Sunday, September 24, 2017

Atlantic Sun: Florida Gulf Coast Shoots for More Upsets If they can Hold Off Lipscomb

Andy Enfield shoots for a national title at USC, but the jamming program he built at Florida Gulf Coast is still jamming Brandon Goodwin, one of the Top 100 players in the country and the preseason Player of the Year, who can pass into six players who are either 6-foot-9 or 6-foot-10.

Value Add the conference shapes up as a likely two team race between FGSU and Lipscomb, which has two of the most valuable four players in the conference in Garrison Mathews and Rob Marberry. Do not feel bad for the New Jersey Institute of Technology (NJIT) for ranking near the bottom after an 11-21 season. After being an independent, the smart New Jersey students now play in a conference that let's them travel to Florida to play basketball throughout the winter.

Here is where Value Add ranks each Atlantic Sun team for the season, and the Massey Rankings rank the football teams against all other schools (including behind the 129 FBS schools). Updates will be provided here.

ASun / 2017 SeedHoops 2017-18Football
Florida Gulf Coast 14122
USC Upstate270
Kennesaw St.281194
North Florida293

Here are the top 15 projected players in the conference in order.

Top 15 ASun PlayersValue AddSchoolHt
Brandon Goodwin6.94Florida Gulf Coast`6-02
Garrison Mathews 245.61Lipscomb`6-05
Nick Masterson 215.19Kennesaw St.`6-06
Rob Marberry 04.59Lipscomb`6-07
Divine Myles4.27Stetson`5-11
Derick Newton4.20Stetson`6-06
Mike Cunningham 14.00South Carolina UpSt.`6-01
Zach Johnson 54.00Florida Gulf Coast`6-02
Nathan Moran 53.65Lipscomb`5-10
Christian Terrell 113.62Florida Gulf Coast`6-05
Garrett Sams 113.20North Florida`6-06
Devin Harris3.00Jacksonville`6-06
Wajid Aminu 23.00North Florida`6-07
Jace Hogan 442.96Jacksonville`6-06
Rayjon Tucker 32.93Florida Gulf Coast`6-05

Ken Pomeroy ranked the Atlantic Sun 25th of 32 Division 1 basketball conferences, which will all be previewed here with notes on which schools are now "basketball" or "football" schools based on which program is stronger this season. Football revenue is much higher, but programs are much more expensive between equipment and the requirement of matching enough women's scholarships in other sports. Therefore some programs forgo FBS football programs to focus on low cost basketball programs as their biggest revenue sport.

Sports IllustratedFox Sports and ESPN have lauded Value Add Basketball for estimating the number of points each college basketball players is worth to his team above a replacement player - similar to baseball WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Massey Ratings is used for the football rankings above.

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