Click here for a newly updated list of all players for all 30 teams. Of the 98,816 visits to www.pudnersports.com, where we write about Statis-Pro baseball and www.valueaddbasketball.com, 9.161 clicked directly on instructions for how to play the game, with many others clicking on the actual playing cards and 46,268 coming straight to the site.
With so much interest, we just made an update to all the cards in line with one big innovation you will notice on the pitching cards is that after using the traditional PB: 2-5, 2-6, 2-7, 2-8 or 2-9 for decades, we finally added the 2-4 and 4-7 ranges.
For those who are just learning the game, the pitchers PB rating is the central item of the game, as it determines if each roll from 2 through 12 on two 6-sided dice leaves the action on the pitchers card, with the other rolls (or Fast Action Card results) leaving the action on the more dangerous batter's card. Here is a Facebook page run by other people who play the game.
The top 5% of pitchers (I use ballpark adjusted FIPs but you can use ERA) get a rating of PB: 2-9 which means they control the action of 30 of 36 dice rolls - only allowing the batter's card to come in to play 17% of the time. If a pitcher was not in the top 5% but was in the top 15% of pitchers he would get a PB: 2-8, if he was at least better than average in the top 45% then he was a PB: 2-7, and then the biggest group of pitchers were a PB: 2-6 with only the worst 15% as a PB: 2-5.
After that the original system deviates. The next best rating is a PB2-7, which used to go to the next 30% of pitchers, however
Later a range of PB: 4-7 was added which gives the pitcher exactly a 50% chance of keeping the action on his card, and a lower rating of PB: 2-4 was added which would give the pitchers with the worst FIPs or ERAs as small a chance of controlling the action (17%) and the batters had against a PB: 2-9.
In updating the google sheet of pitchers I took the top 500 pitchers (since that allows 16 or 17 per team to allow for even a few injuries and players coming up an down in addition to the 12 or 13 teams typically keep on a roster). There are an extra 248 pitchers projected in the system who could come up occasionally, but those "possible" major leaguers all receive the lowest PB: 2-4 rating.
The following breaks down the number of pitchers who get reach PB rating based on their projected ERA or FIPs. For example, there are 25 pitchers with a projected ERA of 3.28 or better, and those get a PB: 2-9.
| ERA range | range ends | traditional | bell curve | actual spots | top percentile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.28 | pb2-9 | pb2-9 | 25 | 5% |
| 3.29 | 3.58 | pb2-8 | pb2-8 | 75 | 15% |
| 3.59 | 3.92 | pb2-7 | pb2-7 | 175 | 35% |
| 3.93 | 4.06 | pb2-7 | pb4-7 | 225 | 45% |
| 4.07 | 4.29 | pb2-6 | pb4-7 | 325 | 65% |
| 4.3 | 4.48 | pb2-6 | pb2-6 | 425 | 85% |
| 4.49 | 4.57 | pb2-5 | pb2-5 | 475 | 95% |
| 4.58 | 4.63 | pb2-5 | pb2-4 | 500 | 100% |
| 4.64 | 6.16 | pb2-5 | pb2-4 | 748 |
The next best 50 pitchers (up to the 75th best on the second line above) get PB: 2-8 etc. The second column of pb's above is the new system - however when a pitcher's new rating deviates from the traditional PB, we also list the traditional figure in the column before.
We will be using these ratings starting with the 11th game for each team. Here are the standings through the 10 games using the traditional PB ratings.
| NL Central | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Cubs | 20 | 10 |
| Brewers | 15 | 15 |
| Reds | 15 | 15 |
| Pirates | 14 | 16 |
| Cardinals | 11 | 19 |
| NL East | W | L |
| Braves | 19 | 11 |
| Nationals | 16 | 14 |
| Phillies | 16 | 14 |
| Mets | 15 | 15 |
| Marlins | 10 | 20 |
| NL West | W | L |
| Diamondbacks | 18 | 12 |
| Dodgers | 18 | 12 |
| Giants | 18 | 12 |
| Padres | 15 | 15 |
| Rockies | 11 | 19 |
No comments:
Post a Comment