Sunday, March 27, 2022

Our CBS Sports/247: Value Add Top Trio (Duke) and Top Duo (Nova) Reach Final 4

(This is the email that went out to our sports list. Email if you would like to be added to that list). 

The rankings are final for the players on 342 of 358 teams. lists the schedule for the last 16 teams in the Basketball Classic, NIT and of course NCAA, as well as listing the top 2% of the 4,258 players in the rankings.

Click on the picture below or on this link for our CBS Sports/247 Story on how the top trio in basketball (yes better than Gonzaga's according to our rankings) led Duke and Coach Mike Krzyzewski’s to the Final 4, while the top duo in the country (including Collin Gillespie, pictured) led Villanova to the Final 4.  They await the winner of the two games on CBS today, with Miami leading Kansas at the half as ACC fans hope they hold on and UNC tops Saint Peter's in the finale after that game to give the ACC three of the Final 4 teams.

Scroll further down for our final National Player of the Year and All-American teams.

The Value Add Basketball National Player of the Year battle was one of our closest ever, with Iowa's Keegan Murray nudging out Kentucky's Oscar Tshiebwe with respective Value Adds of 12.31 to 12.13. That means both team would be expected to be 12 points worse if either of those MVPs had to miss a game - so turning a 6-point win into a 6-point loss.

Our Final 1st Team All-Americans calculate as:

  • 4-PF, Keegan Murray #15, Iowa, 12.31, 6'8", 90% chance at NBA.
  • 5-C, Oscar Tshiebwe #34, Kentucky, 12.13, 6'9", 80% chance at NBA. Top defensive rating in country at -4.47 points erased from opponent (edges out Auburn's Kessler and the Zags Chet Holmgren).
  • 1-PG, Collin Gillespie #2, Villanova, 10.35, 6'3", 31% chance at NBA.
  • 2-SG, Terrell Brown #23, Washington, 10.29, 6'3".
  • 1-PG, Malachi Smith #13, Chattanooga, 9.93, 6'4.

The 2nd Team All-Americans calculate as:

  • 4-PF, EJ Liddell #32, Ohio St., 9.77, 6'7", 77% chance at NBA.
  • 4-PF, Tari Eason #13, LSU, 9.52, 6'8", 79% chance at NBA.
  • 5-C, Armando Bacot #5, North Carolina, 9.48, 6'10", 59% chance at NBA.
  • 2-SG, Santiago Vescovi #25, Tennessee, 9.36, 6'3.
  • 2-SG, Nijel Pack #24, Kansas St., 9.31, 6'0.

The 3rd Team All-Americans calculate as:

  • 3-SF, Matt Bradley #3, San Diego St., 9.25, 6'4", 28% chance at NBA.
  • 5-C, Trayce Jackson-Davis #23, Indiana, 9.23, 6'9", 78% chance at NBA.
  • 1-PG, Jamaree Bouyea #1, San Francisco, 9.21, 6'2", 80% chance at NBA.
  • 1-PG, Kendric Davis #3, SMU, 9.2, 6'0, 27% chance at NBA.
  • 5-C, Chet Holmgren #34, Gonzaga, 9.06, 7'0, 97% chance at NBA, by far the top freshman ranking, as freshman generally make enough mistakes (bad shots, turnovers) to not rank as highly despite long-term potential to dominate.

Note, both Ochai Abdaji of Kansas and Wendell Moore of Duke are just outside the All-American list and could play themselves back into it. Abdaji rated as an All-American until having a bit of an off tournament.

For all conference teams, simply go to and then enter the conference abbreviation in the "Conf" search box.

John Pudner 404.606.3163

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