Monday, March 18, 2024

UConn Also No. 1 Based on Experience (Guards and Coaches Who've Made Runs)

Another factor that can lead to a team having a big run is the experience of both the coach and the guards as teams are hit with tournament pressure. 

Often the most experienced back courts are lower level teams who do not have the NBA talent of bigger schools with some one-and-dones, so in many cases these ratings can be the opposite of the rankings I posted earlier based on how much NBA-level talent on each team. The scary thing about this tournament is that UConn has the most NBA-level talent AND is tied with Michigan State for the most experienced team.

I use two criteria for this.

The coaches' deepest NCAA run to date gets them a rating from 10 (has won a national title) to 0 (has never even made a tournament). My basic scale on this is "8" if they have made a Final 4, "6" if they have made an Elite 8, "4" if they have made a Sweet 16, "2" if they have won a tournament game. However I adjust up a point or so if they took a surprise team that far, or reached that level multiple times, and might take it down a point if they did it once but a long time ago or with a program that always makes it. The number under "Runs" by each coach is the number I gave them from 10 (best) down to "0" - might be a great coach but hasn't had a run yet to prove it.

The experience of the two guards, listed as starting Point Guard and Shooting Guard at for each team determines the second rating "Sr. Guards." A team with two senior guards is a 10, with a senior point guard but junior shooting guard is a 9, etc. all the way down to a 0 for a team starting two freshmen guards like Kentucky.

The overall experience rating is the average of the two. Kentucky has the two extremes with those two freshman guards giving them a "0," but coach John Calipari having won the national title to give them a 10 - so their average of the two is 5.0 and they rank right in the middle. Here are all 68 teams ranked in order.
Rnk    Team                         Coach                        Runs    Sr. Guards     Exp. Rating
1ConnecticutDan Hurley101010
2Michigan StateTom Izzo101010
3HoustonKelvin Sampson9109.5
4BaylorScott Drew1099.5
5San Diego StateBrian Dutcher9109.5
6CreightonGreg McDermott8109
7Florida AtlanticDusty May8109
8MarquetteShaka Smart898.5
9VirginiaTony Bennett1078.5
10KansasBill Self1068
11TCUJamie Dixon6108
12Texas A&MBuzz Williams888
13TennesseeRick Barnes787.5
14GonzagaMark Few877.5
15TexasRodney Terry787.5
16AkronJohn Groce697.5
17AlabamaNate Oats4107
18ClemsonBrad Brownell4107
19PurdueMatt Painter766.5
20AuburnBruce Pearl946.5
21NorthwesternChris Collins3106.5
22NevadaSteve Alford3106.5
23McNeese StateWill Wade496.5
24Montana StateMatt Logie3106.5
25North CarolinaHubert Davis846
26WisconsinGreg Gard576
27N.C. StateKevin Keatts2106
28Long Beach StateDan Monson396
29Iowa StateT.J. Otzelberger565.5
30ColoradoTad Boyle385.5
31DuquesneKeith Dambrot1105.5
32VermontJohn Becker295.5
33HowardKenny Blakeney1105.5
34LongwoodGriff Aldrich1105.5
35IllinoisBrad Underwood375
36KentuckyJohn Calipari1005
37Saint Mary'sRandy Bennett465
38DaytonAnthony Grant285
39Colorado StateNiko Medved195
40OregonDana Altman735
41Grand CanyonBryce Drew195
42YaleJames Jones285
43OaklandGreg Kampe285
44GramblingDonte Jackson195
45ArizonaTommy Lloyd544.5
46South CarolinaLamont Paris184.5
47Texas TechGrant McCasland274.5
48FloridaTodd Golden184.5
49Morehead StatePreston Spradlin184.5
50South Dakota StateEric Henderson184.5
51Saint Peter'sBashir Mason094.5
52Western KentuckySteve Lutz184.5
53StetsonDonnie Jones094.5
54DukeJon Scheyer264
55Mississippi StateChris Jans264
56NebraskaFred Hoiberg444
57Utah StateDanny Sprinkle174
58New MexicoRichard Pitino264
59UABAndy Kennedy264
60CharlestonPat Kelsey174
61WagnerDonald Copeland264
62BYUMark Pope153
63DrakeDarian DeVries153
64James MadisonMark Byington063
65Boise StateLeon Rice142.5
66SamfordBucky McMillan042
67ColgateMatt Langel132
68Washington StateKyle Smith000

No comments:

Post a Comment