Friday, July 5, 2019

Yankees and Dodgers tie for 1st in Power Rankings Based on Projected Statis-Pro Cards

After calculating the rest of the updated Statis-Pro cards for the current season, I ran some quick math to who which team's cards look the strongest.

I took the 1-8 batters in the line-up I would use (to put NL and AL on equal footing, this leaves out pitchers batting but the AL also drops their weakest hitter). The Dodgers (0.817) nudge out the Astros (0.813) based on how their park neutral cards would produce over time (both teams are in pitchers' ballparks so this is higher than they would actually hit. We weight this line-up OPS times, compared to weighing the rotation ERA three times (Indians first if only Kluber were pitching), the relief core twice (where the Yankees 3.38 for their top six relievers is the best) and then I added up the On base running (OBR) and Speed (stealing ability) players AA, A or B marks to leave a speed ranking (where the Rockies are fastest).

In a power rating made for TV the Yankees and Dodgers come out tied for first place overall - with their weighted ranking just below 6th place. The big surprise is that the Nationals show up as the third best team with no real weaknessed, to really stand out as the only surprise in the top 8 which includes the two free agency sweep stakes winners (Bryce Harper led Phillies and Manny Machado led Padres) and the last three World Series winners (Cubs, Astros and Red Sox).

Rating fielding would have been tougher math, and these are cards based on what players were projected to do this year, so not super scientific but a rational basis to get a rough idea.

OverallPark Neutral CardsLine-up OPSrnkrotation erarnk6 relievers rnkOBR/SP RnkWt Ave
1Yankees0.78673.6873.381126.3
1Dodgers0.81713.7283.545256.3
3Nationals0.77893.4933.691347.5
4Red Sox0.78953.4623.7516228
5Astros0.81323.99153.701438.4
6Phillies0.79644.05163.67111610.2
6Cubs0.78663.90123.5992410.2
8Padres0.764143.88113.577610.9
9Mets0.763153.6453.62102011.5
10Rays0.752183.6763.5461411.6
11Indians0.740253.3713.598212.1
12Braves0.771113.7693.85201512.6
13Brewers0.768134.24203.474912.9
14Diamondbacks0.742243.5743.4322313.5
15Cardinals0.78384.10183.74152914.5
16Pirates0.759173.92133.69121714.8
17Rockies0.744213.77103.7717114.9
18Reds0.770123.97144.00251815.8
19Angels0.80434.27214.21282815.9
20Twins0.773104.16193.85212716.6
21Giants0.745204.28223.4432617.8
22Athletics0.761164.35243.78181919.1
23Rangers0.714284.05173.85191321.4
23Blue Jays0.745194.30233.92242121.4
25White Sox0.744225.05294.0126523.2
26Mariners0.743234.50274.09271023.7
27Royals0.707294.46263.9123724.7
28Tigers0.731264.61284.3230825.6
29Marlins0.726274.38253.88223025.7
30Orioles0.702305.28304.28291127.9

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