Thursday, November 28, 2019

Midwest Region All-Time March Madness: 1943 Wyoming Inventor of Jump Shot Battles Ohio State's 2007 Conley

Here is the master list of all 96 teams and predictions. Click on the EastWest, Midwest and South bracket to follow the results in each, or click on the Value Add Basketball Game instructions to get the free game and play for yourself. Click here for the google sheet with player cards for all 96 teams. Click here for box scores to all tournament games.

PDFs of new and improved player cards appear below:

Alabama 1977 to Duke 2010

Florida 2006 to Iowa 2002

Kansas 1957 to LSU 2006

Marquette 1977 to Notre Dame 1970

Ohio State 1960 to Purdue 2018

San Diego State 2011 to Texas Southern (UTEP) 1966

UCLA 1972 to Wyoming 1943

Table key: dunks = number of uncontested scores out of 36 rolls from 11-36, Stop Dunks = number added (bad) or subtracted (good) from opponents dunk range, Pred Off = average score resulting from team playing cards in 66 possession Value Add Basketball Games against all top 100 teams in history, Pred Def = average points cards would allow in the those games, Net = difference between those two which is used as the teams rating for seeding or knowing who is favored in a given game by how many points (difference between two net scores). E.g. Arizona's 14.2 indicates it would average defeating LSU (5.5) by 8.7 points if they played hundreds of times.  Click here for all box scores from tournament games.

SeedMidwest RegionYearConferenceDunksStop DunksPred OffPred DefNet
5Connecticut2004Big East11-475.458.716.7
20Creighton2014Big East2-372.762.510.2
12Georgetown2007Big East3-669.556.812.7
10Illinois2005Big Ten6-372.258.513.7
16Indiana2002Big Ten6-468.256.811.4
1Indiana1976Big Ten6-976.754.222.5
21Kansas St.2008Big 1210-
19La Salle1954Ind8-271.861.010.8
6Michigan1989Big Ten3-476.760.616.1
14Michigan St.2009Big Ten10-371.659.112.5
2Michigan St.1979Big Ten4-773.855.218.6
18Notre Dame1970Ind12679.969.110.8
11Ohio St.2007Big Ten7-271.758.713.0
3Ohio State1960Big Ten13283.265.118.1
13Oklahoma1985Big 89580.868.112.7
17Oklahoma2016Big 128-172.261.310.9
4Purdue1969Big Ten15282.065.316.7
8Purdue2018Big Ten5-473.859.314.5
15St. Joe's2004A105172.260.112.1
23Wichita St.2013MVC5-167.759.87.9
7Wisconsin2015Big Ten1-671.756.814.9

#11 Ohio State (2007) 73, #22 Wyoming  (1943)

Before taking two years off from his All-American career at Wyoming to fight as a Marine in the South Pacific, the 5-foot-10 Ken Sailors invented the jump shot to shoot over his 6-foot-4 brother and is described as a modern Markus Howard from Marquette - dribbling around and through players. The 1943 team he led to a 32-1 record despite needing to travel for 24 of those games (the NCAA election committee would have loved that), shocked Georgetown for the NCAA title and then shocked NIT champion St. John's in a game between the two champions.

We opened the All-Time Midwest March Madness with Sailor taking on the 2007 Ohio State team, and while Sailors two big men underneath - Jim Weir and Milo Komenich - kept it respectable with 19 rebounds, in the end the Buckeyes will too much and advanced to play their hated rival in the #6 seed Michigan that won the 1999 title. By the time Sailors hit his first jumper, Ohio State led 42-32.

Mike Connelly and Greg Oden took over with the inside-outside game during five possessions after Wyoming cut it to 44-39. Connelly's steal denied Wyoming a chance to get closer, Oden then scored after an offensive rebound, and Connelly scored and was fouled on his next trip, before Oden showed why he is one of the best shot blockers in history with a block, and Ivan Harris' dunk pushed it back to double digits at 57-46 and Wyoming never threatened again. Obviously decades of training made modern athletes much faster and stronger than players from eras past, based on the level of play at hte time Wyoming's player cards left them only a 4-point underdog to Ohio State on the game based on the table above.

#22 Wyoming 1943PtsRebStlsBlksFoulsPossessions Played
James Collins7321237-1 (1)
Floyd Volker4512337-1 (2)
Ken Sailors11600137-1 (3)
Jim Weir201021237-1 (4)
Milo Komenich7901237-1 (5)
Donald Waite2100144-38 (1)
Earl Ray2100144-38 (2)
Jack Downey2101144-38 (3)
Jimmie Reese3100144-38 (4)
Lou Roney2200144-38 (5)
#11 Ohio State 2007PtsRebStlsBlksFoulsPossessions Played
Jamar Butler11350240 to 1 (1), 40-38 (2), 37 (3)
Mike Conley15320144-41, 37-1 (2)
Ron Lewis11301338, 36-1 (3)
Ivan Harris8301222-1 (4)
Greg Oden81013228-1 (5)
David Lighty2100144-41 (1), 40-38 (2)
Daequan Cook4300144-39 (3)
Othello Hunter8310344-24 (4)
Matt Terwilliger6500144-29 (5), 23 (4)

More to come

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