Sunday, July 13, 2025

Skenes Wins, Judge Injured in Statis-Pro Match-up Previews Actual World Series

 


Just like Tuesday's all-Star Game, our next Statis-Pro baseball game features Paul Skenes vs. Aaron Judge - when the Pittsburgh Pirates host the NY Yankees. The cards actually appear in sheet form on the free Statis-Pro game, but above are the numbers from the sheets put on the traditional Statis-Pro baseball cards.

While every fan knows Judge's incredible numbers, the following facts about Skenes may make him even more impressive. 

1) Skenes is the first pitcher in baseball history to start the All-Star Game his first two seasons.

2) Only four pitchers in the history of the game have career ERAs of lower than 2.00. Here they are with their last season pitched:

1877 Louisville Grays - Jim Deulin, 1.90 career ERA

1910 Cleveland Naps - Addie Joss, 1.89 career ERA

1917 Boston Braves - Ed Walsh, 1.84 career ERA

2025 Pittsburgh Pirates - Paul Skenes, 1.98 career ERA

Note we project the card to produce about a 2.40 ERA, but so far he has actually been much better than that both seasons.

Yankees L; Skenes 2-0, Pirates 2-4 Overall

Our Statis-Pro Pittsburgh Pirates improved 2-4 by evening their series against the NY Yankees, breaking a scoreless tie in the 6th inning on a rare Z-Play when the Yankees two All-Stars Jazz Chisholm and Aaron Judge, collided on a Heliot Ramos drive to right center that then fell in for a double.

This was the first injury of our Statis-Pro season on the Z-play charts really used to force the occasional substitution to use bench player cards. After the two All-Stars left the game, Jasson Domínguez's card was used for the rest of the game and he singled and threw out a runner at home from right field.

The Pirates are 0-4 except for the two games in which All-Star starter Skenes have been wins as his 6 shutout innings in this game made him 2-0 and lowered his Statis-Pro ERA to 2.25, compared to his card projected to yield about a 2.40 ERA and a little higher than his career 1.98 ERA. As shown in the photo below, the Pirates tacked on runs in the 7th and 8th for the 4-0 win. Here is the box score.

Pos   New York Yankees      OPS      SB    AB  R   H    RBI        Notes                                
CFJazz Chisholm Jr.0.836A3000inj, collide Judge
CFOswaldo Cabrera0.686B0000BB
RFAaron Judge1.134B2000inj, collide Chisholm
RFJasson Domínguez0.754A2010OF assist 9-2
DHBen Rice0.778C3000 
1bPaul Goldschmidt0.777B2000BB
CFCody Bellinger0.775B3000 
CAustin Wells0.74C30102B
SSAnthony Volpe0.713A3000 
2bPablo Reyes0.667B3010 
3bOswald Peraza0.676A3000K all 3 times
 Batted 0.111  27030 
         
PBNYY PitchersERAIPHRERWK & notes
2'-7Luis Gil4.13671115 Ks, Loss
2'-7Will Warren4.340.721110 K
2'-8Luke Weaver4.231.332202 K
 Game ERA 4.50 8124427 K, 4-0 team loss
         
PosPittsburgh PiratesOPSSBABRHRBINotes
SSOneil Cruz0.785A3010walk
CFJack Suwinski0.769A4000 
LFBryan Reynolds0.768C4230MVP
2bNick Gonzales0.753D41202b
CHeliot Ramos0.788C40112b
DHAndrew McCutchen0.71D4000 
1bEndy Rodríguez0.692E4011 
RFTommy Pham0.677B3010BB, SB
3bJared Triolo0.679B31202b
 Batted 0.333  334112 
         
PBPitt pitchersERAIPHRERWK & notes
2'-9Paul Skenes2.40620007 K, Win
4'-7Colin Holderman3.76110010 K
4'-7Bailey Falter4.36100001 K
2'-7Dennis Santana3.84100011 K
 Game ERA 0.00 930029 K, 4-0 win

Play-by-play scoresheet.



Friedl GW HR Gives Reds Split with Astros: Cruz 2 2bs, All-Star Abbott Strong

After the Astros won a close one in Houston with ace Hunter Brown on the mound against the Reds No. 4 starter, it was the Reds now All-Star ace Andrew Abbott (now a PB 2-8 as one of the top 15% of all pitchers - meaning a projected ERA around 3.00) for a 3-1 Reds win at home.

However the big surprise came in the 3rd inning, when both the Astros Jeremy Peña and then the Reds Christian Encarnacion-Strand launched deep drives that result in homers 75% of the time (11-68 of 11-88 random number) at the Great American Park but both were caught - including the poor fielding Yordan Alvarez reaching over the left field fence on a "71" that was as close as you can have to a homer there. Alvarez is now playing left field in our game despite an E9, CD1 fielding rating because during his injury Isaac Paredes has hit great as DH so we leave him in the the line-up as the cleanup hitter behind Alvarez.

Elly De La Cruz continued to look like the MVP of our NL Statis-Pro season with two doubles and then a steal of third and the other time moving up to 3rd on a fly ball, but the Reds could not get him home either time. For the first time in six games we did not give him the Reds player of the game award, as TJ Friedl hit a walkoff homer for the 3-1 win to follow-up on an early single. Often more runs can be scored in the 2nd game because the top relievers pitched in the first game of the series (we only allow relievers to pitch once in the 2-game series) which meant that Astros All-Star closer Josh Hader and both of their PB 2-8 relievers (Bennett Susa and Bryan Abreu) were not available in the 9th inning and it was PB 2-7 (still above average) Bryan King who was the loser. Prior to giving up Friedl's homer yielded a single to Austin Hays and then Blake Dunn came in to pinch run, stole second and then scored the game-winning run trotting home on the game-winning homer.



Here are the line-ups in the Reds 3-1 win to split the series 

0PosHOU Deep 11'-48 = HR, Daikin Park HOU
1SSJeremy Peña
22bJose Altuve
3LFYordan Alvarez
4dhIsaac Paredes
51bChristian Walker
6CYainer Diaz
7CFChas McCormick
83bZach Dezenzo
9RFJake Meyers
   
0PosCIN Deep 11'-68 = HR, Great American Ball Park CIN
1ssElly De La Cruz
22bMatt McLain
31bChristian Encarnacion-Strand
43bJeimer Candelario
5lfAustin Hays
 prBlake Dunn
6CFTJ Friedl
7CJose Trevino
8RFJake Fraley
9SSGarrett Hampson

Saturday, July 12, 2025

Statis-Pro New Player Cards for Every 2025 All-Star Player

 Scroll down for every 2025 Baseball All-Star ranked by OPS or ERA with links to their Baseball Reference page. Then continue to scroll and you will see the new Statis-Pro baseball card we made for each and every All-Star based on their updated projected stats for the season on FanGraphs projections. 

If you scroll below the rankings, you will see the calculated batters and then pitchers cards that you can use to play the free Statis-Pro baseball game - and those all-stars are now also in red in their team cards on the sheets that come with the game. For example, we don't expect Cal Raleigh to keep his current OPS of 1.022 and hit another 38 homers in the second half to finish with 76 homers, so we don't base his new card on the first half stats. However, it is clear he has made a huge jump from the career 0.791 OPS his card was based on, so we recalculated his card to assume he finishes the season with the FanGraphs projected 0.974 OPS and about 54 homers in 647 at bats - and that means if a pitcher leaves it on his card then 10 of 64 numbers (21-32 of the 11-88 base-8 numbers or dice roll is a homer in addition to deep drive on 33-35 that could go out). 

Team   OPS       All-Star Batter             Rnk    All-Star Pitcher            ERA     Team
NYY1.134Aaron Judge1Aroldis Chapman1.74BOS
LAD0.993Shohei Ohtani2Randy Rodríguez1.93SFG
ATL0.989Ronald Acuña Jr.3Edwin Díaz2.16NYM
SEA0.957Cal Raleigh4Andrés Muñoz2.17SEA
ARI0.936Ketel Marte5Jason Adam2.26SDP
LAD0.913Will Smith6Tarik Skubal2.38DET
PHI0.909Kyle Schwarber7Paul Skenes2.4PIT
WSN0.893James Wood8Garrett Crochet2.48BOS
NYM0.884Pete Alonso9Jacob deGrom2.55TEX
CHC0.871Kyle Tucker10Zack Wheeler2.56PHI
BOS0.87Alex Bregman11Carlos Estévez2.59KCR
MIN0.867Byron Buxton12Max Fried2.65NYY
ARI0.866Corbin Carroll13Josh Hader2.69HOU
CLE0.861José Ramírez14Chris Sale2.72ATL
TBR0.86Jonathan Aranda15Hunter Brown2.72HOU
KCR0.857Bobby Witt Jr.16Kris Bubic2.83KCR
DET0.848Riley Greene17Andrew Abbott2.84CIN
LAD0.847Freddie Freeman18Matthew Boyd2.91CHC
ATH0.845Brent Rooker19Drew Rasmussen3.03TBR
CIN0.844Elly De La Cruz20Yoshinobu Yamamoto3.06LAD
ATH0.836Jacob Wilson21Robbie Ray3.09SFG
NYY0.836Jazz Chisholm Jr.22Logan Webb3.12SFG
TOR0.836Vladimir Guerrero Jr.23Casey Mize3.23DET
ATL0.831Matt Olson24Freddy Peralta3.3MIL
ARI0.827Eugenio Suárez25MacKenzie Gore3.3WSN
MIA0.827Kyle Stowers26Bryan Woo3.37SEA
BAL0.826Ryan O'Hearn27Yusei Kikuchi3.44LAA
SDP0.826Fernando Tatis Jr.28Clayton Kershaw3.61LAD
CHC0.825Pete Crow-Armstrong29Jacob Misiorowski3.75MIL
SDP0.825Manny Machado30Robert Suarez3.96SDP
COL0.823Hunter Goodman31Carlos Rodón4.09NYY
HOU0.819Jeremy Peña32Shane Smith4.38CHW
HOU0.817Isaac Paredes33   
TBR0.802Brandon Lowe34   
DET0.801Zach McKinstry35   
NYM0.801Francisco Lindor36   
TBR0.789Junior Caminero37   
SEA0.785Randy Arozarena38   
STL0.785Brendan Donovan39   
DET0.78Gleyber Torres40   
KCR0.78Maikel Garcia41   
TOR0.764Alejandro Kirk42   
CLE0.75Steven Kwan43   
SEA0.726Julio Rodríguez44   
DET0.72Javier Báez45  

Here are the new Statis-Pro batters cards which have also been inserted in red on the google sheet of all major league batters. If you are already playing the current season with a different set of Statis-Pro cards, you may want to consider just upgrading these cards so they are listed by team. We did not update fielding or platoon calculations. The Line-up number notes where we suggested putting them in their team's line-up based on the other Statis-Pro cards for that team in our game.



Below are the updated pitchers' cards for every All-Star which also appear in red on the list of all 2025 Statis-Pro pitchers' cards.  The second number is where we put them in the starting rotation, but if it is a double digit number under "Rot" that means a reliever, and a "10" is the card we use as the closer, "11" as the second best reliever card on the team and set-up etc. We only use the 1-4 starters for our rotation in the game, but for most teams we list starters 1-6 in case we need one to replace one of the 1-4 starters if they go on 60 day DL or are traded, or if we just need a long reliever when the starter is knocked out early.


Ballpark Adjustments before calculating cards: Since 20 of 30 ballparks are very close to average in runs scored per game (between 0.95 and 1.05 of the major league average) we only adjust projected stats for the five parks where pitches have a big edge or vice versa, based on these calculations. In those cases we multiplied a pitcher's ERA by the factor that would determine he did not play half his games in his pitchers' or batters' park, and for batters in those same parks we multiplied to get the correct number of singles, doubles, triples and homers. I listed those factors below the player cards. 



Friday, July 11, 2025

Sale vs. Tigers and all 24 teams stacked

 



Having printed and cut out the batters and pitchers for all 24 Statis-pro teams we decided to use, we decided to paper clip each team and layout in alpha order before we stacked them, so here they are.

In the game we just finished, the Braves continued to play much better than the actual team this year. The two cards today are for players that are every bit as good then year - with Chris Sales pitching 7 innings with no earned runs allowed to improve to 2-0, and Ronald Acuna hitting a 3-run homer for a 6-3 win to make the Braves 4-2 in Statis-pro play while having a terrible mlb season.

Preview:

The Braves lefty Chris Sale looks tough against a few lefty batters also out on 11 or 12, but the one Tigers weapon vs lefties is flipping DH hitters ans moving Justyn-Henry Malloy up to the 2 spit because he turns outs into hits on 85-88 on either the pitcher or natter card.




Results to follow

Thursday, July 10, 2025

Final AL Statis-Pro Cards Debut - Twins Host DBacks

Arizona results at Minnesota and photo of cards to be added after game. 

Arizona has dropped to 0-5 in our Statis-Pro season despite Moreno's 2-run homer. Here is the remaining interleague games and standings, with these NL teams having the edge for these games at home and with their aces going against the No. 4 pitcher listed for each AL opponent. Here is the actual game logs of all our games played this season - with teams averaging 3.9 runs per game. The Dodgers have the No. 1 offense with 5.2 runs scored per game, and the Mets have the No. 1 pitching with 2.2 runs per game allowed.



Preview and Rosters

This matchup is between the two teams Fangraphs believes are most likely to finish exactly .500, 81-81 or close to it.

In the last debut of our Statis-Pro Interleague series, the Diamondbacks need to go through their 4-man rotation a second time but this time without Corbin Burnes, because we do remove cards in our league play if they are lost for the season or put on 60-day DL. That was the one big edge Arizona would have had because all the other starting pitchers for both teams are PB 2-7 (above average) so consider the pitching even with all 2-7 vs 2-7 starters but both with loaded bullpens.




The Diamondbacks have hung around in actual MLB play despite losing Corbin, and when we look at in season adjustments we see why with five of their nine starters being upgraded during the season (adding one home run) including the No. 9 hitter Geraldo Perdomo who at shortstop ranks as the 52nd best player this season in WAR. Meanwhile the Twins have two players who are downgraded by one home run of two players including their shortstop, Carlos Correa.

In our otherwise balanced Statis-Pro season, Arizona is the only winless team at 0-4. However, this is just of the teams we included, the teams we judged the bottom three teams in each league were relegated and not in this 12 NL vs 12 AL team showdown. The Game 5 match-ups are the tough one for each NL team, since it is there 4th best starter (Arizona's Ryne Nelson due to two injuries) against the Twins ace starer (Pablo López). Not surprisingly, the AL teams are 7-4 in these match-ups so far in which they are at home with their ace on the hill.

Each team will then play at the NL park with the rotation reversed to give the NL the same edge to complete the 2-game series and LA Dodgers already started the NL 1-0 in Game 6s.

The relegated teams are still the teams we have ranked at the bottom based on Fangraphs percent chance to make the playoffs and then fewest projected wins, with the following exceptions. The Marlins are relegated but the Pirates who we are using in the game have slipped slightly below them as the 4th worst team according to Fangraphs. For purposes of these interleague series, we used the LA Angels for the matchup with the Dodgers, though if we picked AL teams based on Fangraphs we would have included the Orioles rather than the Angels, but barely.




 
OrderPos/PBMinnesota BattersWAROPS/ERASteal/Max IPAdjust/K
1DHByron Buxton970.800B 
2LFMatt Wallner 0.793D 
3SSCarlos Correa 0.778Eminus HR
43bBrooks Lee 0.773C 
52bMickey Gasper 0.751Dminus HR
6RFTrevor Larnach 0.738C 
7CRyan Jeffers1700.737D 
81bTy France 0.730D 
9CFWilli Castro 0.716Badd HR
153bJonah Bride 0.712Eminus 2 HR
151bKody Clemens 0.700Cadd HR
153bJose Miranda 0.723Dminus HR
152bEdouard Julien 0.722B 
15LFHarrison Bader650.700A 
15ofDaShawn Keirsey Jr. 0.683Aminus 2 HR
15CChristian Vázquez 0.598D 
       
OrderPos/PBMinnesota PitchersWAROPS/ERASteal/Max IPAdjust/K
12'-7Pablo López1563.85725-44
22'-7Joe Ryan603.82725-45
32'-7Zebby Matthews 3.86626-44
42'-7Bailey Ober 3.85625-44
52'-7Louis Varland 4.25626-43
64'-7Andrew Morris 4.32627-41
102'-9Jhoan Duran1232.39223-45
112'-9Danny Coulombe 3.46125-44
122'-8Griffin Jax 3.19224-46
132'-8Cole Sands 3.62224-44
142'-8Chris Paddack1774.28425-41
154'-7Simeon Woods Richardson 4.34625-41
164'-7Randy Dobnak 4.47626-38
174'-7Darren McCaughan 4.69627-41
184'-7Justin Topa 3.79126-42
192'-6Chase Chaney 4.99627-36
202'-6Michael Tonkin 4.27225-43
212'-6Anthony Misiewicz 4.5226-43
232'-5Erasmo Ramírez 4.79227-42
242'-5Kyle Bischoff 4.95225-42
       
OrderPos/PBArizona BattersWAROPS/ERASteal/Max IPAdjust/K
1RFCorbin Carroll350.811Aadd HR
22bKetel Marte470.828Dadd HR
31bJosh Naylor 0.789C 
4CGabriel Moreno 0.784D 
53bEugenio Suárez1170.753Dadd HR
6DHPavin Smith 0.748Dadd HR
7LFLourdes Gurriel Jr. 0.744C 
8CFAlek Thomas 0.722B 
15LFRandal Grichuk 0.712E 
9SSGeraldo Perdomo520.709Badd HR
15RFJake McCarthy 0.709Aminus HR
152BTim Tawa 0.632D 
15CJose Herrera 0.572D 
15OFJorgeBarrosa 0.55D 
       
OrderPos/PBArizona PitchersWAROPS/ERASteal/Max IPAdjust/K
12'-9Corbin Burnes57, DL603.02724-43
22'-7Zac Gallen 3.45725-43
32'-7Brandon Pfaadt 3.77726-44
42'-7Merrill Kelly813.87726-42
52'-7Jordan MontgomeryDL604.01726-41
62'-7Ryne Nelson 4.07726-41
102'-9A.J. PukDL603.01223-46
112'-8Justin MartinezDL603.13222-44
122'-8Joe Mantiply 3.55126-42
132'-8Shelby Miller1593.69225-41
142'-7Tayler Scott 3.63224-42
152'-7Ryan Thompson 3.55126-41
164'-7Kevin Ginkel 3.09124-44
174'-7Jalen Beeks 3.64225-41
184'-7Tommy Henry 4.3626-41
194'-7Spencer Giesting 4.38625-38

Wednesday, July 9, 2025

Most Shocking Combo Since 1970s Statis-Pro Games - 2 CYCLES in 1 GAME

The Board and out charts in my free Statis-Pro game are from the year I first got the game - 1977. Tonight's game may have been the most shocking combo of developments I've ever had in a game.

Cycles are less frequent than no-hitters, and I don't remember any cycles when playing over the decades though I'm sure I must have. 

However, tonight in my league in which teams have averaged fewer than 4 runs a game (we only use the top 4 starting pitchers and the best relievers pitch every other game so pitching is tougher than batters see in a normal season rotation) the Milwaukee Brewers exploded to beat the Kansas City Royals 13-10.

But even more amazing:

1. In the top of the 7th inning Joey Ortiz hit a rare home run to complete a cycle, a single in the 2nd inning, double in the third inning, triple in the 5th inning before the homer n the 7th - to make the score 11-0 Brewers. Ortiz only has a pure home run number on a 27 on his batters card, but it was a 28 which is a deep drive and it went out in Kaufman Stadium's 11-71 home run range park, the drive went out on a ball only hit far enough to leave a couple of parks. In a DEEP drive on a player card you refer to the next 11-88 random number or dice roll to see if it goes out and this is one of the easiest home run parks.

2. Then in the 9th something happened I would likely never see if I play Statis-Pro for another 50 years, Sal Frelick hit a homer to complete a cycle  as well. Frelick has no pure homers on his card, but he drew a clutch batting card, meaning on the next card anything that shows up as an extra base hit is a home run and so it was to make the score 13-6 Brewers. Frelick has actually hit several homers this season in MLB play but didnt project enough homers to have any on his card.

3. While not quite as impossible as the first two items, the third amazing development was that after trailing 11-0, the Royals Bobby Witt Jr. hit single in the 7th, double in the 8th and then 3-run homer n the 9th to make it 13-10 and after an 11-0 lead, the Brewers had to use their all-star closer Trevor Megill to come in for the final strikeout to get the save 13-10.

This is why we play fantasy sports games and watch baseball.

I had to try AI to see if this has ever happened in actual baseball, and Chat indicates that it did happen in a minor league game four years ago - when Stone Garrett and Matt Lipka of the Amarillo Sod Poodles both hit for the cycle against the Tulsa Drillers. So it is technically possible, but does not appear it has never happened in the majors.




Results to be added.





 
Order   Pos/PB  Royals Batter Cards    WAR   OPS/ERA   Steal/Max IP  Adjust/K     
1SSBobby Witt Jr.70.863A 
21bVinnie Pasquantino1450.813D 
3dhJonathan India 0.760Cminus HR
4CSalvador Perez 0.748Eminus HR
5RFMJ Melendez 0.741Eminus HR
6LFMark Canha 0.735Cminus HR
72bMichael Massey 0.733Cminus 3 HR
8CFDairon Blanco 0.713AAA 
93bMaikel Garcia710.688Aadd 2 HR
15DHHunter Renfroe 0.702E 
15CFreddy Fermin 0.675D 
15CFKyle Isbel 0.675B 
152bCavan Biggio 0.662Dminus HR
15cfTyler Tolbert 0.608A 
 rfLuke Maile 0.72Dnew card
 OFDrewWaters 0.707B 
       
       
OrderPos/PBRoyals Pitcher CardsWAROPS/ERASteal/Max IPAdjust/K
12'-8Cole Ragans 3.7724-44
22'-7Seth Lugo1853.84726-42
32'-7Michael Wacha594.2726-42
42'-7Noah Cameron764.36626-42
54'-7Daniel Lynch IV1944.5626-41
64'-7Michael Lorenzen 4.44625-37
102'-9Kris Bubic53.91225-41
112'-8Hunter Harvey 3.23225-43
122'-8Carlos Estévez1733.59124-42
132'-8Lucas Erceg 3.69223-42
142'-7John Schreiber 3.72125-42
152'-7Angel Zerpa 3.95225-38
164'-7Steven Zobac 4.5626-38
174'-7Alec Marsh 4.55625-42
184'-7Chandler Champlain 4.76627-38
192'-6Steven Cruz 4.22224-41
202'-6James McArthur 4.33225-41
212'-6Evan Sisk 4.44124-41
222'-5Sam Long 4.43225-41
232'-5Chris Stratton 4.52225-38
242'-5Ben Kudrna 5.08626-37
       
       
OrderPos/PBBrewers Batter CardsWAROPS/ERASteal/Max IPAdjust/K
1LFChristian Yelich 0.790A 
2DHJackson Chourio 0.759A 
3CWilliam Contreras950.796Cminus HR
41bRhys Hoskins 0.765D 
5RFGarrett Mitchell 0.734Aminus HR
6CFSal Frelick1710.719B 
73bJoey Ortiz 0.707Bminus 2 HR
8ssBrice Turang250.681A 
15LFJake Bauers 0.715A 
15lfIsaac Collins 0.697A 
15CEric Haase 0.671D 
15OFDaz Cameron 0.667Bminus HR
15DHOliver Dunn 0.659Bminus HR
       
       
OrderPos/PBBrewers Pitcher CardsWAROPS/ERASteal/Max IPAdjust/K
12'-8Nestor Cortes 3.56725-44
22'-8Freddy Peralta933.84623-43
32'-7Tobias Myers 4.02625-42
42'-7Aaron Ashby 4.22624-41
52'-7Jose Quintana1644.05625-38
62'-7Jacob Misiorowski 3.75625-41
102'-9Trevor Megill 3.37124-45
112'-8Chad Patrick964.38626-42
122'-7Bryan Hudson 3.55223-42
132'-7Abner Uribe 3.74222-43
142'-7Nick Mears 3.8223-44
152'-7Elvis Peguero 3.81224-41
162'-7Thomas Pannone 4.21627-42
174'-7Quinn Priester 4.46626-41
184'-7Joel Payamps 3.49124-42
194'-7Jared Koenig 3.9225-42
214'-7Carlos Rodriguez 4.58625-41
232'-6Craig Yoho 3.55223-45
242'-5Grant Anderson 4.56224-43
252'-5Ryan Middendorf 4.56225-38


The Brewers are in 5th place at 2-3, but only 1 game behind four teams that are 3-2.