Sunday, December 23, 2018

Statis-Pro 2019 NL Season Log Using Projected Cards

Trying to hold off on playing the top contenders to land Machado or Harper, but here is the start of the season - you play your own with free dice version of Statis-Pro baseball if you are a 1st time player, but then we recommend you go on line to buy the true game with fast action cards. All game summaries are here. Latest result: Rays Charlie Morton shuts out the Phillies 2-0, but then Arrieta wins the second game in a "sweep" 6-1 to wrap up all 15 NL teams with 12 games on their record as everyone still waits for Bryce Harper and Manny Manchado.

NL East
Nationals 7-5 0 - 0.768  - Scherzer almost perfect in debut and adding Corbin gives Nats best rotation
Mets 7-5 0 - Cespedes stars to sweep Nats, but will he really return in key life in 2019?
Braves 7-5 0- Donaldson now hitting clean-up after Freeman completes great 1-4 hitters, gloves
Phillies 6-6 2  Finally made them play Cubs after trying to wait for Harper's decision.
Marlins 3-9 4

NL Central
Pirates 9-3 0 Dominicans Starling Marte/Greg Polanco dominating at top of line-up
Cubs 4-2 2  - tired of waiting for Harper and had them play Phillies, longshot Kris Bryant gets Harper
Brewers 6-6 3 - Will dominant relievers be enough to repeat?
Reds 5-7 4 - Puig, Wood and Kemp from Dodgers great, but can they get any relief pitching?
Cardinals 4-8 5 - Andrew Miller goes 9th and 10th to beat Brewers

NL West
Diamondbacks 9-3 0 - pitching still loaded and team slump of 2018 yielding to hot start in 2019
Padres 8-4 1 Newly acquired Hosmer hitting behind speedster Margot proving a killer 1-2 punch
Giants 3-3 3
Dodgers 5-7 4  Proved very vulnerable to lefties with Puig/Kemp gone; obviously they will add
Rockies 1-5 5 - "neutral park" projections make pitching pretty good, line-up not quite as dominant 

Game log will be kept on this google sheet and periodically pasted below. We pay each game counts as 3, with the winner getting 2 wins and the loser 1 win UNLESS winning team led by at least 5 runs after 8 innings without using their closer. In that case winning teams "sweeps" the series 3-0. We finally tired of waiting for Bryce Harper's decision, so had the Phillies and Cubs play without him and the Cubs won the series. A big acquisition that may pay off is Eric Hosner, who took the Brewers to the top mark in our Statis-Pro season last year and has scorched the Braves and Dodgers in our first two offseason series.


SDPaddock2LADBuehler1No1/5/2019Newly acquired Hosmer reached 6 of 10 times in the series including 3 doubles and they key 9th inning single of Jansen after speedster Margot singled and stole to give Padres 2-1 win
SDLamet9LADFerguson2Sweep1/5/2019Dodgers best player cards, but like the 1927 Yanks proved vulnerable vs a lefty starter and 5 lefty relievers, and w/ rookie replacing traded Wood, SD's Hosmer's onslaught continued off rookie Ferguson in 5-0 1st inning of 9-2 Sweep.

Projections and Background BEFORE Season

Here is the summary of how good each team's Statis-Pro cards appear to be:



OPS lineup

Rotation

Fielding

Relievers

Total Rating
Dodgers
0.785
10
3.64
8
27
4
3.73
5
65
Cubs
0.786
10
3.82
7
34
7
3.84
3
64
Cardinals
0.783
10
4.03
5
40
10
3.88
2
61
Nationals
0.768
8
3.49
10
26
4
3.65
6
59
Mets
0.776
9
3.64
8
24
3
3.85
3
57
Pirates
0.769
8
3.9
6
20
1
3.71
5
50
Reds
0.772
8
4.04
5
28
5
4
0
47
Braves
0.764
7
4.14
5
27
4
3.67
6
47
Brewers
0.751
5
4.27
4
32
6
3.47
10
44
Rockies
0.742
4
3.75
8
28
5
3.68
6
41
Padres
0.731
2
3.69
8
28
5
3.6
7
38
Phillies
0.758
6
4.05
5
18
0
3.87
2
37
Giants
0.734
3
4.23
4
38
9
3.53
8
37
Diamondbacks
0.713
0
3.57
9
30
5
3.47
10
33
Marlins
0.729
2
4.72
0
26
4
4.41
0
12

Game log will be kept on this google sheet and periodically pasted below. We pay each game counts as 3, with the winner getting 2 wins and the loser 1 win UNLESS winning team led by at least 5 runs after 8 innings without using their closer. In that case winning teams "sweeps" the series 3-0.





To try it out Print projected player sheets for all 2019 players and free dice version of game (just add dice in photo below) and print Out Chart. If you are a 1st time player but then buy the full player cards in line for current or historic teams. On the sheets you can sort teams by nation or MLB team, for example the Pirates No. 1 and No. 2 hitters in the game are Dominicans Starling Marte and Greg Polanco who just scored a combined 7 runs to beat the Cardinals in our first MLB games. Prior to that, they led the Dominican Republic to a 21-9 record to win the regular season and playoff over 2nd place Venezuela. The set up looks like the next photo, and you can order here if you want to purchase nice PDF player cards and games.We created the dice version and out chart so you could 1) use it as a free trial, 2) use all the other great teams and charts here even if you have trouble getting Fast Action Cards, and 3) to use as I do as a travel version without having to pack the whole game on trips.

To print your favorite teams; 1, click on this google sheet of projected 2019 cards; 2, define the team's batters and starters like in the next photo; then 

 3, hit print but choose to only print those cells you have selected so you get one nice sheet for all of the team's batters (which are in black) then pitchers (which are in red).




Adjustments I made from my 2018 AL season include:

1. The biggest improvement is that I started to use the modern Clutch Defensive (CD) and Clutch Batting (BD) process which means something happens every time those are drawn (or rolled). For BD with someone on my base the batters card is used and singles are turned to base-clearing doubles, the doubles are converted to home runs, triples and homers stay the same and everything else is a flyout. The next CD charts showed in the photo go from CD 1 to CD 5.

2. The next biggest change is in relieving. In 2018 I found I way overused relievers letting the Indians and Yankees dominate, so this season each reliever can only pitch one inning in each 2-game series, unless; a) he comes in for a pitcher who has faced at least 3 batters in an inning in which case he can finish the inning and start with a PB one lower in the next inning and only face 5 batters total, b) the game goes extra innings or a team is 5 runs or more behind in which case a pitcher can go as long as they want and never drop below a PB2-4. We will use either the No. 1 and No. 4 starter or No. 2 and No. 3 starter in each series.

3. We still play that a team winning by at least 5 runs gets credit for a 3 games to 0 series win, HOWEVER, we now say the team must be ahead 5 runs by the end of the 8th inning and hold that lead. This is to prevent the awkward problem last year with a team winning in the bottom of the 9th but still batting to try to get a 5-run win. This occurred in the season opener when the Reds rallies in the bottom of the 9th to beat the Brewers, and last year would have kept hitting to try to win by 5 but we decided to cut it off with their 7-6 win. (The Brewers won the second game of the series 16-8 but in 10 innings, so both teams were credited with a 2-1 series win a piece, so they both start the season 3-3.



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