield (E) vs. New Mexico State (E)

So if this were to actually play out in this order after the winners from above, then no C, C- or D team would make it. These letter grades are not based on an in depth bubble analysis, but rather based on the team's anticipated final RPI going into their tournaments:

5-Mar (8am)28111613211945315
10 pm229101613201747215
6-Mar (4pm)32916139201668015
7-Mar (11 p.m.)829916112014010315
10-Mar (a.m.)1229925111911912215
12-Mar (9pm)212791510181022615


The Codes indicate:

"G" teams - indicating they were not eligible for the tournament due to either just moving up to D1 or due to a violation.

"F" teams - indicating they were eliminated from their conference tournament and have no chance at an automatic bid.

"E" teams - indicating they can still get an automatic bid if they win their conference tournament, but have no chance once they are eliminated.

 "D" teams - indicating they will need to win their tournament even though they are good enough that they should get consideration. The best two of these going into the tournament this season were South Dakota State (projected RPI of 30) and IPFW (Indiana University–Purdue University Fort Wayne, 60) of the Summit League, which is expected to finish with the 11th best conference RPI and one of the best attended tournaments.

"C" teams - indicate teams that are on the bubble and could get a bid even if they do not win the tournament. We also broke down the "C" "bubble teams into the probably in "C+", true bubble "C" and probably out "C-."

"B" teams - which are teams that will make the tournament regardless of how they do in the tournament - and therefore the conference tournament means little to them.

"A" teams - which is a team's code once they win the tournament and get a bid. Chattanooga won the Southern title late Monday night to become the best team in so far - with a projected RPI of 49.

You can search for your college here to see where they fall:

Bid ChanceRPITeamConf
A30South Dakota St.Sum
A39Seton HallBE
A41Stony BrookAE
A61UNC WilmingtonCAA
A88Northern IowaMVC
A90Fresno St.MWC
A95Middle TennesseeCUSA
A145Green BayHorz
A153UNC AshevilleBSth
A204Florida Gulf CoastASun
A211Austin PeayOVC
A219Fairleigh DickinsonNEC
A284Holy CrossPat
B8North CarolinaACC
B9West VirginiaB12
B11Michigan St.B10
B20Texas A&MSEC
B21Iowa St.B12
B24Wichita St.MVC
B48Notre DameACC
B65South CarolinaSEC
C27Saint Joseph'sA10
C32St. BonaventureA10
C40Arkansas Little RockSB
C44San Diego St.MWC
C51Oregon St.P12
C-56George WashingtonA10
C-62Stephen F. AustinSlnd
C-75Ohio St.B10
C+25Saint Mary'sWCC
C+33Texas TechB12
D68UC IrvineBW
D69William & MaryCAA
D73Florida St.ACC
D78Boise St.MWC
D80Georgia TechACC
D85Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd
D86Kansas St.B12
D89UT ArlingtonSB
E93Long Beach St.BW
E99Arizona St.P12
E103New Mexico St.WAC
E115Cal St. BakersfieldWAC
E119Weber St.BSky
E120Louisiana MonroeSB
E214Washington St.P12
F92James MadisonCAA
F94Rhode IslandA10
F97East Tennessee St.SC
F102UC Santa BarbaraBW
F104Louisiana TechCUSA
F105Illinois St.MVC
F107Kent St.MAC
F108Virginia TechACC
F112Morehead St.OVC
F126North Carolina St.ACC
F128College of CharlestonCAA
F129Nebraska OmahaSum
F133Central MichiganMAC
F134Northern IllinoisMAC
F135North Dakota St.Sum
F136Penn St.B10
F137Eastern MichiganMAC
F138New MexicoMWC
F139Southern IllinoisMVC
F141Tennessee TechOVC
F142High PointBSth
F144Coastal CarolinaBSth
F146Old DominionCUSA
F149Utah St.MWC
F151Wright St.Horz
F154Louisiana LafayetteSB
F155Oral RobertsSum
F156Ball St.MAC
F158Mississippi St.SEC
F160Wake ForestACC
F161Tennessee St.OVC
F163Georgia St.SB
F164Sam Houston St.Slnd
F165Texas SouthernSWAC
F168Oklahoma St.B12
F172North FloridaASun
F176New HampshireAE
F178Western CarolinaSC
F180Western KentuckyCUSA
F181Indiana St.MVC
F182Murray St.OVC
F189Colorado St.MWC
F191South DakotaSum
F198Saint Peter'sMAAC
F199Jackson St.SWAC
F200Boston UniversityPat
F201East CarolinaAmer
F202South Carolina St.MEAC
F203George MasonA10
F205Norfolk St.MEAC
F206North DakotaBSky
F207Miami OHMAC
F210Eastern WashingtonBSky
F215Western MichiganMAC
F216Saint LouisA10
F217Gardner WebbBSth
F218Tennessee MartinOVC
F220Eastern KentuckyOVC
F222San FranciscoWCC
F223Houston BaptistSlnd
F225Bowling GreenMAC
F228Georgia SouthernSB
F229UNC GreensboroSC
F230Air ForceMWC
F231Loyola MarymountWCC
F234Cal PolyBW
F235Missouri St.MVC
F237Loyola ChicagoMVC
F239South FloridaAmer
F240South AlabamaSB
F241St. John'sBE
F242Mount St. Mary'sNEC
F244La SalleA10
F246Idaho St.BSky
F250Texas St.SB
F251Santa ClaraWCC
F252Boston CollegeACC
F254Montana St.BSky
F256Utah ValleyWAC
F257UC RiversideBW
F258Alabama St.SWAC
F259Western IllinoisSum
F261Kennesaw St.ASun
F262Loyola MDPat
F263LIU BrooklynNEC
F267Sacred HeartNEC
F268St. Francis PANEC
F271Bethune CookmanMEAC
F273Youngstown St.Horz
F275Arkansas St.SB
F276Eastern IllinoisOVC
F277Appalachian St.SB
F278Cleveland St.Horz
F280Sacramento St.BSky
F281Portland St.BSky
F282St. Francis NYNEC
F283UC DavisBW
F285Savannah St.MEAC
F289Robert MorrisNEC
F292Cal St. FullertonBW
F295Charleston SouthernBSth
F296Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC
F297North TexasCUSA
F298San DiegoWCC
F300Florida AtlanticCUSA
F304San Jose St.MWC
F307SIU EdwardsvilleOVC
F308North Carolina CentralMEAC
F309Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC
F310Jacksonville St.OVC
F313Northern ColoradoBSky
F317The CitadelSC
F319Southeastern LouisianaSlnd
F325USC UpstateASun
F326Morgan St.MEAC
F327Coppin St.MEAC
F328Northern ArizonaBSky
F329Nicholls St.Slnd
F332Alabama A&MSWAC
F333Mississippi Valley St.SWAC
F334Southern UtahBSky
F335UT Rio Grande ValleyWAC
F337North Carolina A&TMEAC
F340New OrleansSlnd
F341Prairie View A&MSWAC
F342McNeese St.Slnd
F343Northwestern St.Slnd
F344Southeast Missouri St.OVC
F345Delaware St.MEAC
F347Illinois ChicagoHorz
F348Chicago St.WAC
F349Grambling St.SWAC
F350Florida A&MMEAC
F351Central ConnecticutNEC
G101Grand CanyonWAC
G179Incarnate WordSlnd
G238Alcorn St.SWAC
G266Cal St. NorthridgeBW
G269UMass LowellAE
G291Northern KentuckyHorz
G315Southern MissCUSA
G320Abilene ChristianSlnd
G336Central ArkansasSlnd