Friday, June 2, 2023

Statis-Pro Midseason Recap, Culminating With Dodgers 3 HRs in 11th Inning & Padres Split

                      123         456       789                  R    H   E
Padres001000330  7122
Dodgers031200000  680

With both teams down to their final and worst Statis-Pro pitching card for the 11th inning, it was the Padres Ryan Weathers who gave up homers to Miguel Rojas, Jason Heyward and then Mookie Betts in the top of the 11th. Despite his PB 2-4 card (worst of seven ranges), Noah Syndergaard threw a scoreless bottom of the 11th to let the Dodgers win 10-5 and salvage the split (see picture). Here is the game log of all 66 games we've played so far with the grid of each team's record against the others and standings.

Julio Urias actually pitched 8 innings to leave with a 5-1 lead, but the Padres loaded the bases off the pen in the 9th and a clutch defense shot down the first baseline by Austin Nola got past Freddie Freeman (only an average Clutch Defense 3) to clear the bases and then pinch runner Adam Engle scored on a sac fly to force extra innings. Urias appearance did move him into 8th in ERA, one spot behind teammate Clayton Kershaw (see entire list at bottom of blog).

It was the Padres Josh Hader (PB 2-9, best of seven ratings and only PB 2-9 in the series) who wrapped up a 7-6 Padres win with the save. The following is a combined box score for the two games, though the Padres were on the road for their win. The ++ indicates the player has improved substantially over his projected OPS or ERA and thus adjusts the PB one in his favor.  This led to one interesting result for Fernando Tatis leading off what ended up being the extra inning game. Because of his --, Urias was a PB 2-9 instead of his normal PB 2-8, and the PB 9 stayed on Urias card thus turning the 23 from a HR on Tatis card to a single. However, Tatis stole second, went to third on Juan Soto's grounder to 2nd, and then raced home on Machado's single to a drawn in 3rd baseman and beat the throw to score anyway.

This series wrapped up the 6th series for each team and thus each team has been through their rotations three times each, and we will list ERA leaders at the bottom. Fielding was key as well, as two clutch defensive plays that would have been RBI singles for the Dodgers if Tatis were still playing short sto this year were instead tuned into outs by the much better shortstop Xander Bogaerts.

In our standings, the Dodgers win kept them as the only team besides the Brewers to be playing .600 baseball in our Statis-Pro season, and thus they are the two teams that would have the two byes if our playoffs started today. We are now averaging 4.57 runs in our 66 games played to date, while the actual MLB average this year is 4.74 and last year was 4.27. The only stat we keep is starters ERA, and so far in our season the starting pitchers are averaging 5 1/3 innings with a 3.96 ERA. In the actual MLB season, Baseball Reference tracks the starting pitchers who qualify (71 pitchers so just the top 2 or 3 on each team so they would be expected to be slightly better) and they average 5 2/3 innings and a 3.80 ERA. We listed the leaders further below.

PosLos Angeles Dodgers  AB R   H    RBI  Notes                                  OPS now   Card 
2BMookie Betts113323B, HR, reach 2x on Error0.8780.856
1BFreddie Freeman82422B, HR, but glove all 2B0.9590.883
PRChris Taylor0000 0.6960.723
CaWill Smith110212B, ++0.9780.836
3BMax Muncy6111HR, 3 W, HBP0.8230.787
 J.D. Martinez8100~++0.8880.777
RFMiguel Vargas82202B0.7540.758
SSMiguel Rojas9222~--, GW HR 11th inn0.5050.676
DHJames Outman8132~++ @B0.820.726
RFJason Heyward93442B, 3B, HR ++0.8070.682
 Dodgers .269 BA781521143 HRs in 11th for split  
PosSan Diego PadresABRHRBINotesOPS nowCard OPS
RFFernando Tatis Jr.10121SB, lost HR due to --0.7740.916
LFJuan Soto9020 0.9360.924
3BManny Machado8112~--0.6540.806
SSXander Bogaerts8130glove saved 2H>Tatis0.7610.775
2BJake Cronenworth8120 0.7170.762
CaAustin Nola7230~--0.4460.711
PRAdam Engel0100~--00.63
CaLuis Campusano1000 0.6560.673
DHNelson Cruz7112~++, 2-R GW HR in 8th0.676new card
PR-DHHa-Seong Kim1000 0.6970.697
1BMatt Carpenter8231HR0.6630.73
CFTrent Grisham7222HR0.6650.71
 Padres .257 BA7411198  

The pitching part of the box is listed by game, unlike the batters above who are listed with stats from both games combined in one box score. The ~++ indicates the pitcher's PB is temporarily improved by 1, while a ~-- means it is downgraded (increased) by one. The sheet of all batters and pitchers who were upgraded or downgraded based on ERA or OPS so far this season is here.

Padres Game 1 Away          IP    H   R  ER  BB   K     Notes     ERA Now    Proj Card
Joe Musgrove466414~--5.643.73
Tim Hill100011 4.154
Nick Martinez100022 2.984.13
Michael Wacha110002W3.584.31
Brent Honeywell Jr.110002H3.38 
Josh Hader100010S0.822.89
Dodgers Game 1 HomeIPHRERBBKNotesERA NowProj Card
Tony Gonsolin6.174416~++1.824.38
Yency Almonte0.220000~--7.714.09
Shelby Miller0.233301L, ++2.744.4
Evan Phillips1.100001~++1.893.55
Dodgers Game 2 AwayIPHRERBBKNotesERA NowProj Card
Julio Urías851108 4.394.04
Caleb Ferguson034410~++0.983.68
Brusdar Graterol200013W2.183.45
Noah Syndergaard100000 6.274.83
Padres Game 2 HomeIPHRERBBKNotesERA NowProj Card
Blake Snell6.164312~--5.043.4
Luis García1.221013 4.663.35
Steven Wilson210004 2.964.07
Ryan Weathers145401L3.94New

The following are all pitchers to throw at least 12 innings ranked by ERA. Because we count each game as a 3-game series with the winner getting 3-0 sweep series if up by 5 runs after 8 innings without using their closer. Therefore the record is the team record in the three games in which each starter started, whether or not he got the decision.

Rnk     Starting Pitcher                 GS   IP       ER ERA  W   L    Support   Allow
1Mark Leiter ChC318.210.4872132
2Spencer Strider Atl322.220.7954117
3Roansy Contreras Pit31821.0072173
4Corbin Burnes Mil320.231.314567
5Max Fried Atl319.231.3772176
6Jordan Montgomery StL316.131.6636817
7Julio Urias LAD32041.80632415
8Clayton Kershaw LAD319.241.835457
9Justin Verlander NYM319.241.8372225
10Aaron Nola Phi317.242.03361016
11Kyle Wright Atl312.232.1363153
12Zac Gallen Ari31962.84541611
13Miles Mikolas StL318.262.90722113
14Blake Snell SDP318.162.95541514
15Nick Lodolo Cin318.273.3745813
16Jameson Taillon ChC317.273.5645712
17Ranger Suarez Phi31563.60451119
18Brendon Woodruff Mil31773.71631610
19Zack Wheeler Phi31983.7945713
20Justin Steele ChC318.183.93451313
21Eric Lauer Mil312.164.39722616
22Yu Darvish SDP31684.50361018
23Freddy Peralta Mil313.274.60632715
24Dustin May LAD313.285.2654910
25Jack Flaherty StL31595.40542229
26Marcus Stroman ChC316.2105.42541515
27Luis Ortiz Pit31385.5436612
28Graham Ashcraft Cin312.185.85452419
29Tony Gonsolon LAD312.185.85632914
30Max Scherzer NYM315.1105.88451317
31Kodai Senga NYM312.296.38361015
32Hunter Greene Cin314127.71451018
33Merrill Kelly Ari313.1138.80271223

Click for the free Statis-Pro Master Baseball Game. Click here for 60 of the all-time great MLB teams, or on teams of many of the all-time great players on teams by nation or state with one sheet for each team. Or click on the 2023 pitchers and 2023 batters in card form. You simply print two teams cards and then either print theaster link above and fast action cards in master link or buy the dice to start playing.

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