Scroll to the bottom for the account of the steals and 3-pointers that led to Marquette 2023 minor upset over UCLA 2021. The three paragraphs below were written before the game as a preview. The updated scores and rankings of the all-time great college basketball teams in the value add game appear here.
Fans who only watch March Madness would assume the UCLA 2021 team that took Gonzaga all the way to overtime in the Final Four would have much better player cards than the Marquette 2023 team that was frustrated by Tom Izzo in a second round loss. And because the Value Add Basketball Game weighs tournament performance disproportionately heavy compared to regular season games, the UCLA cards to appear slightly better.
However, there is a reason www.kenpom.com still ranked the 2023 Marquette team as slightly better than the 2021 UCLA team. For starters, a very poor 13-14 Marquette 2021 team actually led at UCLA with less than 10 minutes to play in the game before losing. As of selection Sunday, Marquette 2023 was a much better team than UCLA 2021. The Bruins had lost four straight games to finish 4th in the Pac-12 and be eliminated in the first round of the Pac-12 tournament as barely snuck into the tournament as an 11-seed in the play-in game. Meanwhile Marquette had won nine straight to win the Big East Regular season and tournament, including a second win of the season against eventual champ UConn.
It makes for an interesting game as we start with the blank box score that we will fill in after the game and then add details below.
Marquette 2023 | PPG | Ht | Gets Ball | Pts | Reb | Stl | Blk | Fls |
Tyler Kolek | 13.1 | 6'3 | PG-1&6 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
Stevie Mitchell | 7.1 | 6'2 | SG-2 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 4 |
Kam Jones | 15.1 | 6'4 | SF-3&7 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Olivier-Maxence Prosper | 12.4 | 6'8 | PF-4&8 | 21 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Oso Ighodaro | 11.5 | 6'9 | C-5 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
Sean Jones | 3.7 | 5'10 | PG-1&6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Chase Ross | 4.7 | 6'4 | SG-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
David Joplin | 9.4 | 6'7 | SF-3&7 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Keeyan Itejere | 0.8 | 6'9 | PF-4 | dnp | | | | |
Ben Gold | 2.7 | 6'11 | C-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Marquette 10 Turnovers | | | | 90 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 17 |
| | | | | | | | |
UCLA 2021 | PPG | | Gets Ball | Pts | Reb | Stl | Blk | Fls |
Tyger Campbell | 10.4 | 5'11 | PG-1&6 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
Johnny Juzang | 16.0 | 6'6 | SG-2&7 | 23 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
Jules Bernard | 10.3 | 6'6 | SF-3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Jaime Jaquez | 12.3 | 6'6 | PF-4 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Cody Riley | 10.0 | 6'9 | C-5&8 | 10 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
David Singleton | 4.7 | 6'4 | PG-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Jake Kyman | 3.0 | 6'6 | C-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Jalen Hill | 6.5 | 6'10 | C-5 | dnp | | | | |
Chris Smith | 12.6 | 6'9 | SG-2&6 | dnp | | | | |
Jaylen Clark | 2.5 | 6'5 | C-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
UCLA 12 Turnovers | | | | 81 | 22 | 2 | 4 | 13 |
Here are the actual cards
Marquette 2023 pulls off 90-81 win over UCLA 2021
Kam Jones had the best turnover rating and Marquette always has the best steal rating on the court whether it is Stevie Mitchell or Chase Ross, and that was the difference in Marquette pulling away after trailing 45-48 with 30 possessions (18:04) left to play.
Ross plays from possession 44-28 then Stevie Mitchell from 27-1 in our game, a key because both have the highest steal rating in the game of 11-16, 31 which means they can often steal the ball from anyone on the court. ross hit a 3-pointer to pull within 45-46 before turning it over to Mitchell for the duration.
A couple of possessions later Kam Jones combination of no turnovers on his card (the turnover range is 41-46 with the average player turning it over 41-43 but Mitchell with the rare NONE) and his big 3-pointer range of 1-4. With 27 possessions to go, a "41" would have been a turnover for 95% of all players, but Kam avoided the turnover and drained a 3-pointer to tie the game 50-50. He did the same thing later, meaning twice he turned what would be 0 points for almost every player to 3.
With Marquette trailing 52-53 Kam missed a shot, but Kolak grabbed an offensive rebound and passed to Omax for a dunk. The next possession Omax hit a 3, and then on the following Mitchell had one of his 5 steals and passed ahead to Kolak who hit a 3-pointer to give Marquette a 60-55 lead they would not give up.
Marquette wins to advance to the round of 21 in our tournament of new teams.
As an alum, I did create seven Marquette teams, more than
any other team. Here is their record to date in our game:
Marquette 1955 (Terry Rand)
lost to Gonzaga (Drew Timme) 2023 (74 to 86)
Marquette 1971 (Jim Chones)
lost to Duke (Shane Battier) 2001
(69 to 80)
Marquette 1971 (Jim Chones)
beat Kansas (Danny Manning) 1988 (67 to 58)
Marquette 1971 (Jim Chones)
lost to LSU (Shaquille O'Neal) 1992 (74 to 80)
Marquette 1977 (Butch Lee)
beat Utah (Andre Miller) 1998 (79 to 69)
Marquette 1977 (Butch Lee)
lost to UTEP-Texas Western 1966 (Bobby Joe Hill) 1966 (53 to 54)
Marquette 1994 (Jim McIlvaine) will play
Seton Hall 2020 (Myles Powell)
2020
Marquette 2003 (Dwyane Wade)
beat Creighton (Doug McDermott) 2014 (84 to 83)
Marquette 2003 (Dwyane Wade)
lost to Georgetown (Roy Hibbert)
2007 (62 to 74)
Marquette 2003 (Dwyane Wade)
lost to West Virginia (Kevin Jones) 2010 (74 to 77)
Marquette 2011 (Jimmy Butler) lost to
Dayton (Obi Toppin) 2020 (82 to
87)
Marquette 2023 (Tyler Kolak)
beat UCLA 2021 (Jaime Jaquez) 2021 (90 to 81)
Overall Marquette 4-7 against all-time great teams
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