Sunday, April 30, 2023

Pirates Face PB 2-8, One of 22 Upgraded Pitchers

The Pirates will be caught up with the rest of the league after their 4th home-and-home series, this one with the Dodgers. Unfortunately the need to face Julio Urias first, who is one of 22 pitchers upgraded based on their 2022 WAR (Wins Above Replacement).

These pitchers now all have their PB in red in the set of cards, in Urias case a PB 2-8, while still allowing singles up to 23 and only 4 walks allowed (43-46). If a team has a completely new card then we put the entire card in red, such as Trevor McGill in the Brewers set, as he was traded from Minnesota. Our hope in doing this is that if you've already printed your cards then you can just write in "2-8" by Urias or others. 

Statis-Pro originally would upgrade certain pitchers from the PB determined purely by their ERA (or FIPs) if they had a certain number of Wins on the season. As Wins became a less used stat, I stopped using that. However, it occurred to me the logic behind inventor Jim Barnes doing this made sense - but it made more sense to use WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Therefore if a pitcher had a 2022 WAR of at least 4.5 then they must be at least a PB 2-8. If their WAR was at least 3.0 then they need to get at least a PB: 2-7. Below are the pitchers who we upgraded in the game.

Team   Upgraded Pitcher due to WAR     Original     Upgrade
ARIZac Gallen2-72-8
ARIMerrill Kelly4-72-7
ATLMax Fried2-72-8
ATLKyle Wright4-72-7
CHWDylan Cease2-72-8
CINAlexis Diaz2-62-7
CLETriston McKenzie4-72-7
COLDaniel Bard2-62-7
HOUCristian Javier4-72-7
KCRBrady Singer2-72-8
LAATyler Anderson2-52-7
LADJulio Urias4-72-8
LADTony Gonsolin2-62-8
MIASandy Alcantara2-72-8
NYYNestor Cortes4-72-7
SDPYu Darvish4-72-8
SDPMichael Wacha2-62-7
SFGLogan Webb2-72-8
TEXMartin Perez4-72-8
TORAlek Manoah4-72-8
TORChris Bassitt4-72-7

From best to worst, each pitcher can be a PB 2-9, 2-8, 2-7, 4-7, 2-6, 2-5 or worst 2-4.


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