Team-by-team injuries, floors and ceilings for March Madness

Here is our first cheat sheet for the tournament. These are the last 80 teams still alive for a possible bid, either by winning a tournament title Saturday night or Sunday, or by being selected Sunday night. The most important thing of course is to know which teams have key injuries. We listed only strong contributors who are battling injuries. We linked to each of the players stats and listed their average points and rebounds per game.

The teams with the biggest variables between their floor and ceiling from 1st to 4th are Kansas (missing their top two stars in Hunter Dickinson (18.0, 10.8), and Kevin McCullar (18.3, 6.0), Marquette (missing All-American point guard Tyler Kolek (15.0, 4.6  and national high in assists at 7.6). Oregon N'Faly Dante (15.7, 8.8) and then Texas Tech Warren Washington 9.9, 7.4.

Kansas drops from 18th to 51st if neither star returns, while Marquette drops from 6th to 14th if Kolek doesn't return.

We note if a player is a STAR, and the word GONE before them means they will not return. All others could return.

Ceiling is where the team ranked from 1st to 80th if all injured players who might return do.

Floor is where the team ranked from 1st to 80th if none of the players who might return do.

Off is where the team ranks at www.kenpom.com in offense among these 80 teams (UConn is #1).

Def is where the team ranks at www.kenpom.com among these 80 teams on defense (Houston is #1).

 

Possible NCAA	Conf	Ceiling	Floor	Off	Def	Key Injuries / game left Sat night or Sunday, "if b" means must win for bid
Akron	MAC	63	62	68	56
Alabama	SEC	14	12	3	63
Arizona	P12	5	5	8	10
Auburn	SEC	4	4	10	4
Baylor	B12	12	17	6	43	Langston Love 11.0, 2.9
Boise State	MW	38	35	43	22
Brown	Ivy	75	75	76	74	if b. Yale Sun
BYU	B12	16	22	11	33	Aly Khalifa 5.9, 3.8
Charleston	CAA	62	61	48	61
Clemson	ACC	34	31	25	45
Colgate	Pat	66	66	75	57
Colorado	P12	26	29	24	28	Julian Hammond 7.4, 2.5
Colorado State	MW	33	28	35	27
Connecticut	BE	1	1	1	12
Creighton	BE	11	9	13	17
Dayton	A10	35	32	19	52
Drake	MVC	46	42	31	51
Duke	ACC	10	10	7	19	Caleb Foster 7.7, 2.4
Duquesne	A10	59	58	69	25	if b. VCU Sun
Florida	SEC	30	25	16	48
Florida Atlantic	Amer	36	41	15	60	Tre Carroll 4.0, 1.8
Gonzaga	WCC	15	13	9	32
Grambling	SWAC	78	78	79	75
Grand Canyon	WAC	48	45	50	39	if b. UTA SAT
Houston	B12	2	3	12	1	J'Wan Roberts 9.6, 6.9, GONE - Joseph Tugler 3.8, 4.1
Howard	MEAC	79	79	74	79
Illinois	B10	13	11	4	46
Indiana State	MVC	45	40	21	55
Iowa State	B12	9	8	54	2
James Madison	Sun	49	47	45	50
Kansas	B12	18	51	53	9	Hunter Dickinson STAR 18.0, 10.8, Kevin McCullar STAR 18.3, 6.0
Kentucky	SEC	20	18	5	62
Long Beach State	BW	73	73	66	78
Longwood	BSth	71	71	71	69
Marquette	BE	6	14	17	15	Tyler Kolek 15.0, 4.6, Nat'l #1 ast 7.6, STAR, GONE - Sean Jones 5.8, 1.5, 2.0
McNeese State	Slnd	50	48	41	53
Michigan State	B10	21	19	47	8	Jeremy Fears Jr. 3.5, 1.9
Mississippi State	SEC	23	20	49	14
Montana State	Bsky	76	76	77	76
Morehead State	OVC	64	63	63	65
N.C. State	ACC	51	56	42	54	Dennis Parker, Jr. 4.7, 3.2
Nebraska	B10	25	34	30	21	Eli Rice 4.2, 1.6
Nevada	MW	32	43	34	26	Hunter McIntosh 5.9, 1.2,
New Mexico	MW	24	21	36	18
North Carolina	ACC	8	7	22	5
Northwestern	B10	44	46	28	47	Matthew Nicholson 5.3, 4.3, GONE - Ty Berry 5.3, 4.3
Oakland	Hrz	70	70	65	72
Oklahoma	B12	39	53	40	24	Rivaldo Soares 9.4, 4.9, John Hugley 8.4, 3.8
Oregon	P12	55	59	46	49	N'Faly Dante STAR, 15.7, 8.8, Keeshawn Barthelemy 7.9, 2.2
Pittsburgh	ACC	41	37	29	34
Princeton	Ivy	52	49	27	67
Providence	BE	54	52	62	13	GONE - Bryce Hopkins STAR 15.5, 8.6
Purdue	B10	3	2	2	16
Samford	SC	58	57	55	64
San Diego State	MW	17	15	44	7
Seton Hall	BE	47	44	56	35
South Carolina	SEC	42	38	39	36
South Dakota State	Sum	69	69	64	70
South Florida	Amer	57	55	60	42
St. John's	BE	28	23	20	37
St. Mary's (CA)	WCC	22	26	38	11	Harry Wessels 4.4, 3.6, GONE - Joshua Jefferson 102., 6.5
St. Peter's	MetroA	72	72	67	71
Stetson	Asun	77	77	58	80
TCU	B12	31	27	37	23
Temple	Amer	74	74	78	68	if b. UAB Sun
Tennessee	SEC	7	6	26	3
Texas	B12	29	24	18	40
Texas A&M	SEC	40	36	33	30
Texas Tech	B12	27	30	23	31	Warren Washington	9.9, 7.4
UAB	Amer	67	67	51	77	if b. Temple Sun
UT Arlington	WAC	65	65	61	66	if b. Grand Canyon SAT
Utah State	MW	43	39	32	44
VCU	A10	56	54	59	38
Vermont	AE	61	64	70	41	Matt Veretto, STAR, 9.0, 3.3
Virginia	ACC	53	50	72	6
Wagner	NE	80	80	80	73
Washington State	P12	37	33	52	20
Western Kentucky	CUSA	68	68	73	59
Wisconsin	B10	19	16	14	29
Yale	Ivy	60	60	57	58	If beat Brown Sun