Value Add projects Bucknell a heavy favorite to build on their 13-seed from last year's March Madness. Navy, with the best football team of any school in the Patroit League for basketball, could compete with Loyola and Boston University for the best of the rest. While most schools do have a non-FBS football team, Boston University remains an excited target for a Big East that desperately wants back in the Boston market and might go with an 11-team league to preserve a round robin format.
Here is where Value Add ranks each Patriot League team for the season, and the Massey Rankings rank the football teams against all other schools (including the 129 FBS schools. Updates will be provided here.
| Team - 2017 Seed | Hoops | Football |
|---|---|---|
| Bucknell 13 | 49 | 259 |
| Loyola MD | 132 | |
| Boston University | 137 | |
| Navy | 151 | 62 |
| Colgate | 185 | 178 |
| Army | 190 | 89 |
| Lehigh | 218 | 214 |
| Lafayette | 292 | 314 |
| Holy Cross | 314 | 181 |
| American | 341 | 465 |
Here are the top 15 projected players in the conference in order.
| Top 15 Patriot Players | Value Add | School | Ht |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nana Foulland 20 | 7.01 | Bucknell | `6-09 |
| Zach Thomas 23 | 6.78 | Bucknell | `6-07 |
| Cam Gregory 22 | 6.11 | Loyola MD | `6-08 |
| Kahron Ross 1 | 6.10 | Lehigh | `5-11 |
| Stephen Brown 2 | 6.06 | Bucknell | `5-11 |
| Kimbal Mackenzie 1 | 5.30 | Bucknell | `6-01 |
| Shawn Anderson 20 | 5.10 | Navy | `6-04 |
| Sean O'Brien 0 | 5.04 | Colgate | `6-02 |
| Andre Walker 2 | 4.70 | Loyola MD | `6-00 |
| Cedric Hankerson 21 | 4.50 | Boston University | `6-05 |
| Karl Charles 1 | 4.45 | Holy Cross | `6-06 |
| Will Rayman 10 | 4.20 | Colgate | `6-08 |
| Jordan Fox 30 | 3.94 | Army | `6-01 |
| Tom Lacey 1 | 3.65 | Navy | `6-07 |
| Tyler Scanlon 2 | 3.54 | Boston University | `6-07 |
Ken Pomeroy ranked the Patriot League 23rd of 32 Division 1 basketball conferences, which will all be previewed here with notes on which schools are now "basketball" or "football" schools based on which program is stronger this season. Football revenue is much higher, but programs are much more expensive between equipment and the requirement of matching enough women's scholarships in other sports. Therefore some programs forgo FBS football programs to focus on low cost basketball programs as their biggest revenue sport.
Sports Illustrated, Fox Sports and ESPN have lauded Value Add Basketball for estimating the number of points each college basketball players is worth to his team above a replacement player - similar to baseball WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Massey Ratings is used for the football rankings above.
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