Showing posts with label Kentucky basketball. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Kentucky basketball. Show all posts

Tuesday, January 14, 2025

SEC Rules! 1978 KY Survives 1996 KY to win All-Time SEC; As 2025 SEC Challenges for Best Ever

The Value Add Basketball Game all-time SEC championship game was a thriller, with the all-time great 1978 point guard Kyle Macy preventing one steal with a great pass with 3:58 to go to set up a 3-pointer that gave the 1978 Kentucky team a 79-73 lead over Rick Pitino's high pressure 1996 Kentucky team that sent 9 of 10 players to the NBA. A "12" roll would have been a steal for the 1978 squad, except that in the last five minutes the list of all-time great point guards including Macy nullify a steal or turnover on a roll of 12, 14, 16, 42, 44 or 46. Kentucky 1979 only allowed 9 turnovers the entire game.

(if you only need links to the scoresheet and teams, click here. If you do not know how to play the game and want the instructions as well, click on Value Add Basketball Game )

Macy later capped off his 22-point outing with a steal and dunk to make it 85-75 with 1:30 to play - and then we almost witnessed the greatest comeback in our games history. Tony Delk hit  a free throw in the final minute to cut it to 85-78, missed the second free throw. Antoine Walker grabbed the offensive rebound and fired back out to Delk, who drained a 3-pointer and was fouled again, hitting that free throw for a 5-point play to gut it to 85-82. The 1996 squad scored again to make it 85-84 after a steal, but could not get it back for one last shot to give the title to the 1978 quad despite the closing 9-0 run.

The 2012 Kentucky squad also made our 20-team all-time tournament, which is shown below.

We played the game after posting the story below on if the SEC in 2105 is the greatest conference in the history of college basketball. Click here for this story on CBS 247 Sports.






Kentucky 2012 will also make the all-time great tournament and face the 2008 champs from Kansas in their first round game. The best team to date in the 11 big conferences are in this tournament, while the 20 champs from smaller conferences are all in our NIT tournament.


Pos     Kentucky 1978      Pts3pt2ptFTAttRebStlBlkFlHt,nba?Actual Season
1-PGKyle Macy2225661402nba,6'312.7 Pts, 4.5 Reb
2-SGTruman Claytor5110012026'115.5 Pts, 5.8 Reb
3-SFJack Givens1917224214nba,6'56.1 Pts, 3.2 Reb
4-PFJames Lee4020020016'511.4 Pts, 5.9 Reb
5-CRick Robey1916456032nba,6'1129.0 Pts, 15.5 Reb
1-PGJay Shidler2010010016'12.9 Pts, 0.8 Reb
2-SGDwane Casey2010010016'21.9 Pts, 0.8 Reb
3-SFLaVon Williams2010010016'74.7 Pts, 2.8 Reb
4-PFChuck Aleksinas511001001nba,6'114.6 Pts, 3.4 Reb
5-CMike Phillips5013430026'101.4 Pts, 1.9 Reb
 Turnovers 9856261517218417  
             
PosKentucky 1996Pts3pt2ptFTAttRebStlBlkFlHt,nba?Actual Season
1-PGDerek Anderson511001104nba,6'59.4 Pts, 3.4 Reb, 2.4 Ast
2-SGWalter McCarty2227222201nba,6'1011.3 Pts, 5.7 Reb, 2.6 Ast
3-SFTony Delk1834123001nba,6'117.8 Pts, 4.2 Reb, 1.8 Ast
4-PFAntoine Walker1205238001nba,6'815.2 Pts, 8.4 Reb, 2.9 Ast
5-CMark Pope903338025nba,6'107.6 Pts, 5.2 Reb, 1.0 Ast
1-PGAnthony Epps6022210016'26.7 Pts, 3.1 Reb, 4.9 Ast
2-SGWayne Turner402001003nba,6'24.5 Pts, 1.5 Reb, 1.6 Ast
3-SFJeff Sheppard402003101nba,6'35.5 Pts, 2.1 Reb, 1.9 Ast
4-PFRon Mercer201001001nba,6'78.0 Pts, 2.9 Reb, 1.4 Ast
5-CNazr Mohammed201001001nba,6'102.3 Pts, 1.5 Reb, 0.2 Ast
 Turnovers 16846281012293219 

Saturday, March 25, 2023

SEC All-Time Great Basketball Team Player Cards

Alabama's dominant season came to an end in one of the most balanced NCAA tournaments, while Tennessee also looked like a contender until a late season injury and Arkansas touched off one of the best three year runs by defeating a 1-seed.

We added Value Add Basketball Game teams for all three teams and set put each in the bracket below for the All-Time SEC championship. We included five national champs and gave them the top five seeds - Kentucky 1948, 1996 and 2012, Arkansas' 40 minutes of hell 1994 champs, and the first of consecutive Florida champs from 2006.

Both Iron Bowl teams have come their close to winning it all in the last five years and are seeded right behind the teams that won national titles. Auburn's 2019 Final Four team that came one traveling call short of the title game despite missing their best player, Chuma Okeke. Alabama was the best team in the country most of the year and even at the end but got the wrong matchup. As we noted in this blog, our bracket based on the more experienced is in the 99th percentile.

 The system actually picked Alabama to make the Final Four next year rather than this year. Even though they will lose Brandon Moore to the NBA - an offseason in the weight room prevents other freshmen from being pushed around by a more muscular team like San Diego STate.

We do also opt for teams with incredible player - and noone has bigger names than the 21 SEC teams in the game. From Charles Barkley to Pistol Pete Maravich, Dominique Wilkins, Dan Issel, Sidney Moncrief and Dan Issel, even some of the lower seeds put exciting players on the court.

The way the bracket is set up, if Charles Barkley can lead 1984 Auburn past the 1973 South Carolina team - then I am assuming he would trash talk Anthony Davis and our top all-time seed Kentucky 2012. I was at the only game Davis lost in college, on an incredible shot at Indiana, but that team is loaded. 

Alabama 2023 gets a bye then faces the fast Missouri 1982 team. Auburn's 2019 Final Four team faces South Carolina's 2017 team in a battle of surprise Final Four teams. But the team with more NBA talent than any others (Kentucky 27, Duke 22) will always be the team to beat in SEC basketball.



The following are the cards for our top seed Kentucky 2012. We would have Kentucky 1996 as our second seed, but if we did it would set up possible second round matchups of Arkansas 1978 vs. Arkansas 1994, and Kentucky 1996 vs Kentucky 1979, so we flipped the two and three seeds to avoid that.


Seed. SEC Teams, Best Player Card, Did they win title?

1. Kentucky - 2012 - Anthony Davis. Champs

2. Kentucky - 1996 - Antoine Walker. Champs

3. Arkansas - 1994 - Corliss Williamson. Champs

4. Florida - 2006 - Joakim Noah. Champs

5. Kentucky - 1948 - Alex Groza. Champs

6. Auburn - 2019 - Chuma Okeke.

7. Alabama - 2023 - Brandon Miller.

8. LSU - 1992 - Shaquille O'Neal.

9. Tennessee - 2023 - Santiago Vescovi.

10. Missouri - 1982 - Steve Stipanovich.

11. South Carolina - 2017 - Sindarius Thornwell.

12. Arkansas - 2022 - JD Notae.

13. Tennessee - 1977 - Bernard King.

14. LSU - 2006 - Glen Davis.

15. Alabama - 1977 - Reggie King.

16. South Carolina - 1973 - Mike Dunleavy.

17. Auburn - 1984 - Charles Barkley.

18. Kentucky - 1970 - Dan Issel.

19. Arkansas - 1978 - Sidney Moncrief.

20. Georgia - 1982 - Dominique Wilkins.

21. LSU - 1970 - Pete Maravich.

We include a bracket, player cards and a summary for all conferences with at least eight all-time great teams in the game, or for any other team not in one of those eight conferences click on this "Mid-Major" bracket to see where they are in that bracket. Click for the ACCAtlantic 10American AthleticBig 10, Big 12, Big EastPac-12 or SEC, or back to this master list of all teams here or the game itself with the playing cards at our All-Time Value Add Basketball Game. 

To go straight to the player cards for the team you want, click on the alphabetic list by team and scroll to find the player cards for your team:

List A - Alabama 1977 to Georgia Tech 2004



Sunday, November 27, 2022

Resuming with All-Time Great Basketball Teams

With ABC featuring a top 25 match-up of Duke vs. Purdue to compete with the NFL Sunday afternoon, we turned to a couple of All-Time Top 10 Duke team in the Value Add Basketball Game. We are focused on trying teams who have only played one or two games to see if they move up or down in our All-Time standings (click for game log and ratings). 

In the table of upcoming games below, a red line indicates the game has been played and the team lost (e.g. Cincy lost to Ohio State), and green means the team won. A bolded game means an All-Time Top 25 match-up, while italics means a top 50 all-time match-up from the 135 all-time great basketball teams.

Four Top 10 teams that we felt needed to justify their rankings because they had fewer than 3 games were; then #10 Cincinnati that was replaced by Ohio State 1960 after losing to them; #9 Duke 1992 that fell out of the Top 10 with an OT loss to UConn 2004; #3 Kentucky 2006 that will face an SEC test against #35 Arkansas 1994; #4 Duke 2001 that will be tested by #16 UNLV 1991; 

We were sidetracked from resuming the basketball games this week due to some great improvements from a user to the all-time great Statis-Pro Baseball teams (click on instructions to the game as well as great new sheets of pitchers and batters for those 60 all-time great teams.

Red equals team lost game - Green equals teams won game - Black equals not yet played

Team                      Year     Player You Might Know   Opponent           Opp Yr
#35 Arkansas1994Corliss Williamson#67 LSU1992
#35 Arkansas1994Corliss Williamson#3 Kentucky2006
#21 Cincinnati1960Oscar Robertson#10 Ohio St.1960
#30 Connecticut1999Richard Hamilton#56 San Francisco1956
#19 Connecticut2004Ben Gordon#9 Duke1992
#71 Dayton2020Obi Toppin#64 Purdue1969
#9 Duke1992Christian Laettner#30 Connecticut1999
#4 Duke2001Shane Battier#16 UNLV1991
#91 Georgia Tech1990Dennis Scott#64 Purdue1969
#48 Indiana1981Isaiah Thomas#40 Iowa2021
#40 Iowa2021Luka Garza#48 Indiana1981
#40 Iowa2021Luka Garza#70 Kansas1957
#59 Jacksonville1970Artis Gilmore#56 San Francisco1956
#70 Kansas1957Wilt Chamberlain#40 Iowa2021
#3 Kentucky1996Antoine Walker#35 Arkansas1994
#51 Loyola-Chicago1963Jerry Harkness#47 Michigan1989
#51 Loyola-Chicago1963Jerry Harkness#75 St. John's1985
#67 LSU1992Shaquille O'Neal#35 Arkansas1994
#67 LSU1992Shaquille O'Neal#72 Marquette1971
#72 Marquette1971Jim Chones#67 LSU1992
#106 Marquette2011Jimmy Butler#75 St. John's1985
#47 Michigan1989Glen Rice#10 Ohio St.1960
#47 Michigan1989Glen Rice#51 Loyola-Chicago1963
#10 Ohio St.1960Jerry Lucas#21 Cincinnati1960
#10 Ohio St.1960Jerry Lucas#47 Michigan1989
#64 Purdue1969Rick Mount#71 Dayton2020
#64 Purdue1969Rick Mount#91 Georgia Tech1990
#56 San Francisco1956Bill Russell#30 Connecticut1999
#56 San Francisco1956Bill Russell#59 Jacksonville1956
#75 St. John's1985Chris Mullin#106 Marquette2011
#75 St. John's1985Chris Mullin#51 Loyola-Chicago1963
#16 UNLV1991Larry Johnson#4 Duke2001

Sunday, November 20, 2022

College Hoops 6th Best Conference History - SEC

 We posted out of order, but the 6th best conference in college basketball history is the SEC. This is based on the top six teams in the Value Add Basketball Game going 20-8 with a rating of 4.1.

The conference has been dominated by Kentucky, and the 1996 "Untouchable" Kentucky squad with nine future NBA players is the truly dominant team in the rankings. The 2012 Kentucky team is 4-2 against other great teams, but certainly have potential to be one of the top few teams. 

Beyond Kentucky, the 2019 Auburn team is 8-1 in the game and in real life seemed to have the national championship team if not for the injury to their top player Chuma Okeke before the Final Four during their route of Kentucky. Arkansas' 40 minutes of hell, and Florida's team that won the first of two titles in 2006 when the school was also taking the national football title with Tim Tebow.

Many of the greatest players of all time came out of the SEC and have teams in the game, including - Anthony Davis, Shaq, Bernard King, Charles Barkley, Sidney Moncrief, Dan Issel, Dominique Wilkins, Pete Maravich and Antoine Walker. 

RnkGreat TeamYearKey PlayerWLPtsAllowRate
 Top 6 SEC  20872.969.84.1
1Kentucky 1996Antoine Walker1172.571.013.3
2Auburn2019Chuma Okeke8171.065.34.2
3Kentucky2012Anthony Davis4272.265.73.7
4Arkansas1994Corliss Williamson0178.079.02.8
5Missouri1982Steve Stipanovich2069.565.51.5
6Florida2006Joakim Noah5374.472.0-0.7
7LSU1992Shaquille O'Neal0185.088.0-1.2
8South Carolina2017Sindarius Thornwell1265.365.7-3.4
9Kentucky1948Alex Groza1171.081.5-3.8
10Tennessee1977Bernard King1176.083.0-5.7
11LSU2006Glen Davis1266.375.0-6.4
12Alabama1977Reggie King0170.071.0-6.6
13South Carolina1973Mike Dunleavy0166.072.0-8.2
14Auburn1984Charles Barkley1171.577.0-8.3
15Kentucky1970Dan Issel01116.0138.0-8.6
16Arkansas1978Sidney Moncrief0158.079.0-9.6
17Georgia1982Dominique Wilkins1170.078.0-9.7
18LSU1970Pete Maravich0166.067.0-13.0

We invented the Value Add Basketball Game, and since then have grown it to to 135 teams of all-time great teams and players. We have played 188 games to date, and 63,000 unique visitors have clicked on the game. 

Seven current conferences have at least six all-time great teams in the game. We decided to rank those conferences based on the average rating of their top six teams so far in our games against other teams.

Click on the game to play yourself - it contains everything you need to play the Value Add Basketball game, which lets you pit any of 136 great all-time college teams against each other. To pick your two teams it is best to click on this Google doc and print the pages of the teams you want (each team is one page). I track my games on this google sheet, but play your own for free!

Saturday, November 19, 2022

34-2 Kentucky (1996) 81, 37-2 Gonzaga (2017) 75

 The "untouchable" 1996 Kentucky team featuring nine future NBA players led by no more than 1 point throughout the second half until pulling away the final 7 minutes.

Nigel Williams-Goss (18 points, 3 steals) kept the Zags in front until the final stretch, but Kentucky dominated the boards 40-28 in the win.

The Zags last lead was 62-61 with 7:40 to play. Antoine Walker (13 points, 14 rebounds) the grabbed 4 offensive rebounds in the next three trips and passed to Tony Delk (12 points, 5 rebounds) who scored and was fouled to make it 67-64 Kentucky. Walter McCarty added a team high 16 points for Kentucky in the 81-75 win. 

The 6-point margin was the same margin the Zags lost the national title by in 2017 to UNC to cap a 37-2 mark. Kentucky went 16-0 in the sec and 34-2 in the 1996 season and beat Syracuse for the title.

We notices a few things in dusting off the game after the baseball season.

I printed out the drop box version of the cards this time instead of the normal Google docs cards to double check.

The Google docs player cards are the most accurate as one of the Dunk ranges on the drop box version are slightly off. Kentucky's 51-66 dunk range is the accurate one and you can see I wrote that on the cards.

Also this revealed the drop box print was cutting off the outside margins, so I had to look on the screen and write in the foul range and shooting ranges for all players.

Also I usually use coins to keep track of who is in the game, but this time just wrote in who got the ball on the rolls of 1-8, then crossed off those numbers when a new player came into the game. If you follow our suggested rotations at the bottom of the cards, the final stretch of the game is played using the top row of 5 players unless someone fouls out or you want to change strategy to bring in someone better at 3-point shots or steals.

Finally, if you follow the chart in the game Kentucky's dunk range calculated to a 51-66 and Gonzaga to a 51-56 once cross referencing with the opposing defenses dunk adjustment. The average in a game is 51-53, and at the start of a game you can choose to adjust both teams by the same amount - and we chose to lower them both by 3 to make it 61-63 and 51-53.

Click on the game to play yourself - it contains everything you need to play the Value Add Basketball game, which lets you pit any of 136 great all-time college teams against each other. To pick your two teams it is best to click on this Google doc and print the pages of the teams you want (each team is one page).


If you do not use Google docs, you can instead pull up this pdf in drop box, but if you do that or if you printed cards previously you should check to see if a team's dunk range was adjusted by pulling up this chart




The Value Add Basketball Game is our most popular blog by far on www. pudnersports.com with more than 62,000 unique visitors. We have two separate sets of Statis-Pro Baseball Instructions, which have been viewed by more than 20,000 total. Here are the top 10 according to blogger.




Wednesday, February 16, 2022

Top Shooting Guards in College Basketball This Season

 In Value Add Basketball we consider the team's "shooting guard" the player who behind only the team's point guard in assists, but compared to the other three players on the court typically has fewer defensive rebounds, blocked shots and less height. A great center or power forward will typically have even better raw numbers than a great point guard, because the guards typically need to get the ball to a power forward or center close to the basket for a closer shot.  (for a summary of the top players at each position, click here).

Because www.valueaddbasketball.com calculates how many points per game a player improves his team compared to if a typical replacement player took his place, the raw value add is adjusted by position since the replacement player would be at the same position. Therefore, once the formulas are run, and shooting guard's raw value add is increased by multiplying it by 1.10 to get the result you see below and at www.valueaddbasketball.com.

In general, freshmen guards in particular make so many mistakes (turnovers, bad shots etc.) the first half of the season that they do not rank nearly as high as more experienced guards. However, they tend to improve more at the end of the season, so we watch for breakout freshmen first when looking at brackets. Therefore we start with the 10 most valuable freshmen shooting guards in college basketball, starting with the best freshman shooting guard TyTy Washington of Kentucky. His value add of 6.34 indicates there is a better than 50/50 chance Kentucky would have LOST any game that they won by fewer than seven points. 

In his case, he improves the Kentucky's offense by 4.90 points per game, while his defensive rating of -1.44 indicates he takes three to four points more away from the opposing team then a typical replacement shooting guard. Here are the most valuable 10 freshmen power forwards through games of February 15. Arizona's Dalen Terry is one of three Arizona players we would name to our All-American freshmen team - and his defense of -2.35 is by far the best for any shooting guard.

RnkTop Freshmen SGTeamVA5ConfHtTextCl
15TyTy Washington #3Kentucky6.34SEC6'3"Fr
20Dalen Terry #4Arizona5.65P126'7"Fr
38Trevor Keels #1Duke4.72ACC6'4"Fr
50Terquavion Smith #0N.C. State4.35ACC6'4"Fr
60Steele Venters #2Eastern Washington4.18BSky6'7"Fr
62Reyne Smith #2Charleston4.06CAA6'2"Fr
65Nate Heise #0Northern Iowa4.02MVC6'4"Fr
67Malaki Branham #22Ohio St.4B106'5"Fr
71Brandon Murray #0LSU3.95SEC6'5"Fr
73JD Davison #3Alabama3.91SEC6'3"Fr

Top overall SG

One reason we love running these numbers is to find truly elite players who will not be noticed because their team either does not get enough TV coverage or is just not winning enough games to draw attention. The biggest case this year comes from teh 13-10 Washington in the Pac-12. We calculte that Washington would be 4-19 instead of 13-10 if Terrell Brown were not on the team, and for us that makes him the truly deserving 1st team All-American shooting guard who will not get any voters for it.

The race for 2nd and 3rd team All-American shooting buard is much closer.  TyTy Washington should be considered because it is truly unusual for a freshman guard to be anywhere near this high - but K-State, St. John's, BYU, Tennessee and the player who may have improved his team the most this year from last year - Alondes Williams of Wake Forest.
 
RnkTop Shooting Guards (2)TeamVA5ConfHtTextCl
1Terrell Brown #23Washington10.42P126'3"Sr
2Nijel Pack #24Kansas St.9.39B126'0So
3Posh Alexander #0St. John's8.8BE6'0So
4Alex Barcello #13BYU8.69WCC6'2"Sr
5Santiago Vescovi #25Tennessee8.65SEC6'3"Jr
6Alondes Williams #31Wake Forest8.15ACC6'5"Sr
7Garrett Sturtz #3Drake7.66MVC6'3"Sr
8Justin Moore #5Villanova7.53BE6'4"Jr
9Jaden Ivey #23Purdue7.05B106'4"So
10Brad Davison #34Wisconsin6.97B106'4"Sr
11Ryan Rollins #5Toledo6.72MAC6'4"So
12JD Notae #1Arkansas6.66SEC6'2"Sr
13Jaden Shackelford #5Alabama6.63SEC6'3"Jr
14Josh Jefferson #11Middle Tennessee6.39CUSA6'2"Sr
15TyTy Washington #3Kentucky6.34SEC6'3"Fr
16Eli Brooks #55Michigan6.17B106'1"Sr
17Umoja Gibson #2Oklahoma6B126'1"Sr
18Alfonso Plummer #11Illinois5.73B106'1"Sr
19Hunter Cattoor #0Virginia Tech5.71ACC6'3"Jr
20Dalen Terry #4Arizona5.65P126'7"Fr
21Reece Beekman #2Virginia5.62ACC6'3"So
22Buddy Boeheim #35Syracuse5.56ACC6'6"Sr
23Adam Flagler #10Baylor5.5B126'3"Jr
24Michael Jones #13Davidson5.49A106'5"Jr
25Grayson Murphy #2Belmont5.46OVC6'3"Sr
26Amorie Archibald #3Louisiana Tech5.41CUSA6'3"Sr
27Gibson Jimerson #24Saint Louis5.4A106'5"Fr
28Mason Archambault #11South Dakota5.25Sum6'0Sr
29Sean McNeil #22West Virginia5.23B126'3"Sr
30Rasir Bolton #45Gonzaga5.11WCC6'3"Sr
31Jabari Rice #10New Mexico St.5.05WAC6'4"Jr
32D'Moi Hodge #55Cleveland St.5.03Horz6'4"Sr
33Spencer Jones #14Stanford4.96P126'7"Jr
34James Reese V #0South Carolina4.93SEC6'4"Sr
35Rudi Williams #3Coastal Carolina4.92SB6'2"Sr
36Desmond Cambridge #4Nevada4.88MWC6'4"Sr
37Cameron Tyson #5Seattle4.87WAC6'2"So
38Trevor Keels #1Duke4.72ACC6'4"Fr
39Davion Warren #2Texas Tech4.7B126'6"Sr
40CJ Fleming #25Bellarmine4.7ASun6'0Sr
41Joe Bryant #4Norfolk St.4.62MEAC6'1"Sr
42Logan Johnson #0Saint Mary's4.54WCC6'2"Sr
43Demaree King #1Jacksonville St.4.52ASun6'0Jr
44Caleb Grill #2Iowa St.4.42B126'3"Jr
45Courtney Ramey #3Texas4.41B126'3"Sr
46Alex Hunter #10Furman4.41SC5'11"Sr
47Isaiah Wong #2Miami FL4.4ACC6'3"So
48Michael Forrest #11Florida Atlantic4.37CUSA6'1"Jr
49Tyler Harris #14Memphis4.36Amer5'9"Sr
50Terquavion Smith #0N.C. State4.35ACC6'4"Fr

Top College Basketball Centers this Season

In Value Add Basketball we consider the teams "center" the player who has some combination of the most defensive rebounds, blocked shots and height, but typically the fewest assists and steals. A great center will typically have even better raw numbers than a great point guard, because the guards typically need to get the ball to the center close to the basket for a closer shot - even though not nearly as many centers play with their "back to the basket" like they did for most of the history of basketball.  (for a summary of the top players at each position, click here).

Because www.valueaddbasketball.com calculates how many points per game a player improves his team compared to if a typical replacement player took his place, the raw value add is adjusted by position since the replacement player would be at the same position. Therefore, once the formulas are run, and centers raw value add is lowered by multiplying it by 0.9 to get the result you see below and at www.valueaddbasketball.com.

Top 10 most valuable centers are listed below. in general freshmen make so many mistakes (turnovers, bad shots etc.) the first half of the season that they do not rank nearly as high as more experienced players. However, they tend to improve more at the end of the season, so we watch for breakout freshmen first when looking at brackets. Therefore we start with the 10 most valuable freshmen centers in college basketball, starting with the Zags Chet Holmgrem who improves Gonzaga by 8.52 points per game - meaning there is a better than 50/50 chance the Zags would have LOST any game that they won by fewer than eight points.

In his case, he improves the Zags' offense by 5.04 points per game, while his defensive rating of -3.48 indicates he takes three to four points more away from the opposing team then a typical replacement center. Here are the most valuable 10 freshmen centers through games of February 15.
 
RnkTop Freshmen CentersTeamVA5ConfHtTextCl
5Chet Holmgren #34Gonzaga8.52WCC7'0Fr
8Norchad Omier #15Arkansas St.7.79SB6'7"Fr
12Kenneth Lofton #2Louisiana Tech7.03CUSA6'7"Fr
18Johni Broome #4Morehead St.6.68OVC6'10"Fr
34DaRon Holmes #15Dayton5.84A106'10"Fr
57Fousseyni Traore #45BYU4.91WCC6'6"Fr
80Jalen Duren #2Memphis4.27Amer6'11"Fr
95Charles Bediako #10Alabama3.92SEC7'0Fr
111Eddie Lampkin #4TCU3.67B126'11"Fr
112Oso Ighodaro #13Marquette3.65BE6'9"Fr

Top 50 Centers Overall

In true value, our calculations indicate the 1st Team All-American so far should come from Kentucky, and Holgrem is in a tight races for the 2nd Team All-American center with stars from Indiana, Auburn and UNC.
 
RnkTop Centers (5)TeamVA5ConfHtTextCl
1Oscar Tshiebwe #34Kentucky11.14SEC6'9"Jr
2Trayce Jackson-Davis #23Indiana8.94B106'9"So
3Walker Kessler #13Auburn8.66SEC7'1"So
4Armando Bacot #5North Carolina8.6ACC6'10"Jr
5Chet Holmgren #34Gonzaga8.52WCC7'0Fr
6Orlando Robinson #10Fresno St.8.4MWC7'0Jr
7Hunter Dickinson #1Michigan7.89B107'1"So
8Norchad Omier #15Arkansas St.7.79SB6'7"Fr
9Jack Nunge #24Xavier7.61BE7'0Jr
10KJ Williams #0Murray St.7.27OVC6'10"Jr
11Kofi Cockburn #21Illinois7.22B107'0Jr
12Kenneth Lofton #2Louisiana Tech7.03CUSA6'7"Fr
13Mark Williams #15Duke6.96ACC7'0So
14Christian Koloko #35Arizona6.93P127'1"So
15Jake Stephens #34VMI6.88SC6'11"Sr
16Isaiah Whaley #5Connecticut6.72BE6'9"Sr
17Keve Aluma #22Virginia Tech6.71ACC6'9"Sr
18Johni Broome #4Morehead St.6.68OVC6'10"Fr
19Osun Osunniyi #21St. Bonaventure6.65A106'10"Sr
20JT Shumate #32Toledo6.56MAC6'7"Jr
21Gaige Prim #44Missouri St.6.48MVC6'9"Sr
22Javon Franklin #13South Alabama6.47SB6'7"Sr
23Yauhen Massalski #25San Francisco6.46WCC6'9"Sr
24Ryan Kalkbrenner #11Creighton6.45BE7'1"So
25Zach Edey #15Purdue6.45B107'4"So
26Matthias Tass #11Saint Mary's6.44WCC6'10"Sr
27Jamal Cain #1Oakland6.42Horz6'7"Sr
28Isaiah Mobley #3USC6.39P126'10"Jr
29Trevion Williams #50Purdue6.28B106'10"Sr
30Drew Pember #4UNC Asheville6.13BSth6'10"Jr
31Darius Days #4LSU6.07SEC6'7"Sr
32Jaylin Williams #10Arkansas6.05SEC6'10"So
33Jalen Slawson #20Furman5.86SC6'7"Sr
34DaRon Holmes #15Dayton5.84A106'10"Fr
35Bryson Williams #11Texas Tech5.8B126'8"Sr
36Jesse Edwards #14Syracuse5.79ACC6'11"Jr
37Eric Dixon #43Villanova5.76BE6'8"So
38Andre Kelly #22California5.72P126'9"Sr
39Graham Ike #33Wyoming5.7MWC6'9"So
40Luka Brajkovic #35Davidson5.61A106'10"Sr
41Felipe Haase #22Mercer5.52SC6'9"Sr
42John Harrar #21Penn St.5.48B106'9"Sr
43Nick Muszynski #33Belmont5.44OVC6'11"Sr
44Jonathan Tchamwa Tchatchoua #23Baylor5.36B126'8"Jr
45Enrique Freeman #25Akron5.35MAC6'7"So
46Pete Nance #22Northwestern5.32B106'10"Sr
47Nate Watson #0Providence5.28BE6'10"Sr
48Josh Carlton #25Houston5.25Amer6'11"Sr
49Tanner Groves #35Oklahoma5.22B126'10"Sr
50Myles Johnson #15UCLA5.16P126'10"Sr

Sunday, January 30, 2022

Kentucky Star Tops Updated Hoops Top 25 Players

Not just Kentucky hype - Oscar Tshiebewe is BY FAR the most valuable player in college basketball after the Wildcats destroyed Kansas this weekend. Below this tweet is the email that went to almost all Athletic Departments the morning of January 31 outlining the numbers and then listing the rest of the top 25. Another piece on the www.valueaddbasketball.com ratings appeared on this CBS site.



We ran the updated calculations for college basketball players prior to the 1st kick-off of the two incredible Conference playoff games resulting in a Rams-Bengals Super Bowl.

(Note, if you want updates on John Pudner's non-sports organization simply click on www.takebackaction.org to sign up.)

You can click on the image below or www.valueaddbasketball.com to pull up the ratings for all 4,281 Division 1 college players, or simply sort by conference, team or player as shown in the image.

Click here for our posts on all 32 all-conference teams, or on this CBS/247 site for more information.

You can look up the following numbers for all players, but we will use the top-rated player for the explanation of what each number means.

Oscar Tshiebwe's 17 point, 14 rebound, 4 steal performance in Kentucky's dominant win at Kansas followed his 21,22,3 performance in the same categories against Mississippi State to move into the clear lead in the Value Add Basketball Player of the Year calculations.

The system calculates a players points above replacement in the same way www.kenpom.com calculates the offensive and defensive and overall ratings for college basketball teams.

Tshiebwe improves Kentucky by +6.94 on offense (same as a 106.94 team rating at www.kenpom.com) and takes -4.33 away from the Wildcats opponents on defense (same as a 95.67 for teams in www.kenpom.com as 4.33 less than 100).

The offense of 6.94 and defense of -4.33 adds up to a total 11.27 Value Add, the same as a +11.27 overall team rating for www.kenpom.com.

The Notes field includes information on the most common position played, and the weighting on that position to make the measurement a true measure of points above replacement at his position.

For example, Tshiebwe actually calculates with an even higher points above average replacement, but because most centers calculate higher than players at other possessions, his 11.27 rating was lowered from the non-position specific calculation.

Sunday, January 23, 2022

Gathers Heart Attack after Alley-Oop Dunk; Could Highest Scoring Team Ever Have Won it All?

The North Carolina 1998 now has a +4.8 simulated KenPom rating to place 28th of the 136 great teams in the Value Add Basketball Game after clinging onto a 104-101 win against the highest scoring team in history - Loyola Marymount.

That was an outstanding defensive performance, believe it or not, as Loyola averaged the all-time record 122.4 points per game for the 1989-90 season behind All-Americans Bo Kimble and Hank Gathers. Loyola fans will never know if this team could have gone all the way because after completing an alley-oop dunk near the end of the season Gathers (who was only the 2nd player to lead the nation in both scoring and rebounding the year before) collapsed and died of a heart attack. The team still made the Elite 8 even without him before finally losing to No.2 UNLV.

In our game at full strength they had already defeated Dan Issel's Kentucky (1970) by a score of 138-116 to make this second round, but fell just short. Their rating of +2.0 means they are rated as 2 points better than the average great team in this game (which means about 22 points better than an average team), which ranks them 45th of our 136 great teams in the game.

Here are the updated ratings for all teams, along with how tough their average opponents was, and their average score. The following are the 13 teams still left in the current tournament we are playing and their overall rank from Duke 2001 as the 5th ranked team to Kentucky 1948 as the 78th ranked team. Below that are all 136 teams with those 13 teams bolded.

1.       Duke 2001 – 5th

2.       UCLA 1967 – 15th

3.       Baylor 2021 – 17th

4.       Kansas 1997 – 20th

5.       North Carolina – 28th

6.       Indiana 1981 – 29th

7.       Houston 1983 – 35th

8.       Michigan State 2000 – 41st

9.       Jacksonville 1970 – 47th

10.   DePaul 1980 – 59th

11.   Maryland 1984 – 70th

12.   Holy Cross 1950 – 77th

13.   Kentucky 1948 – 78th

 
RnkTeam-Year-Player you might knowWonLostKenPomSoSScoreAllow
1Kansas - 2008 - Mario Chalmers5121.3-7.07556
2UCLA - 1972 - Bill Walton6014.5-3.07262
3North Carolina - 2005 - Sean May4213.85.57363
4Virginia - 2019 - Kyle Guy4112.62.07365
5Duke - 2001 - Shane Battier10127.58069
6Indiana - 1976 - Scott May3111.86.07160
7North Carolina - 1982 - Michael Jordan5111.22.06965
8Houston - 1968 - Elvin Hayes3111.2-3.77364
9Gonzaga - 2017 - Nigel Williams-Goss3210.4-6.06959
10Connecticut - 2004 - Ben Gordon4210.3-6.07464
11Duke - 2010 - Jon Scheyer529.6-4.07467
12Villanova - 2018 - Mikal Bridges629.31.37670
13Purdue - 2018 - Carsen Edwards519.21.07269
14Louisville - 2013 - Russ Smith218.2-6.07466
15UCLA - 1967 - Lew Alcindor108.2-7.08583
16Kentucky - 1996 - Antoine Walker017.62.56467
17Baylor - 2021 - Jared Butler107.41.09168
18Auburn - 2019 - Chuma Okeke8175.07165
19Cincinnati - 1960 - Oscar Robertson1163.57074
20Kansas - 1997 - Paul Pierce105.6-0.58468
21Michigan St. - 2009 - Draymond Green625.5-5.07270
22Duke - 1992 - Christian Laettner115.4-1.37265
23Oregon - 2017 - Dillon Brooks325.2-2.06968
24NC State - 1989 - David Thompson105.22.78180
25Michigan St. - 1979 - Magic Johnson2151.07063
26NC State - 1974 - David Thompson115-4.06869
27UNLV - 1991 - Larry Johnson115-1.07776
28North Carolina - 1998 - Vince Carter204.88.08884
29Indiana - 1981 - Isaiah Thomas104.80.58264
30Illinois - 2005 - Deron Williams324.6-11.07270
31Wake Forest - 1996 - Tim Duncan214.6-2.06665
32Michigan - 1989 - Glen Rice014.63.06970
33Memphis - 2008 - Derrick Rose424.51.06966
34Oklahoma - 1985 - Wayman Tisdale314.20.07574
35Houston - 1983 - Hakeem Olajuwon1043.07964
36Iowa - 2021 - Luka Garza104-2.08869
37Syracuse - 2003 - Carmelo Anthony213.6-9.07674
38Kentucky - 2012 - Anthony Davis423.52.27266
39Michigan - 1965 - Cazzie Russell113.4-2.08172
40Wisconsin - 2015 - Frank Kaminsky2235.36563
41Michigan St. - 2000 - Mateen Cleaves102.65.0108104
42Connecticut - 1999 - Richard Hamilton012.4-1.06064
43Ohio St. - 1960 - Jerry Lucas012.23.07879
44Missouri - 1982 - Steve Stipanovich202.2-1.07066
45Loyola Marymount - 1990 - Bo Kimble1120.0120110
46Arizona - 2015 - Stanley Johnson311.82.77571
47Jacksonville - 1970 - Artis Gilmore101.61.08976
48USC - 2021 - Evan Mobley101.6-1.07767
49Georgetown - 1984 - Patrick Ewing211.42.06765
50Michigan - 2013 - Trey Burke231.21.57170
51Arkansas - 1994 - Corliss Williamson011.20.37879
52Colorado - 2021 - McKinley Wright101-1.08682
53Syracuse - 1987 - Rony Seikaly210.82.07269
54UTEP (Texas Western) - 1966 - Bobby Joe Hill210.83.06466
55Texas Tech - 2019 - Jarrett Culver320.6-2.56667
56Cincinnati - 2002 - Jason Maxiell220.62.77372
57Seton Hall - 1989 - John Morton110.6-3.07878
58Loyola-Chicago - 1963 - Jerry Harkness010.6-1.06268
59DePaul - 1980 - Mark Aguirre100.4-8.08264
61Illinois - 1989 - Nick Anderson0102.08286
60Dayton - 2020 - Obi Toppin1001.58782
62Arizona - 1997 - Mike Bibby21-0.60.56971
63Purdue - 1969 - Rick Mount01-0.82.08687
64Duke - 1986 - Johnny Dawkins01-13.8106108
65Marquette - 2003 - Dwyane Wade22-1.40.07374
66Marquette - 1971 - Jim Chones11-1.43.06869
67Georgetown - 2007 - Roy Hibbert12-1.67.07775
68Pittsburgh - 2009 - DeJuan Blair13-1.80.76062
69Kansas - 1957 - Wilt Chamberlain11-1.81.06874
70Maryland - 1984 - Len Bias10-2-5.07464
71Marquette - 1977 - Butch Lee11-2.63.36662
72San Diego St. - 2011 - Kawhi Leonard22-2.81.06972
73LSU - 1992 - Shaquille O'Neal01-2.81.08588
74St. John's - 1985 - Chris Mullin01-2.81.87576
75Creighton - 2020 - Ty-Shon Alexander11-311.07777
76Kansas St. - 2008 - Michael Beasley11-3-1.07576
77Holy Cross - 1950 - Bob Cousy10-34.0108106
79San Francisco - 1956 - Bill Russell01-3.20.06774
78Kentucky - 1948 - Alex Groza10-3.27.78885
80UNLV - 1987 - Armen Gilliam01-3.45.06482
81South Carolina - 2017 - Sindarius Thornwell12-3.60.36566
82Ohio St. - 2007 - Greg Oden24-4-1.06972
83Florida - 2006 - Joakim Noah33-4.2-2.07271
84Oklahoma St. - 2004 - John Lucas13-52.86971
85Iowa - 2002 - Reggie Evans12-5-5.07175
86St. Bonaventure - 1970 - Bob Lanier01-52.06474
87Georgia Tech - 2004 - Jarrett Jack24-5.2-7.06169
88Davidson - 2008 - Stephen Curry13-5.2-16.06467
89DePaul - 1945 - George Mikan01-5.21.05155
90Virginia - 1981 - Ralph Sampson01-5.4-0.36172
91Indiana - 2002 - Jared Jeffries13-5.6-2.06773
92Tennessee - 1977 - Bernard King11-5.67.07683
93California - 1959 - Jack Grout01-5.81.86971
94St. Joe's - 2004 - Jameer Nelson12-6-2.06876
95Seattle - 1958 - Elgin Baylor01-6.21.46264
96Utah - 1998 - Andre Miller01-6.20.06979
97Oklahoma - 2016 - Buddy Hield13-6.41.06067
98Texas - 2003 - T.J. Ford12-6.62.06976
99Wichita St. - 2013 - Fred VanVleet12-6.62.76471
100Alabama - 1977 - Reggie King01-6.60.37071
101West Virginia - 2010 - Kevin Jones13-6.8-15.07076
102Georgia Tech - 1990 - Dennis Scott01-6.82.86482
103UCLA - 2006 - Jordan Farmar23-70.06672
104Marquette - 2011 - Jimmy Butler01-7-4.08287
105Kansas - 1988 - Danny Manning01-7.62.05867
106LSU - 2006 - Glen Davis12-7.8-0.76675
107Indiana St. - 1979 - Larry Bird01-7.8-5.06976
108Maryland - 2002 - Juan Dixon13-8.20.86776
109Notre Dame - 1970 - Austin Carr11-8.2-2.06777
110La Salle - 1954 - Tom Gola01-8.24.06776
111Oklahoma St. - 1946 - Bob Kurland01-8.2-3.08082
112South Carolina - 1973 - Mike Dunleavy01-8.2-2.06672
113Wyoming - 1943 - Ken Sailors01-8.27.06073
114Auburn - 1984 - Charles Barkley11-8.42.37277
115West Virginia - 1959 - Jerry West01-8.42.06869
116Brigham Young - 1981 - Danny Ainge01-8.60.26777
117Kentucky - 1970 - Dan Issel01-8.6-1.0116138
118North Carolina - 1957 - Lennie Rosenbluth01-8.6-5.07689
119Navy - 1986 - David Robinson01-91.76177
120Villanova - 1985 - Ed Pinckney01-9.25.06572
121Georgia - 1982 - Dominique Wilkins11-9.61.07078
122Arkansas - 1978 - Sidney Monfrief01-9.6-3.05879
123Arizona St. - 1980 - Byron Scott01-103.46479
124Louisville - 1980 - Darrell Griffith01-10.4-5.05282
125Notre Dame - 1981 - Orlando Woolridge01-10.42.36891
126George Mason - 2006 - Jai Lewis03-10.62.25967
127Dayton - 1967 - Don May01-112.86988
128Creighton - 2014 - Doug McDermott03-12.8-1.66680
129Wake Forest - 2005 - Chris Paul03-135.36485
130LSU - 1970 - Pete Maravich01-134.56667
131Princeton - 1965 - Bill Bradley01-132.76279
132VCU - 2011 - Bradford Burgess03-13.84.06071
133Loyola-Chicago - 2018 - Cameron Krutwig03-14.6-5.05975
134Miami FL - 1965 - Rick Berry01-14.65.0104108
135Butler - 2010 - Gordon Hayward03-15.81.15576
136Niagara - 1970 - Calvin Murphy01-16.6-0.56884