In Value Add Basketball we consider the team's "power forward" the player who behind the team's "center" has some combination of the most defensive rebounds, blocked shots and height, but typically the fewest assists and steals. A great center or power forward will typically have even better raw numbers than a great point guard, because the guards typically need to get the ball to a power forward or center close to the basket for a closer shot. (for a summary of the top players at each position, click here).
Because www.valueaddbasketball.com calculates how many points per game a player improves his team compared to if a typical replacement player took his place, the raw value add is adjusted by position since the replacement player would be at the same position. Therefore, once the formulas are run, and power forward's raw value add is lowered by multiplying it by 0.95 to get the result you see below and at www.valueaddbasketball.com.
In general, freshmen make so many mistakes (turnovers, bad shots etc.) the first half of the season that they do not rank nearly as high as more experienced players. However, they tend to improve more at the end of the season, so we watch for breakout freshmen first when looking at brackets. Therefore we start with the 10 most valuable freshmen centers in college basketball, starting with the most talented future NBA prospect, Auburn's Jabari Smith, who improves Auburn by 7.14 points per game - meaning there is a better than 50/50 chance Auburn would have LOST any game that they won by fewer than seven points. This calculations were run before Auburn's win against Vanderbilt Wednesday, during which Smith had his first 30-point game, so he is gaining value.In his case, he improves the Auburn offense by 4.44 points per game, while his defensive rating of -2.70 indicates he takes three to four points more away from the opposing team then a typical replacement power forward. Here are the most valuable 10 freshmen power forwards through games of February 15.
| Rnk | Top Freshmen Power Forwards | Team | VA5 | Conf | HtText | Cl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Jabari Smith #10 | Auburn | 7.14 | SEC | 6'10" | Fr |
| 11 | Paolo Banchero #5 | Duke | 6.69 | ACC | 6'10" | Fr |
| 18 | Justin Lewis #10 | Marquette | 6.28 | BE | 6'7" | Fr |
| 23 | Tyson Degenhart #2 | Boise St. | 6.13 | MWC | 6'7" | Fr |
| 27 | Azuolas Tubelis #10 | Arizona | 5.9 | P12 | 6'11" | Fr |
| 39 | Dillon Jones #2 | Weber St. | 5.35 | BSky | 6'6" | Fr |
| 44 | Sadaidriene Hall #3 | Stephen F. Austin | 5.12 | WAC | 6'5" | Fr |
| 46 | Aboubacar Traore #25 | Long Beach St. | 4.96 | BW | 6'5" | Fr |
| 51 | Jalen Wilson #10 | Kansas | 4.77 | B12 | 6'8" | So |
| 52 | Keshad Johnson #0 | San Diego St. | 4.68 | MWC | 6'7" | Jr |
Top Overall Power Forwards (4)
A voter would certainly be justified in placing Smith, likely the No. 1 pick in the NBA draft, as the 1st Team All-American Power Forward. However, if the entire season including early games were rated evenly, the 1st and 2nd Team All-American should really go to two Big Ten stars. Ohio State's EJ Liddell may have been the most valuable player over the course of the last two seasons, while Keegan Murray of Iowa has been able to explode now that his teammate and National Player of the Year Luka Garza has graduated.
| Rnk | Top Freshmen Power Forwards | Team | VA5 | Conf | HtText | Cl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Keegan Murray #15 | Iowa | 10.86 | B10 | 6'8" | So |
| 2 | EJ Liddell #32 | Ohio St. | 9.93 | B10 | 6'7" | Jr |
| 3 | Justin Bean #34 | Utah St. | 9.69 | MWC | 6'7" | Sr |
| 4 | Tari Eason #13 | LSU | 9.25 | SEC | 6'8" | So |
| 5 | David Roddy #21 | Colorado St. | 8.84 | MWC | 6'6" | Jr |
| 6 | Christian Braun #2 | Kansas | 7.54 | B12 | 6'6" | Jr |
| 7 | Jabari Smith #10 | Auburn | 7.14 | SEC | 6'10" | Fr |
| 8 | Vince Williams #10 | VCU | 6.9 | A10 | 6'6" | Sr |
| 9 | Jaime Jaquez #24 | UCLA | 6.81 | P12 | 6'7" | Jr |
| 10 | Jake LaRavia #0 | Wake Forest | 6.77 | ACC | 6'8" | Jr |
| 11 | Paolo Banchero #5 | Duke | 6.69 | ACC | 6'10" | Fr |
| 12 | Race Thompson #25 | Indiana | 6.49 | B10 | 6'8" | Jr |
| 13 | Dane Goodwin #23 | Notre Dame | 6.49 | ACC | 6'6" | Jr |
| 14 | Paul Atkinson #20 | Notre Dame | 6.45 | ACC | 6'9" | Sr |
| 15 | Timmy Allen #0 | Texas | 6.44 | B12 | 6'6" | Sr |
| 16 | Drew Timme #2 | Gonzaga | 6.41 | WCC | 6'10" | Jr |
| 17 | Fabian White #35 | Houston | 6.36 | Amer | 6'8" | Sr |
| 18 | Justin Lewis #10 | Marquette | 6.28 | BE | 6'7" | Fr |
| 19 | Alex Morales #2 | Wagner | 6.28 | NEC | 6'6" | Sr |
| 20 | Dereon Seabron #1 | N.C. State | 6.25 | ACC | 6'7" | So |
| 21 | Ryan Hawkins #44 | Creighton | 6.24 | BE | 6'7" | Sr |
| 22 | Justyn Mutts #25 | Virginia Tech | 6.17 | ACC | 6'7" | Sr |
| 23 | Tyson Degenhart #2 | Boise St. | 6.13 | MWC | 6'7" | Fr |
| 24 | Bryce Hamilton #13 | UNLV | 6.13 | MWC | 6'4" | Sr |
| 25 | Aher Uguak #30 | Loyola Chicago | 6.07 | MVC | 6'7" | Sr |
| 26 | Abu Kigab #24 | Boise St. | 5.96 | MWC | 6'7" | Sr |
| 27 | Azuolas Tubelis #10 | Arizona | 5.9 | P12 | 6'11" | Fr |
| 28 | Anthony Holland #25 | Fresno St. | 5.9 | MWC | 6'5" | Jr |
| 29 | Collin Welp #40 | UC Irvine | 5.88 | BW | 6'9" | Sr |
| 30 | Ron Harper #24 | Rutgers | 5.81 | B10 | 6'6" | Sr |
| 31 | Jeriah Horne #41 | Tulsa | 5.81 | Amer | 6'7" | Sr |
| 32 | Keshawn Justice #14 | Santa Clara | 5.76 | WCC | 6'7" | Sr |
| 33 | Jalen Hill #1 | Oklahoma | 5.62 | B12 | 6'6" | Jr |
| 34 | Anton Watson #22 | Gonzaga | 5.6 | WCC | 6'8" | Jr |
| 35 | Jayden Gardner #1 | Virginia | 5.6 | ACC | 6'6" | Sr |
| 36 | Noah Horchler #14 | Providence | 5.59 | BE | 6'8" | Sr |
| 37 | Marcus Weathers #50 | SMU | 5.49 | Amer | 6'5" | Sr |
| 38 | Ben Vander Plas #5 | Ohio | 5.46 | MAC | 6'8" | Sr |
| 39 | Dillon Jones #2 | Weber St. | 5.35 | BSky | 6'6" | Fr |
| 40 | Taylor Funk #33 | Saint Joseph's | 5.28 | A10 | 6'8" | Sr |
| 41 | Brady Manek #45 | North Carolina | 5.27 | ACC | 6'9" | Sr |
| 42 | Jalen Bridges #11 | West Virginia | 5.26 | B12 | 6'7" | So |
| 43 | Isaac Mushila #10 | Texas A&M Corpus Chris | 5.14 | Slnd | 6'5" | Jr |
| 44 | Sadaidriene Hall #3 | Stephen F. Austin | 5.12 | WAC | 6'5" | Fr |
| 45 | Jermaine Samuels #23 | Villanova | 5.08 | BE | 6'7" | Sr |
| 46 | Aboubacar Traore #25 | Long Beach St. | 4.96 | BW | 6'5" | Fr |
| 47 | Julian Champagnie #2 | St. John's | 4.93 | BE | 6'8" | Jr |
| 48 | Jabari Walker #12 | Colorado | 4.89 | P12 | 6'9" | So |
| 49 | Kris Murray #24 | Iowa | 4.8 | B10 | 6'8" | So |
| 50 | Jalen Adaway #33 | St. Bonaventure | 4.79 | A10 | 6'5" | Sr |
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