Baseball Board Game Results: 24 of 30 Teams Finish Within 2 Games of Actual MLB Win%

After playing 234 games with current 2019 rosters, the following were my standings. The tweak I've gone to over the years - which seems to provide even more realistic results with a truer test - is to count each game as a 3-game series. Normally the winning team is credited with 2 wins and the losing team with 1 win UNLESS the winning team lead by 5 or more runs after 8 innings without using their top reliever. A team has about a 14% chance of accomplishing this in any given game, the same chance a team has of winning all three games of a series.

For anyone who enjoys any baseball board game, you may want to try this. Here is a grid of games this season (still filling some in)

The following is each team's record (this is my NL year, the only AL games are interleague). For each team I list their record in my games - so the Dodgers went 55-32 - then I list how much better or worse this is than their actual MLB winning percentage through September 18 would dictate (the Dodgers went 55-32 in my game for a .632 winning percentage, which is actually one game below (-1) the 56-31 they would have played if they hit their actual MLB .645 winning percentage this season.

Twenty-four of 30 teams were within 2 games of where they would have expected to finish based on their actual MLB winning percentage - so I bolded the two that performed much better and four that performed worse in the board game than in real life.

Statis-Pro team	Division	Wins	Losses	+ or - actual	Board gameWin%
Dodgers (Div)	NL West	55	32	-1	0.632
Padres	NL West	46	41	7	0.529
Giants	NL West	42	42	2	0.500
Diamondbacks	NL West	36	42	-4	0.462
Rockies	NL West	26	34	0	0.433
Nationals (Div)	NL East	52	39	2	0.571
Braves (wc)	NL East	51	40	-5	0.560
Mets (wc)	NL East	50	40	4	0.556
Phillies	NL East	46	44	0	0.511
Marlins	NL East	22	38	1	0.367
Cubs (Div)	NL Central	49	41	0	0.544
Brewers	NL Central	47	43	-2	0.522
Cardinals	NL Central	41	43	-6	0.488
Reds	NL Central	37	47	-2	0.440
Pirates	NL Central	25	35	-1	0.417
Astros (Div)	AL West	7	5	-1	0.583
Mariners	AL West	5	7	0	0.417
Rangers	AL West	5	7	-1	0.417
Angels	AL West	3	9	-2	0.250
Athletics	AL West	2	10	-5	0.167
Yankees (Div)	AL East	7	5	-1	0.583
Rays (wc)	AL East	7	6	-1	0.538
Red Sox	AL East	6	7	-1	0.462
BlueJays	AL East	4	8	-1	0.333
Orioles	AL East	4	8	0	0.333
Indians (Div)	AL Central	9	3	2	0.750
Twins (wc)	AL Central	7	5	0	0.583
WhiteSox	AL Central	5	7	0	0.417
Royals	AL Central	4	8	0	0.333
Tigers	AL Central	4	8	0	0.333
		704	704		0.500
AL Record		79	103		0.434