Monday, February 4, 2019

Only two more major MLB Signings - but new Rules considered

Most current season updates here.

We adopted some of the rules being considered by Major League baseball for our Statis-Pro games. We are starting extra innings with men on base, and requiring relievers to pitch to at least three batters. However, with the threat of ending pitchers at the plate completely by adding the DH to the NL led to us to trying to line-up all the best hitting pitchers against each other to get in their at bats against each other.

Meanwhile, the MLB free agency market remains incredibly slow. The only two signings of any notes were the signings of two relievers coming off great seasons but who do not project to be elite. Looking at the sheet of the projections of all players for our Statis-Pro game, the Astros signing of lefty Wade Miley (a mediocre PB: 2-6 lefty) and the Rangers signing of righty Shawn Kelley (a solid PB: 2-7 though actually very good ratios on hits, walks and strikeouts so a help to the Rangers roster.

It is possible of course that both players could come close to last year's numbers when they were dominant, but we base the cards for the free Statis-Pro game are based on projections which assume relievers in particular end up closer to their career averages then one breakout year.

Game log continues to be updated here, though neither of those signings will affect our NL season except for in an interleague game.

The following standings result from playing the free Statis-Pro baseball game using these 2019 projected player cards for 1000+ potential MLB sorted by current rosters. Updates on the previous games through January 17, 2019 and reviews appear here.

The last big pickup wasAJ Pollock, who the Dodgers say they signed over Bryce Harper due to better defense. The Padres already looked improved to us in the game, and the fact that they are suddenly seen as in the hunt for both Harper and Manny Machado gives them potential.

So far to date:

A short summary of each game and updated standings and grid of opponents faced is always on this google sheet. The following standings result from playing the free Statis-Pro baseball game using these 2019 projected player cards for 1000+ potential MLB sorted by current rosters. Updates on the previous games through January 17, 2019 and reviews appear here along with how strong each team roster seems and adjustments to how we use relievers and score 3-game sweeps vs. 2 games to 1 series.

TeamDivisionWLGBPitchers who hit "relatively" well
CubsNL Central840Tyler Chatwood, Jon Lester
PiratesNL Central1170No great hitting pitchers
BrewersNL Central662Brandon Woodruff, Brent Suter, Jhoulys Chacin
RedsNL Central782Michael Lorenzen
CardinalsNL Central5136Carlos Martinez, Adam Wainwright
BravesNL East750No great hitting pitchers
MetsNL East78  1.5Noah Syndergaard, Steven Matz, Jacob DeGrom
NationalsNL East750Max Scherzer, Tanner Roark
PhilliesNL East661Vince Velasquez, Jake Arrieta
MarlinsNL East394No great hitting pitchers
DiamondbacksNL West1170Patrick Corbin, Zack Greinke
PadresNL West840Clayton Richard, Tyson Ross
GiantsNL West1081Madison Bumgarner, Ty Blach
DodgersNL West992Hyun-Jin Ryu, Clayton Kershaw
RockiesNL West6125German Marquez, Kyle Freeland


March Madness Top 50 Teams Based on NBA Talent (Shaka Smart's team is 4th)

With March Madness looming as the next billion dollar sports event now that the Super Bowl is over, many sports fans just tuning into college basketball may be surprised that Gonzaga is not only a projected No. 1 seed but also features the second most NBA talent behind only Kentucky based on www.valueaddbasketball.com. Below we list any team that qualify as a Top 50 team based either on how valuable each player has been to date (Value Add ranking above replacement player) or how much talent they have based on NBA prospects rated from 100 (Zion Williamson of Duke) down to "1" in the notes section at Value Add Basketball and based on the guru of hoops talent at NBADraft.net.  Click on this CBS247 story or the photo for the story, or on www.valueaddbasketball.com to sort all 4000+ players by team or conference.

Another great night of basketball starts in a few minutes on ESPN with Louisville (ranked between 15th and 17th in the three major rankings) visiting a Virginia Tech team ranked a little higher (9th through 11th) but without its injured point guard Justin Robinson.


The left column is the team's rank based on the potential of their players based on how well the main NBA ranking site since 2000, NBADraft.net, ranks them. The second figure is the value of all players' on the team above how well a replacement player would do (for example of Virginia's entire team were replaced by a standard borderline bench player, they would be 53 points per game worse than they are today for the best Value Add ranking even though they only have the 16th most potential NBA-level talent). On the flip side, Texas has the 4th most NBA-level talent though so far they have been only the 41st best team - though 8 years ago today Texas coach Shaka Smart was coaching the 88th ranked VCU team that went to the Final Four. For questions call 4046063163 or email back.
Team
Most NBA Talent
Value Add
Value Add Rank
Kentucky
1
38.2
14
Gonzaga
2
48.9
2
Duke
3
46.92
3
Texas
4
30.87
41
Kansas
5
38.71
10
North Carolina
6
40.93
7
Mississippi St.
7
33.24
29
UCLA
8
23.57
93
Arizona St.
9
27.69
58
Oregon
10
26.96
66
Auburn
11
36.06
19
Maryland
12
35.5
21
LSU
13
34.69
25
Villanova
14
35.3
22
Stanford
15
19.68
142
Virginia
16
53.84
1
Arizona
17
24.66
85
Tennessee
18
42.08
6
Michigan
19
42.84
5
Nevada
20
38.64
11
Alabama
21
29.41
49
Syracuse
22
30.02
48
Iowa St.
23
37.75
15
Florida St.
24
32.44
34
Penn St.
25
25.09
80
Providence
26
25.35
79
USC
27
24
88
St. John's
28
28.41
54
Minnesota
29
30.25
46
Washington
30
31.19
39
Kansas St.
31
32.87
32
West Virginia
32
21.47
119
Michigan St.
33
45.88
4
Colorado
34
22.93
102
Marquette
35
34.68
26
Louisville
36
38.31
13
Florida
37
32.92
31
Xavier
38
25.55
77
Notre Dame
39
23.91
90
Georgia
40
23.61
92
Nebraska
41
35.91
20
Washington St.
42
13.26
231
Virginia Tech
43
38.94
9
Indiana
44
29.14
51
Texas Tech
45
36.86
16
San Diego St.
46
19.34
145
North Carolina St.
47
31.23
38
Georgetown
48
22.43
108
Purdue
49
39.31
8
Boston College
50
23.03
100
Mississippi
54
32.03
35
Iowa
56
34.86
24
Cincinnati
58
32.53
33
Murray St.
60
30.28
45
Creighton
66
28.59
53
Yale
69
32.97
30
Wofford
71
31.64
37
Belmont
75
30.61
43
Wisconsin
78
38.48
12
Butler
79
31.15
40
TCU
82
34.29
27
Houston
No NBA Prospect
36.4
17
Oklahoma
No NBA Prospect
36.21
18
Buffalo
No NBA Prospect
34.88
23
Saint Mary's
No NBA Prospect
33.74
28
Ohio St.
No NBA Prospect
31.99
36
San Francisco
No NBA Prospect
30.73
42
Utah St.
No NBA Prospect
30.55
44
Liberty
No NBA Prospect
30.03
47
Lipscomb
No NBA Prospect
29.24
50