Sunday, September 24, 2017

Atlantic 10: St. Bonaventure Duo Could Challenge Dayton, Rhode Island and VCU

FBS members Massachusetts and Richmond both look strong on the football field, but these school hope for another banner March Madness year for the Atlantic 10.

Value Add projects six top 100 teams, all of which could make a run at tournament bids. One of the best duos in the country is Jaylen Adams (ranked 30th of 4,000 players) and Matt Mobley (61st) out of 4,000. Adams could get Player of the Year, but Value Add pegs Aldridge as the ninth best player in the country.

Here is where Value Add ranks each Atlantic 10 team for the season, and the Massey Rankings rank the football teams against all other schools (including behind the 129 FBS schools). Updates will be provided here.

Atlantic 10 / 2017 SeedHoops 2017-18Football
Rhode Island 1164188
VCU 1079
Saint Bonaventure85
La Salle100
Saint Joseph's107
Saint Louis133
George Mason195
Dayton 7197265
George Washington296

Here are the top 15 projected players in the conference in order.

Top 15 A10 PlayersValue AddSchoolHt
Peyton Aldridge 239.73Davidson`6-08
Jaylen Adams 108.55St. Bonaventure`6-02
Matt Mobley 27.53St. Bonaventure`6-03
Justin Tillman 47.27Virginia Commonwealth`6-07
EC Matthews 06.30Rhode Island`6-05
Shavar Newkirk 16.20St. Joseph's`6-00
BJ Johnson6.00La Salle`6-07
Jared Terrell 325.80Rhode Island`6-03
Jonathan Williams 105.71Virginia Commonwealth`6-01
Xeyrius Williams 205.33Dayton`6-08
Pookie Powell 05.30La Salle`6-00
De'Monte Buckingham 114.82Richmond`6-04
Otis Livingston 44.82George Mason`5-11
MJ Walker4.74Fordham`0-00
Amar Stukes 24.68La Salle`6-02

Ken Pomeroy ranked the Atlantic 10 as the 8th best of 32 Division 1 basketball conferences, which will all be previewed here with notes on which schools are now "basketball" or "football" schools based on which program is stronger this season. Football revenue is much higher, but programs are much more expensive between equipment and the requirement of matching enough women's scholarships in other sports. Therefore some programs forgo FBS football programs to focus on low cost basketball programs as their biggest revenue sport.

Sports IllustratedFox Sports and ESPN have lauded Value Add Basketball for estimating the number of points each college basketball players is worth to his team above a replacement player - similar to baseball WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Massey Ratings is used for the football rankings above.

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