Sunday, October 8, 2023

1st Boston College ACC Team Battles the Iowa State Team to Start a Run of 4 of 6 Big 12 Titles

Well, with the New England Patriots fans suffering through one of the few blow out losses they have had to endure in decades, it looked like small solace might have been the great Boston College 2006 men's basketball team with a 56-48 with 10 minutes to go against Iowa State. The turning point occurred when Jared Dudley fouled out. He had four fouls with 26 possessions left and we used a strategy by switching him to guarding point guard Monte Morris, who would go onto be a great player and make the NBA - but this game was his freshman card when he only drew one or two fouls a game and started half the time. 

Dudley never fouls on his own card, but DeAndre Kane had drawn the early fouls on him before the switch. Dudley lasted another 17 possession, but with nine possessions left and Boston College trying to get the ball into Craig Smith, Melvin Ejim stole the ball on an 11, and since that is an odd number he can start a fast break (forwards can start a fast break on a steal on an odd number, Centers can never start a fast break on a steal, and guards can start a fastbreak on any steal. Ejim fed to ball ahead to Morris who drew the foul on Dudley to send him to the bench for the final five minutes. Morris hit one of two free throws to cut the Boston College lead to 62-60, and Iowa State dominated the last five minutes to win. The following is the box score, followed by the pregame write up and team cards.

Boston College 2006       Ht   Pos     Pts  Reb Stl    Blk  Fou  Actual Season from Reference
Louis Hinnant6'41-PG721027.5 Pts, 2.8 Reb, 4.6 Ast
Sean Marshall6'52-SG19310211.1 Pts, 3.9 Reb, 2.3 Ast
Jared Dudley6'73-SF5410516.7 Pts, 6.6 Reb, 3.2 Ast, nba
Craig Smith6'74-PF181123217.6 Pts, 9.4 Reb, 3.0 Ast, nba
Sean Williams6'105-C460113.1 Pts, 3.4 Reb, 0.4 Ast, nba
Marquez Haynes6'31-PG210012.5 Pts, 0.8 Reb, 1.0 Ast
Ted Dunlap6'32-SG520011.4 Pts, 0.7 Reb, 0.0 Ast
Akida McLain6'73-SF210014.2 Pts, 2.7 Reb, 0.3 Ast
Tyrese Rice6'14-PF520039.3 Pts, 1.4 Reb, 2.5 Ast
John Oates6'105-C510023.4 Pts, 2.5 Reb, 0.6 Ast
 16 total turnovers  72335420 
Iowa State 2014 Ht PosPtsRebStlBlkFouActual Season from Reference
Monte Morris6'21-PG523016.8 Pts, 2.6 Reb, 3.7 Ast, nba
Georges Niang6'82-SG12211316.7 Pts, 4.5 Reb, 3.6 Ast, nba
DeAndre Kane6'43-SF18701217.1 Pts, 6.8 Reb, 5.9 Ast
Melvin Ejim6'64-PF13815217.8 Pts, 8.4 Reb, 1.8 Ast
Dustin Hogue6'65-C121101311.6 Pts, 8.4 Reb, 1.0 Ast
Sherron Dorsey-Walker6'41-PG210011.2 Pts, 0.6 Reb, 0.5 Ast
Naz Long6'42-SG520027.1 Pts, 1.6 Reb, 1.1 Ast, nba
Matt Thomas6'43-SF510025.5 Pts, 2.1 Reb, 1.1 Ast, nba
Daniel Edozie6'84-PF210011.0 Pts, 1.5 Reb, 0.1 Ast
Percy Gibson6'95-C210011.2 Pts, 1.4 Reb, 0.0 Ast
 14 total turnovers  76365818 
Iowa St (-5) wins 76-72Q1Q2Q3Q4Final   
Boston College 20062016201672   
Iowa State 20142012162876  

When a Value Add Basketball Game starts, the score is tied 20-20 and the 10 players in the game are assumed to have already played 11 possessions each, and they get stats based on their position and if they are the starter or the backup. Here are the stats at the beginning of the game. This is considered the result after 22 possessions were played. The game includes a count down from the 44th possession to the 1st (last) possession which would be a 66 possession game. However, because anytime there is a foul or a fast break in the last nine possessions, the game can actually go anywhere from 66-75 possessions. There are a few teams with an adjustment for extra possessions because they played at a very fast pace.

Pos        Pts  Reb  Stl   Blk   Fouls

 Pregame write up

In the midst of Kansas winning an incredible 17 of 19 Big 12 regular seasons championships, the 2014 Iowa State team in our game took the tournament title to start a stretch of winning four of six Big 12 tournament titles. They then advanced to the Sweet 16 behind DeAndre Kane's double-double (24 points, 10 rebounds) and Naz Long coming off the bench to hit four of eight 3-pointers for an 85-83 win. They then gave eventual champion UConn what would be their toughest battle of the entire tournament when center Dustin Hogue did something that you never see done to UConn's front court - powering for 15 of 18 shooting for 34 points in a 5-point loss.

Their opponent in our tournament is Boston College's first ACC team after having played in the Big East for decades. BC had no problem adjusting, traveling to North Carolina twice to beat UNC at Chapel Hill and then came back to Greensboro for the ACC championship and beat the Tar Heels again in the semifinal game, before losing to Duke in the title game. They then advanced to the Sweet 16 before losing to a team from their old conference - a one-point loss to Villanova.

Regarding the cards, the Iowa cards were exactly accurate when we double checked the OAdj and DAdj, so we just added the word "verified" on their team chart. Until today we had a not on top of Boston College that it was a new team so we still had to verified, and when we ran the math they were actually a slightly better defensive team (Adj Dunk -1 dunk) but not quite as good offensively as the initial cards (now Dunk Rang 51-54).

The following is how we set up the cards, though we out then side-by-side once we start rolling. On some team sheets like Boston College.we.have already put which of the 44 possessions we suggest each player is on the court. However, you will see from Iowa State that their cards did not have recommended list of possessions yet so we wrote them in at the bottom of each card. I do still include players on the scoresheet who I don't plan to play any position, because the the game is based on all 10 players on a team having already played 11 possessions and scoring 2 points. However when rolling the dice for the 44 possessions we play after the 20-20 starting score, we only bring in the plays whose cards say "none" or for strategy at the end such as Iowa State's big men on the bench have "none" but are great shot blockers so you might play them at the end of protecting against a last second shot.

I use dimes to keep track of who in the game gets the ball on the 6, 7 and 8 - and pennies for those who only gets it on a 1-5 going from left to right. Notice when we start Iowa State only has two dimes, so and 8 means roll again and on the second roll a 6-8 is a shot clock turnover.

Iowa State's narrow win moves them up only slightly, to 84th all-time in our game. In they would have actually dropped a tiny amount because they were expected to win by five and won by four. However, we award an extra +4 for the winner. This also leaves Iowa State 2014 as the 10th highest ranked team in this tournament. Only the top 11 will get a bye to the Sweet 16, so two out of three wins by Texas 2023, SMU 2017, Washington 2006 would definitely bump Iowa State down to at least 12th and make them play a Round 2 game.

The first 14 teams listed below are the only teams in the game we have yet to play in a game - so this will produce seven more winners to advance. The 14 teams below them already won so will at least advance to the second round, but most will get a bye. Remember most of the greatest teams were already created and used in a tournament, so none of the teams with the 45 greatest cards are in this tournament. All 178 great teams and results of all games and current rankings are kept on this google sheet.

RnkCardCurrent tournament, only teams yet to playWinLostScoreAllowSoSCard RnkRatetour
7476Texas - 2023 - Marcus Carr00   -1.0-1.0SDSt 23
8595SMU - 2017 - Semi Ojeleye00   -2.0-2.0FlAt 23
94110Washington - 2006 - Brandon Roy00   -3.0-3.0Mia 23
103124Arkansas - 2021 - JD Notae00   -4.0-4.0NW 17
104127St. Mary's - 2023 - Logan Johnson00   -4.0-4.0PS 18
120134Kansas St. - 2023 - Markquis Nowell00   -5.0-5.0TCU 23
121135Stanford - 2008 - Brook Lopez00   -5.0-5.0Xav 23
122136Xavier - 2023 - Jack Nunge00   -5.0-5.0St 08
129145TCU - 2023 - JaKobe Coles00   -6.0-6.0KS 23
130144Penn St. - 2018 - Tony Carr00   -6.0-6.0StM 23
131143Northwestern - 2017 - Vic Law00   -6.0-6.0Ark 21
141157Miami - 2023 - Norchad Omier00   -7.0-7.0Wa 06
142156Florida Atlantic - 2023 - Johnell Davis00   -7.0-7.0SMU 17
157167San Diego St. - 2023 - Jaedon LeDee00   -9.0-9.0TX 23
RnkCardCurrent tournament already won a gameWinLostScoreAllowSoSCard RnkRate2nd rou seed
3846Connecticut - 2023 - Adama Sanogo107739-
4387Rutgers - 1976 - Phil Sellers109777-9.0-2.02.32
4560Houston - 2021 - Quentin Grimes1010250-
4664Tennessee - 2023 - Santiago Vescovi107567-
5141Duke - 2015 - Justise Winslow107572-
5886Gonzaga - 2023 - Drew Timme108674-7.0-2.00.86
6363Kansas - 2022 - Ochai Agbaji108781-
68122Marquette - 2023 - Tyler Kolek109081-1.8-4.0-0.28
76107Marquette - 1994 - Jim McIlvaine108078-1.4-3.0-1.19
8494Iowa St. - 2014 - DeAndre Kane107672-7.0-1.3-2.010
90108Duke - 2022 - Wendell Moore108578-13.0-3.0-2.811
110158North Carolina - 2022 - Armando Bacot107876-2-7.0-4.312
111115Indiana St. - 1979 - Larry Bird1171.573-5.5-3.0-4.613
149173Creighton - 2023 - Ryan Kalkbrenner1079782-13.0-8.014

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