Sunday, April 17, 2022

Early AL Statis-pro Standings and Video

 Here is the schedule tracker for our AL Statis-pro games. Of the 10 teams we are playing, the two with early winning records are the Yankees and on the strength of a 1-hitter by Bieber, the Guardians (former Cleveland Indians).

As you can see from my setup video, I get in a couple of miles walking when I play a couple of games.


The Yankees took two straight, as we finally had two pitching duels except for Seattle's multiple fielding misplays in a 7-run inning in game 1 and a game losing error in the 9th of game 2. With that, Yankees win 8-5 and 2-1.

Here is a screen shot of the standings grid and line I keep for each completed game* but Yanks are now 4-2 and Mariners 2-4.





Unlike Kershaw, Bieber CG 1-hitter Shows New Endurance Rules

 A few days after Clayton Kershaw was pulled just 6 outs from a perfect game, Shane Bieber was almost as good in the first illustration of how our new Statis-Pro handles he current debate regarding if starters should be pulled in situations like Kershaw's.

In our game, Bieber finished the 7th inning with a 6-0 lead against the Rays. The traditional endurance factor in Statis-Pro uses Bieber's SR of 15, which was reduced by one for each of the 7 innings completed, one more for his only hit allowed, and twice for issuing walks to leave him with 5 left on his SR.


However our new factor in the 2022 cards is the "Max IP" which is 7 for Bieber. This does not mean he had to leave after this 7th inning pitched, but rather when a pitcher hits his max his SR (or RR for relievers) is reduce to 0 at that point, meaning Bieber came back out for the 8th but pitching as a PB 2-8 instead of PB 2-9 like the first 7 innings.

Once a pitchers SR is reduced to 0, not only does his PB drop one, but it will continue to drop another one spot for any other baserunner allowed, run scored, or inning that ends - so unlike Kershaw he stayed it but it would have taken very little to knock him out.

In fact, Bieber retired the Rays 1-2-3 in the 8th, then dropped to PB 2-7 for the 9th, where he went 1-2-3 again to wrap up the one hitter. 

The Rays look like a contender, and Cleveland's second best Cal Quantrill is only an average pb 3-7 for the second game. Here is our setup.to.llay, with the Brewers game in TV and actually occuring a few miles away.


Here is the complete score sheet for both games, after the Rays offense rallied late to win 8-3 in the nightcap.




Instructions for Printing Statis-Pro Cards - Sample using Tampa Rays

The old instructions are below, but first the new suggested playing instructions:

All 2022 Projected Batters (2 pages per team, 60 total pages) and All 2022 Projected Pitchers (either 2 or 3 pages per team, 81 total pages) are needed to play the Statis-Pro baseball Game. For both pitchers and batters there are 9 cards per page. The first card on the first team page has the full name of the team, and some blank cards may appear the end in case you need to create a card for a new player.

For batters you can check to see if they were calculated on this chart of inactive players or just look up their projected OPS and pick the closest one to make a simple card based on this chart.

For pitchers you can check to see if they were calculated on this chart of inactive players or just look up their projected ERA or FIPs and pick the closest one to make a simple card based on this chart.




 The flow of the game with new simple Fast Action Cards on this pdf:

You can also create actual cards for any player using their stats on this form.

You can also create actual cards for any player using their stats on this form.

Statis-Pro Cards Now Match Ratios of 181,818 Actual MLB At Bats

We matched up our initial 2022 run of Statis-Pro baseball cards with the 181,818 actual plate appearances last year to verify accuracy, and did find we were slightly off on two items - batters an average of four too many strikeouts and two too many walks. After making those adjustments, here are the average cards (pitchers in column 2 and batters in column 4) from the cards from this google sheet to print and play.

If you do not see a player on the list with their team, you will likely find them on this bigger alphabetical list of all batters, or all pitchers

If you already printed cards, just subtract four strikeouts and two walks from each batter's card for accuracy.

Pitchers' cards were already accurate, and were not updated. The 2nd column shows the average pitchers card is a PB 4-7 allows singles on 11-22, balks on a 23, Strikes out the batter on 24-47, walks him on 48-55, throws a wild pitch on 56, counts on Clutch Defense of his catcher o 57-58 and induces an out on 58-88. 

The average batter singles on 11-17, doubles on 18-25, triples on 26, homers on 27-31, hits a DEEP drive on 32-34 (about one in three of them go out for a homer), strikes out on 35-47, walks on 48-54, is hit by a pitch on 55, and is out on 56-88 (though that can turn into an error).
 
Result (OPS .726)Ave PitcherAve. BatterTotal of 128Actual 2021Actual%per 128
1B10.2 (11-22)7.1 (11-17)17.32500613.8% 17.6
2B 5.7 (18-25)5.778634.3% 5.5
3B 0.5 (26)0.56710.4% 0.5
HR 3.4 (27-31)3.459443.3% 4.2
Deep (1/3rd HR) 3.0 (32-34)3 0.0% -
BK (or Out)1 (23) 1 0.0% -
K19.4 (24-47)10.6 (35-47)304214523.2% 29.7
W6.0 (48-55)4.9 (48-54)10.9157948.7% 11.1
HPB 1.0 (55)121121.2% 1.5
WP (or Out)1.0 (56) 1 0.0% -
CD-C (or Out)2.0 (57-58) 2 0.0% -
Out24.4 (61-88)27.8 (56-88)52.28164644.9% 57.5
Totals6464128 181,181 100% 127.6

When the combined totals of the batter and pitcher cards coming up half the time, the third column gives the average results per 128 plate appearances. 

Those results now match up with the average results during 181,818 plate appearances in Major League Baseball in 2021. 

Last season there were 25,006 singles, or 13.8% of all plate appearances which works out to 17.6 per 128 plate appearances - a difference of only 0.08 per 128 from the game.

There were 7,863 doubles, 4.3% of the time or 5.5 per 128 - just under the 4.6 average in the game.

There were 671 triples, or 0.4% of the time and 0.5 per 128, slightly lower than the 0.5 based on the cards.

There were 5,944 homers, 3.3% of 4.2 per 128, which matches the3.4 average homers in the game PLUS one-third of the 3 deep drives per batter card.

There were 42,145 strikeouts, 23.2% or 29.7 per 128 plate appearances, just less than the 30 average on the Statis-Pro cards.

There were 15,794 walks, 8.7% or 11.1 per 128 - just over the 10.9 average on the Statis-Pro cards.

There were 2,112 batters hit by pitch, 1.2% or 1.5 per 128, slightly above the 1.0 on the Statis-Pro cards.

There were 122,457 non-strikeout "outs," meaning at At Bat minus hits and strikeouts. that is 44.9% of all at bats, and includes plays on which errors are made and there is not actually an out, or 57.7 per 128 plate appearances. at first the 52.2 average OUTS on the Statis-Pro cards look too low, however, when no one is on base then CD-C, WP and Balks are simply outs, and two of three times a DEEP drive is an OUT.













Friday, April 15, 2022

Correa's Twins Split in Houston to Kick-off Statis-Pro 2022

(see below, Angels and Blue Jays also split)

If you are viewing this blog on your mobile and want to print the Statis-Pro Baseball cards in the next 6 blogs, I'd suggest going to computer and hitting www.pudnersports.com from there, the all 30 team sheets will appear in alpha order on your screen and you can print the teams you want. Click on the team, hit print, and then change to Landscape and likely 80% to fit.

Here is how I set up the teams using my 1978 Statis-Pro game, the clutch defense charts from years later, a free hand score sheet and in this case the sheets for the 2022 Minnesota Twins and Houston Astros.

As you can see I use a piece of paper under the pitcher and batter for each plate appearance, and in this case, the game ended when Ryan Pressley struck out Correa to win 6-3 and salvage a split. Game notes below the picture.



The Twins wild 8-7 win in the 1st game occured when the speedy pinch runner Nick Gordon (A-A on-base running and speed) pinch ran in the top of the 9th for Luis Arraez. Gordon stole 2nd, Correa moved him to third with a tapper to the pitcher that only allowed an OBR A like Gordon to advance, and then drew a balk on Jose Urqidy to score the winning run.

However, the Astros just missed winning in the bottom of the 9th when Yordan Alvarez hit a DEEP drive with Jose Altuve on first. The DEEP drive requires a new random number (11-88) and Alvarez had a 31 - good enough to be out if most parks. However, Houston only allows a joker on 11-27, less than a quarter of all deep drives, so the 31 missed a Homer by just two numbers.

Alvarez homered the at bat before, and the at bat after that to start the nightcap,.so a change in two numbers would have made it three homers in a row.

Verlander had a 1-hitter through 5 innings and a 4-1 lead, but was tagged for 4 hits including a 3-run Homer by Max Kepler in the 6th to leave with a no decision.


Toronto 11-9, the la angels 5-3

First time event in this series was 6 deep drives and all went out of the hitter friendly park (11-68, while 11-35 is average. On average, each team has one deep drive per 2-game series, so this was three times as many deep drives as typical in a 2-game series.




2022 Statis-Pro Baseball Cards are Ready! Arizona Diamondbacks to Chicago Cubs in this blog

 The 2022 Statis-Pro baseball cards are now ready in sheet form! Note, we made slight corrections on the google sheet, but the only adjustment to the cards below if you want complete accuracy is to subtract 4 strikeouts and 2 walks from each batter's card.

You can click on this google sheet to pull up all the teams, download or print, or you can click on the icons below and print out the teams one at a time. The game is free - you just need to print these directions and pick up a few dice to use with these cards. This is one of six consecutive blogs, each with five teams. We included players on Opening Day Rosters as well as any injured players, unless they are on 60-day DL.

If you do not see a player on the list with their team, you will likely find them on this bigger alphabetical list of all batters, or all pitchers

This blog includes the five teams from the Arizona Diamondbacks to Chicago Cubs in alphabetical order.

The batters are in alphabetical order in black ink.

The starting pitchers are in blue ink in our suggested order of rotation.

The relief pitchers are in red ink, in our suggested order (closer first, down to weakest relief card).

2 notes this year:

1. As always, a starters SR and RR drops one for every baserunner allowed that is his fault (not errors), every run scored. and every time an inning ends (whether or not he started or came in during the inning). When he drops to 0, then his PB drops one (PB2-9 drops to 2-8, 2-8 to 2-7, etc.). The new items is Max IP, and if he finishes that many innings, then the SR or RR immediately drops to 0 to lower him on PB for the next inning, and then the PB continues to drop with any of the above happening.

2. Because charts include only the type of hit (1B for single, 2B for double) but not the field to which it is hit like the cards do (1Bf, 1B7, 1B8, 1B9, 2B7, etc.) you must look at the Random Number on which the hit occurred and use this chart to determine where it was hit.

Hit on RNHit goes to:
11,12,21,22,31,32,41,42           RN/RP to LF, SN/SP to CF, LN/LP to RF
            exception - 11 is Infield if OBR A or B
13,14,23,24,33,34,43,44           LF (Left Field)
15,16,25,26,35,36           CF (Center Field)
17,18,27,28,37,38           RF (Right Field)

Arizona Diamondbacks - Click icon below and print landscape


Atlanta Braves - Click icon below and print landscape



Baltimore Orioles - Click icon below and print landscape


Boston Red Sox - Click icon below and print landscape

The Red Sox play in one of the four best parks for hitters, therefore their batters cards are adjusted slightly downward and thus would yield a slightly worse OPS than listed below, while the pitchers' cards are slightly better than the ERA shown. The original post had an error in some of the Red Sox DEEP field, but that is fixed below.




Chicago Cubs - Click icon below and print landscape


2022 Statis-Pro Baseball Cards are Ready! Chicago White Sox to Detroit Tigers in this blog

 The 2022 Statis-Pro baseball cards are now ready in sheet form! Note, we made slight corrections on the google sheet, but the only adjustment to the cards below if you want complete accuracy is to subtract 4 strikeouts and 2 walks from each batter's card.

You can click on this google sheet to pull up all the teams, download or print, or you can click on the icons below and print out the teams one at a time. The game is free - you just need to print these directions and pick up a few dice to use with these cards. This is one of six consecutive blogs, each with five teams. We included players on Opening Day Rosters as well as any injured players, unless they are on 60-day DL.

If you do not see a player on the list with their team, you will likely find them on this bigger alphabetical list of all batters, or all pitchers

This blog includes the five teams from the Chicago White Sox to Detroit Tigers in alphabetical order.

The batters are in alphabetical order in black ink.

The starting pitchers are in blue ink in our suggested order of rotation.

The relief pitchers are in red ink, in our suggested order (closer first, down to weakest relief card).

Note on extra item this year - in addition to the pitcher's endurance (SR/RR) each now has a "Max IP" indicating even if he still has SR or RR endurance left, if he pitches past his maximum he loses on PB number for the start of each inning thereafter.

2 notes this year:

1. As always, a starters SR and RR drops one for every baserunner allowed that is his fault (not errors), every run scored. and every time an inning ends (whether or not he started or came in during the inning). When he drops to 0, then his PB drops one (PB2-9 drops to 2-8, 2-8 to 2-7, etc.). The new items is Max IP, and if he finishes that many innings, then the SR or RR immediately drops to 0 to lower him on PB for the next inning, and then the PB continues to drop with any of the above happening.

2. Because charts include only the type of hit (1B for single, 2B for double) but not the field to which it is hit like the cards do (1Bf, 1B7, 1B8, 1B9, 2B7, etc.) you must look at the Random Number on which the hit occurred and use this chart to determine where it was hit.

Hit on RNHit goes to:
11,12,21,22,31,32,41,42           RN/RP to LF, SN/SP to CF, LN/LP to RF
            exception - 11 is Infield if OBR A or B
13,14,23,24,33,34,43,44           LF (Left Field)
15,16,25,26,35,36           CF (Center Field)
17,18,27,28,37,38           RF (Right Field)

Chicago White Sox - Click icon below and print landscape


Cincinnati Reds - Click icon below and print landscape
The Reds play in one of the four best parks for hitters, therefore their batters cards are adjusted slightly downward and thus would yield a slightly worse OPS than listed below, while the pitchers' cards are slightly better than the ERA shown. The original post had an error in the DEEP fields and others for the Reds, but that is now fixed.






Cleveland Guardians - Click icon below and print landscape


Colorado Rockies - Click icon below and print landscape
The Rockies play in one of the four best parks for hitters, therefore their batters cards are adjusted slightly downward and thus would yield a slightly worse OPS than listed below, while the pitchers' cards are slightly better than the ERA shown. The original post had an error in some Rockies DEEP fields, but that is now fixed.



Detroit Tigers - Click icon below and print landscape