Stephen Curry averaged 20.5 points in his first two dice games, but in the 54th Great Teams of the Century he set a new high in the dice game with 38 points - enough to upset the 2006 Florida Gators champs despite no other Davidson player breaking double figures. Buddy Hield of Oklahoma had the high until then with 37 vs. Oklahoma State.
The following are the updated standings and leader boards for all 48 Great Teams of the Century after 54 total games played. The average score in those 54 games is 75-63, while in real life it has been 74-64 in the last 54 Final Four (and Championship) games. This is a good apples-to-apples because Final Fours and the dice game features elite teams except for the occasional surprise team.
The game also appears to be balanced based on how hard it has proven for any one great team to win three straight games. of the 48 great teams, only 4 to 8 will start the season 3-0. So far Kansas has defeated their first three Big 12 opponents, Purdue their first three Big Ten opponents, and both Kentucky and Auburn started 3-0 in the SEC. Four more teams started 2-0 but have yet to play their third game - Villanova (Big East), Gonzaga (Pac-12). Syracuse (ACC) and Texas Tech (Big 12). If a lot of the great teams started 3-0 it might indicated the player cards are unbalanced with the great teams being "too good."
Click on each conference for the update on leaders and records, or here for a google sheet of all box scores and standings, or finally here for the official rules and links to player cards if you want to play yourself.
After completing 54 games in my Great Teams of the Century play of Value Add Basketball, I compared those scores to the 54 Final Four and Championship games that have been played during the era covered by the game (2002 season to just concluded 2019 season). The overall scoring was amazingly identical - with the average points scored in the dice game 69.08 within a tenth of a point of the 69.15 scored in the actual Final Four games.
However, the average win in the dice game is 75-63, while in real life it has been 74-64. That could be because there is a slight inaccuracy in the game, however one other possibility is that in real life teams let up once they have the game one, whereas in the dice game we play it out to the end - particularly because point differential is the tie-breaker.
To take an extreme case, Jameer Nelson was having an off day against a tough Kansas team - which is not unusually considering he was coming off two hot games with a 29.5 points per game average. St. Joe's was down by 26 - 75-49 - at which point in a real game Kansas would have pulled their subs, probably let a couple of players get to the hoop for an easy bucket or two, and let a walk on take a shot. Perhaps Kansas would have won by 21 or 22 in the end. However, playing the game out with the dice Mario Chalmers drilled 3-pointers on consecutive trips to stretch the lead to 81-52 and then Robinson stole the ball from Nelson on a play that we know from the dice would have been a 3-pointer made, and he fed it ahead to Rush for a dunk to give Kansas a 31-point win - 83-52.
You can see how the dice would have slightly larger average margins, but I will keep also watching for any future tweaks if the strong teams do have a slightly bigger edge right now than they should. The following would be the playoff bracket if the season ended today, but teams will play seven games.
Here are the scores for the last 54 Final Four Games (including Championships) as well as our 54 games, organized from closest game to biggest blowout. For these purposes, I take the score at the end of regulation, so Virginia's win over Texas Tech this year counts the 68-68 at the end of regulation, and Kansas comeback over Memphis is 2008 is 63-63, while Marquette's dice win over Creighton was 83-83. I actually thought that game was unrealistic because Marquette scored 17 points in overtime for a 100-90 win - but then I realized Virginia also scored 17 in overtime against Texas Tech.
|Year||Winner of Actual Final 4 Games||Loser||Pts||Pts All||Diff||Winner Dice Game||Loser||Pts||Pts All||Diff|
|2019||Virginia (35-3) = OT win||Texas Tech||68||68||0||Marquette 2003||Creighton 2014||83||83||0|
|2008||Kansas (37-3) = OT win||Memphis||63||63||0||Iowa 2002||Michigan St. 2009||71||70||1|
|2019||Virginia (35-3)||Auburn||63||62||1||Texas Tech 2019||Oklahoma St. 2004||73||72||1|
|2017||North Carolina (33-7)||Oregon||77||76||1||Florida 2006||South Carolina 2017||67||66||1|
|2014||Kentucky||Wisconsin||74||73||1||Syracuse 2003||Duke 2010||86||84||2|
|2011||Connecticut (32-9)||Kentucky||56||55||1||Kentucky 2012||George Mason 2006||66||64||2|
|2004||Connecticut (33-6)||Duke||79||78||1||Cincinnati 2002||Georgetown 2007||79||77||2|
|2012||Kansas||Ohio State||64||62||2||Michigan St. 2009||Indiana 2002||78||76||2|
|2010||Duke (35-5)||Butler||61||59||2||Memphis 2008||Oregon 2017||72||70||2|
|2010||Butler||Michigan State||52||50||2||Illinois 2005||Wisconsin 2015||71||69||2|
|2004||Georgia Tech||Oklahoma St.||67||65||2||Villanova 2018||Louisville 2013||77||73||4|
|2016||Villanova (35-5)||North Carolina||77||74||3||Auburn 2019||Davidson 2011||69||64||5|
|2003||Syracuse (30-5)||Kansas||81||78||3||Purdue 2018||Indiana 2002||74||68||6|
|2017||Gonzaga||South Carolina||77||73||4||Pittsburgh 2009||North Carolina 2005||70||64||6|
|2013||Louisville (35-5)||Wichita State||72||68||4||St. Joe's 2004||K-State 2008||80||73||7|
|2015||Duke (35-4)||Wisconsin||68||63||5||Illinois 2005||Ohio St. 2007||83||76||7|
|2013||Michigan||Syracuse||61||56||5||Purdue 2018||Michigan 2013||75||67||8|
|2005||North Carolina (33-4)||Illinois||75||70||5||Oregon 2017||San Diego St. 2011||78||70||8|
|2017||North Carolina (33-7)||Gonzaga||71||65||6||Purdue 2018||Illinois 2005||77||69||8|
|2014||Connecticut (32-8)||Kentucky||60||54||6||South Carolina 2017||George Mason 2006||71||62||9|
|2013||Louisville (35-5)*||Michigan||82||76||6||Maryland 2002||Pittsburgh 2009||64||55||9|
|2015||Wisconsin||Kentucky||71||64||7||Texas 2003||West Virginia 2010||73||64||9|
|2008||Memphis||UCLA||75||68||7||Kentucky 2012||Davidson 2011||74||64||10|
|2007||Ohio State||Georgetown||67||60||7||UCLA 2006||Loyola-Chicago 2018||70||60||10|
|2012||Kentucky (38-2)||Kansas||67||59||8||Auburn 2019||VCU 2011||61||51||10|
|2012||Kentucky (38-2)||Louisville||69||61||8||St. Joe's 2004||West Virginia 2010||80||70||10|
|2011||Butler||VCU||70||62||8||San Diego St.||Wichita St. 2013||76||66||10|
|2007||Florida (35-5)||Ohio State||84||75||9||Wichita St. 2013||Arizona 2015||72||61||11|
|2004||Connecticut (33-6)||Georgia Tech||82||73||9||Marquette 2003||Cincinnati 2002||73||62||11|
|2002||Maryland (32-4)||Kansas||97||88||9||Duke 2010||Georgia Tech 2004||67||56||11|
|2002||Indiana||Oklahoma||73||64||9||Wisconsin 2015||Iowa 2002||66||54||12|
|2019||Texas Tech||Michigan State||61||51||10||Georgetown 2007||Marquette 2003||74||62||12|
|2014||Connecticut (32-8)||Florida||63||53||10||Michigan 2013||Ohio St. 2007||76||64||12|
|2007||Florida (35-5)||UCLA||76||66||10||Oklahoma 2016||Oklahoma St. 2004||75||63||12|
|2003||Syracuse (30-5)||Texas||95||84||11||Louisville 2013||Connecticut 2004||74||61||13|
|2018||Michigan||Loyola||69||57||12||Texas Tech 2019||K-State 2008||67||54||13|
|2011||Connecticut (32-9)||Butler||53||41||12||Auburn 2019||LSU 2006||69||56||13|
|2002||Maryland (32-4)||Indiana||64||52||12||Davidson 2011||Florida 2006||70||54||16|
|2009||North Carolina (34-4)||Villanova||83||69||14||Gonzaga 2017||Memphis 2008||65||47||18|
|2006||UCLA||LSU||59||45||14||Florida 2006||VCU 2011||76||58||18|
|2006||Florida (33-6)||George Mason||73||58||15||Syracuse 2003||Virginia 2019||92||72||20|
|2005||Illinois||Louisville||72||57||15||North Carolina 2005||Wake Forest 2005||85||65||20|
|2018||Villanova (36-4)||Kansas||95||79||16||Arizona 2015||Loyola-Chicago 2018||76||55||21|
|2006||Florida (33-6)||UCLA||73||57||16||Kansas 2008||Texas 2003||75||54||21|
|2005||North Carolina (33-4)||Michigan State||87||71||16||Kansas 2008||Oklahoma 2016||66||44||22|
|2018||Villanova (36-4)||Michigan||79||62||17||Connecticut 2004||Butler 2010||71||47||24|
|2016||North Carolina||Syracuse||83||66||17||North Carolina 2005||Georgia Tech 2004||77||53||24|
|2009||North Carolina (34-4)||Michigan State||89||72||17||Connecticut 2004||Creighton 2014||86||61||25|
|2009||Michigan State||Connecticut||89||72||17||Kentucky 2012||LSU 2006||83||58||25|
|2008||Kansas (37-3)||North Carolina||84||66||18||Villanova 2018||Butler 2010||89||60||29|
|2015||Duke (35-4)||Michigan State||81||61||20||Kansas 2008||St. Joe's 2004||83||52||31|
|2010||Duke (35-5)||West Virginia||78||57||21||Duke 2010||Wake Forest 2005||89||57||32|
|2003||Kansas||Marquette||94||61||33||Virginia 2019||Maryland 2002||97||64||33|
|2016||Villanova (35-5)||Oklahoma||95||51||44||Gonzaga 2017||UCLA 2006||81||48||33|
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