Here is the master list of all 96 teams and predictions. Click on the East, West, Midwest and South bracket to follow the results in each, or click on the Value Add Basketball Game instructions to get the free game and play for yourself. Click here for the google sheet with player cards for all 96 teams. Click here for box scores to all tournament games.
PDFs of new and improved player cards appear below:
Alabama 1977 to Duke 2010
Florida 2006 to Iowa 2002
Kansas 1957 to LSU 2006
Marquette 1977 to Notre Dame 1970
Ohio State 1960 to Purdue 2018
San Diego State 2011 to Texas Southern (UTEP) 1966
UCLA 1972 to Wyoming 1943
Table key: dunks = number of uncontested scores out of 36 rolls from 11-36, Stop Dunks = number added (bad) or subtracted (good) from opponents dunk range, Pred Off = average score resulting from team playing cards in 66 possession Value Add Basketball Games against all top 100 teams in history, Pred Def = average points cards would allow in the those games, Net = difference between those two which is used as the teams rating for seeding or knowing who is favored in a given game by how many points (difference between two net scores). E.g. Arizona's 14.2 indicates it would average defeating LSU (5.5) by 8.7 points if they played hundreds of times. Click here for all box scores from tournament games.
|Seed||South Region||Year||Conference||Dunks||Stop Dunks||Pred Off||Pred Def||Net|
|12||Oklahoma St.||2004||Big 12||7||-2||72.3||59.2||13.1|
|13||Texas Tech||2019||Big 12||4||-4||67.2||55.6||11.6|
The first South Region All-Time March Madness game was the first to feature the new Value Add Basketball Game Player Cards - which are much easier to print out and have more of a vertical look than the previous cards. Below see a photo of the layout of the game at the end of the game.
#19 Auburn (1984) 84, #14 West Virginia (1959) 76 in Overtime
The first game with the new card layout turned out to be the most exciting game to date and the first upset of the tournament (though West Virginia wins by just one to two points on average in simulated games between the two).
Jerry West and his 1959 West Virginia dominated most of the game, leading until the final four possessions of regulation including a 52-38 lead in the second half. At that point Charles Barkley only had 6 points.
On the crucial play with 4 possessions.left for each team (less than 3 minutes), Chuck Person went to the hoop and drew the fifth foul on Jerry West, hitting both free throws to tie the score 63-63 with West out for the game after a 19 point, 7 rebound game. His backup Robert Clousson did score to regain the lead 65-65, but with only two trips left Barkley scored and drew a foul for the and-one old fashioned 3-point play to give Auburn their first lead at 66-65. However, West Virginia made it 67-65 leaving each team with one possession to go for each team.
Both teams committed fouls on their final defensive possession - with Auburn's Gerald White (a 65% free throw shooter who makes his shot on a roll of 1-13 on the 20-sided die) hitting both to give Auburn their second lead of the game at 68-67, and then West Virginia's Bob Smith (70%, 1-14 made) missing the first shot and then making the second one to send the game to overtime at 68-68. If he had missed the second, the team's could have battled for the rebound but the offense is less than half as likely to get an offensive rebound on a free throw as on a regular shot missed, making UVa's intentional miss last year all the more amazing).
Auburn dominated the overtime with West out of the game.
|#19 Auburn 1984||Pts||Reb||Stls||Blks||Fouls||Possessions Played|
|Gerald White||10||2||1||0||2||29 to 1 (1)|
|Frank Ford||6||6||1||0||5||44 to 30, 21 to 1 (2)|
|Greg Turner||16||7||0||1||3||44 to 37, 28 to 1 (3)|
|Charles Barkley||16||6||0||1||2||36 to 1 (4)|
|Chuck Person||24||7||3||1||4||44 to 1 (5)|
|Paul Daniels||10||2||1||0||3||44 to 30 (1), 29 to 22 (2)|
|Vern Strickland||2||2||1||0||3||44 to 37 (4), 36-29 (3)|
|#14 West Virginia 1959||Pts||Reb||Stls||Blks||Fouls||Possessions Played|
|Marvin Bucky Bolyard||12||4||1||0||4||37 to 1 (1)|
|James Ritchie||8||5||0||0||2||37 to 1 (2)|
|Bob Smith||11||8||0||2||5||37 to 1 (3)|
|Willie Akers||8||7||0||3||2||37 to 1 (4)|
|Jerry West||19||7||1||1||5||44 to 4 (5)|
|Paul Butch Goode||3||3||0||1||1||44 to 38 (1)|
|Lee Patrone||2||0||0||0||1||44 to 38 (2)|
|Joe Posch||4||0||0||0||1||44 to 38 (3)|
|Robert Clousson||10||4||0||0||1||44 to 38 (4), 3 to 1 (5)|
More to come