Wednesday, October 5, 2022

Statis-Pro Playoff Teams Settled - Only Blue Jays Exceeded Actual MLB Team

The Chicago White Sox won a thrilled 4-3 season finale to finish the season 30-30 in Statis-Pro, exactly matching their 81-81 .500 campaign in the real season. However, in our season .500 was good enough to snag the 6th and final playoff spot, while in actual play that left them short. Here are our standings, with only the Yankees, Twins and Guardians still scheduled to face the Orioles to determine which of them gets the other bye spot besides Toronto.




Because it is an 11-team lead, these 11 do not get to play the 4 teams we left out of the league, which combined for a .400 record. Therefore each team in this league should finish .041 percent lower in the Statis-Pro season then their real team.

Each team actually plays only 20 games - 2 against each of the other 10 - so you would expect a wide margin of error between Statis-Pro and actual results.

However, pending those final three series, 6 of the 11 teams had very similar records in Statis-Pro to actual MLB play. 

The two teams that played better in Statis-Pro were the Blue Jays and Twins - in green.

The three teams that played worse were the Mariners, Rays and Orioles.



Holy Cow - White Socks Sweep; 1 Game from Bouncing Red Sox from Playoffs

 Developing ... After hearing the Orioles 11-4 for a sweep, the White Sox need only win their finale to finish ahead of the Red Sox for the last playoff spot.

6th - Final Playoff Spot - 28-29

7th - Red Sox - 29-31 (does have tie-breaker)

Jimenez and Abreu hit 2 homers each Cease struck out 11 in 5 innings, and Bummer came in with bases loaded in the 7th to preserve the sweep.


The season finale was a more classic 4-3 decision where speed mattered - with the playoffs determined in the last inning. The White Sox made.it to the 9th for one of the best relievers in the game - Liam Hendriks.

However he walked two, and Brett Phillips came in as a pinch runner coming off his 14 steals last year that made him a fast obr-sp A-A.

Anthony Santander came in with a chance to drive him home but was called out on a 46, which we consider a check swing barely called a strike out and one spot from a walk. Hendrik also struck out odor for a 4-3 win, 30-30 record, and the last playoff spot!


2nd game to come - Red Sox can only wait.

Tuesday, October 4, 2022

Alternate Reality - White Sox chance to catch Red Sox

Our alternate reality 2022 AL MLB season already produced the Dodgers as NL champs using the Statis-Pro baseball game using these 2022 Protected Batters, and 2022 Projected Pitchers for Arizona to Miami and then Milwaukee to Washington

We played the NL out a few months ago with the Braves stunning the Mets to make it to the NL series before falling to the Dodgers - at the time seeming Statis-Pro alternate reality was way off since the Mets had a 10 game lead. However tonight in real baseball the Braves did in fact match their Statis-Pro feat by clinching against the Mets to match their Statis-Pro success.

On the AL side nether the Red Sox or White Sox made the playoffs in the real MLB. They are also both below .500 in Statis-Pro, but tonight the Red Sox continues their collapse, losing two games.to the Orioles to finish 29-31. That gives the White Sox a chance to pass them and make the playoffs (in all likelihood) if they beat the Orioles 5 games to 1 to finish 30-30.

The Orioles projected as a basement dweller and this not included in my 10 team league, but their stunning regular season success led us to make them an 11th team to give each of the other teams an 10th series.

Cedric Mullins continued to star with a 5 of 8 series, 2 walks, a homer and a double to stun the Red Sox 8-7 and 8-6 in Fenway to be a solid 10-14 in their series so far.

If the White Sox can blitz two PB 2-5 starters Orioles starters for at least one sweep (win after leading by at least 5 runs after 8 innings) and win the other game of the 2-game series, they pass the Red Sox. Anything less and they are eliminated and the Red Sox grab the last playoff spot.




Saturday, October 1, 2022

Top 18 Statis-Pro Pitcher Cards for 2022 Season

We presented the 10 most improved Statis-Pro batter cards, and today we present two sheets of the top 18 Statis-Pro pitcher cards based on this season's stats. All of these pitchers have the highest PB (Pitcher or Batter) rating of PB: 2-9, meaning they control the action 83% of the time on rolls of 2-9 and only allows it on the batter's card on 10-12. 

While PB is determined by ERA or FiPs, we only considered players that either qualified with enough innings pitched, or had at least 20 saves. We will still use all of the 2022 Project Cards as we finish up our regular season, but will insert these cards and the 10 most improved cards for teams who make our playoffs.

Aaron Judge is obviously the most improved card with an 24-36 home run range on his card. 

The best pitcher card below is either Paul Sewald, who allows hits only on an 11-17 and walks only on a 43-47, or the Mets Edwin Diaz who allows one more hit but then has an incredible 22-61 strikeout range and then a 62-66 for a walk. Of course he is a reliever so can only pitch one inning, so the most valuable card is likely Justin Verlander, who can go up to 7 innings with hits only allowed on 11-22 and a 45-47 for walks. The most valuable player in this stack overall however is Ohtani, who adds his PB 2-9 pitching card to go along with one of the best hitting cards.

The cards are alphabetical by team, so you can look to see if your team has one of the top pictures.




Statis-Pro 2022 Season Warp with Just a Few Series Left

Some notes as we wrap-up the 2021 season using the Statis-Pro baseball. This season was played using these 2022 Protected Batters, and 2022 Projected Pitchers for Arizona to Miami and then Milwaukee to Washington. Occasionally we added some fun with this chart for unusual "Z-plays.

We've played 96 games, and the 95th game included the first 20-run game with the Blue Jays beating the Red Sox 22-1. The Blue Jays won the second game 9-3 to become the first team all season to "sweep" both games in our 48 double header series. Overall 27 of the 96 games were sweeps. To get credit for a sweep in our league a team must lead by at least 5-runs at the end of the 8th inning without using their closer through 8 innings. When a team does this they get credit for winning a 3-game series 3-0, while all other games count as a 2 games to 1 win. Our series were swept 28% of all games (27 of 96), once again very close to the percent of the time a team wins the first 3 games of a series. (notes further down on how Toronto fought through the 2nd sweep.

The expanding standings below show the Blue Jays and Yankees have actually tied for the exact same record at 12-6, but because the Blue Jays have now swept 7 series and never been swept to get a 37-17 record, while the Yankees have swept 3 and been swept 2 times to have a 31-23 record.

We pick the projected top 10 teams in one league at the beginning of the season (we rotate each year, but this year is AL) and this sheet tracks their series and each team plays the other nine in a double headers, so the Blue Jays were the first to get credit for going 6-0 in a series.

Near the end of the year we pick one of the five "relegated" teams that have overachieved this year - and the Baltimore Orioles were the no-brainer this year - and we play them as needed to let the other teams all get their top four starting pitchers five starts on the season. The only remaining series will be a team against the Orioles.

The Orioles did play the Astros, Mariners and Rays. Next we will/may play:

Orioles vs. Red Sox - The Red Sox still have the 6th and final spot in the playoff. If they go at least 4-2 against the Orioles then the clinch a playoff spot because the White Sox and LA Angels can no longer catch them even if they went 6-0 against the Orioles. If the Red Sox go at least 2-4 against the Orioles then the Angels cannot catch them and the Angels would be completely eliminated. The Angels actually went 4-14, but two of their four wins were "sweeps."

The other two teams who still need to play the Orioles in order to clinch a playoff spot are:

Orioles vs. Guardians - Cleveland must go at least 3-3 to guarantee they beat out the White Sox, but lose the tie-breaker if the White Sox catch them (the two went 3-3, but our next tie-breaker is better record against the top team, and Chicago went 2-4 against the Blue Jays while Cleveland went 1-5).

Orioles vs. Twins - The Twins need to go at least 2-4 to assure they beat out the White Sox and make the playoffs.

The White Sox will only play their series against the Orioles if they still have a chance to make the playoffs after the three series above.

The Angels will only play their series against the Orioles if Cleveland went 1-5 or 0-6 to give them a longshot chance to make the playoffs with a 6-0 or 5-1 record.

The Yankees will play their series just to determine if they are the second team to get a bye (Toronto has clinched one bye).

The playoffs will be the same as MLB playoffs this year with the 3rd through 6th place teams playing 3-game series at the home of the higher seeds, while the Toronto and the No. 2 seed get byes.

For the playoffs, we will use the cards for the 10 most improved batters and pitchers this season, but all other cards being used are the 2022 projected cards - whether or not the player actually had a better or worst year than projected. So yes, Aaron Judge's incredible 24-36 home run range in this card will be used in the playoffs.

Row LabelsWLWin %GBRunsAllowWin %Actual record and extra credit for sweeps
Toronto37-170.685106.24.10.685Act Rec: 12 - 6, 7 sweeps & 0 times swept.
NY Yankees31-230.57444.33.40.574Act Rec: 12 - 6, 3 sweeps & 2 times swept.
Minnesota30-240.55634.34.10.556Act Rec: 11 - 7, 3 sweeps & 2 times swept.
Cleveland29-250.53724.33.80.537Act Rec: 10 - 8, 3 sweeps & 2 times swept.
Houston32-280.53325.54.40.533Act Rec: 11 - 9, 4 sweeps & 3 times swept.
Boston27-270.50004.74.60.500Act Rec: 10 - 8, 2 sweeps & 3 times swept.
Chicago WS25-290.463-24.44.50.463Act Rec: 9 - 9, 1 sweeps & 3 times swept.
LA Angels23-310.426-445.50.426Act Rec: 4 - 14, 2 sweeps & 1 times swept.
Seattle25-350.417-5450.417Act Rec: 7 - 13, 2 sweeps & 4 times swept.
Tampa Bay23-370.383-73.64.60.383Act Rec: 8 - 12, 0 sweeps & 5 times swept.
Baltimore6-120.333-33.56.70.333Act Rec: 2 - 4, 0 sweeps & 2 times swept.



Red Sox Destroyed 22-1 to crack door open for White Sox

 White Sox needed the Red Sox to struggle to keep playoff hopes alive. Boston had overcome very weak pitching cards by winning high scoring wins for the most surprising record in our league - 27-21.

Make that 27-24 after losing a "sweep" game in our most lopsided Statis-Pro game of our season - a 22-1 loss to the Blue Jays. Guerrero, Hernandez and Jansen hit two of the Jays 9 homers, and they had 22 hits to 4 for the Jays.




Into game 2 ...not quite as lopsided but a 9-3 win for another sweep, and the Red Sox are 27-27.



Z-play wild throw on bunt single jump starts Mariners

 In nightcap, the ChiSox shelled Luis Castillo to take a 6-2 lead after 3 inning on the verge of a sweep, but blew it for an 8-7 lead.

One of the few A/AA super fast players in the league dropped down a bunt with runners on first and second, and a wild through by Grandal lead to the first 2 Mariners runs.

With the split, the Blue Jays, Yankees and Astros clinch playoff spots because the best case for the White Sox is 31 wins, and they Yankees and Blues already have 31 wins and the tie-breaker against the White Sox, and the Astros have 32 wins.

The White Sox still are a longshot to catch the Red Sox, Twins or Guardians for the last playoff spot.

The Angels are technically alive to catch the Red Sox, but Boston would have to go 1-11 and the Angels go 6-0, or Boston go 0-12 and the White Sox go 5-1.

Statis-Pro StandingsWLGBWin%Final Wins
Toronto - clinched311750.64631 to 43
NY Yankees - clinched312320.57431 to 37
Boston272110.56327 to 39
Minnesota302410.55630 to 36
Cleveland292500.53729 to 35
Houston - clinched322800.53332 to 32
Chicago White Sox2529-40.46325 to 31
LA Angels2331-60.42623 to 29
Seattle - elim2535-70.41725 to 25 
Tampa Bay - elim2337-90.38323 to 23 
Baltimore - as needed612-50.333



Error, Wild Pitch Keep ChiSox Alive Despite Julio Rodriguez HR

 The White Sox manager only 5 hits, all singles, in a Ray vs. Giolito pitching duel. However, an unearned run after a miffed double play grounder led to one run, the a wild pitch by Ray the next inning gave the White Sox a 2-1 win and improved them to 24-27 in a Statis-Pro season to keep playoff hopes alive.

Mariners super star Julio Rodriguez homered, doubled and Walked, before star closer Hendrik strike home out in the 9th to save the win.



Dd

Friday, September 30, 2022

Yankees at Indians Developing ...

 The matchup of perhaps the two best starters in the game - Cole vs. Bieber, had crazy twists meriting a 6th inning update.

Cole's strike out range is 23-48 and Bieber is 24-48, and both keep the action on their cards 83% of the time due to their PB 2-9.

In the first 6 innings Cole drew a 51, 51, 51 and 52 for 4 walks that certainly would have had Yankees fans angry, particularly since Bieber had a 48 to get a strikeout call.

The fun z-plays came into play to break the tie, as reyes drew a 52 with Ramirez on 1st base which is a drive to the top of the wall that requires a second card, and that 62 was a base clearing double to make it 1-0 Guardians.

Then the next inning with one on Ramirez was up for a clutch defensive play to center field where Hicks is only a CD1, and the 76 led to another rbi double to make it 2-0.

In the 6th Cole came out as a pb2-8, got one out, then gave up a walk to be a pb2-7, then a double to Naylor to be a PB 4-7 and leave down 2-0 with men on second and third, and we brought in Holmes and his very tight 11-17 hits allowed, but on a PB 2-7.



The problem for the Indians is a really thin bullpen. Their 2nd best player is a PB 4-7, while the Yankees 2nd best is a PB2-9.

They did survive to hold onto the 2-0 win in game 1, but the pen could not hold a 3-2 lead in the second game, and Aaron Judge's double was the game winning hit for a 5-3 Yankees win and split of the series.



Sunday, September 25, 2022

Aaron Judge Chases Maris' 61st HR Tonight, Most Improved Statis-Pro Card Includes 24-36 Statis-Pro HR Range

As Aaron Judge chases Roger Maris' 61st Home Run tonight, his new Statis-Pro card was releases with his incredible 24-36 home run range. This 2022 Act (based on Actual stats) has four more home run numbers then his already incredible 2022P (based on pre-season Projected Stats) card, which had a 25-33 Home Run range and calculated to a 0.907 OPS. The actual card is based on his 1.116 OPS.

He also improved his OBR/STL (speed when running the bases and stealing basis from the C/D on his projected card. After stealing 16 of 19 bases this year he is now a B/B.

Judge is one of just 10 batters who will receive an improved card based on regular season stats that showed more than a 0.060 improvement in OPS and the player being in the top 100 overall in the MLB. The other nine improved cards are shown further down.



To play, you can print the free Statis-Pro Baseball Game and PDFs of Judge and all the 2022 Batters, 2022 Pitchers from Arizona to Miami, and 2022 Pitchers from Milwaukee to Washington.

The other 9 batters who get an improved card for their regular season stats are:

Andres Gimenez - CLE 2022 Act

Brandon Drury - SD 2022 Act

Eugenio Suarez - SEA 2022 Act

Jose Altuve - HOU 2022 Act

Manny Machado - SD 2022 Act

Nolan Arenado - STL 2022 Act

Paul Goldschmidt - STL 2022 Act

Starling Marte - NYM 2022 Act

Yordan Alvarez - HOU 2022 Act




Saturday, September 24, 2022

2022 Projected Statis-Pro Cards - Running Updates of AL Season Nearing Conclusion

Wrapping up the regular season in reverse order. First the standings as of September 25 at 8 pm. Top 6 teams make playoffs. The color coding indicates the three big series remaining. While Seattle is gone, if the White Sox win their series against the eliminated Mariners, then they could get in the mix. Each team has their ace and No. 2 starter going in that series.
 
TeamW   L    GB   Pct       R/G    R All/Gm   Best case
Toronto311750.6465.804.30Bos, Balt?
NY Yankees282020.5834.403.60Cle, Balt?
Boston272110.5635.003.90Tor, Balt?
Minnesota302410.5564.304.10Balt?
Cleveland262200.5424.503.90NYY, Balt?
Houston322800.5335.504.40Done
Chicago WS2226-40.4584.404.50Sea, Balt?
LA Angels2331-60.4264.005.50Done
Seattle2232-70.4073.905.10ChW
Tampa Bay2337-90.3833.604.60Done
Baltimore612-50.3333.506.70As needed

We track all games in our season here

Each team's 10th series is against the Orioles, and only played if it is still in doubt if they will make the top 6 and in the playoffs, or if they have a chance to make the top two for a bye in the playoffs.

You can print out the entire Statis-Pro game for free by clicking here. To make it easier to print Statis-Pro player cards based on 2022 projected stats, we broke the pitchers cards in half and changed everything to a PDF. To print player cards with each sheet containing only one team, click for the 2022 Batters, 2022 Pitchers from Arizona to Miami, and 2022 Pitchers from Milwaukee to Washington. If you want to add some fun, you can use this chart for unusual "Z-plays."

Some league rules we us are that each game actually counts as a 3-game series, with the winner of the series getting credit for winning 2 out of 3 UNLESS the winning team:
a. leads by at least 5 runs at the end of the 8th inning,
b. has not used their reliever with the best PB rating by the end of the 8th inning, and
c. holds onto win the game even if by less than 5 runs.

We have played 90 games this season and 25 have ended up as sweeps under the rules above, which is 27.7% and within 1% of the number of 3-game series that end up in sweeps in Major League Baseball.

Results that have already happened the last couple of days, in reverse order:

White Sox Playing to Stay Alive

The top 6 teams can hope the addition of ace Castillo to Seattle to give them the strong 1-2 pitching punch with Ray is enough to shut down the White Sox and basically wrap up who the 6 playoff teams are. If the White Sox do well enough to stay in the mix then all the teams except the Astros still have hte option of a final series against the Orioles.

Castillo (Sea)Giolito (CWS)
Ray (Sea)Kopech (CWS)

With Buxton Out for Season Twins Offense Weak, but they beat Angels 3-0 and 3-1

Angels officially eliminated. The Twins mustered just enough offense for 2 wins and basically clinch - but with their best player Buxton out for the season and replace by Celestino in cf for the playoffs.





Astros Disappointing Split with Struggling Rays

The Orioles were added to the 10 teams originally used just to give the options of a 10th series so that each team could go through their 4-main rotation 5 times.


Astros disappointed split with Rays to finish season. 32-28 finish should be enough, but 11-1 finish for White Sox or 12-0 finish by Angels could knock them out.


Final Series 8: Rays B. Lowe Lost for White Sox near do or die.

 The White Sox are 4 games out of a playoff spot heading into Tampa for their 8th series of the season.

Cease (CWS)McClanahan (TBR)
Lynn (CWS)Rasmussen (TBR)

After this series we will be down to our final 9th series, and then if needed teams have a 10th series against the Orioles.

DL

Before each series we check for any 60-day DLs and take those cards off the team. The White Sox lost two pitchers, but both had very week cards that would only have been used if they were being blown out. 

The big blow is to the Rays, who lose cleanup hitter Brandon Lowe

Game 1 - ChiSox 6-3 sweep, only 3.5 games out

Amazing set of rules came into play.

Tim Anderson made another error - he has the worst fielding rating at E6 CD1.

ChiSox fans will forgive him with one of the best batter cards in the game, which came into play to put the White Sox up 6-0 in the 4th.

Joe Kelly came into pitch the 7th, and while I usually only allow relievers to pitch one inning, my league rule is if they strikeout every batter then they get to pitch another inning. Kelly ended up striking out 6 of 7 batters,.walking the other. 

That left the White Sox up by at least 5 runs after 8 innings without losing their closer Liam Hendriks in those 8 innings - the rules in our league for getting credit for a sweep ...

As.long as the team holds onto win the game.

However Ruiz hit a batter, allowed 2 hits and walked a batter, while getting only one out.

That meant Hendriks had to be brought in with the score 6-1 and bases loaded. A team does not need to maintain a 5-run margin, but if they lose the game it switches from a 3 games.to 0 series win to a 1 game to 2 games loss. Hendriks did walk 2 batters to make it 6-3 and with bases loaded the winning run for the Rays was at the plate. 

Hendriks (a pb 2-9) kept the action on his card with a PB 5, and the drew a 51, barely within his 23-51 strikeout to end the game.

The only downside is he now cannot pitch in the nightcap, but they are now only 3.5 games out of the playoffs.



Game 2 - Tampa 6, Chicago 3

A typical Rays series - used 6 pitchers in both games :-).





Friday, September 23, 2022

Statis-Pro playoff wire - Cleveland vs. seattle

Developing ...

Seattle is 4 games out of the in our Statis-Pro season. Their 8th of 10 series will be against one of the teams the need to catch - Cleveland.

Here are the matchups for tonight:

Mckenzie (Cle) vs Gilbert (Sea)

Plesac (Cle) vs Boyd (sea)

Details to follow.

The Guardians 5 games to 1 win over the Mariners moved them up to the same spot they'd be in the actual MLB season - the 3-seed. The Mariners in turn are close to eliminated with just two series to go.





Tuesday, September 20, 2022

Awful Angels - Despite 2 Trout HRs

 How can a team with Mike Trout and Shohei Ohtani be this bad both in real MLB and in our Statis-Pro season. Check our the player cards for yourself and the score sheet below. They gave up 17 runs in 2 games and could have been much more. 

To make it easier to print Statis-Pro player cards based on 2022 projected stats, we broke the pitchers cards in half and changed everything to a PDF. To print player cards with each sheet containing only one team, click for the 2022 Batters, 2022 Pitchers from Arizona to Miami, and 2022 Pitchers from Milwaukee to Washington.

4 of the 6 playoff teams of projected Statis-Pro teams is the season ended today would also make the actual MLB playoffs. The two differences are the Red Sox and Twins would make the Statis-Pro playoffs while the Mariners and Rays would make the actual MLB playoffs.

Dalbec drew a clutch batting card (BD) twice in a row with bases loaded in the top of the 10th but hit two foul home runs or the final would have been 11-7 instead of the 8-7 win. The first game was a 9-2 sweep as No. 8 batter Arroyo had a homer and 3 doubles.





Monday, September 19, 2022

Why Twins Starter pulled with no hitter in matchup of Statis-Pro over achievers

 In our season using projected Statis-Pro Cards, two team has played much better in real life (Orioles and Tampa), 7 have been about the same in both, and tonight's series matched up the 2 that had been much better in Statis-Pro (Twins and Jays).

No there is one. The Jays received credit for a 4 games to 2 series based on credit for a sweep for another slugfest (10-3), but more interesting notes about the game occurred in the pitchers, duel in the second game.

Blue Jay Mitch White threw 4 no hit innings, but the former Dodgers' "max IP" is 4.

When a player hits his max innings, he can stay in the game, but his remaining endurance SR, which had actually only dropped from 11 to 6 due to one walk and 4 innings ending, is automatically dropped to 0 for the 5th inning. 

In his case that dropped him a PB 4-7 to a PB 2-6, but because the reliever who would have come in for the 5th was also a pb 2-6, so we left him and he got three straight outs so his PB stayed 2-6 through the inning, but the end of the inning would have made him a PB 2-5 for the 6th inning so he was removed. 

In a throwback in the 8th inning, speed and defense broke the 0-0 tie.

Merrifield singled in the top of the 8th, but was thrown out stealing.

In the bottom of the 8th Urshela singled, and Nick Gordan pinch ran and stole 2nd.

Kepler the doubled him home.

Kirilloff then hit a drive requiring a clutch defense play by center fielder Springer, who is only a cd2. He did catch the ball, but due to the weak defense allowed Kepler to go to 3rd base with one out.

Note that while I recorded the play as a S8, it is not really a sacrifice fly because a player only gets that credit if a runner scores, but we record to remember what happened in the game.

Arraez then did have a sac fly, on an FD9 allowing the second run to score for the 2-0 win.

Here are the new standings with the Jays in 1st as the only team over achieving now.








Sunday, September 4, 2022

Video fixed - Statis-Pro Game Tracker as Orioles Win 1st 2 - Video of Fast Action Cards

Thanks readers for informing us the video on this blog was not working. It should be now.


Here is the tracker of all the match-ups in our Statis-Pro league. 

Our fun addition of the Orioles to let every team play an even 10 series results in a lot of runs allowed - they've given up 7.5 runs per game - by far the worst figure in the league. However, it has been feast or famine as the photos at the bottom of this blog show. Their ace Means, while only a PB2-6, went 11 innings and allowed only 2 runs in his first two starts, including 6 scoreless inning against Tampa for the first win of the year - 4-0 in 10 innings on a Mateo grand slam homer.

The Orioles then fought back from down 4-8 for a second thrilling extra inning 14-11 win over Tampa.  It doesn't look like either of those two teams will make our 6-team playoff, but we list the standings and where each team ranks in average runs scored and allowed in our season.

First, a video on how I go through my 4-sided deck of fast action cards the 5th through the 8th time.

Then onto the Tampa vs. Baltimore series and the standings.





StandingsWLGBRSrnkRArnk
Toronto2715061st4.66th
NY Yankees282024.65th4.12nd
Minnesota241835.43rd4.54th
Houston292545.82nd4.97th
Boston222054.56th3.91st
Cleveland212164.57th4.43rd
LA Angels202274.58th5.510th
Chicago ws182494.49th4.55th
Seattle212794.84th5.18th
Baltimore61294.210th7.511th
Tampa Bay1830123.711th5.29th

Cedric Mullins Silver Lining for 20,000 to 1 Orioles

 We knew adding the Orioles to our league of the top 10 AL teams would be rough - these are cards for what the Orioles players were projected to do when they were 20,000 to 1 odds to win the AL East.

In real MLB they have been one of the greatest surprise teams ever and are only 8 games behind the Yankees and have a shot at a wildcard. However, the Statis-Pro Cards are overmatched, and for the second straight series they wasted on great start (ace Means 5 innings and left trailing 1-0) in a 2-0 loss, the were blown out 13-1. 

The one bright spot has been leadoff hitter Cedric Mullins who went 4 of 8 and stole a base in the series.

For the Mariners, Ray went 8 innings with 13 strikeouts and 0 walks in the opener, and former Red Luis Castillo threw 6 innings allowing 1 run.

We are leaving the Orioles cards out to play the struggling Rays, who always seem to play better in real life then in the game.

Here is the grid of hard to hear matchups and records. The top 2 teams will get byesz and the 3rd through 6th place in wild cards once each team has played the other 10 teams each in a 2.game series.





Sunday, August 28, 2022

Orioles Blow Kremer's great start in Statis-Pro Opener

 The Orioles projected 2022 cards did not look nearly as good as their incredible play this season. However, Dean Kremer opened their first Statis-Pro game since being added to the league with a great 7 innings to leave with a 5-3 lead over the red hot Astros.

However, the pen could not hold it as the Astros rallied to win 9-5 in 11 innings, and then scored 6 runs in the first inning of the nightcap en route to a 10-1 sweep.

The Orioles officially start 1-5.






Statis-Pro Orioles Added as Series 10 for all 10 Teams

In light of the stunning and fantastic season, the Baltimore Orioles were added to our Statis-Pro League. We were in the 8th series for each team, meaning the 3rd and 4th starters for each team.

The Orioles home run ball park factor is 11-43, so 44-88 is a deep sac fly.

Each team was scheduled to play their 9th and final opponent in our 10 team league in a final series, but we wanted to round it out at 10 series to allow each team to run through it's 4-man rotation in the game five times.  We went ahead and figured out the starters for each game to make sure all teams also faced the fair number of Aces, as well as 2nd, 3rd and 4th best starters on opponents teams.

We updated our table of games and all results on this sheet, Here is the whole Orioles scheduled on top, following up with every teams remaining schedule before the playoffs.

Now that we know the schedule, we will play the 2-game series in any order. In our game relievers are allowed to pitch in one game in every two game series, so it doesn't matter the order of games.
 
VisitorHomeSeries
Kremer (Bal)Pivetta (Bos)Series 10
Wells (Bal)Hill (Bos)Series 10
Means (Bal)Giolito (CWS)Series 10
Akin (Bal)Kopech (CWS)Series 10
Kremer (Bal)Mckenzie (Cle)Series 10
Wells (Bal)Plesac (Cle)Series 10
Kremer (Bal)Garcia (Hou)Series 10
Wells (Bal)Javier (Hou)Series 10
Akin (Bal)Sandoval (LAA)Series 10
Kremer (Bal)Detmers (LAA)Series 10
Means (Bal)Gray (Min)Series 10
Wells (Bal)Bundy (Min)Series 10
Means (Bal)Cole (NYY)Series 10
Akin (Bal)Montas (NYY)Series 10
Means (Bal)Ray (Sea)Series 10
Akin (Bal)Castillo (Sea)Series 10
Means (Bal)Kluber (TBR)Series 10
Akin (Bal)Romero (TBR)Series 10
Kremer (Bal)Gausman (Tor)Series 10
Wells (Bal)White (Tor)Series 10
Pivetta (Bos)Detmers (LAA)Series 8
Hill (Bos)suarez (laa)Series 8
Eovaldi (Bos)Manoah (Tor)Series 9
Hill (Bos)Berrios (Tor)Series 9
Cease (CWS)McClanahan (TBR)Series 8
Lynn (CWS)Rasmussen (TBR)Series 8
Cease (CWS)Gilbert (Sea)Series 9
Lynn (CWS)Boyd (sea)Series 9
Mckenzie (Cle)Gilbert (Sea)Series 8
Plesac (Cle)Boyd (sea)Series 8
Bieber (Cle)King (NYY)Series 9
Quantrill (Cle)German (NYY)Series 9
Verlander (Hou)McClanahan (TBR)Series 9
McCullers (Hou)Rasmussen (TBR)Series 9
Ohtani (LAA)Ryan (Min)Series 9
suarez (laa)Ober (Min)Series 9
Ober (Min)Gausman (Tor)Series 8
Bundy (Min)White (Tor)Series 8

If both teams are mathematically eliminated from finishing in the top 6, then the series will not be played.

First Wild Card series will be 6th vs 3rd, and the other will be 5th vs. 4th.  = 3 game series.

The higher seed that advances will then play the 2nd seed, and the higher winner will play the regular season winner. = 7-game series.

Stat Check on Statis-Pro Season, and Pitcher Stats with Bieber as Cy Young Favorite

We have played 36 American League doubleheaders since created the 2022 projected Statis-Pro cards for this season. We track the results on this google sheet.

We double check a couple of things to see if the cards seem skewed to the offense or defense each year.

The most important stat we monitor is "sweeps." The MLB average is that 28% of all 3-game series are swept, while 72% are won by a team 2 games to 1. We try to mirror that with a league rule that if a team wins after leaving by at least 5 runs after 8 innings without using their best reliever, then they get credit for a 3-game sweep, while all other wins count as 2 games to 1 wins.

The good news on the sweeps is that they line up within 2%. In our 72 games to date, 19 were counted as sweeps - so 26.3% of all games.

The runs per game has been slightly high, with 679 runs scored in our 72 games for a total of 4.7 runs per game. That is higher than this seasons actual average of 4.3 runs per game, and even more than last year's 4.53 runs per game. 

2021 MLB2022 MLBStatis-Pro
Runs2201016331679
Games2429189872
Average4.534.34.71
3-game sweeps:28% 26.3%

We do not keep individual stats from our season, but based on our google sheet, we do run a pivot table to calculated each starting pitchers starts. The following table shows how many games each pitcher started, the average score of each game (Our top Cy Young candidate is likely Cleveland's Shane Bieber who averages winning 5.50 to 3.25). Then it lists each teams record in games in which that pitcher starter (Bieber's Guardians have been 8-4). 

In his four starts, the Guardians had two 3 games to 0 sweeps for a 10-3 win over Minnesota and 6-0 win over Tampa, another 6-3 win over the LA Angels to get credit for 2 wins and 1 loss, however he then lost a start against Houston 7-0 to absorb credit for 3 losses and 0 wins.
 
Row LabelsStartsRuns Sc    Runs AllWinsLosses
Eovaldi (Bos)44.50    5.7557
Hill (Bos)34.001.7763
Houck (Bos)45.002.0084
Pivetta (Bos)34.336.3336
Bieber (Cle)45.503.2584
Mckenzie (Cle)34.775.3345
Plesac (Cle)33.005.7736
Quantrill (Cle)44.504.0066
Banks (CWS)25.503.0042
Cease (CWS)35.336.0045
Cueto (CWS)12.007.0003
Giolito (CWS)26.506.0024
Keuchel (CWS)22.002.0024
Kopech (CWS)15.004.0021
Lopez (CWS)24.003.5033
Lynn (CWS)13.005.0012
Abreu (Hou)111.007.0021
Garcia (Hou)45.753.5084
Javier (Hou)110.001.0030
McCullers (Hou)13.004.0012
Odorizzi (Hou)32.778.0018
Uriquidy (Hou)14.006.0012
Valdez (Hou)15.003.0021
Verlander (Hou)45.255.7566
Detmers (LAA)38.335.7772
Loup (LAA)10.002.0012
Ohtani (LAA)45.508.7548
Sandoval (LAA)33.334.0045
Syndergaard (LAA)32.003.7745
Bundy (Min)31.332.7745
Gray (Min)45.507.0057
Ober (Min)111.005.0030
Paddack (Min)21.505.0033
Ryan (Min)49.003.0093
Cole (NYY)46.754.5084
German (NYY)33.333.7745
King (NYY)24.503.0042
Montas (NYY)12.000.0021
Montgomery (NYY)33.338.0045
Severino (NYY)35.002.3363
Castillo (Sea)12.009.0003
Flexen (Sea)35.005.0054
Gilbert (Sea)33.005.3336
Gonzalez (Sea)32.336.3327
Kirby (Sea)110.008.0021
Ray (Sea)46.755.2566
Baz (TBR)11.000.0021
Kluber (TBR)43.006.5039
McClanahan (TBR)35.334.7745
Rasmussen (TBR)32.772.7745
Romero (TBR)33.775.7736
Berrios (Tor)45.254.5075
Gausman (Tor)34.333.0054
Kukuchi (Tor)17.0011.0012
Manoah (Tor)38.005.3372
Ryu (Tor)25.502.0051
ajl;kd

Saturday, August 27, 2022

Astros Blast Yankees Out of 1st with 25 hits, dominant starters

 The new additions to the Astros line-up gave some punch with Vazquez singling his first two at bats in the no. 9 Spots, as they tagged the Yankees for 25 hits in two games. The Astros went 8-3 in their last 2 series.

The results are from the free Statis-Pro baseball game using the 2022 Batters cards, 2022 Pitcher cards from Arizona to Miami, and 2022 Pitcher cards from Milwaukee to Washington. When you see the term "sweep" in these accounts, it refers to our league rule that a team that wins a game in which they led by at least 5 runs without using their reliever with the best PB (2-9 is best, then 2-8, 2-7, 4-7, 2-6, 2-5 and the worst is 2-4). In our records, a SWEEP gives the team credit for 3 wins and 0 losses, while any other win is 2 games to 1. 


However, the bigger addition was pb 2-8 Lance McCullers finally off the 60 day DL to allow his card for the 1st time. He and Javier both had 11 strikeouts and only one run allowed between them in 12 innings. 

Javier's start resulted in a 10-1 sweep. McCullers had hard luck ad his relievers let the lead slip due to a Jose Altuve error (below average cd2) starting a 3-run rally in the 8th for a Yankees 4-4 win.


However, the Astros are the hottest team in the league, and after starting in 10th place have rallied to be in the playoffs for the first time if the season ended today.

The Astros would now be 5th and play the 4th place Twins, with the winner advancing to play the same Yankees, who fell to 2nd with the loss.



Thursday, August 25, 2022

Giolito Tough Luck Loss, then ChiSox rally in nightcap with 3 late HRs

White Sox ace Lucas Giolito finally debuted in our game, but had a tough luck loss as Toronto moved into 1st place with a 7-4 sweep win (led by 5 runs after 8 innings). 

Giolito should have had a 1-0 lead after 3 innings, but 2nd baseman Harrison (below average CD2) misplayed a grounder into a hit, and Guerrero then hit a 3-run homer.

More bad luck in the next inning, as Jansen hit a deep drive, and the 62 on the next card would have been a deep fly out in most parks, but was a HR in Toronto (an 11-68 home run park range). The Blue Jays received credit for a 3 games to 0 sweep for leading by 5 runs after 8 innings without using their closer.

The White Sox did rally in the second game to get credit for a 2 games to 1 win and thus lost the series just 2-4.

Trailing 3-0 in the top of the 7th, the Sox hit 3 homers in 8 batters (Grandal, Sheets and Anderson) for the win.

note - To make it easier to print Statis-Pro player cards based on 2022 projected stats, we broke the pitchers cards in half and changed everything to a PDF. To print player cards with each sheet containing only one team, click for the 2022 Batters, 2022 Pitchers from Arizona to Miami, and 2022 Pitchers from Milwaukee to Washington.




Thursday, August 18, 2022

Twins Blast Mariners in my return from a wedding and election win

Well, after being completely sidetracked by winning the Governor's primary in Wisconsin, and then a daughter getting married, I finally got back to the important things - Statis-Pro baseball!

Luis Castillo's Statis-Pro debut for Seattle  was a tough luck loss (5.2 IP, 2 ER), as the Mariners continue to joining Tampa Bay at the bottom of the 10-team league 10 games out of first.

The top of the Twins lineup, Buxton and Correa, started 6 of 7 to lead a 9-2 sweep in the opener. In the second game Joe Ryan gave a second straight quality start for the Twins to win 3-1. Sonny Gray won the opener, and the Twins Achilles heel of a very week bullpen did not cost them either game.

The twins are now just 2 games out of 1st. Here are the standings and score sheet for the 2 game series.




Wednesday, August 17, 2022

PDF Versions of Statis-Pro Player Cards for 2022 Rosters

To make it easier to print Statis-Pro player cards based on 2022 projected stats, we broke the pitchers cards in half and changed everything to a PDF. To print player cards with each sheet containing only one team, click for the 2022 Batters, 2022 Pitchers from Arizona to Miami, and 2022 Pitchers from Milwaukee to Washington.


Thursday, August 11, 2022

Reprint of Statis-Pro Baseball Instructions with Current Links to all Player Cards

 The old instructions are below, but first the new suggested playing instructions:

All 2022 Projected Batters (2 pages per team, 60 total pages) and All 2022 Projected Pitchers (either 2 or 3 pages per team, 81 total pages) are needed to play the Statis-Pro baseball Game. For both pitchers and batters there are 9 cards per page. The first card on the first team page has the full name of the team, and some blank cards may appear the end in case you need to create a card for a new player. As an example, here is the first page of New York Yankees Batters:



For batters you can check to see if they were calculated on this chart of inactive players or just look up their projected OPS and pick the closest one to make a simple card based on this chart.

For pitchers you can check to see if they were calculated on this chart of inactive players or just look up their projected ERA or FIPs and pick the closest one to make a simple card based on this chart.




 The flow of the game with new simple Fast Action Cards on this pdf:

1. Read top line of first card for 2-12 number to see if action is on the pitcher or batter card.

2. On the 2nd card, read the second number (Random Number 11-88) to see what happens on that card. (If noone is one base, change any BK, WP or CD on line 2 to an OUT).

3. If the result is an OUT, check the third number on the next card to see where the ball is hit.

4. The Error Reading on the 4th card is only used if; there is a hit on the BATTER card on line 2 OR, there is a possible error (e?) on line 3 with an out. If the fielder's E number is in the range on this 4th line then everyone is safe in an out or gets an extra base on a hit. Flip for another 11-88 and if the number is 61-88 give batter and runners one additional base for a throwing error.

BD or CD exception instead of 2-12 on top line. Ignore these if noone on base. If at least one runner is on base, BD means to use the clutch batting at the bottom of the batter card  use tto determine if it is a base clearing double (BD-2B), home run, or just a foul ball. If you get a CD with a position, then look up the fielders CD (clutch defense) 1-5 and use the chart at the bottom of this blog for result.




Old instructions

Our second most read blogs are the quick rules on how to play Statis-Pro baseball, along with free player cards. This week I watched a 9 year old pick up our 30 sets of cards and figure out the game and play a bunch of games.

To do the same, all you need is two 6-sided dice, two 8-sided dice of different colors, and then to print out Statis-pro cards for the teams you want from the following links.

Click on the pitcher cards on this google drive, and printing the pages with the teams you want to play, then clicking on these batters cards and printing the batters on the same teams. Then you can cut the player cards from each page. I had actually printed the player cards for all 30 teams in and the 9 year old started picking teams and playing using the following process:

1. Take a stack of a team's cards and pick the pitcher you want to use. A PB 2-9 is the best, a PB 2-4 is the worst, and you need to start with a pitcher with a number other than "0" after the letters S/R and before the dash (so 13/4 can start with a 13, but 0/4 can only come in the game in relief).

2. Then pick 9 batters for the team, but look at the positions they can play under their name, and pick one of each of the following: C, 1B, 2B, 3B, SS, LF, CF, RF and one extra player from any position to be the Designated Hitter (DH), then put them in order and write their names in that order to keep score. (if the player prefers to let pitcher's hit, my cards have the pitcher hitting at the bottom of their cards, or you can use the average hitters card, 1Bf = 11, 1B7 = 12, 1B8 = 13, 1B9 = 14, K = 15-48, W = 51, HPB = 52, Out = 53-88.)

3. Starting with the first batter on the visiting team, roll the two six-sided dice to get a total from 2 to 12. We will use the Nationals Max Scherzer against Mookie Betts, with the Red Sox at the time. Look at the pitcher's number by his PB, a 2-8 for Scherzer, and if the roll is between those numbers (2-8) then we will use Scherzer's card for this at bat, but if the roll is higher than that (9-12) we will use Betts card.

4. Next take two 8-sided dice and pick which one will be the 10s (10, 20, 30 all the way to 80) and which will be the ones to get a total from 11-88 and then look at the card being used. For example, if the roll was 36 and you were using Scherzer's card based on the PB then that would be a strikeout in his 22-52 range, but if you were using Betts card then that would be a home run in his 35-43 range.


If any of the following things happen the pitcher gets a little more tired, so we start with his SR (or with for a reliever his RR) of 13 for Scherzer, and any time one of the following things happen his SR goes down by 1 until he goes all the way down from 13 to 0 and has to come out of the game.

1B - is a single and the batter goes to 1st base, and any other runners move up a base, but if their are two outs then any other runners move up two bases. (reduce pitcher SR or RR by 1, and by an extra 1 for each runner that scores).

2B - is a double and the batter goes to 2nd base, and any runners move up two bases, but if their are 2 outs then any runner on base scores. (reduce pitcher SR or RR by 1, and by an extra 1 for each runner that scores).

3B - is a triple, and any runners score. (reduce pitcher SR or RR by 1, and by an extra 1 for each runner that scores).

HR - is a home run and the batter and any runners score. (reduce pitcher SR or RR by 1, and by an extra 1 for each runner that scores, so on a home run the SR or RR is reduced by at least 2 because the runner gets on base AND he scores, but if any other runners score subtract an extra one).

W - walk, the batter gets 4 balls to walk and goes to first base (reduce pitcher SR or RR by 1, and by an extra 1 if a run scores because the bases are loaded).

HPB - the batter is Hit By a Pitched Ball and goes to first base (reduce pitcher SR or RR by 1, and by an extra 1 if a run scores because the bases are loaded).

These plays do NOT reduce the pitcher's SR or RR unless a runner is on third base, in which case the run scores and the pitcher's SR or RR is reduced by one.

BK - Balk, any runners on base move up a base and the batter is still at bat.

WP - Wild Pitch, any runners on base move up a base and the batter is still at bat.

CD-C or on other cards another "PB" - Passed Ball, any runners on base move up a base and the batter is still at bat. (the 9 year old actually did start to use the clutch defense chart for the catcher when the CD-C on my cards came up, but to keep it simply you can just score these all as passed balls, which is what still appears in this spot on all cards except the ones I make).

These plays do NOT reduce the pitcher's SR or RR, unless they are the third out of the inning. If they are the third out of the inning the pitcher's SR or RR is reduced by one for the end of the inning.

K - Strikeout.

Out - Out. When playing this basic game, just treat runners as though all outs are infield fliers - the same runners stay on the base they are on, and the batter is out. (for a more advanced game you use a 20-sided die on these charts to determine what kind of out, from a double play, to runners advancing while the batter is out, etc., but to just get a youngster playing they seemed comfortable just recording an "O" for out and moving to the next batter).

When the pitcher's SR or RR reaches 0, pick a new pitcher to take his place and use the RR, which is reduced the same way until he is also out of the game.

Here is how the 9 year old wrote out his line-ups and recorded the result for each batter with an "O" for out, "K" for stikeout, or a 1, 2, 3 or HR for single, double, triple or homer, or W for walk and then tracing a diamond to track that player around the bases. The small "O" by Tatis after his walk in the 7th wqs his note that Tatis was out trying to steal second.






We found the youngsters also wanted to see who can steal bases. When someone gets on base you can choose to try to steal either 2nd base or 3rd base by rolling one 6-sided die instead of both dice.

For the runner you want to steal, look at the letter by the SP (or if the card reads OBR/SP then look at the second letter, so Betts is an "A" but a card with an OBR/SP: A/B is a "B" because we use the second number.

Usually you only steal with an "A", but sometimes with a "B." When you roll the one dice:

1 = SP: AA, A, B or C steals the next base (2nd or 3rd), but D or E stays on the base.
2 = SP: AA, A or B steals the next base (2nd or 3rd), but C, D or E stays on the base.
3 = SP: AA or A steals the next base, but all others stay on the base.
4 = SP: AA steals the base, but all others stay on the base.
5 = The runner stays on the base and cannot steal.
6 = The runner is out trying to steal the next base.

Everything above lets you play any match-up you want.

You can add other things from the main game as you go, including adding a 20-sided die to determine what kind of out on these charts, but these simple steps allow you to play off entire Statis-Pro games or season. The nine year old and his brother actually played almost a dozen games in a couple of days.

Once the basic game is down if you want to play the more advanced game, I encourage you to find the Statis Pro Baseball Advanced Facebook page, where you can order charts, Fast Action Cards to replace the dice, and neat player cards as pictured. I do not have anything to do with the Advanced page, I just highly recommend it.


All 2022 Projected Batters (49 pages, 9 cards to a page) and All 2022 Projected Pitchers (62 pages, 9 cards to a page) is the only other thing needed to play the game, though more detailed instructions appear in this Statis-Pro baseball Game Rules.