The second key factor in winning March Madness games is if a team's coach has one games and made runs in the past.
Before picking that big upset, consider that 72% of Division I NCAA teams are coached by a team that has NEVER won a single NCAA tournament game.
We clicked on the coaches for all 358 teams in www.kenpom.com and realized 257 of 358 never advanced past Round 1 (R1). To make it much easier for you, if you simply search this blog for a team you are considering picking, and nothing is found, then the teams coach has never won a tournament game while coaching that team or any previously teams. We set up a rating system for each coaches' deep runs, but before we explain that, we will start with the seven coaches who get a "10." These seven coaches are the only ones who have both won an NCAA title and taken a second team at least to the championship game. Some have won more than one, but once a coach has taken at least two teams to the title game and won it at least once, we give him a "10."Team | Conf | Current coach | Deep Run Rating |
---|---|---|---|
Duke | ACC | Mike Krzyzewski | 10 |
Iona | MAAC | Rick Pitino | 10 |
Kansas | B12 | Bill Self | 10 |
Kentucky | SEC | John Calipari | 10 |
Michigan St. | B10 | Tom Izzo | 10 |
Syracuse | ACC | Jim Boeheim | 10 |
Villanova | BE | Jay Wright | 10 |
The next 67 coaches have won at least two tournament games at some point in their coaching career. To rate them in order, we give them credit for their two deepest tournament runs, starting with their best run:
7 points if the coach won the National Title.
6 pionts if the coach took a team to the title game but lost.
5 points if the coach took the team to the Final 4.
4 points if the coach took the team to the Elite 8.
3 points if the coach took the team to the Sweet 16.
2 points if the coach won a game to go to the second round.
To give more credit to coaches who had more than one run, we then looked at each coaches second deepest run and added the following number of points:
3 points for making a second title game (whether they won or lost).
2 points for making it to the Elite 8 or Final 4.
1 point for winning at least one game in a second tournament.
When you add these points together the seven listed on the table above are the only ones who get a "10" for the championship and at least one extra trip to the title game, but the following coaches all won at least two tournament games (if that is all then they get a "3" whether it was two wins in one tournament or a single win in two different touranments) all the way up to 9 points for a title run and another run to at least the Elite 8, etc.
Team | Conf | Current coach | Deep Run Rating |
---|---|---|---|
Baylor | B12 | Scott Drew | 9 |
Gonzaga | WCC | Mark Few | 9 |
High Point | BSth | Tubby Smith | 9 |
Virginia | ACC | Tony Bennett | 9 |
Auburn | SEC | Bruce Pearl | 7 |
Detroit Mercy | Horz | Mike Davis | 7 |
Houston | Amer | Kelvin Sampson | 7 |
Miami FL | ACC | Jim Larrañaga | 7 |
Mississippi St. | SEC | Ben Howland | 7 |
South Carolina | SEC | Frank Martin | 7 |
Tennessee | SEC | Rick Barnes | 7 |
Georgia | SEC | Tom Crean (left) | 6 |
Marquette | BE | Shaka Smart | 6 |
Notre Dame | ACC | Mike Brey | 6 |
Oklahoma | B12 | Porter Moser | 6 |
Oregon | P12 | Dana Altman | 6 |
UCLA | P12 | Mick Cronin | 6 |
West Virginia | B12 | Bob Huggins | 6 |
Arkansas | SEC | Eric Musselman | 5 |
Cal St. Northridge | BW | Mark Gottfried | 5 |
Eastern Michigan | MAC | Stan Heath | 5 |
Florida | SEC | Michael White | 5 |
Florida St. | ACC | Leonard Hamilton | 5 |
Louisville | ACC | Chris Mack (left) | 5 |
Pittsburgh | ACC | Jeff Capel III | 5 |
Purdue | B10 | Matt Painter | 5 |
St. John's | BE | Mike Anderson | 5 |
TCU | B12 | Jamie Dixon | 5 |
Texas | B12 | Chris Beard | 5 |
Texas A&M | SEC | Buzz Williams | 5 |
USC | P12 | Andy Enfield | 5 |
Akron | MAC | John Groce | 4 |
Alabama | SEC | Nate Oats | 4 |
Cal St. Bakersfield | BW | Rod Barnes | 4 |
Coastal Carolina | SB | Cliff Ellis | 4 |
Creighton | BE | Greg McDermott | 4 |
Davidson | A10 | Bob McKillop | 4 |
Evansville | MVC | Todd Lickliter | 4 |
Harvard | Ivy | Tommy Amaker | 4 |
Kent St. | MAC | Rob Senderoff | 4 |
Long Beach St. | BW | Dan Monson | 4 |
LSU | SEC | Will Wade | 4 |
Michigan | B10 | Juwan Howard | 4 |
Nebraska | B10 | Fred Hoiberg | 4 |
Nevada | MWC | Steve Alford | 4 |
Northern Iowa | MVC | Ben Jacobson | 4 |
Ohio St. | B10 | Chris Holtmann | 4 |
Oregon St. | P12 | Wayne Tinkle | 4 |
Pepperdine | WCC | Lorenzo Romar | 4 |
Saint Mary's | WCC | Randy Bennett | 4 |
Tarleton St. | WAC | Billy Gillispie | 4 |
UCF | Amer | Johnny Dawkins | 4 |
Wisconsin | B10 | Greg Gard | 4 |
California | P12 | Mark Fox | 3 |
Clemson | ACC | Brad Brownell | 3 |
Colorado | P12 | Tad Boyle | 3 |
Connecticut | BE | Dan Hurley | 3 |
Georgia Tech | ACC | Josh Pastner | 3 |
Illinois | B10 | Brad Underwood | 3 |
Iowa | B10 | Fran McCaffery | 3 |
Missouri | SEC | Cuonzo Martin (left) | 3 |
Northern Kentucky | Horz | Darrin Horn | 3 |
Oral Roberts | Sum | Paul Mills | 3 |
Penn | Ivy | Steve Donahue | 3 |
Richmond | A10 | Chris Mooney | 3 |
UC Davis | BW | Jim Les | 3 |
Western Kentucky | CUSA | Rick Stansbury | 3 |
Do note that we put (left) by coaches from this season who have won more than one tournament game but have left their program listed. That includes Tom Crean from Georgia, Chris Mack at Louisville and Cuonzo Martin from Missouri. It also includes coaches who had runs at big problem years ago and are finishing at smaller programs such as Mike Davis (Indiana run but now at Detroit Mercy), Mark Gottfried (Alabama runs but now at Cal St. Northridge) and Cliff Ellis (National Coach of the Year at Auburn in 1999 and now at Coastal Carolina). Finding out where coaches had gone made this a fun though time consuming effort.
The following are the 30 coaches who have won one tournament game, but only one. the first win is the toughest, so a coach on this list is probably more likely to pull an upset than a coach who has never won a tournament game.
Team | Conf | Current coach | Deep Run Rating |
---|---|---|---|
Butler | BE | LaVall Jordan | 2 |
Dayton | A10 | Anthony Grant | 2 |
Hawaii | BW | Eran Ganot | 2 |
Lehigh | Pat | Brett Reed | 2 |
Liberty | ASun | Ritchie McKay | 2 |
Marshall | CUSA | Dan D'Antoni | 2 |
Mississippi | SEC | Kermit Davis | 2 |
Murray St. | OVC | Matt McMahon | 2 |
New Mexico | MWC | Richard Pitino (son) | 2 |
North Texas | CUSA | Grant McCasland | 2 |
Northwestern | B10 | Chris Collins | 2 |
Northwestern St. | Slnd | Mike McConathy | 2 |
Ohio | MAC | Jeff Boals | 2 |
Oklahoma St. | B12 | Mike Boynton | 2 |
Providence | BE | Ed Cooley | 2 |
Rutgers | B10 | Steve Pikiell | 2 |
Saint Louis | A10 | Travis Ford | 2 |
Seton Hall | BE | Kevin Willard | 2 |
South Florida | Amer | Brian Gregory | 2 |
Stanford | P12 | Jerod Haase | 2 |
Tennessee Tech | OVC | John Pelphrey | 2 |
Tulane | Amer | Ron Hunter | 2 |
Tulsa | Amer | Frank Haith | 2 |
UAB | CUSA | Andy Kennedy | 2 |
UC Irvine | BW | Russell Turner | 2 |
Utah St. | MWC | Ryan Odom | 2 |
UTEP | CUSA | Joe Golding | 2 |
Washington | P12 | Mike Hopkins | 2 |
Western Illinois | Sum | Rob Jeter | 2 |
Yale | Ivy | James Jones | 2 |
The 257 teams with coaches who have never won an NCAA tournament game are not listed, but if you didn't find a team you are considering in a search, then their coach has never won a tournament game.
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