Thursday, November 23, 2023

Last Statis-Pro World Series Finale So Similar to Real World Series

Sometimes our actual jobs get in the way and we just don't have time for board games, but we finally did finish up the Statis-Pro World Series.

In the actual World Series the Texas Rangers tied the Houston Astros in the regular season atop the AL West standings, but lost the tie-breaker for a bye, then beat them in a 7-game AL Championships and then won World Series. In the Statis-Pro season it was the Astros who took the AL and then won the World Series in a come-from-behind Game 7 (see below).

In the actual NL the Arizona Diamondbacks beat out the Chicago Cubs by one game for the last wildcard spot, then went all the way to the World Series. What might have been if the Cubs had won one more game, as in Statis-Pro they made the surprise run from wild card to the World Series before losing to the Astros. The box score of Game 7 is below.

Since going to the 6-team league playoff format the last two years, the average World Series contender has gotten there despite winning only 0.566 percent of their games. Our joke now is that the Statis-Pro World Series is more accurate than the real World Series because the top teams do not suffer from "rust" while waiting for the 3-game wild card series before they can get back on the field.

As the chart shows at the bottom of this blog, the average Statis-Pro World Series participant has had a 0.602 winning percentage in the actual MLB season in which they made the Statis-Pro World Series, and those teams have also had a 0.587 winning percentage the season before - important because the Statis-Pro rosters are the same as the current MLB roster, but the cards are derived from stats either completely or mostly based on the previous season stats.

In other words, Statis-Pro is more likely to produce a better regular season champion than the actual current MLB Playoff system where the four best teams have to wait several days between games.

Here is the decisive Game 7, followed by a list of our Statis-Pro World Series matchups over the years:

As in most games in this Statis-Pro World Series, the Cubs jumped on top. Patrick Wisdom launched a solo home run and then two batters later Ian Happ smacked a 2-run homer.

Chicago took another 3-0 lead.  

At a time in which small ball is returning due to the bases being closer together to enable more advancing on the bases, a sacrifice fly RBI (Altuve) and an RBI groundout (Tucker) helped the Astros fight back to within 3-2 after six innings.

Next, it was time for the Cubs’ bullpen to crack, Brandon Hughes surrendered the big 2-run blast to Kyle Tucker.  Houston added an insurance run, while the bullpen held on for the 5-3 win.


Astros are champs again!

And here is the history of Statis-Pro World Series champs.

Season    Statis-Pro World Series           Actual MLB    Prev Sea
2023Astros (champ)0.5560.654
2022Dodgers (Champ)0.6850.654
2021Red Sox (Champ)0.5680.400
2020Dodgers (Champ)0.7170.654
2019Astros (champ)0.6600.636
2018Diamondbacks (Champ)0.5060.574
2017Red Sox (Champ)0.5740.574
2016Astros (champ)0.5740.531
AverageAverage Statis-Pro WS Win%0.6020.587
2023Actual MLB/12-team format Win % 
2023Rangers (Champs)0.556 
2022Astros (Champs)0.654 
 Average Actual WS Win%0.567

Here are the Baseball Reference Links to all players.

Bryan AbreuRPR
Jose Abreu1BR
Jose Altuve2BR
Yordan AlvarezLFL
Brandon BielakSPL
Ronel BlancoSPR
Michael BrantleyLFL
Alex Bregman3BR
Hunter BrownSPR
Kenedy CoronaCFR
Yainer DiazCR
Shawn DubinRPR
Mauricio Dubon2BR
J.P. FranceSPR
Matt GageRPL
Luis GarciaSPR
Kendall GravemanRPR
David Hensley2BR
Cristian JavierSPR
Corey JulksLFR
Grae KessingerSSR
Joel KuhnelRPR
Seth MartinezRPR
Chas McCormickCFR
Lance McCullers Jr.SPL
Jake MeyersCFR
Rafael MonteroRPR
Parker MushinskiRPL
Oliver OrtegaRPR
Jeremy PenaSSR
Ryan PresslyRPR
Cesar SalazarCL
Jon Singleton1BL
Bennett SousaRPL
Ryan StanekRPP
Kyle TuckerRFL
Jose UrquidySPR
Framber ValdezSPR
Justin VerlanderSPR
Forrest WhitleySPR
Kevin AlcantaraCFR
Adbert AlzolayRPR
Miguel AmayaCR
Javier AssadRPR
Cody Bellinger1BL
Ben BrownRPR
Alexander CanarioCFR
Pete Crow-ArmstrongCFL
Jose CuasRPR
Brennen DavisCFR
Yan GomesCR
Ian HappLFB
Kyle HendricksSPR
Nico Hoerner2BR
Bailey HornSPL
Brandon HughesRPL
Caleb KilianSPR
Mark Leiter Jr.RPR
Luke LittleRPL
Nick Madrigal3BR
Miles Mastrobuoni3BL
Julian MerryweatherRPR
Matt Mervis1BL
Christopher Morel2BR
Daniel PalenciaRPR
Michael RuckerRPR
Drew SmylySPL
Justin SteeleSPL
Seiya SuzukiRFR
Dansby SwansonSSR
Jameson TaillonSPR
Mike TauchmanCFL
Keegan ThompsonRPR
Luis VazquezSSR
Hayden WesneskiRPR
Jordan WicksSPL
Patrick Wisdom3BR

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