Thursday, March 10, 2022

Is My School in March Madness? Alphabetical Answer

It was great to see Shaka Smart at the helm of Marquette in the Big East Tournament, but as my CBS 247 story notes, the end result was Marquette's Madison Square Garden "House of Horrors" Extends to 4th Year.

However, for casual fans who might ask, "Is my school in the tournament?" the following provides a cheat sheet. For example, if you go to Marquette below in the alphabetical list you will see the following:

8.1MarquetteBig East3719-11Lock

The first number (8.1) indicates the average seed Marquette should receive is an 8-seed in the tournament, based on more than 100 experts' brackets selections. If your team averages a 10 or better they are pretty sure to make the tournament. Since I have Auburn fans who read this blog, the 1.3 means most have Auburn as a 1-seed, but some do have them as a 2-seed. The worst number is a 21.0 since we give a 21-seed for anyone who leaves the team off their bracket, so a 21.0 means none of the experts believe they will make the tournament (typically a weaker team whose tournament is still going on so mathematically they could win their tournament to automatically get a bid.

The number after the team (37) is the official NCAA Basketball Net rating. In general, the 1 to 47 net ratings would go to the tournament with the 48 and worse teams eliminated by automatic qualifiers who have worse net rankings but won their conference tournament.

After the team's record, I categorize the team as one of the following:

Champ - means they already won their conference tournament so are in the NCAA tournament.

Lock - means the team is definitely in the tournament whether or not they win their conference tournament.

Probably - means they should be picked for the tournament, and it would be a surprise if not.

Uphill - means the could be picked, but probably note.

Must Win - is teams that are only on the list because they are still alive in their tournament, and we list the day and time of their conferences championship game.




 
Ave. SeedTeamConferenceNetRecordStatus
21.0Abilene ChristianWAC12917-9must win 10 p.m. March 12
21.0AkronMAC14619-9must win 7:30 p.m. March 12 on ESPN2
5.9AlabamaSEC2719-12Lock
21.0Alabama A&MSWAC32011 & 17must win 6 p.m. March 12 on ESPNU
18.0Alcorn St.SWAC33610 & 22must win 6 p.m. March 12 on ESPNU
1.0ArizonaPacific-12228-3Lock
4.2ArkansasSEC2024-7Lock
1.3AuburnSEC1027-4Lock
1.0BaylorBig 12326-5Lock
7.9Boise St.Mountain West14813-19Probably
15.9BryantNortheast20221-9CHAMP
20.0BYUWest Coast5420-10Lock
20.8Cal St. FullertonBig West16916-10must win 11:30 p.m. March 12 on ESPN2
12.9ChattanoogaSouthern6325-7CHAMP
14.6ColgatePatriot12722-11CHAMP
21.0ColoradoPacific-127420-10must win 9 p.m. March 12 on FOX
6.7Colorado St.Mountain West2823-4Lock
5.0ConnecticutBig East1822-8Lock
21.0Coppin St.Mid-Eastern3038 & 22must win 1 p.m. March 12 on ESPN2
21.0CornellIvy19913 & 10must win 4 p.m. March 12 on ESPNU
10.5CreightonBig East6620-10Probably
10.7DavidsonAtlantic 104524-5Uphill, unless win 1 p.m. March 13
20.2DaytonAtlantic 105222-9Lock
14.8DelawareColonial13621-12CHAMP
2.3DukeACC926-5Lock
21.0DuquesneAtlantic 102806 & 24must win 1 p.m. March 13 on CBS Sports
21.0Eastern WashingtonBig Sky22116-14must win March 12 on ESPNU
20.5FloridaSEC5519-12Uphill
21.0Florida A&MSWAC31011 & 16must win 6 p.m. March 12 on ESPNU
21.0Florida AtlanticCUSA12316 & 13must win 8:30 p.m. March 12 on CBSSN
21.0FordhamAtlantic 1018015-15must win 1 p.m. March 13 on CBS Sports
21.0George MasonAtlantic 1011014-15must win 1 p.m. March 13 on CBS Sports
21.0George WashingtonAtlantic 1022312 & 17must win 1 p.m. March 13 on CBS Sports
15.3Georgia St.Sun Belt15815-10CHAMP
1.0GonzagaWest Coast126-3CHAMP
21.0Grambling St.SWAC3119 & 19must win 6 p.m. March 12 on ESPNU
20.9Grand CanyonWAC8820-7must win 10 p.m. March 12
21.0HawaiiBig West16414-10must win 11:30 p.m. March 12 on ESPN2
5.0HoustonAmerican526-5Lock
3.9IllinoisBig Ten1422-8Lock
19.0IndianaBig Ten4318-12Uphill
6.2IowaBig Ten1522-9Lock
8.2Iowa St.Big 123920-11Lock
15.2Jacksonville St.Atlantic Sun14019-10CHAMP
1.7KansasBig 12725-6Lock
21.0Kansas St.Big 127714-17must win 6 p.m. March 12
21.0Kent St.MAC13019-11must win 7:30 p.m. March 12 on ESPN2
1.9KentuckySEC425-6Lock
21.0La SalleAtlantic 1022211 & 18must win 1 p.m. March 13 on CBS Sports
16.2Long Beach St.Big West15416-11must win 11:30 p.m. March 12 on ESPN2
14.5LongwoodBig South12522-6CHAMP
21.0Louisiana TechCUSA10319-9must win 8:30 p.m. March 12 on CBSSN
10.4Loyola-ChicagoMissouri Valley2424-7CHAMP
5.9LSUSEC1721-10Lock
8.1MarquetteBig East3719-11Lock
21.0MassachusettsAtlantic 1018514-16must win 1 p.m. March 13 on CBS Sports
21.0McNeese St.Southland3137 & 13must win 9:30 p.m. March 12 on ESPN2
21.0MD Eastern ShoreMid-Eastern3008 & 14must win 1 p.m. March 12 on ESPN2
10.1MemphisAmerican3519-9Probably
10.8Miami (FLA.)ACC6122-9Probably
10.3MichiganBig Ten3117-13Probably
8.0Michigan St.Big Ten3820-11Lock
21.0Middle TennesseeCUSA10420-9must win 8:30 p.m. March 12 on CBSSN
21.0Mississippi St.SEC5519-12must win 1 p.m. March 13 on ESPN
20.8MonmouthMetro Atlantic14219-12must win 7:30 p.m. March 12 on ESPN2
14.5Montana St.Big Sky13222-7must win March 12 on ESPNU
21.0Morgan St.Mid-Eastern3018 & 13must win 1 p.m. March 12 on ESPN2
7.5Murray St.Ohio Valley2327-2CHAMP
14.1New Mexico St.WAC8721-6must win 10 p.m. March 12
20.6New OrleansSouthland25414-12must win 9:30 p.m. March 12 on ESPN2
21.0NiagraMetro Atlantic20113-15must win 7:30 p.m. March 12 on ESPN2
16.3Nicholls St.Southland18817-10must win 9:30 p.m. March 12 on ESPN2
15.9Norfolk St.Mid-Eastern16219-6must win 1 p.m. March 12 on ESPN2
8.7North CarolinaACC3223-8Lock
21.0North Carolina CentralMid-Eastern29011-14must win 1 p.m. March 12 on ESPN2
12.5North TexasCUSA4121-5must win 8:30 p.m. March 12 on CBSSN
21.0Northern ColoradoBig Sky19816-13must win March 12 on ESPNU
11.2Notre DameACC5021-9Probably
20.9OhioMAC11122-8must win 7:30 p.m. March 12 on ESPN2
6.4Ohio St.Big Ten2219-10Lock
20.3OklahomaBig 124217-14Probably
21.0PennIvy20812- 15must win 4 p.m. March 12 on ESPNU
21.0Penn St.Big Ten9313-16must win 3:30 p.m. March 13 on CBS
21.0Portland St.Big Sky27611-16must win March 12 on ESPNU
13.9PrincetonIvy10120-5must win 4 p.m. March 12 on ESPNU
4.0ProvidenceBig East2624-4Lock
2.8PurdueBig Ten1325-6Lock
21.0QuinnipiacMetro Atlantic23912-16must win 7:30 p.m. March 12 on ESPN2
21.0Rhode IslandAtlantic 1013814-15must win 1 p.m. March 13 on CBS Sports
21.0RichmondAtlantic 109219-12must win 1 p.m. March 13 on CBS Sports
21.0RiderMetro Atlantic24213-18must win 7:30 p.m. March 12 on ESPN2
13.6RutgersBig Ten7818-12Uphill
21.0Saint Joseph'sAtlantic 1018111-19must win 1 p.m. March 13 on CBS Sports
21.0Saint LouisAtlantic 106220-10must win 1 p.m. March 13 on CBS Sports
21.0Sam HoustonWAC14916-13must win 10 p.m. March 12
8.6San Diego St.Mountain West2921-7Lock
9.6San FranciscoWest Coast2523-9Probably
20.4SeattleWAC12421-8must win 10 p.m. March 12
7.4Seton HallBig East3420-9Lock
13.8SMUAmerican4922-7Uphill
12.1South Dakota St.Summit6428-4CHAMP
21.0South FloridaAmerican244 8-22must win 3:15 p.m. ET March 13 on ESPN
21.0Southeastern LASouthland26214-13must win 9:30 p.m. March 12 on ESPN2
21.0Southern UtahBig Sky16618-10must win March 12 on ESPNU
20.9St. BonaventureAtlantic 108520-8must win 1 p.m. March 13 on CBS Sports
5.4St. Mary's (CA)West Coast1924-7Lock
17.2St. Peter'sMetro Atlantic13116-11must win 7:30 p.m. March 12 on ESPN2
20.9Stephen F. AustinWAC10918-8must win 10 p.m. March 12
8.9TCUBig 124619-11Probably
21.0TempleAmerican10717-11must win 3:15 p.m. ET March 13 on ESPN
2.8TennesseeSEC823-7Lock
5.1TexasBig 121621-10Lock
21.0Texas A&MSEC5519-12must win 1 p.m. March 13 on ESPN
21.0Texas A&M CCSouthland25216-11must win 9:30 p.m. March 12 on ESPN2
19.5Texas SouthernSWAC21216-12must win 6 p.m. March 12 on ESPNU
3.0Texas TechBig 121223-8must win 6 p.m. March 12
13.1ToledoMAC6524-6must win 7:30 p.m. March 12 on ESPN2
21.0TulaneAmerican9713-14must win 3:15 p.m. ET March 13 on ESPN
21.0TulsaAmerican18210 & 19must win 3:15 p.m. ET March 13 on ESPN
20.4UABCUSA5322-7must win 8:30 p.m. March 12 on CBSSN
21.0UC DavisBig West21012 & 9must win 11:30 p.m. March 12 on ESPN2
21.0UC RiversideBig West15614-11must win 11:30 p.m. March 12 on ESPN2
21.0UC Santa BarbaraBig West14114-10must win 11:30 p.m. March 12 on ESPN2
21.0UCFAmerican9517-11must win 3:15 p.m. ET March 13 on ESPN
3.9UCLAPacific-121123-6Lock
6.8USCPacific-123325-6Lock
20.9Utah St.Mountain West6017-14must win 6 p.m. March 12 on CBS
21.0Utah ValleyWAC11618-12must win 10 p.m. March 12
21.0UTEPCUSA16117-12must win 8:30 p.m. March 12 on CBSSN
21.0VanderbiltSEC5519-12must win 1 p.m. March 13 on ESPN
17.1VCUAtlantic 105121-8Uphill, unless win 1 p.m. March 13
13.0VermontAmerica East5626-5Uphill, unless win 11 am March 12
2.4VillanovaBig East623-7Lock
20.9VirginiaACC7919-12must win 8:30 p.m. March 12 on ESPN
20.4Virginia TechACC3620-12must win 8:30 p.m. March 12 on ESPN
14.2Wake ForestACC4423-9Uphill
21.0WashingtonPacific-1211417-14must win 9 p.m. March 12 on FOX
20.8Washington St.Pacific-125919-13must win 9 p.m. March 12 on FOX
20.8Weber St.Big Sky17518-11must win March 12 on ESPNU
21.0West VirginiaBig 127616-16must win 6 p.m. March 12
21.0Wichita St.American8115-12must win 3:15 p.m. ET March 13 on ESPN
3.0WisconsinBig Ten2124-6Lock
15.9Wright St.Horizon19220-13CHAMP
11.6WyomingMountain West4723-7Probably
13.1XavierBig East4018-13Uphill
21.0YaleIvy15216-11must win 4 p.m. March 12 on ESPNU

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