Value Add the conference shapes up as a likely two team race between FGSU and Lipscomb, which has two of the most valuable four players in the conference in Garrison Mathews and Rob Marberry. Do not feel bad for the New Jersey Institute of Technology (NJIT) for ranking near the bottom after an 11-21 season. After being an independent, the smart New Jersey students now play in a conference that let's them travel to Florida to play basketball throughout the winter.
Here is where Value Add ranks each Atlantic Sun team for the season, and the Massey Rankings rank the football teams against all other schools (including behind the 129 FBS schools). Updates will be provided here.
| ASun / 2017 Seed | Hoops 2017-18 | Football |
|---|---|---|
| Lipscomb | 118 | |
| Florida Gulf Coast 14 | 122 | |
| Stetson | 240 | 401 |
| USC Upstate | 270 | |
| Kennesaw St. | 281 | 194 |
| North Florida | 293 | |
| NJIT | 316 | |
| Jacksonville | 330 | 336 |
Here are the top 15 projected players in the conference in order.
| Top 15 ASun Players | Value Add | School | Ht |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Goodwin | 6.94 | Florida Gulf Coast | `6-02 |
| Garrison Mathews 24 | 5.61 | Lipscomb | `6-05 |
| Nick Masterson 21 | 5.19 | Kennesaw St. | `6-06 |
| Rob Marberry 0 | 4.59 | Lipscomb | `6-07 |
| Divine Myles | 4.27 | Stetson | `5-11 |
| Derick Newton | 4.20 | Stetson | `6-06 |
| Mike Cunningham 1 | 4.00 | South Carolina UpSt. | `6-01 |
| Zach Johnson 5 | 4.00 | Florida Gulf Coast | `6-02 |
| Nathan Moran 5 | 3.65 | Lipscomb | `5-10 |
| Christian Terrell 11 | 3.62 | Florida Gulf Coast | `6-05 |
| Garrett Sams 11 | 3.20 | North Florida | `6-06 |
| Devin Harris | 3.00 | Jacksonville | `6-06 |
| Wajid Aminu 2 | 3.00 | North Florida | `6-07 |
| Jace Hogan 44 | 2.96 | Jacksonville | `6-06 |
| Rayjon Tucker 3 | 2.93 | Florida Gulf Coast | `6-05 |
Ken Pomeroy ranked the Atlantic Sun 25th of 32 Division 1 basketball conferences, which will all be previewed here with notes on which schools are now "basketball" or "football" schools based on which program is stronger this season. Football revenue is much higher, but programs are much more expensive between equipment and the requirement of matching enough women's scholarships in other sports. Therefore some programs forgo FBS football programs to focus on low cost basketball programs as their biggest revenue sport.
Sports Illustrated, Fox Sports and ESPN have lauded Value Add Basketball for estimating the number of points each college basketball players is worth to his team above a replacement player - similar to baseball WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Massey Ratings is used for the football rankings above.
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