We just added the Statis-Pro 2023 projected pitchers cards, so those of you have been asking now have all the pitchers, batters and ballpark factors on this one google sheet, and can start playing the 2023 season. We will use one of the best pitching staffs (along with the cross town Yankees) in baseball this year, the New York Mets, to go through the numbers for those of you not familiar with the cards (in sheet form for now) - and one new twist this year to the far right.
(note, as we went through the first game and double checked all, we ended up adjusting all pitchers hit ranges down by one. This is now reflected in the google sheet above and the screen shots below).
Average Batters Average Pitcher
1B: 11-21 1B: 11-23
2B: 22-27 BK: 24
3B: ------- K: 25-45
HR: 28-32 W: 46-53
Deep: 33-35 WP: 54
K: 36-51 CD-C: 55-56
W: 52-55 Out 57-88
We put players in the order of a 4-man rotation in blue, then start with the top relievers (Edwin Diaz has the best card of any reliever in the game so is the ace reliever or closer.
While the Mets basically added Justin Verlander to replace an even better Jacob deGrom (a rare PB 2-9 starter as shown at the bottom). However, Mets fans may not mind that the once great Noah Syndergaard now projects to be the lowest of all rated PB 2-4 for the Dodgers. Obviously he has been dominant and could return to form, but so far he left the Mets at the right time for Mets fans.
The PB number is the most important number on the card, as on the die roll or fast action card anything in that range is controlled by the pitcher, while outside the range gives the batter a chance on his card at extra base hits etc. So Scherzer controls on a 2-8, the batter he is facing on a 9-12.''
We note LHP or RHP which matters based on whether the batter hits lefties or righties better.
The boxes numbers then show what happens if the action is on the pitcher's card. So for Diaz an 11-20 (there is really no 19 or 20, so really this is 11-18) is a single allowed. A 21 maybe a balk (roll 8-sided die again and 1 or 2 is balk, 3-8 ignore). 22-54 is a strikeout. 55-63 is a walk allowed. 64 is a wild pitch, 65-66 is a chance for the catcher to make a clutch defensive play is anyone is on base, and 67-88 is an out on a ball put into play. Note each number is the top of the range.
FYI for those of you old timers like me who used the formulas back in the 1980s to make our own cards. The only formulas he messed up on back then was the charts for hits, strikeouts and walks which resulted in year of ridiculous PB 2-9, 11-14 hit ranges. You actually need to ADD three hits on average to a PB 2-9 card vs a PB 4-7, and LOWER the strikeouts by -6 if they are above average. Then +2 and -4 for PB 2-8 card, and +1 and -2 for a PB2-7 cards since they control the action most of the time.
The next numbers tell you how long the pitcher can pitch before he is tired and should be taken out or his PB will start to drop. If the pitcher is starting the game use his SR, and if relieving use his RR. Every time he allows a hit, walk, hit by pitch or earned run to score reduce that number by 1, and when an inning ends reduce it by 1. When his number hits 0 then start to reduce his PB by 1 and continue for every other item above that happens. even if a pitcher still has SR or RR left, if he hits his Max innings reduce him to 0 and take him out of the game unless you want him to pitch tired.
The projected ERA is just to give you an idea of how good he is, but really the PB does that.
Each pitcher has two fielding numbers. His Clutch Defense (CD) tells you how likely he is to make a tough defensive play - with CD-5 being a gold glove nominee level fielder, and CD-1 being a very poor fielder. The error (E) number is how likely he is to make an error, with an E10 meaning he could make an error on up to 1 in 10 players, while an E-1 rarely ever makes and error.
Finally the one new twist for this year, because the Mets' stats are projected based on them getting to pitch in a good pitcher's park, every time they fail to keep the action on the pitchers card, the batter gets one extra HR number on his card - replacing the lowest OUT number. So if a batter were Out: 57-88, then a 57 on the batters card is a Home Run, and 58-88 is still an out.
The Colorado players are the reverse, with the poor pitchers getting to lower opposing batter's RNs by 2, while their batters had 2 HRs taken away. Therefore if a Colorado pitcher is on the mound and the opposing batter has a HR 31-34, then the 31 and 32 are still home runs, but the 33 and 34 are flyouts.
You now have everything you need to play the game this season.
This year my friend is playing the AL and I am playing the NL. We are both playing out what we perceive as the top 10 teams in our league (we switch leagues every year.
For my NL
Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Mets
San Diego Padres
San Francisco Giants
St. Louis Cardinals
I play a quirky rule that if a team wins and was leading by at least 5 runs at the end of the 8th inning then they get credit for a 3 game sweep for the on game, while in all other games they get credit for winning a series 2 games to one. However, my friend plays it straight up one game is one game.
for his AL
The 2023 AL looks like this: