Thursday, September 21, 2023

Duke's 90% FT Duo Saves Them From 2014 Nebraska, 75-72

 Nebraska's Terran Petteway torched Duke for 23 points to show how he finished the 2014 season dominating top 10 schools like Michigan State and Wisconsin to give the Cornhuskers 10 of 12 wins to close the regular season with their only NCAA bid of the century.

The Cornhuskers did not have any NBA players that year, and Duke had eight - behind only 1991 UNC and Duke 

Nebraska 2014             Pts  Reb  Stl  Blk  Fouls  Pos      Ht        Actual 2014 Stats               
Tai Webster212031-PG6'43.9 Pts, 2.1 Reb, 2.0 Ast
Ray Gallegos843022-SG6'27.3 Pts, 2.0 Reb, 1.4 Ast
Terran Petteway2341143-SF6'618.1 Pts, 4.8 Reb, 1.6 Ast
Shavon Shields1060044-PF6'712.8 Pts, 5.8 Reb, 1.6 Ast
Walter Pitchford960225-C6'109.3 Pts, 4.7 Reb, 0.5 Ast
Benny Parker822311-PG5'92.4 Pts, 1.0 Reb, 0.9 Ast
Deverell Biggs210012-SG6'19.9 Pts, 3.3 Reb, 1.5 Ast
David Rivers620013-SF6'73.0 Pts, 2.9 Reb, 0.4 Ast
Nathan Hawkins210014-PF6'51.4 Pts, 0.9 Reb, 0.3 Ast
Leslee Smith241225-C6'85.4 Pts, 4.8 Reb, 0.4 Ast
11 Neb Turnovers72319821   
Duke 2015PtsRebStlBlkFoulsPosHtActual 2015 Stats
Tyus Jones1621011-PG6'111.8 Pts, 3.5 Reb, 5.6 Ast
Quinn Cook1213022-SG6'215.3 Pts, 3.4 Reb, 2.6 Ast
Justise Winslow12132123-SF6'612.6 Pts, 6.5 Reb, 2.1 Ast
Jahlil Okafor1073144-PF6'1117.3 Pts, 8.5 Reb, 1.3 Ast
Amile Jefferson832115-C6'96.1 Pts, 5.8 Reb, 0.8 Ast
Rasheed Sulaimon210011-PG6'57.5 Pts, 2.0 Reb, 1.8 Ast
Matt Jones220032-SG6'56.0 Pts, 2.3 Reb, 1.0 Ast
Grayson Allen920013-SF6'44.4 Pts, 1.0 Reb, 0.4 Ast
Marshall Plumlee240014-PF7'02.2 Pts, 2.4 Reb, 0.3 Ast
Semi Ojeleye210015-C6'83.0 Pts, 2.3 Reb, 0.2 Ast
11 Duke Steals753611317  

Petteway tied the score 67-67 with six possessions to play in the Value Add Basketball Game after 3-point specialist Ray Gallegos (1-5 on the 20-sided die is a made 3-pointer) his a 3-pointer the previous possession. With two possessions left, Nebraska changed strategy to play for a 3-pointer, which means shooters add a 3-pointer for every 2-pointer made they can turn to a 2-pointer missed as long as they do not more than double the 3-pointers made. On the 20-sided die, Gallegos normally hits a 3-pointer on a 1-5, and a 2-pointer on a 6-7 - so with this strategy a 1-6 was a made 3-pointer and a 7 turned into a missed show. The ball came to him on a 2 roll (shooting guard) on the 8-sided dice and he drained the clutch shot on a "6" to pull Nebraska to within 70-73, and they got it to him for one last shot on the final roll of the game, but it fell short for a 72-75 loss.

Justise Winslow grabbed his 13th rebound of the game and Duke escaped to our second round. They were saved by 13-13 from the line from their two guards - Tyus Jones and Quinn Cook, both of whom make free throws on a 20-sided die roll of 1-18. Trailing 73-72, Nebraska had to use the "turnover or foul" strategy on the after cutting the lead to 73-72 to create and extra possession below the diagonal line on the final possession to get the ball back. 

When this strategy is used, the 20-sided die is not used since a shot will not happen. The 8-sided die still determines who gets the ball, and then if the two six-sided die (11-66 roll) come up as a turnover in the 41-46 range, or as a steal in the 11-16 range or 31, then there is a turnover but on any other roll the player who got the ball gets two free throws. Jones had already gone 9 of 9, but this intentional foul put Cook at the line to hit the final two to make it 75-72 and make that the final when Winslow grabbed his 13th rebound of the game at the other end.

Duke did drop to 53rd in our rankings which drops them below Rutgers 1976 to make them the 3rd seed for the next round as of now, but other teams who still need to play their first round game can still move up with a win if Alabama 2023 beats last year's Creighton team, Duke's 2022 team beat Murray State, or Larry Bird's 1979 Indiana State team beats Central Florida.

Here is box from the game and below that the top 11 seeds for the second round if the first round ended today (the 12th through 21st seeds will then play in against each other to determine which five winners of a second game advance to the Sweet 16 against the top 11 seeds after one round of play.

19           UConn 2023 still to play St. Peter’s 2019

43           Rutgers - 1976 - Phil Sellers

53           Duke – 2015 – Justise Winslow

60           Gonzaga - 2023 - Drew Timme

61           Kansas - 2022 - Ochai Agbaji

68           Houston 2023 vs Princeton

69           Marquette - 2023 - Tyler Kolek

75           Alabama 2023 vs Creighton 2023

84           Duke 2022 vs. Murray State 2019

85           Marquette - 1994 - Jim McIlvaine

86           Indiana State and Larry Bird 1979 vs Central Florida 2019

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