Thursday, August 13, 2020

Statis-Pro Baseball NL Update and AL and NL Playoff Bracket

The AL Commissioner updated Statis-Pro standings July 20 before taking a break to play off the 2020 NIT tournament that never happened. Meanwhile the NL Commissioner's update below covers their new standings and the mid season awards. The first cut included relegating five teams in each league, though the San Diego Padres have played great baseball since being relegated.

Then the remaining teams were broken into a new 5-team NL West, NL East, AL East and AL West. Our Statis-Pro league will therefore have two divisional winners in each league which get a bye, and with the next four teams in each league named as wild cards who play in the opening round.

We will play for about one more month, and as of today the playoff bracket would look like this. However the Angels are most likely to be replaced by the Chicago White Sox, now that Ohtani is out for the season as a pitcher. We allow injured players to play, unless it was a season ending injury that would have made them miss the rest of the year (we do play the cards of players who skipped due to Covid).


NL Update

We are into the dog days of August, so it is time to start talking playoff races in the Statis-Pro NL. Here is the 

 Notes for the updated standings:

In the “West”, the Dodgers 5-game winning streak helps them lead the way.  But the pesky Diamondbacks won’t go away winning 7-straight.

The final six games will be interesting (including two head-to-head) to determine the division winner and first round bye.

In the “East” the Nationals are starting to separate having won 7 of 9.  The Mets 7-game losing streak is only topped by the Phillies massive 10-game

slide that all but eliminates them from the playoff chase. 

As for the wildcard race, the Cardinals are holding the final spot, but the Cubs [1 game back] and Brewers [2 back] are still in it.  The “West” could take

4 of the 6 playoff spots.

 

NL “East”

Washington       15-  8

Atlanta                12-10

Chicago               10-13

Philadelphia        7-15

New York             6-17

 

NL “West”

Los Angeles        16-  7

Arizona               16-  7

Cincinnati           12-11

St. Louis              11-12

Milwaukee           9-14

 

Wildcard [top 4 qualify]

Arizona               16-  7

Atlanta                12-10

Cincinnati           12-11

St. Louis              11-12

Chicago               10-13

Milwaukee           9-14

 

Individual Stats  [23 games]

 

Batting

JTurner, LA         [33-96] .344

Ozuna, Atl          [32-94] .340

Castellanos, Cin[31-93] .333

Acuna, Atl           [29-87] .333

 

Home Runs

Acuna, Atl           9

Suarez, Cin         8

Soto, Wsh          8

 

Runs Batted In

Suarez, Cin         24

Escobar, Arz       22

KMarte, Arz       20

Acuna, Atl           20

 

Runs Scored

SMarte, Arz        24

Acuna, Atl           20

Bellinger, LA       20

 

Pitching

Scherzer, Wsh   4-1, 1.43

Bumgarner, Arz 4-0, 1.85

Flaherty, Stl        4-1, 2.08

 

Bullpens

#1          Arizona               5-1, 7 of 9 saves

#10        Chicago               2-7, 5 of 5 saves

 

Team Stats

Los Angeles is number one in runs scored and fewest runs allowed.

As a result, they also carry the best run differential at [+46].



Monday, August 3, 2020

NIT 2020 - Home Court Advantage/Offensive Fouls in Value Add Game

Latest Result: Horizon League's Wright State pulls 6th upset in 19 NIT games so far (scroll for score sheet and updated bracket).

Even casual sports fans interested in the results of the Value Add Basketball Game playoff of the cancelled 2020 March Madness (Creighton defeated Duke in the title game) and our all-time March Madness (Bill Walton's UCLA beat Michael Jordan's UNC) may have little interest in our replay of the cancelled 2020 NIT tournament - sometimes derided as the tournament to decide the 69th best team.

However, true fans love the NIT to see which teams that just had some bad luck or injuries prove in the NIT they were better than MANY NCAA teams. Based on www.kenpom.com, the last two NIT champions were the 25th best team in the country (Shaka Smart's 2019 Texas Longhorns) and the 19th best team in the country (Pat Chamber's Penn State). 

Offensive Fouls. This 2020 NIT also is the first use of two important rules in the game. When a roll of a 43 or 46 is a turnover in the game, it is now also an offensive foul (vs. another dead ball turnover such as losing the ball out of bounds). This means a dead ball turnover occurs on an offensive foul 28% of the time - the actual average - for all player cards with a turnover range of between 41-43 and 41-46. 

Home Advantage. Because the March Madness NCAA games were all played on a neutral site, this is also the first time we have used the home advantage in the game - in which the home team has the option of changing a roll of a 36 to 66 on defense (usually resulting in the referee missing a foul that should have been called on the home team) or on offense changing a roll of 66 to 36 (resulting in a bad call against the defense).  This results in about three more calls going the home team's  way then the visitor's way, which averages about a three point home advantage.

NIT 2nd Round - Game Summaries and Scoresheets


The 16 1st round games appear here, with the top performances at the bottom of this blog. Next we will post the eight 2nd round NIT games - including score sheets and a paragraph summary as each game is completed.

6-Minnesota 73, 11-Northern Iowa 63

In a clash of great centers, Minnesota's Value Add 3rd team All-American Daniel Oturu (20 points, 13 rebounds, 4 blocks) edged Northern Iowa MVC MVP runner-up Austin Phyfe (14, 11, 4).  Oturu scored 10 points in the first half against Phyfe's backups (Oturu plays all 44 possessions) to give Minnesota a 37-24 lead at halftime. 



Here are the top MVC players in the Value Add rankings.

23-Wright State 78, 7-Oklahoma State 75

Butler is no longer in the Horizon League, but Wright State continued the League's tradition of tournament upsets with a 78-75 upset of Oklahoma State. Wright State already won at Memphis 72-62 in the opening round - giving them two of only six upsets in the 19 NIT games so far - that 32 percent is the same percentage of upsets for the actual 2019 NIT tournament. After the game was tied 55-55 with 6:45 to play in the game, the best rebounder on the court (Loudon Love) three times grabbed offensive rebounds to help Wright State win the battle for rebounds 36-29 and keep possessions alive and lead to scores. One of those offensive rebounds was passed back out to Bill Wampler, who hit a 3-pointer for a team-high 21 points. His counterpart Cameron McGriff, the Oklahoma State power forward, had a great back-and-forth with a game-high 22 points in the loss. Wright State average 1.13 points per trip down the court in both, giving them two of the top five offensive performances of the NIT.




9-Texas 70, 25-VCU 63

It looked bleak for Shaka Smart's Texas Longhorns with 1:52 to go in the 1st half against his old team - the VCU Rams. Star PG Coleman was called for charging for his fourth foul with Texas trailing 32-26. However, Coleman never was called for his 5th foul and scored 21 to register a 70-63 win the the second round of the Value Add Basketball NIT. Texas won the last actual NIT title in 2019.


2-Purdue 71, 15-Syracuse 69

After Purdue breezed through the first round against Merrimack, Buddy Boeheim's five 3-pointers kept Syracuse alive until the final possession. With Purdue leading 71-68, they did not let Boeheim get off a game-tying 3 - fouling him. He made the first free throw and after he intentionally missed the second Trevion Williams grabbed his 12th rebound to end the game 71-69. Sasha Stefanovic's three 3-pointers down the stretch helped Purdue advance. Purdue started in the top 10 in 2020 coming off their narrow Elite 8 loss to eventual 2019 Champ UVa, but had trouble holding leads in the extremely tough Big Ten - one of the best conferences in years.



3-Arkansas Vs. 14-Tennessee

1-Xavier vs. 17-St. John's

With the above two conference match-ups, the Big 12, Big Ten, Big East, Horizon and SEC will all have on team the the NIT Elite 8, with the three games below determining the rest of the conference background.

20-Alabama (SEC) vs. 29-South Dakota St. (Summit)

12-Mississippi St. (SEC) vs. 5-Rhode Island (A10)

Best 1st Round Team and Individual Performances 

Best team offense in points per possession (efficiency); Texas vs Colgate 1.20 (84/70), Colgate vs. Texas 1.17 (82/70), Wright State vs. Memphis 1.13 (76/67), Alabama vs. Notre Dame 1.13 (77/68), Arkansas vs. Murray State 1.12 (75/67).

Best team offense in points per possession (efficiency); Purdue vs. Merrimack 0.76 (53/70), Mississippi State vs. Tulsa 0.77 (54/70), Tennessee vs. South Carolina (0.82 (58/71), Oklahoma State vs. South Alabama 0.84 (58/69), VCU vs. Stanford 0.88 (61/69), 

Top points; Goodwin (St. Louis) 29, Gamdia-Rosa (N.Florida) 28, Rayman (Colgate) 27, Figueroa (St. John's) 23, Lyons (Furman ) 23, Carr (Minnesota) 23.

Top Rebounds; Santos-Silva (VCU) 15, Oturu (Minnesota) 14, Mooney (ND) 13, Fulkerson (Tennessee) 13, French (St. Louis) 12, Holland (Radford) 12.

Top Steals; Champagnie (St. John's ) 6, Likekel (OK St.) 5, Hayes (Merrimack) 5, Jenkins (VCU) 5, Lomax (Memphis ) 5, Russell (Rhode Island) 5.

Top Blocks; Sidibe (Syracuse) 6, Oturu (Minnesota) 5, Dentlinger (South Dakota State) 5, Langevine (Rhode Island) 5, Haarms (Purdue ) 4, da Silva (Stanford ) 4, Pons (Tennessee) 4.

Biggest Margin - Purdue +21 vs Merrimack 74-53, runner-up VCU and Mississippi State +15 each, while three games went into overtime.

The following are the total points scored and possessions for all 32 teams in their first round NIT game. in the real 2020 season according to www.kenpom.com the average game went 68.4 possessions with 70 points scored for a 1.02 offensive efficiency. In the first round the average game included one more possession per game, but three of the 16 games went to overtime which creates and extra 9 to 18 possessions.




Offense (best top)Defense (best bottom)RoundPointsPossessionsEfficiency
Ave. Real Season  70.068.41.02
Average Value AddNIT 1st RoundRound71.170.21.01
TexasColgate1st84701.20
ColgateTexas1st82701.17
Wright St.Memphis1st76671.13
AlabamaNotre Dame1st77681.13
Wright St.Oklahoma St.2nd78691.13
ArkansasMurray St.1st75671.12
Rhode IslandRadford1st79711.11
XavierNorth Florida1st79711.11
SyracuseGeorgetown1st73661.11
MinnesotaFurman1st75681.10
VCU Stanford1st76691.10
Oklahoma St.Wright St.2nd75691.09
North FloridaXavier1st77711.08
PurdueMerrimack1st74691.07
St. John'sConnecticut1st86811.06
TexasVCU 2nd70671.04
PurdueSyracuse2nd71681.04
Murray St.Arkansas1st70681.03
Oklahoma St.South Alabama1st70681.03
S.Dakota St. St. Louis1st85831.02
N. IowaLouisiana Tech1st66651.02
ConnecticutSt. John's1st83821.01
Mississippi StateTulsa1st69691.00
St. LouisS.Dakota St. 1st83831.00
SyracusePurdue2nd69691.00
Notre DameAlabama1st68690.99
GeorgetownSyracuse1st66670.99
RadfordRhode Island1st69720.96
FurmanMinnesota1st66690.96
VCU Texas2nd63680.93
Louisiana TechN. Iowa1st61660.92
MemphisWright St.1st62680.91
TennesseeSouth Carolina1st62700.89
StanfordVCU 1st61690.88
South AlabamaOklahoma St.1st58690.84
South CarolinaTennessee1st58710.82
TulsaMississippi State1st54700.77
MerrimackPurdue1st53700.76

Saturday, August 1, 2020

2020 Value Add NIT - Winners and Top Performances

This is a condensed post with a paragraph on every game of our 2020 NIT that might have been using player cards and the free Value Add Basketball Game. The more detailed post includes score sheets and more detail on each game as well as the already concluded NCAA 2020 and all-time tournaments. 

In this post we summarize the 1st Round of our simulated NIT tournament starting with the top 5 individual performances in points, rebounds, steals and blocked shots. We then give the breakdown of the top offensive and defensive games by teams, and finally list games in the order of the bracket, and we seed 1- through 32- rather than break down into four 1-8 seeds. At the bottom we include the bracket itself.

Top 5 game stats in NIT opening round.

Top points; Goodwin (St. Louis) 29, Gamdia-Rosa (N.Florida) 28, Rayman (Colgate) 27, Figueroa (St. John's) 23, Lyons (Furman ) 23, Carr (Minnesota) 23.

Top Rebounds; Santos-Silva (VCU) 15, Oturu (Minnesota) 14, Mooney (ND) 13, Fulkerson (Tennessee) 13, French (St. Louis) 12, Holland (Radford) 12.

Top Steals; Champagnie (St. John's ) 6, Likekel (OK St.) 5, Hayes (Merrimack) 5, Jenkins (VCU) 5, Lomax (Memphis ) 5, Russell (Rhode Island) 5.

Top Blocks; Sidibe (Syracuse) 6, Oturu (Minnesota) 5, Dentlinger (South Dakota State) 5, Langevine (Rhode Island) 5, Haarms (Purdue ) 4, da Silva (Stanford ) 4, Pons (Tennessee) 4.

Biggest Margin - Purdue +21 vs Merrimack 74-53, runner-up VCU and Mississippi State +15 each, while three games went into overtime.

Best Offensive and Defensive Team Performances

Through the 16 1st Round NIT games using the Value Add Basketball game, teams averaged 71.2 possessions, whereas during the actual entire 2020 season teams average a possession less per game at 70.0. However, this is likely because three of the 16 Value Add games went into overtime.

In the 16 board games the average team score 1.01 points per possession, which is just below the 1.02 per possession from the entire real 2020 season, so the game seems to be just about right on target on both through the small sample of 16 games.

The following chart gives each team's points scored in their opening round game, divided by their possession, in order to rank them from the best offensive efficiency (Texas scoring 1.20 points per trip to edge Colgate) down to the best defensive effort (Purdue averaged allowing just 0.76 points per possession against Merrimack).

Offense (best top)Defense (best bottom)PointsPossessionsEfficiency
Ave. Real Season 70.068.41.02
Average Value AddNIT 1st Round71.270.51.01
TexasColgate84701.20
ColgateTexas82701.17
Wright St.Memphis76671.13
AlabamaNotre Dame77681.13
ArkansasMurray St.75671.12
Rhode IslandRadford79711.11
XavierNorth Florida79711.11
SyracuseGeorgetown73661.11
MinnesotaFurman75681.10
VCU Stanford76691.10
North FloridaXavier77711.08
PurdueMerrimack74691.07
St. John'sConnecticut86811.06
Murray St.Arkansas70681.03
Oklahoma St.South Alabama70681.03
S.Dakota St. St. Louis85831.02
N. IowaLouisiana Tech66651.02
ConnecticutSt. John's83821.01
Mississippi StateTulsa69691.00
St. LouisS.Dakota St. 83831.00
Notre DameAlabama68690.99
GeorgetownSyracuse66670.99
RadfordRhode Island69720.96
FurmanMinnesota66690.96
Louisiana TechN. Iowa61660.92
MemphisWright St.62680.91
TennesseeSouth Carolina62700.89
StanfordVCU 61690.88
South AlabamaOklahoma St.58690.84
South CarolinaTennessee58710.82
TulsaMississippi State54700.77
MerrimackPurdue53700.76

1-Xavier vs. 32-North Florida ---16-UConn vs. 17-St. John's

Xavier 79, North Florida 77. North Florida's Ivan Gandia-Rosa, who just missed Atlantic Sun Value Add Player of the year, came within seconds of upsetting 1-seed Xavier. Having already drawn 5 fouls on Paul Scrugg's, he hit 2 free throws finish with 28 points and lead 77-76 with 16 seconds to play. Quintin Gooden missed a potential game-winner for Xavier, but Tyrique Jones grabbed the offensive rebound (game-high 9), fed the ball to Naji Marshall who scored the game-winner despite being fouled and hit the free throw to finish with a team-high 15 and deliver the 79-77 win.

St. John's 86, UConn 83 (OT): The fact that St. John's even forced a overtime was amazing, since UConn's Christian Vital (19 points, 5 rebounds, 3 steals) dominated.  However, St. John's then did one they do best, turning UConn over down the stretch. While UConn's 6-foot-11 Carlton dominating (12 points and 12 rebounds) most of the game, his shorter St. John's counterpart Champagnie had 6 steals en route to a team 16-8 edge in steals with several in the last 5 minutes. Figueroa hit two 3-pointers en route to his game high 23 points and Williams scored with 16 seconds left to close the amazing 24-14 run in the final 5 minutes to send the game into overtime 74-74.

Xavier vs. St. John's for pod.

8-Stanford vs. 25-VCU --- 9-Texas vs. 24-Colgate

VCU 76, Stanford 61: The first big upset of the 2020 NIT started at Stanford with a 13-0 blitz from VCU that made it 33-20 out of the gate.  In a match-up of star shooting guards, VCU's De'Riante Jenkins stole the ball on two of the first four trips to lead the fast start. The other match-up of big stars featred the two centers with similar last names, as VCU's Marcus Santos-Silva (9 points, 15 rebounds) dominated the boards while Stanford's Oscar da Silva (10 points, 7 rebounds) was strong with four blocked shots. However, the surprise games by Douglas (9 points, 3 rebounds in limited time) and small forward Issac Vann (19 points, 7 rebounds).

Texas 84, Colgate 82: Texas coach Shaka Smart will only host his former team VCU in the 2nd round because his star Jericho Sims took over in the final minutes including the game-winner buzzer beater. The 44 possessions we play included 13 lead changes and 8 ties. Sims scored with 3:30 left to give Texas a 71-70 lead, then to tie it 73-73 on the next trip, then grabbed an offensive rebound and fed Courtney Ramsey to make it 75-73, then scored again for 77-75 lead for 6 points, and offensive rebound and assist in four trips. When Will Raymond capped his 27-point game with a game-tying 3-pointer to make it 82-82, before Sims beat the buzzer for the 84-82 win.

Texas vs. VCU.

4-St. Louis vs. 29-S.Dakota St. --- 13-Notre Dame vs. 20-Alabama

South Dakota State 85, St. Louis 83 (OT). The Summit League's South Dakota State overcame a 14-point deficit, 24 fouls including both forwards  fouling out and a monster performance by Jordan Goodwin (29 points, 10 rebounds) to stun St. Louis in overtime. Center Matt Dentlinger scored only 4 points but blocked his 5th shot to prevent a game-winner at the buzzer to force overtime. Douglas Wilson then scored 8 of his 21 points in overtime before fouling out as they scored 17 in overtime for the win.

Alabama 77, Notre Dame 68. Alabama overcame 18 turnovers and a bit of a home job at South Bend with a barrage of 3-pointers to advance. On roughly 100 rolls of the 4 dice per game (44 possessions per team plus some offensive rebounds and extra possessions for steals-fast breaks or fouls in the last 9 possessions) there is a one in 36 chance of a bad call favoring the home team that can slip a roll of 36 (foul) and 66 (non foul). The refs missed four Notre Dame fouls, one more bad call than average. However, Bama hit four 3-pointers in their first 6 possessions to take a 32-20 lead and they never trailed behind double digits from their trio of stars in PG Kira Lewis (16 points), SG Jaden Shacekford (18) and John Petty (12).

5-Rhode Island vs. 28-Radford --- 12-Mississippi State vs. 21-Tulsa

Rhode Island 79, Radford 69. In a match-up of 2 of the best point guards in the country, Radford's Carlick Jones (21 points, 9 fouls drawn) gave Fatts Russell (17 points, 5 steals) and his Rhode Island teammates all they could handle. Radford led 50-49 with 10:48 to play, however Rhode Island's mismatch edge at the other 4 positions - as the shooting guard (Jeff Dowton 18 points, 5 rebounds, 2 steals) and small forward (21 points, 9 rebounds) helped them pull away for the double digit win.

Mississippi St. 69, Tulsa 54. Reggie Perry, a www.valueaddbasketball.com SEC All-Star, led a 7-man rotation with 16 points and 10 rebounds. Tulsa's balanced attack with four players in the top 10 percent of all players actually won the turnover battle (14-17) and drew many more fouls (11-19) but simply could not hit their shots in this night - falling behind by 20 on a Reggie Perry dunk with 9:31 to play, 35-55, and never threatening.

2-Purdue vs. 31-Merrimack --- 15-Syracuse vs. 18-Georgetown

Purdue 74, Merrimack 53: After 2 NIT games that came down to final shots, Purdue dominated as expected behind 7-foot-3 Matt Haarms (12 pts, 9 rebounds, 4 blocks) and the sharp-shooting of Sasha Stefanovic (22 points). The game was not within 10 points after Stefanovic hit a 3-pointer to make it 44-34 with 16:51 to play. Jurvaris (16 points, 5 steals) led Merrimack, the biggest surprise team of their first season moving up from Division II to Division I and winning the NEC after being picked to finish 11th of 11 teams.

Syracuse 73, Georgetown 66: John Thompson's stunning upset in the final game played Syracuse in Syracuse's Manley Field House is so famous that if you start to type Manley Field House in google it will add the rest of Thompson's quote "Manley Field House is Officially Closed." Every game Georgetown trip to the currrent Carrier Dome brings back that memory, but on this game the strength of Syracuse forwards - superstar Elijah Hughes (12 points, 8 rebounds) and Marek Dolezaj (15, 8) dominated their Hoya rivals 27-8 in points and 16-11 in rebounds. With the promising backcourt of James Akinjo and Mac McClung play limited minutes each game based on their injury plagued season the backcourt did not have enough as Syracuse point guard Joseph Girard scored 20 points. Though it was close the whole way, Syracuse never trailed.

7-OK St. vs. 26-S. Alabama --- 10-Memphis vs. 23-Wright St.

Oklahoma State 70, South Alabama 58: South Alabama (USA) dominated the boards to lead 47-42 with 10:45 (18 possessions) to play, but USA big men Trhae Mitchell and later Josh Ajayi (8 points, 9 rebounds) fouled out to let Cameron McGriff (18 points, 8 rebounds) take over inside down the stretch to lead Oklahoma State's 70-58 NIT 1st round win.

Wright St. 72, Memphis 62. Memphis started the season with potentially the top player in the country in Wiseman and national title hopes, but ended with a 42-point loss to Cincinnati that would have left then in the NIT. Switching to our simulated NIT, it continued downhill with a 1st round NIT loss as the offense could not click despite 13 steals leading to many fast break chances. The Horizon League's Wright State continued Butler's tradition of upsets, dominating underneath with power forward Bill Wampler (18 points, 7 resbounds) and center Loudon Love (15,7) holding their two counterparts to a total of 15 and 11. Love is one of the few players who gets the ball on 3 of 8 die rolls when on the court, a 5,7 or 8.


3-Arkansas vs. 30-Murray St. --- 14-Tennessee vs. 19-South Carolina

Tennessee 62, South Carolina 58. During the real season included two defensive slugfests with the home teams winning - Tennessee 56-55, then South Carolina won 63-61. At the end of the season www.kenpom.com ranked Tennessee 68th and South Carolina 69th and overall we gave Tennessee the home court advantage based on an NIT 14-seed vs. a 19-seed for South Carolina in our Value Add NIT rematch. Once again, the home team won a defensive battle with Tennessee taking the game 62-58. Tournaments do not actually allow conference foes to meet in opening rounds but we simply seeded 1 to 32 and went straight by the match-ups. In the defensive battle, the Vols dominated inside for a 44-37 rebound edge that included Yves Pons (12 points, 8 rebounds, 4 blocks) and John Fulkerson (8 points, 13 rebounds).


Arkansas 75,Murray State 70. Murray State's Anthony Smith drew 9 fouls including fouling out 3-point specialist Isaiah Joe to make it 53-46 Murray State. The Racers looked ready to follow-up on their real 1st round NCAA upset of Marquette. However last year Ja Morant was the best player in the court, and as good as Murray State's Tevin Brown (10 points, 7 rebounds), Arkansas' Jimmy Whitt (16 points, 8 rebounds, 2 steals) was top www.valueaddbasketball.com player on the court and he took over in the final 2 minutes to avoid the upset. Whitt had 2 steals and dunk to lead a 6-0 run to end the game with the 75-70 win.

Arkansas vs Tennessee

6-N. Iowa vs. 27-Louisiana Tech --- 11-Minnesota vs. 22-Furman

Northern Iowa 66, Louisiana Tech 61. Northern Iowa never trailed, but when La Tech's DaQuan Bracket scored to tie it 61-61 with 1:30 to play it was up to Isaiah Brown to score his first points of the game. Brown drew a foul going up for a 3-pointer and was fouled, hitting 2 of 3 free throws for the 63-61 lead. AJ Green hit a 3-pointer on Northern Iowa's next trip to wrap up his game-high 17 point game and the 66-61 win.  Northern Iowa did get a bit of a home job with four missed calls going their way - one more than the average three more calls in a game.

Minnesota 75, Furman 66. Point guards Jordan Lyons (Furman) and Marcus Carr (Minnesota) tied for the 4th best scoring games of the first round (23 each) to keep it close, until Minnesota www.valueaddbasketball.com All-American Daniel 
Oturu took over the final 12 minutes. Oturu's 5 blocked shots were the second best total of the opening round, and one of them with 11:22 to go kept Minnesota within 48-46, and then he dunked on consecutive trips to make it 50-48. Oturu also grabbed 14 rebounds, the second most of anyone in the opening round, and added 18 points for the most dominant overall performance of the 16 opening round games.

Paragraph summary posted when each game ends, and photo of score sheet a starters posted here.











Thursday, July 30, 2020

NIT 2020 Playing Out as 36,000th Visitor to Value Add Basketball Game

Game results continue to be added most recent first - scroll down to "Game Results." Click here for the shorter description of each game. Top Performances at bottom of blog.

Thursday night basketball resumed in the bubble and the 36,000th visitor went to our free Value Add Basketball Game. In that light, we shifted for a night from our Statis-Pro basketball league. Using these player cards we already crowned the 2020 NCAA champ (Creighton defeated Duke in title game in tournament in which 37% of games were upsets - better seed went 40-23).  The all-time Champ (Bill Walton's UCLA, which did crush Creighton in a match of the two champions).

With 20 teams left, the A10, ACC, Amer, B10, B12, BE, BSth, CUSA, MVC, SEC, SC and Sum Conferences (using www.kenpom.com abbreviations) Are All Alive

Game Results - NIT that might have been (most recent game on top, so far 31% upsets, better seed 11-5). The accounts of each game with a score sheet appear below the bracket.





We did set up an NIT tournament, but had only played one game (Oklahoma State defeated South Alabama). Obviously the marque teams all played in our NCAA, so looking back at our bracket we decided to play the most evenly matched game. We seeded the 32 teams from 1 to 32 rather than four regions of 8 seeds, and that left 17-seed St. John's visiting 16-seed UConn.

Unlike our NCAA tournaments played at neutral sites, we use the home advantage for NIT games until the Final Four. The home advantage in the game is that the home team can always flip a dice roll of 36 and 66 to their advantage. In this traditional Big East match-up (UConn will return to the Big East this year) the Huskies did get three calls - all missed four calls that hurt St. John's. Caraher misses shot with 3:07 to go in the first half, Heron drove to the hoop with 15:01 to play and missed with a no call, and finally in overtime Dunn tried to break a 76-76 tie and missed after a no call.

11-Minnesota 75, 22-Furman 66. 

Point guards Jordan Lyons (Furman) and Marcus Carr (Minnesota) tied for the 4th best scoring games of the first round (23 each) to keep it close, until Minnesota www.valueaddbasketball.com All-American Daniel Oturu took over the final 12 minutes. Oturu's 5 blocked shots were the second best total of the opening round, and one of them with 11:22 to go kept Minnesota within 48-46, and then he dunked on consecutive trips to make it 50-48. Oturu also grabbed 14 rebounds, the second most of anyone in the opening round, and added 18 points for the most dominant overall performance of the 16 opening round games.




6-Northern Iowa 66, 27-Louisiana Tech 61

Northern Iowa never trailed, but when La Tech's DaQuan Bracket scored to tie it 61-61 with 1:30 to play it was up to Isaiah Brown to score his first points of the game. Brown drew a foul going up for a 3-pointer and was fouled, hitting 2 of 3 free throws for the 63-61 lead. AJ Green hit a 3-pointer on Northern Iowa's next trip to wrap up his game-high 17 point game and the 66-61 win.  Northern Iowa did get a bit of a home job with four missed calls going their way - one more than the average three more calls in a game.



12-Mississippi St. 69, 21-Tulsa 54.

Reggie Perry, a www.valueaddbasketball.com SEC All-Star, led a 7-man rotation with 16 points and 10 rebounds. Tulsa's balanced attack with four players in the top 10 percent of all players actually won the turnover battle (14-17) and drew many more fouls (11-19) but simply could not hit their shots in this night - falling behind by 20 on a Reggie Perry dunk with 9:31 to play, 35-55, and never threatening.



5-Rhode Island 79, 23-Radford 69.

In a match-up of 2 of the best point guards in the country, Radford's Carlick Jones (21 points, 9 fouls drawn) gave Fatts Russell (17 points, 5 steals) and his Rhode Island teammates all they could handle. Radford led 50-49 with 10:48 to play, however Rhode Island's mismatch edge at the other 4 positions - as the shooting guard (Jeff Dowton 18 points, 5 rebounds, 2 steals) and small forward (21 points, 9 rebounds) helped them pull away for the double digit win.



14-Tennessee 62, 19-South Carolina 58

During the real season included two defensive slugfests with the home teams winning - Tennessee 56-55, then South Carolina won 63-61. At the end of the season www.kenpom.com ranked Tennessee 68th and South Carolina 69th and overall we gave Tennessee the home court advantage based on an NIT 14-seed vs. a 19-seed for South Carolina in our Value Add NIT rematch. Once again, the home team won a defensive battle with Tennessee taking the game 62-58. Tournaments do not actually allow conference foes to meet in opening rounds but we simply seeded 1 to 32 and went straight by the match-ups. In the defensive battle, the Vols dominated inside for a 44-37 rebound edge that included Yves Pons (12 points, 8 rebounds, 4 blocks) and John Fulkerson (8 points, 13 rebounds).




29-South Dakota State 85, 4-St. Louis 83 (OT) - 68-68 to end of regulation. 

The Summit League's South Dakota State overcame a 14-point deficit, 24 fouls including both forwards  fouling out and a monster performance by Jordan Goodwin (29 points, 10 rebounds) to stun St. Louis in overtime. Center Matt Dentlinger scored only 4 points but blocked his 5th shot to prevent a game-winner at the buzzer to force overtime. Douglas Wilson then scored 8 of his 21 points in overtime before fouling out as they scored 17 in overtime for the win.



3-Arkansas 75, 30-Murray State 70

Murray State's Anthony Smith drew 9 fouls including fouling out 3-point specialist Isaiah Joe
To make it 53-46 Murray State. The Racers looked ready to follow-up on their real 1st round NCAA upset of Marquette. However last year Ja Morant was the best player in the court, and as good as Murray State's Tevin Brown (10 points, 7 rebounds), Arkansas' Jimmy Whitt (16 points, 8 rebounds, 2 steals) was top www.valueaddbasketball.com player on the court and he took over in the final 2 minutes to avoid the upset. Whitt had 2 steals and dunk to lead a 6-0 run to end the game with the 75-70 win.



23-Wright St. 72, 10-Memphis 62: Memphis started the season with potentially the top player in the country in Wiseman and national title hopes, but ended with a 42-point loss to Cincinnati that would have left then in the NIT. Switching to our simulated NIT, it continued downhill with a 1st round NIT loss as the offense could not click despite 13 steals leading to many fast break chances. The Horizon League's Wright State continued Butler's tradition of upsets, dominating underneath with power forward Bill Wampler (18 points, 7 resbounds) and center Loudon Love (15,7) holding their two counterparts to a total of 15 and 11. Love is one of the few players who gets the ball on 3 of 8 die rolls when on the court, a 5,7 or 8.




9-Texas 84, 24-Colgate 82:
Texas coach Shaka Smart will only host his former team VCU in the 2nd round because his star Jericho Sims took over in the final minutes including the game-winner buzzer beater. The 44 possessions we play included 13 lead changes and 8 ties. Sims scored with 3:30 left to give Texas a 71-70 lead, then to tie it 73-73 on the next trip, then grabbed an offensive rebound and fed Courtney Ramsey to make it 75-73, then scored again for 77-75 lead for 6 points, and offensive rebound and assist in four trips. When Will Raymond capped his 27-point game with a game-tying 3-pointer to make it 82-82, before Sims beat the buzzer for the 84-82 win.



20-Alabama 77, 13-Notre Dame 68.
Alabama overcame 18 turnovers and a bit of a home job at South Bend with a barrage of 3-pointers to advance. On roughly 100 rolls of the 4 dice per game (44 possessions per team plus some offensive rebounds and extra possessions for steals-fast breaks or fouls in the last 9 possessions) there is a one in 36 chance of a bad call favoring the home team that can slip a roll of 36 (foul) and 66 (non foul). The refs missed four Notre Dame fouls, one more bad call than average. However, Bama hit four 3-pointers in their first 6 possessions to take a 32-20 lead and they never trailed behind double digits from their trio of stars in PG Kira Lewis (16 points), SG Jaden Shacelford (18) and John Petty (12).



 15-Syracuse 73, 18-Georgetown 66.  John Thompson's stunning upset in the final game played Syracuse in Syracuse's Manley Field House is so famous that if you start to type Manley Field House in google it will add the rest of Thompson's quote "Manley Field House is Officially Closed." Every game Georgetown trip to the currrent Carrier Dome brings back that memory, but on this game the strength of Syracuse forwards - superstar Elijah Hughes (12 points, 8 rebounds) and Marek Dolezaj (15, 8) dominated their Hoya rivals 27-8 in points and 16-11 in rebounds. With the promising backcourt of James Akinjo and Mac McClung play limited minutes each game based on their injury plagued season the backcourt did not have enough as Syracuse point guard Joseph Girard scored 20 points. Though it was close the whole way, Syracuse never trailed.




 25-VCU 76, 8-Stanford 61

The first big upset of the 2020 NIT started at Stanford with a 13-0 blitz from VCU that made it 33-20 out of the gate.  In a match-up of star shooting guards, VCU's De'Riante Jenkins stole the ball on two of the first four trips, and on two others back-up Corey Douglas grabbed offensive rebounds and on one of the steals Douglas completed a 4-point play off the steal from Jenkins.

The other match-up of big stars featred the two centers with similar last names, as VCU's Marcus Santos-Silva (9 points, 15 rebounds) dominated the boards while Stanford's Oscar da Silva (10 points, 7 rebounds) was strong with four blocked shots. However, the surprise games by Douglas (9 points, 3 rebounds in limited time) and small forward Issac Vann (19 points, 7 rebounds).


The upset brought back memories of VCU's team that Jay Bilas said should never have been invited to the tournament, but made the miracle run to the Final Four. That team is in our great teams in the game, featuring Bradford Burgess. When Burgess played for my alma mater, Benedictine High School, I once watched him help win a battle of two of Virginia's Top 10 teams. Our Cadets beat TC Williams, the inspiration for the movie Remember the Titans, and Burgess teammate and future NBA player Ed Davis had my favorite stat line ever - 30 points, 20 rebounds, 10 blocked shots.



 2-Purdue 74, 31-Merrimack 53

After 2 NIT games that came down to final shots, Purdue dominated as expected behind 7-foot-3 Matt Haarms (12 pts, 9 rebounds, 4 blocks) and the sharp-shooting of Sasha Stefanovic (22 points).

The game was not within 10 points after Stefanovic hit a 3-pointer to make it 44-34 with 16:51 to play. Jurvaris (16 points, 5 steals) led Merrimack, the biggest surprise team of their first season moving up from Division II to Division I and winning the NEC after being picked to finish 11th of 11 teams.


Here are the top players in the NEC.



 1-Xavier 79, 32-North Florida 77

North Florida's Ivan Gandia-Rosa, who just missed Atlantic Sun Value Add Player of the year, came within seconds of upsetting 1-seed Xavier. Having already drawn 5 fouls on Paul Scrugg's, he hit 2 free throws finish with 28 points and lead 77-76 with 16 seconds to play.

Quintin Gooden missed a potential game-winner for Xavier, but Tyrique Jones grabbed the offensive rebound (game-high 9), fed the ball to Naji Marshall who scored the game-winner despite being fouled and hit the free throw to finish with a team-high 15 and deliver the 79-77 win.


Here are the top rated ASun players in the past season.


17-St. John's 86, 16-UConn 83 (74-74 end of regulation)

Here is a picture of the score sheet and five starters for each team, except we accidentally put Mustapha Heron of St. John's on the second line of players even though he is a starter. You can click on and blow up the photo to see the running score and the stats marked for each players points, rebounds, steals, turnovers, blocks and fouls:


The team's players all now come on one sheet so you can cut them into 10 cards or just keep the sheet together.

The fact that St. John's even forced overtime was amazing, since UConn's Christian Vital (19 points, 5 rebounds, 3 steals) dominated for a stretch - on three straight trips hitting a 3-pointer, getting an offensive rebound and kicking out to Gilbert for a 3-pointer and then coming up with a steal and fast break dunk to complete an 8-0 run to go from down 32-33 to up 40-32.

With 6-foot-11 Carlton dominating (12 points and 12 rebounds) dominating the offensive boards against the smaller St. John's, UConn maintained the lead and led 60-50 with just 5 minutes to play.

However, St. John's then did one they do best, turning UConn over down the stretch. While the lack of height hurt until that point, center Champagnie had 6 steals en route to a team 16-8 edge in steals with several in the last 5 minutes. Figueroa hit two 3-pointers en route to his game high 23 points and Willams scored with 16 seconds left to close the amazing 24-14 run in the final 5 minutes to send the game into overtime 74-74.

With 1:30 left, St. John's had a 4-point trip when Dunn stole the ball and scored on the fast break while being fouled, then missed the free throw by Champagnie who put it in to cut the score to 71-65.

Dunn and Figueroa took over in OT to advance St. John's 86-83 to face the winner of 1-seed Xavier vs. 32-seed North Florida.

Here is the complete bracket, followed by the breakdown of the one NIT game we played before the break.


NIT Games with Home Court Advantage

7-Oklahoma State 70, 26-South Alabama 58

South Alabama (USA) dominated the boards to lead 47-42 with 10:45 (18 possessions) to play.

However, USA big men Trhae Mitchell and later Josh Ajayi (8 points, 9 rebounds) fouled out to let Cameron McGriff (18 points, 8 rebounds) take over inside down the stretch to lead Oklahoma State's 70-68 NIT 1st round win.

Since our NCAA tournament was played using neutral court rules, this was the first time a game was played as a home game, and two calls hurt USA. The refs missed a call (36 roll) that prevented Mitchell from hitting a 3-pointer and instead caused a turnover. Later Mitchell's 5th foul was on a good call but one that would have been overlooked (also 36 roll) if South Alabama were at home.

From the time Mitchell fouled out USA was outscored 28-11 in part because of several OSU baskets on shots Mitchell would have blocked if still in the game.

With the other two front line players fouled out, USA's Chad Lott (16 points) kept it close for a while, but OSU's point guard Isaac Likelele (9 points, 5 steals) helped OSU win the turnover battle 16 to 8.

The following photo is of the first game played with the team sheets rather than the bigger playing cards. All 10 players on each team are on their sheet, though in the photo we just show the 5.starters across the top and the scoresheet at the top.




Top points; Goodwin (St. Louis) 29, Gamdia-Rosa (N.Florida) 28, Rayman (Colgate) 27, Figueroa (St. John's) 23, Stefanovic (Purdue) 22.

Top Rebounds; Santos-Silva (VCU) 15, Mooney (ND) 13, Fulkerson (Tennessee) 13, French (St. Louis) 12, Holland (Radford) 12.

Top Steals; Champagnie (St. John's ) 6, Likekel (OK St.) 5, Hayes (Merrimack) 5, Jenkins (VCU) 5, Lomax (Memphis ) 5, Russell (Rhode Island) 5.

Top Blocks; Sidibe (Syracuse) 6, Dentlinger (South Dakota State) 5, Langevine (Rhode Island) 5, Haarms (Purdue ) 4, da Silva (Stanford ) 4, Pons (Tennessee) 4.

Biggest Margin - Purdue +21 vs Merrimack 74-53, runner-up VCU and Mississippi State +15 each

Best offense - Texas 84-82 in regulation past Colgate, runner-up Colgate in same game.

Best Defense - Purdue 74-53 vs Merrimack, runner-up Mississippi State vs Tulsa 69-54


Monday, July 20, 2020

Debut Score sheets and Free 2020 Statis-Pro Cards and Game; Machado Stops Cole's Perfecto but Yanks Dominate

To play Statis-pro baseball just click on the score sheet for each of the 30 teams, which now includes cards for all 30 teams based on Zips projections. See the (free game here). Search "new games" to find where newest game score sheets start.

This blog includes the games we have played. In our season five teams from each league were relegated, while the 10 AL teams below and 10 NL teams being played separately continue to play for four division Championship byes and eight wild card spots.


AL "East"WLDivWCUpcoming 2-game seriesplayoffs
NYY492907LAA, Min, Mil (3) 2-Bye
TB.  4830-26CWS, LAA, StL (3)3 vs 6-cws
Cle4038-9-2Hou, Oak, Tor (3)Out 
Bost3642-13-6Hou, Oak, Pit (3)Out 
Tor. 3543-14-7Cle, Hou, Min, (3)Out 
AL "West"WLDivWCUpcoming 2-game seriesplayoffs
Hou472508Bos, Cle, Tor, CWS (4)1-Bye
Min4335-72NYY, Tor, Tex (3)4 vs 5-oak
LAA4137-9-1NYY, TB, Phi (3)Out
Oak. 3933-80Bos, Cle, CWS, CHC (4)  5 vs 4-min
CWS4236-80TB, Hou, Oak (3)6 vs 3-tb

The grid of all series are in this google sheet. Bold opponents indicates games against a relegated (therefore easier opponent). After all series above, each team will have played two games against the other 9 teams in these AL standings, two NL qualifiers, and 5 relegated teams.

As a sample, here is the score sheet and game notes for the 2-game series between the Yankees and Padres, which you can click on and stretch out to see the result of every at bat.


For the past month I've been plugging a set of Basic because the batters cards seemed as accurate as the Advanced Cards produced by Derrick Beckner that I use for all-time games. Unfortunately when I pointed out the formulas for those Basic cards allowed way too many hits to be allowed by most pitchers, rather than simply considering revising his cards the creator was defensive and I simply created the 2020 cards myself so you can play your own games with them. I suggest using the sheets for your pitcher cards, and use a stack of cards you already have or choose to buy for your line-ups, but I did include a second sheet on the google sheet with rough batters cards - so you can play without buying anything except a few dice.

New games

Dbacks crush Ohtani to complete 8-4 and 12-3 domination to knock Angels out of playoffs for now

The Angels would not make the playoffs if the Statis-pro season ended today, as even with a great card Ohtani was blasted as hard as he was in his actual 2020 season.



Manchado spoils Cole perfect game, but Yanks blast Padres, pull within 1 of Astros (13-0, 6-1).

Through 8 innings, Cole allowed only one base-runner (Machado double) and striking out 13 in a 13-0 win. That saved the 4 ace relievers to close out the 2nd game. The score sheet appears at the top of this blog.

Twins lose 2-5 and 0-4 to Nats - Scherzer 15k, 1 H and 2 W in shutout

Twins fall percentage points behind Angels to flip 4- and 5- seeds.


White Sox 8-6 and 10-9 over Orioles when 2 9th inning DEEP drives caught at wall

The White Sox continued to slug, finally catching the A's for a virtual tie for the 6th and final AL playoff spot. This was our first game played since the actual MLB season started.



Tigers 3-1 win, then Red Sox 4-1

At the 78-game mark for all AL East teams, the Red Sox managed only a split with their weakest opponent left on the schedule, staying 13 games behind the Yankees for 1st and six out of the playoffs.



Indians pull within 2 games of playoffs, 9-1 and 4-2 over Marlins 

Pitching (assume 1 inning pitched unless parenthesis for number if innings) runs allowed. Each # symbol means one unearned run.

Indians - 1st Game, beiber (8.0) 1 w, Rodriguez 0. 2nd game, Plurko ( 3.0*) 0, wittgren 0, Maton (0.2) 1, wood (1.1) 0 W, Hoyt 0, Perez 0, Hand 0 S.

Marlins - 1st game, Hernandez (4.0) 7## L, neibert 0, Duggar 0, stekenridge 0, Brigham 1, alcantara 0. 2nd game, Lopez (6.0) 3 L, sharp 1, stanek 1, tarpley 9.




Mariners scrap past Rays once, Rays respond with blowout to stay within game of Yanks

Rays best pitching staff in game.


Mariners Speed Upsets Rays 7-5; Tsutsugo in Rays 10-2 win to stay within a game of Yanks.

Tsutsugo 3 homers in 2-game series.



Blue Jays Playoff Hopes Fade with 7-2, 10-2 Losses to Rangers


Blue Jays' ace Ryu pitched 7 great innings in a 2-2 tie, but when the Blue Jays young sluggers do not put up their normal great numbers they are in trouble. In the 8th inning, Gallo's 3-run but HR started a 9-inning stretch during which the Rangers scored 15 runs. The complete sweep was a huge blow to the young Blue Jays' playoff hopes, as they are now 7 games out of the last wild card spot.

In their last 6 at bats, respectively, Gallo had three hits including two home runs, and Choo (batting before him in the No. 3 spot)  had 5 hits including one home run. In the second game, Rangers ace Lance Lynn went 8 strong innings to wrap up the 7-2 and 10-2 wins.

Once the schedule at the top is done the strength of schedule will be balanced and all 10 teams will have played 6 games against each other, as well as the same number of relegated teams (5 from each league that did not make the cutoff for the top 10) and NL teams who did advance. The free instructions are here. All you need is a few dice. However, while we don't sell anything, we do recommend once you try out the game you order your own playing cards and we recommend using adjustments for ball parks based on this chart,