Sunday, September 12, 2021

Braves Still Tied for Last Playoff Spot after Disappointing Split wuth Nats

Robles and Soto and the top of the line-up combined for a 8 of 19 series to hand the Braves a disappointing split in a wild twin bill. The Nats won 10-9 in 11 innings, then the Braves survived 5-4 when Albies (Clutch defense 5) turned a line drive into a double play to erase a 9th inning leadoff double by Mercer.

Smyly had thrown 6 shutout innings to stake the Braves to a 5-0 lead only to have the Nats score 4 in the bottom of the 7th off Ynoa. Albies went 4 of 10 with 2 homers in the series.

The Braves are in a virtual 3-way tie for the last 2 playoff spots with the Reds and Cards, which both still need to play the Mets. The Braves will wrap up against the Cards.

The Nats are barely mathematically alive to back into the playoffs at 53-55, but it is pretty unrealistic:

Only one of the following 5 things can happen. If at least 2 happen the Nats are eliminated:

  1. Braves go at least 1-5 vs cardinals
  2. Cardinals go at least 4-8 (which they will do if no. 1 does not happen, so at this step the nats will either be eliminated or alive but any if the following eliminate them)
  3. Reds go at least 1-5 (if Reds also go 0-6 at this step and Nats still alive the 2 more things could eliminate them)
  4. Padres go at least 5-7
  5. Cubs go at least 4-2.

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