Wednesday, August 14, 2019

(AL Playoffs Now Set) 162nd Game: Twins Seek Statis-Pro Playoffs vs. Reds’ Bauer, Aquino’s Home Run Range of 23-52

New Note August 17, 2019: Last season's AL Statis-Pro playoffs featured the Indians, Astros, Yankees and Red Sox - which all finished between 38-22 and 36-24 - and the stunning White Sox who snuck ahead of the rest for the last spot before losing to the Red Sox in the wild card game.

This year we are playing the big season in the NL, which dominated the AL 100-77 with only 3 games left between the Padres and A's. The same Big 4 AL teams are back in the playoffs in our mini 12-game standings from the AL from interleague play - where the NL Dominated 100-77 with only 3 games left between the Padres and A's (who are eliminated). Only 3 AL Teams had winning records in those series leaving these playoffs:

Tampa Bay Rays (6-6) vs. Boston Red Sox (6-6) in one game, with winner at Minnesota Twins (7-5) in one game for wild card.

Wild Card Winner vs. Cleveland Indians (9-3 - with Kluber and Carrasco as opposed to real season) Best of 7

Houston Astros (7-5) vs. New York Yankees (7-5) in best of 7


Original Post



OK, I’m just kidding on the HR Range. The actual Statis-Pro card for the Reds’ replacement for Puig if you calculated it for Aristides Aquino - would yield a home run range of 23-52.

This means he would hit a home run about three out of every eight times the pitcher failed to control the action. However, we actually use projected OPS for simple Statis-Pro cards for late Statis-Pro cards – and the Rotoworld .792 OPS (as opposed to his actual 1.454) yields a home run range of 26-33.

That yields a great 161st game of the Statis-Pro season where Aquino – the player who replaced Puig in the line-up – starts behind Trevor Bauer who replaced Puig on the roster at the trade deadline.

In odd years I play a robust NL season, but do have each AL team ranked based on their record in interleague games.

After the AL dominated my Statis-Pro All-Star game, I was surprised to realize the NL actually has a 87-69 edge over the AL in my Statis-Pro season this year, only to discover that in the actual MLB the NL held a 119-101 edge this year and actually broke the AL's long run with a 157-143 edge last year.

While some who play Statis-Pro (or other board games) replay an entire 162-game schedule for a particular team, I am actually hitting my 161st and 162nd Statis-Pro games this year for all teams with a series between the surprising 1st place Twins and the Reds, who now feature the most exciting story of the past two weeks - Aristides Aquino.

Baring a stunning outburst by the Angels or Athletics in their final series, the Twins can catch the Indians for my Statis-Pro AL Central title with a mark of 5-1 or 6-0 (see this blog on how each game counts as three). If they go 1-5 or 0-6 they miss out on the playoffs completely, leaving the Rays and Red Sox to battle it out. While both teams are further down in my simple power rankings of their current projected Statis-Pro cards, the fact that the Reds' Bauer (top 15% of all pitchers as a PB: 2-8) will face Michael Pineda (exactly average PB: 4-7) and the Reds' Sonny Gray (top 35% as PB: 2-7) will face Martin Perez (below average PB: 2-6) gives the Reds' the pitching edge in both games to give the Twins a tough two games.

Anything in between – from 2-4 to 4-2 – means the Twins are in the wild card mix with the Rays and Red Sox, either hosting the winner of a playoff game between those two or in a 3-way tie.

In summary, the very likely AL playoffs:

Yankees 7-5 vs. Astros 7-5
Indians 9-3 vs. wild card winner from among Twins 4-2, Rays 6-6 and Red Sox 6-6

Other scenarios:

Twins catch Indians for division by going 5-1 then winning one-game playoff with Indians OR go 6-0
Twins go 1-5 to fall behind Rays and Red Sox and miss playoff completely
Angels or Athletics go 5-1 or 6-0 to get in Wild Card mix.

Bigger NL Statis-Pro Season

This is actually my year to play off the entire NL season, so they have a much longer season and account for most of the 160 games played entering the final interleague Statis-Pro series.


As for the Reds, they can get to .500 by winning the series and hope that the additions of Aquino and Bauer give them a shot to make the Statis-Pro NL playoffs, which will play out for a while. Here are the standings heading into that series, which are updated with short summaries on all 162 game plus on this google sheet.


TeamDivisionWinsLossesW%GB
CubsNL Central32220.5930
CardinalsNL Central26280.4816
RedsNL Central23250.4796
BrewersNL Central25290.4637
PiratesNL Central20280.4179
TeamDivisionWinsLossesW%GB
NationalsNL East31230.5740
PhilliesNL East34260.5670
BravesNL East30240.5561
MetsNL East29250.5372
MarlinsNL East18360.33312
TeamDivisionWinsLossesW%GB
DodgersNL West37170.6850
GiantsNL West32280.5338
DiamondbacksNL West30300.50011
PadresNL West24240.50010
RockiesNL West20280.41714


Additional note - Twins did clinch the playoffs in an incredible pitchers duel in which aces Pineda and Bauer both went 8 IP with a combined 21 strikeouts, no walks, and 1 run allowed for each. Twins won in the 10th when Dywon doubled home pinch runner Gordon. Reds win the nightcap 5-1 to go to 26-28.

Monday, August 5, 2019

Astros Nudge Ahead of Dodgers, Yanks After Deadline Based on Statis-Pro Cards

The Yankees and Dodgers were tied for first with the Yankees based on projected Statis-Pro baseball player cards last month, but the Astros shot up from 5th to 1st with the addition of Zack Greinke and the Indians made an even bigger jump from 11th to 4th with all their trade deadline pick-ups.

We based these projections based on the stats that would be generated by the projected Statis-Pro cards if the random numbers came up exactly even over the course of a season (game can be played by clicking here or reading top of google doc of player cards. We factor the following:

OPS of top 8 in line-up is 40% of the rating, with the Dodgers easily first with a projected .838 after the addition of Will Smith at catcher (his quick projected card gives him a Home Run range of 26-32 for his .750 projected OPS). The Astros are a distant second at .818, and the Cubs third at .809.

ERA of top 4 starters is weighted 20%, and the Nationals are first at 3.49. The Indians are second but that includes Carrasco and Kluber who are injured, meaning the third best Astros are actually just behind the Nationals with the addition of Greinke based on who is actually pitching now.

ERA of the top 6 relievers is weighted 10%, and the Brewers overused bullpen is first again, with the Indians 2nd and the Astros 3rd.

Another 10 percent is for OBR/SP, which is the On Base Running Ability to take extra bases and beat out grounders, and the Speed to steal bases, show the Rockies are the bet, Indians second and Astros third.

The Clutch Defense is 20% for the ability to rob hits in the field, and the Giants are first, followed by the Cardinals and then Padres.

While we are playing the NL season this year, we plan to go through another round of interleague games next to get a look at every team's final roster. If you do not use google docs, you can click here for an image of the cards for all 30 teams.

OverallPark Neutral CardsLine-up OPSrnk (4)rotation erarnk (2)6 relieversrnk (1)OBR/SP Rnk (1)Total CDrnk (2)Wt Ave
1Astros0.81823.6433.7016342146.1
2Dodgers0.83813.6443.6913254866.2
3Yankees0.80163.8293.382124787.2
4Indians0.769163.5023.59724979.1
5Nationals0.78393.4913.6915438199.5
6Cubs0.80933.99153.5982443129.8
7Brewers0.78984.18183.3219431110
8Padres0.767173.88103.575656310.5
9Rockies0.774133.94133.7718149410.5
10Braves0.781113.7683.721715451011.2
11Mets0.783103.7263.61920411611.3
12Red Sox0.80443.92123.781922332412.9
13Rays0.771153.6753.47414332313.4
14Cardinals0.773144.18193.68122957213.9
15Angels0.80454.27234.21282846914
16Phillies0.79674.11173.671116252814.5
17Athletics0.757204.23223.66101948516.3
18Diamondbacks0.757193.91113.43323342116.6
19Pirates0.764183.94143.691417352017.1
20Giants0.743254.22213.5762663117.6
21Twins0.778124.18203.842127262719
22Rangers0.724264.04163.832013431319.5
23Reds0.744243.7474.002218292520
24Blue Jays0.745234.47254.022421421521.7
25Mariners0.748224.60284.172710391821.7
26White Sox0.754215.05294.01235292622.2
27Royals0.722274.51264.03257411722.6
28Marlins0.721284.37244.142630342226
29Tigers0.709294.53274.32308203026.8
30Orioles0.702305.32304.282911232927.8


Series Summaries - Interleague series for each team after roster set:

Key to games – winning team, starting pitcher, runs, then losing team, starting pitcher and runs. Yes or No for if game is recorded as a 3-game sweep (YES) or 2 games to 1 (NO).

Astros beat Giants 7-2 and 12-2 (credit for 5 of 6 wins) – Giants now 6 behind NL West Dodgers
Hou        Cole       7              SF           Suarez                  2              no                           Ex-Red Scooter Gennett broke up Cole's perfect game with a 5th inning single, then his shutout and the Astros sweep with a 2-run homer to cut the lead to 6-2 in time, but otherwise all Astros.
Hou        Greinke                12           SF           Samardzija                          2              yes                         Greinke's took a no-hitter into the 5th with a 7-0 lead, and the Astros left no doubt on a sweep with 17 hits including Brantley's 5 of 5 with a HR and 2 doubles, and Correa 4 of 4 with 2 HR and a walk.

Sunday, August 4, 2019

Click on each of 30 Final MLB Rosters for Complete Playing cards and Statis-Pro Game Rules

While sorting the Statis-Pro cards into teams after the trade deadline, we also heard from people who do not or cannot access the google sheet of players. Therefore we added six posts that let you click on an image of each team to print and play. The quick start directions are at the top of each of these six grids.

Angels to Braves: Statis-Pro Cards for All Players

Brewers to Dodgers: Statis-Pro Cards for All Players

Giants to Mets: Statis-Pro Cards for All Players

Nationals to Pirates: Statis-Pro Cards for All Players

Rangers to Rockies: Statis-Pro Cards for All Players

Royals to Yankees: Statis-Pro Cards for All Players

The following were our six games played with the final rosters after the trade deadline, with Bauer getting a 3-2 win his his debut with a weakened Reds line-up. If the playoffs were held today the Cubs would visit the Phillies, and the Dodgers would host one of three wild card teams between the Braves, Nationals and Giants. 


TeamDivisionWLGB
CubsNL Central27210
BrewersNL Central24243
RedsNL Central23254
CardinalsNL Central26284
PiratesNL Central20287
TeamDivisionWLGB
PhilliesNL East31230
BravesNL East27211
NationalsNL East27211
MetsNL East26222
MarlinsNL East163212
TeamDivisionWLGB
DodgersNL West32160
GiantsNL West31234
DiamondbacksNL West26289
PadresNL West24248
RockiesNL West202812

Winning team and their starting pitcher, score, Losing team and their starting pitcher and score and notes.

Was, Strasburg, 5, SD, Lamet, , 3, No, , Error by Tatis gave Nats game-winning run in 6th for 4-3 lead, and 5 relievers threw shutout frames after unusually short start from Strasburg.

SD, Lucchesi, 7, Was, Corbin, , 4, no, , Tatis 3-run homer in eighth provided win to make up for error in previous game.

Cin, Bauer, 3, Col, Marquez, , 2, no, , Bauer gave up only 1 run in 7 innings in his Reds debut - on an HR to homer - and even the very weakened Reds line-up was able to win 3-2 on 1st ining doubles by Peraza, Dietrich and Suarez and a SF by Iglesias.

Col, Senzatela, 8, Cin, Wood, , 5, no, , Murphy had an RBI 2b and HR his 1st 2 at bats, and Blackmon added a 3-run triple misplayed by Deitrich on a Clutch Defense play. Votto's 2-run HR helped the Reds avoid the 5-run sweep rule.

Phi, Pivetta, 3, SD, Paddack, , 1, no, , 2 players the Phils wish were not injured in real play came through with McCutchen scoring twice and Robertson saving the 3-1 win. Williams added an HR, and Harper singled his first three at bats.


Phi, Arrieta, 2, SD, Ehlin, , 1, no, , Hoskins 2-out HR in the 13th inning gave the Phils the 2-1 win and first place in the NL East. Both leadoff men (Segina and Margot) had 3 hits, but Arrieta and Ehlin and their relievers dueled.


SF           Bumgarner         11           Phi          Velazquez                           1              yes                         Bumgarner homered in addition to going 7 innings, and the Phillies allowed 5 unearned runs  in addition to homers by Slater, Austin and Posey in the blowout win for sweep credit.
Phi          Nola       6              SF           Blach                                     yes                         Nola allwed only 3 baserunners in a complete game shut out Williams 3-run homer keyed the Phillies 6-0 win to take back sweep credit for the second game to even the overall series.

Saturday, August 3, 2019

Angels to Braves: Statis-Pro Cards for All Players and Rules for Game

To play Statis-Pro baseball simply follow these steps:

Step 1 – Print out sheets for two teams. You can open this google doc of all players and print out the two teams you want to play (best to define the cells and "print selection" to fit the whole team on one landscape piece of paper). However, because some people do not use google docs, you can also choose from the 5 teams below or on any of the other blogs at www.pudnersports.com and click on each team you want to print out.

Step 2 - Write your lineups and starting pitchers on a piece of paper -  column E gives the suggested batting order (1 through 9) and suggested starting pitching rotation (21-24) but you can choose any other order you want.

Step 3 - Roll two 6-sided dice or flip Fast Action Card for a result of 2 to 12 - if it falls in the pitcher's control range (column l) then the result will be on his card, if not it will be on the batter's card - pitcher at bat is always on his card.

Step 4 - Roll two 8-sided dice or flip Fast Action Card for result of 11-88, and look up result under pitcher's card (1b single, BK balk, K, W, WP, PB or Out) or batters card (1b, 2b, 3b, HR, K, W, HPB, Out).

Step 5 - To steal use second letter of OBR/SP in column J and roll one 6-sided die. Only out on a 6, but unable to steal except AA steals on 1-4, A on 1-3, B on 1-2 and C on 1. Runner on base takes extra base on hit using 2nd letter (with 2 outs 4=extra base)

Step 6 - for updates see www.pudnersports.com and for fielding and more advanced rules, click here.


Step 7 -steps 1 to 6 are all the cool free stuff to play and see if you like the game - another person sells really neat cards for great teams from throughout history and a baord setup - join his Statis-Pro Advanced Facebook page.






Brewers to Dodgers: Statis-Pro Cards for All Players and Rules for Game

To play Statis-Pro baseball simply follow these steps:

Step 1 – Print out sheets for two teams. You can open this google doc of all players and print out the two teams you want to play (best to define the cells and "print selection" to fit the whole team on one landscape piece of paper). However, because some people do not use google docs, you can also choose from the 5 teams below or on any of the other blogs at www.pudnersports.com and click on each team you want to print out.

Step 2 - Write your lineups and starting pitchers on a piece of paper -  column E gives the suggested batting order (1 through 9) and suggested starting pitching rotation (21-24) but you can choose any other order you want.

Step 3 - Roll two 6-sided dice or flip Fast Action Card for a result of 2 to 12 - if it falls in the pitcher's control range (column l) then the result will be on his card, if not it will be on the batter's card - pitcher at bat is always on his card.

Step 4 - Roll two 8-sided dice or flip Fast Action Card for result of 11-88, and look up result under pitcher's card (1b single, BK balk, K, W, WP, PB or Out) or batters card (1b, 2b, 3b, HR, K, W, HPB, Out).

Step 5 - To steal use second letter of OBR/SP in column J and roll one 6-sided die. Only out on a 6, but unable to steal except AA steals on 1-4, A on 1-3, B on 1-2 and C on 1. Runner on base takes extra base on hit using 2nd letter (with 2 outs 4=extra base)

Step 6 - for updates see www.pudnersports.com and for fielding and more advanced rules, click here.


Step 7 -steps 1 to 6 are all the cool free stuff to play and see if you like the game - another person sells really neat cards for great teams from throughout history and a baord setup - join his Statis-Pro Advanced Facebook page.









Giants to Mets: Statis-Pro Cards for All Players and Rules for Game

To play Statis-Pro baseball simply follow these steps:

Step 1 – Print out sheets for two teams. You can open this google doc of all players and print out the two teams you want to play (best to define the cells and "print selection" to fit the whole team on one landscape piece of paper). However, because some people do not use google docs, you can also choose from the 5 teams below or on any of the other blogs at www.pudnersports.com and click on each team you want to print out.

Step 2 - Write your lineups and starting pitchers on a piece of paper -  column E gives the suggested batting order (1 through 9) and suggested starting pitching rotation (21-24) but you can choose any other order you want.

Step 3 - Roll two 6-sided dice or flip Fast Action Card for a result of 2 to 12 - if it falls in the pitcher's control range (column l) then the result will be on his card, if not it will be on the batter's card - pitcher at bat is always on his card.

Step 4 - Roll two 8-sided dice or flip Fast Action Card for result of 11-88, and look up result under pitcher's card (1b single, BK balk, K, W, WP, PB or Out) or batters card (1b, 2b, 3b, HR, K, W, HPB, Out).

Step 5 - To steal use second letter of OBR/SP in column J and roll one 6-sided die. Only out on a 6, but unable to steal except AA steals on 1-4, A on 1-3, B on 1-2 and C on 1. Runner on base takes extra base on hit using 2nd letter (with 2 outs 4=extra base)

Step 6 - for updates see www.pudnersports.com and for fielding and more advanced rules, click here.


Step 7 -steps 1 to 6 are all the cool free stuff to play and see if you like the game - another person sells really neat cards for great teams from throughout history and a baord setup - join his Statis-Pro Advanced Facebook page.




Nationals to Pirates: Statis-Pro Cards for All Players and Rules for Game

To play Statis-Pro baseball simply follow these steps:

Step 1 – Print out sheets for two teams. You can open this google doc of all players and print out the two teams you want to play (best to define the cells and "print selection" to fit the whole team on one landscape piece of paper). However, because some people do not use google docs, you can also choose from the 5 teams below or on any of the other blogs at www.pudnersports.com and click on each team you want to print out.

Step 2 - Write your lineups and starting pitchers on a piece of paper -  column E gives the suggested batting order (1 through 9) and suggested starting pitching rotation (21-24) but you can choose any other order you want.

Step 3 - Roll two 6-sided dice or flip Fast Action Card for a result of 2 to 12 - if it falls in the pitcher's control range (column l) then the result will be on his card, if not it will be on the batter's card - pitcher at bat is always on his card.

Step 4 - Roll two 8-sided dice or flip Fast Action Card for result of 11-88, and look up result under pitcher's card (1b single, BK balk, K, W, WP, PB or Out) or batters card (1b, 2b, 3b, HR, K, W, HPB, Out).

Step 5 - To steal use second letter of OBR/SP in column J and roll one 6-sided die. Only out on a 6, but unable to steal except AA steals on 1-4, A on 1-3, B on 1-2 and C on 1. Runner on base takes extra base on hit using 2nd letter (with 2 outs 4=extra base)

Step 6 - for updates see www.pudnersports.com and for fielding and more advanced rules, click here.


Step 7 -steps 1 to 6 are all the cool free stuff to play and see if you like the game - another person sells really neat cards for great teams from throughout history and a baord setup - join his Statis-Pro Advanced Facebook page.