Sunday, September 24, 2017

ACC: Duke Joins Louisville as National Contender with Bagley Signing

Marvin Bagley's late signing makes Duke a national contender with five of the top 60 players in the country, and gives the ACC three of the top 10 players. Bagley may be the best NBA player in this draft, but he ranks behind projected 1st team All-Americans in Notre Dame's Bonzie Colson (projected national Player of the Year) and Ben Lammers, who reportedly chose Georgia Tech after seeing the engineering department's 3D printer.

Value Add projects the first 14 players listed below as Top 100 players, with Deng Adel of Louisville ranked 106th of 4,000.

Here is where Value Add ranks each Atlantic Coast Conference team for the season, and the Massey Rankings rank the football teams against all other schools.  And yes, Clemson's football team will try to give the ACC another football-basketball double championship.

Updates will be provided here.

ACC / 2017 SeedHoops 2017-18Football
Louisville 2115
Duke 2431
Miami FL 82412
North Carolina 13237
Virginia Tech 93313
Virginia 53776
Notre Dame 54120
Wake Forest 116236
Georgia Tech6728
Boston College13167
Florida St. 314711
North Carolina St.16247

Here are the top 15 projected players in the conference in order.

Top 15 ACC PlayersValue AddSchoolHt
Bonzie Colson 3511.33Notre Dame`6-05
Ben Lammers 4410.30Georgia Tech`6-10
Marvin Bagley9.65Duke`6-11
Grayson Allen 38.50Duke`6-05
Bruce Brown 118.28Miami FL`6-05
Joel Berry 28.00North Carolina`6-00
Wendell Carter7.85Duke`6-10
Bryant Crawford 137.77Wake Forest`6-03
Josh Okogie 57.65Georgia Tech`6-04
Gary Trent Jr7.61Duke`6-06
Trevon Duval7.60Duke`6-02
Isaiah Wilkins 217.30Virginia`6-07
Deontae Hawkins 237.16Boston College`6-08
Lonnie Walker6.99Miami FL`6-04
Deng Adel6.74Louisville`6-07

Ken Pomeroy ranked the ACC as second to only the Big 12 of 32 Division 1 basketball conferences, which will all be previewed here with notes on which schools are now "basketball" or "football" schools based on which program is stronger this season. Football revenue is much higher, but programs are much more expensive between equipment and the requirement of matching enough women's scholarships in other sports. Therefore some programs forgo FBS football programs to focus on low cost basketball programs as their biggest revenue sport.

Sports IllustratedFox Sports and ESPN have lauded Value Add Basketball for estimating the number of points each college basketball players is worth to his team above a replacement player - similar to baseball WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Massey Ratings is used for the football rankings above.

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