LA Dodger Stadium (11-65 HR) | OPS | Pos | HR | OBR/SP | Fielding |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Shohei Ohtani | 0.915 | DH | 23-32 | A/B | DH |
Freddie Freeman | 0.892 | 1b | 32-36 | B/B | 1b, CD-1, E5 |
Mookie Betts | 0.89 | 2b | 25-32 | B/B | 2b, RF, CD-2, E5 |
Will Smith | 0.81 | C | 24-28 | D/D | C, CD-5, E1, TA |
Max Muncy | 0.784 | 3b | 16-24 | E/D | 3b, CD-1, E7 |
Teoscar Hernández | 0.783 | RF | 25-33 | D/C | RF, CD-1, E5, T3 |
Chris Taylor | 0.706 | LF | 23-26 | B/A | LF, SS, CD-4, E2, T4 |
Kevin Kiermaier (fr Tor) | 0.686 | CF | 28-31 | A/B | CF, CD-5, E1, T5 |
Tommy Edman | 0.723 | SS | 33-35 | A/AA | 2b, CF, SS, CD-4, E3 |
Kiké Hernández (Temp #4) | 0.710 | OF | 27-31 | B/C | OF,2b,ss |
Gavin Lux | 0.731 | 2b | 28-31 | A/C | 2b, CD-1, E6 |
James Outman | 0.758 | CF | 22-26 | A/B | CF, CD-4, E2, T4 |
Sea (T-Mobile Park 11-53) | OPS | Pos | HR | OBR/SP | Fielding |
Julio Rodríguez | 0.841 | CF | 28-35 | A/AAA | CF, CD-4, E2, T4 |
Randy Arozarena (fr TBR) | 0.8 | LF | 27-32 | B/B | LF, CD-1, E5, T2 |
Justin Turner (fr TOR) | 0.746 | 3b | 28-32 | E/D | 1b, CD-4, E2 |
Cal Raleigh | 0.761 | C | 22-28 | E/D | C, CD-5, E1, TA |
Mitch Garver | 0.757 | DH | 22-27 | E/D | C, CD-2, E2, TB |
Jorge Polanco | 0.742 | 2b | 25-31 | D/C | 2b, SS, CD-1, E6 |
J.P. Crawford | 0.736 | SS | 28-31 | E/C | SS, CD-1, E7 |
Luke Raley | 0.729 | 1B | 23-27 | B/B | 1b, RF, CD-2, E4 |
Victor Robles (fr wsn) | 0.691 | RF | 27-31 | A/A | CF, CD-2, E4, T2 |
Dominic Canzone | 0.735 | LF | 27-33 | C/D | LF, CD-2, E4, T2 |
Mitch Haniger | 0.723 | LF | 23-28 | E/D | LF, CD-2, E4, T2 |
Dylan Moore | 0.696 | 2b | 22-25 | A/A | 2b, LF, CD-5, E2 |
LA Dodgers Pitchers | ERA | K | SR | Max IP | Fielding |
Clayton Kershaw | 3.64 | 25'-42 | 14 | 6 | P-CD2,E5 |
Yoshinobu Yamamoto | 3.80 | 23'-41 | 16 | 7 | P-CD2,E5 |
Tyler Glasnow | 3.52 | 22'-42 | 14 | 7 | P-CD2,E5 |
Walker Buehler | 3.94 | 25'-42 | 15 | 7 | P-CD2,E5 |
Bobby Miller | 3.88 | 24'-41 | 14 | 7 | P-CD2,E5 |
Michael Kopech (fr CHW) | 5.03 | 23'-37 | 14 | 6 | P-CD2,E5 |
Jack Flaherty | 4.46 | 24'-38 | 14 | 6 | P-CD2,E5 |
Brusdar Graterol | 3.68 | 23'-35 | 0 | 2 | P-CD2,E5 |
Evan Phillips | 3.57 | 33'-55 | 0 | 2 | P-CD2,E5 |
Seattle Pitchers | ERA | K | SR | Max IP | Fielding |
Luis Castillo | 3.46 | 23'-43 | 15 | 7 | P-CD2,E5 |
George Kirby | 3.56 | 26'-42 | 15 | 7 | P-CD2,E5 |
Logan Gilbert | 3.69 | 25'-42 | 15 | 7 | P-CD2,E5 |
Bryce Miller | 4.10 | 23'-35 | 14 | 6 | P-CD2,E5 |
Emerson Hancock | 4.57 | 26'-35 | 7 | 3 | P-CD2,E5 |
Andrés Muñoz | 2.90 | 17'-44 | 0 | 2 | P-CD2,E5 |
Gabe Speier | 3.57 | 24'-43 | 0 | 2 | P-CD2,E5 |
Yimi García (fr TOR) | 3.91 | 24'-43 | 0 | 2 | P-CD2,E5 |
Bryan Woo | 4.07 | 27'-45 | 9 | 4 | P-CD2,E5 |
During a rare MLB season with no 100-win teams, we played out our Statis-Pro baseball season using current rosters, but with teams at full strength and no injuries.
No surprise, the Los Angeles Dodgers advanced to the World Series. As noted in an earlier post, based on the WAR of all injured players, if every team had played the entire season at full strength (but also faced opponents at full strength), no team would have finished with more than 95 wins—except the Dodgers, who were projected to win 106 games. So, with a healthy roster, the Dodgers were 11 games better than any other team, making their World Series berth all but inevitable.
That leaves the incredibly balanced “what-if” American League, where the Seattle Mariners barely survived a series against the Yankees before sweeping the Twins in the ALCS.
In the real season, Julio Rodríguez was hampered by an ankle sprain for two months, causing his OPS to dip below .800 and his WAR to fall to a still-solid but no longer elite 4.3. Had the Mariners picked up past postseason heroes like Randy Arozarena, Víctor Robles, and Justin Turner before the second half, they would have been the team to beat. In fact, with a healthy J-Rod and that full roster, they finished the season 15-7, narrowly missing the playoffs by one game behind the Tigers and Royals, and falling just three games short of catching the Astros for the divisional title.
While the Mariners' series against the Yankees featured two walk-off home runs in come-from-behind victories, it’s no surprise that the "what-if" Statis-Pro season yielded the Mariners as the American League champs.
That being said, the Mariners enter the World Series as heavy underdogs against the Dodgers. The Mariners' excellent starting pitching overwhelmed the light-hitting Twins, who didn’t have a single player with a projected OPS above .800. In fact, the first four batters in the Dodgers' lineup boast better cards than any Twins batter: Shohei Ohtani (0.915), Freddie Freeman (0.892), Mookie Betts (0.890), and Will Smith (0.810).
ALCS Wrap-up: Mariners Sweep Twins
Game 1 – Mariners 4, Twins 3
Both teams stunned their opposing ace with 3-run homers early in the game. Crawford hit a 3-run shot in the bottom of the second inning off Minnesota’s PB2-9 Lopez, while Santana responded with a 3-run homer in the top of the fourth off Seattle’s Castillo.
Minnesota wouldn’t score again in the final 23 innings of the series.
Munoz was called into action early in the sixth with the bases loaded and managed to escape the jam, preserving the 3-3 tie. Woo, who could have helped the Mariners pick up a few extra wins had he pitched the entire season, came in for the final outs to secure the save.
The game-winning hit came in the eighth, courtesy of former Dodger Justin Turner. He launched a deep drive off Stewart that just barely cleared the fence on a 51 roll, aided by the Mariners’ hitter-friendly 11-53 home run range in T-Mobile Park.
Game 2 – Mariners 1, Twins 0
Kirby, Woo, and Munoz combined for a 2-hit shutout in Game 2. Raley led off the bottom of the third with a single and stole second base. J-Rod then advanced him to third with a deep fly, and Arozarena drove him in with a single to give the Mariners a 1-0 victory.
Game 3 – Mariners 4, Twins 0 (scoresheet below)
Arozarena led off the top of the sixth with a Z-play double, as left fielder Larnach failed to track down a deep drive. In one of the rarest events in Statis-Pro, a second straight Z-play resulted in another game-winning double, as Justin Turner hammered a deep drive that center fielder Castro couldn't corral. That gave Turner two of the series’ three game-winning hits and a 1-0 lead. Polanco added a 3-run homer to chase reliever Festa.
Paddock gave the Twins 5 strong innings, but his endurance rating (SR11) limited him to only 5 innings before his PB dropped, forcing Minnesota to turn to Festa for the loss.
Meanwhile, Gilbert’s endurance allowed him to go seven innings, surrendering only two hits and two walks, though remarkably, he didn’t record a single strikeout.
Munoz pitched the eighth and ninth innings in a risky move, as pitching more than five batters would mean he wouldn’t be available for the next game if the series went longer. His RR2 dropped after the eighth inning ended (lowering his endurance to 1), and after walking Crawford with one out in the ninth, his PB went from a 2-9 to a 2-8. Despite this, he got the last two outs to seal the sweep.
No comments:
Post a Comment