Showing posts with label Trayce Jackson-Davis. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Trayce Jackson-Davis. Show all posts

Wednesday, February 16, 2022

Top College Basketball Centers this Season

In Value Add Basketball we consider the teams "center" the player who has some combination of the most defensive rebounds, blocked shots and height, but typically the fewest assists and steals. A great center will typically have even better raw numbers than a great point guard, because the guards typically need to get the ball to the center close to the basket for a closer shot - even though not nearly as many centers play with their "back to the basket" like they did for most of the history of basketball.  (for a summary of the top players at each position, click here).

Because www.valueaddbasketball.com calculates how many points per game a player improves his team compared to if a typical replacement player took his place, the raw value add is adjusted by position since the replacement player would be at the same position. Therefore, once the formulas are run, and centers raw value add is lowered by multiplying it by 0.9 to get the result you see below and at www.valueaddbasketball.com.

Top 10 most valuable centers are listed below. in general freshmen make so many mistakes (turnovers, bad shots etc.) the first half of the season that they do not rank nearly as high as more experienced players. However, they tend to improve more at the end of the season, so we watch for breakout freshmen first when looking at brackets. Therefore we start with the 10 most valuable freshmen centers in college basketball, starting with the Zags Chet Holmgrem who improves Gonzaga by 8.52 points per game - meaning there is a better than 50/50 chance the Zags would have LOST any game that they won by fewer than eight points.

In his case, he improves the Zags' offense by 5.04 points per game, while his defensive rating of -3.48 indicates he takes three to four points more away from the opposing team then a typical replacement center. Here are the most valuable 10 freshmen centers through games of February 15.
 
RnkTop Freshmen CentersTeamVA5ConfHtTextCl
5Chet Holmgren #34Gonzaga8.52WCC7'0Fr
8Norchad Omier #15Arkansas St.7.79SB6'7"Fr
12Kenneth Lofton #2Louisiana Tech7.03CUSA6'7"Fr
18Johni Broome #4Morehead St.6.68OVC6'10"Fr
34DaRon Holmes #15Dayton5.84A106'10"Fr
57Fousseyni Traore #45BYU4.91WCC6'6"Fr
80Jalen Duren #2Memphis4.27Amer6'11"Fr
95Charles Bediako #10Alabama3.92SEC7'0Fr
111Eddie Lampkin #4TCU3.67B126'11"Fr
112Oso Ighodaro #13Marquette3.65BE6'9"Fr

Top 50 Centers Overall

In true value, our calculations indicate the 1st Team All-American so far should come from Kentucky, and Holgrem is in a tight races for the 2nd Team All-American center with stars from Indiana, Auburn and UNC.
 
RnkTop Centers (5)TeamVA5ConfHtTextCl
1Oscar Tshiebwe #34Kentucky11.14SEC6'9"Jr
2Trayce Jackson-Davis #23Indiana8.94B106'9"So
3Walker Kessler #13Auburn8.66SEC7'1"So
4Armando Bacot #5North Carolina8.6ACC6'10"Jr
5Chet Holmgren #34Gonzaga8.52WCC7'0Fr
6Orlando Robinson #10Fresno St.8.4MWC7'0Jr
7Hunter Dickinson #1Michigan7.89B107'1"So
8Norchad Omier #15Arkansas St.7.79SB6'7"Fr
9Jack Nunge #24Xavier7.61BE7'0Jr
10KJ Williams #0Murray St.7.27OVC6'10"Jr
11Kofi Cockburn #21Illinois7.22B107'0Jr
12Kenneth Lofton #2Louisiana Tech7.03CUSA6'7"Fr
13Mark Williams #15Duke6.96ACC7'0So
14Christian Koloko #35Arizona6.93P127'1"So
15Jake Stephens #34VMI6.88SC6'11"Sr
16Isaiah Whaley #5Connecticut6.72BE6'9"Sr
17Keve Aluma #22Virginia Tech6.71ACC6'9"Sr
18Johni Broome #4Morehead St.6.68OVC6'10"Fr
19Osun Osunniyi #21St. Bonaventure6.65A106'10"Sr
20JT Shumate #32Toledo6.56MAC6'7"Jr
21Gaige Prim #44Missouri St.6.48MVC6'9"Sr
22Javon Franklin #13South Alabama6.47SB6'7"Sr
23Yauhen Massalski #25San Francisco6.46WCC6'9"Sr
24Ryan Kalkbrenner #11Creighton6.45BE7'1"So
25Zach Edey #15Purdue6.45B107'4"So
26Matthias Tass #11Saint Mary's6.44WCC6'10"Sr
27Jamal Cain #1Oakland6.42Horz6'7"Sr
28Isaiah Mobley #3USC6.39P126'10"Jr
29Trevion Williams #50Purdue6.28B106'10"Sr
30Drew Pember #4UNC Asheville6.13BSth6'10"Jr
31Darius Days #4LSU6.07SEC6'7"Sr
32Jaylin Williams #10Arkansas6.05SEC6'10"So
33Jalen Slawson #20Furman5.86SC6'7"Sr
34DaRon Holmes #15Dayton5.84A106'10"Fr
35Bryson Williams #11Texas Tech5.8B126'8"Sr
36Jesse Edwards #14Syracuse5.79ACC6'11"Jr
37Eric Dixon #43Villanova5.76BE6'8"So
38Andre Kelly #22California5.72P126'9"Sr
39Graham Ike #33Wyoming5.7MWC6'9"So
40Luka Brajkovic #35Davidson5.61A106'10"Sr
41Felipe Haase #22Mercer5.52SC6'9"Sr
42John Harrar #21Penn St.5.48B106'9"Sr
43Nick Muszynski #33Belmont5.44OVC6'11"Sr
44Jonathan Tchamwa Tchatchoua #23Baylor5.36B126'8"Jr
45Enrique Freeman #25Akron5.35MAC6'7"So
46Pete Nance #22Northwestern5.32B106'10"Sr
47Nate Watson #0Providence5.28BE6'10"Sr
48Josh Carlton #25Houston5.25Amer6'11"Sr
49Tanner Groves #35Oklahoma5.22B126'10"Sr
50Myles Johnson #15UCLA5.16P126'10"Sr

Tuesday, January 18, 2022

Top 25 Value Add Basketball Players & Top 15 in Each Conference

The rankings for 4,000+ college Most Valuable Players in college basketball are updated at www.valueaddbasketball.com based on stats as of January 17, 2022. Value Add Basketball ranks players in a method similar to how www.kenpom.com ranks teams. The offensive rating (AdjO) minus the defensive rating (AdjD, negative is good because the player is taking points away from the other team) to calculated the overall "Value" of each player above a replacement player.




This blog links to three options to review the rankings:

1. The 25 most valuable players in the country are listed on the table below.
2. You can also go to www.valueaddbasketball.com to sort all 4000+ players by team, conference, class, etc.
3. The picture above is from this CBS 247 story on the updated rankings.
4. Finally, the links below the table take you to your choice of the 32 college basketball conferences for the notes specific to that conference and their top 15 players in the ratings.


RnkTop 25 All-AmericansTeamValueHtClAdjOAdjDGm/StConf
1Keegan Murray #15Iowa11.086'8"So8.97-2.1216, 16B10
2Justin Bean #34Utah St.10.586'7"Sr8.38-2.2016, 16MWC
3Oscar Tshiebwe #34Kentucky10.516'9"Jr6.86-3.6517, 17SEC
4Trayce Jackson-Davis #23Indiana10.126'9"So7.21-2.9116, 16B10
5Alex Barcello #13BYU10.126'2"Sr8.87-1.2517, 17WCC
6Collin Gillespie #2Villanova9.946'3"Sr8.30-1.6417, 17BE
7Kendric Davis #3SMU9.716'0Sr9.12-0.5917, 17Amer
8Armando Bacot #5North Carolina9.436'10"Jr6.85-2.5816, 16ACC
9Terrell Brown #23Washington9.306'3"Sr7.45-1.8415, 15P12
10Ochai Agbaji #30Kansas9.276'5"Sr8.33-0.9316, 16B12
11Tylor Perry #5North Texas9.225'11"Jr7.92-1.3013, 0CUSA
12Malachi Smith #13Chattanooga9.216'4"So8.62-0.6016, 16SC
13Posh Alexander #0St. John's9.216'0So5.36-3.8514, 13BE
14Orlando Robinson #10Fresno St.9.127'0Jr6.79-2.3415, 15MWC
15EJ Liddell #32Ohio St.8.936'7"Jr6.86-2.0715, 15B10
16Justin Moore #5Villanova8.566'4"Jr6.14-2.4217, 17BE
17Santiago Vescovi #25Tennessee8.526'3"Jr6.00-2.5116, 16SEC
18Jamaree Bouyea #1San Francisco8.436'2"Sr6.46-1.9717, 17WCC
19Christian Braun #2Kansas8.326'6"Jr6.20-2.1216, 16B12
20Iverson Molinar #1Mississippi St.8.296'3"Jr8.00-0.3016, 16SEC
21Tevin Brown #10Murray St.8.256'5"Jr6.33-1.9113, 13OVC
22Trent Frazier #1Illinois8.236'2"Sr4.61-3.6214, 13B10
23Alondes Williams #31Wake Forest8.216'5"Sr6.89-1.3218, 18ACC
24Tari Eason #13LSU8.086'8"So5.16-2.9216, 0SEC
25Hunter Dickinson #1Michigan7.957'1"So6.17-1.7813, 13B10


Below are the links to each conference review and top 15 players, with the Player of the Year listed.

Abbr, Conference, Player of Year so far, Team

AE, America East Conference, Ryan Davis #35, Vermont

Amer, American Athletic Conference, Kendric Davis #3, SMU

ASun, ASUN Conference, Darius McGhee #2, Liberty

A10, Atlantic 10 Conference, Michael Jones #13, Davidson

ACC, Atlantic Coast Conference, Armando Bacot #5, North Carolina

B12, Big 12 Conference, Ochai Agbaji #30, Kansas

BE, Big East Conference, Collin Gillespie #2, Villanova

BSky, Big Sky Conference, Dillon Jones #2, Weber St.

BSth, Big South Conference, Ricky Clemons #1, Campbell

B10, Big Ten Conference, Keegan Murray #15, Iowa

BW, Big West Conference, Collin Welp #40, UC Irvine

CAA, Colonial Athletic Association, Cam Holden #55, Towson

CUSA, Conference USA, Tylor Perry #5, North Texas

Horz, Horizon League, Jamal Cain #1, Oakland

Ivy, Ivy League, Kino Lilly #10, Brown

MAAC, Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference, George Papas #5, Monmouth

MAC, Mid American Conference, JT Shumate #32, Toledo

MEAC, Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference, Kris Bankston #30, Norfolk St.

MVC, Missouri Valley Conference, Garrett Sturtz #3, Drake

MWC, Mountain West Conference, Justin Bean #34, Utah St.

NEC, Northeast Conference, Alex Morales #2, Wagner

OVC, Ohio Valley Conference, Tevin Brown #10, Murray St.

P12, Pac 12 Conference, Terrell Brown #23, Washington

Pat, Patriot League, Cam Spencer #12, Loyola MD

SEC, Southeastern Conference, Oscar Tshiebwe #34, Kentucky

SC, Southern Conference, Malachi Smith #13, Chattanooga

Slnd, Southland Conference, Isaac Mushila #10, Texas A&M CC

SWAC, Southwestern Athletic Conference, Jayveous McKinnis #11, Jackson St.

Sum, Summit League, Baylor Scheierman #3, South Dakota St.

SB, Sun Belt Conference, Javon Franklin #13, South Alabama

WCC, West Coast Conference, Alex Barcello #13, BYU

WAC, Western Athletic Conference, Jovan Blacksher #10, Grand Canyon

Note: I added the words "Most Valuable Player" above after initially posting this because our rankings measure how valuable a player is to a team while other votes may measure the "Player of the Year." In most cases I'd say the two are similar, but when writing the Big 12 summary below it occurred to me Baylor was a perfect example of when MVP and POY can be different. James Akinjo and Kendall Brown should be considered for Player of the Year in the rugged Big 12, but I don't believe either of the are in the running for Most Valuable Player because Baylor is so deep that if either of them could not play, Baylor still has seven players on the court that can dominate. I don't believe Kansas could contend nationally if Ochai Agbaji or Christian Braun were out - if those two were out and the two Baylor players above were out for the same game, I believe Baylor would beat Kansas handily..Baylor's incredible depth actually means each player is slightly less valuable because the replacement player stepping in for them is so good.

Sunday, December 26, 2021

Big Ten Conference Top 15 Men’s Basketball Players To Date

 For Immediate Release

John Pudner, 404.606.3163, johnp@takebackaction.org


Big Ten Conference Top 15 Men’s Basketball Players To Date


“Value Add Basketball is happy to provide the early list of the conference’s top 15 men’s  basketball players based on proven analytics used by NBA teams for draft prep,as well as writers at Sports Illustrated, ESPN, NBC Sports, Fox Sports,” said John Pudner, the inventor of the system.”


“Seven of 14 Big Ten teams feature a player with more than a 70 percent chance of making the NBA, and that does not even include Ohio State and the top player in the league - EJ Liddell. Liddell leads three Big Ten players in the top seven players, placing 4th, while Iowa’s Keegan Murray ranks 5th and Indiana’s Trayce Jackson-Davis ranks 7th.”


“The All-Big Ten team would be completed by Purdue’s Jaden Ivey, the top NBA prospect at 95% and 4th in the conference in Value Add (8.58) and Michigan’s Hunter Dickinson 5th. Wisconsin’s Johnny Davis ranks as the 19th most valuable player in the country, which would make him 1st team All-Conference in all 31 other conference but leaves him as the 6th best player in the loaded Big Ten.”


You can click on this google doc with information on all 4,000+ players prior to it being posted on www.valueaddbasketball.com. You can also click here for the top 100 players in the country.


Information includes each player’s chance of making the NBA, his Value Add Rating for how many points he impacts a typical game (roughly 10 points is All-American level). The key to the table is: Rank = the player's conference ranking, Value Add = how many points he improves his team over a replacement player, Class = if he is in his 1st, 2nd, 3rd or 4th and final year of eligibility, Ht = his height, AdjD = how many points he takes away from opponents, and NBA = his percent chance of making the NBA.


Feel free to use any information contained in these statements as wanted, and email (johnp@takebackaction.org), or text/call 404.606.3163 for any questions or additional quotes from John Pudner.


RankB10TeamValue AddClassHtAdjDNBA
1EJ LiddellOhio St.9.88Jr6'7"-3.0649%
2Keegan MurrayIowa9.61So6'8"-2.6578%
3Trayce Jackson-DavisIndiana9.39So6'9"-3.7571%
4Jaden IveyPurdue8.58So6'4"-2.6695%
5Hunter DickinsonMichigan8.39So7'1"-3.0726%
6Johnny DavisWisconsin8.32So6'5"-2.5986%
7Brad DavisonWisconsin7.78Sr6'4"-1.371%
8Payton WillisMinnesota7.55Sr6'4"-1.831%
9Pete NanceNorthwestern7.31Sr6'10"-31%
10Hakim HartMaryland7.14Jr6'8"-1.941%
11Trevion WilliamsPurdue7.09Sr6'10"-3.5526%
12Ron HarperRutgers6.98Sr6'6"-2.6231%
13Eli BrooksMichigan6.96Sr6'1"-1.761%
14Jamari WheelerOhio St.6.93Sr6'1"-3.51%
15Kofi CockburnIllinois6.74Jr7'0-2.7640%
DefMarcus BinghamMichigan St.6.69Sr7'0-4.261%
DefTrent FrazierIllinois6.74Sr6'2"-3.91%
DefCaleb McConnellRutgers2.96Sr6'7"-3.381%
DefRace ThompsonIndiana6.05Jr6'8"-3.181%
DefJohn HarrarPenn St.6.34Sr6'9"-2.991%
NBACaleb HoustanMichigan3.36Fr6'8"-1.5683%
NBAGabe BrownMichigan St.6.08Sr6'8"-1.1445%
NBAMalaki BranhamOhio St.0.94Fr6'5"-0.8645%
NBABryce McGowensNebraska3.32Fr6'7"-0.7991%
NBAMax ChristieMichigan St.2.97Fr6'6"-0.7490%
NBAFrankie CollinsMichigan0.86Fr6'1"-0.7328%

Saturday, February 6, 2021

Wooden Award Finalists, KenPom, Value Add Ranks Top Hoops Players

The following 33 players are considered one of the top 20 players in the country by at least one of three evaluations.

Each player is awarded 50 points if one of the 20 Wooden Award Finalists, then 50 points for being ranked 1st by www.kenpom.com or www.valueaddbasketball.com, 49 points for being ranked 2nd by either, etc. A player received no points if not listed as a Wooden Award finalists, or failed to make Pomeroy's top 10, or finished lower than 50th at www.valueaddbasketball.com.

For example, Luka Garza scores a perfect 150 points for being on the Wooden list and calculating as the No. 1 player at both www.kenpom.com and www.valueaddbasketball.com, 50 points each for 150. Baylor's Jared Butler is second with 50 points for making the Wooden list, 48 points for ranking 3rd at www.valueaddbasketball.com and 49 points for ranking second at www.kenpom for 147 points, followed by USC's Evan Mobley with 140 points etc. 
 
RnkPlayerTeamWooden?Value Add   Ken Pom  Total all 3
1Luka GarzaIowaYes11150
2Jared ButlerBaylorYes32147
3Evan MobleyUSCYes48140
4Trayce Jackson-DavisIndianaYes85139
5Ayo DosunmuIllinoisYes143135
6Drew TimmeGonzaga Yes234125
7Kofi CockburnIllinoisYes2910113
8Collin GillespieVillanovaYes7 94
9Corey KispertGonzagaYes12 89
10Justin ChampagniePittsburghYes13 88
11Marcus CarrMinnesotaYes19 82
12Jay HuffVirginiaNo18975
13Charles BasseyWestern KentuckyYes28 73
14Carlik JonesLouisvilleYes37 64
15Ron Harper Jr.RutgersYes38 63
16Cameron KrutwigLoyola ChicagoNo42654
17Hunter DickinsonMichiganYes62 50
18Jeremiah Robinson-EarlVillanovaYes85 50
19Cade CunninghamOklahoma StateYes94 50
20Jalen SuggsGonzagaYes114 50
21James BouknightConnecticutYes336 50
22Quentin GrimesHoustonYes473 50
23Chris DuarteOregonNo2 49
24Oscar da SilvaStanfordNo5 46
25Jose AlvaradoGeorgia TechNo6 45
26Trevion WilliamsPurdueNo71744
27Miles McBrideWest VirginiaNo9 42
28Kendric DavisSMUNo10 41
29Matthew HurtDukeNo11 40
30Tyson EtienneWichita St.No15 36
31DeVante' JonesCoastal CarolinaNo16 35
32Quincy GuerrierSyracuseNo17 34
33Alex BarcelloBYUNo20 31