Wednesday, April 14, 2021

Cubs' Kimbrel Best Reliever Again?

When Craig Kimbrel entered my Statis-Pro game to Save a 7-5 win over the Mets last night I did a double take. He is a PB2-9, meaning one of the top 5% of all pitchers based on ERA adjusted for ballpark and FIPs, so in the game he the action is on his card 83% of the time (die rolls of 2-9) and batters card only on rolls of 10, 11 or 12.

But the shocker was that on his card he only allowed hits on 5% of roll (11-13 on the two 8-sided dice, so 14-88 is NOT a hit). My cards are based on a combo of the projected stats going into last year, and to a lesser degree, his less than seller actual innings last year. Further, I'd fixed the staris-pro formulas for accuracy, so most 2-9 pitchers now have hit ranges that go to at least 11-21.

Could the projections on fangraphs have been overly optimistic for his return? After he shut down the Mets in my game I checked his real stats this year. Oh, 6 appearances, 10 strikeouts, 1 hit and no runs allowed. Still early, but maybe he is back.

Now as far as both teams having 12 hits in the first game, that was the real fluke. I'm not sure that has happened all year in my game and not sure the real Cubs have 12 hits total in their first 11 games LOL.



Only 2 series left in Round 4 with the bottom of the rotations. We will have the ace pitchers starting again for that round. The games are tracked on this google sheet.




Monday, April 12, 2021

Quick method to track pitching rotations and available relievers in board games

This video shows a method for keep your player cards together for any table top baseball game.


The game I had just finished was the Padres 2-game domination of the Nats to catch the Dodgers in my early Statis-Pro Baseball season. However it can just as easily be used by those who play APBA, Strat-o-matic, the more Advanced Statis-Pro game or any other baseball Board game.

Below is the 2-game series I just finished, by far the highest scoring series of my season which also included my first homer by a pitcher on a random number of "18" for Corbin on the Nats.


Sunday, April 11, 2021

NL Statis-Pro Baseball Card Locator By Team

 Here are the players we found for all 15 NL teams based on current rosters. We do not use players that are on 60 day DL or whose return is indefinite. The fringe players listed are players for whom we used a card below based on their OPS (for batters) or ERA (for pitchers) based on ESPN projections. 

The players listed in small letters at the bottom of each team card just represent players whose card was found with another team and moved to this team.





To get player cards to play the Statis-Pro Baseball game, click on the pitchers and batters. If you do not find a particular player card, then find the card that has the closest OPS for batters or ERA for pitchers. We recommend clicking here and typing in the player's name in the box to see his projected OPS and ERA.

 There is no chance for clutch batting (BD) on any of these cards, and always use the Cht of P instead of an SN, RN, LN, SP, RP or LP.




Batters' Cards (click on image below and print)

Print copies of the sheet of cards below. Anytime you do not have a batting card for a player, estimate his OPS. You can use a "Projected OPS," or for a strong hitting pitcher you can use a Career OPS or just take your best guess. Pick the card with the OPS that is closest, .450, .500 etc. If the OPS is .424 or less than you will use one of the batting cards on the sheet above.


Extra Pitcher Cards

The following is an extra sheet of just the pitcher cards from the top row of the image above. Since you will most often need extra pitchers that rotate in our out of a team roster.





Hank Aaron Memorial Classic - Atlanta vs. Milwaukee

I'm pasting all the scoresheets on our 4th Round recap, but my Hank Aaron Memorial series of Atlanta at Milwaukee made me go back and pull up the Advanced Statis-Pro Baseball cards for the 1957 Milwaukee Braves. The late, great Hammerin' Hank won the MVP and the World Series that year.

This series was desperation time for the most disappointing team (Braves 6-12) risking digging a hole with a trip to the most surprisingly hot team (Brewers 13-5). 

In the first game Charlie Morton continued to look like the best No. 3 starter in the NL game with only one run allowed while striking out 10 in six innings. However, his last inning was scary after singles by Yelich and Vogelback and Morton hitting Urias with a pitch to load the bases with one out.

Narvaez then drove a potential game-clearing shot to right but Acuna, who had homered earlier, used his Clutch Defense 5 (highest rating) to not only make the catch but keep Yelich (on base running A) from tagging and scoring. Shaw then hit a DEEP drive that would have been a grandslam in some parks but was caught at the wall to end the inning. Shaw was later robbed in the 8th of a game-tying double on a drive down the line when Ozuna made a clutch catch.

In the second game it was the Brewers who barely held on. After the Brewers jumped in front 3-1, Freeman homered in the 4th then singled home Acuna to tie it 4-4 in the top of the 5th. 

Shaw homered in the 6th to give.the Brewers back the lead, but in the top of the 9th threw away a grounder to third to put the speedy Incariarte at 2nd base with the potential game tying run. As it turned out, that was the only contact of the inning against the best pitching card in the NL, Hader, as he 




Saturday, April 10, 2021

Round 4 Statis-pro baseball matchups

 3rd - 4th round transition (3-team round robin)

Cincinnati (12-12) 7-5, 4-3 vs Arizona (15-9)

Split - Cincinnati 4-2, Colorado (10-14) 4-3

Arizona 8-2 (sweep)- 11-5 (sweep) vs Colorado

4th round

Split - Atlanta (9-15) 4-2 vs Milwaukee (16-8) 5-4

Split - Chicago Cubs (12-12) vs New York Mets (15-9)

Split - LA Dodgers (14-10) won 7-5 and Miami (10-14) won 5-4

Philadelphia (10-8) vs. San Fran (6-12)

Pittsburgh (4-14) vs. St. Louis (10-8)

San Diego (14-10) vs. Washington (11-13)

Set up for 3-team round robin followed by scoresheets of 6 games in round robin.








4th round scoresheets.




Cubs and Mets photo missing 

Standings - and playoffs if season ended today

Washington (5th) at LA Dodgers (4th), Winner faces Milwaukee (1st)

Philadelphia St. Louis playin (6th) At Arizona (3rd), Winner faces NY Mets (2nd)





Statis-Pro Board Set Up for Cards vs. Phils

 We spent the last couple of blogs outline how to put together playing cards for current MLB teams. Here us what the actual set up was during a game, right after the Cards Arendado singled and DeJong homered to give the Cards a 2-0 win in a pitching duel between aces.

You do not need the board to play the game, and dice can replace the multi colored fast action cards at the bottom. The green 24 on that card was the random number that was in DeJong's home run range.

In our setup, the bottom stacks for each team are the cards in the bottom order and the discard pile. Just above that stack is the starting pitcher in the game with the other 3 starters in the rotation under aces Flaherty and Nola.

The two stacks at the top are cards for the relief pitchers and bench batters. The extra card lists players for whom I do not have a card. For those players I look up the projected ERA or OPS to see which fringe card to use if I want them in the game.




The completed scoresheet shows the Cards pulling off two pitching dominated games, winning the nightcap 3-2 in 10 innings.

We have set the 4th round series after the 3-team round Robin between Arizona, Colorado and Cincinnati. The "Next" column shows the next opponent.




Statis-Pro Baseball Cards for All Players

Here are the players we found for all 15 NL teams based on current rosters. We do not use players that are on 60 day DL or whose return is indefinite. The fringe players listed are players for whom we used a card below based on their OPS (for batters) or ERA (for pitchers) based on ESPN projections. 

The players listed in small letters at the bottom of each team card just represent players whose card was found with another team and moved to this team.






To get player cards to play the Statis-Pro Baseball game, click on the pitchers and batters. If you do not find a particular player card, then find the card that has the closest OPS for batters or ERA for pitchers. We recommend clicking here and typing in the player's name in the box to see his projected OPS and ERA.

These estimate roughly how good a pitcher or batter would be rather than running all the calculations for a lot of temporary or new players.

Pitcher and Pitcher's Batting Cards (print image below)

the top 3 cards on this image are temporary pitcher cards. The numbers are all the same except for the most important one, the PB of the pitcher. To choose that pick the pitcher's expected ERA. The best source is a "Projected ERA" but if you don't have that you can look at career numbers or take your best estimated guess. The bottom two rows are batter cards for pitchers or very light hitting batters. Find an estimated batting OPS to choose that card. Normally give AL pitchers the first batting card (.150 OPS) and NL pitchers the second one (.200 OPS). However, if a pitcher or some other light hitting batter has a career OPS of around .250 to .400 then you can use the appropriate card on this sheet. In all cases with these batters, when they come to the plate skip the PB roll or fast action card, and go straight to the Random Number 11-88 to see the result on this card. There is no chance for clutch batting (BD) on any of these cards, and always use the Cht of P instead of an SN, RN, LN, SP, RP or LP.




Batters' Cards (click on image below and print)

Print copies of the sheet of cards below. Anytime you do not have a batting card for a player, estimate his OPS. You can use a "Projected OPS," or for a strong hitting pitcher you can use a Career OPS or just take your best guess. Pick the card with the OPS that is closest, .450, .500 etc. If the OPS is .424 or less than you will use one of the batting cards on the sheet above.


Extra Pitcher Cards

The following is an extra sheet of just the pitcher cards from the top row of the image above. Since you will most often need extra pitchers that rotate in our out of a team roster.





Friday, April 9, 2021

Baseball Board Game Method to Periodically Update Cards with Current Roster

Here is just one idea for how to keep up with rosters for those who prefer to play out a current season to get a better feel for each team, as opposed to playing out an old season. I just set up for a series between the New York Mets and Milwaukee Brewers, so I use them as the example.

Periodically when I am about to start a new series, I open the depth chart for both teams, copy it with a ctrl+A then ctrl+C on each team's page in my series, and then copy both teams onto a spreadsheet to use to check the schedule. you will need to delete out a bunch of garbage rows, but end up with a sheet like this for two teams (except for the two rows at the bottom of each team that starts "On roster." and the extra narrow columns which you should insert).


One your Excel sheet looks like that, leave it open. Since I play the current Statis-Pro season with my projected cards I open 3 tabs on the browser, the projected MLB pitchers and batters, and then the roster of the first team you want to check. If you have the depth chart sheet in Excel for your team like above, then assuming you already have your batters and pitchers cards, use the following process:

Pitchers:

1. I start with the team's pitching cards. If I see the pitcher in one of the first 3 lines (SP, RP and CL) then I first put a "1" by the card. 

2. If I do not have a card for a player listed in those columns then I check the pitchers tab and search his name, and if has a card but it was with another team, I go find the card and add him and put a number above. With other games or cards obviously just check through your playing cards but use the rest of the process.

3. To get player cards to play the Statis-Pro Baseball game, click on the pitchers and batters. If you do not find a particular player card, then find the card that has the closest OPS for batters or ERA for pitchers. We recommend clicking here and typing in the player's name in the box to see his projected OPS and ERA.

4. The other possibility is that we have a card but he is NOT listed above. If that is the case I check the roster tab, and if he is on the roster I keep the card on the team. If the card does not appear either on the depth chart above I put an X in pencil in the upper left corner to remind me not to use him, but keep him with the team so if I am doing another team and come across his name so I will know where to find him.

5. You will notice only one of the pitchers above on each team still has a "1" by them in that screen shot. Once I have all the cards I decide where I want to play them, and for the four pitcher cards I want to start, pencil in an A, B, C and then D for the 4-man rotation and then put those numbers on the chart above. For the relievers, I decide the order I want to use them in the pen, and put a 1 by the closer, 2 by the second best pitcher etc. and pencil that on the card.

Batters use the same process as above, though since they are listed by position on the depth chart there are a few tweaks.

6. If a card appears anywhere on the depth chart above I mark it and keep it, but I don't go looking for a batter card unless he appears either 1st or 2nd on at least one position. 

7. Once done with the batters, I open the batters tab for any player I could not find and see if they are on another team, but as above with pitchers obviously just use the actual batters cards in your game to adopt these steps if using another game or cards. If there is no card for a batter listed 1st or 2nd on a depth chart, I look for a projected OPS and write that out on a blank card to use the Fringe Batters chart if he comes to the plate.

8. Once I have all my players, I put a 1 by anyone who I plan to start in most games (against right-handed pitchers) and a 2 for back-ups, but if I plan to platoon a player and have him start against left-handed pitchers then I put a 1.5 by them. On the actual cards I write that number above their position, but on the far left I write the number of the spot in the batting order where I plan to bat them.

I don't do this every game - just at the beginning of the season and then I do it again every four games when I am about to start my rotation over. I do also glance at transaction charts in case there is a big trade to catch the change earlier. I just want to keep the rosters relatively up to date, but I don't care that much if I may occasionally be using a pinch hitter who was actually sent down to the minors instead of one who was called up, etc.

For Statis-Pro fringe players without cards I use these two charts. Obviously using another game you may just pick an old card if a player with  similar stats.






Select a Statis-Pro Player Card

If you do not have a card for a player on a team, these are instructions for a temporary cards that estimates roughly how good a pitcher or batter would be rather than running all the calculations for a lot of temporary or new players.

Pitcher and Pitcher's Batting Cards (print image below)

the top 3 cards on this image are temporary pitcher cards. The numbers are all the same except for the most important one, the PB of the pitcher. To choose that pick the pitcher's expected ERA. The best source is a "Projected ERA" but if you don't have that you can look at career numbers or take your best estimated guess. The bottom two rows are batter cards for pitchers or very light hitting batters. Find an estimated batting OPS to choose that card. Normally give AL pitchers the first batting card (.150 OPS) and NL pitchers the second one (.200 OPS). However, if a pitcher or some other light hitting batter has a career OPS of around .250 to .400 then you can use the appropriate card on this sheet. In all cases with these batters, when they come to the plate skip the PB roll or fast action card, and go straight to the Random Number 11-88 to see the result on this card. There is no chance for clutch batting (BD) on any of these cards, and always use the Cht of P instead of an SN, RN, LN, SP, RP or LP.




Batters' Cards (click on image below and print)

Print copies of the sheet of cards below. Anytime you do not have a batting card for a player, estimate his OPS. You can use a "Projected OPS," or for a strong hitting pitcher you can use a Career OPS or just take your best guess. Pick the card with the OPS that is closest, .450, .500 etc. If the OPS is .424 or less than you will use one of the batting cards on the sheet above.


Extra Pitcher Cards

The following is an extra sheet of just the pitcher cards from the top row of the image above. Since you will most often need extra pitchers that rotate in our out of a team roster.






NL Statis-Pro Underway, Astros Altuve and Mets Lindor Red Hot

 The NL Statis-Pro season is now underway as well, with my fellow Commissioner who like me has been playing Statis-Pro since the 1980s. He plays our his season straight up with a game counting as our Gamez unlike me who plays each game is a 3-game series.

He also relegates the bottom five teams at the outset of the season, while I wait in the NL and will drop the 5 bottom.team in my standings.


He also jokingly updated that the Houston Astros are under investigation again due to Jose Altuve having 4 Homers in 8 games.


Statis-Pro American League

Standings

 

AL “East”

New York           6-2

Cleveland           4-4

Tampa Bay         3-5

Boston                3-5

Toronto              1-6

 

AL “West”

Chicago               6-2

Houston             5-3

Los Angeles        5-3

Oakland              3-4

Minnesota         3-5

In the NL, the third round (getting teams to 18 games) is wrapping up with a series between St. Louis and Philadelphia remaining. 

After that 12 of the 15 teams will have 18 games played leaving the 3-team round robin to bridge the 3rd and 4th round between Arizona, Cincinnati and Colorado.

In the NL the two hot teams, the Brewers and Mets, split a series to stay in the top two spots.

Lindor was the start of the 2 games, going 5 of 10 with a homer, double and 2 steals while Alonso added a double and homer in the 6-2 win in the second game. Carrasco took the win with three scoreless innings from the few relievers left after the first game. 

The first game Burns gave the Brewers.four scoreless innings to keep it close and let them get through deGrom and into extra innings, where the finally won 7-5 in 11 innings of attrition.





Tuesday, April 6, 2021

Statis-pro baseball reader questions, and playing covid hampered Nats

In response to a couple of good questions via email in response to the Statis-Pro Baseball game, we played the Nats next 2-game series against the Giants.

The reader asked if we could update the projected player cards by team. We did that when we made them, but logistically we can't keep up with moves. However, we periodically go to the teams depth chart and if we are missing a key player go look with our cards for their last team. 

If we still can't find one - like with three Nats who didn't play last year, then we doniur best to estimate their OPS (or ERA for pitchers) and use the fringe player chart pictured with the three missing Nats if they were to play.





The Nats actually did finally start their real season despite still missing numerous players due to covid contact tracing. In our games Yaz homered off Scherzer to lead a Giants 5-1 upset, the singled and scored on Longoria's homer in the 2nd game to make it 2-0.

However, Strasburg and the new great bullpen allowed nothing else, and the killer top 3 in the Nats lineup 10 of their first 12 times for a 8-2 win.


The win improves the Nats to 10-8 and drops the Giants to 6-12.


2021 Wrap: Best Defenders, Players, NBA Prospects, By Class, By Position, By Size of Conference

If you click on www.valueaddbasketball.com, you will see the most valuable college basketball players. We rank 4,166 players.

You can sort in a number of ways, and we provide different samples below. Was Abhams or Krutwig the best player from a smaller conference? Who was the best by position, or class, or the best NBA prospect?

An excerpt from below - All season two players outside the big conference made it clear they could dominate any level, Max Abmas (19th best overall) and Cameron Krutwig (22nd overall). If anyone doubted, their runs to take Oral Roberts and Loyola Chicago through wins opening weekend should leave little doubt.

 

Most Valuable Players per Game Played

We start with the one sort you actually cannot do from the www.valueaddbasketball.com, the top 15 Value Add ratings per game played, which is only in the notes session by each player). If a player misses no games, then his per game Value Add is the same as his listed Value Add for the entire season. The top 4 on this list are the same as if you pull up the database.

However, two of the players on this list would rank higher if they had not missed any games. As shown in the top 15 below, Oregon's Chris Duarte would rank 4th instead of 10th and Illinois' Ayo Dosunma would rank 11th instead of 25th. 

The even bigger jumps would be for Michigan's Isaiah Livers (would rank 30th instead of 76th if he had missed no games), Oklahoma State's Cade Cunningham (would rank 33rd instead of 52nd) and finally Auburn's Sharife Cooper (would rank 47th instead of 584th). Keep in mind we rank 4,161 D1 college players, so the top 42 players are in the top 1% of all players, and the top 416 players are in the top 10% of all players.

PlayerTeamVA5ConfHtClassAdjOAdjDNBA
Evan Mobley #4USC11.16P127'0Fr7.72-3.44100
Luka Garza #55Iowa11.09B106'11"Sr9.86-1.2370
Kendric Davis #3SMU11.01Amer5'11"Jr9.19-1.8213
Chris Duarte #5Oregon9.06P126'6"Sr6.58-2.4888
McKinley Wright #25Colorado9.75P126'0Sr7.38-2.3752
Drew Timme #2Gonzaga9.67WCC6' 10"So8.3-1.3784
Jared Butler #12Baylor9.49B126' 3"Jr6.62-2.8791
Alex Barcello #13BYU9.46WCC6'2"Sr7.43-2.0312
Quentin Grimes #24Houston9.12Amer6' 5"Jr6.83-2.2991
Miles McBride #4West Virginia9.26B126'2"So7.31-1.9580
Ayo Dosunmu #11Illinois8.14B106'5"Jr6.54-1.694
Matthew Hurt #21Duke8.84ACC6'9"So8.42-0.4255
Davion Mitchell #45Baylor8.81B126' 2"Jr6.47-2.3496
Corey Kispert #24Gonzaga8.8WCC6' 7"Sr7.65-1.1595
Jose Alvarado #10Georgia Tech8.74ACC6'0Sr6.35-2.3912


Best Defenders (AdjD)

Here are the best defenders based on their individual AdjD (defense efficiency of points taken away per game better than the expectation allowed by a replacement player). www.kenpom.com calculates this figure for an entire team. You will get almost the same result sorting www.valueaddbasketball.com by the AdjD column, but on this list we do include at least three players from each of the five positions, which results in a few minor tweaks for the last few listed.

 
PlayerTeamVA5ConfHtClassAdjOAdjDNBA
Neemias Queta #23Utah St.8.67MWC7'0Jr4.9-3.7773
Osun Osunniyi #21St. Bonaventure7.97A106'10"Jr4.46-3.519
Evan Mobley #4USC11.16P127'0Fr7.72-3.44100
Jalen Suggs #1Gonzaga7.48WCC6' 4"Fr4.32-3.160
Franz Wagner #21Michigan8.51B106'9"So5.42-3.0997
Myles Johnson #15Rutgers6.58B106'11"Jr3.55-3.032
Jordan Goodwin #0Saint Louis6.07A106'3"Sr3.07-3.001
Josiah-Jordan James #5Tennessee5.42SEC6'6"So2.52-2.9053
Jared Butler #12Baylor9.49B126' 3"Jr6.62-2.8791
Luis Rodriguez #15Mississippi5.15SEC6'6"So2.38-2.771
Isaiah Miller #1UNC Greensboro5.21SC6'0Sr2.46-2.7517
DeJon Jarreau #3Houston6.61Amer6' 5"Sr3.94-2.671
Herbert Jones #1Alabama6.16SEC6'8"Sr3.5-2.6687
Jacob Gilyard #0Richmond7.13A105'9"Sr4.57-2.563
Nah'Shon Hyland #5VCU7.14A106'3"So4.58-2.5691

Best NBA Prospects 

 Because this list draws a lot of interest, we listed the top 25 NBA prospects. You can list all the NBA level prospects at www.valueaddbasketball.com from the whole nation or any conference by sorting by the far right column "NBA," though sometimes the two 100s (Cade Cunningham and Evan Mobley) sort by the 10s for some reason.

Jalen Suggs is the third 100 NBA prospect - an error in the data base deleted his 100 so it shows 0 but will be fixed.

 
PlayerTeamVA5ConfHtClassAdjOAdjDNBA
Cade Cunningham #2Oklahoma St.7.23B126'8"Fr5.15-2.08100
Evan Mobley #4USC11.16P127'0Fr7.72-3.44100
Scottie Barnes #4Florida St.5.38ACC6'9"Fr3.71-1.6799
Keon Johnson #45Tennessee3.4SEC6'5"Fr1.72-1.6898
Moses Moody #5Arkansas7.4SEC6'6"Fr5.79-1.6198
Franz Wagner #21Michigan8.51B106'9"So5.42-3.0997
Kai Jones #22Texas4.58B126'11"So3.58-197
Ziaire Williams #3Stanford1.13P126'8"Fr0.06-1.0797
Cameron Thomas #24LSU8.11SEC6'4"Fr7.81-0.396
Davion Mitchell #45Baylor8.81B126' 2"Jr6.47-2.3496
James Bouknight #2Connecticut4.78BE6'5"So3.62-1.1696
Corey Kispert #24Gonzaga8.8WCC6' 7"Sr7.65-1.1595
Jaden Springer #11Tennessee5.18SEC6'4"Fr3.28-1.995
Josh Christopher #13Arizona St.2.44P126'5"Fr1.64-0.895
Taevion Kinsey #24Marshall6.44CUSA6'5"Jr6.34-0.195
Ayo Dosunmu #11Illinois8.14B106'5"Jr6.54-1.694
David Duke #3Providence6.09BE6'5"Jr4.1-1.9993
Jalen Johnson #0Mississippi St.1.35SEC6'6"Sr1.3-0.0593
Ochai Agbaji #30Kansas6.27B126'5"Jr4.61-1.6693
Charles Bassey #23Western Kentucky7.91CUSA6'11"Jr5.7-2.2192
Greg Brown #4Texas2.7B126'9"Fr0.98-1.7292
Jared Butler #12Baylor9.49B126' 3"Jr6.62-2.8791
Nah'Shon Hyland #5VCU7.14A106'3"So4.58-2.5691
Quentin Grimes #24Houston9.12Amer6' 5"Jr6.83-2.2991
RJ Nembhard #22TCU2.54B126'5"Jr2.12-0.4291

Best Players Outside the Big Conferences

The Value Add Basketball rankings adjust for level of competition faced, so the rating for a player outside the big conferences shows how good he would be if he had to face top competition all year.


All season two players outside the big conference made it clear they could dominate any level, Max Abmas (19th best overall) and Cameron Krutwig (22nd overall). If anyone doubted, their runs to take Oral Roberts and Loyola Chicago through wins opening weekend should leave little doubt.
 
RnkPlayerTeamVA5ConfHtClassAdjOAdjDNBA
19Max Abmas #3Oral Roberts8.51Sum6'1"So8.06-0.4511
22Cameron Krutwig #25Loyola Chicago8.37MVC6'9"Sr5.74-2.6310
27Gaige Prim #44Missouri St.8.1MVC6'8"Sr6.3-1.89
31Charles Bassey #23Western Kentucky7.91CUSA6'11"Jr5.7-2.2192
34DeVante' Jones #3Coastal Carolina7.78SB6'1"Jr5.81-1.978
38Tyreke Key #11Indiana St.7.56MVC6'3"Sr6.09-1.477
39JaQuori McLaughlin #3UC Santa Barbara7.5BW6'4"Sr6.45-1.056
63Montre' Gipson #1Tarleton St.7.06WAC5'11"Jr6.89-0.173
66Grayson Murphy #2Belmont6.87OVC6'2"Jr4.48-2.393
73Collin Welp #40UC Irvine6.75BW6'9"Jr4.77-1.982
78Baylor Scheierman #3South Dakota St.6.7Sum6'6"So5.61-1.092
85Tyson Walker #2Northeastern6.57CAA6'0So5.06-1.512
87Tanner Holden #2Wright St.6.55Horz6'6"So5.79-0.762
93Taevion Kinsey #24Marshall6.44CUSA6'5"Jr6.34-0.195
102Isiaih Mosley #1Missouri St.6.32MVC6'5"So4.71-1.611


Power 6 Conferences

 
RnkPlayerTeamVA5ConfHtClassAdjOAdjDNBA
1Evan Mobley #4USC11.16P127'0Fr7.72-3.44100
2Luka Garza #55Iowa11.09B106'11"Sr9.86-1.2370
4McKinley Wright #25Colorado9.75P126'0Sr7.38-2.3752
6Jared Butler #12Baylor9.49B126' 3"Jr6.62-2.8791
8Miles McBride #4West Virginia9.26B126'2"So7.31-1.9580
10Chris Duarte #5Oregon9.06P126'6"Sr6.58-2.4888
11Matthew Hurt #21Duke8.84ACC6'9"So8.42-0.4255
12Davion Mitchell #45Baylor8.81B126' 2"Jr6.47-2.3496
14Jose Alvarado #10Georgia Tech8.74ACC6'0Sr6.35-2.3912
15Trayce Jackson-Davis #23Indiana8.72B106'9"So6.99-1.7360
17Kofi Cockburn #21Illinois8.53B107'0So6.56-1.9784
18Franz Wagner #21Michigan8.51B106'9"So5.42-3.0997
20Jay Huff #30Virginia8.41ACC7'1"Sr5.88-2.5311
21Sam Hauser #10Virginia8.39ACC6'8"Sr7.12-1.2774
23Marcus Carr #5Minnesota8.34B106'2"Jr6.77-1.5764

Truly High Major: These are the top 15 players from the five conferences that have ranked at least above average at www.kenpom.com each of the last three years.

 
RnkPlayerTeamVA5ConfHtClassAdjOAdjDNBA
3Kendric Davis #3SMU11.01Amer5'11"Jr9.19-1.8213
5Drew Timme #2Gonzaga9.67WCC6' 10"So8.3-1.3784
7Alex Barcello #13BYU9.46WCC6'2"Sr7.43-2.0312
9Quentin Grimes #24Houston9.12Amer6' 5"Jr6.83-2.2991
13Corey Kispert #24Gonzaga8.8WCC6' 7"Sr7.65-1.1595
16Neemias Queta #23Utah St.8.67MWC7'0Jr4.9-3.7773
29Osun Osunniyi #21St. Bonaventure7.97A106'10"Jr4.46-3.519
30Joel Ayayi #11Gonzaga7.94WCC6' 5"Jr5.65-2.2975
33Tyson Etienne #1Wichita St.7.88Amer6'2"So6.83-1.058
35Jordan Schakel #20San Diego St.7.78MWC6'6"Sr6.4-1.387
40Jalen Suggs #1Gonzaga7.48WCC6' 4"Fr4.32-3.160
43Grant Sherfield #25Nevada7.41MWC6'2"So6.45-0.966
55Nah'Shon Hyland #5VCU7.14A106'3"So4.58-2.5691
56Jacob Gilyard #0Richmond7.13A105'9"Sr4.57-2.563
59Jaylen Forbes #25Tulane7.09Amer6'5"So5.94-1.153


Best Freshmen

As noted in our wrap-up of the national championship, once again the bracket worked that bet against freshman point guards. The last freshman guard to finish in the top 3 in www.valueaddbasketball.com was Chris Paul in 2004.

Only one freshman finished in the top 25 (not unusual) but that one was the most valuable player in the country, USC's Evan Mobley. As noted above, Auburn's Sharife Cooper was the 47th most valuable player in the games he played, so there really were 6 freshman in the top 50.

 
RnkPlayerTeamVA5ConfHtClassAdjOAdjDNBA
1Evan Mobley #4USC11.16P127'0Fr7.72-3.44100
26Cameron Thomas #24LSU8.11SEC6'4"Fr7.81-0.396
40Jalen Suggs #1Gonzaga7.48WCC6' 4"Fr4.32-3.16100
45Moses Moody #5Arkansas7.4SEC6'6"Fr5.79-1.6198
52Cade Cunningham #2Oklahoma St.7.23B126'8"Fr5.15-2.08100
75Hunter Dickinson #1Michigan6.72B107'1"Fr4.57-2.1538
115Nijel Pack #24Kansas St.6.15B126'0Fr5.17-0.981
131Jae'Lyn Withers #24Louisville5.94ACC6'8"Fr4.25-1.691
138Johni Broome #4Morehead St.5.88OVC6'10"Fr4.26-1.621
173Isaiah Jackson #23Kentucky5.46SEC6'10"Fr3.13-2.3390
177Bennedict Mathurin #0Arizona5.44P126'7"Fr4.5-0.9449
186Scottie Barnes #4Florida St.5.38ACC6'9"Fr3.71-1.6799
206Jaden Springer #11Tennessee5.18SEC6'4"Fr3.28-1.995
225Dawson Garcia #33Marquette5.04BE6'11"Fr4.57-0.4760
280Jalen Wilson #10Kansas4.71B126'8"Fr3.19-1.5278

Best Sophomores

The best thing about freshman is they turn into Sophomores. Value Add calculates players often make by far their biggest improvement between their freshman and sophomore years, and this year was no exception with 7 Sophomores making the top 25. Www.kenpom.com ranked Drew Timme No. 1, but we had senior Garza 1st all year until Evan Mobley caught him in the Sweet 16.

 
RnkPlayerTeamVA5ConfHtClassAdjOAdjDNBA
5Drew Timme #2Gonzaga9.67WCC6' 10"So8.3-1.3784
8Miles McBride #4West Virginia9.26B126'2"So7.31-1.9580
11Matthew Hurt #21Duke8.84ACC6'9"So8.42-0.4255
15Trayce Jackson-Davis #23Indiana8.72B106'9"So6.99-1.7360
17Kofi Cockburn #21Illinois8.53B107'0So6.56-1.9784
18Franz Wagner #21Michigan8.51B106'9"So5.42-3.0997
19Max Abmas #3Oral Roberts8.51Sum6'1"So8.06-0.4511
32Jeremiah Robinson-Earl #24Villanova7.89BE6'9"So6.12-1.7781
33Tyson Etienne #1Wichita St.7.88Amer6'2"So6.83-1.058
37Justin Champagnie #11Pittsburgh7.65ACC6'6"So5.9-1.7513
42Jaime Jaquez #4UCLA7.42P126' 6"So5.34-2.0850
43Grant Sherfield #25Nevada7.41MWC6'2"So6.45-0.966
47Tre Mann #1Florida7.37SEC6'5"So5.21-2.1689
49EJ Liddell #32Ohio St.7.3B106'7"So6.13-1.1726

Best Juniors

As pointed out above, the best bracket we had picked Baylor to go.all the way due to incredibly experienced and awesome guards. When two of the top 12 players in America are your back court, you are loaded for a run. The fact that your third best guard is the 15th best senior (next list) tells you all you need to know about Baylor's dominance last night. Our bracket based on experienced guards sinister 31,000th of 17,200,000 brackets, meaning it beat 555 brackets for every one bracket it lost to.

 
RnkPlayerTeamVA5ConfHtClassAdjOAdjDNBA
3Kendric Davis #3SMU11.01Amer5'11"Jr9.19-1.8213
6Jared Butler #12Baylor9.49B126' 3"Jr6.62-2.8791
9Quentin Grimes #24Houston9.12Amer6' 5"Jr6.83-2.2991
12Davion Mitchell #45Baylor8.81B126' 2"Jr6.47-2.3496
16Neemias Queta #23Utah St.8.67MWC7'0Jr4.9-3.7773
23Marcus Carr #5Minnesota8.34B106'2"Jr6.77-1.5764
25Ayo Dosunmu #11Illinois8.14B106'5"Jr6.54-1.694
29Osun Osunniyi #21St. Bonaventure7.97A106'10"Jr4.46-3.519
30Joel Ayayi #11Gonzaga7.94WCC6' 5"Jr5.65-2.2975
31Charles Bassey #23Western Kentucky7.91CUSA6'11"Jr5.7-2.2192
34DeVante' Jones #3Coastal Carolina7.78SB6'1"Jr5.81-1.978
48Keve Aluma #22Virginia Tech7.34ACC6'9"Jr5.56-1.785
50Eric Ayala #5Maryland7.28B106'5"Jr5.46-1.824
54Marcus Zegarowski #11Creighton7.14BE6'2"Jr5.57-1.5754

Best Seniors

Seniors make the best players, but they often do not.make the NBA if they weren't good enough to leave early. However, this year Duarte, Kispert and Hauser all look like players who will see an NBA court.

 
RnkPlayerTeamVA5ConfHtClassAdjOAdjDNBA
2Luka Garza #55Iowa11.09B106'11"Sr9.86-1.2370
4McKinley Wright #25Colorado9.75P126'0Sr7.38-2.3752
7Alex Barcello #13BYU9.46WCC6'2"Sr7.43-2.0312
10Chris Duarte #5Oregon9.06P126'6"Sr6.58-2.4888
13Corey Kispert #24Gonzaga8.8WCC6' 7"Sr7.65-1.1595
14Jose Alvarado #10Georgia Tech8.74ACC6'0Sr6.35-2.3912
20Jay Huff #30Virginia8.41ACC7'1"Sr5.88-2.5311
21Sam Hauser #10Virginia8.39ACC6'8"Sr7.12-1.2774
22Cameron Krutwig #25Loyola Chicago8.37MVC6'9"Sr5.74-2.6310
24Moses Wright #5Georgia Tech8.29ACC6'9"Sr6.59-1.710
27Gaige Prim #44Missouri St.8.1MVC6'8"Sr6.3-1.89
28Oscar da Silva #13Stanford8.02P126'9"Sr6.76-1.2658
35Jordan Schakel #20San Diego St.7.78MWC6'6"Sr6.4-1.387
36MaCio Teague #31Baylor7.78B126' 4"Sr6.67-1.1167

Best Point Guards

No substitute for a great point guard to run the show.

 
RnkPlayerTeamVA5ConfHtClassAdjOAdjDNBA
3Kendric Davis #3SMU11.01Amer5'11"Jr9.19-1.8213
4McKinley Wright #25Colorado9.75P126'0Sr7.38-2.3752
8Miles McBride #4West Virginia9.26B126'2"So7.31-1.9580
12Davion Mitchell #45Baylor8.81B126' 2"Jr6.47-2.3496
23Marcus Carr #5Minnesota8.34B106'2"Jr6.77-1.5764
40Jalen Suggs #1Gonzaga7.48WCC6' 4"Fr4.32-3.16100
43Grant Sherfield #25Nevada7.41MWC6'2"So6.45-0.966
46Austin Reaves #12Oklahoma7.38B126'5"Sr6-1.385
47Tre Mann #1Florida7.37SEC6'5"So5.21-2.1689
50Eric Ayala #5Maryland7.28B106'5"Jr5.46-1.824
51Tahj Eaddy #2USC7.28P126'2"Sr5.69-1.594
54Marcus Zegarowski #11Creighton7.14BE6'2"Jr5.57-1.5754
56Jacob Gilyard #0Richmond7.13A105'9"Sr4.57-2.563
61Carlik Jones #1Louisville7.07ACC6'1"Sr5.06-2.013
69Marreon Jackson #3Toledo6.84MAC6'1"Sr4.9-1.943

Best Shooting Guards

Abmas looked like a point guard a good bit, but as a big shooter he calculates as the shooting giard.

 
RnkPlayerTeamVA5ConfHtClassAdjOAdjDNBA
6Jared Butler #12Baylor9.49B126' 3"Jr6.62-2.8791
7Alex Barcello #13BYU9.46WCC6'2"Sr7.43-2.0312
10Chris Duarte #5Oregon9.06P126'6"Sr6.58-2.4888
14Jose Alvarado #10Georgia Tech8.74ACC6'0Sr6.35-2.3912
19Max Abmas #3Oral Roberts8.51Sum6'1"So8.06-0.4511
26Cameron Thomas #24LSU8.11SEC6'4"Fr7.81-0.396
33Tyson Etienne #1Wichita St.7.88Amer6'2"So6.83-1.058
38Tyreke Key #11Indiana St.7.56MVC6'3"Sr6.09-1.477
44Dru Smith #12Missouri7.4SEC6'3"Sr5.21-2.1917
55Nah'Shon Hyland #5VCU7.14A106'3"So4.58-2.5691
63Montre' Gipson #1Tarleton St.7.06WAC5'11"Jr6.89-0.173
66Grayson Murphy #2Belmont6.87OVC6'2"Jr4.48-2.393
96Isaiah Wong #2Miami FL6.36ACC6'3"So5.51-0.8552
97Jaden Shackelford #5Alabama6.36SEC6'3"So4.76-1.626
104Ochai Agbaji #30Kansas6.27B126'5"Jr4.61-1.6693
105Jalen Crutcher #10Dayton6.23A106'1"Sr5.6-0.631

Best Small Forwards (often really a third guard.

While many teams announce three or even four starting point guards, the player who appears to play the third farthest from the basket is labeled the small forward or "3." Houston's Quentin Grimes was by far the best this year.

 
RnkPlayerTeamVA5ConfHtClassAdjOAdjDNBA
9Quentin Grimes #24Houston9.12Amer6' 5"Jr6.83-2.2991
30Joel Ayayi #11Gonzaga7.94WCC6' 5"Jr5.65-2.2975
34DeVante' Jones #3Coastal Carolina7.78SB6'1"Jr5.81-1.978
35Jordan Schakel #20San Diego St.7.78MWC6'6"Sr6.4-1.387
36MaCio Teague #31Baylor7.78B126' 4"Sr6.67-1.1167
39JaQuori McLaughlin #3UC Santa Barbara7.5BW6'4"Sr6.45-1.056
42Jaime Jaquez #4UCLA7.42P126' 6"So5.34-2.0850
45Moses Moody #5Arkansas7.4SEC6'6"Fr5.79-1.6198
59Jaylen Forbes #25Tulane7.09Amer6'5"So5.94-1.153
65Jared Rhoden #14Seton Hall6.93BE6'6"Jr5.08-1.853
76Isaiah Livers #2Michigan6.71B106'7"Sr4.61-2.182
77Aaron Wiggins #2Maryland6.7B106'6"Jr4.56-2.1473
78Baylor Scheierman #3South Dakota St.6.7Sum6'6"So5.61-1.092
81Timmy Allen #1Utah6.63P126'6"Jr4.66-1.9756
87Tanner Holden #2Wright St.6.55Horz6'6"So5.79-0.762

Best Power Forwards

Mobley did seem to be a 7-foot power forward at least some of the time.to not get banged around as a lighter player., playing their in the zone and taking some outside jumpers. Ayo certainly does not seem to be a power forward but because he was near the basket a lot due to.driving and grabbing rebounds thats how he calculated.

 
RnkPlayerTeamVA5ConfHtClassAdjOAdjDNBA
1Evan Mobley #4USC11.16P127'0Fr7.72-3.44100
11Matthew Hurt #21Duke8.84ACC6'9"So8.42-0.4255
13Corey Kispert #24Gonzaga8.8WCC6' 7"Sr7.65-1.1595
18Franz Wagner #21Michigan8.51B106'9"So5.42-3.0997
21Sam Hauser #10Virginia8.39ACC6'8"Sr7.12-1.2774
25Ayo Dosunmu #11Illinois8.14B106'5"Jr6.54-1.694
37Justin Champagnie #11Pittsburgh7.65ACC6'6"So5.9-1.7513
49EJ Liddell #32Ohio St.7.3B106'7"So6.13-1.1726
52Cade Cunningham #2Oklahoma St.7.23B126'8"Fr5.15-2.08100
53Emanuel Miller #5Texas A&M7.17SEC6'7"So6.42-0.753
62Eugene Omoruyi #2Oregon7.07P126'6"Sr5.96-1.1147
64Jermaine Samuels #23Villanova7.02BE6'7"Sr5.99-1.033
67David Roddy #21Colorado St.6.84MWC44352So5.17-1.673
68LJ Figueroa #12Oregon6.84P126'6"Sr5.39-1.453
70Julian Champagnie #2St. John's6.82BE6'8"So5.52-1.325

Best Centers

Still some legit around the basket players on this list.

 
RnkPlayerTeamVA5ConfHtClassAdjOAdjDNBA
2Luka Garza #55Iowa11.09B106'11"Sr9.86-1.2370
5Drew Timme #2Gonzaga9.67WCC6' 10"So8.3-1.3784
15Trayce Jackson-Davis #23Indiana8.72B106'9"So6.99-1.7360
16Neemias Queta #23Utah St.8.67MWC7'0Jr4.9-3.7773
17Kofi Cockburn #21Illinois8.53B107'0So6.56-1.9784
20Jay Huff #30Virginia8.41ACC7'1"Sr5.88-2.5311
22Cameron Krutwig #25Loyola Chicago8.37MVC6'9"Sr5.74-2.6310
24Moses Wright #5Georgia Tech8.29ACC6'9"Sr6.59-1.710
27Gaige Prim #44Missouri St.8.1MVC6'8"Sr6.3-1.89
28Oscar da Silva #13Stanford8.02P126'9"Sr6.76-1.2658
29Osun Osunniyi #21St. Bonaventure7.97A106'10"Jr4.46-3.519
31Charles Bassey #23Western Kentucky7.91CUSA6'11"Jr5.7-2.2192
32Jeremiah Robinson-Earl #24Villanova7.89BE6'9"So6.12-1.7781
41Aamir Simms #25Clemson7.42ACC6'8"Sr5.86-1.5651
48Keve Aluma #22Virginia Tech7.34ACC6'9"Jr5.56-1.785

Monday, April 5, 2021

Final College Hoops Piece of the Season - Deja Vu

 For our final college basketball season please click on the story pictured below. As I note in the piece, if you watched the game last night you had a chance to see the last freshman guard to finish as one of the best three players in college basketball at Value Add Basketball. It was during a State Farm Commercial - Chris Paul. As usual, great experienced guards shut down a great freshman guard for the title.