Final AL Statis-Pro Cards Debut - Twins Host DBacks

Arizona results at Minnesota and photo of cards to be added after game. 

Arizona has dropped to 0-5 in our Statis-Pro season despite Moreno's 2-run homer. Here is the remaining interleague games and standings, with these NL teams having the edge for these games at home and with their aces going against the No. 4 pitcher listed for each AL opponent. Here is the actual game logs of all our games played this season - with teams averaging 3.9 runs per game. The Dodgers have the No. 1 offense with 5.2 runs scored per game, and the Mets have the No. 1 pitching with 2.2 runs per game allowed.

Preview and Rosters

This matchup is between the two teams Fangraphs believes are most likely to finish exactly .500, 81-81 or close to it.

In the last debut of our Statis-Pro Interleague series, the Diamondbacks need to go through their 4-man rotation a second time but this time without Corbin Burnes, because we do remove cards in our league play if they are lost for the season or put on 60-day DL. That was the one big edge Arizona would have had because all the other starting pitchers for both teams are PB 2-7 (above average) so consider the pitching even with all 2-7 vs 2-7 starters but both with loaded bullpens.

The Diamondbacks have hung around in actual MLB play despite losing Corbin, and when we look at in season adjustments we see why with five of their nine starters being upgraded during the season (adding one home run) including the No. 9 hitter Geraldo Perdomo who at shortstop ranks as the 52nd best player this season in WAR. Meanwhile the Twins have two players who are downgraded by one home run of two players including their shortstop, Carlos Correa.

In our otherwise balanced Statis-Pro season, Arizona is the only winless team at 0-4. However, this is just of the teams we included, the teams we judged the bottom three teams in each league were relegated and not in this 12 NL vs 12 AL team showdown. The Game 5 match-ups are the tough one for each NL team, since it is there 4th best starter (Arizona's Ryne Nelson due to two injuries) against the Twins ace starer (Pablo López). Not surprisingly, the AL teams are 7-4 in these match-ups so far in which they are at home with their ace on the hill.

Each team will then play at the NL park with the rotation reversed to give the NL the same edge to complete the 2-game series and LA Dodgers already started the NL 1-0 in Game 6s.

The relegated teams are still the teams we have ranked at the bottom based on Fangraphs percent chance to make the playoffs and then fewest projected wins, with the following exceptions. The Marlins are relegated but the Pirates who we are using in the game have slipped slightly below them as the 4th worst team according to Fangraphs. For purposes of these interleague series, we used the LA Angels for the matchup with the Dodgers, though if we picked AL teams based on Fangraphs we would have included the Orioles rather than the Angels, but barely.

 

Order	Pos/PB	Minnesota Batters	WAR	OPS/ERA	Steal/Max IP	Adjust/K
1	DH	Byron Buxton	97	0.800	B
2	LF	Matt Wallner		0.793	D
3	SS	Carlos Correa		0.778	E	minus HR
4	3b	Brooks Lee		0.773	C
5	2b	Mickey Gasper		0.751	D	minus HR
6	RF	Trevor Larnach		0.738	C
7	C	Ryan Jeffers	170	0.737	D
8	1b	Ty France		0.730	D
9	CF	Willi Castro		0.716	B	add HR
15	3b	Jonah Bride		0.712	E	minus 2 HR
15	1b	Kody Clemens		0.700	C	add HR
15	3b	Jose Miranda		0.723	D	minus HR
15	2b	Edouard Julien		0.722	B
15	LF	Harrison Bader	65	0.700	A
15	of	DaShawn Keirsey Jr.		0.683	A	minus 2 HR
15	C	Christian Vázquez		0.598	D
Order	Pos/PB	Minnesota Pitchers	WAR	OPS/ERA	Steal/Max IP	Adjust/K
1	2'-7	Pablo López	156	3.85	7	25-44
2	2'-7	Joe Ryan	60	3.82	7	25-45
3	2'-7	Zebby Matthews		3.86	6	26-44
4	2'-7	Bailey Ober		3.85	6	25-44
5	2'-7	Louis Varland		4.25	6	26-43
6	4'-7	Andrew Morris		4.32	6	27-41
10	2'-9	Jhoan Duran	123	2.39	2	23-45
11	2'-9	Danny Coulombe		3.46	1	25-44
12	2'-8	Griffin Jax		3.19	2	24-46
13	2'-8	Cole Sands		3.62	2	24-44
14	2'-8	Chris Paddack	177	4.28	4	25-41
15	4'-7	Simeon Woods Richardson		4.34	6	25-41
16	4'-7	Randy Dobnak		4.47	6	26-38
17	4'-7	Darren McCaughan		4.69	6	27-41
18	4'-7	Justin Topa		3.79	1	26-42
19	2'-6	Chase Chaney		4.99	6	27-36
20	2'-6	Michael Tonkin		4.27	2	25-43
21	2'-6	Anthony Misiewicz		4.5	2	26-43
23	2'-5	Erasmo Ramírez		4.79	2	27-42
24	2'-5	Kyle Bischoff		4.95	2	25-42
Order	Pos/PB	Arizona Batters	WAR	OPS/ERA	Steal/Max IP	Adjust/K
1	RF	Corbin Carroll	35	0.811	A	add HR
2	2b	Ketel Marte	47	0.828	D	add HR
3	1b	Josh Naylor		0.789	C
4	C	Gabriel Moreno		0.784	D
5	3b	Eugenio Suárez	117	0.753	D	add HR
6	DH	Pavin Smith		0.748	D	add HR
7	LF	Lourdes Gurriel Jr.		0.744	C
8	CF	Alek Thomas		0.722	B
15	LF	Randal Grichuk		0.712	E
9	SS	Geraldo Perdomo	52	0.709	B	add HR
15	RF	Jake McCarthy		0.709	A	minus HR
15	2B	Tim Tawa		0.632	D
15	C	Jose Herrera		0.572	D
15	OF	JorgeBarrosa		0.55	D
Order	Pos/PB	Arizona Pitchers	WAR	OPS/ERA	Steal/Max IP	Adjust/K
1	2'-9	Corbin Burnes	57, DL60	3.02	7	24-43
2	2'-7	Zac Gallen		3.45	7	25-43
3	2'-7	Brandon Pfaadt		3.77	7	26-44
4	2'-7	Merrill Kelly	81	3.87	7	26-42
5	2'-7	Jordan Montgomery	DL60	4.01	7	26-41
6	2'-7	Ryne Nelson		4.07	7	26-41
10	2'-9	A.J. Puk	DL60	3.01	2	23-46
11	2'-8	Justin Martinez	DL60	3.13	2	22-44
12	2'-8	Joe Mantiply		3.55	1	26-42
13	2'-8	Shelby Miller	159	3.69	2	25-41
14	2'-7	Tayler Scott		3.63	2	24-42
15	2'-7	Ryan Thompson		3.55	1	26-41
16	4'-7	Kevin Ginkel		3.09	1	24-44
17	4'-7	Jalen Beeks		3.64	2	25-41
18	4'-7	Tommy Henry		4.3	6	26-41
19	4'-7	Spencer Giesting		4.38	6	25-38