Showing posts with label Michigan basketball. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Michigan basketball. Show all posts

Wednesday, December 18, 2024

Fab 5 Holds Kansas to 19 Rebounds - Advances to Title Vs. UConn 2022


Early in this "The Fab Five" documentary on the ESPN documentary trailer Michigan's team of all starting freshman is referred to as "5 Muhammad Ali's, and this great 8-minute film documents how Juwan Howard put together the team and Ali hosted them all on the way to the NCAA championship.

They looked like Ali in our 2nd all-time National Semifinal. The future NBA trio of Chris WebberJuwan Howard and Eric Riley set a Value Add Basketball Game record by dominating the Boards 38-19 - the first time a team has been held below 20 rebounds in 303 games between all-time great men's team. Howard and Webber combined for 21 rebounds to out rebound the entire Kansas team by 2 for the overpowering 82-68 win.

The overpowering performance by the 1993 Michigan team was enough to dominate the 2022 national champions from Kansas, and now they will face the 2023 national champions in UConn as just a 3-point underdog in our 3rd title game.

The game was tied 34-34 early in the second half, but then the Wolverines went on a roll capped by Webber pulling up from outside for two consecutive 3-pointers to make it 59-45, and Michigan never looked back.

While certainly all national champions are great teams, Kansas won their title in a very balanced 2022 season with no dominant teams - and in our game we actually calculated them as a 7-point underdog against Michigan, but they could not keep it that close as Jalen Wilson fouled out trying to guard Webber, who scored 21 points and grabbed 9 rebounds, while Juwan Howard added 20 and 12.

If Webber is the MVP of this tournament, it may be that Kansas' Remy Martin is the best 6th man, as he put up another incredible game off the bench with 14 points including a couple of 3-pointers that kept it close for a while.
 
Pos    Kansas 2022              Pts 3pt 2pt FTAttRebStlBlkFl  Hts          Season Actual                   
1-PGDajuan Harris12230010016'15.4 Pts, 1.4 Reb, 4.2 Ast
2-SGChristian Braun1003452021NBA,6'614.1 Pts, 6.5 Reb, 2.8 Ast
3-SFOchai Agbaji702337013NBA,6'518.8 Pts, 5.1 Reb, 1.6 Ast
4-PFJalen Wilson804001005NBA,6'811.1 Pts, 7.4 Reb, 1.8 Ast
5-CDavid McCormack6030032416'1010.6 Pts, 7.0 Reb, 0.9 Ast
1-PGJoseph Yesufu2010020016'02.1 Pts, 0.9 Reb, 1.0 Ast
2-SGRemy Martin14240020016'08.6 Pts, 3.0 Reb, 2.5 Ast
3-SFJalen Coleman-Lands5110010016'43.7 Pts, 0.7 Reb, 0.3 Ast
4-PFZach Clemence2010020116'102.1 Pts, 1.8 Reb, 0.4 Ast
5-CMitch Lightfoot2010020116'84.6 Pts, 2.8 Reb, 0.4 Ast
 14 Turnovers6852178192714  
             
PosMichigan 1993Pts3pt2ptFTAttRebStlBlkFlHtsSeason Actual
1-PGJimmy King1424003311NBA,6'210.8 Pts, 4.4 Reb, 3.1 Ast
2-SGJalen Rose1625006213NBA,6'315.4 Pts, 4.2 Reb, 3.9 Ast
3-SFRay Jackson5021240036'39.0 Pts, 4.1 Reb, 2.2 Ast
4-PFChris Webber2134479141NBA,6'719.2 Pts, 10.1 Reb, 2.5 Ast
5-CJuwan Howard20092212202NBA,6'814.6 Pts, 7.4 Reb, 1.9 Ast
3-SFRob Pelinka2010010016'14.3 Pts, 2.1 Reb, 1.0 Ast
5-CEric Riley401223011NBA,7'05.6 Pts, 4.8 Reb, 0.4 Ast
 11 Turnovers82726913388712 


Thursday, January 19, 2023

Michigan Record Comeback Against Biggest Home Job at Stephen F Austin

 We made the heavily favored Michigan 1965 travel for the debut of the 2016 Stephen F Austin, and what we played was the biggest home job to date in our Value Add Basketball Game.

Biggest Home Job Ever

To document the home job - in the Value Add Basketball Game if a team is designated as the home team (vs. just a neutral site game) then we write "at" on the center of the scoresheet. The home team has the option of flipping the result of any roll of 36 or 66 - which gives them 2-3 calls a game and simulates the normal home advantage - but this was ridiculous.

Bad Call 1 - with 17:28 (29 possessions) left to play, star Bill Buntin was called for a phantom foul (dice roll of 66 changed to 36) and Ty Charles hit one of two free throws to give Stephen F. Austin (SFA) their first lead at 50-49.

Bad Call 2- with 13:11 (22 possessions) left to play Buntin was again called for a phantom foul and this time on a 3-point shot by Charles, who hit 2 of 3 to against give SFA the lead, 61-59.

Bad Call 3 - with 7:40 (13 possessions) to play, Oliver Darden scored to give Michigan a 69-66, but he was also fouled while scoring and the foul was missed.

Bad Call 4 - with 4:35 (8 possessions) to play and SFA leading 73-72, the refs unbelievably made another bogus call against Buntin this time fouling him out of the game. In the next two minutes (to the 2:44 mark or 5 possessions to play) with Buntin on the bench, SFA went on a 13-5 run to seemingly put the game away 86-74.

We could have played the game in Crisler Arena - known as the House Cazzie built - but wanted to give SFA a longshot chance of an upset like they pulled in two March Madness tournaments. In our rankings we do give teams credit for playing on the road. But the 86-74 lead led to ... (see below scoresheet)


Biggest Comeback Ever

The biggest comeback we have witnessed in all our games. Michigan went on a 5-0 run by the 1 minute mark, then the player who would go onto be the National Player of the Year and No. 1 pick in the NBA draft the next year, Cazzie Russell, hit a 3-pointer to make it 86-82 .

George Pomey then made the play of the game with a steal, which by giving the chance at a fast break saves time and lets the team on the fast break use the bottom triangle on the same row in addition to lowering the 20-sided die 1 number for a better chance at a shot. Pomey hit John Thompson with a pass on the break and Thompson finished to make it 86-84. 

Pomey then made a mistake and fouled Demetrious Floyd, a 70% or 1-14 free throw shooter, but Floyd missed both free throws to leave the score 86-84.

Pomey scored at the other end to tie the game 86-86 and then after a miss at a would be game winning buzzer beater, Pomey grabbed the rebound to end regulation with Michigan having completed an incredible 12-0 run in just 2:07 to extend the game.

Cazzie finally Wins Battle of Players of the Year Vs. Walkup

The game was as special treat because it featured Cazzie - who would be awarded Player of the Year the next year before being drafted first to go to the NBA, where he won a world title - against Thomas Walkup, who is the only player from a smaller conference to ever be calculated as the best player in the country by www.valueaddbasketball.com.

Since both are the "3" in the game as small forward, they were guarding each other - a big concern for Michigan because Walkup draws so many fouls (on 10-14). While Russell only draws fouls on three numbers (9-11) he does get the ball more as one of the few players who get the ball 37% of the time in the game (on rolls of 3, 6 or 7 on the 8-sided die).

With 1:30 to go in overtime, he finally won an epic battle by drawing a 5th foul on Walkup while Michigan trailed 89-92, and hitting both free throws to finish the night with 29 points, 10 rebounds and three blocked shots. Walkup was almost as impressive with 19 points, 13 rebounds and two steals, but SFA's thin bench could not pull it out with their star on the bench, as Cazzie's two free throws started a 6-2 run for the 95-94 epic come from behind win.

The matchup seemed to be a decent one for SFA, with a front line of only 6'4, 6'5 and 6'8 and a weak rebounding team. However, Michigan's team - which had the bad luck of this incredible team during John Wooden's run of titles at UCLA  so only finished National Runner-Up - was not much bigger at 6'5, 6'5 and 6'8.


Sunday, December 25, 2022

B10 VABG Reminder Set-up for Game and Home Advantages

For Christmas Day Basketball we decided to use the home advantage advanced rules for some Big Ten match-ups. Under the Value Add Basketball Game rules games can be played on a neutral site, which we have done with most of the games we have tracked.

This blog is a good reminder on how to set up the game - see steps through the end of the blog.

However, we chose to play the following three Big Ten games with a home advantage:

Iowa 2021 at Indiana 1981
Michigan 1989 at Iowa 2021
Illinois 1989 at Michigan 1965

Under these rules, the home team can reverse any role of 36 or 66. If the visiting team has the ball and a "36" comes up, that would usually (but not always) result in the home team committing a foul. The home team can reverse that to a "66" so the referee missed the foul call. The reverse is also true, if the home team has the ball and a 66 is rolled, the home offense can reverse the result to a "36" which means the referee gave them a foul call that should not have been called. 

Over the course of a game, that will result in a few bad calls in favor of the home team, that will result in about a 3-point advantage for the home team.

The reason we picked those teams is that it gets them all to three games played - the teams ranked #1 to #37 have all played between three and nine games, so we are trying to work through and get every great team up to at least three games played.

We can then have Loyola Marymount travel to #49 Missouri, which will mean the top 49 teams have all played at least three games. 

Here are the teams ranked from #38 to #47 all-time. The number to the left is their ranking among all-time great teams in our game. After a key player from their team is listed, we then list their average points score and allowed, and then an overall ranked and their conference. So Michigan 1965 featuring Cazzie Russell is 1-1, has won their average game by a 81.0 to 71.5 score, and has a rating of 2.5.
 
38Michigan1965Cazzie Russell  11     81  71.5   2.5B10
39Iowa2021  Luka Garza   10      88    69   2.4      B10
40Loyola Marymount (WCC)1990  Bo Kimble   11  119.5    110   2.3     Mid-Maj
41Syracuse2003  Carmelo Anthony   21      76     74   2.3      ACC
42Illinois1989  Nick Anderson   11      78     77    2      B10
43Oklahoma1985  Wayman Tisdale   31    75.3   73.8  1.9      B-12
44Cincinnati2002  Jason Maxiell   22    72.8    71.5  1.9      Amer
45Missouri1982  Steve Stipanovich   20    69.5    65.5  1.5      SEC
46Michigan1989  Glen Rice   02    70.5    78.5  1.3      B10
47Indiana1981   Isaiah Thomas   11      73      73  1.3      B10

Other Set up reminders

When you set up the game, there are adjustment reminders if you plan not to use all players, since each player starts with at least 2 points, 1 foul and 1 rebound that must be given to other players. In this case 1981 Indiana's players have enough stamina that you only need seven players. Since 2 players will not be in the game, I added two points each to Isaiah Thomas (top right), Wittman and Tolbert to start each with 4 points instead of 2 points to give Indiana 20 points at the start of the 20-20 play in the game.

For the 3 rebounds we need to replace, I always work up from the starting center (Turner) so add one rebound to him and then one to Tolbert and Kitchel, the two forwards (we still call the "3" and the "4" the small forward and power forward for easy reference, even though they are often really just bigger guards with modern teams. 

Finally and most important, we need to add three fouls, and try to do it in hopes that the extra foul doesn't make anyone foul out. Obviously I added a foul to two subs, but then picked Wittman for the other extra foul since with only a "36" for fouls on his card - particularly in a home game where a 36 can be turned to a 66 - he is less likely to pick up additional fouls.

The other key in this game is the low dunk ranges and good defensive adjustments to opponents dunk ranges. If you go to the chart in teh game, Iowa is a 51-50, which means they have no automatic dunks, while Indiana calculates as a 51-48, and since that is two below no dunks it actually changes to any 51-52 being a STOP - meaning the shot is missed and defensive player gets the rebound automatically.


The instructions show coins being used to keep track of who is in the game, but another method is just to write the numbers on the team sheet. In this case, Isaiah Thomas and two other starters will play the whole game, so I write 1, 2 and 4 on their cards to show they will be in the whole game, but then 3 and 5 by the two players who will be replaced by a player on the top line. Once I cross those out and write 3 and 5 on the top line I will circle those because they will be in for the rest of the game once inserted.

Also wrote out who gets the ball on the 6, 7 or 8 roll as shown (we suggest using dimes on player getting an extra die roll if you use coins to track who is in the game).








Notice Iowa is much more confusing in their substitutions, with all 10 players being used a lot and noone on the team playing the whole game. Therefore noone is circled, but I also had to play around trying to figure out the possessions each should be in the game and writing in what possessions they would play at what position. One reason I try to play each team a few times is to catch where I have not listed suggestion rotations for a team, so I will likely add the numbers written on these cards back on the master set of cards on the google docs. Also notice that Keegan Murray, who went onto be one of the top players in the country the next year, actually played less than half of games in this season while Luka Garza was National Player of the Year.


Some who play the game have had trouble getting the scoresheet to print out correctly, with the top line being cut off or all 21 images printing from the instructions when they want to just print the scoresheet. I will show these in reverse order, but the image below shows what you hope to see on your printer that will give you a clean print of the whole scoresheet.

The screen below shows how you get to this screen - click on the scoresheet, then right click on it and save the image to your computer. From that point on, you can always pull that image up from your computer to print this image.