Friday, April 19, 2024

Point Spreads on Final 24 Debut Games for All-Time Greats

We don't know how many more games we will play this season, but to copy's "thrill scores" we listed our remaining 24 debut games from apparent closer match-up down to most lopsided.

We do have one even game, with the Kentucky and UCLA women having the same ratings in the Value Add Basketball Game and thus this is our 21st ever "even" game of 287 previously played.

We also have 10 games left where neither team is favored by more than 6 points, and in those games in the game so far the favored team has won 64% of the time (a little higher percentage then would be expected in real life, so upsets have been slightly LESS likely). 

Once a team if favored by 7 points or more they have won close to 80% of all our games, and no  team favored by 18 points or more has lost yet - 15-0 so far. The two new lopsided games include the new women's champs South Carolina against the Auburn 2024 team, and the 1995 UConn Women against the 2018 Virginia team. The biggest favorite in a remaining men's game is We Unseld's 1968 Louisville favored by 14 but be careful  - their opponent is the 2024 Oakland team that was a 13-point underdog against Kentucky in this tournament and pulled the stunner beyond Jack Gohlke's historic 3-point shooting.

Here are the rest of the debuts - and we track all result for the men and women.

Pick'm evenYearW/M Player(s)FavorOpponentYrPlayer(s)
Kentucky2013WDeNesha Stallworth0UCLA2018Monique Billings
1-6 Favorite (64%)YearW/MPlayer(s)FavorOpponentYrPlayer(s)
Colorado St.2024MIsaiah Stevens1Arizona St.2009James Harden #33
Vanderbilt2002WChantelle Anderson1USC1994Lisa LeslieTina Thompson
Stanford2012WNnemkadi Ogwumike2Texas Tech1993Sheryl Swoopes
Texas1989WClarissa Davis2Colorado St.1999Becky Hammon
Grand Canyon2024MTyon Grant-Foster4Gonzaga1981John Stockton #25
NC State2024WAziaha James4Oklahoma2010Abi Olajuwon
North Carolina2007WIvory Latta4Marquette2019Chloe Marotta, N Hiedeman
Rutgers2005WCappie Poindexter4Indiana2024MacKenzie Holmes
Rutgers2007WKia Vaughn4Louisville2009Angel McCoughtry
Ohio State1993WKatie Smith6Rutgers1988Sue Wicks
7-9 Favorite (79%)YearW/MPlayer(s)FavorOpponentYrPlayer(s)
Maryland2006WCrystal Langhorne7LSU2005Sylvia FowlesSeimone Augustus
Utah St.2024MGreat Osobor8Massachusetts1971Julius Erving #19
LSU2023WAngel Reese8Purdue2003Shereka Wright
California1993MJason Kidd #369Duquesne2024Jimmy Clark
Oregon St.1990MGary Payton #489Yale2024Danny Wolf
10-17 Favorite (81%)YearW/MPlayer(s)FavorOpponentYrPlayer(s)
Notre Dame2001WRuth Riley10Virginia Tech2024Elizabeth Kitley
Virginia1991WDawn Staley10Minnesota2004Lindsay Whalen
NC State2024MDJ Burns11Weber St.2010Damian Lillard #68
Tennessee2007WCandace Parker13Georgia2013Jasmine James
Louisville1968MWes Unseld #6014Oakland2024Jack Gohlke
18+ Favor (100%)YearW/MPlayer(s)FavorOpponentYrPlayer(s)
Connecticut1995WNykesha SalesRebecca Lobo24Virginia2018Dominique Toussaint
South Carolina2024WKamilla Cardoso24Auburn2009Keke Carrier, DeWanna Bonner

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