Tuesday, December 10, 2024

Winslow Leads Duke Past Houston to Face Edey v. Mutombo-Mourning

 This was the Sweet 16 game we most looked forward to, because Houston 2021 was so impressive in their 102-50 win over 2023 Princeton in their opener, that the shot up from our preseason 70th to 35th in our rankings - making them a 4th seed and getting them a bye in this tournament. This team started the current five season streak Houston has going of years in which they've been in the top 6 in the AP poll and held opponents to less than 60 points per game - and this was the Final 4 team during this streak.

Duke 2015 was just the opposite - starting as the 44th ranked team in the preseason but then barely beating Tyler Kolek's Marquette and the 2014 Nebraska team to drop down to a lower seed for the tournament. However, once in the tournament and with the low seeding, they destroyed Miami 2023 look more like the team that just took over late as Justise Winslow bloomed late to run all the way to the 2015 title after Wisconsin upset what many thought was the greatest Kentucky team until that point.

Therefore this was on of those games where the worst seed was the favorite, because we rank this Duke team a +3, meaning three points better than the average all-time great team in the game - but rank Houston as a +0 - meaning exactly average in the game. That's about how it ended up with a 74-70 Duke win to advance.

However, out of the gates Houston did what they do every year - dominating the offensive boards. This is the first time we ever recall a team grabbing the first 9 rebounds of the game as they shot to a 28-21 lead after grabbing 7 offensive rebounds and 2 defensive rebounds to none for Duke. However, Winslow was not yet in the game, so he came in and steadied it with 15 points and 12 rebounds and as a result Duke only lost the rebound battle 39-44.

 
Duke 2015               Game Highlights                              NBA?  HtSummary
Tyus Jones16 ptsnba6'111.8 Pts, 3.5 Reb, 5.6 Ast
Quinn Cook6-7 free throws (90% season)nba6'215.3 Pts, 3.4 Reb, 2.6 Ast
Justise Winslow15 pts, 12 rebnba6'612.6 Pts, 6.5 Reb, 2.1 Ast
Jahlil Okafor18 pts, 10 rebnba6'1117.3 Pts, 8.5 Reb, 1.3 Ast
Amile Jefferson nba6'96.1 Pts, 5.8 Reb, 0.8 Ast
Rasheed Sulaimon  6'57.5 Pts, 2.0 Reb, 1.8 Ast
Matt Jones  6'56.0 Pts, 2.3 Reb, 1.0 Ast
Grayson AllenDNP (dominant next season)nba6'44.4 Pts, 1.0 Reb, 0.4 Ast
Marshall Plumlee nba7'02.2 Pts, 2.4 Reb, 0.3 Ast
Semi Ojeleye nba6'83.0 Pts, 2.3 Reb, 0.2 Ast
Houston 2021Game Highlights Ht     Summary
Marcus Sasser nba6'113.7 Pts, 2.6 Reb, 2.2 Ast
Dejon Jarreau16 pts, 2 blocked shotsnba6'510.6 Pts, 5.4 Reb, 4.3 Ast
Quentin Grimes15 pts, 10 rebnba6'517.8 Pts, 5.7 Reb, 2.0 Ast
Justin Gorham15 pts, 14 reb 6'78.4 Pts, 8.6 Reb, 1.2 Ast
Brison Gresham  6'83.0 Pts, 3.0 Reb, 0.3 Ast
Jamal Shead nba6'13.3 Pts, 1.1 Reb, 1.5 Ast
Tramon Mark  6'57.8 Pts, 3.0 Reb, 1.7 Ast
Fabian White  6'86.2 Pts, 4.1 Reb, 0.8 Ast
Reggie Chaney  6'84.7 Pts, 2.8 Reb, 0.5 Ast
J'Wan Roberts  6'71.9 Pts, 3.8 Reb, 0.3 Ast
     
Team StatsDuke listed 1st, then Houston 2nd   
Points74-70 Duke win   
Rebounds39-44 Houston edge (started 0-9)   
Free Throws14-21 to 8-12   
Steals6-5 Duke edge   
Turnovers10-9 Duke 1 more but very low both   
Blocked Shots4-7 Houston edge   
Fouls Committed16-21 Five more fouls called on Hou  


This round has more higher seeds than any other round we've played in our three tournaments, as only two to four of the Elite 8 will be a top 8 seed. The 2023 UConn was the 1-seed and barely survived by closing out their Sweet 16 game on an unprecedented 17-0 run. Western Kentucky's 1966 team is also in the Elite 8 as the 3-seed. The other two still alive are the 6-seed Fab 5 from Michigan in 1993 who will need to beat Tennessee 2023 to advance and meet Western Kentucky, and in the ultimate battle of big men, Purdue's Zach Edey will face the 1989 Georgetown's Alonzo Mourning and the one and only, late great, Dikembe Mutombo to see who faces Duke 2015 in the Elite 8.
 



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