Saturday, May 23, 2020

Ballpark Adjustments for Statis-Pro: DEEP Drives

The following chart can be used with basic Statis-Pro cards to adjust for the chances of scoring in each ballpark. To keep the adjustment very basic, simply take the highest two hit numbers for the batter at the plate (usually home runs unless the batter has one or fewer homers on his card) and the next two numbers (usually strikeouts) and change the result of those Random Numbers to a DEEP drive.

When a DEEP drive is the result, flip an extra Random Number and the result will always either be a Home Run, or a Deep Drive with all runners advancing one base. If the Mets are at home, the DEEP drive will always be caught because it is very hard to score in Citi Field. If the Rockies or Rangers are at home, the ball will always sail out of the ballpark for a home run because Globe Life Park and Coors Field yields many runs.



Advanced Ball Park Option - Adjust Players Cards As Well

To be truly accurate with a ballpark adjustment, you also want to adjust the Statis-Pro cards. A Colorado pitcher card actually should be better than the calculation because the pitcher would have had better stats pitching half his games in another park, and a San Francisco batter card actually should be better because the batter would have had better stats elsewhere.

The fourth column above indicates which numbers should be changed to DEEP based on what team is on the players card (if a combined card, just treat like the Angels, a neutral card.


As an example, let's say we had the following numbers on a batter's card:

HR: 31-34
K: 35-36
W: 37
HPB: 38
Out: 41-88

If you used just the basic adjustment above then a 33-36 would become a DEEP drive, which might or might not go out of the park depending on where the game was being played. This means two of his home runs (33 and 34) might turn into deep fly outs, and two of his outs (35 and 36) might be home runs.

However, the advanced deep range adjusts to what the card would reflect if the player played in a neutral park like Angel Stadium.

You need to add BOTH the pitcher and batter numbers in the 4th column.

So if a Rockies batter was against a Nationals pitcher, both would say to change 2 home run numbers for his DEEP range, so adding them both together you would have 4 home run numbers converted to deep drives - in other words 31-34 would change from a Home Run to DEEP but none of the strike out numbers (35 or 36) would change to DEEP.

At the other extreme if an A's pitcher were facing a Giants' batter (or vice versa) both cards would entail using 2 strikeout numbers for the DEEP range, so adding them both together it would be 4 total strikeout numbers meaning 35-38 would change from strikeouts to DEEP drives.

If a player has fewer than 4 home run numbers, still use the last 4 numbers but if you are changing a TRIPLE (3b8) to DEEP then if a Home Run results it is instead a triple, and likewise if a DOUBLE (2B9) is being changed to DEEP then if a Home Run results change it to a base clearing double.

The chart refers to the next four numbers after the Home Runs as "Strikeout" numbers on the chart, however, if a player has very few strikeouts then those numbers could be walks, hit by pitch or outs.

When a player has "strikeouts" changed to DEEP, then replace the first few OUTS on the card with the numbers that are replaced in a given game by DEEP. For example, on the sample card ranges above, if 35-38 were all changed to DEEP, then 41-42 would become a strikeout, 43 a walk and 44 a hit by pitch.

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