Sunday, November 27, 2016

For a basic, succinct explanation of how Value Add Basketball pinpoints how many points each player is worth to his college team, click on articles in places such as the University of Arizona basketball siteBig Apple BucketsBleacher ReportBreitbart (700+ articles), ESPN (another ESPN draft guide), ESPN the MagazineFox NewsFox SportsNorthwestern State University, the Times-PicayuneSports Illustrated the Washington Post, blogs like Xavier Hoops Rumors and TV stations such as this one. The math is outlined in the following links.

1. Value Over Replacement Player

The system is similar to baseball WAR (Wins Above Replacement), meaning if a team is a 2-point favorite in a game before learning a player with a Value Add Rating of 4.0 cannot play and must be replaced by a borderline replacement player, then you subtract his rating and the team would be a 2-point underdog.

The first difference between Value Add and WAR are than WAR represents WINS above replacement over the course of a SEASON while Value Add measures POINTS above replacement in a typical GAME.  The second difference is that in baseball a player is replaced by one player (a shortstop is replaced by a shortstop who also takes a spot in the line-up), the impact of losing one player has a domino effect of perhaps a new "ninth player" getting a few minutes, but also of other players having to play more and thus becoming less efficient and drawing more defensive attention as calculated in great detail in this Big Apple Buckets piece.

2. The four main ratings

Value Add v5.0 Pts/Game - The most important figure is the Actual Value Add figure generated from the 5th version (v5.0) of the system. This gives the actual point impact a player has on a game, so a team that won 73-71 with a player with a Value Add of 4.00 would best estimated to lose 71-73 if a replacement player played instead of him. This final figure is a factor of the three figures that follow, but also accounts for a player getting less possessions because he is on a very good team and factors like this. In earlier years, this figure had to be adjusted based on the position a player played (the former PGPer) because point guards and perimeter defenders rated so much lower because they faced more risk of turnovers and could be muscled up and prevented from getting near the basket. Luckily the "freedom of movement rules" have allowed guards to move freely and there is now virtually no statistical difference between the average ratings of guards, forwards and centers eliminating a cumbersome adjustment.

AdjO - this is the figure of the player's impact on the identical rating that www.kenpom.com calculates for teams. So if www.kenpom.com gives a team a rating of 110.0 points per 100 trips down the court and a player's AdjO is 4.0, then the www.kenpom.com rating without him would be estimated at 107.0 (110.0 minus 4.00).

AdjD - the same is true of the defensive figure, where the bigger negative indicates great defense. So if www.kenpom.com calculates a player's defense at 94.0 AdjD per 100 trips down the court, a player's AdjD of 4.0 would be very bad, meaning the team would actually be a much better 90.0 AdjD with him replaced. However, a -4.00 AdjD for a player would be very good, meaning without the player the defense would start allowing 98.0 per 100 trips rather than just 94.0 if the player could not play.

AdjEM - The total of the two previous numbers equals the overall impact on www.kenpom.com team rating with the same name, which he gets by SUBTRACTING AdjD from AdjO as we do for the player. This is actually the Value Add 3.0 Rating, however it is in terms of 100 trips down the court rather than the lower number that results from the 70 or so trips during a game. While the AdjEM allowed a ball hog on a bad team to ring up an incredibly high rating by taking many of the shots, Version 5.0 calculates how many points the player would actually add in GAME for a strong team, so the Value Add number is much lower than the AdjEM.

3. Detailed Science Behind Value Add

The science behind Value Add Basketball is laid out in Cracked Sidewalks pieces beginning in May 2011 and now. A massive effort to upgrade the system and pinpoint the impact each player had on his team's Offensive and Defensive Efficiency Ratings culminated at the end of 2015 with Value Add Version 3.0, 1000 lines of code, a series of improvements detailed here, and a simple explanation with illustrative tables to make the impact of each player easy to understand.

Others such as the Basketball Prospectus took the formula and suggested additional calculations based of the system, and Version 4.0 was introduced at the outset of the 2016-17, but honestly was the one version that did not work. We went back to the drawing board, and reach incredible breakthroughs in Version 5.0, which results in a current ratings that pinpoints everything we can measure on a court. Those improvements are detailed here.

John is now the Executive Director of Take Back Our Republic, a group working to find conservative solutions to the problem of money in politics. Anyone who wants to join that group simply needs to go to that page and type in their email and zipcode.

The science behind Value Add Basketball is laid out in Cracked Sidewalks pieces between May 2011 and now. A massive effort to upgrade the system and pinpoint the impact each player had on his team's Offensive and Defensive Efficiency Ratings culminated at the end of 2015 with Value Add Version 3.0, 1000 lines of code, a series of improvements detailed here, and a simple explanation with illustrative tables to make the impact of each player easy to understand.

Others such as the Basketball Prospectus took the formula and suggested additional calculations based of the system, and Version 4.0 was introduced at the outset of the 2016-17 season to measure the potential value of players based on how valuable they could be if they played 67% of the minutes and had 24% of the possessions during that time on the court.

Articles on the Value Add Basketball system appear in places such as the University of Arizona basketball siteBig Apple BucketsBleacher ReportBreitbart (700+ articles), ESPN (another ESPN draft guide), ESPN the MagazineFox NewsFox SportsNorthwestern State University, the Times-PicayuneSports Illustrated the Washington Post, blogs like Xavier Hoops Rumors and TV stations such as this one.

The system is similar to baseball WAR. However, while WAR measures one "replacement player" taking the place of a start player, in Value Add pin points the number of POINTS each college player is worth due to the "domino effect" of the impact on the entire game rotation when the player is lost.

John is now the Executive Director of Take Back Our Republic, a group working to find conservative solutions to the problem of money in politics. Anyone who wants to join that group simply needs to go to that page and type in their email and zipcode.

From there we have played around with some offshoots, but none of these pretend to pinpoint value like Value Add Basketball does.

1. Baseball - The value of 250+ starting pitchers from 2014 and 2015 with every start detailed, and with an explanation of how the metrix can work when other systems fail.

2. Football - The value of 6000+ returning players - really just for fun as a one year attempt to value everyone from tackles to quarterbacks.

3. State-by-State - The top athletes in each state (track, hockey, etc., cast your vote by sending an email to valueaddsports@gmail.com with up to 10 players listed in your state).

Tuesday, July 12, 2016

Kentucky NBA Alumni Might Sweep Next Best 35 College Alumni Teams

Click here for the full story breaking down the 36 colleges that produce 47.3% of all NBA talent, and their projected records if they played as one NBA team.

That story is one of my stories for Breitbart, and the large table with breakdown of how many wins each player from these 36 colleges would add to his team appears here in an earlier Best Returning Players Post. The projections are based on Value Add Basketball and Hollinger's Estimated Wins Added (EWA).

Saturday, July 9, 2016

Calculating records of 36 colleges with a complete NBA alumni roster

After laying out the calculation of additional wins of all NBA Players in the previous post, If we go the next step and rank all NBA players by the same method and then group them by their colleges, we have 27 colleges that could put a starting five on the court. When we add D-League players we get to a perfectly round 36 colleges.

Better yet, these 36 fall pretty nicely into the six current NBA Divisions, going with six colleges each Division. Using ESPN's Extra Wins formula for current NBA players and Value Add Basketball's ranking minus two for each player coming out of college this year, we give each college credit for the number of extra wins each of their top five NBA players delivered in 2016. If they have more than five NBA players we give half credit for the next best five players from the college, but any beyond 10 from one college are not counted.

Here are the final records we would expect from all 36 NBA players teams of current college players, and each players estimated win value in that division. At the bottom of the table the resultant playoff match-ups are listed:

PlayerEast - Atlantic DivisionWinsLossesGBCurrent Team
Team RecordConnecticut59230
Team RecordSyracuse4636-13
Team RecordGeorgetown4141-18
Team RecordVillanova3844-21
Team RecordVirginia2854-31
Team RecordMaryland2458-35
Lowry, KyleVillanova15.9Toronto Raptors
Drummond, AndreConnecticut14.2Detroit Pistons
Walker, KembaConnecticut14.2Charlotte Hornets
Monroe, GregGeorgetown13.0Milwaukee Bucks
Anthony, CarmeloSyracuse12.4New York Knicks
Gbinije, MichaelSyracuse6.9Detroit Pistons
Brogdon, MalcolmVirginia6.9Milwaukee Bucks
Gay, RudyConnecticut5.9Sacramento Kings
Porter, OttoGeorgetown4.5Washington Wizards
Lamb, JeremyConnecticut3.3Charlotte Hornets
Green, JeffGeorgetown2.8Orlando Magic
Carter-Williams, MichaelSyracuse2.4Milwaukee Bucks
Len, AlexMaryland1.7Phoenix Suns
Scott, MikeVirginia1.5Atlanta Hawks
Anderson, JustinVirginia1Dallas Mavericks
Blake, SteveMaryland1Detroit Pistons
Christmas, RakeemSyracuse1Indiana Pacers
Cunningham, DanteVillanova1New Orleans Pelicans
Foye, RandyVillanova1Oklahoma City Thunder
Hibbert, RoyGeorgetown1Charlotte Hornets
Hilliard, DarrunVillanova1Detroit Pistons
Layman, JakeMaryland1Portland Trail Blazers
Sims, HenryGeorgetown1Brooklyn Nets roster
Stone, DiamondMaryland1Los Angeles Clippers
Vásquez, GreivisMaryland1Milwaukee Bucks
Ennis, TylerSyracuse0.5Milwaukee Bucks
Hamilton, DanielConnecticut0.5Oklahoma City Thunder
Johnson, WesleySyracuse0.5Los Angeles Clippers
McCullough, ChrisSyracuse0.5Brooklyn Nets roster
Napier, ShabazzConnecticut0.5Portland Trail Blazers
Richardson, MalachiSyracuse0.5Sacramento Kings
Villanueva, CharlieConnecticut0.5Dallas Mavericks
Waiters, DionSyracuse0.5Oklahoma City Thunder
Atkins, DarionVirginia0D-League
Bowen, AaronGeorgetown0D-League
Daniels, DeAndreConnecticut0D-League
Fair, C. J.Syracuse0.0D-League
Farrakhan, MustaphaVirginia0D-League
Pinkston, JayVaughnVillanova0D-League
Smith, JoshuaGeorgetown0D-League
Trawick, JabrilGeorgetown0D-League
Whittington, GregGeorgetown0D-League
PlayerEast - Central DivisionWinsLossesGB
Team RecordMarquette52300
Team RecordMichigan State4933-3
Team RecordOhio State4141-11
Team RecordIndiana3448-18
Team RecordMichigan2854-24
Team RecordWisconsin2656-26
Butler, JimmyMarquette13.3Chicago Bulls
Green, DraymondMichigan State10.9Golden State Warriors
Conley, MikeOhio State7.4Memphis Grizzlies
Valentine, DenzelMichigan State7.2Chicago Bulls
Randolph, ZachMichigan State6.9Memphis Grizzlies
Crowder, JaeMarquette6.1Boston Celtics
Sullinger, JaredOhio State5.9Boston Celtics
Zeller, CodyIndiana4.9Charlotte Hornets
Crawford, JamalMichigan3.7Los Angeles Clippers
Turner, EvanOhio State3.6Portland Trail Blazers
Koufos, KostaOhio State3.4Sacramento Kings
Leuer, JonWisconsin3Detroit Pistons
Harris, GaryMichigan State2.8Denver Nuggets
Russell, D'AngeloOhio State2.5Los Angeles Lakers
Gordon, EricIndiana2.2Houston Rockets
Burke, TreyMichigan2.1Washington Wizards
Kaminsky, FrankWisconsin1.6Charlotte Hornets
Harris, DevinWisconsin1.4Dallas Mavericks
Anderson, AlanMichigan State1Washington Wizards
Dekker, SamWisconsin1Houston Rockets
Ellenson, HenryMarquette1Detroit Pistons
HardawayMichigan1Atlanta Hawks
LeVert, CarisMichigan1Brooklyn Nets roster
Matthews, WesleyMarquette1Dallas Mavericks
McGary, MitchMichigan1Oklahoma City Thunder
Vonleh, NoahIndiana1Portland Trail Blazers
Davis, DeyontaMichigan State0.5Memphis Grizzlies
Dawson, BrandenMichigan State0.5Los Angeles Clippers
Novak, SteveMarquette0.5Milwaukee Bucks
RobinsonMichigan0.5Indiana Pacers
Appling, KeithMichigan State0D-League
Blue, VanderMarquette0D-League
Carlino, MattMarquette0D-League
Craft, AaronOhio State0D-League
Hayward, LazarMarquette0D-League
Jackson, TraevonWisconsin0D-League
Jones, VerdellIndiana0D-League
Morgan, JordanMichigan0D-League
Morris, DariusMichigan0D-League
Scott, ShannonOhio State0D-League
Thomas, DeshaunOhio State0D-League
Thompson, SamOhio State0D-League
Trice, TravisMichigan State0D-League
Williams, AmirOhio State0D-League
PlayerEast - Southeast DivisionWinsLossesGB
Team RecordDuke60220
Team RecordWake Forest5428-6
Team RecordFlorida4933-11
Team RecordNorth Carolina4834-12
Team RecordGeorgia Tech4735-13
Team RecordLSU2953-31
Paul, ChrisWake Forest18.4Los Angeles Clippers
Horford, AlFlorida11.6Boston Celtics
Favors, DerrickGeorgia Tech10.1Utah Jazz
Johnson, BriceNorth Carolina7.9Los Angeles Clippers
Bosh, ChrisGeorgia Tech7.8Miami Heat
Teague, JeffWake Forest7.8Indiana Pacers
Irving, KyrieDuke7.4Cleveland Cavaliers
Redick, JJDuke7.4Los Angeles Clippers
Plumlee, MasonDuke6.9Portland Trail Blazers
Davis, EdNorth Carolina6.8Portland Trail Blazers
Williams, MarvinNorth Carolina6.3Charlotte Hornets
Deng, LuolDuke5.4Los Angeles Lakers
Parsons, ChandlerFlorida5.2Memphis Grizzlies
Duncan, TimWake Forest4.9San Antonio Spurs
Bass, BrandonLSU3.9Los Angeles Lakers
Lee, DavidFlorida3.7Dallas Mavericks
Henson, JohnNorth Carolina3.4Milwaukee Bucks
Speights, MarreeseFlorida2.7Los Angeles Clippers
Aminu, Al-FarouqWake Forest2.6Portland Trail Blazers
Thornton, MarcusLSU2.4Washington Wizards
Hood, RodneyDuke2.3Utah Jazz
Ingram, BrandonDuke2.3Los Angeles Lakers
Parker, JabariDuke2.0Milwaukee Bucks
Barnes, HarrisonNorth Carolina1.8Dallas Mavericks
Jack, JarrettGeorgia Tech1.8Free Agent
Plumlee, MilesDuke1.5Milwaukee Bucks
Johnson, JamesWake Forest1Toronto Raptors
Martin, JarellLSU1Memphis Grizzlies
Mickey, JordanLSU1Boston Celtics
Morrow, AnthonyGeorgia Tech1Oklahoma City Thunder
O'Bryant, JohnnyLSU1Free Agent
Zeller, TylerNorth Carolina0.9Boston Celtics
Carter, VinceNorth Carolina0.6Memphis Grizzlies
Noah, JoakimFlorida0.6New York Knicks
Bonner, MattFlorida0.5San Antonio Spurs
Brewer, CoreyFlorida0.5Houston Rockets
Bullock, ReggieNorth Carolina0.5Detroit Pistons
Ellington, WayneNorth Carolina0.5Brooklyn Nets roster
Felton, RaymondNorth Carolina0.5Dallas Mavericks
Finney-Smith, DorianFlorida0.5Dallas Mavericks
Haslem, UdonisFlorida0.5Miami Heat
Shumpert, ImanGeorgia Tech0.5Cleveland Cavaliers
Smith, IshWake Forest0.5Detroit Pistons
Temple, GarrettLSU0.5Sacramento Kings
Cook, QuinnDuke0D-League
Curry, SethDuke0Dallas Mavericks
Dawkins, AndreDuke0D-League
DunleavyDuke0Cleveland Cavaliers
Frazier, MichaelFlorida0D-League
Green, DannyNorth Carolina0San Antonio Spurs
Hairston, PJNorth Carolina0Memphis Grizzlies
Hansbrough, TylerNorth Carolina0Charlotte Hornets
Holsey, KammeonGeorgia Tech0D-League
Horford, JonFlorida0D-League
Jones, DahntayDuke0Cleveland Cavaliers
Jones, TyusDuke0Minnesota Timberwolves
Kelly, RyanDuke0Los Angeles Lakers
Lawson, TyNorth Carolina0Indiana Pacers
McRoberts, JoshDuke0Miami Heat
Miller, MikeFlorida0Denver Nuggets
Paige, MarcusNorth Carolina0Utah Jazz
Plumlee, MarshallDuke0New York Knicks
Rivers, AustinDuke0Los Angeles Clippers
Singler, KyleDuke0Oklahoma City Thunder
Stringer, AndreLSU0D-League
Thomas, LanceDuke0New York Knicks
Tokoto, J. P.North Carolina0D-League
Walker, ChrisFlorida0D-League
Walker, TyWake Forest0D-League
Williams, CoronWake Forest0D-League
Williams, L. D.Wake Forest0D-League
Winslow, JustiseDuke0Miami Heat
Wright, BrandanNorth Carolina0Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWest - Pacific DivisionWinsLossesGB
Team RecordUCLA7480
Team RecordSouthern California5131-23
Team RecordStanford4537-29
Team RecordWashington4240-32
Team RecordCalifornia3052-44
Team RecordGonzaga2854-46
Westbrook, RussellUCLA22.8Oklahoma City Thunder
DeRozan, DeMarSouthern California15.5Toronto Raptors
Thomas, IsaiahWashington13.9Boston Celtics
Lopez, BrookStanford13.7Brooklyn Nets roster
Vučević, NikolaSouthern California10.7Orlando Magic
Love, KevinUCLA9.1Cleveland Cavaliers
Holiday, JrueUCLA8.0New Orleans Pelicans
Lopez, RobinStanford7.8Chicago Bulls
Anderson, RyanCalifornia5.8Houston Rockets
Collison, DarrenUCLA5.4Sacramento Kings
Brown, JaylenCalifornia4.0Boston Celtics
Chriss, MarqueseWashington4.0Phoenix Suns
Gibson, TajSouthern California4.0Chicago Bulls
Olynyk, KellyGonzaga4.0Boston Celtics
Sabonis, DomantasGonzaga4.0Oklahoma City Thunder
Powell, DwightStanford2.7Dallas Mavericks
Ross, TerrenceWashington2.1Toronto Raptors
LaVine, ZachUCLA1.9Minnesota Timberwolves
Ariza, TrevorUCLA1.8Houston Rockets
Brown, AnthonyStanford1Los Angeles Lakers
Gutiérrez, JorgeCalifornia1Charlotte Hornets
Hawes, SpencerWashington1Charlotte Hornets
Holiday, JustinWashington1New York Knicks
Huestis, JoshStanford1Oklahoma City Thunder
Mayo, O.J.Southern California1Free Agent
Sacre, RobertGonzaga1Los Angeles Lakers
Wallace, TyroneCalifornia1Utah Jazz
Young, NickSouthern California1Los Angeles Lakers
Crabbe, AllenUCLA0.9Free Agent
Anderson, KyleUCLA0.8San Antonio Spurs
Barnes, MattUCLA0.7Sacramento Kings
Murray, DejounteWashington0.5San Antonio Spurs
Pondexter, QuincyWashington0.5New Orleans Pelicans
Wilcox, C.Washington0.5Los Angeles Clippers
Afflalo, ArronUCLA0Sacramento Kings
Childress, JoshStanford0D-League
Christopher, PatrickCalifornia0D-League
Davis, BaronUCLA0D-League
Drew, LarryUCLA0D-League
Farmar, JordanUCLA0Memphis Grizzlies
Kemp, ShawnWashington0D-League
Looney, KevonUCLA0Golden State Warriors
MbahUCLA0Los Angeles Clippers
Powell, NormanUCLA0Toronto Raptors
Stepheson, AlexSouthern California0D-League
Stockton, DavidGonzaga0D-League
Suggs, ScottWashington0D-League
Wesley, ByronGonzaga0D-League
Woolridge, RenaldoSouthern California0D-League
PlayerWest - Southwest DivisionWinsLossesGB
Team RecordKentucky8020
Team RecordLouisville3646-44
Team RecordMemphis3151-49
Team RecordTennessee2953-51
Team RecordVanderbilt2755-53
Team RecordArkansas2458-56
Towns, Karl-AnthonyKentucky15.7Minnesota Timberwolves
Cousins, DeMarcusKentucky14.6Sacramento Kings
Davis, AnthonyKentucky14.6New Orleans Pelicans
Wall, JohnKentucky12.2Washington Wizards
Rondo, RajonKentucky7.5Chicago Bulls
Dieng, GorguiLouisville7.3Minnesota Timberwolves
Harris, TobiasTennessee7.2Detroit Pistons
Barton, WillMemphis6.5Denver Nuggets
Lee, DamionLouisville4.8Miami Heat
Onuaku, ChinanuLouisville3.7Houston Rockets
Ulis, TylerKentucky3.7Phoenix Suns
Murray, JamalKentucky2.8Denver Nuggets
Evans, TyrekeMemphis2.8New Orleans Pelicans
Ezeli, FestusVanderbilt2.7Portland Trail Blazers
Rose, DerrickMemphis2.6New York Knicks
Bledsoe, EricKentucky2.4Phoenix Suns
Beverley, PatrickArkansas2.1Houston Rockets
Johnson, JoeArkansas2Utah Jazz
Knight, BrandonKentucky1.8Phoenix Suns
Portis, BobbyArkansas1.3Chicago Bulls
Harrell, MontrezlLouisville1Houston Rockets
Jenkins, JohnVanderbilt1Phoenix Suns
Jones, DamianVanderbilt1Golden State Warriors
McRae, JordanTennessee1Cleveland Cavaliers
Richardson, JoshTennessee1Miami Heat
Rozier, TerryLouisville1Boston Celtics
Watson, C.Tennessee1Orlando Magic
Bogans, KeithKentucky0D-League
Booker, DevinKentucky0Phoenix Suns
Brewer, RonnieArkansas0D-League
Cauley-Stein, WillieKentucky0Sacramento Kings
Crawford, ChrisMemphis0D-League
Douglas-Roberts, ChrisMemphis0D-League
Goodwin, ArchieKentucky0Phoenix Suns
Harris, RamonKentucky0D-League
Harrison, AaronKentucky0Charlotte Hornets
Harrison, AndrewKentucky0D-League
Hayes, ChuckKentucky0Free Agent
Johnson, DakariKentucky0D-League
Jones, TerrenceKentucky0Houston Rockets
Kidd-Gilchrist, MichaelKentucky0Charlotte Hornets
Labissière, SkalKentucky0Sacramento Kings
Liggins, DeAndreKentucky0D-League
Lyles, TreyKentucky0Utah Jazz
Meeks, JodieKentucky0Orlando Magic
Mohammed, NazrKentucky0Oklahoma City Thunder
Pargo, JanneroArkansas0D-League
Patterson, PatrickKentucky0Toronto Raptors
Prince, TayshaunKentucky0Minnesota Timberwolves
Prince, TayshuaunKentucky0Free Agent
Randle, JuliusKentucky0Los Angeles Lakers
Siakam, JamesVanderbilt0D-League
Stephens, D. J.Memphis0D-League
Stokes, JarnellTennessee0D-League
Teague, MarquisKentucky0D-League
Young, JamesKentucky0Boston Celtics
PlayerWest - Western DivisionWinsLossesGB
Team RecordTexas68140
Team RecordKansas4240-26
Team RecordArizona3943-29
Team RecordUNLV3052-38
Team RecordOklahoma State2458-44
Durant, KevinTexas22.8Golden State Warriors
Aldridge, LaMarcusTexas12.3San Antonio Spurs
Wiggins, AndrewKansas8.6Minnesota Timberwolves
Thompson, TristanTexas6.0Cleveland Cavaliers
McCaw, PatrickUNLV5.9Golden State Warriors
Gordon, AaronArizona5.2Orlando Magic
Hill, JordanArizona4.4Indiana Pacers
Aldrich, ColeKansas4.3Minnesota Timberwolves
Williams, DerrickArizona4.1Miami Heat
Chalmers, MarioKansas3.3waived
Turner, MylesTexas2.7Indiana Pacers
Withey, JeffKansas2.3Utah Jazz
Allen, TonyOklahoma State2Memphis Grizzlies
Morris, MarcusKansas1.8Detroit Pistons
Iguodala, AndreArizona1.5Golden State Warriors
Amundson, LouUNLV1New York Knicks
Anderson, JamesOklahoma State1Sacramento Kings
Anthony, JoelUNLV1Detroit Pistons
Bennett, AnthonyUNLV1waived
Brown, MarkelOklahoma State1Brooklyn Nets roster
Smart, MarcusOklahoma State1Boston Celtics
Augustin, D.J.Texas0.9Orlando Magic
Joseph, CoryTexas0.8Toronto Raptors
Hollis-Jefferson, RondaeArizona0.6Brooklyn Nets roster
Arthur, DarrellKansas0.5Denver Nuggets
Black, TarikKansas0.5Los Angeles Lakers
Budinger, ChaseArizona0.5Phoenix Suns
Collison, NickKansas0.5Oklahoma City Thunder
Diallo, CheickKansas0.5New Orleans Pelicans
Frye, ChanningArizona0.5Cleveland Cavaliers
Hamilton, JordanTexas0.5Free Agent
Hill, SolomonArizona0.5New Orleans Pelicans
Tucker, P.Texas0.5Phoenix Suns
Zimmerman, StephenUNLV0.5Orlando Magic
Cobbins, MichaelOklahoma State0D-League
Henry, XavierKansas0D-League
Hinrich, KirkKansas0Atlanta Hawks
Jefferson, RichardArizona0Cleveland Cavaliers
Johnson, NickArizona0D-League
Johnson, StanleyArizona0Detroit Pistons
Kabongo, MyckTexas0D-League
Kaun, SashaKansas0Cleveland Cavaliers
McLemore, BenKansas0Sacramento Kings
Morris, MarkieffKansas0Washington Wizards
OubreKansas0Washington Wizards
Parrom, KevinArizona0D-League
Pierce, PaulKansas0Los Angeles Clippers
Rush, BrandonKansas0Minnesota Timberwolves
Terry, JasonArizona0Houston Rockets

The Eastern Conference Playoffs would then set up as:

No. 8 Georgia Tech at No. 1 Duke
No. 7 UNC at No. 2 UConn
No. 6 Florida at No. 3 Marquette
No. 5 Michigan State at No. 4 Wake Forest

The Western Conference Playoffs would set up as:
NO. 8 Arizona at overall No. 1 Kentucky
No. 7 Kansas at No. 2 UCLA
No. 6 Washington at No. 3 Texas
No. 5 Stanford at No. 4 USC

Wednesday, July 6, 2016

NBA Value Tracker: Team-by-team list of the 148 NBA Players worth 4 additional wins or more

The additional wins a team can expect from drafting or trading for an impact player can be measured by referring to this chart. We follow only the 148 players who played at a level worth at least four additional wins to an NBA team over what a replacement player would have done, based on:

1. Value Added ratings for players in the NBA last year, as listed here on ESPN.
2. Value Add Basketball ratings minus 2 for players who played college basketball last year. The ratings at www.valueaddbasketball.com actually measure how many points a college player impacts his team's scores each 100 trips down the court, but the projection to their value at the next level is roughly projected in this way.
3. The assumption that international picks were taken in roughly the correct position in the draft relative to the Value Add ratings of the college players selected near them in the draft.

This table does not rate players who were injured, or adjust for age (a 20 year old will likely improve the next year, while a 30 year old will likely decline).

The Boston Celtics, Golden State Warriors and Chicago Bulls are the three teams who have improved by at least 15 games based on these analytics, but of course the Warriors cannot really improve that much with Kevin Durant since they were already 73-9. Click here for on John Pudner's stories on Breitbart Sports for team breakdowns and other updates.

Player20162017Extra Wins
Paul MillsapATLATL13.0
DeAndre BembrySt. Joseph'sATL5.5
Taurean PrinceBaylorATL4.0
Brook LopezBKNBKN13.7
Isaiah ThomasBOSBOS13.9
Al HorfordATLBOS11.6
Jae CrowderBOSBOS6.1
Jared SullingerBOSBOS5.9
Ben BentilProvidenceBOS5.7
Amir JohnsonBOSBOS4.1
Ante ZizicCroatiaBOS4.0
Guerschon YabuseleFranceBOS4.0
Jaylen BrownCaliforniaBOS4.0
Kelly OlynykBOSBOS4.0
Kemba WalkerCHACHA14.2
Marvin WilliamsCHACHA6.3
Nicolas BatumCHACHA6.3
Cody ZellerCHACHA4.9
Al JeffersonCHACHA4.2
Jimmy ButlerCHICHI13.3
Robin LopezNYCHI7.8
Rajon RondoSACCHI7.5
Denzel ValentineMichigan St.CHI7.2
Taj GibsonCHICHI4.0
LeBron JamesCLECLE23.1
Kevin LoveCLECLE9.1
Kyrie IrvingCLECLE7.4
Kahlil FelderOaklandCLE7.1
Tristan ThompsonCLECLE6.0
Dirk NowitzkiDALDAL8.9
Chandler ParsonsDALDAL5.2
AJ HammonsPurdueDAL4.2
Nikola JokicDENDEN9.5
Kenneth FariedDENDEN8.1
Danilo GallinariDENDEN7.8
Will BartonDENDEN6.5
Jamal MurrayKentuckyDEN5.7
Juan HernangomezSpainDEN4.0
Andre DrummondDETDET14.2
Reggie JacksonDETDET10.4
Tobias HarrisDETDET7.2
Michael GbinijeSyracuseDET6.9
Aron BaynesDETDET4.4
Stephen CurryGSGS27.6
Draymond GreenGSGS10.9
Klay ThompsonGSGS10.8
Kevin DurantOKCGSW22.8
Patrick McCawUNLVGSW5.9
James HardenHOUHOU23.1
Dwight HowardHOUHOU9.5
Ryan AndersonNOHOU5.8
Clint CapelaHOUHOU5.0
Paul GeorgeINDIND14.7
Jeff TeagueATLIND7.8
Georges NiangIowa St.IND7.0
Monta EllisINDIND4.5
Jordan HillINDIND4.4
Chris PaulLACLAC18.4
DeAndre JordanLACLAC13.0
Brice JohnsonNorth CarolinaLAC7.9
JJ RedickLACLAC7.4
Blake GriffinLACLAC6.2
Cole AldrichLACLAC4.3
Louis WilliamsLALLAL6.9
Luol DengMIALAL5.4
Brandon IngramDukeLAL4.6
Jordan ClarksonLALLAL4.2
Mike ConleyMEMMEM7.4
Zach RandolphMEMMEM6.9
Marc GasolMEMMEM6.4
Hassan WhitesideMIAMIA16.0
Chris BoshMIAMIA7.8
Goran DragicMIAMIA5.4
Greg MonroeMILMIL13.0
Giannis AntetokounmpoMILMIL11.7
Khris MiddletonMILMIL9.0
Malcolm BrogdonVirginiaMIL6.9
Thon MakerAustraliaMIL6.0
Jabari ParkerMILMIL4.0
Karl-Anthony TownsMINMIN15.7
Andrew WigginsMINMIN8.6
Ricky RubioMINMIN7.7
Gorgui DiengMINMIN7.3
Kris DunnProvidenceMIN4.8
Anthony DavisNONO14.6
Buddy HieldOklahomaNO8.6
Jrue HolidayNONO8.0
Carmelo AnthonyNYNY12.4
Kristaps PorzingisNYNY6.4
Derrick WilliamsNYNY4.1
Russell WestbrookOKCOKC22.8
Enes KanterOKCOKC11.6
Domantas SabonisGonzagaOKC4.0
Nikola VucevicORLORL10.7
Evan FournierORLORL5.4
Aaron GordonORLORL5.2
Ben SimmonsLSUPHI8.1
Jahlil OkaforPHIPHI5.2
Nerlens NoelPHIPHI4.7
Ish SmithPHIPHI4.4
Furkan KorkmazTurkeyPHI4.0
Timothe LuwawuFrancePHI4.0
Tyler UlisKentuckyPHX7.3
Dragan BenderCroatiaPHX7.0
Eric BledsoePHXPHX4.8
Marquese ChrissWashingtonPHX4.0
Mirza TeletovicPHXPHX4.0
Damian LillardPORPOR15.0
C.J. McCollumPORPOR10.1
Mason PlumleePORPOR6.9
Ed DavisPORPOR6.8
Kobe BryantLALRet4.1
Kawhi LeonardSASA18.5
LaMarcus AldridgeSASA12.3
Tony ParkerSASA5.1
Tim DuncanSASA4.9
Boban MarjanovicSASA4.3
David WestSASA4.3
Manu GinobiliSASA4.2
DeMarcus CousinsSACSAC14.6
Rudy GaySACSAC5.9
Darren CollisonSACSAC5.4
Georgios PapagiannisGreeceSAC4.0
Pau GasolCHISAS12.7
Kyle LowryTORTOR15.9
DeMar DeRozanTORTOR15.5
Jonas ValanciunasTORTOR9.3
Pascal SiakamNew Mexico St.TOR7.0
Jakob PoeltlUtahTOR6.8
Gordon HaywardUTAHUTAH11.3
Derrick FavorsUTAHUTAH10.1
Rudy GobertUTAHUTAH6.6
Joel BolomboyWeber St.UTAH5.2
Rodney HoodUTAHUTAH4.6
Ian MahinmiINDWAS5.5
John WallWSHWSH12.2
Marcin GortatWSHWSH9.5
Otto Porter Jr.WSHWSH4.5
Ramon SessionsWSHWSH4.1

Saturday, April 2, 2016

Villanova's Four Top 200 Players - Best in US - Set Record and Make Big East Case

Prior to the Big East, Villanova needed to upset Kansas and beat an Oklahoma team that destroyed them earlier in the year to let the Big East finish with a better case than the Big 12 as the No 2 conference this year. Well, a record 44-point margin of victory by Nova over Oklahoma settles that case and leaves the final tournament records prior to the National Title game as:

ACC 18-5
Big East 8-4
Big 12 8-7

All other conferences with at least two teams invited had a losing record or .500 mark, though a shout out to the West Coast conference for not getting a second bid but looking great in the NIT and having Gonzaga go 2-1 and almost beat Syracuse.

Villanova was the only team at Value Add Basketball with four top four players in the top 200 and the ability to spread the court was unstoppable as they shot over 70% Saturday - the only team besides the 1985 Villanova squad to top that mark.

Thursday, March 17, 2016

8 options for brackets

Here are the options we laid out for brackets - fully admitting that even the best sports analyst at MIT admit at conference the systems really don't work on a single game elimination. You can click on the piece and the options here.

Obviously, Value Add Basketball is an analytical tool to measure past performance and not a predictor of the future, but you can't help filling out brackets to capture the one time people are paying attention!

Sunday, March 13, 2016

Complete Bracket Picks: Streaks, Injuries, NBA Talent, Experienced Point Guards

If you just want a visual of the filled in Fox Sports bracket scroll to the bottom of the post, or you can go to the table and fill in each team on the number of lines indicated.

In the table, the number of bracket lines (wins) recommended for each team is followed by the overall Bracket Rating, then by their Sagarin Rating, if they are hot or cold (see Breitbart Story), how many points they will lose or gain based on the Value Add of injured or returning players, the number of likely NBA players on their team, how much they rely on experienced point guards and if they have the All-American or at least All-Conference players to take them to a title. Explanations of each follow at the bottom.

You can click on my analysis of the Midwest, East, South and West brackets - which appear in Breitbart Sports.

SeedSouth RegionLines in Bracket    BracSagHotInjNBAPGAll-Americans
1Kansas4101.99320.23.50.42.8 5th,5th,B12/2
16Austin Peay69.06720.1-0.70.6 OVC/1
9Connecticut191.98621.21.40.11.2 Amer/1,2
5Maryland1 (talent for 3)90.487-23.4-0.12.2 5th,B10/2,2
12South Dakota St.80.87801.8-0.11.2 Sum/1,2
4California292.18620.62.4-0.11.2 P12/1,2
13Hawaii81.0800-0.70.10.11.4 BW/1,1
6Arizona92.88901.61.9-0.10.4 p12/2
11Vanderbilt92.78810.52.2-0.11.2 SEC/1,2
11Wichita St.292.38720.61.31.4 MVC/1,1
3Miami FL1 (could be 3)91.78901.11.30.4 ACC/2
14Buffalo75.17410.5-0.40.0 No All-MAC
7Iowa187.588-2-0.10.6-0.41.4 3rd
10Temple77.5780-0.8-0.10.4 Amer/2
2Villanova394.592-10.41.4-0.11.8 BE/1,2,2
15UNC Asheville74.2731-1.01.2 BSth/1,2
SeedWest RegionWinBracSagHotInjNBAPGAll-Americans
1Oregon1 (could be 3 or 4)91.48731.1-0.71.0 P12/2,2
16Southern68.267-10.41.8 SWAC/1,2,2
16Holy Cross64.76400.10.6 Amer/1
8Saint Joseph's82.882-10.20.5-0.41.4 A10/1,1
9Cincinnati286.28500.7-0.10.6 Amer/1
5Baylor89.88621.5-0.10.4 B10/2
12Yale183.9823-1.6-0.71.2 Ivy/1,2
4Duke390.289-2-1.52.9-0.72.4 2nd,ACC/1
13UNC Wilmington77.57700.10.4 CAA/2
6Texas190.085-13.11.51.00.4 B12/2
13Northern Iowa84.78030.20.11.4 MVC/1,1
3Texas A&M293.08821.60.41.0 Slnd/2,2
14Green Bay76.87420.40.4 Horz/2
7Oregon St.79.4810-4.60.80.41.8 1st
10VCU186.8842-0.20.20.40.4 A10/2
2Oklahoma595.29001.01.82.4 1st,B12/2
15Cal St. Bakersfield78.77511.30.11.2 WAC/1,2
SeedEast RegionWinBracSagHotInjNBAPGAll-Americans
1North Carolina4100.19221.43.5-0.41.6 2nd
16Florida Gulf Coast72.57020.2-1.01.2 ASun/1,2
16Fairleigh Dickinson64.2640-0.40.6 NEC/1
8USC84.083-21.10.71.2 SB/1,2
9Providence187.08221.00.11.8 5th,BE/1
5Indiana192.7892-1.92.00.41.2 4th
13Chattanooga77.3770-0.1-1.01.4 SC/1,1
4Kentucky2100.09020.54.30.13.0 2nd,4th
13Stony Brook77.878-1-1.40.30.41.4 3rd
6Notre Dame187.78412.20.10.4 ACC/2
11Michigan80.9840-3.91.8-1.00.0 No All-B10
11Tulsa79.680-20.20.11.2 Amer/1,2
3West Virginia (could be 4)94.39220.3-1.01.0 B12/2,2
14Stephen F. Austin287.78140.12.6 3rd,Slnd/2,2
7Wisconsin83.284-20.10.9-0.40.6 B10/1
10Pittsburgh185.88500.60.10.0 No All-ACC
2Xavier389.18800.9-0.40.6 BE/1
15Weber St.75.37400.5-0.41.2 BSky/1,2
SeedMidwest RegionWinBracSagHotInjNBAPGAll-Americans
1Virginia1 (could be 3)95.69210.80.41.4 3rd
16Hampton66.96501.10.10.6 MEAC/1
8Texas Tech81.182-10.10.0 No All-B12
9Butler388.88610.30.40.70.4 BE/2
5Purdue293.19021.7-1.00.4 B10/2
12Arkansas Little Rock79.2790-0.40.6 SB/1
4Iowa St.192.0880-0.41.50.12.8 2nd,5th
13Iona81.97720.80.20.41.4 MAAC/mvp,2
6Seton Hall288.08430.6-0.10.6 BE/1
11Gonzaga89.5871-0.31.1-1.01.6 WCC/mvp,1
3Utah194.08722.01.4-0.11.8 1st
14Fresno St.77.7762-1.50.20.40.6 MWC/1
7Dayton83.783-22.20.1-0.10.6 A10/1
10Syracuse181.783-21.3-1.00.4 ACC/2
2Michigan St.6102.69332.01.81.01.8 1st
15Middle Tennessee77.27520.8-1.00.4 CUSA/2

The "Bracket" Rating after each team is the total rating for the team based on the sum of the other columns. The teams with the best chance to win the tournament based on the other factors are Michigan State (102.6), Kansas (101.9), North Carolina (101.1), Kentucky (100.0) and Virginia (95.6).

The Sagarin Rating is how many points the team is better or worse than an opponent (if a team with an 86 plays a team with a 76, they should win by 10 points). The top teams based purely on how well the teams have played this season are Michigan State and Kansas at 93, and UNC, Virginia, Villanova and West Virginia all one point behind at 92.

The "Hot" rating indicates how much a team has been improving or fading over the past few weeks, primary at www.kenpom.com. The hottest team going into the tournament is Stephen F. Austin (+4) followed by Michigan State, Oregon, Seton Hall, Yale and Northern Iowa all at +3.

The "Healthy" rating is a negative if a team is missing players (Oregon State and Michigan are missing key players), but it also indicates the teams that have key players back who missed parts of the season - thus making the team better now than their overall rating (Texas +3.1, Dayton +2.2, Michigan State +2.0 due to missing Valentine for several games, Utah +2.0 and South Dakota State +2.0. The list of players impact this rating were covered in a Breitbart Sports story.

The "NBA" rating is the estimation of how many players on the team will end up playing in the NBA based on Value Add basketball. If a team has two players with a 50% chance of making the NBA, we add the two .5 chances to estimate one NBA player emerges. As usual, Kentucky is first with an estimated four future NBA players on their team (4.33), followed by Kansas (3.54), UNC (3.46), Maryland (3.36), Duke (2.94), California (2.42), Notre Dame (2.19) and Vanderbilt (2.17).

The "Experienced Point Guard" indicates whether or not the team's top players are experienced guards particularly point guards, who can handle the pressure when things are not going well in the tournament. Oklahoma is the best in this regard with senior and Breitbart Sports National Player of the Year Buddy Hield and their second and third best players both being experienced point guards. They have a +1.8, while four teams have a 1.3 (Miami of Florida, Wichita State, UC Irvine and BYU). A team whose top players are all experienced front line players would have a 0.0.

The All-American rating is based on having the go-to players from the Breitbart Sports All-American team or at least an All-Conference posted here. A first team All-American like Denzil Valentine of Michigan State is worth 1.8 points, while Kentucky (3.0) has a second and fourth team All-American for the top spot. All-Conference players are worth much less, but Al McGuire's old saying that a team needs three and a half stars to win a title points to schools like Kansas (two All-Americans and one more All-Big 12 selection) as a contender.

Monday, March 7, 2016

Breitbart Sports 2016 All-Conference Basketball Teams

Following the 4th Breitbart Sports All-American Basketball Team, we added the 32 All-Conference teams below. The first player in each conference is in bold as the Breitbart Sports Conference Player of the Year. The first five players are the 1st Team All-Conference Players, followed by the 2nd Team All-Conference Players. We also tracked the teams eliminated from March Madness every day.

All-ConfPlayer1st T All-AmericanHtClassVANBA%Subj
A10Gibbs, Jack Davidson6' 0Jr6.372.06
A10Bembry, DeAndre' Saint Joseph's6' 6"Jr6.2854%2.54
A10Cooke, Charles Dayton6' 5"Jr5.142.51
A10Miles, Isaiah Saint Joseph's6' 7"Sr7.82
A10Mason, Micah Duquesne6' 2"Sr6.41
A10Posley, Marcus St. Bonaventure6' 0Sr4.95
A10Johnson, Melvin VCU6' 4"Sr5.1716%
A10Rhoomes, Ryan Fordham6' 8"Sr6.21
A10Allen, Terry Richmond6' 8"Sr5.70
ACCAllen, Grayson Duke6' 5"So8.5765%2.82
ACCJohnson, Brice North Carolina6' 10"Sr7.7859%4.77
ACCBrogdon, Malcolm Virginia6' 5"Sr8.2532%4.29
ACCBarber, Anthony North Carolina St.6' 2"Jr7.9236%2.50
ACCIngram, Brandon Duke6' 9"Fr5.2495%
ACCJackson, Demetrius Notre Dame6' 1"Jr5.3886%
ACCMcClellan, Sheldon Miami FL6' 5"Sr6.9641%
ACCGbinije, Michael Syracuse6' 7"Sr6.9438%
ACCLee, Damion Louisville6' 6"Sr5.3737%
ACCBlossomgame, Jaron Clemson6' 7"Jr7.7932%
AEWarney, Jameel Stony Brook6' 8"Sr8.9032%2.88
AELyles, Jairus UMBC6' 2"So3.380.64
AESanders, Ray Albany6' 4"Sr3.890.00
AEThomas, Cleveland Hartford6' 4"Jr5.500.00
AECremo, Joe Albany6' 4"Fr3.930.64
AESmith, Jaleen New Hampshire6' 4"Jr3.41
AELeissner, Tanner New Hampshire6' 7"So2.30
AEDarley, Will UMBC6' 8"Jr2.82
AEStire, Greig Albany6' 7"So2.58
AESteidl, Kurt Vermont6' 6"Jr3.18
AmerMoore, Nic SMU5' 9"Sr6.243.61
AmerHamilton, Daniel Connecticut6' 7"So4.4639%2.63
AmerWoodard, James Tulsa6' 3"Sr5.5312%0.75
AmerClark, Gary Cincinnati6' 8"So5.9018%0.00
AmerDotson, Damyean Houston6' 5"Jr5.7915%
AmerHarrison, Shaquille Tulsa6' 3"Sr5.7710%
AmerMoore, Ben SMU6' 8"Jr5.5119%
AmerDeCosey, Quenton Temple6' 5"Sr5.14
AmerGoodwin, Shaq Memphis6' 9"Sr4.9221%
AmerMiller, Shonn Connecticut6' 7"Sr5.98
ASunMoore, Dallas North Florida6' 1"Jr5.670.66
ASunRay, Kendrick Kennesaw St.6' 1"Jr4.950.81
ASunBeech, Beau North Florida6' 9"Sr3.430.66
ASunColeman, Tim NJIT6' 5"Jr3.96
ASunNorelia, Marc-Eddy Florida Gulf Coast6' 8"Jr5.20
ASunMyles, Divine Stetson5' 11"So3.86
ASunHoward, Ky NJIT6' 4"Sr3.40
ASunMoran, Nathan Lipscomb5' 9"So3.06
ASunTerrell, Christian Florida Gulf Coast6' 5"So3.55
ASunWilliams, Aubrey Kennesaw St.6' 6"Jr3.32
B10Valentine, Denzel Michigan St.6' 5"Sr8.6781%2.98
B10Uthoff, Jarrod Iowa6' 9"Sr6.9760%4.25
B10Ferrell, Yogi Indiana6' 0Sr6.5834%3.61
B10Trimble, Melo Maryland6' 3"So5.4284%2.66
B10Hayes, Nigel Wisconsin6' 8"Jr5.3173%3.31
B10Hill, Malcolm Illinois6' 6"Jr6.8134%
B10Prince, Taurean Baylor6' 8"Sr4.2174%
B10Carter, Robert Maryland6' 9"Jr5.0242%
B10Hammons, AJ Purdue7' 0Sr5.0166%
B10Stone, Diamond Maryland6' 11"Fr4.3088%
B12Hield, Buddy Oklahoma6' 4"Sr9.3383%5.75
B12Morris, Monte Iowa St.6' 3"Jr7.6369%3.33
B12Mason, Frank Kansas5' 11"Jr6.1117%1.60
B12Niang, Georges Iowa St.6' 8"Sr6.7427%2.80
B12Ellis, Perry Kansas6' 8"Sr6.0427%2.70
B12Taylor, Isaiah Texas6' 3"Jr6.5336%
B12Cousins, Isaiah Oklahoma6' 4"Sr4.8815%
B12Selden, Wayne Kansas6' 5"Jr4.2341%
B12Paige, Jaysean West Virginia6' 2"Sr5.20
B12Williams, Devin West Virginia6' 9"Jr4.1630%
BEDunn, Kris Providence6' 4"Jr5.9394%2.96
BEBluiett, Trevon Xavier6' 6"So5.0336%2.59
BEBentil, Ben Providence6' 9"So7.308%3.63
BEHart, Josh Villanova6' 5"Jr6.3736%
BEArcidiacono, Ryan Villanova6' 3"Sr5.0311%
BEWatson, Maurice Creighton5' 10"Jr3.7516%
BEJones, Roosevelt Butler6' 4"Sr5.14
BEEllenson, HenryMarquette6' 11"Fr4.5691%3.59
BEOchefu, Daniel Villanova6' 11"Sr5.1520%
BSkyHooker, Quinton North Dakota6' 0Jr8.960%1.13
BSkyMcBroom, Austin Eastern Washington6' 0Sr5.570.00
BSkyBreunig, Martin Montana6' 8"Sr7.240.72
BSkyBolomboy, Joel Weber St.6' 9"Sr6.6834%
BSkyStrings, Justin Sacramento St.6' 7"So5.83
BSkyTelfair, Ethan Idaho St.6' 0Jr4.48
BSkySenglin, Jeremy Weber St.6' 2"Jr4.9413%
BSkySanders, Victor Idaho6' 5"So4.62
BSkyHall, Tyler Montana St.6' 4"Fr4.4911%
BSkyJois, Venky Eastern Washington6' 8"Sr4.39
BSthWiggins, Shivaughn Coastal Carolina5' 11"Jr5.660.69
BSthGavin, Jimmy Winthrop6' 3"Sr5.180.88
BSthJohnson, Keon Winthrop5' 7"Jr4.590.69
BSthBrown, John High Point6' 8"Sr7.7712%2.16
BSthSutton, Dwayne UNC Asheville6' 5"Fr4.44
BSthMurray, DeSean Presbyterian6' 5"So4.86
BSthVannatta, Kevin UNC Asheville6' 2"So4.67
BSthNwogbo, Lotanna Longwood6' 8"Sr4.11
BWNelson, Luke UC Irvine6' 3"Jr5.3520%0.00
BWBobbitt, Roderick Hawaii6' 3"Sr4.830.70
BWBryson, Michael UC Santa Barbara6' 5"Sr6.740.90
BWFaust, Nick Long Beach St.6' 6"Sr5.130.90
BWJankovic, Stefan Hawaii6' 11"Jr5.6712%
BWBibbins, Justin Long Beach St.5' 8"So5.27
BWYoung, Alex UC Irvine6' 2"Sr4.74
BWCoggins, Tre' Cal St. Fullerton6' 2"Jr3.78
BWMorgan, Reese Cal Poly6' 2"Sr4.65
CAAWalker, David Northeastern6' 6"Sr7.2235%1.04
CAAGreen, Juan'ya Hofstra6' 3"Sr6.331.77
CAATarpey, Terry William & Mary6' 5"Sr4.530.71
CAAGustys, Rokas Hofstra6' 9"So5.84
CAAHawkins, Byron Towson6' 1"So4.67
CAASamson, Tanner Elon6' 4"Sr4.31
CAAPrewitt, Omar William & Mary6' 7"Jr4.17
CAAFlemmings, Chris UNC Wilmington6' 5"Jr6.45
CAAKing-Davis, Marvin Delaware6' 7"Sr3.90
CUSAHamilton, Alex Louisiana Tech6' 4"Sr6.7614%1.16
CUSAFreeman, Trey Old Dominion6' 2"Sr5.400.00
CUSAKelly, James Marshall6' 8"Sr5.60
CUSAUchebo, Joseph Charlotte6' 10"Sr5.04
CUSAEvans, Marcus Rice6' 2"Fr3.76
CUSAMoore, Lee UTEP6' 4"Jr4.38
CUSAPotts, Giddy Middle Tennessee6' 2"So5.18
CUSACokley, Chris UAB6' 8"So4.3430%
CUSACombs, Jeremy North Texas6' 7"So5.46
HorzFelder, Kay Oakland5' 9"Jr8.560%3.88
HorzMorse, Cameron Youngstown St.6' 2"So6.710.00
HorzCarter, Keith Valparaiso6' 1"Sr4.680.00
HorzPeters, Alec Valparaiso6' 9"Jr7.1930%2.82
HorzHayes, Jalen Oakland6' 7"So5.11
HorzJohnson, Jordan Milwaukee5' 9"Jr5.36
HorzLove, Carrington Green Bay6' 1"Sr4.24
HorzWilson, Anton Detroit6' 5"Sr4.63
HorzTiby, Matt Milwaukee6' 8"Sr4.37
HorzAlstork, Mark Wright St.6' 5"So3.53
IvyLo, Maodo Columbia6' 3"Sr4.7228%0.00
IvyMorgan, Matt Cornell6' 3"Fr4.650.71
IvySears, Justin Yale6' 8"Sr5.240.93
IvyCaruso, Henry Princeton6' 4"Jr5.38
IvyBoudreaux, Evan Dartmouth6' 8"Fr4.80
IvyMullins, Grant Columbia6' 3"Sr5.14
IvySmith, Darryl Cornell6' 2"Jr5.14
IvyWeisz, Spencer Princeton6' 4"Jr4.04
IvyOkolie, Agunwa Harvard6' 8"Sr3.60
IvySherrod, Brandon Yale6' 6"Sr4.51
MAACEnglish, AJ Iona6' 4"Sr6.2221%3.20
MAACRobinson, Justin Monmouth5' 8"Jr7.441.46
MAACNelson, Tyler Fairfield6' 3"So4.870.00
MAACHart, Khallid Marist6' 2"Jr6.470.00
MAACBisping, Brett Siena6' 8"Jr5.10
MAACWyche, Trevis Saint Peter's6' 1"Jr4.82
MAACMcMillan, Malcolm Canisius6' 0Sr4.50
MAACMuch, Deyshonee Iona6' 5"So3.60
MAACOgunyemi, Javion Siena6' 8"Jr4.30
MAACThomas, Kahlil Rider6' 7"Jr3.74
MACWashington, Eric Miami OH5' 10"Sr4.780.69
MACWilder, Thomas Western Michigan6' 3"So5.800.00
MACBoothe, Nathan Toledo6' 9"Sr5.3828%
MACCampbell, Antonio Ohio6' 10"Jr7.14
MACThompson, James Eastern Michigan6' 10"Fr7.22
MACFowler, Chris Central Michigan6' 1"Sr3.4511%
MACSimmons, Jaaron Ohio6' 1"So4.09
MACHouse, Franko Ball St.6' 6"Jr4.22
MACJohnson, Isaiah Akron6' 10"Jr4.99
MACMaric, Marin Northern Illinois6' 10"So3.30
MEACEaves, Eric South Carolina St.6' 3"Jr3.83
MEACDaniel, James Howard5' 10"Jr3.56
MEACTaylor, D'Shon Norfolk St.6' 5"Sr3.02
MEACElliott, Dominique Maryland Eastern Shore6' 8"Sr2.77
MEACChievous, Quinton Hampton6' 6"Sr3.36
MEACHunt, Sam North Carolina A&T6' 2"So2.70
MEACMartin, Devin Maryland Eastern Shore6' 4"Sr2.64
MEACHolmes, Dante North Carolina Central6' 3"Sr2.66
MEACMoody, Mario Bethune Cookman6' 7"Sr2.20
MEACSimpson, Rasean Morgan St.6' 5"Sr2.80
MVCMockevicius, Egidijus Evansville6' 10"Sr7.9531%2.35
MVCVanVleet, Fred Wichita St.6' 0Sr5.0733%
MVCWashpun, Wes Northern Iowa6' 1"Sr4.5519%
MVCBaker, Ron Wichita St.6' 4"Sr6.1631%
MVCMorgan, Jeremy Northern Iowa6' 5"Jr5.52
MVCBalentine, DJ Evansville6' 3"Sr3.849%
MVCLee, Paris Illinois St.6' 0Jr3.95
MVCTimmer, Reed Drake6' 1"So4.90
MVCBeane, Anthony Southern Illinois6' 2"Sr3.68
MVCHawkins, Deontae Illinois St.6' 8"So3.45
MWCHarris, Marvelle Fresno St.6' 4"Sr7.0220%
MWCBrown, Elijah New Mexico6' 4"So6.04
MWCMcCaw, Patrick UNLV6' 7"So6.0767%
MWCWebb, James Boise St.6' 9"Jr5.7747%
MWCMcManamen, Jason Wyoming6' 5"Jr4.80
MWCKell, Trey San Diego St.6' 4"So4.39
MWCSmith, Chris Utah St.6' 4"Sr5.20
MWCClarke, Brandon San Jose St.6' 8"Fr4.68
MWCWilliams, Tim New Mexico6' 8"Jr6.01
NECHermannsson, Martin LIU Brooklyn6' 3"So6.22
NECHenson, Corey Wagner6' 3"So4.93
NECCarey, Michael Wagner6' 5"Jr5.79
NECPotts, Earl Fairleigh Dickinson6' 6"So4.72
NECDrinnon, Ronnie St. Francis PA6' 7"Sr4.05
NECBroome, Cane Sacred Heart6' 0So3.64
NECMillaud-Meunier, Ben St. Francis PA6' 3"Sr3.67
NECPettway, Marcel Bryant6' 5"Fr3.54
NECPryor, Rodney Robert Morris6' 5"Sr3.04
NECFrink, Jerome LIU Brooklyn6' 7"Jr3.31
OVCMoss, Jeffery Murray St.6' 4"Sr4.45
OVCTaylor, Myles Tennessee Martin6' 7"Sr4.35
OVCLangston, Wayne Murray St.6' 7"Sr4.92
OVCHorton, Chris Austin Peay6' 9"Sr7.369%
OVCRowe, Torrance Tennessee Tech6' 1"Sr3.71
OVCMcCall, Tahjere Tennessee St.6' 5"Jr4.08
OVCDeShields, Keron Tennessee St.6' 2"Sr4.03
OVCMartin, Ryan Tennessee Tech6' 9"Sr3.76
P12Payton, Gary Oregon St.6' 3"Sr8.5464%4.01
P12Poeltl, Jakob Utah7' 0So8.0790%4.03
P12Andrews, Andrew Washington6' 2"Sr8.3017%
P12Rabb, Ivan California6' 11"Fr6.0787%
P12Alford, Bryce UCLA6' 3"Jr5.47
P12Brooks, Dillon Oregon6' 7"So5.9836%
P12Brown, Jaylen California6' 7"Fr3.0593%
p12Anderson, Ryan Arizona6' 9"Sr6.1824%
P12Boucher, Chris Oregon6' 10"Sr6.7323%
PatBrown, Stephen Bucknell5' 11"So3.82
PatTillotson, Austin Colgate6' 0Sr4.39
PatPapale, John Boston University6' 3"Sr4.31
PatFerguson, Kevin Army6' 10"Sr4.57
PatKempton, Tim Lehigh6' 10"Jr4.30
PatRoss, Kahron Lehigh5' 11"So3.79
PatO'Brien, Sean Colgate6' 2"So3.37
PatScott, Bryce Lafayette6' 2"Sr3.58
PatPlomb, Tanner Army6' 7"Sr3.3023%
PatHass, Chris Bucknell6' 5"Sr2.58
SBBrown, Tookie Georgia Southern5' 11"Fr5.53
SBHagins, Josh Arkansas Little Rock6' 1"Sr6.12
SBJones, Jalen UT Arlington6' 3"Jr4.19
SBDeng, Majok Louisiana Monroe6' 10"Sr5.53
SBLong, Shawn Louisiana Lafayette6' 11"Sr6.2934%
SBNeal, Erick UT Arlington5' 11"So4.53
SBCarter, Devin Arkansas St.6' 5"Jr5.52
SBEaves, Frank Appalachian St.6' 2"Sr5.48
SBPerson, Wesley Troy6' 3"So4.48
SBHollowell, Jeremy Georgia St.6' 8"Jr3.2714%
SCCroone, Stephen Furman6' 0Sr4.73
SCCromer, TJ East Tennessee St.6' 3"Jr3.97
SCPeterson, QJ VMI6' 0Jr5.06
SCMcLean, Tre' Chattanooga6' 5"Jr3.94
SCTuoyo, Justin Chattanooga6' 10"Jr3.55
SCBrown, Mike Western Carolina6' 3"Sr4.09
SCMagee, Fletcher Wofford6' 4"Fr4.37
SCRafferty, Matt Furman6' 8"Fr4.45
SCJelks, Stephon Mercer6' 6"So4.27
SCWhite, RJ UNC Greensboro6' 8"Jr4.12
SECSimmons, Ben LSU6' 10"Fr8.4396%2.94
SECUlis, Tyler Kentucky5' 9"So8.2651%4.12
SECMurray, Jamal Kentucky6' 4"Fr6.9889%3.43
SECFinney-Smith, Dorian Florida6' 8"Sr6.1145%
SECMoody, Stefan Mississippi5' 10"Sr6.89
SECFrazier, JJ Georgia5' 10"Jr8.74
SECObasohan, Retin Alabama6' 2"Sr7.92
SECJones, Damian Vanderbilt7' 0Jr4.5082%
SECKingsley, Moses Arkansas6' 10"Jr5.9931%
SlndWalkup, Thomas Stephen F. Austin6' 4"Sr9.690%0.91
SlndOdunsi, Anthony Houston Baptist6' 4"Sr5.23
SlndHoward, Jordan Central Arkansas5' 11"So6.54
SlndWoodley, Zeek Northwestern St.6' 2"Jr7.07
SlndMajauskas, Aurimas Sam Houston St.6' 8"Jr5.33
SlndFloyd, Demetrious Stephen F. Austin5' 11"Sr3.42
SlndHittle, Kyle Incarnate Word6' 5"Sr5.63
SlndThomas, Rashawn Texas A&M Corpus Chris6' 8"Jr4.16
SlndGeffrard, Clide Stephen F. Austin6' 5"Sr3.90
SlndDouvier, Bryce Texas A&M Corpus Chris6' 7"Sr4.32
SumLandis, Max IPFW6' 2"Sr6.47
SumEmegano, Obi Oral Roberts6' 3"Jr5.79
SumDaum, Mike South Dakota St.6' 9"Fr5.92
SumKonchar, John IPFW6' 4"Fr6.06
SumKasperbauer, Casey South Dakota6' 1"Sr3.82
SumCovington, Garret Western Illinois6' 5"Jr4.37
SumMarshall, George South Dakota St.6' 1"Sr4.11
SumJacobson, AJ North Dakota St.6' 6"So3.77
SWACWaters, Jamel Alabama St.5' 9"Sr3.93
SWACHyder, Christopher Southern5' 11"Sr4.19
SWACWorsham, Raeford Jackson St.6' 4"Sr4.28
SWACGriffin, Derrick Texas Southern6' 7"Fr5.69
SWACRiley, Malcolm Texas Southern6' 5"Sr4.51
SWACSam, Jarred Southern6' 9"So3.32
SWACButler, Corvon Alabama St.6' 5"Jr3.83
SWACBrown, Octavius Alcorn St.6' 8"Sr3.23
WACSiakam, Pascal New Mexico St.6' 9"So9.1849%2.70
WACBasile, Dedrick Cal St. Bakersfield5' 10"Jr5.28
WACBaker, Ian New Mexico St.6' 0Jr4.71
WACBoyd, LaVell UMKC6' 0Fr4.89
WACBraun, Joshua Grand Canyon6' 4"So6.19
WACDavis, Marcel Utah Valley6' 2"Sr2.17