Showing posts with label Gary Payton. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Gary Payton. Show all posts

Sunday, April 28, 2024

Stockton, the Glove Payton Score 30 to Wrap Our Hoops Season of 234 All-Time Great Teams

 We have now played all 234 Value Add Basketball Game teams at least once, and we finished with two of our biggest offensive performances ever. "The Glove," Gary Payton, scored 31 points to lead Oregon State 1990 past Yale 2024 then John Stockton outdid him with 36 points to lead Gonzaga 1984 to an upset win over Grand Canyon 2024.(Box Scores Added at bottom from both games).

Click here for all our scores to date and our updated rankings.

The impressive 84-73 win for Oregon State moves them up from being ranked 170th to 140th in our all-time rankings, and they are now the 5th best of 11 teams who will compete in the Mountain West/Pac-12 next season. With Yale not able to repeat an upset like they had in the actual 2024 March Madness against Auburn, they dropped from 226th to 228th and to 13th of 18 all-time Mid-Major games.

Gonzaga is still 7th of 7 all-time West Coast Conference teams in the game, including three later teams from Gonzaga, but they moved up from 229th to 216th of the all-time teams in the game. Their 84-79 win dropped Grand Canyon 2024 from 217th to 225th overall, and one spot ahead of Yale in the all-time Mid-Major standings at 12th of 18.

The following is our all-time top 10 after all teams have played at least once and the better teams were in big tournaments we played. The biggest surprise is #10 Kansas 2008, who we ranked only at 51st overall before games were played. We do still have women's teams who have yet to play, and may pick that up later with the WNBA season starting May 14. Their scores and rankings are tracked here.

 
Rnk Pre  Team             Year  Player(s)                            WLScoreAllowSOSRatingConf Conf Rnk 
11UCLA1972Bill Walton #646072.062.02.816.2B101
217Kansas1997Paul Pierce #505076.862.4-1.012.8B121
36Ohio St.1960Jerry Lucas #72, John Havlicek #292184.076.35.011.8B102
47Indiana1976Scott May3171.359.8-0.811.3B103
514Houston1968Elvin Hayes #413173.063.84.311.1B122
64Duke2001Shane Battier3178.372.53.511.1ACC1
78Connecticut2023Adama Sanogo2078.558.0-11.011.0BE1
812North Carolina1982Michael Jordan #1, James Worthy #595168.865.06.210.8ACC2
915North Carolina2005Sean May3272.264.43.810.4ACC3
1051Kansas2008Mario Chalmers5174.756.0-0.710.3B123

Gonzaga (1984) 84, Grand Canyon (2014) 79

 
Pos       Gonzaga 1984            Pts   3pt2pt   FTAtt     RebStlBlkFl  Actual Stats
1-PGJohn Stockton3641122220420.9 pts, 6'1
2-SGBryce McPhee190834530418.2 pts, 6'3
3-SFJeff Condill60300700212.1 pts, 6'3
4-PFJason Van Nort40202301211 pts, 6'9
5-CTim Ruff2010090219 pts, 6'10
PosBench PlayersPts3pt2ptFTAttRebStlBlkFlActual Stats
1-PGMark Matthews4020010014.8 pts, 6'4
4-PFJeff Reinert3011210026.7 pts, 6'7
5-CDave Clement2010010013.1 pts, 6'6
 Danny Roe2010011011.2 pts, 6'7
 Blair Anderson6030040017.3 pts, 6'9
 13 Turnovers84433610346319 
            
PosGrand Canyon 2024Pts3pt2ptFTAttRebStlBlkFlActual Stats
1-PGRay Harrison130455220313.5 pts, 6'4
2-SGCollin Moore9114431038.2 pts, 6'4
3-SFTyon Grant-Foster243633515220.1 pts, 6'7
4-PFGabe McGlothan142244711212.8 pts, 6'7
5-CDuke Brennan6030050216.9 pts, 6'10
PosBench PlayersPts3pt2ptFTAttRebStlBlkFlActual Stats
1-PGJovan Blacksher2010010024.2 pts, 5'11
2-SGJosh Baker2010010012.6 pts, 6'4
3-SFIsaiah Shaw2010010012.3 pts, 6'8
4-PFSydney Curry2010010012.9 pts, 6'8
5-CLok Wur5021140215.4 pts, 6'9
 15 Turnovers7962217173051017

Oregon State (1990) 84, Yale (2024) 73

 
Pos     Yale 2024                Pts   3pt2pt   FTAtt    RebStlBlkFl   Actual Stats
1-PGBez Mbeng111322230111.2 pts, 6'4
2-SGAugust Mahoney71200230210.6 pts, 6'4
3-SFJohn Poulakidas102122300113.6 pts, 6'6
4-PFMatt Knowling120524600211.7 pts, 6'6
5-CDanny Wolf1724341003214.5 pts, 7'0
PosBench PlayersPts3pt2ptFTAttRebStlBlkFlActual Stats
1-PGYassine Gharram6030010012.5 pts, 6'3
2-SGNick Townsend2010020025.8 pts, 6'7
3-SFCasey Simmons4020010023.2 pts, 6'6
4-PFJack Molloy2010010011.2 pts, 6'8
5-CSamson Aletan2010010011.7 pts, 6'10
 16 Turnovers73623912296315 
            
PosOregon St. 1990Pts3pt2ptFTAttRebStlBlkFlActual Stats
1-PGWill Brantley60300320212.5 pts, 5'5
2-SGGary Payton3131102251111.4 pts, 6'0
3-SFEarl Martin142400610210.9 pts, 6'0
4-PFTeo Alibegovic80322310317.1 pts, 6'4
5-CScott Haskin803221102415.2 pts, 6'7
PosBench PlayersPts3pt2ptFTAttRebStlBlkFlActual Stats
1-PGCharles McKinney4020010014.6 pts, 5'6
2-SGAllan Celestine8121211024.8 pts, 5'7
3-SFLaMont McIntosh2010010018.5 pts, 6'0
4-PFKarl Anderson3011220012.2 pts, 6'2
5-C 0         
 10 Turnovers846306103010317

Based on each team's cards, we assigned them a preseason ranking based only on the cards. That is their preseason ranking. We then adjust for the result of each game played.

The first list below is the list of the 10 biggest disappointments - teams who played much worst in the games we played then how good we believe they actually are. For example, we thought Kareem's UCLA as the third best team in the game, and Florida's repeat champs were the 13th best. But Florida is only 5-3 in the season, and UCLA was stunned by DePaul's 1980 team.

That leads to the flip side, which is that DePaul 1980 heads the list of our biggest surprises. That win over Kareem and two other big wins moved them up from our 124th preseason ranking to 28th of all time. Beneath them is the top 10 nicest surprises.

Rnk after gamesRnk based on cards10 DisappointmentsYearPlayer(s)WLScoreAllowSOS
20283Wake Forest2005Chris Paul #300364.385.34.0
234229Princeton2023Tosan Evbuomwan0150.0102.00.0
6813Florida2006Joakim Noah5374.472.0-5.1
343UCLA1967Kareem Abdul-Jabbar #32183.087.00.7
194122Creighton2014Doug McDermott0366.380.0-0.3
206141New Mexico1974Bernard Hardin0168.095.0-3.0
218181Butler2010Gordon Hayward0354.776.33.7
222193Texas2007Kevin Durant #130162.082.0-13.0
182Kentucky2012Anthony Davis #534272.265.7-3.5
190121Louisville1980Darrell Griffith0152.082.03.0
          
          
Rnk after gamesRank based cards/ how good we believe team is10 Nicest SurprisesYearPlayer(s)WLScoreAllowSOS
28124DePaul1980Mark Aguirre3176.868.85.3
56182Colorado2021McKinley Wright3082.378.01.3
2298Auburn2019Chuma Okeke8171.065.31.9
2499Western Kentucky1966Clem Haskins4079.869.3-0.3
1051Kansas2008Mario Chalmers5174.756.0-0.7
67183North Carolina2022Armando Bacot2080.568.0-2.5
1352Baylor2021Jared Butler2286.078.56.0
39100Rutgers1976Phil Sellers2090.575.5-4.0
2670Houston2021Quentin Grimes10102.050.0-16.0
1753Connecticut2004Ben Gordon5274.766.00.6

Saturday, April 27, 2024

38 in NBA Playoffs Also On All-Time Great College Team

 Only 1% of Division I college players make the NBA, so just sitting on an NBA bench in the playoffs is a huge accomplishment. The following are the 38 players who were on one of the all-time great college teams featured in our Value Add Basketball Game AND were on the floor for one of the last few NBA games as one of the 16 teams still alive. 

The earliest team represented is the 2006 Florida Gators with Al Horford still playing for the No. 1 seed Boston Celtics. Two of the all-time greats from 2007 teams in our game put up amazing numbers 17 years later with Kevin Durant of Texas putting up 25 points and Mike Conley of Ohio State having 15 points and seven assists for the Minnesota Timberwolves.

Obviously it is more likely a more recent team will still have players in the NBA, and the 2018 and 2019 NCAA champs from Villanova and Virginia are the only two all-time great college teams with three players alive in the NBA playoffs. The best of those is Nova's Jalen Brunson who just put up 39 points and 13 assists.

The other great teams in our game with two players still alive in the NBA playoffs are UCLA 2008 (Kevin Love and Russell Westbrook still under the big lights 16 years later), Marquette 2011 (Jae Crowder and Jimmy Butler), Iowa State 2014 (Monte Morris and Georges Niang) and finally UConn 2023 (already Jordan Hawkins and Andre Jackson since most stayed around for the 2024 title run).

Some players just got on the court (0 points), others did not get in the game either because they were injured (Jimmy Butler) or just didn't get on the rotation, but all of these are in the elite group that is coming out to warm up as one of the remaining 16 NBA Playoff teams and a member of an all-time great college team in our game.



The first 230 All-time great teams have already played at least one games, leaving only our 25th greatest player of all time John Stockton with his 1984 Gonzaga against the 2024 Grand Canyon team with Danny Wolf, and our 48th greatest player of all time Gary Payton leading his 1990 Oregon State team against the Yale 2024 team and Tyon Grant-Foster

While this is not as issue for the players alive in the playoffs below since they all played witha. College 3-point line, you will notice we include 3-point shots even for players who played before the line was there. This was estimated in various ways such as later mapping of Pistol Pete Maravich's shots to see which would have been 3-pointers to Stockton's card above based on him hitting more than 40 percent if his 3-pointers in 7 NBA seasons from the deeper line.

Team in Game     Year     Player                       NBA Playoff Team             Last Playoff Game
Florida2006Al HorfordBoston Celtics9 pts, 6 reb, +15
Ohio State2007Mike ConleyMinnesota Timberwolves15 pts, 4 reb, 7 ast
Texas2007Kevin DurantPhoenix Suns25 pts, 4 reb, 5 ast
Stanford2008Brook LopezMilwaukee Bucks14 pts, 4 reb
UCLA2008Kevin LoveMiami Heat2 reb
UCLA2008Russell WestbrookLos Angeles Clippers1 pt, 3 reb
Arizona State2009James HardenLos Angeles Clippers21 pts, 5 ast
Butler2010Gordon HaywardOklahoma City Thunder4 reb
Weber State2010Damian LillardMilwaukee Bucks28 pts, 8 ast
Duke2010Mason PlumleeLos Angeles Clippers7 pts
Marquette2011Jimmy ButlerMiami Heatdid not play
Marquette2011Jae CrowderMilwaukee Bucks0 pts
San Diego State2011Kawhi LeonardLos Angeles Clippers7 pts, 5 reb, 5 ast
Kentucky2012Anthony DavisLos Angeles Lakers33 pts, 15 reb
Creighton2014Doug McDermottIndiana Pacersdid not play
Iowa State2014Monté MorrisMinnesota Timberwolves2 pts
Iowa State2014Georges NiangCleveland Cavaliers2 pts
Oklahoma2016Buddy HieldPhiladelphia 76ers0 pts
SMU2017Shake MiltonNew York Knicksdid not play
Oregon2017Payton PritchardBoston Celtics7 pts, 3 reb
Villanova2018Jalen BrunsonNew York Knicks39 pts, 13 ast
Villanova2018Donte DiVincenzoNew York Knicks5 reb, 4 pts
Villanova2018Collin  GillespieDenver Nuggets0 pts
Virginia2019Mamadi DiakiteNew York Knicksdid not play
Virginia2019Jay  HuffDenver Nuggets0 pts
Virginia2019Braxton KeyDenver Nuggets0 pts
Auburn2019Chuma OkekeOrlando Magic3 pts
Dayton2020Obi ToppinIndiana Pacers15 pts, 6 reb
Iowa2021Luka GarzaMinnesota Timberwolves0 pts
UCLA2021Jaime JaquezMiami Heat12 pts, 5 reb, 5 ast
USC2021Evan MobleyCleveland Cavaliers14 pts, 9 reb
Duke2022Paolo BancheroOrlando Magic9 pts, 4 reb, 5 ast
Kansas2022Christian BraunDenver Nuggets5 pts, 2 reb
Duke2022Wendell MooreMinnesota Timberwolves0 pts
Connecticut2023Jordan HawkinsNew Orleans Pelicans1 reb
Connecticut2023Andre JacksonMilwaukee Bucks2 pts, 3 reb
Michigan2023Caris LeVertCleveland Cavaliers5 pts, 1 reb
Gonzaga2023Julian StrawtherDenver Nuggetsdid not play


Burns Leads NC State Past Lilliard, Leaving Just 2 Debut Games Left

 After the extensive preview, Weber State had an upset within reach at 47-47 with 16 possessions to play. However, D.J. Burns then scored on three straight possessions and on the fourth grabbed an offensive rebound and kicked the ball out to DJ Horne who nailed the 3-pointer with the benefit of Burns assist (the 20-sided die roll was lowered from 4 to 3 due to coming off an offensive rebound, and that fell just within Horn's 1-3 three-point made range. 

That made the score 56-51 NC State with 12 possessions to play. With six possessions to play, Burns scored and was fouled, hitting the free throw to make it 65-58 to put it out of reach en route to a 72-60 win.  NC State won the turnover battle 15-8, which could have been the difference in the game. Mohamed Diarra's five blocked shots were huge as well.

That leaves only four all-time great teams who have yet to be used in our Value Add Basketball Game, leaving two games between the new 2024 teams and new teams with a top 75 all-time player.  Right now it's three games a piece, so either the 2024 or all-time great players would need to win the remaining two games to take the series 5 games to 3.

The all-time great Oregon State 1990, ranked 153rd of all teams in the game, will be the favorite led by our 48th greatest player ever Gary Payton against Danny Wolf and 2024 Yale. It was actually John Poulakidas who scored 28 points to stun Auburn in this year's tournament to qualify this Yale team for the game with their first tournament win since upsetting Baylor in 2016. Yale is ranked 227th in our game.

In the other game it will be the 2024 team that is favored, with 212th Grand Canyon led by Tyon Grant Foster taking on 228th ranked Gonzaga 1981 lead by our 25th ranked player of all-time - John Stockton.

Pos      Weber State 2010     Pts  3pt  2pt  FT  Att  Reb  Stl  Blk  Fl    Actual Stats
1-PGDamian Lillard14224574026'2, 19.9 Pts
2-SGFranklin Session13053432116'3, 10.2 Pts
3-SFNick Hansen11310070116'4, 9.2 Pts
4-PFDarin Mahoney4020260426'8, 2.9 Pts
5-CSteve Panos8024480226'8, 10.6 Pts
PosHome BenchPts3pt2ptFTAttRebStlBlkFlActual Stats
1-PGLindsey Hughey4020410016'3, 7.8 Pts
4-PFKyle Bullinger2010012026'6, 8.7 Pts
5-CTrevor Morris4020030036'9, 4.9 Pts
 15 Turnovers605171119368814 
            
PosNC State 2024Pts3pt2ptFTAttRebStlBlkFlActual Stats
1-PGMichael O'Connell4020033046'2, 5.7 Pts
2-SGDJ Horne16331122026'1, 16.9 Pts
3-SFCasey Morsell10050081046'3, 11.1 Pts
4-PFMohamed Diarra6030090516'10, 6.3 Pts
5-CD.J. Burns17081180236'9, 12.9 Pts
PosHome BenchPts3pt2ptFTAttRebStlBlkFlActual Stats
1-PGBreon Pass2010010016'0, 1.3 Pts
2-SGKam Woods2010010016'2, 1.2 Pts
3-SFJayden Taylor11051212026'4, 11.2 Pts
4-PFDennis Parker2010020026'6, 4.7 Pts
5-CBen Middlebrooks2010241016'10, 5.7 Pts
 8 Turnovers7233036399721

Sunday, April 14, 2024

Debuts for Final 17 Great Teams Starts with Edey vs. 1948 NYU

Our 234 All-Time Great Men's teams, listed alphabetically here with records and average scores in our game, have combined for 269 games played leaving only these 17 teams listed yet to have played. Our primary focus is always to play every new team created at least once to catch any mistakes - a missing player, stamina that doesn't add up, a player seemingly out of position etc.

The following shows where each team ranks among our 234 all-time great teams - with UNC's Bob McAdoo team the highest ranked at 39th of all time and about +4 points better than the average great team in our game. the 2024 Purdue team is the only team from this season in the top 100 all time (since we already have the UConn 2023 team which ranked 7th of all time) and comes in at 27th place at one point higher than that UNC team at +5.
 
Prev     Team                    Year      Top Player (top 75 all-time?)    Rating
164Arizona St.2009James Harden #33-6
166California1993Jason Kidd #36-6
152Colorado St.2024Isaiah Stevens-5
221Duquesne2024Jimmy Clark-15
227Gonzaga1981John Stockton #25-16
213Grand Canyon2024Tyon Grant-Foster-12
168Louisville1968Wes Unseld #60-6
230Massachusetts1971Julius Erving #19-18
189NC State2024D.J. Burns-7
39North Carolina1972Bob McAdoo #54+4
232NYU1948Dolph Schayes #61-19
234Oakland2024Jack Gohlke-20
174Oregon St.1990Gary Payton #48-6
27Purdue2024Zach Edey+5
207Utah St.2024Great Osobor-10
231Weber St.2010Damian Lillard #68-18
226Yale2024Danny Wolf-15

We started one tournament of a bunch of newer teams from the last few years a while ago, but then moved our attention to a tournament of all the teams we added to the game because they featured one of the best players of all-time but had not been in the game.

The bracket at the bottom of the games played so far among those 26 teams. Nine of those teams had yet to play, but we decided to mix up that tournament a bit when we chose the eight 2024 teams to add to the game, we decided to match them up with eight of the great players teams so that we wouldn't be playing 2024 teams against each other in this round.

The debut for the 1972 UNC team featuring Bob McAdoo was already scheduled in the bracket at the bottom - the 1960 Providence team led by great player Lenny Wilkens , who won their first game in the tournament against Marshall. The winner of that game will play a surprise Elite 8 team - LSU 1953.

The next pairing of 2024 teams against great player teams features these four games, with the winners playing a mini tournament and the winner filling the line in the great players bracket below to play Connecticut 1996 in that Elite 8.

We will start with one of our newest teams - Zach Edey and Purdue, against our second oldest team NYU from 1948. Only Wyoming has an older team in our game. We did not have stats to feature the 1945 team which somehow was national runner-up with a 14-7 mark, but they still had Dolph Schayes in 1948 when they went 22-4 so we used that team.  

The second pairing is below, and the winner will now face the Michigan 1993 team.


With the adjustment of the games above to fill the lines below, we will continue with that Elite 8 once the 17 teams above played their games.



Sunday, January 21, 2024

New Cards for 22 of Greatest 75 Players for New Teams

Click here for the google sheet or on the images below for the 22 all-time great players for the new Value Add Basketball Game teams we are now creating.

The four other new teams we are adding are from the www.kenpom.com era, so I can make them based on those stats and do the whole team at a time. The coincidentally are based on four incredible players in four consecutive seasons who made the Athletic list of the greatest 75 players of all time;

Texas 2007 Kevin Durant #13 player of all time.

UCLA 2008 Russell Westbrook #46 player of all time.

Arizona St. 2009 James Harden #33 player of all time.

Weber St. 2010 Damian Lillard #68 player of all time.

The process for the 20th century teams takes much longer, and one step we always do is compare the NBA stats of the great players, particularly for stats not kept on college when they played (minutes played, three point shots, steals, blocked shots etc).

We basically took each players best NBA season (obviously against much tougher competition than they faced in college, and assumed they’d draw more fouls and hit 10% more of their 3-point shots (much closer arc) and 2-point shots (much easier defenders).

Below are the cards we created for each player. Note the dunk range and adjusted defense range are all the same, 51-56 and -6. These are usually for the whole team to adjust for level of competition, however since these players cards are based on playing against NBA players we don’t need to adjust the cards down for the ones who played lighter competition.

Durant, Westbrook, Harden and Lillard will be created with the rest of their teams from www.kenpom.com, but we will later add the 22 teams that go with these players.

Do note on the cards below that some great players from the days when front line players played inside, often with their backs to the basket, and would never have taken a 3-pointer, have no 3-pointers but do score and get fouled on a "1" on the 20-sided die roll instead.






Blue numbers on these stats were estimated using various methods because those stats were not kept then.


Here are the College Basketball links to the players above.

Jason Kidd Robert Parish Ray Allen Dave Cowens Allen Iverson Alonzo Mourning John Stockton Karl Malone Wes Unseld Bob Pettit Hal Greer Julius Erving Chris Webber Bob McAdoo Billy Cunningham Dolph Schayes Gary Payton Lenny Wilkens Steve Nash Walt Frazier Reggie Miller Tiny Archibald

Sunday, December 31, 2023

NBA's Most Famous Virgin Leads Oregon St. 1982 Past JMU 2024

Oregon State's AC Green set some amazing streaks, perhaps most incredibly staying a virgin through a 16-year NBA career and until his marriage in 2002 (see Fox Sports story). As a freshman on this Oregon State 1982 team he stepped in as the starting center and helped lead the Beavers to a third straight Pac-10 championship, No. 4 ranking, and Elite 8 run.

This card was from Green's freshman season, so he was good but not yet dominant, and his the other future NBA players Lester Conner and Charlie Sitton have stronger cards. Green stepped in to a void the year after Oregon State lost three players from their defending Pac-10 champs to the NBA in Ray Blume, Steve Johnson and Mark Radford. Later the great Gary Payton and his son Gary Payton II went from Oregon State to the NBA.

Patrick Ewing finally shut Oregon State down in the Elite 8, holding the rest of the team to 35% shooting, but the only one unfazed was Green who hit 3 of 4 shots in a 10-point performance. Two games later, Georgetown led UNC in the title game 62-61 when Jordan hit the first of many game-winning shots. More famous still were the following few seconds as the Hoyas worked down for a potential game-winning shot only to have Fred Brown, thinking a teammate was behind him, pass the ball back to James Worthy who ran out the clock. Coach John Thompson famously hugged Brown to let him know all was ok.

Green went onto finish second all-time in career rebounds and fourth all-time in scoring and then won multiple titles with the Los Angeles Lakers. Anyone who has talked to an NBA player about the number of suitors who come to their hotel doors at night can appreciate what it took to stay a virgin as a star in Los Angeles.

This great Oregon State team ranks 47th of the all-time great teams in our score tracker, behind those two (Jordan's UNC is ranked 7th and a Ewing Georgetown team 33rd), and was seeded No. 2 of our new 16 teams and thus drew the newest team and 15-seed, James Madison University 2024, which started this season with an upset at Michigan State to start a 13-0 start that propelled them to No. 20 in the AP rankings, though www.kenpom.com is not as impressed with them at 62nd. This is the same year the JMU football team debuted in the Top 25 in only their second year at the top level of football.

Oregon State dominated this match-up, but JMU keep within range during an incredible streak of 20 possessions during which JMU scored an incredible three or more points on 7 possessions to get within 66-71 with only eight possessions or 4:35 to play.

However, the Beavers clamed down on the defense with steals and blocked shots by Conner, Danny Evans and a stop by Green to only allow 2 points the last eight possessions to win 68-82 win and advance to the second round.

The following is the box score, followed by the scoresheet to show the running score, and then some screen shots to show the set up. The bottom image shows the setup with a game note. Games typically start with each of the 10 players having 2 points each for the 20-20 tie. However, if some players averaged less than two points per game (such as Oregon State's Alan Tait, Jamie Stangel and Jeff Wilson) then you can start them at 0 points and give those extra points - 6 in this case - to other leading scorers. 

In this case we started the 2nd NBA player on the team Connor with 5 points - added a 3-pointer made to the 2-pointer made that most teams start with in the game. We changed Evans starting 2-pointer with a 3-pointer so he starts with 3 points instead of 2. Finally we gave Green a 2nd basket at the opening to start him with 4 points instead of 2. As long as your total is 20 points at the outset, you can tweak but only if some of the 10 players averaged less than 2 points per game.

One strategy note from the game, with 12 possessions, JMU switched to a "try for 3-pointers" strategy to try to catchup from a 54-65 deficit. This should only be used if a team is running out of time to catchup or needs a 3-pointer on their final trip down the court to tie.  It gives a team a chance for the bigger come-from-behind, but on average you will lose 2 points for every 1 point you gain from changing a 2-pointer to a 3-pointer.

It paid immediate dividends on possession 12 when Noah Friedel had a "5" on the 20-sided die, which would normally be in his 5-8 2-point shot made range. However, when the strategy is used then half the numbers in this range are changed to a 3-pointer made (5-6 for Freidel) but the other half are changed to missed 2-point shot and rebound to the high defensive rebound rating. The 3-pointers can no more than double the number of 3-pointers on the card, and any numbers remaining in the range stay a 2-pointer made. Changing it to a 3-pointer cut the Oregon State lead to 57-66.

The only other possession the strategy effected was with 3 possessions left when JMU's Terrence Edwards drew a "6" on the 20-sided die. Due to the strategy, his normal 3-7 range for 2-pointers made was adjusted to a 3-4 for 3-pointer made (it can no longer double the original 1-2 3-pointer made), with a 5 still a made 2-pointer, and then his 6 on this roll falling within the 6-7 range a missed 2-pointer with AC Green getting the rebound as the high rebounder and never a chance for the offense to grab an offensive rebound when they miss in this range. 

Here is the box score:

Pos      JMU 2024              Pts  3pt   2pt  FT  Att RebStl  Blk Fl  Height, PPG          
1-PGMichael Green10220011016'0,11.5 ppg
2-SGNoah Freidel8210011146'4,10.9 ppg
3-SFTerrence Edwards12222221016'6,17.2 ppg
4-PFJulien Wooden5110023016'8,9.8 ppg
5-CTJ Bickerstaff14062220126'9,15.8 ppg
1-PGBryant Randleman0000010016'4,1.7 ppg
2-SGXavier Brown7120011026'2,7 ppg
3-SFQuincy Allen2010010016'8,3.8 ppg
4-PFRaekwon Horton4012211016'6,7 ppg
5-CJaylen Carey6030010016'8,6.8 ppg
 15 Turnovers6881966137110 
            
            
PosOregon St. 1982Pts3pt2ptFTAttRebStlBlkFlHeight, Season
1-PGWilliam Brew11140012016'1,9.2 ppg
2-SGLester Conner21336714016'4,14.9 ppg,NBA
3-SFDanny Evans14151122016'5,11.3 ppg
4-PFCharlie Sitton13150022026'8,12.9 ppg,NBA
5-CA.C. Green10050020136'9,8.6 ppg,NBA
1-PGAlan Tait0000010016'2,0.5 ppg
2-SGJamie Stangel0000010016'7,1.4 ppg
3-SFJeff Wilson0000010016'7,1.2 ppg
4-PFRob Holbrook6030010026'86.7 ppg
5-CGreg Wiltjer6030010016'11,5.4 ppg
 13 Turnovers81628781310110