Monday, August 3, 2020

NIT 2nd Round - Value Add

The 2nd round NIT games are being set. The previous two blogs show the results of first round games, with the winners below with their seeds.

1-Xavier vs. 17-St. John's

9-Texas vs. 25-VCU

20-Alabama vs. St. Louis-South Dakota St.

Mississippi St.-Tulsa vs. Radford-Rhode Island

2-Purdue vs. 15-Syracuse

7-Oklahoma St. Vs. 23-Wright St.

Arkansas-Murray St. Vs. TN-SC

N. Iowa-La Tech vs. MN-Furman

Saturday, August 1, 2020

2020 Value Add NIT - Xavier, SJU, TX, VCU, Bama, OSU, Purdue, Syracuse Advance

This is a condensed post with a paragraph on every game of our 2020 NIT that might have been using player cards and the free Value Add Basketball Game. The more detailed post includes score sheets and more detail on each game as well as the already concluded NCAA 2020 and all-time tournaments. The games are listed in the order of the bracket, and we seed 1- through 32- rather than break down into four 1-8 seeds.

1-Xavier vs. 32-North Florida ---16-UConn vs. 17-St. John's

Xavier 79, North Florida 77. North Florida's Ivan Gandia-Rosa, who just missed Atlantic Sun Value Add Player of the year, came within seconds of upsetting 1-seed Xavier. Having already drawn 5 fouls on Paul Scrugg's, he hit 2 free throws finish with 28 points and lead 77-76 with 16 seconds to play. Quintin Gooden missed a potential game-winner for Xavier, but Tyrique Jones grabbed the offensive rebound (game-high 9), fed the ball to Naji Marshall who scored the game-winner despite being fouled and hit the free throw to finish with a team-high 15 and deliver the 79-77 win.

St. John's 86, UConn 83 (OT): The fact that St. John's even forced a overtime was amazing, since UConn's Christian Vital (19 points, 5 rebounds, 3 steals) dominated.  However, St. John's then did one they do best, turning UConn over down the stretch. While UConn's 6-foot-11 Carlton dominating (12 points and 12 rebounds) most of the game, his shorter St. John's counterpart Champagnie had 6 steals en route to a team 16-8 edge in steals with several in the last 5 minutes. Figueroa hit two 3-pointers en route to his game high 23 points and Williams scored with 16 seconds left to close the amazing 24-14 run in the final 5 minutes to send the game into overtime 74-74.

Xavier vs. St. John's for pod.

8-Stanford vs. 25-VCU --- 9-Texas vs. 24-Colgate

VCU 76, Stanford 61: The first big upset of the 2020 NIT started at Stanford with a 13-0 blitz from VCU that made it 33-20 out of the gate.  In a match-up of star shooting guards, VCU's De'Riante Jenkins stole the ball on two of the first four trips to lead the fast start. The other match-up of big stars featred the two centers with similar last names, as VCU's Marcus Santos-Silva (9 points, 15 rebounds) dominated the boards while Stanford's Oscar da Silva (10 points, 7 rebounds) was strong with four blocked shots. However, the surprise games by Douglas (9 points, 3 rebounds in limited time) and small forward Issac Vann (19 points, 7 rebounds).

Texas 84, Colgate 82: Texas coach Shaka Smart will only host his former team VCU in the 2nd round because his star Jericho Sims took over in the final minutes including the game-winner buzzer beater. The 44 possessions we play included 13 lead changes and 8 ties. Sims scored with 3:30 left to give Texas a 71-70 lead, then to tie it 73-73 on the next trip, then grabbed an offensive rebound and fed Courtney Ramsey to make it 75-73, then scored again for 77-75 lead for 6 points, and offensive rebound and assist in four trips. When Will Raymond capped his 27-point game with a game-tying 3-pointer to make it 82-82, before Sims beat the buzzer for the 84-82 win.

Texas vs. VCU.

4-St. Louis vs. 29-S.Dakota St. --- 13-Notre Dame vs. 20-Alabama

Alabama 77, Notre Dame 68. Alabama overcame 18 turnovers and a bit of a home job at South Bend with a barrage of 3-pointers to advance. On roughly 100 rolls of the 4 dice per game (44 possessions per team plus some offensive rebounds and extra possessions for steals-fast breaks or fouls in the last 9 possessions) there is a one in 36 chance of a bad call favoring the home team that can slip a roll of 36 (foul) and 66 (non foul). The refs missed four Notre Dame fouls, one more bad call than average. However, Bama hit four 3-pointers in their first 6 possessions to take a 32-20 lead and they never trailed behind double digits from their trio of stars in PG Kira Lewis (16 points), SG Jaden Shacekford (18) and John Petty (12).

Paragraph summary posted when each game ends, and photo of score sheet a starters posted here.

5-Rhode Island vs. 28-Radford --- 12-Mississippi State vs. 21-Tulsa

Paragraph summary posted when each game ends, and photo of score sheet a starters posted here.

2-Purdue vs. 31-Merrimack --- 15-Syracuse vs. 18-Georgetown

Purdue 74, Merrimack 53: After 2 NIT games that came down to final shots, Purdue dominated as expected behind 7-foot-3 Matt Haarms (12 pts, 9 rebounds, 4 blocks) and the sharp-shooting of Sasha Stefanovic (22 points). The game was not within 10 points after Stefanovic hit a 3-pointer to make it 44-34 with 16:51 to play. Jurvaris (16 points, 5 steals) led Merrimack, the biggest surprise team of their first season moving up from Division II to Division I and winning the NEC after being picked to finish 11th of 11 teams.

Syracuse 73, Georgetown 66: John Thompson's stunning upset in the final game played Syracuse in Syracuse's Manley Field House is so famous that if you start to type Manley Field House in google it will add the rest of Thompson's quote "Manley Field House is Officially Closed." Every game Georgetown trip to the currrent Carrier Dome brings back that memory, but on this game the strength of Syracuse forwards - superstar Elijah Hughes (12 points, 8 rebounds) and Marek Dolezaj (15, 8) dominated their Hoya rivals 27-8 in points and 16-11 in rebounds. With the promising backcourt of James Akinjo and Mac McClung play limited minutes each game based on their injury plagued season the backcourt did not have enough as Syracuse point guard Joseph Girard scored 20 points. Though it was close the whole way, Syracuse never trailed.

7-OK St. vs. 26-S. Alabama --- 10-Memphis vs. 23-Wright St.

Oklahoma State 70, South Alabama 58: South Alabama (USA) dominated the boards to lead 47-42 with 10:45 (18 possessions) to play, but USA big men Trhae Mitchell and later Josh Ajayi (8 points, 9 rebounds) fouled out to let Cameron McGriff (18 points, 8 rebounds) take over inside down the stretch to lead Oklahoma State's 70-58 NIT 1st round win.

Wright St. 72, Memphis 62. Memphis started the season with potentially the top player in the country in Wiseman and national title hopes, but ended with a 42-point loss to Cincinnati that would have left then in the NIT. Switching to our simulated NIT, it continued downhill with a 1st round NIT loss as the offense could not click despite 13 steals leading to many fast break chances. The Horizon League's Wright State continued Butler's tradition of upsets, dominating underneath with power forward Bill Wampler (18 points, 7 resbounds) and center Loudon Love (15,7) holding their two counterparts to a total of 15 and 11. Love is one of the few players who gets the ball on 3 of 8 die rolls when on the court, a 5,7 or 8.


3-Arkansas vs. 30-Murray St. --- 14-Tenn vs. 19-South Carolina

Paragraph summary posted when each game ends, and photo of score sheet a starters posted here.

6-N. Iowa vs. 27-Louisiana Tech --- 11-Minnesota vs. 22-Furman

Paragraph summary posted when each game ends, and photo of score sheet a starters posted here.








Thursday, July 30, 2020

NIT 2020 Playing Out as 36,000th Visitor to Value Add Basketball Game

Game results continue to be added most recent first - scroll down to "Game Results." Click here for the shorter description of each game.

Thursday night basketball resumed in the bubble and the 36,000th visitor went to our free Value Add Basketball Game. In that light, we shifted for a night from our Statis-Pro basketball league. Using these player cards we already crowned the 2020 NCAA champ (Creighton defeated Duke for the title) and the all-time Champ (Bill Walton's UCLA, which did crush Creighton in a match of the two champions).

We did set up an NIT tournament, but had only played one game (Oklahoma State defeated South Alabama). Obviously the marque teams all played in our NCAA, so looking back at our bracket we decided to play the most evenly matched game. We seeded the 32 teams from 1 to 32 rather than four regions of 8 seeds, and that left 17-seed St. John's visiting 16-seed UConn.

Unlike our NCAA tournaments played at neutral sites, we use the home advantage for NIT games until the Final Four. The home advantage in the game is that the home team can always flip a dice roll of 36 and 66 to their advantage. In this traditional Big East match-up (UConn will return to the Big East this year) the Huskies did get three calls - all missed four calls that hurt St. John's. Caraher misses shot with 3:07 to go in the first half, Heron drove to the hoop with 15:01 to play and missed with a no call, and finally in overtime Dunn tried to break a 76-76 tie and missed after a no call.

Game Results - NIT that might have been (most recent game on top)

23-Wright St. 72, 10-Memphis 62.

Memphis started the season with potentially the top player in the country in Wiseman and national title hopes, but ended with a 42-point loss to Cincinnati that would have left then in the NIT. Switching to our simulated NIT, it continued downhill with a 1st round NIT loss as the offense could not click despite 13 steals leading to many fast break chances. The Horizon League's Wright State continued Butler's tradition of upsets, dominating underneath with power forward Bill Wampler (18 points, 7 resbounds) and center Loudon Love (15,7) holding their two counterparts to a total of 15 and 11. Love is one of the few players who gets the ball on 3 of 8 die rolls when on the court, a 5,7 or 8.




9-Texas 84, 24-Colgate 82: Texas coach Shaka Smart will only host his former team VCU in the 2nd round because his star Jericho Sims took over in the final minutes including the game-winner buzzer beater. The 44 possessions we play included 13 lead changes and 8 ties. Sims scored with 3:30 left to give Texas a 71-70 lead, then to tie it 73-73 on the next trip, then grabbed an offensive rebound and fed Courtney Ramsey to make it 75-73, then scored again for 77-75 lead for 6 points, and offensive rebound and assist in four trips. When Will Raymond capped his 27-point game with a game-tying 3-pointer to make it 82-82, before Sims beat the buzzer for the 84-82 win.



20-Alabama 77, 13-Notre Dame 68. Alabama overcame 18 turnovers and a bit of a home job at South Bend with a barrage of 3-pointers to advance. On roughly 100 rolls of the 4 dice per game (44 possessions per team plus some offensive rebounds and extra possessions for steals-fast breaks or fouls in the last 9 possessions) there is a one in 36 chance of a bad call favoring the home team that can slip a roll of 36 (foul) and 66 (non foul). The refs missed four Notre Dame fouls, one more bad call than average. However, Bama hit four 3-pointers in their first 6 possessions to take a 32-20 lead and they never trailed behind double digits from their trio of stars in PG Kira Lewis (16 points), SG Jaden Shacelford (18) and John Petty (12).



 15-Syracuse 73, 18-Georgetown 66

 John Thompson's stunning upset in the final game played Syracuse in Syracuse's Manley Field House is so famous that if you start to type Manley Field House in google it will add the rest of Thompson's quote "Manley Field House is Officially Closed." Every game Georgetown trip to the currrent Carrier Dome brings back that memory, but on this game the strength of Syracuse forwards - superstar Elijah Hughes (12 points, 8 rebounds) and Marek Dolezaj (15, 8) dominated their Hoya rivals 27-8 in points and 16-11 in rebounds. With the promising backcourt of James Akinjo and Mac McClung play limited minutes each game based on their injury plagued season the backcourt did not have enough as Syracuse point guard Joseph Girard scored 20 points. Though it was close the whole way, Syracuse never trailed.




 25-VCU 76, 8-Stanford 61

The first big upset of the 2020 NIT started at Stanford with a 13-0 blitz from VCU that made it 33-20 out of the gate.  In a match-up of star shooting guards, VCU's De'Riante Jenkins stole the ball on two of the first four trips, and on two others back-up Corey Douglas grabbed offensive rebounds and on one of the steals Douglas completed a 4-point play off the steal from Jenkins.

The other match-up of big stars featred the two centers with similar last names, as VCU's Marcus Santos-Silva (9 points, 15 rebounds) dominated the boards while Stanford's Oscar da Silva (10 points, 7 rebounds) was strong with four blocked shots. However, the surprise games by Douglas (9 points, 3 rebounds in limited time) and small forward Issac Vann (19 points, 7 rebounds).


The upset brought back memories of VCU's team that Jay Bilas said should never have been invited to the tournament, but made the miracle run to the Final Four. That team is in our great teams in the game, featuring Bradford Burgess. When Burgess played for my alma mater, Benedictine High School, I once watched him help win a battle of two of Virginia's Top 10 teams. Our Cadets beat TC Williams, the inspiration for the movie Remember the Titans, and Burgess teammate and future NBA player Ed Davis had my favorite stat line ever - 30 points, 20 rebounds, 10 blocked shots.



 2-Purdue 74, 31-Merrimack 53

After 2 NIT games that came down to final shots, Purdue dominated as expected behind 7-foot-3 Matt Haarms (12 pts, 9 rebounds, 4 blocks) and the sharp-shooting of Sasha Stefanovic (22 points).

The game was not within 10 points after Stefanovic hit a 3-pointer to make it 44-34 with 16:51 to play. Jurvaris (16 points, 5 steals) led Merrimack, the biggest surprise team of their first season moving up from Division II to Division I and winning the NEC after being picked to finish 11th of 11 teams.


Here are the top players in the NEC.



 1-Xavier 79, 32-North Florida 77

North Florida's Ivan Gandia-Rosa, who just missed Atlantic Sun Value Add Player of the year, came within seconds of upsetting 1-seed Xavier. Having already drawn 5 fouls on Paul Scrugg's, he hit 2 free throws finish with 28 points and lead 77-76 with 16 seconds to play.

Quintin Gooden missed a potential game-winner for Xavier, but Tyrique Jones grabbed the offensive rebound (game-high 9), fed the ball to Naji Marshall who scored the game-winner despite being fouled and hit the free throw to finish with a team-high 15 and deliver the 79-77 win.


Here are the top rated ASun players in the past season.


17-St. John's vs 16-UConn

Here is a picture of the score sheet and five starters for each team, except we accidentally put Mustapha Heron of St. John's on the second line of players even though he is a starter. You can click on and blow up the photo to see the running score and the stats marked for each players points, rebounds, steals, turnovers, blocks and fouls:


The team's players all now come on one sheet so you can cut them into 10 cards or just keep the sheet together.

The fact that St. John's even forced overtime was amazing, since UConn's Christian Vital (19 points, 5 rebounds, 3 steals) dominated for a stretch - on three straight trips hitting a 3-pointer, getting an offensive rebound and kicking out to Gilbert for a 3-pointer and then coming up with a steal and fast break dunk to complete an 8-0 run to go from down 32-33 to up 40-32.

With 6-foot-11 Carlton dominating (12 points and 12 rebounds) dominating the offensive boards against the smaller St. John's, UConn maintained the lead and led 60-50 with just 5 minutes to play.

However, St. John's then did one they do best, turning UConn over down the stretch. While the lack of height hurt until that point, center Champagnie had 6 steals en route to a team 16-8 edge in steals with several in the last 5 minutes. Figueroa hit two 3-pointers en route to his game high 23 points and Willams scored with 16 seconds left to close the amazing 24-14 run in the final 5 minutes to send the game into overtime 74-74.

With 1:30 left, St. John's had a 4-point trip when Dunn stole the ball and scored on the fast break while being fouled, then missed the free throw by Champagnie who put it in to cut the score to 71-65.

Dunn and Figueroa took over in OT to advance St. John's 86-83 to face the winner of 1-seed Xavier vs. 32-seed North Florida.

Here is the complete bracket, followed by the breakdown of the one NIT game we played before the break.


NIT Games with Home Court Advantage

7-Oklahoma State 70, 26-South Alabama 58

South Alabama (USA) dominated the boards to lead 47-42 with 10:45 (18 possessions) to play.

However, USA big men Trhae Mitchell and later Josh Ajayi (8 points, 9 rebounds) fouled out to let Cameron McGriff (18 points, 8 rebounds) take over inside down the stretch to lead Oklahoma State's 70-68 NIT 1st round win.

Since our NCAA tournament was played using neutral court rules, this was the first time a game was played as a home game, and two calls hurt USA. The refs missed a call (36 roll) that prevented Mitchell from hitting a 3-pointer and instead caused a turnover. Later Mitchell's 5th foul was on a good call but one that would have been overlooked (also 36 roll) if South Alabama were at home.

From the time Mitchell fouled out USA was outscored 28-11 in part because of several OSU baskets on shots Mitchell would have blocked if still in the game.

With the other two front line players fouled out, USA's Chad Lott (16 points) kept it close for a while, but OSU's point guard Isaac Likelele (9 points, 5 steals) helped OSU win the turnover battle 16 to 8.

The following photo is of the first game played with the team sheets rather than the bigger playing cards. All 10 players on each team are on their sheet, though in the photo we just show the 5.starters across the top and the scoresheet at the top.




Monday, July 20, 2020

Debut Score sheets and Free 2020 Statis-Pro Cards and Game; Machado Stops Cole's Perfecto but Yanks Dominate

To play Statis-pro baseball just click on the score sheet for each of the 30 teams, which now includes cards for all 30 teams based on Zips projections. See the (free game here). Search "new games" to find where newest game score sheets start.

This blog includes the games we have played. In our season five teams from each league were relegated, while the 10 AL teams below and 10 NL teams being played separately continue to play for four division Championship byes and eight wild card spots.


AL "East"WLDivWCUpcoming 2-game seriesplayoffs
NYY492907LAA, Min, Mil (3) 2-Bye
TB.  4830-26CWS, LAA, StL (3)3 vs 6-cws
Cle4038-9-2Hou, Oak, Tor (3)Out 
Bost3642-13-6Hou, Oak, Pit (3)Out 
Tor. 3543-14-7Cle, Hou, Min, (3)Out 
AL "West"WLDivWCUpcoming 2-game seriesplayoffs
Hou472508Bos, Cle, Tor, CWS (4)1-Bye
Min4335-72NYY, Tor, Tex (3)4 vs 5-oak
LAA4137-9-1NYY, TB, Phi (3)Out
Oak. 3933-80Bos, Cle, CWS, CHC (4)  5 vs 4-min
CWS4236-80TB, Hou, Oak (3)6 vs 3-tb

The grid of all series are in this google sheet. Bold opponents indicates games against a relegated (therefore easier opponent). After all series above, each team will have played two games against the other 9 teams in these AL standings, two NL qualifiers, and 5 relegated teams.

As a sample, here is the score sheet and game notes for the 2-game series between the Yankees and Padres, which you can click on and stretch out to see the result of every at bat.


For the past month I've been plugging a set of Basic because the batters cards seemed as accurate as the Advanced Cards produced by Derrick Beckner that I use for all-time games. Unfortunately when I pointed out the formulas for those Basic cards allowed way too many hits to be allowed by most pitchers, rather than simply considering revising his cards the creator was defensive and I simply created the 2020 cards myself so you can play your own games with them. I suggest using the sheets for your pitcher cards, and use a stack of cards you already have or choose to buy for your line-ups, but I did include a second sheet on the google sheet with rough batters cards - so you can play without buying anything except a few dice.

New games

Dbacks crush Ohtani to complete 8-4 and 12-3 domination to knock Angels out of playoffs for now

The Angels would not make the playoffs if the Statis-pro season ended today, as even with a great card Ohtani was blasted as hard as he was in his actual 2020 season.



Manchado spoils Cole perfect game, but Yanks blast Padres, pull within 1 of Astros (13-0, 6-1).

Through 8 innings, Cole allowed only one base-runner (Machado double) and striking out 13 in a 13-0 win. That saved the 4 ace relievers to close out the 2nd game. The score sheet appears at the top of this blog.

Twins lose 2-5 and 0-4 to Nats - Scherzer 15k, 1 H and 2 W in shutout

Twins fall percentage points behind Angels to flip 4- and 5- seeds.


White Sox 8-6 and 10-9 over Orioles when 2 9th inning DEEP drives caught at wall

The White Sox continued to slug, finally catching the A's for a virtual tie for the 6th and final AL playoff spot. This was our first game played since the actual MLB season started.



Tigers 3-1 win, then Red Sox 4-1

At the 78-game mark for all AL East teams, the Red Sox managed only a split with their weakest opponent left on the schedule, staying 13 games behind the Yankees for 1st and six out of the playoffs.



Indians pull within 2 games of playoffs, 9-1 and 4-2 over Marlins 

Pitching (assume 1 inning pitched unless parenthesis for number if innings) runs allowed. Each # symbol means one unearned run.

Indians - 1st Game, beiber (8.0) 1 w, Rodriguez 0. 2nd game, Plurko ( 3.0*) 0, wittgren 0, Maton (0.2) 1, wood (1.1) 0 W, Hoyt 0, Perez 0, Hand 0 S.

Marlins - 1st game, Hernandez (4.0) 7## L, neibert 0, Duggar 0, stekenridge 0, Brigham 1, alcantara 0. 2nd game, Lopez (6.0) 3 L, sharp 1, stanek 1, tarpley 9.




Mariners scrap past Rays once, Rays respond with blowout to stay within game of Yanks

Rays best pitching staff in game.


Mariners Speed Upsets Rays 7-5; Tsutsugo in Rays 10-2 win to stay within a game of Yanks.

Tsutsugo 3 homers in 2-game series.



Blue Jays Playoff Hopes Fade with 7-2, 10-2 Losses to Rangers


Blue Jays' ace Ryu pitched 7 great innings in a 2-2 tie, but when the Blue Jays young sluggers do not put up their normal great numbers they are in trouble. In the 8th inning, Gallo's 3-run but HR started a 9-inning stretch during which the Rangers scored 15 runs. The complete sweep was a huge blow to the young Blue Jays' playoff hopes, as they are now 7 games out of the last wild card spot.

In their last 6 at bats, respectively, Gallo had three hits including two home runs, and Choo (batting before him in the No. 3 spot)  had 5 hits including one home run. In the second game, Rangers ace Lance Lynn went 8 strong innings to wrap up the 7-2 and 10-2 wins.

Once the schedule at the top is done the strength of schedule will be balanced and all 10 teams will have played 6 games against each other, as well as the same number of relegated teams (5 from each league that did not make the cutoff for the top 10) and NL teams who did advance. The free instructions are here. All you need is a few dice. However, while we don't sell anything, we do recommend once you try out the game you order your own playing cards and we recommend using adjustments for ball parks based on this chart,

Sunday, July 19, 2020

Formula for Accurate Statis-pro pitcher cards

In the 40 years I've played Statis-pro the only accurate pitchers cards I've seen are those produced by Derrick of Advanced Statis-pro. The hit, walk and strikeout ranges on PB 2-9 cards in particular have not only been incredibly inaccurate but backward because of the initial charts indicating a PB 2-9 pitcher with the same hits allowed per inning  as a PB 2-5 would have fewer hits on his card rather than more.

I finally decided to create this google sheet to accurately calculate basic Statis-pro pitcher cards any time you need one (e.g. if you use 2019 cards but 2020 rosters and want to create a rookie card). I used Rich Hill's projected stats but calculated as though he were each PB. A PB 2-9 with his same other stats should allow hits on 11-25, and a PB 2-5 should allow hits only on 11-13, etc. The green numbers are the ones you type in, and the sheet calculates the red numbers that would appear on the card (because excel conversions of normal numbers to a Base 8 system like 11-88 use 0 instead of 8, a range like 24-50 below is really the same as a 24-48).



More technical Explanation for Fellow Data Geeks

I thought I finally found someone else with correct formulas when I saw a Aroldis Chapman PB 2-9 projected 2020 cards with a correct Hit Range of 11-22, only to see PB 2-7 Rich Hill had a 11-25 (accurate card would be 11-22) and PB 2-5 Tommy Milone with an 11-33 (correct would be 11-25).

The reason for this is that if Hill were a PB 2-9 then for every 64 times the random number were on his card (accounting for all results from 11-88) the random number would land of the batters' card an average of 13 times, and on those the batter would have 4 hits. (Actually just over 3.5, but rounding in the table). To get to his projected 92 hits in 100 innings as a PB 2-9 he would need to allow hits on 11-25.

As a PB 2-7, he needs 11-22 to average 10 hits per the 64 RNs on his card because on average batters' card he is facing would yield 13 hits in 46 chances.

If he were a PB 2-5 his card would only allow hits on 11-13 because on average the RN would land on the batters' card 166 times and yield 47 hits.

I don't mind that people are selling pitching cards that are not precise, but that they are highly inaccurate such as a PB 2-9 pitching card that only allowed hits on a random number on something like 11-15 when the range should be 11-23.

For those who want to see the actual formulas they are in columns further right than the columns shown below, but if you have any extra pitcher you want to create (e.g. those of us who play current seasons but want to add a rookie) then you can type in just projected innings pitched, hits allowed, strikeouts and walks allowed and this will generate the card.

Derrick's PBs are much more PRECISE than the traditional PB calculation of using the FIPs or ERA. However you still get less precise but cards that are accurate as far as hits, walks, and strikeouts allowed if you start with the traditional way of giving a PB 2-9 to the best 5%, 2-8 if best 15%, PB 2-7 if top 35%, PB 4-7 if 65%, PB 2-6 if top 85%, PB 2-5 if top 95% and PB 2-4 for the bottom.

For purposes of these simple but accurate calculations I just give a player one balk, wild pitch and passed ball - the most common mistake players made over the years is not realizing you do need to read these as an "out" if noone is on base.

The problem from the beginning of the game is that charts were provided when the game first came out that gave the very accurate and simple batting card calculations (much easier since the batter will have action on his card half of his at bats over the course of the season) but was fatally flawed on.the pitcher charts.

Under the assumption that a great PB 2-9 pitcher allowed 92 hits in 100 innings - like in our example above if Rich Hill's projected stats - then he would logically have fewer hits allowed on his card than a much worse PB 2-5 pitcher who allowed the same number of hits per inning (92 in 100).

The chart calculates the same for walks and strikeouts as well, which likewise have been way off.

One the table, I do calculate an Inning pitched as 3 outs (at bats - hits). Even though that number in the 2020 season was actually 2.86 because in addition to batters making outs other outs are produced on the base paths or double plays or sacrifices. However because Statis-pro balks, wild pitches and passed balls sometimes take the place of outs for purposes of card calculations the 3.0 is very close. Many Statis-pro players mistakenly play a WP, PB and BK as no action when noone is on base, but really it needs to be treated as an "Out" with noone is on base or even if the "no" result came up on the next card.

Still my favorite game of all time, and the PB 2-7 and PB 2-6 cards have always been very close to accurate, the PB 2-9s have just always been way too good and the PB 2-5s way too bad.


Monday, June 29, 2020

Braves Add Puig, then Hand Astros 1st Series loss of Season

The actual 2020 All-Star Game was officially cancelled, but our Statis-Pro All-Star game (click for play-by-play) just concluded just as our Value Add Basketball March Madness (click for play-by-play) was also played out after the actual March Madness was cancelled.

These were the standings at the 72-game mark. We switched to easier to read score sheets with free new game cards for all pitchers based on new Zips projects, which you can see here.


AL "East"WLDivWCStill to PlayIf playoffs today
NYY442805LAA, Min, SD, Mil (4) 2-Bye
TB.  442805CWS, LAA, Sea, StL (4)3 vs 6-Oak
Tor. 3537-9-4Cle, Hou, Min, Tex (4)Out
Cle3537-9-4Hou, Oak, Tor, Mia (4)Out
Bost3339-11-6Hou, Oak, Det, Pit (4)Out
AL "West"WLDivWCStill to PlayIf playoffs today
Hou472508Bos, Cle, Tor, CWS (4)1-Bye
Oak. 3933-80Bos, Cle, CWS, CHC (4)  6 vs 3-TB
Min4131-62NYY, Tor, Bal, LAD (4)4 vs 5-LAA
LAA4032-71NYY, TB, Phi, Arz (4)5 vs 4-Min
CWS3834-9-1TB, Hou, Oak, Was (4)Out


Once thehthe schedule above is done the strength of schedule will be balanced and all 10 teams will have played 6 games against each other, as well as the same number of relegated teams (5 from each league that did not make the cutoff for the top 10) and NL teams who did advance. You can print out projected player cards for all 30 teams by scrolling down to May 24, 2020 on www.pudnersports.com and use them with free instructions by clicking here. All you need is a few dice. However, while we don't sell anything, we do recommend once you try out the game you order your own playing cards and game by clicking hereThe only adjustments I make to those cards is to create a deep range for ball parks based on this chart, and I still use the Clutch Defense Ratings of 1-5 I calculated on these team scoresheets. My guidelines are a player needs to be on the 40-man roster http://mlb.mlb.com/team/depth_chart/and any pitcher projected to pitch at least 120 innings (before shortened season) can start, 80 innings can pitch up to 2 innings or 8 batters every other game, and 40 innings up to 1 inning or 4 batters every other game.

Rays crush Royals 12-2 and 7-5 to tie Yankees for 1st at 72-game mark

schedule The Rays caught the Yankees for 1st in the East with a 5 games to 1 series win. All teams now have 72 games played - tand both the Yankees and Rays have closed the gap for the overall AL lead to only 3 games behind the Astros. The Rays and Yankees also have one more 6-game series against a relegated team, and the Astros have the tougher schedule with none.




Torres 4-HR game propels Yankees 7-5, 9-7

schedule Yanks closed to within 3 games of the Astros and 2 ahead of the Rays in the East behind Torre historic 4 HR game with the ball flying out of Coors Field. Both Chapman and Green had saves, and Judge added 3 HR and threw out two runners from right field.




Reminder of 1990 World Series - Reds Crush A's


The Reds crushed the A's to drop them to just one game ahead of the White Sox for the last playoff spot.





AL Qualifiers vs. Relegating Teams

To balance out the Strength of Schedule, we balanced the schedule by allowing each team to end up with five  of their series for the season against teams relegated in either the AL or NL (not finishing in the top 10 to advance). After these games, each team will still have their match-ups against other qualifying teams from the AL or NL. The AL East teams were a a disadvantage at the 66-game mark because they only had 3 series each against relegated teams to 4 or 5 series from each AL West, team, but at the end of these games all will have 5 series against relegated teams (in below under "Still to Play.") The record of the 10 relegated teams against the AL qualifiers are:

Balt 12-24, Col 8-10, Det 7-17, KC 9-15, Mia 5-13, Pit 16-14, SD 16-14, SF 7-17, Sea 7-17, Tex 5-13.


Braves 5-2 and 8-7 in 10 innings over Astros

We took a break from the AL games against relegated teams due To excitement over the Atlanta Braves picking up Yasiel Puig as a Free agent. Puig delivered immediately as a cleanup hitting to help
Cool the Astros with their first series loss of the season. The Braves Trailed 7-5 going to the bottom of the 10th. Using new MLB rules the Next batter up Freeman automatically was given second base, and
Then Puig hit a 2-run Homer and Ozuna followed with a solo shot To tie it and the Braves went on to add a walkoff single.

Ace Soroka made it easier in the first game, holding the Astros to 2 runs in 7.1 innings pitched. The Braves are now 9-3 against the AL qualifiers, while the Astros still have the best record but drop to
47-24. The Braves just missed three additional home runs in the series. Twice on Clutch Batting (BD) chances the Random Number was just 2 or 3 numbers out of the Home Run range, and on a third chance
a Deep Drive resulted in a 72 (in games in Atlanta, an 11-68 is a home run and a 71-88 is a deep fly out). Both the Astros and Braves have a reading of 2 HR and 1 K on their team deep range, meaning the highest
4 hits numbers (mainly home runs) and first 2 strikeout numbers on each batter's card are changed to DEEP drives and then a second number is drawn for the ballpark result. See this chart, 



San Diego won 7-4 and 7-6 vs Blue Jays


The relegated Padres scored walk-off wins in both games to push the Blue Jays to 5 games behind the last wild
card spot. In both games the Jays rallied to tie the game in the top of the 9th, but Pham took one of the best
closers in the game (Giles) deep for a 3-run walkoff in the first game, then Cordero's 2-out double was followed by
Myers Texas League bloop single for a walk off in game 2.

The rallies ruined 4-hit series with home runs for both Craig Biggio's son Cavan and Vlad Guerrero's son with
the same name.







Ohtani, Rendon, Teheran crush Giants - Angels securing playoff spot with 7-6 win and 10-7 sweep



The new and returning arms of Teheran and Ohtani gave the Angels
Just enough starting pitching, and the returning bat of Ohtani and
New bat of Rendon provided 10 of the 31 hits as the Angels surged
Two games ahead if the White Sox for the last playoff spot and
Within 2 games of the top wild card spot. They may have added just
Enough to make the playoffs in a shortened season.



Indians hopes for playoffs gets blow with 3-6 and 7-8 losses to last place Orioles

The Indians dropped to 35-37 and three games out of the last playoff spot with two costly upsets at the hands of the Orioles, who entered the series 8-22.




White Sox win 1-0 then sweep 9-4 at Mets

Despite the best pitching outing of any pitcher this season, deGrom on a 9th inning bloop single to finish with 8 2/3rds innings, 15 strikeouts, and only two hits allowed through 8 innings (both by Abreu). Big series for White Sox since their game against a "relegated" team was actually against the Mets (technically the 10th place team of the 10 that made it) as they added Cespedes as a pinch hitter.


AL Qualifiers vs. Other AL Qualifiers

The series of games below are games between the 10 AL Qualifiers.


Red Sox win 8-5, then Twins sweep 10-2




Yankees win 1-0, then A's win 7-4




Rays swept Astros 9-1, then Astros won 8-7


Red Sox won 6-2 then White Sox won 2-1



Twins 4, Angels 2 then Twins 7, Angels 5

Twins rallied twice - the teams came in tied.



Blue Jays 7, A's 5, then A's 12, Blue Jays 10 in 10 innings (series split)

The new Major League Baseball extra innings came into play for the first time. Under the 2020 rules, the player who would lead off every extra inning instead starts on second base. This worked out perfectly for both teams as their No. 9 hitters were due up to start the 10th inning of Game 2, with Drury leading off for the Blue Jays and then Allen for the A's.

It was shocking this game went extra innings, as the A's led 7-3 when Semien's line drive in the bottom of the 7th with two on would have expanded the lead - but Biggio not only made a diving catch on a clutch defensive play, but then hit a 3-run homer in the top of the 8th to tie the score 7-7.

It was deja vu all over again when an A's line drive down the third base line might have won the game in the bottom of the 9th, but Guerrero made a diving grab and turned it into a double play - then amazingly Guerrero also followed the defensive gem with a 3-run homer in the top of the 10th to make it 10-7 Blue Jays.

However, Canha's walk off grandslam in the bottom of the 10th kept the A's as the top wild card spot by salvaging a series split to end the game at 35-25 - in second place in the AL "West" of the 10 teams who made the first season cut.  They still trail the Astros by 8 games for the Division title and first round bye.



Angels lost 5-7 the swept Indians 8-4

The Indians bullpen put up 5 scoreless innings culminating with Brad Hand's save to catch the Angels for the last playoff spot.

However, the Angels moved back ahead for the last playoff spot in a second game sweep (8-2 after 8 innings makes it a sweep even though the Indians got with 2 runs in the 9th). Trout's Homer was his 4th hit of the series and Upton's Homer was his third HR of the series.




Angels 6, White Sox 2, then sweep Angels 15, White Sox 6

The White Sox retainer their early season explosiveness behind 30 hits in two games. Rookie All-star Luis Roberts went 5 of 9 with a HR, Tim Anderson added three homers and Jose Abreu added two HRs and 7 RBIs.

All four White Sox 2-8 relievers registered a scoreless inning. (We play relievers can only pitch to one inning or 4 batters unless they pitched more than 1 inning let every 2 games their team played).

Shohei Ohtani hit 2 HRs and will pitch the next game, but the Angels dropping the series 5 games to 1 leaves them only 1 game ahead of the Indians for the last playoff spot.




Twins lose 1-3 and 3-5 at A's

This was the first game played with the new Statis-Pro cards after the All-Star game was the last to use the old cards.

Oakland rallied in the 8th to sweep the Twins and move into the top wildcard spot (3-seed) and knock the Twins down to the final 6-seed. Davis had the game winning 2-run Homer in the 1st game and game winning in the second game.

The Twins Kepler had a drive that would have been out of any other AL park, but in Oakland only an 11-13 is a home run and 14-88 is a flyoutout on the deep drive.



League rules for using pitchers:

All of our league series are 2-game series.

To be a Starter or Long Reliever, a pitcher must be on the 40-man roster and projected to pitch at least 81 innings before the season was started. Any other reliever on the 40-man roster projected to pitch at least 40 innings is considered a short reliever.

Four starters form the rotation, and each series either the No. 1 and No. 4 starters pitch, or the No. 2 and No. 3 starters (so that one team doesn't have the advantage of their No. 1 and No. 2 Starters going against another team's No. 3 and No. 4 starters.

Each reliever can pitch one of the two games in each series.

A Long Reliever can pitch up to 2 full innings no matter how many he faces, or if he comes in during an inning can pitch to 8 total batters.

A Short Reliever can pitch a complete inning, or if he comes in during an inning he can either finish the inning or pitch up to 4 batters.

If a Reliever pitches to more batters than allowed above, then for every additional batter he faces his PB drops by 1, in the following order from here he starts; 2-9, 2-8, 2-7, 4-7, 2-6, 2-5, 2-4, 2-3, 2, go straight to batters card.

The starter runs out of energy once his SR drops below 1 (one is subtracted for any hit allowed, walk, hits batter or any run who scores as a result of one of those runners then scoring, or at the end of every inning pitched). When a starter runs out of stamina, then for every additional SR reduction his PB drops in the same order as the previous paragraph.




Friday, June 26, 2020

NL wins Statis-Pro All-Star Game; Rays Upset Astros to pull within game of Yankees

The following is the play-by-play of the 2020 Statis-Pro All-Star Game. The inning is always listed down the left column, then the position and player, then the result of the play for personnel change.

While we don't sell anything, you can order your own playing cards and game by clicking here - we just shifted to these cards which are pictured.at the top of each game. Updates on our regular season are here - where the Rays just upset the Astros to move within a game of the Yankees for the AL East and ahead of the A's for the top wildcard spot.



InningPosPlayerResult
1SPMax Scherzer (Nats) Pitching for NL
1CFMike Trout (Angels) Strikeout
1LFLuis Robert (WhiteSox) Triple to centerfield
12BCavan Biggio (BlueJays) Grounder to 2b, Robert thrown out at home 4-2 (K Marte defensive gem)
12BCavan Biggio (BlueJays) Steals second base
13BJose Ramirez (Indians) Popout to C
1Game tied 0-0 middle of inning 1
1SPCharlie Morton (Rays) Pitching for AL
1SSTrevor Story (Rockies) Popout to C
13BJustin Turner (Dodgers) Flyout to CF
1RFChristian Yelich (Brewers) Single to rightfield
1DHEugenio Suarez (Reds) Walked
11BPete Alonso (Mets) Strikeout
1Game tied 0-0 end of inning 1
2SPMax Scherzer (Nats) Still pitching for NL
2RFMax Kepler (Twins) Flyout to centerfield
2SSJose Iglesias (Orioles) Flyout to leftfield
21BC.J. Cron (Tigers) grounder to SS (0 for 1)
2Game tied 0-0 middle of inning 2
2SPCharlie Morton (Rays) Still pitching for AL
22BKetel Marte (Dbacks) Strikeout
2LFJuan Soto (Nats) Strikeout
2CFRonald Acuna Jr (Braves) Flyout to leftfield
2Game tied 0-0 end of inning 2
3RPJack Flaherty (Cardinals) Pitching for NL
3DHYoshitomo Tsutsugo (Rays) Liner to 3b
3CChristian Vazquez (RedSox) Single to centerfield
3CFMike Trout (Angels) Popout to pitcher
3LFLuis Robert (WhiteSox) Flyout to left field (1 for 2)
3Game tied 0-0 middle of inning 3
3RPJustin Verlander (Astros)
3COmar Narvaez (Brewers) Grounder to 1b
3DHEugenio Suarez (Reds) Home Run, NL Leads 1-0
3SSTrevor Story (Rockies) Grounder to 3b (0 for 2)
33BJustin Turner (Dodgers) Strikeout (0 for 2)
3Game tied 0-0 end of inning 3
4RPMike Soroka (Braves) Pitching for NL
42BCavan Biggio (BlueJays) Single to leftfield
42BCavan Biggio (BlueJays) Steals second base finishes 1 for 2, 2 stolen bases)
43BJose Ramirez (Indians) Grounder to SS, Biggio advances to 3B (0 for 2)
4RFMax Kepler (Twins) Popout to 2b (0 for 2)
4SSJose Iglesias (Orioles) Popout to 3b (0 for 2)
4Game tied 0-0 middle of inning 4
4RPHyun-Jin Ryu (BlueJays)
4RFChristian Yelich (Brewers) Bunt for hit to pitcher, out 1-3 (1 for 2)
41BPete Alonso (Mets) Single to rightfield (1 for 2)
42BKetel Marte (Dbacks) Strikeout (0 for 2)
4LFJuan Soto (Nats) Flyout to rightfield (0 for 2)
4NL Leads 1-0 end of inning 4
5RPWill Harris (Nats) Pitching for NL
5PHShohei Ohtani (Angels) Flyout to rightfield (0 for 1)
5DHYoshitomo Tsutsugo (Rays) Grounder to shortstop (0 for 2)
5CChristian Vazquez (RedSox) Grounder to pitcher (0 for 2)
5NL Leads 1-0 middle of inning 5
51BDaniel Vogelbach (Mariners) Defensive replacement, 1st base (no at bats)
5RPTyler Glasnow (Rays)
5CFRonald Acuna Jr (Braves) Popout to SS
5COmar Narvaez (Brewers) Grounder to C Vazquez, Vasquez bobbles for error, safe at 1st base (0 for 2)
5CJT Realmuto (Phillies) pinch run for Narvaez
5SSTrea Turner (Nats) Popout to 3b
53BEduardo Escobar (Dbacks) pinchhit for J Turner, double to CF, Realmuto thrown out 8-6-2 by Trout (1 for 1, double)
5NL Leads 1-0 end of inning 5
6RPKirby Yates (Padres) Pitching for NL
6CFMike Trout (Angels) Grounder to SS (0 for 3, one defensive gem, threw out runner at home)
6LFJoey Gallo (Rangers) pinch hit for Robert; Single to leftfield (1 for 1)
62BDJ LeMahieu (Yankees) Pinchhit for Biggio; popout to 2b
63BRafael Devers (RedSox) Flyout to left field
6NL Leads 1-0 middle of inning 6
6RPKen Giles (BlueJays)
6RFBryce Harper (Phillies) pinchhit for Yelich; strikeout
61BMarcus Thames (Nats) pinchhit for Suarez; single to centerfield (1 for 1)
61BJosh Bell (Pirates) Strikeout
62BOzzie Albies (Braves) pinchhit for K Marte; walk
6CFCody Bellinger (Dodgers) pinchhit for Soto; Strikeout (0 for 1)
6NL Leads 1-0 end of inning 6
7RPJosh Hader (Brewers) Pitching for NL
7RFAaron Judge (Yankees) Strikeout
7SSGleyber Torres (Yankees) Strikeout
73BAnthony Rendon (Angels) Pinchhit for Vogelbach; Grounder to 2B
7NL Leads 1-0 middle of inning 7
7RPLiam Hendriks (Athletics)
71BJose Abreu (WhiteSox) Defensive Replacement at 1st base
7LFMike Yastremski (Giants) Popout to 1B (0 for 1)
7CJT Realmuto (Phillies) Strikeout (0 for 1, thrown out at plate after PR)
7SSTrea Turner (Nats) Flyout to CF (0 for 2)
7NL Leads 1-0 end of inning 7
8RPWill Smith (Braves) Pitching for NL
8SSAdalberto Mondesi (Royals) Pinch hit for Tsutsugo; Single to Centerfield
82BDJ LeMahieu (Yankees) Popout to 1b
8SSAdalberto Mondesi (Royals) Stole 2nd base (1 for 1, one stolen base)
8PHJose Altuve (Astros) Strikeout (0 for 1)
8LFJorge Soler (Royals) pinch hit for Trout; Popout to pitcher (0 for 1)
8PHVladimir Guerrero Jr. (BlueJays) pinchhit for Gallo, ground out to 3b
8NL Leads 1-0 middle of inning 8
8RPNick Anderson (Rays)
8CFJaCoby Jones (Tigers) Defensive replacement, centerfield (0 at bats)
8CYasmani Grandal (WhiteSox) defensive replacement at catcher
83BNolan Arenado (Rockies) pinchhit for Escobar, strikeout (0 for 1)
8RFBryce Harper (Phillies) Grounder to pitcher (0 for 2)
83BJD Davis (Mets) pinchhit for Thames, single to centerfield (1 for 1, run scored)
81BJosh Bell (Pirates) 3-run Home Run, NL Leads 3-0
8RPAroldis Chapman (Yankees)
82BOzzie Albies (Braves) Strikeout (0 for 1, walk)
8NL Leads 3-0 end of inning 8
9RPScott Oberg (Rockies) Pitching for NL
93BRafael Devers (RedSox) Single to centerfield (1 for 2)
9RFAaron Judge (Yankees) Flyout to centerfield
9SSGleyber Torres (Yankees) Strikeout (0 for 2, game over, NL wins 3-0)
9NL Wins 3-0


The American League put speed on the bases early, getting three fast baserunners into scoring position in the first four innings - but they failed to score the the National League eventually won the Statis-Pro All-Star game 3-0 with two home runs.

The second batter of the game, White Sox Cuban rookie Luis Robert drove a triple into centerfield, to threaten to score early. The NL infield was drawn in, and Cavan Biggio's grounder to second baseman Ketel Martel was fired home to nail Robert. The AL kept the pressure up immediately when Biggio then stole second base but Ramirez fouled out to the catcher.

Biggio then led off the fourth inning with a single to leftfield, stole second, and went to third on a grounder to third base to again put the potential go-ahead run 90 feet away with one out. Howeve,r Kepler and Iglesias popped out to end the threat.

MVP Suarez homered in the bottom of the fourth inning, then in the eight inning Bell provided insurance with a 2-run homer for the final 3-0 margin.


NL PitchersIPHRERWKDec
Max Scherzer (Nats) 210001
Jack Flaherty (Cardinals) 110000
Mike Soroka (Braves) 110000W1-0
Will Harris (Nats) 100000H1
Kirby Yates (Padres) 110000H1
Josh Hader (Brewers) 100002H1
Will Smith (Braves) 110001H1
Scott Oberg (Rockies) 110001S1
NL Total960005
AL PitchersIPHRERWK
Charlie Morton (Rays) 210003
Justin Verlander (Astros) 100000
Hyun-Jin Ryu (BlueJays) 121100L 0-1
Tyler Glasnow (Rays) 110000
Ken Giles (BlueJays) 110003
Liam Hendriks (Athletics) 100001
Nick Anderson (Rays) 0.220001
Aroldis Chapman (Yankees) 0.100001
AL Total871109


The set up for the NL Commissioner to sit on the left with his team, and the AL Commissioner on the right for his team is in place. This will be the final game with this design of cards as the AL will move to new projected cards for the second half of the season.


A closer shot of the NL team features the bullpen on the left, then the starters on top with reserves at their position under them.


Likewise the closer shot of the AL player cards. HEB, one if the Astros top TV sponsors, features a bag behind the AL team.


Results once the game is complete!