Sunday, September 24, 2017

CAA: After JMU Football, Charleston and Elon Should Battle for March Madness Bid

James Madison is good enough to win the FCS Championship, before potentially dropping to the bottom of the basketball standings in the Colonial Athletic Association.

Value Add projects two conference players among the 25 best in the country in Joe Chealey of the conference favorite College of Charleston and Devontae Cacok of UNC Wilmington. Elon looks like the toughest challenger for the title after Wilmington's incredible 29-6 team that was a 12-seed may fall off due to graduating players.

Here is where Value Add ranks each Colonial Athletic team for the season, and the Massey Rankings rank the football teams against all other schools (including behind the 129 FBS schools). James Madison is better than MOST of the FBS schools in football. Updates will be provided here.

CAA / 2017 SeedHoops 2017-18Football
College of Charleston77
William & Mary146149
North Carolina Wilmington 12189
James Madison34852

Here are the top 15 projected players in the conference in order.

Top 15 CAA PlayersValue AddSchoolHt
Joe Chealey 139.29College of Charleston`6-04
Devontae Cacok 158.75UNC Wilmington`6-07
Justin Wright-Foreman 35.59Hofstra`6-01
Tyler Seibring 415.27Elon`6-08
Grant Riller 15.16College of Charleston`6-03
Jarrell Brantley 54.92College of Charleston`6-07
Eli Pemberton 54.79Hofstra`6-04
Ryan Daly 04.64Delaware`6-04
Mike Morsell 234.56Towson`6-05
Brian Dawkins 04.51Elon`6-08
Nick Harris 234.33College of Charleston`6-10
Rokas Gustys 114.20Hofstra`6-09
Jack Whitman 414.16William & Mary`6-09
Dainan Swoope 133.78Elon`6-00
Kari Jonsson 123.66Drexel`6-03

Ken Pomeroy ranked the Colonial Athletic a very strong 12th of 32 Division 1 basketball conferences, which will all be previewed here with notes on which schools are now "basketball" or "football" schools based on which program is stronger this season. Football revenue is much higher, but programs are much more expensive between equipment and the requirement of matching enough women's scholarships in other sports. Therefore some programs forgo FBS football programs to focus on low cost basketball programs as their biggest revenue sport.

Sports IllustratedFox Sports and ESPN have lauded Value Add Basketball for estimating the number of points each college basketball players is worth to his team above a replacement player - similar to baseball WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Massey Ratings is used for the football rankings above.

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