Illinois State is the best returning basketball team, going 28-7 to rank 49th a www.kenpom.com last year, but it appears the aforementioned trio may have more talent returning.
Value Add projects Missouri State's Alize Johnson as the elite player in the conference, ranking in the top 2% of all players (62nd of more than 4000) to easily lead the list of the top 15 players listed below.
Here is where Value Add ranks each Missouri Valley team for the season, and the Massey Rankings rank the football teams against all other schools (including behind the 129 FBS schools). Updates will be provided here.
| Missouri Valley / 2017 Seed | Hoops 2017-18 | Football |
|---|---|---|
| Loyola Chicago | 66 | |
| Valparaiso | 111 | 346 |
| Missouri St. | 119 | 190 |
| Northern Iowa | 129 | 112 |
| Illinois St. | 188 | 94 |
| Southern Illinois | 196 | 119 |
| Bradley | 209 | |
| Drake | 222 | 316 |
| Indiana St. | 242 | 168 |
| Evansville | 310 |
Here are the top 15 projected players in the conference in order.
| Top 15 MVC Players | Value Add | School | Ht |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alize Johnson | 7.44 | Missouri St. | `6-09 |
| Donte Ingram 0 | 6.22 | Loyola Chicago | `6-06 |
| Phil Fayne 10 | 6.10 | Illinois St. | `6-09 |
| Aundre Jackson 24 | 6.04 | Loyola Chicago | `6-05 |
| Tevonn Walker | 5.00 | Valparaiso | |
| Armon Fletcher 22 | 4.77 | Southern Illinois | `6-04 |
| Ryan Taylor 0 | 4.76 | Evansville | `6-06 |
| Tevonn Walker 2 | 4.66 | Valparaiso | `6-02 |
| Bennett Koch 25 | 4.60 | Northern Iowa | `6-10 |
| Thik Bol 40 | 4.35 | Southern Illinois | `6-08 |
| Clayton Custer 13 | 4.31 | Loyola Chicago | `6-01 |
| Brenton Scott 4 | 4.20 | Indiana St. | `6-01 |
| Donte Thomas 1 | 4.07 | Bradley | `6-07 |
| Reed Timmer 12 | 3.91 | Drake | `6-01 |
| Obediah Church 5 | 3.79 | Missouri St. | `6-07 |
Ken Pomeroy ranked the Missouri Valley with Wichita State 10th of 32 Division 1 basketball conferences, which will all be previewed here with notes on which schools are now "basketball" or "football" schools based on which program is stronger this season. Football revenue is much higher, but programs are much more expensive between equipment and the requirement of matching enough women's scholarships in other sports. Therefore some programs forgo FBS football programs to focus on low cost basketball programs as their biggest revenue sport.
Sports Illustrated, Fox Sports and ESPN have lauded Value Add Basketball for estimating the number of points each college basketball players is worth to his team above a replacement player - similar to baseball WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Massey Ratings is used for the football rankings above.
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