Saturday, October 24, 2020

New Clutch Defense 5 Players - Gold Glove Nominations

Based on runs erased by fielders their Clutch Defensive Rating in the game is somewhere between a CD1 (worst) and a CD5 (best). However, we only give a couple of CD5 spots out based on this rating - we mainly save them for players who have been nominated for a Gold Glove in the last 4 seasons. We just still believe observations has to be part of fielding ratings - as great as the improvement in stats has been.

The following is the list of the new Gold Glove nominees for the 2020 season. The players whose cards are thus being upgraded to a CD5 are bolded, while the others were already CD5 players before the new rating. We list their current team in the Statis-Pro cards, as well as if they also have a card for our offseason (all-star from their country, or if from the US an all-star among the college baseball conference where they played.


The following is the breakdown by team, with Puerto Rico getting two new CD5 Shortstops.

Cuba - Yuli Gurriel (Hou, LF), Yoan Moncada (ChW, 3B), Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (Tor, LF), Luis Robert (ChW, CF)

Japan - Isiah Kiner-Falefa (Rangers, Hawaii-born, 3B)

Puerto Rico - Carlos Correa (Hou, SS); Javier Baez (ChC, SS) - already had Francisco Lindor (Cle) as a CD5 at SS, so they now have three.

SEC - Dansby Swanson (Atl, SS), Brian Anderson (Mia, 3B)

Venenzuela - Miguel Rojas (Mia, SS) and Anthony Santander (Balt, RF)


Arozarena's Statis-Pro Card after 15 HR in 152 Plate Appearances

Randy Arozarena was not expected to make the Tampa Bay Rays this season. Things got worse when he not only test positive for Covid, but it lingered for weeks. With nothing else to do he just pumped out push ups every day. When he finally tested negative he emerged from isolation bulked up enough to become a playoff superstar.

In just 64 at bats, he slugged 7 home runs to emerge as a serious power threat. When Statis-Pro cards were made based on the combined regular season and 2021 Zips Projections from before the season, he became a nice right-handed power hitter off the bench for our Cuban team and next year's Tampa Bay Rays with a 24-28 Home Run range. In our current Statis-Pro World Series, he gives the Rays more of a Tommy Pham-like extra right-handed bat against the Dodgers.

However, in the playoffs he has continued to incredible streak with a slightly better pace, one more home run (8) in just one more at bat (65) then his regular season. All in all, this is 15 home runs in 152 plate appearances - one of every time he stepped to the plate this year he hit a home run. If we based a Statis-Pro card on his combined 2020 regular season and playoffs, he would have a Home Run Range of 24-38, basically matching the all-time fluke Statis-Pro Home Run range of 25-41 on Mickey Klutts' card from the strike shortened 1981 season.

The difference is Klutts hit .370 with 5 home runs in just 48 at bats to calculate that 25-41. This was in the middle of a short career in which he went to the plate 571 times - in essence about one season for a full-time player, and hit only 14 home runs in 571 plate appearances, so he would normally only merit 3 home run numbers on his card. Arozarena has been to the plate more than three times as many times as the 1981 Klutts this year, and half of those appearance have come from pitchers from playoff teams, during which he set the all-time playoff record with 52 total bases so far. 

For our purposes moving forward, we are still using his Pham-like card in our Statis-Pro World Series, but we did decide to upgrade his card a bit for his play with Cuba in our international off season.

The math for creating the card and explanation is below:



While Statis-Pro pitching cards are quite complicated to calculate accurately, the batters' basic cards have always been very simple with no need to change from the original formulas. After adding his stats from the playoffs and regular season to the 400 plus at bats Zips projected for 2021 previous to this season, you end up with 520 at bats and 71 other plate appearances (walks plus hit by pitch) for 591 plate appearances. You divide that by 128 to get a factor of 4.61 to divide by each stat and determine how many should be on his card. The batter has the action on his card half of the time, so you then need to subtract the 11 hits he will get off the pitchers card which leaves him with 18 more hits he should get on his card (11-32 on Random Numbers of 11-88). Six of those should be doubles, one a triple and six home runs. Tampa is a pitchers park, so he gets one extra "deep" number after the home runs. He should strike out 32 times out of 128 results on his card or the pitchers card, but pitchers average 17 strikeouts so subtract that and it leaves 14 on his card. Then he should walk 10 times each 128, but pitchers' cards average giving him 7, so that leaves 3 on his card. Finally he should be hit by pitches a lot, five times.

He projects to 18 steals, which as a Speed B, and while his BsR only translates to a D for OBR, we always make the OBR at least as good as the steals so it becomes a B. his Fld rating is actually very poor, so he gets the worst of five possible results with a Clutch Defense (CD) of 1, which translates into an E5 and T2.

Tuesday, October 20, 2020

World Series - Statis-Pro hits a 3.6% exacto with the Dodgers facing Rays

If you want to try Statis-Pro with these free player cards and instructions, now might be the time after it just matched the actual World Series match-up. Our league of national and college conference teams is underway here as well, but keep revisiting this blog to scroll down for the Statis-Pro World Series games in chronological order.

 We started our Statis-Pro season before we even knew if there would be a real season. The 15-team leagues were eventually cut down to 10-team leagues with five relegated, and then a funny thing happened. The Tampa Bay Rays not only had the best record in the Statis-Pro AL season, but then best the Astros in the Statis-Pro AL Championship a month before the actual AL playoffs ended the same way. Perhaps it was not quite as surprising that the Statis-Pro NL Champion also matched the real champion, though the Dodgers were stretched to seven games (against the Reds rather than the Braves).

Of course, it does not always work that way. Our biggest surprise Statis-Pro World Champion a few years ago were the surprising Arizona Diamondback's in Zack Greinke's last year there. However, it is interesting that in a year one would expect would have the wildest variation due to the 60-game actual season - that three of the final four teams were forecast by Statis-Pro and the same World Series resulted.

Based on the preseason Vegas odds, the Dodgers had a 33.7% chance to make it to the World Series, and the Tampa Bay Rays had a 10.8% chance. That means if you had predicted before the season that the that the Dodgers were going to face the Rays in the World Series, you would have had a 3.6% chance of being correct. No telling if our Statis-Pro World Series will play out the same as the real World Series of course - but the fact that over hundreds of games we ended up with the same results is likely an indication that Statis-Pro player cards are still a good indicator of how well players might perform.

We will add the results of the games as they are played. In our case, the Dodgers will host games in Montana where our NL Commissioner lives and the Rays will host games in Alabama where our AL Commissioner lives not too far form the Rays actual Double A team.

Game 1.

Statis-Pro World Series Game 1.

Julio Urias clearly overwhelmed by the moment. Eight men go to the plate in the 1st, capped by Ji-Man Choi with a "clutch" 3-run HR. Tyler Glasnow looks sharp. Dodgers bullpen was shaky, but Rays couldn't take advantage, 12 LOB. Joc Pederson homers in 9th for a little drama, but Anderson closes the door. Tampa Bay wins 4-2. Rays lead series 1-0.



Game 2


Statis-Pro World Series Game 2.

Rays jump to early lead again. Brandon Lowe belts a 3-run HR. But the Dodgers flex their muscles. First a stunning HR from pitcher Dustin May. Corey Seager then knocks a 2-run HR to tie it 3-3. In the 6th Cody Bellinger goes deep to knock Charlie Morton out of the game. After 6 innings LA leads 4-3.

Dodgers get an insurance run in the 8th on a Will Smith HR. 

LA bangs 4 HR's for their 5 runs. Kenley Jansen pitches 1-2-3 ninth. Dodgers win 5-3. Series tied 1-1.


Game 3. The action went back to our AL Commissioner in Alabama, who records a different scoresheet. We played this game Friday afternoon, October 23, before the actual Game 3.

Yarbrough and Kershaw, two control lefties, matched each other for 6 scoreless innings. Yarbrough's last batter faced was Bellinger with men on the corners in the 6th, but the lefty-lefty match-up forced a popout to the catcher. Kershaw still had a no-hitter going through six. The tie was finally broken in the 8th when Pollock's 2-run homer off Castillo gave the Dodgers the edge. However, the Rays once again showed they are one of the best clutch teams ever, with three clutch-batting swings in the last 5 batters of the game. The first was Adames, who delivered an RBI double to chase Kershaw in the 9th and cut the deficit to 2-1. Arozareno then drove a clutch-shot that would have won the game foul, and then fouled out against Jansen to bring the Dodgers within one out of the win. However, after a Diaz walk, Meadows drilled a clutch-home run to give the Rays a 4-2 win and 2-1 edge in the series.




Game 4 - Los Angeles (Buehler) at Tampa (Snell) - played in Alabama.

After three 2-run games, we finally had a blowout. Snell lasted only 1+ inning and allowed 5 runs and 8 hits. Buhler went 8 dominant innings, allowing only 2 hits, striking out 13 and inducing 2 double plays.

Betts reached scoring position 4 of 5 times and scored twice on a 3 for 4 night with a walk. Smith's 1st inning 3-run homer was the only Homer of the game. Pollock joined Betts with 3 hits, including a 2-run single in the second and RBI single in the 7th to join Smith with 3 RBIs. Turner had the only other extra base hit for the Dodgers, an rbi double, as 12 of their 14 hits were singles.

 




Game 5 - Tampa (Glasnow) at Los Angeles (Urias) - played in Montana.

Game 1: Julio Urias had the game one jitters and got roughed up in the first inning. Not this time, as he retires the first 18 Rays. The "clutch" hitting continues with Cody Bellinger launching a 2-run HR. After six innings Dodgers lead 2-0.

Update 2: Julio Urias now retired 21 straight batters. Joc Pederson adds a solo HR. Dodgers lead 3-0 heading to the 8th.

Update 3: In the 8th, Urias walks the lead off batter to end the perfect game. Hunter Renfroe singles to break up the no-hitter, and Ji-Man Choi doubles to end the shutout. Urias gets the next two batters and Pedro Baez retires the third so LA still leads 3-1 going to ninth. Kept thinking something bizarre would happen in the 9th, but Baez stayed in and retired them in order. Dodgers win 3-1. LA leads series 3-2.






Game 6 - If Necessary - Los Angeles (May) at Tampa (Morton) - played in Alabama.

Dodgers 2 walks and 2 hits in top of first but adams cd4 at ss turns double play on what would have been a 2 run single for cd 3 or less - rays hold damage to 1-0.

Rays bats around in the 1st to take 4-1 lead and knock may out.

Alex Wood steps into pick up the innings, gives up 2-run he to diaz and game 7 tickets go on sale. 6-1 rays after 2.

Wood gives up hr to meadows, and walks three in the 5th, but floro comes in to get out of Jam. 7-1 rays. Morton is out of gas so own will need it to hold up.

The best 2 words in sports - game 7!!! Both bullpens strong and after Hill saved the pen with long relief, appears he is the only one to need to sit out Game 7. No other reliever on either team pitched to more than 4 batters.

Only excitement at end - rays were one out away from win with bellinger at the plate, when oliver drake said the magic words "not me blind one." Rays rattledm Chaz Roe comes in and gives up homer to cut it to 7-2. Then adames misplays grounder to short to keep dodgers alive. However, roe settles down and strikes out pederson, clearly like kershaw not using his playoff card with a 2 strikeout, 2 double play game.

Rays 7-2, series tied 3-3.




Game 7 - If Necessary - Yarbrough at Kershaw.  - played in Montana.


Saturday, October 17, 2020

Dominican Republic and Venezuela Edging SEC in 10-team Statis-Pro Baseball; Click for Each Team's Summaries

The following are the results of our first 2 rounds of games using these Statis-Pro cards based on where players were born or played college baseball before making the majors. Each card is the same as the one that comes in the complete set of cards and how to play instructions.  Results of each game and grid of record against each team is on this google sheet.

These results are actually through four games for each team (winner gets credit for a 3-game sweep for wins by 5+ wins, or else 2 games to 1 win). You can search each team as listed below to find the summary of each of their games to date, as well as a picture of each scoresheet:

Best OffensesWLRuns/GmHRBA
Dominican Republic936.3140.293
ACC666.340.300
Venezuela935.590.288
Pac-12574.040.211
Cuba393.8100.236
Japan-S.Korea663.850.205
Big-12663.860.203
SEC752.840.213
Mexico572.350.195
Puerto Rico481.820.194

The defending champions Dominican Republic is tied for first in overall offense (6.3 runs scored per game) with the ACC and tied for first place (9-3) with defending runner up Venezuela. They are way ahead with 14 home runs, while Cuba is second with 10 homers, just ahead of Venezuela with 9. The top three batting averages (.300 for ACC, .293 for Dominican Republic and .288 for Venezuela) are 52 points better than the rest of the league. Bold indicates 1st place, italics for 2nd place, and underlined for 3rd place). 

When the top 2 offenses match-up for two games, Marcel Ozuna hit three homers in one game and Fernando Tatis went 5 of 9 for the Dominican Republic, making him 7 for his last 14 with 3 homers. The ACC is powered by a hero from last year's World Series and from this year's World Series - the Nats' Trea Turner went 4 of 9 for the ACC and the Dodgers' Will Smith went 5 of 10 with 2 homers. For Venezuela, Peralta had two 3-run homers in one game, and Altuve went 4 of 8 in the same series. All details are below in the scoresheets and summaries. Cuba's sluggers include one of the best platoons ever with 2020 Playoff hero Randy Arozarena, who bats third against lefty and homered in his most recent game, and 2019 Rookie of the Year Yordan Alvarez (Astros) bats in the same spot against righties and homered in the next game.

Best DefenseR/GmSt IP
Starter KsStarter ERA
SEC1.255.7
281.98
Venezuela1.754.9
201.37
Mexico3.504.6
160.98
Dominican Republic3.755.0
254.50
Japan-S.Korea4.004.9
223.20
Big-124.505.2
143.48
Pac-124.755.3
334.71
Puerto Rico4.755.0
244.05
ACC5.503.3
89.00
Cuba6.253.5
177.71

Mexico was picked to finish last in the league, but their starters have done an incredible job of giving them 4 or 5 great innings for an 0.98 ERA, the best in the majors. However, in overall runs allowed per game they are only 3rd in overall runs allowed - giving up around 3 runs a game after the starter leaves for an overall average of 3.50 due to a number of players needing to play out of position in the field and weaker middle relieving until they get to great 8th and 9th inning closers. Agrazal, Gonzalez and Loasiga have all giving scoreless starts of between 4 and 6 innings, but do not have the endurance for long starts.

The SEC is the truly dominant pitching staff, with Scherzer (6 IP, 1 ER, 12 K), Gray (7,0,4) and Buehler (5.2, 1, 9) all dominating and only Woodruff (4,3,3) struggling a little the first time through the rotation. The Pac-12 may have the most dominant 1-2 punch with 13 strikeouts each for Bauer (8 innings, 1 run) and Cole (8,2) who had terrible defense behind him and was the hard-luck loser against the best start to date - Japan's Yu Darvish (no hitter with 13 strikeouts).

Sample Cards:

To give two examples if what the cards look like if you want to play your own games, Acuna's card shows he on Venezuela's team in this set, he was born in Venezuela, and in the MLB packet he is on Atlanta's team (Ven/Ven/ATL). Scherzer is on the SEC team, he pitched for the University of Missouri, and in the MLB set he is on the Washington Nationals.



The following is a summary of each game for each team. The teams are listed alphabetically and each game is listed in reverse chronological order:

ACC Games:

Dominican Republic 6, ACC 1 (Sweep). The Dominican Republic then scored 5 more in the first three innings of the second game, and held onto the sweep 6-1 to improve to 9-3 and drop the ACC to 6-6.

Dominican Republic 15, ACC 7 (sweep, max runs recorded in line is 10). After the ACC moved into 1st with a 6-0 mark by blitzing Cuba. The scored 7 more runs against the defending champion Dominican Republic, but it was not nearly enough. Ozuna hit 3 of the Champs 7 home runs - all in the first 5 innings, for the 15-7 win that gave them sweep credit and tied the two teams at 6-3.

ACC 9, Cuba 3 (sweep credit): The lack of pitching for Cuba became an alarm bell after a second straight sweep left them 0-6, having been outscored 17-6 in the two games. They have two of the top relievers in Chapman and Raisal Iglesias, but had to use them earlier in the game to get out of jams, and ran out of arms as Smith's 2nd homer or the game, a 3-run homer, made it 9-1 after 8 top secure the 5-run lead needed for a sweep. The other Iglesias, shortstop Jose, hit a 2-run homer in the 9th to add to Alvarez earlier homer, but they still fell short 9-3.

ACC 8, Cuba 3 (sweep credit): In the only offensive explosion in the first set of games with all aces pitching, the ACC jumped on Peacock (we let Cuba have Miami-born players) for 3 in the 1st and then a 3-run homer by Brad Miller (Clemson-St. Louis) helped the ACC get the 1st sweep (win after +5 lead after 8 innings).

Big-12 Games:

Big-12 5, Cuba 3. Arrieta (TCU) won the second game with 1 run allowed in 7 innings. The weak Big-12 bullpen surrendered a 2-run homer to Roberts in the 8th to cut it to 5-3, but that was the final.

Cuba 6, Big-12 3. Muncy (Baylor) led off the game with a Homer to start a 3 run first for the Big-12, but Perez settled down to not allow anything else, and Cuba's killer PB2-9s Iglesias and Chapman locked down Cuba's 1st win, 5-3. Robert homered in both games.

Big-12 5, Dominican Republic 4: The Big-12 used a 3-run pinch hit HR by Orf and a 2-run homer by Mayfield and then clung to a 5-4 win against the powerful defending champion Dominion Republic. Three DEEP drives by the Dominican Republic were all caught for long outs (we play these games as neutral batter-hitter parks, meaning each DEEP drive is a homer on a 11-48 or caught by the wall on a 51-88). Ramirez started the 9th with a homer, and then Marshall issued two walks to (like the SEC against Mexico in Game 2) but the winning run on base in the 9th, but Marshall induced a ground out by Cano to end the game.

Dominican Republic 5, Big-12 2: McBroom's 2-run homer off the defending champs ace Castillo gave the Big-12 a 2-0 lead. However Meija proved the hero for the Dominican Republic, reaching all 4 times including scoring the tying run after a single, and then delivering a 2-out, bases loaded single in the 7th, though he did take a wrong turn at 1st base and was thrown out.

Cuba (or Miami-born) Games:

Big-12 5, Cuba 3. Arrieta (TCU) won the second game with 1 run allowed in 7 innings. The weak Big-12 bullpen surrendered a 2-run homer to Roberts in the 8th to cut it to 5-3, but that was the final.

Cuba 6, Big-12 3. Muncy (Baylor) led off the game with a Homer to start a 3 run first for the Big-12, but Perez settled down to not allow anything else, and Cuba's killer PB2-9s Iglesias and Chapman locked down Cuba's 1st win, 5-3. Robert homered in both games. The 2020 Playoff hero Randy Arozarena homered. He bats third against lefties, while 2019 Rookie of the Year Yordan Alvarez (Astros) bats in the same spot against righties, and would homer in the 5-3 loss.

ACC 9, Cuba 3 (sweep credit): The lack of pitching for Cuba became an alarm bell after a second straight sweep left them 0-6, having been outscored 17-6 in the two games. They have two of the top relievers in Chapman and Raisal Iglesias, but had to use them earlier in the game to get out of jams, and ran out of arms as Smith's 2nd homer or the game, a 3-run homer, made it 9-1 after 8 top secure the 5-run lead needed for a sweep. The other Iglesias, shortstop Jose, hit a 2-run homer in the 9th to add to Alvarez earlier homer, but they still fell short 9-3.

ACC 8, Cuba 3 (sweep credit): In the only offensive explosion in the first set of games with all aces pitching, the ACC jumped on Peacock (we let Cuba have Miami-born players) for 3 in the 1st and then a 3-run homer by Brad Miller (Clemson-St. Louis) helped the ACC get the 1st sweep (win after +5 lead after 8 innings).

Dominican Republic Games:

Dominican Republic 6, ACC 1 (Sweep). The Dominican Republic then scored 5 more in the first three innings of the second game, and held onto the sweep 6-1 to improve to 9-3 and drop the ACC to 6-6.

Dominican Republic 15, ACC 7 (sweep, max runs recorded in line is 10). After the ACC moved into 1st with a 6-0 mark by blitzing Cuba. The scored 7 more runs against the defending champion Dominican Republic, but it was not nearly enough. Ozuna hit 3 of the Champs 7 home runs - all in the first 5 innings, for the 15-7 win that gave them sweep credit and tied the two teams at 6-3.

Big-12 5, Dominican Republic 4: The Big-12 used a 3-run pinch hit HR by Orf and a 2-run homer by Mayfield and then clung to a 5-4 win against the powerful defending champion Dominion Republic. Three DEEP drives by the Dominican Republic were all caught for long outs (we play these games as neutral batter-hitter parks, meaning each DEEP drive is a homer on a 11-48 or caught by the wall on a 51-88). Ramirez started the 9th with a homer, and then Marshall issued two walks to (like the SEC against Mexico in Game 2) but the winning run on base in the 9th, but Marshall induced a ground out by Cano to end the game.

Dominican Republic 5, Big-12 2: McBroom's 2-run homer off the defending champs ace Castillo gave the Big-12 a 2-0 lead. However Meija proved the hero for the Dominican Republic, reaching all 4 times including scoring the tying run after a single, and then delivering a 2-out, bases loaded single in the 7th, though he did take a wrong turn at 1st base and was thrown out.

Japan-S.Korea (and born in Hawaii) Games:

Venezuela 17, Japa-S.Korea (max 10 runs recorded on line). Peralta hit two 3-run homers and Venezuela's .432 batting average and 6 HRs were both the best batting marks of the 1st 2 series for any team (20 total games).

Venezuela 2, Japan-S. Korea 0. Lopez shut down Japan for 7 strong innings with 9 Ks, the turned it over to the dominant closers Castillo and Vazquez to complete the shutout, as Peralta's RBI double and Aguilar's homer provided the 2-0 wins.

Japan-S.Korea 11, Pac-12 3 (sweep, record max of 10). A rare offensive explosion from Japan was led by homers by Tsutsugo, Choi and Choo.

Japan-S. Korea 2, Pac-12 0: Darvish no-hit the Pac-12, and only missed a perfect game due to hitting Conforto with a pitch in the 4th. Cole had a duel no-hitter into the 6th despite terrible fielding, until Ohtani homered. Later in the inning Tsutsugo hit a grounder down the line that third baseman Lamb misplayed into an RBI double for the 2-0 final. Under the new stamina system Darvish PB dropped to a PB: 2-8 for the 8th and PB: 2-7 for the 9th (averages 5-6 innings per appearance, so his remaining SR is eliminated at the end of the next inning, the 7th).

Mexico (or Central American born) Games:

Pac-12 7, Mexico 6 (10 innings). The normally light-hitting Mexican team exploded in the 1st two innings with 2-run homers by L. Urias, Paredes and Kirk to take a 6-2, but the team's normal strength, the bullpen, let it slip away for a 2nd straight game. Healy went 4 for 4 including the RBI single in the bottom of the 9th to force extra innings and an earlier homer.

Pac-12 5, Mexico 1. Bauer dominated for 8 innings except for a HR by Kirk, but had to wait until he was pinch-hit for in the bottom of the 8th to go ahead, with his pinchhitter Semien delivering the key 2-run double. The normally dominant Osuna allowed 4 runs in the 8th without retiring an opposing batter.

Mexico 1, SEC 0: The Mexican pictures continued to look like Fernando Valenzuela, with four pitchers combining for a 3-hits shutout against the powerful SEC line-up. Second inning singles by R. Urias, R. Urias and then Arauz (whose grounder got past the 1st baseman) gave Mexico their only run to secure a surprise split. Gallego dodged a bullet in the 9th when Bradley and Alonso singled to put the winning run on base, and then Yastrzemski blasted a clutch batting foul home run, before striking out.

SEC 2, Mexico 1: Light-hitting Mexico led most of the way on a third inning homer by Arauz off of Schweizer (Mizzou), and the game ended with Camargo driving a clutch batting (BD) drive just foul that would have made it 3-2 Mexico.  However two Red Sox came though for the SEC with Bradley delivering one of his 3 hits to load the bases with 2 outs in the 6th then pinch hitter Benintendi  drawing and RBI-walk to break the shutout. J. McCann the led off the 8th with a Homer for the 2-1 win.

Pac-12 Games:

Pac-12 7, Mexico 6 (10 innings). The normally light-hitting Mexican team exploded in the 1st two innings with 2-run homers by L. Urias, Paredes and Kirk to take a 6-2, but the team's normal strength, the bullpen, let it slip away for a 2nd straight game. Healy went 4 for 4 including the RBI single in the bottom of the 9th to force extra innings and an earlier homer.

Pac-12 5, Mexico 1. Bauer dominated for 8 innings except for a HR by Kirk, but had to wait until he was pinch-hit for in the bottom of the 8th to go ahead, with his pinchhitter Semien delivering the key 2-run double. The normally dominant Osuna allowed 4 runs in the 8th without retiring an opposing batter.

Japan-S.Korea 11, Pac-12 3 (sweep, record max of 10). A rare offensive explosion from Japan was led by homers by Tsutsugo, Choi and Choo.

Japan-S. Korea 2, Pac-12 0: Darvish no-hit the Pac-12, and only missed a perfect game due to hitting Conforto with a pitch in the 4th. Cole had a duel no-hitter into the 6th despite terrible fielding, until Ohtani homered. Later in the inning Tsutsugo hit a grounder down the line that third baseman Lamb misplayed into an RBI double for the 2-0 final. Under the new stamina system Darvish PB dropped to a PB: 2-8 for the 8th and PB: 2-7 for the 9th (averages 5-6 innings per appearance, so his remaining SR is eliminated at the end of the next inning, the 7th).

Puerto Rico (or New York born) Games:

SEC 5, Puerto Rico 3. Puerto Rico jumped to a 3-0 lead in the nightcap, but Alonso (Florida) hit 2 homers to tie it, and then in the 9th Renfroe, who hit a massive homer for the Rays in the real world series game, blasted a 9th inning walk off homer off closer Diaz. Based on the line-ups ops and starting rotations era, the loaded SEC was picked 2nd of 10 teams behind the Dominican Republic and just ahead of Venezuela. The series made them 7-5 in third place and expecting to contend - 2 games behind those two teams after 12 games.

SEC 4, Puerto Rico 0. The SEC road Gray's 7 innings if 3 hit ball to a 4-0 win, but Correa threw Yaz out at home on a grounder to third in the bottom of the 8th to prevent them from recording a 5-0 sweep. Because Puerto Rico has three Clutch Defense 5, gold glove nominees at shortstop, Lindor playa SS, Baez plays 2b and Correa plays 3b.

Venezuela 7, Puerto Rico 0 (sweep). Flores hit 2 HRs, and Suarez went 4 innings and combined with four relievers on a shutout.

Puerto Rico 4, Venezuela 3 (10 innings): Puerto Rico won on 2 pinch hits. Rosario's pinch hit homer in the 5th tied the game 3-3, and after 2 great defensive plays by Lindor kept it tied, Panik delivered a pinch hit single in the 10th for the win.

SEC Games:

SEC 5, Puerto Rico 3. Puerto Rico jumped to a 3-0 lead in the nightcap, but Alonso (Florida) hit 2 homers to tie it, and then in the 9th Renfroe, who hit a massive homer for the Rays in the real world series game, blasted a 9th inning walk off homer off closer Diaz. Based on the line-ups ops and starting rotations era, the loaded SEC was picked 2nd of 10 teams behind the Dominican Republic and just ahead of Venezuela. The series made them 7-5 in third place and expecting to contend - 2 games behind those two teams after 12 games.

SEC 4, Puerto Rico 0. The SEC road Gray's 7 innings if 3 hit ball to a 4-0 win, but Correa threw Yaz out at home on a grounder to third in the bottom of the 8th to prevent them from recording a 5-0 sweep. Because Puerto Rico has three Clutch Defense 5, gold glove nominees at shortstop, Lindor playa SS, Baez plays 2b and Correa plays 3b.

Mexico 1, SEC 0: The Mexican pictures continued to look like Fernando Valenzuela, with four pitchers combining for a 3-hits shutout against the powerful SEC line-up. Second inning singles by R. Urias, R. Urias and then Arauz (whose grounder got past the 1st baseman) gave Mexico their only run to secure a surprise split. Gallego dodged a bullet in the 9th when Bradley and Alonso singled to put the winning run on base, and then Yastrzemski blasted a clutch batting foul home run, before striking out.

SEC 2, Mexico 1: Light-hitting Mexico led most of the way on a third inning homer by Arauz off of Schweizer (Mizzou), and the game ended with Camargo driving a clutch batting (BD) drive just foul that would have made it 3-2 Mexico.  However two Red Sox came though for the SEC with Bradley delivering one of his 3 hits to load the bases with 2 outs in the 6th then pinch hitter Benintendi  drawing and RBI-walk to break the shutout. J. McCann the led off the 8th with a Homer for the 2-1 win.

Venezuela Games:

Venezuela 17, Japan-S.Korea 3 (max 10 runs recorded on line). Peralta hit two 3-run homers and Venezuela's .432 batting average and 6 HRs were both the best batting marks of the 1st 2 series for any team (20 total games).

Venezuela 2, Japan-S. Korea 0. Lopez shut down Japan for 7 strong innings with 9 Ks, the turned it over to the dominant closers Castillo and Vazquez to complete the shutout, as Peralta's RBI double and Aguilar's homer provided the 2-0 wins.

Venezuela 7, Puerto Rico 0 (sweep). Flores hit 2 HRs, and Suarez went 4 innings and combined with four relievers on a shutout.

Puerto Rico 4, Venezuela 3 (10 innings): Puerto Rico won on 2 pinch hits. Rosario's pinch hit homer in the 5th tied the game 3-3, and after 2 great defensive plays by Lindor kept it tied, Panik delivered a pinch hit single in the 10th for the win.

Pictures of scoresheets for all games listed above.

If you want the complete play-by-play for any game, you can find a picture of the 2-game series below:

Pac-12 5, Mexico 1, then Pac-12 7-6 in 10 inn




Venezuela 2, Japan-S.Korea 0, then Venezuela 17-3 (sweep)



SEC 4, Puerto Rico 9, then SEC 5-3





Dominican Republic 15, ACC 7 (sweep), then DR 6-1 (also sweep).

We added a complete box score for this series.

Game 1123456789 RHE Gm 2123456789 RHE
ACC102201001 7123 ACC000000001 170
Dominican Republic73221000x 15120 DR13100010x 690

ACC (LLL 7-15)PoPAHWEB ACC (LLL 1-6)PoPAHWEB
Trea TurnerSS5111 Trea TurnerSS4100
Will SmithC5220 Will SmithC4110
Kyle Seager3B5110 Kyle Seager3B4100
Brad Miller2b5120 Brad Miller2b4010
Derek Dietrich1B5020 Derek Dietrich1B4200
Adam DuvallLF5304 Adam DuvallLF4200
Derek FisherCF5110 Derek FisherCF3000
Ryan BraunRF5100 Brian Goodwin^CF1010
PitchersP0000 Ryan BraunRF4000
Charlie BlackmonPH1100 PitchersP0000
Adam EngelPH1101 Charlie BlackmonPH1000
Chris TaylorPH1100 Adam EngelPH1100
Chad PinderPH1000 Chris TaylorPH1000
Brian GoodwinPH1000       
ACC Totals 451396 ACC Totals 35830
             
DR (WWW 15-7)PoPAHWEB DR (WWW 6-1)PoPAHWEB
Fernando Tatis JrSS6216 Fernando Tatis JrSS4300
Jose Ramirez3B5101 Jose Ramirez3B4000
Juan SotoRF5020 Juan SotoRF4201
Marcell OzunaLF5329 Marcell OzunaLF4100
Gary Sanchez1B5000 Gary Sanchez1B4103
Miguel Sano2B5201 Miguel Sano2B4103
Robinson CanoC5201 Robinson CanoC4010
Starling MarteCF5403 Starling MarteCF4103
PitcherP2000 PitcherP3000
Rafael DeversPH1000 Rafael DeversPH1000
Nelson CruzPH1000       
Ketel Marte2B1000       
DR Totals 4614521 DR Totals 369110


ACC 1IPRDec ACC 2IPRDec
Weaver17L Hjelle24L
Leone13  Doolittle21 
Kelley12  Green20 
Gallen23  Bard21 
Kline10      
Farmer10      
Hahn10      
ACC Totals815  ACC Totals86 
         
DR 1IPRDec DR 2IPRDec
Lamet35  Severino70W
D. Castillo10  Clase10 
Leclerc10W Neris0.71 
Montero11  Suero0.30 
Rodriguez10      
Dolis10      
Colome11      
DR Totals97  DR Totals91

And this scoresheet corresponds to the box score above.



Cuba 6, Big-12 3, then B12 won 5-3




SEC 2, Mexico 1 and Mexico 1, SEC 0


Dominican Republic 5, Big-12 2 and Big-12 5, Dominican Republic 4

Japan-S.Korea 2, Pac-12 0 (Darvish no-hit the Pac-12) and ,Japan 11, Pac-12 3 (sweep).



Puerto Rico 4, Venezuela 3 (10 innings) and Venezuela 7, Puerto Rico 0 (sweep).





ACC 8, Cuba 3 (sweep credit) and ACC 9, Cuba 3 (sweep credit)


League Rules and Sample Lay-out of cards to start game.

1. We all 2-game series, with 4-man starting rotations, but with each team throwing either their No. 1 pitcher and No. 4 pitcher in a series, or the No. 2 and No. 3 so there is no advantage if one team played more games then the other.

2. Relievers can pitch one inning in one of the games in each 2-game series, with the following exceptions:

a. A reliever who averaged at least 2 innings per appearance can pitch 2 relief innings.

b. A pitcher who comes in during an inning can either finish the inning, or if he retires everyone he faces in that inning, then he can keep pitching until he allows anyone to reach base or the end of the next inning.

3. We count each game as a 3-game series. Because a team has the same 14% chance of winning by at least 5 runs as the 14% chance of sweeping a 3-game series, we give the winning team credit for 2 wins and the losing team credit for winning 1 game, unless both of the following two things occur to award the winning team all 3 wins for a "sweep:" 

a. The winning team was ahead by at least 5 runs at the end of the 8th inning, and

b. The winning team did not use their best reliever available for the game through those 8 innings. The best reliever is defined as the reliever available for that game (not resting due to pitching in a preivous game) with the best projected Neutral ERA on the team.

4. If the game goes into extra innings, each extra inning is started with the last player to make an out in the previous inning on second base, and if he scores the run is recorded as unearned. 

5. Pitchers bat (we provided 10 relievers for each team, so they should have sufficient arms).

6. You do not need a board to play, but here is what our set-up looked like for the game we were lining up in what turned out to be Yu Darvish no-hitter against the Pac-12.




Wednesday, October 14, 2020

Statis-Pro Baseball: 6 Nations, 4 College Alumni Conference Teams Compete for Title

The suggested starting line-ups for 6 National Teams and 4 All-Conference Alumni teams follows. The first line-up is the suggested line-up vs. a left-handed opposing picture, which is followed by each players' position, how fast he is with A being the fastest and E the slowest on both On-base running (OBR) and base stealing (SP). Next is the players OPS (On-base percentage plus slugging percentage). The right column shows any changes made against a right-handed pitcher.

Below each line-up is the team's 4-man rotation with their projected ERA and if they throw left-handed or right-handed. After the starting rotation, the relievers are listed from lowest to highest, and then below them any other players who made the roster but do not start against either lefties or righties.

Standings (league rules at bottom)

These games are played with these Statis-Pro cards. For example, in this set Acuna is on Venezuela's team, he was born in Venezuela, and in the MLB packet he is on Atlanta's team (Ven/Ven/ATL). Scherzer is on the SEC team, he pitched for the University of Missouri, and in the MLB set he is on the Washington Nationals.





We start with the defending champions from last year's similar Statis-Pro season, the Dominican Republic, and then list the other nine contenders in alphabetical order. Click here for instructions to play the game yourself and links to all cards.

The Dominican Republic (Defending Champions)
 
Dom Rep Line-up vs. LHPPosOBR/StlOPSvs RHP
Fernando Tatis JrSSA/A0.946No change
Jose Ramirez3BA/A0.902No change
Juan SotoRFA/C1.009No change
Marcell OzunaLFB/D0.904No change
Miguel Sano1BE/E0.855Ramon Laureano, CF, A/C, 0.816
Ketel Marte2BA/C0.826Sano
Gary SanchezCD/D0.792Robinson Cano, 2B, C/E, 0.806
Starling MarteCFA/A0.782Francisco Mejia, C, C/D, 0.714
PitcherP  Pitcher

Rotation - Luis Castillo 3.25 Right, Luis Severino 3.37 Right, Dinelson Lamet 3.56 Right, Framber Valdez 3.70 Left.

Seranthony Dominguez 3.16 Right, Hector Neris 3.23 Right, Jose Leclerc 3.27 Right, Joely Rodriguez 3.35 Left, Wander Suero 3.47 Right, Emmanuel Clase 3.58 Right, Rafael Dolis 3.74 Right, Rafael Montero 3.74 Right, Alex Colome 3.92 Right, Diego Castillo 3.93 Right, Nelson Cruz DH, Rafael Devers 3b, Teoscar Hernandez RF, Franmil Reyes LF, Jorge Polanco SS, Miguel Amaya C.


ACC
 
ACC Line-up vs. LHPPosOBR/StlOPSvs RHP
Chris TaylorSSA/C0.844Trea Turner, SS, A/A, 0.827
Charlie BlackmonRFD/D0.812Will Smith, C, A/D, 0.885
Adam EngelLFC/D0.831Seager
Chad Pinder2BD/D0.762Brad Miller, 2b, D/D, 0.797
Kyle Seager3BD/D0.800Dietrich
Brian GoodwinCFC/C0.735Adam Duvall, LF, D/D, 0.759
Jacob StallingsCE/E0.716Derek Fisher, CF, B/B, 0.76
Derek Dietrich1BD/D0.761Ryan Braun, RF, A/C, 0.756
PitcherP  Pitcher

Rotation - Artie Lewicki 4.25 Right, Luke Weaver 4.28 Right, Sean Hjelle 4.65 Right, Trent Thornton 4.73 Right.

Daniel Bard 3.42 Right, Chad Green 3.54 Right, Andrew Miller 3.62 Left, Sean Doolittle 3.97 Left, Jesse Hahn 4.22 Right, Buck Farmer 4.23 Right, Dominic Leone 4.53 Right, Branden Kline 4.57 Right, Zac Gallen 5.40 Right, Trevor Kelley 5.40 Right, DJ Stewart 3b, Matt Wieters C, Tim Federowicz 1b.


Big 12
 
B12 Line-up vs. LHPPosOBR/StlOPSvs RHP
Jedd GyorkoLFA/D0.776No change
Max Muncy2bC/D0.875No change
Kevin Cron1BD/D0.818No change
Ryan McBroomRFD/D0.707Carpenter
Matt Carpenter3BC/D0.758McBroom
Buster PoseyCD/D0.755Mayfield
Jack MayfieldcfC/D0.667Nate Orf, SS, C/C, 0.663
Jordy MercerSSE/E0.652Bryan Holaday, C, E/E, 0.583
PitcherP  Pitcher

Rotation - Jon Gray 3.94 Right, Andrew Heaney 4.03 Left, Jake Arrieta 4.54 Right, John Means 4.80 Left.

Evan Marshall 3.73 Right, Stefan Crichton 4.01 Right, Garrett Richards 4.21 Right, Tyler Lyons 4.43 Left, Josh Tomlin 4.49 Right, Tyler Alexander 4.81 Left, Hoby Milner 5.40 Left, Burch Smith 5.40 Right, Brandon Workman 5.40 Right, Alex Young 5.40 Left, Jackson Williams RF, Chad Huffman LF, Jason Coats CF, Tres Barrera C, Sheldon Neuse 3b, Taylor Featherston 2b, Brandon Belt 1b.


Cuba
 
Cuba Line-up vs. LHPPosOBR/StlOPSvs RHP
Luis RobertCFA/A0.812No change
Yordan AlvarezRFD/D0.914Yoan Moncada, 3B, C/C, 0.819
Jose Abreu1BD/D0.863Alvarez
Lourdes Gurriel JrLFC/C0.799Abreu
Yandy Diaz3BD/D0.779Jorge Soler, LF, C/D, 0.826
Yasmani GrandalCD/D0.810No change
Jose IglesiasSSD/D0.733No change
Aledmys Diaz2BD/D0.730No change
PitcherP  Pitcher

Rotation - Brad Peacock 4.33 Right, Carlos Rodon 4.91 Left, Andrew Suarez 5.09 Left, Ronald Bolanos 5.37 Right.

Aroldis Chapman 2.74 Left, Raisel Iglesias 3.07 Right, Michel Baez 3.94 Right, Bryan Garcia 4.09 Right,  Yency Almonte 4.26 Right, Dan Otero 4.35 Right, Cionel Perez 4.45 Left, Yoan Lopez 4.69 Right, Nestor Cortes Jr. 5.40 Right, Adrian Morejon 5.40 Left, Yoenis Cespedes        RF, Yasiel Puig    RF, Randy Arozarena LF, Yuli Gurriel 1B, Adeiny Hechavarria 2B, Jose Garcia SS, Jorge Ona RF.


Japan-South Korea
 
Jap-Kor if Ohtani PPosOBR/StlOPSIf Ohtani not pitching
Shohei OhtaniPA/B0.810Ohtani move to 1st Base
Kolten Wong2BA/C0.753No change
Ke'Bryan Hayes3BA/C0.733No change
Yoshi TsutsugoLFD/E0.800No change
Ji-Man Choi1BD/D0.791Choi move to RF
Kurt SuzukiCC/D0.710No change
Shogo AkiyamaRFC/C0.691Choo
Isiah Kiner-FalefaSSC/C0.624No change
Shin-Soo ChooCFA/C0.699Pitcher

The Japanese-South Korean team drew the few Hawiian players.

Rotation - Yu Darvish 3.10 Right, Hyun Jin Ryu 3.84 Left, Ian Anderson 4.11 Right, Yusei Kikuchi 4.28 Left, Kirby Yates 3.33 Right.

Koji Uehara 3.69 Right, Kwang Hyun Kim 4.45 Left, Masahiro Tanaka 4.46 Right, Yoshihisa Hirano 4.58 Right, Rico Garcia 4.67 Right, Shun Yamaguchi 5.15 Right, Hisashi Iwakuma 5.40 Right, Kazuhisa Makita 5.40 Right, Junichi Tazawa 5.40 Right, Munenori Kawasaki (Ret) ss, Ichiro Suzuki (Ret) rf, Kensuke Tanaka (Ret) lf, Nori Aoki (Ret) cf, Hideki Matsui (Ret) c, Kenji Johjimi (Ret) c, Akinori Iwamura (Ret) 3b, Tsuyoshi Nishioka (Ret) 2b.


Mexico
 
Mex Line-up vs. LHPPosOBR/StlOPSvs RHP
Alejandro KirkCB/D0.752No change
Luis Urias3bC/D0.734Cuthbert
Cheslor CuthbertRFB/D0.706Urias
Ramon UriasSSD/D0.722No change
Isaac Paredes1bD/D0.706No change
Johan Camargo2BD/D0.705No change
Luis GonzalezCFC/C0.653No change
Jonathan ArauzLFC/C0.611No change
PitcherP  Pitcher

Likewise we let the Mexican team become the team for all Central America with a few players from Panama and Nicaragua.

Rotation - Victor Gonzalez 4.07 Left, Julio Urias 4.19 Left, Jose Urquidy 4.43 Right, Dario Agrazal 4.58 Right.

Giovanny Gallegos 2.99 Right, Roberto Osuna 3.11 Right, Andres Munoz 3.44 Right, Oliver Perez 3.72 Left, Joakim Soria 3.72 Right, Jonathan Loaisiga 4.19 Right, Gerardo Reyes 4.36 Right, Humberto Castellanos 4.39 Right, Luis Cessa 4.50 Right, Javy Guerra 4.54 Right, Alfredo Amezaga ss, German Duran RF, Luis Cruz LF, Extra Player CF, Freddie Sandoval C, Ali Solis C, Christian Villanueva 3b, Ramiro Pena 2b, Juan Castro 1b.


Pac-12

 
Pac-12 Line-up vs. LHPPosOBR/StlOPSvs RHP
Nick Madrigal2BB/B0.743Calhoun
Marcus SemienSSC/C0.837No change
Mark CanhaLFD/D0.836Conforto
Kole CalhounCFB/D0.789Canha
Michael ConfortoRFC/D0.918CJ Cron, 1B, D/D, 0.792
Ryon Healy1BC/E0.773Lamb
Jake Lamb3BC/D0.745Andrew Knapp, C, B/D, 0.729
Austin BarnesCC/C0.728Jason Kipnis, 2B, C/D, 0.724
PitcherP  Pitcher

Rotation - Gerrit Cole 3.24 Right, Trevor Bauer 3.31 Right, Griffin Canning 4.40 Right, Tyler Anderson 4.54 Left.

Andrew Kittredge 3.47 Right, Mark Melancon 3.53 Right, Robert Stock 3.85 Right, Kevin Ginkel 4.22 Right, Jace Fry 4.27 Left, Adam Cimber 4.37 Right, Merrill Kelly 4.57 Right, Sam Gaviglio 4.68 Right, Andrew Triggs 4.86 Right, Daniel Ponce de Leon 4.95 Right, Brandon Crawford ss, Willie Calhoun LF, Kevin Newman ss, Pat Valaika ss, Scott Kingery 2b, Andrew Susac C.


Puerto Rico
 
P Rico Line-up vs. LHPPosOBR/StlOPSvs RHP
Francisco LindorSSA/B0.834No change
Enrique Hernandez2BA/D0.773Jesse Winker, LF, D/D, 0.816
Edwin Rios3BD/D0.811Carlos Correa, RF, C/D, 0.782
Eddie RosarioLFD/D0.793Rios
Javier BaezRFB/B0.768Hernandez
Jeimer Candelario1BC/D0.757Colin Moran, 1B, E/E, 0.78
Tim LocastroCFA/A0.752Harrison Bader, CF, C/C, 0.764
Christian VazquezCC/C0.707No change
PitcherP  Pitcher

In order to fill in rosters we tried to pair countries with a place in the US with a large number of residents from their country. For Puerto Rico, we paired New York with a heavily Puerto Rican population. 

Rotation: Patrick Corbin 3.60 Left, Marcus Stroman 3.91 Right, Jose Berrios 4.09 Right, Jeff Hoffman 4.33 Right.

James Karinchak 2.45 Right, Edwin Diaz 2.88 Right, Tommy Kahnle 3.23 Right, Alex Claudio 3.64 Left, Adam Ottavino 3.80 Right, Dellin Betances 4.01 Right, Joe Jimenez 4.15 Right, Sal Romano 4.18 Right, Luis Garcia 4.23 Right, James Norwood 4.53 Right, Victor Caratini C, Isan Diaz 2b, Vimael Machin 3b, Yadier Molina C, Joe Panik 2b.



SEC
 
SEC Line-up vs. LHPPosOBR/StlOPSvs RHP
Hunter RenfroeLFA/C0.762Andrew Benintendi, LF, A/C, 0.727
DJ LeMahieu2BD/D0.845Alonso
Pete Alonso1BD/D0.923Yastrzemski
Alex Bregman3BB/D0.893LeMahieu
Mike YastrzemskiRFD/D0.856Josh Donaldson, 3B, C/D, 0.821
James McCannCC/D0.749Swanson
Dansby SwansonSSC/C0.747Austin Nola, C, C/D, 0.743
Jackie Bradley JrCFB/C0.720No change
PitcherP  Pitcher

Rotation - Max Scherzer 3.15 Right, Sonny Gray 3.43 Right, Aaron Nola 3.45 Right, Walker Buehler 3.67 Right.

Drew Pomeranz 3.06 Left, Taylor Rogers 3.08 Left, Darren O'Day 3.45 Right, Brandon Woodruff 3.46 Right, Will Harris 3.51 Right, AJ Minter 3.54 Left, Grant Dayton 3.86 Left, James Paxton 3.91 Left, Lance Lynn 3.92 Right, Dallas Keuchel 4.11 Left, Nate Lowe 1b, Brian Anderson 3b, Jared Walsh 1b, Adam Frazier 2b, Whit Merrifield RF, Mike Zunino C.


Venezuela 
Venez Line-up vs. LHPPosOBR/StlOPSvs RHP
Ronald Acuna JrCFA/A0.937No change
Gleyber TorresSSC/D0.901No change
Wilmer Flores1BD/D0.831Jesus Aguilar, 1B, C/E, 0.796
Eugenio Suarez3BD/D0.795Salvador Perez, C, C/D, 0.786
Willson ContrerasCD/D0.793Altuve
Jose Altuve2BB/C0.782Peralta
David PeraltaLFC/D0.771Santander
Anthony SantanderRFD/D0.749Eduardo Escobar, 3B, D/D, 0.745
PitcherP  Pitcher

Rotation: Carlos Carrasco 3.72 Right, Eduardo Rodriguez 3.88 Left, Martin Perez 4.37 Left, Ranger Suarez 4.42 Left.

Felipe Vazquez 2.64 Left, Jose Alvarez 3.52 Left, Jose Castillo 3.58 Left, Darwinzon Hernandez 3.89 Left, Pablo Lopez 3.90 Right, Jose Alvarado 3.91 Left, Brusdar Graterol 3.95 Right, Deolis Guerra 4.08 Right, Edubray Ramos 4.13 Right, Silvino Bracho 4.14 Right, Mike Brosseau 1b, Avisail Garcia CF, Willians Astudillo C, Renato Nunez 1b, Jose Osuna 1b,Miguel Rojas ss.


Grid for games

 
TeamWL>.500ACCB12CubaDRJa-KoMexP12PRSECVen
ACC000x000000000
B120000x00000000
Cuba00000x0000000
Dom Rep000000x000000
Jap-Kor0000000x00000
Mexico00000000x0000
Pac-12000000000x000
Puerto Rico0000000000x00
SEC00000000000x0
Venezuela000000000000x
Losses   0000000000



Tuesday, October 13, 2020

New 2021 Projected Player Cards and Updated Statis-Pro Game Instructions

If you already own a Statis-Pro game and Fast Action Cards for results, you can simply print these new 609 pitcher cards and 619 batter cards and play the game. Just note that instead of a passed ball range on the pitcher's card that range is "CD-C," meaning to refer to the Catcher's Clutch Defensive Chart.

For those who do not have the game, you can either order it or play for free by using these instructions and five dice pictured further down (two 6-sided dice for a roll of 2-12, two 8-sided dice of different colors for a roll of 11-88, and a 20-sided die). As reported a month ago, we finished playing the AL season a month ago with the Rays beating the Astros for the crown.

Choose Teams; Player Cards (Sample Braves then Dodgers Starting 9)

First, choose the two teams you would like to play. Players on the link above are grouped by their current team and listed in alphabetical order. Their cards are based on a combination of their stats during the 60-game 2020 season and the Zips projections for the 162-game 2021 season, adjusted based by ballpark. For example, Jose Altuve's projected 2021 Zips stats came to an 0.868 OPS in 129 games, but he struggled to a 0.629 OPS in the shortened 2020 season. When you add the two up and take away extra hits he had because of playing in a hitters' park, his card would average out to a 0.782 OPS - above average and closer to the projections (due to more games) but well short of his past All-Star level.

For purposes of these instructions, we chose the Braves and Dodgers cards above, using the line-ups each team used for Game 1 of the 2020 NLDS, except we dropped the DHs to have the pitchers hit. 

Once you choose your teams and players, you can use any scoresheet to write in the line-up. Note that with one exception, the position listed on this simple scorecard for each player is the primary position on their card, which is the first item under their name/team on the top line. Acuna is batting first for the Braves, and playing CF (centerfield), Freeman is batting second and playing 1b (1st base), through Fried who is batting 9th and pitching. The only exception is that the primary position for the Dodgers' No. 8 hitter Taylor is SS, but because Seager only plays shortstop, we write Taylor in at his second position, LF (leftfield).

BravesPos123456789 DodgersPos123456789
AcunaCF          BettsRF         
Freeman1b          SeagerSS         
OzunaLF          Turner3b         
d"ArnaudC          Muncy1b         
Albies2b          SmithC         
SwansonSS          BellingerCF         
MarkakisRF          Hernandez2b         
Riley3B          TaylorLF         
FriedP          BuehlerP         
PitchersIPRHKWSR     PitchersIPRHKWSR    
Fried           Buehler         

Begin Game, Pitcher vs. Batter

The vast majority of this blog covers all possible results of each at bat, so if you know how that works, then you can skip to "Pitcher Stamina." We start by enlarging the pitching card of Braves' starter Max Fried and Dodgers' lead-off hitter Mookie Betts in order to go through each potential result on each card.


PB - 2-12 Roll Determines if the Pitcher Keeps the Action on His Card

All five dice are rolled at once, but the first thing you read is the two standard dice totaling a roll between 2 and 12. Note Fried's "PB: 2-8" range. If the pitcher keeps the action on his card, then the batter's card is almost never relevant.

The possible pitcher's PBs are 2-9 (best), 2-8 (Fried's), 2-7 (Good), 4-7 (average), 2-6, 2-5 and 2-4 (worst). 

The picture shows the five dice, which can all be rolled at once, but also how the numbers correspond to a Fast Action Deck which you use instead of dice if you get the game.

If the Result is on the Pitcher's Card

  • 1B: The only hit that can be allowed on a pitcher's card is a single, so if a roll of 2-8 puts the action on Fried's call, then any roll of 11-23 onthe 11-88 dice is a single. A 1bf is an infield single, 1b7, single to left field, etc. 
  • BK: If bases are empty, a 24 is an Out. If anyone is on base, then a 24 MIGHT be a Balk. Roll one 6-sided die again, and if the roll is a 1 or 2 it is a balk, but a 3-6 it is an Out.
  • K: 25-44 is a strikeout.
  • W:45-51 is a walk.
  • WP: If bases are empty, 52 is an out. If anyone else is on base, it is a wild pitch.
  • CD-C: If bases are empty, 53-54 is an out. If anyone is on base then roll the 11-88 dice again and refer to the Catcher's Clutch Defensive Rating of CD1 (the worst), CD2, CD3, CD4 or CD5 (the best). The original Statis-Pro cards instead had a Passed Ball range that is no longer on these cards. 

C-CD (Catcher)CD1CD2CD3CD4CD5
Foul Out11-1811-2811-3811-4811-58
Passed Ball21-5831-5841-5851-5861-64
Infield single61-8861-7861-6861-6465-66
Lead runner out 81-8871-8865-8867-88

  • Out: a 55-88 is an Out. (see one exception on lefty vs. righty adjustment below) 

If the Result is on the Batter's Card

If the 2-12 roll is outside the pitcher's range, a 9, 10, 11 or 12 when Fried is pitching, then we use Betts hitter's card instead of the pitcher's card for the result.

  • 1B: 11-17 would be a single for Betts, to the infield (1bf), leftfield (1B7), centerfield (1B8) or rightfield (1B9).
  • 2B: 18-26 would be a double.
  • 3B8: Betts does not have a triple on his card.
  • HR: 27-35 is a home run, and note that the dice roll we showed above would have been a home run, with the 2-12 roll of 9 putting it on Betts card, and then the 27 falling in this home run range.
  • Deep: 36-37 is a deep drive that will either result in a home run or be caught but deep enough to allow any runner to advance a base, based on a new roll of the 11-88 dice. If you choose to play the game without choosing a ballpark, then 11-48 is a home run and  51-88 is a deep fly. If you treated the pitcher friendly Dodgers as the host team playing in Dodger Stadium (bolded on chart below), then only 11-17 is a home run and 18-88 is a deep drive (referred to as 'SacFly" below, though technically it is not scored as a SacFly unless a player scores from third base).

ParkDuring Game There
ARIHR if 11-56, SacFly if 57-88
ATLHR if 11-68, SacFly if 71-88
BaltHR if 11-62, SacFly if 63-88
Bost HR if 11-76, SacFly if 77-88
CHCHR if 11-55, SacFly if 56-88
CINHR if 11-82, SacFly if 83-88
Cle HR if 11-66, SacFly if 67-88
ColHR if 11-86, SacFly if 87-88
CWSHR if 11-35, SacFly if 36-88
DetHR if 11-58, SacFly if 61-88
HouHR if 11-62, SacFly if 63-88
KCHR if 11-72, SacFly if 73-88
LAAHR if 11-48, SacFly if 51-88
LADHR if 11-17, SacFly if 18-88
MiaHR if 11-26, SacFly if 27-88
MILHR if 11-48, SacFly if 51-88
MinHR if 11-48, SacFly if 51-88
NYMHR if 11-12, SacFly if 13-88
NYYHR if 11-42, SacFly if 43-88
OakHR if 11-13, SacFly if 14-88
PhilHR if 11-63, SacFly if 64-88
PITHR if 11-33, SacFly if 34-88
SDHR if 11-34, SacFly if 35-88
Sea HR if 11-22, SacFly if 23-88
SFHR if 11-23, SacFly if 24-88
STLHR if 11-26, SacFly if 27-88
TBHR if 11-26, SacFly if 27-88
TexHR if 11-86, SacFly if 87-88
TorHR if 11-48, SacFly if 51-88
WashHR if 11-83, SacFly if 84-88
NeutralHR if 11-48, SacFly if 51-88

  • K: 38-41 is a strike out for Betts - only 2 numbers compared to the average 17 strikeouts on a batter's card.
  • W: 42-48 is a walk.
  • HPB: 51 indicated Betts goes to 1st base after being hit by a pitch.
  • Out: 52-58 is an out (chart further down will indicate who fields the out).

Pitcher at Bat

The bottom line of each pitcher's card gives the results when he is batting.

When Fried bats with Buhler pitching, this line indicates he singles on a roll up to 17 (11-17), he doubles up to 25 (18-25), he homers on 26, and then all pitchers at bat strike out up to a 48, are walked on 51 and are out on 52-88. Whenever you decide to bunt with a pitcher, consider him Sac: BB. Pitchers are not allowed to hit and run. 

These batting ranges are pulled from several possible cards that match the pitcher's career OPS. Fried is one of the best hitting pitchers in baseball and one of few who use the normal process of starting with the opposing pitcher's PB to see if the action is on his card. Buhler is an above average hitter, but he and the vast majority of pitchers at bat skip the opposing pitcher's PB 2-12 roll and always use their card for the 11-88 roll.

Therefore, when Buhler hits with Fried or any other opposing pitcher, we ignore that pitcher's card, and Buhler singles up to 14 (11-14), doubles up to 16 (15-16) and like all other pitchers then strikes out up to 48, walks on a 51, and is out on 52-88, but has the option of Sac: BB if a runner is on 1st and or 2nd base.

Right vs. Left Possible Adjustments on rolls of 11-14 or 85-88

One exception to the results above on either the pitcher or batter card can occur if the 11-88 roll is in either the 11-14 range or the 85-88 range. To determine this adjustment, refer near the bottom right to the "Cht" on the batters card. This will include a RP, RN, SP, SN, LP or LN to indicate if the batter hits right-handed, left-handed or is a switch hitter, and if he is considered a power hitter for normal. 

However, the most important item is the number that follows those two letters. If a "--/--" appears then no adjustment is made to any of the 11-88 results listed above. On Betts card you will find a 12/88. 

The 12/ to the left indicates that any 11-88 roll up to a 12 (so 11 or 12) against a left-handed pitcher is changed from a hit to a strikeout. Since Fried is a left-handed pitcher, this result would be changed to a strikeout whether or not the action was on the pitcher or batters card. 

The /88 to the right indicates that if an 88 occurred on Betts card or a right-handed pitcher he was facing, then the result would be changed from an "Out" to a single with all runners advancing two bases. Normally if there is a split it is in the opposite order, with left-handed batters hitting better against right-handed pitchers and vice versa.

If you look at the first three Braves batters in the top row at the top of this blog, Acuna hits just was well against all pitchers "--/--," while Freeman hits better against right-handed pitchers (13 indicates strikeout on 11-13 against left-handed pitchers, while 88 indicates single with runners advancing two bases on an 88), while Ozuna hits better against left-handed pitchers (85 indicates 85-88 are singles, runners advancing two bases against left-handed pitchers, while 11 indicates he strikes out on 11 against right-handed pitchers. Just remember the number LEFT of the solidus (/) indicates a changed result against left-handed pitchers, and a number RIGHT of the solidus means a changed result against a right-handed pitcher, and you only need to check for this if the number is between 11-14 or 85-88.

20-sided die

The 20-sided die is ignored on all rolls unless the result of the play is an Out OR if a 18 or 19 results on a hit.

Errors - Possible if 20-sided Die Results in 18 or 19

An Error can only result if a 18 or 19 is rolled on the 20-sided die on an "Out" or "Hit." Determining if an error did occur takes two steps:

1. Determine which player attempts to make a play. 

a. On a 1B7 or 2B7 the ball is hit to the LF, on a 1B8, 2B8 or 3B8 it is hit to the CF, and on a 1B9 or 2B9 it is hit to the RF. 

b. On an Out or 1bf, roll the two 6-sided dice again and use the result to which fielder attempts to make a play. A roll of 2 or 3 = 1b (ball hit to 1st baseman), 4 = P, 5 = CF, 6 = 3B, 7 = SS, 8 = 2B, 9 = LF, 10 = C, 11 = RF, 12 = SS.

c. Once you determine the fielder, look for the E rating near the top of his card. If Betts were Out, the 20-sided die were an "18" or "19," and then the new roll of the two 6-sided die were a "7" then the ball would be hit to the Braves' shortstop Swanson, who has an E4 on his fielding line (SS CD3 E4).  

d. In our sample Braves and Dodgers line-ups, 17 of 18 players are playing their primary position (1st listed) and like Swanson use their E figure. However, recall that the Dodgers' Taylor is not playing his 1st position of SS, where he would be an E6, but his card indicates +1 if LF or 2B, so if a Brave hit the ball to LF then he would attempt to field it but with an E7. Note that his card also indicates that he is an E8 if he plays CF or 2B. If any player plays at a position not listed on his card at all, then he is an E10 at that position.

2. Determine if the player makes an error.

a. Once you determine to whom the ball is hit, roll the 20-sided die again to determine if he makes a play or makes an error.

b. 1-10 is a possible 1-base error. If the roll is equal to or less than the fielder's E number then it is a 1-base error. Swanson is an E4, so a roll of 1-4 is an error.

c. 11-20 is a possible 2-base error. The scale is the same but 10 higher, so for Swanson's 4 an 11-14 is a 2-page error. 

d. Therefore on a roll of 5-10 or 15-20, Swanson would make the play. Any time an out is made after checking for an error, all runners advance. For  infielders (C, P, 1B, 2B, 3B or SS) this is a groundout with runners advancing, while for an outfielder (LF, CF, RF) this is a deep fly ball and runners advance. However, if this occurs on a hit, the outfielder holds all baserunners to one base.

Refer to chart below on Rolls of 1-17 on 20-sided Die after an Out

If an Out occurs and the 20-sided die is a 1 to 17, find the base situation (Out, bases empty, Man on 1st, through Bases Loaded). The result will tell you who made the play, but also if any runners on base advance or hold their bases. Note that most batters hit into double plays on a roll of 1-4, however because Betts' OBR is A he beats out the double play grounder on a 2-4 and only hits into a double play on a 1. . 





"20" on the 20-sided Dice with Anyone on Base Changes Everything

Dice roll of 20 is a flyout to centerfield (F8) if no one is on base and the result is an Out. If anyone is on base, ignore the PB and instead use the two 6-sided dice with a 2-4 resulting in a Clutch Batting (BD) chance, a 5-9 resulting in a Clutch Fielding (CD) chance or a 10-12 resulting in an unusual Z-Play.

BD on roll of 2, 3 or 4 on two 6-sided dice in addition to "20" die

On a Clutch Batting result, the 11-88 roll is instead used to reference the bottom line of the batter's card. For Betts, an 11-17 would be a base clearing double (BD-2B), and 18-35 is a Clutch Home Run (BD-HR) and anything else (36-88) is a foul drive and the batter is still at the plate.k

CD on roll of 5 through 9 on two 6-sided dice in addition to "20" die


On a "20" roll where the PB would have been 5 through 9 use the two 6-sided dice to pick a position below, and the 11 to 88 on the chart. If Betts were hitting with anyone on base and the 20 was on the 20-sided die, and the two 6-sided dice were a 1 and a 6, then the chart below shows Betts hit the ball to 1st base where the Braves' first baseman Freeman would try to make a Clutch Defensive play. On any roll of the two 6-sided dice that results in a 5 to 8 you need to look at both of those dice to determine which fielder has a chance for a Clutch Defensive play.

5 - CF
6 (1 & 5) - LF
6 (2 & 4) - RF
6 (3 & 3) - P
7 (1 & 6) - 1B (Braves Freeman in example)
7 (2 & 5) - 2B
7 (3 & 4) - 3B
8 (4 & 4) - C
8 (2 & 6 or 3 & 5) - SS
9 - CF

Once you determine the fielder attempting to make the Clutch Defensive Play, read the 11-88 dice to determine the result of the play. Freeman has a CD4 at 1st base, so an 11-48 is a line out with Freeman doubling off the lead runner. On a 51-68, Freeman comes up with a grounder and can either throw out a lead runner who is not forced, or if a man is on 1st turn a double play (for example, with men on first and third and 0 outs, Freeman could either throw home for one out, or throw to second base to start a double play and allow the runner to score from 3rd base). On a 71-84 a single gets past him and runners go two bases. And on an 85-88, a line drive gets past him down the line for a base-clearing double.



Z on roll of 10 to 12 on two 6-sided dice in addition to "20" die

On a "20" roll where the PB would have been 10 through 12 refer to the Z Chart of unusual
plays below.

Z Chart Results
11 - Catcher ejected
12 - Pitcher ejected
13 - Batter ejected
14 - Single, P, C & 1b ejected
15 - Batter ejected
16 - Pitcher ejected
17 - Walk for pitcher going to mouth
18 - Batter out for illegal bat
21 - Rain delay, both pitchers PB lowered by 2
22 - Rain delay, both pitchers PB lowered by 2
23 - Rain delay, both pitchers PB lowered by 2
24 - Rain delay, both pitchers PB lowered by 1
25 - Rain delay, both pitchers PB lowered by 1
26 - Rain delay, both pitchers PB lowered by 1
27 - Double, but if runner on 1st ruled out for batter passing
28 - Strikeout, wild pitch, batter safe at 1st as long as 1st base not occupied OR if 2 outs and all runners advance
31 - Apparent double erased, batter out for missing 1st base and gets credit for single
32 - If man on first, steals and SS ejected
33 - Runner out stealing second and batter ejected
34 - IF man on first, picked off 1-3-4-3 but a runner on 3b scores
35 - IF man on first, picked off 1-3-6, all others advance
36 - If man on 3rd, catcher picks off
37 - Strikeout, passed ball batter safe at first if unoccopied or 2 outs
38 - Single runners advance 2, but batter out rounding 1st
41 - Batter out for running into slow roller
42 - Only if runners on 1st and 2nd, grounder hits runner on 1st who is ruled out but batter gets hit (if runners not on 1st and 2nd, then ignore)
43 - Catcher interference, batter gets 1st
44 - Batter out on Fan interference
(Note: Original games had a 2nd fielding chart, but those results are now below.)
45: If 1B is CD 3 or 4, double play 3-6-3 others advance. If CD 1 or 2, batter out all runners advance. (ignore if no one on 1st base)
46: If 2B is CD 3 or 4, double play 4-6-3 others advance. If CD 1 or 2, batter out all runners advance. (ignore if no one on 1st base)
47: If SS is CD 3 or 4, double play 6-4-3 others advance. If CD 1 or 2, batter out all runners advance. (ignore if no one on 1st base)
48: If 3B is CD 3 or 4, double play 5-4-3 others advance. If CD 1 or 2, batter out all runners advance. (ignore if no one on 1st base)
51-52: If P is CD 3 or 4, double play 3-6-3 others advance. If CD 1 or 2, batter out all runners advance. (ignore if no one on 1st base)
53-54: Difficult grounder, runners advance one base. E0 - E3 at 1B gets batter out, otherwise infield single.
55-56: Difficult grounder, runners advance one base. E0 - E3 at 2b gets batter out, otherwise infield single.
57-58: Difficult grounder, runners advance one base. E0 - E4 at SS gets batter out, otherwise infield single.
61-62: Difficult grounder, runners advance one base. E0 - E5 at 3b gets batter out, otherwise infield single.
63-66: Difficult fly ball in gap, E0 - E1 in LF makes catch for out and runners hold, otherwise double and all runners score.
67-72: Difficult fly ball in gap, E0 - E2 in CF makes catch for out and runners hold, otherwise double and all runners score.
73-76: Difficult fly ball in gap, E0 - E2 in RF makes catch for out and runners hold, otherwise double and all runners score.
77: TRIPLE PLAY POSSIBLE. Line out to SS if men on 1st and 2nd, to 3B if 1st and 3rd, 2b if 2nd and 3rd, and P if bases loaded. Get new PB number and if 2-6 then triple play, but if new PB is 7-12 then only double play with lead runner doubled off.
78 - Pitcher injured on line drive single.
81 - Catcher injured on foul tip.
82 - 1st Baseman injured chasing foul.
83 - 2nd Baseman injured, line drive single.
84 - Shortstop injured, line drive single.
85 - 3rd Baseman injured chasing foul.
86 - Leftfielder injured, double.
87 - Centerfielder injured, double.
88 - Rightfielder injured, double.

Because we use projected stats we do not have "fluke" cards from players based on just a few games played, we do not need injured players to miss long stretches of the season. Therefore, the player is only injured for the game being played or the rest of a series against the same team.

Pitcher's Stamina and Rest

The mini scoresheet includes an "SR" which is a way to track when a pitcher runs out of endurance and should be replaced.

Fried's SR/RR: 14/4 indicates his endurance as a starting pitcher is 14, and as a reliever is 4. The SR is reduced everything time a player reaches first base or if he scores against the pitcher, unless this resulted on a play in which either was caused by an error in the advanced rules or if any of the runners who scored were not put on base by that pitcher. A pitcher who allows a grand slam run would would have his SR (or RR if he was relieving) reduced by 5 for that play because one player reached 1st base on the play and that player and three others scored. The pitcher's SR (or RR for relievers) is also reduced by 1 every time he completes an inning. When the SR or RR hits 0 he is out of endurance.

A second way a pitcher can run out of endurance is based on innings pitched. Buhler averages 4.9 innings pitcher per game, and he is allowed to finish the complete inning (to 5) plus one additional inning (to the end of the 6th inning) before his endurance is used up. For a reliever, he is endurance is gone after his RR is used up, or after the complete inning just above his average (e.g. a reliever who averages 0.9 innings per appearance can only pitch one inning, while a reliever who averages 1.2 can pitch two innings.

When a pitcher's endurance ends in either of those ways, he is usually replaced in the game by a reliever, however if he is left in the game then:

  • His PB is reduced by 1 immediately, so Fried would drop from a PB: 2-8 to a PB: 2-7.
  • As long as he stayed in the game after that, his PB would be reduced one more every time a runner reaches first base or scores, or an inning ends. So if Fried dropped to a PB: 2-7 by running out of endurance, and then gave up a single, he would drop to a PB: 4-7, and then if the inning ended and he stayed in the game for the start of the next inning he would be a PB: 2-6, and so forth down to a PB: 2-2, or after that was reduced, then the game would be played with the 11-88 roll going straight on the batters. card.

As for rest between games, we play a starters pitches every four games and a reliever must rest one game after each appearance. This allows them to pitch a bit more frequently then they would in a normal season, so you may choose to make different rest rules. 

Stealing or Taking an Extra Base on a Hit

The OBR/STL: A/B rating on Betts card indicates he is an excellent base-runner (A is the best base-running rating and E is the worst) and B indicates he is a good base-stealer (AA is the best, and E is the worst). 

In most cases once a runner reaches base he advances as many bases as a following batter on a hit (1 base on a single, 2 bases on a double or 3 bases on a triple).

However, a baserunner can try to steal a base or take one extra base on a hit. The following chart is used to determine if he is successful in taking the extra base.

LF 1st to 3rdT2T3T4T5 2nd to HomeT2T3T4T5
OBR: A11-3611-3211-2611-22 OBR: A11-4211-3611-3211-26
OBR: B11-3211-2611-2211-16 OBR: B11-3611-3211-2611-22
OBR: C11-2611-2211-1611-12 OBR: C11-3211-2611-2211-16
OBR: D11-3211-1611-1211-11 OBR: D11-2611-3211-1611-12
OBR: E11-2611-1211-1111-11 OBR: E11-1211-1111-1111-11
           
CF 1st to 3rdT2T3T4T5 1st to HomeT2T3T4T5
OBR: A11-4211-3611-3211-26 OBR: A11-2611-2211-1611-12
OBR: B11-3611-3211-2611-22 OBR: B11-2211-1611-1211-11
OBR: C11-3211-2611-2211-16 OBR: C11-1611-1211-1111-11
OBR: D11-2611-3211-1611-12 OBR: D11-1211-1111-1111-11
OBR: E11-1211-1111-1111-11 OBR: E11-1111-1111-1111-11
           
RF 1st to 3rdT2T3T4T5 StealingSafe CatchOut
OBR: A11-5611-5211-4611-42 STL: AA11-48 TA74-88
OBR: B11-5211-4611-4211-36 STL: A11-42 TB78-88
OBR: C11-4611-4211-3611-32 STL: B11-34 TC84-88
OBR: D11-4211-3611-3211-26 STL: C11-26   
OBR: E11-3611-3211-2611-22 STL: D11-18  3B+6

Taking an Extra Base on a Hit

If Betts were on 1st base when another batter hits a single to centerfield, then his OBR A/ is used on the chart above, but you also need to reference the throwing arm of the opposing centerfielder. In this case, the Braves' centerfielder Acuna has a T3 under this name, which is just an average throwing arm (T5 is the best, T2 is the worst).

First find the chart for a hit to CF with the runner trying to go from 1st to 3rd base, then cross reference Betts' OBR: A with Acuna's T3 and you will see that he takes the extra base on a 11-88 roll of 11-36.  

If the hit occurs with 2 outs, then add 20 to the range so he takes 3rd base on an 11-56, and if the hit number can be divided by 4 (12, 16, 24, 28, etc.) then add another 20, so the range is 11-56 with less than 2 outs for 11-76 with 2 outs.

However, just because a runner is not successful in taking an extra base, does not mean he is out. Overall, runners successfully take an extra base only 30% of the time but are only thrown out at the next base 1% of the time. The runner can only be thrown out in the 80s:

A T5 outfielder throws out a runner on an 81-88.
A T4 outfielder throws out a runner on 83-88.
A T3 outfielder (like Acuna) throws out a runner on 85-88.
A T2 outfielder throws out a runner on a 87-88.

Stealing a Base

While 5 of the 6 charts above give all situations on taking an extra base on a hit, the bottom right chart deals with stealing 2nd base.

Since Betts is a STL: B, he steal 2nd base if the 11-88 roll is between 11-34.

If a player tries to steal 3rd base, then add 6 to the roll, so a roll of 31 would give him a steal of 2nd base, but if stealing 3rd base the +6 changes that roll from 31 to 37 and he would not steal 3rd base.

As with taking an extra base on a hit, normally when a runner is unable to steal, it just means he could not get a jump and held his base (you can only try to steal once per batter at the plate). 

If Betts tried to steal against the Braves in this game you would use d'Arnaud's TC throwing arm, meaning he would only be out on an 84-88. However, if Betts tried to steal 3rd base and the roll was a 78 then you would need to +6 so he would be out stealing 3rd base.

If a Braves player tried to steal in this game, then they would be out on 78-88 when stealing 2nd against Smith, a TB, and if trying to steal 3rd base then numbers down to 72 would be an out stealing. The best catcher's throwing arm is a TA, which throws would-be base stealers down to 74-88, with as low as a 68 throwing out a would-be runner at 3rd base.

Skipping the 2-12 Dice to Hit & Run.

Betts HR: 1 number at the top of the card indicates he is good as a hit & run batter. Any time a player is on 1st base, or 1st and 3rd base, the batting team can choose to have the base runner take off running to attempt a hit & run by rolling only the 11-88 dice and using the following results. Most players are a HR: 0 meaning they are not good at the hit & run play, while a few are even better than Betts at it with a HR: 2. 

Use these results for Betts or any HR: 1 player, but ADD +6 to the 11-88 roll if the player is an HR: 0 (most players) and SUBTRACT 4 for the few players that are even better than Betts with an HR: 2.

  • 11-24: Single to CF, runner advances 2 bases.
  • 25-28: Double to LF, runner scores, BUT if pitcher PB 2-7 or better, ground out to second base and runners advance.
  • 31: Triple to RF.
  • 32-33: Misses pitch, runner must try to steal and if result is neither a steal or thrown out on the chart, then he is out stealing.
  • 34-58: Grounder to second, runners advance.
  • 61-63: Foul, roll all dice again and use PB, but lower 2-12 by 2 (so a 9 is now on the card of a PB: 2-7 pitcher rather than on the batter's card.
  • 64-67: Fly to LF, T5 at left field turns into double play by throwing runner out returning to 1st.
  • 68-73: Fly to CF, T5 at left field turns into double play by throwing runner out returning to 1st.
  • 74-77: Fly to RF, T5 at left field turns into double play by throwing runner out returning to 1st.
  • 78-82: Line-out to pitcher, runner on 1st doubled off.
  • 83-88: Batter strikes out, and runner thrown out stealing.

Skipping the 2-12 Dice to Bunt

Bunting is rarely used any more, and like most players Betts is a Sac: DD meaning he did not lay down any bunts. For any pitcher at bat use a Sac: BB, and the best rating for a bunter is a Sac: AA. You can choose to bunt instead of trying to hit by rolling just one 6-sided dice with the following results:

1-2 = Successful bunt, runners on 1st base or 2nd base advance, batter out.

3 = Successful bunt if SAC: CC, BB or AA, otherwise batter strikes out on foul.

4 = Successful bunt if SAC: BB or AA, otherwise batter strikes out on foul.

5 = Successful bunt if SAC: AA, otherwise batter strikes out on foul.

6 = Hard bunt, lead runner thrown out.

This wraps up the instructions to play the game. If you like the game, we do recommend you visit the Statis-Pro Advanced Facebook page (not affiliated with us) or other Statis-Pro sites you might google to order the game or other player cards. To report any errors you find, ask questions, or for anyone who produces other Statis-Pro cards and would like to produce printed copies of these cards for sale, simply email pudnerjohn@gmail.com or call or text 404.606.3163 and I am happy to give permission to reprint. Also note that except for the highly accurate Statis-Pro Advanced cards, the pitcher cards we produce feature much more accurate hit, walk and strikeout ranges than other versions because the initial charts produced when the game was invented years ago were very inaccurate. All cards are fine, except for one ridiculous set that miscalculates many pitchers as having hit ranges into the 30s, but our ranges are just more accurate to yield the correct number of strikeouts as well as hits and walks allowed. However, we do use simplified fielding calculations that base errors, clutch defense and throwing arms all on the new all-inclusive BsR stat for defensive runs saved, rather than using fielding averages for the E rating from a shortened season. We do also give all gold glove nominees from the past few years an automatic CD: 5.