Bracket II - KenPom Plus Coaches Past Tournament Runs - Kansas beats Virginia for Title

Note: click here for the bracket results for all 8 methods.

The second bracket adjusts all 68 teams KenPom ratings by how far their coach has taken teams in past NCAA tournaments. We rank Kansas Bill Self as the top coach in the tournament for two title runs, which boosts Kansas KenPom just enough to be tops in the tournament. The runner-up under this system is Virginia, whose coach Tony Bennett recently took the Cavs to the title. While UVa's KenPom is lower this year, the path opened up in this coaches bracket to line up just right.

The 5th Factor to consider in your brackets is how deep the coach has taken a team in March Madness. We ranked all 68 coaches based on their deepest run - with Bill Self's two national titles and an Elite 8 with Tulsa ranking him 1st - and then used other runs as tie-breakers. Here is how we rank them:

Rnk	College	Head Coach	Best Showing	Notes on Best Showing or Other Runs
1	Kansas	Bill Self	Champion	Champ 2020 & 2008 and Tulsa E8 2000
2	Iona	Rick Pitino	Champion	Champ Lville 2013, 2nd KY 1997
3	Kentucky	John Calipari	Champion	Champion 2012, 2nd with Memph 2008
4	Virginia	Tony Bennett	Champion	Champion 2019, S16 Wash St. 2008
5	Baylor	Scott Drew	Champion	Champ 2021
6	Michigan St.	Tom Izzo	Champion	Champion 2000
7	Gonzaga	Mark Few	Runner-up	Runner up 2016
8	Houston	Kelvin Sampson	Final 4	Final 4 2022 and with Okl 2002
9	West Virginia	Bob Huggins	Final 4	Final 4 2010, S16 2001 Cincy, WV 2008, 2015, 2017, 2018
10	Miami FL	Jim Larranaga	Final 4	George Mason Final 4 2006,2x S16 Miami
11	Auburn	Bruce Pearl	Final 4	Final 4 2019, Elite 8 TN 2010
12	Marquette	Shaka Smart	Final 4	Final 4 VCU 2011
13	Xavier	Sean Miller	Elite 8	Elite 8 4x, Xavier 2008, AZ 2014, 2015
14	Purdue	Matt Painter	Elite 8	Elite 8 2019, 5x Sweet 16
15	Tennessee	Rick Barnes	Elite 8	Elite 8 Texas 2006, S16 Clem 1997, TN 2019
16	USC	Andy Enfield	Elite 8	Elite 8 2021, & Florida Gulf Coast S16 2013
17	Texas A&M	Buzz Williams	Elite 8	Elite 8 Marquette 2013, Elite 8 MU 2011,2012, Va Tech 2019
18	Arkansas	Eric Musselman	Elite 8	2 Elite 8 + Sweet 16 Nevada
19	TCU	Jamie Dixon	Elite 8	Elite 8 Pittsburgh 2009
20	Pittsburgh	Jeff Capel III	Elite 8	Elite 8 Oklahoma 2009
21	Nevada	Steve Alford	Sweet 16	3x Sweet 16, SW Missouri St. 1999, UCLA 2015, 2017
22	UCLA	Mick Cronin	Sweet 16	Sweet 16 Cincy 2012, UCLA 2022
23	Iowa St.	T.J. Otzelberger	Sweet 16	Sweet 16 2022
24	Arizona	Tommy Lloyd	Sweet 16	Sweet 16 2022
25	Providence	Ed Cooley	Sweet 16	Sweet 16 2022
26	Alabama	Nate Oats	Sweet 16	Sweet 16 2021
27	Creighton	Greg McDermott	Sweet 16	Sweet 16, 2021
28	Northern Kentucky	Darrin Horn	Sweet 16	Sweet 16 W. Kentucky 2008
29	Saint Mary's	Randy Bennett	Sweet 16	Sweet 16 in 2010
30	Iowa	Fran McCaffery	2nd round	R2 4x iowa and 2x Siena
31	Illinois	Brad Underwood	2nd round	4x 2nd round, 2x SFA and 2 Illinois
32	Connecticut	Dan Hurley	2nd round	Rhode Island R2 2018, 2017
33	Mississippi St.	Chris Jans	2nd round	Round 2 NM State 2022
34	Memphis	Penny Hardaway	2nd round	2nd round 2022
35	Utah St.	Ryan Odom	2nd round	Round 2 UMBC 2018
36	Oral Roberts	Paul Mills	2nd round	Sweet 16 2021
37	Maryland	Kevin Willard	2nd round	R2 Seton Hall 2018
38	Northwestern	Chris Collins	2nd round	Round 2 2017
39	Arizona St.	Bobby Hurley	1st round	Appear Buffalo 2014, 2x ASU
40	Texas Southern	Johnny Jones	1st round	Appearances N. Tex 2007, 2010, LSU 2015, Tsouth 2021, 2022
41	Louisiana	Bob Marlin	1st round	R1 Sam Hou 2003, 2010, LA Laf 2014
42	N.C. State	Kevin Keatts	1st round	Appear UNC Wilm 2017, 2018, NCS 2018
43	San Diego St.	Brian Dutcher	1st round	Appearance 2018, 2021, 2022
44	Colgate	Matt Langel	1st round	Appear 2022, 2021, 2019
45	Charleston	Pat Kelsey	1st round	2x Winthrop 2021 & 2017
46	VCU	Mike Rhoades	1st round	Appearance 2019, 2021
47	Grand Canyon	Bryce Drew	1st round	appear 2021
48	UC Santa Barbara	Joe Pasternack	1st round	Appearance 2021
49	Drake	Darian DeVries	1st round	Appear 2021
50	Princeton	Mitch Henderson	1st round	Appear 2017
51	Indiana	Mike Woodson	1st round	Appearance 2022, 1st year
52	Texas	Rodney Terry	1st round	Appear Fresno St 2016
53	Montana St.	Danny Sprinkle	1st round	Appear 2022
54	Missouri	Dennis Gates	1st round	Appear Cleveland St. 2021
55	Vermont	John Becker	1st round	Near upset 3 of 4 appearances 2012, 2017, 2019, 2022
56	Kent St.	Rob Senderoff	1st round	Appeared 2017
57	UNC Asheville	Mike Morrell	Never Appeared	1st Appearance, 5th year
58	Boise St.	Leon Rice	Never Appeared	Appear 2022
59	Kennesaw St.	Amir Abdur-Rahim	Never Appeared	1st appearance, 4th year
60	Howard	Kenny Blakeney	Never Appeared	1st appearance, 4th year
61	Furman	Bob Richey	Never Appeared	6th year, 1st appearance
62	Florida Atlantic	Dusty May	Never Appeared	5th year, first appearance
63	Duke	Jon Scheyer	Never Appeared	1st Year Coaching, won ACC
64	Fairleigh Dickinson	Tobin Anderson	Never Appeared	1st year coaching
65	Kansas St.	Jerome Tang	Never Appeared	1st year coaching
66	Penn St.	Micah Shrewsberry	Never Appeared	1st appearance, 2nd year
67	Southeast Missouri St.	Brad Korn	Never Appeared	1st appearance, 3rd year
68	Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Steve Lutz	Never Appeared	First appearance, 2nd year

March Madness 1: Teams with Most NBA Talent

The first of a series of pieces will will post this weekend to help you fill out your March Madness brackets regards how much future NBA talent a team can put on the court. Fans tend to overestimate how many of their players will be in the NBA. In fact, only about 40 of the 4,000+ players on the court this year will be playing in the NBA within a couple of years.

This weekend we will update www.valueaddbasketball.com with a column for the percent chance a player will make the NBA. Auburn's Jabari Smith has the highest rating at 99, meaning he has a 99% chance of making the NBA (due to injuries etc., we never give 100%).

To determine how many players from a team will make the NBA we add up the percentage for each of their players with at least a 20% chance of making the NBA. His teammate Walker Kessler has an 87% chance, Devan Cambridge at 63% chance and Allen Flanigan a 40% chance. Add the odds - 99% + 87% + 63% + 40% = 289% - meaning we would expect 2.89 current Auburn players to make the NBA.

That's the 9th most future NBA talent of either team, with Duke (4.74) edging out Kentucky (4.54), Gonzaga (4.36) and an underachieving Memphis (3.94) for the most talent on the court.

Here is the whole list of teams with at least one player with at least a 20% chance of making the League. You can look up which players on each team have a chance at www.valueaddbasketball.com.
 

Most NBA	Team	Future NBA Players
1	Duke	4.74
2	Kentucky	4.54
3	Gonzaga	4.36
4	Memphis	3.94
5	Baylor	3.47
6	Alabama	3.31
7	North Carolina	3.15
8	LSU	3.00
9	Auburn	2.89
10	Kansas	2.88
11	Arizona	2.86
12	Texas	2.73
13	UCLA	2.66
14	Tennessee	2.57
15	Florida St.	2.43
16	Purdue	2.27
17	Michigan	2.25
18	Villanova	2.17
19	Michigan St.	2.03
20	Oklahoma St.	1.94
21	Connecticut	1.93
22	Illinois	1.74
23	USC	1.68
24	Ohio St.	1.62
25	N.C. State	1.61
26	Mississippi St.	1.60
27	Iowa	1.57
28	Notre Dame	1.54
29	Iowa St.	1.51
30	Seton Hall	1.40
31	Texas Tech	1.39
32	Indiana	1.36
33	TCU	1.36
34	Arkansas	1.34
35	Dayton	1.21
36	Florida	1.18
37	Virginia Tech	1.05
38	Nebraska	1.03
39	Rutgers	1.02
40	Georgia Tech	1.01
41	Maryland	1.00
42	Oregon	0.99
43	Colorado	0.98
44	Xavier	0.96
45	Louisville	0.95
46	Wisconsin	0.93
47	Stanford	0.88
48	Fresno St.	0.86
49	Miami FL	0.85
50	Milwaukee	0.85
51	St. John's	0.85
52	St. Bonaventure	0.81
53	San Francisco	0.80
54	Marshall	0.76
55	San Diego St.	0.73
56	Wake Forest	0.72
57	Georgetown	0.65
58	Texas A&M	0.65
59	Houston	0.64
60	Saint Joseph's	0.64
61	Santa Clara	0.63
62	Mississippi	0.61
63	VCU	0.61
64	Western Kentucky	0.61
65	Colorado St.	0.60
66	Charlotte	0.59
67	West Virginia	0.59
68	Wichita St.	0.58
69	Syracuse	0.54
70	BYU	0.49
71	Detroit Mercy	0.47
72	Boise St.	0.46
73	Clemson	0.44
74	UC Santa Barbara	0.42
75	Vanderbilt	0.41
76	Oral Roberts	0.39
77	South Florida	0.39
78	Arizona St.	0.38
79	Buffalo	0.38
80	Marquette	0.36
81	Oregon St.	0.36
82	Washington St.	0.35
83	Liberty	0.34
84	Louisiana Tech	0.34
85	Northern Iowa	0.33
86	Toledo	0.32
87	Butler	0.31
88	Georgia	0.29
89	Cal Baptist	0.28
90	Lipscomb	0.28
91	Montana St.	0.28
92	Tennessee St.	0.28
93	Utah St.	0.28
94	Louisiana	0.27
95	SMU	0.27
96	South Carolina	0.27
97	Duquesne	0.26
98	Saint Peter's	0.26
99	Utah	0.26
100	Creighton	0.25
101	Hawaii	0.25
102	Richmond	0.25
103	Virginia	0.24
104	Saint Louis	0.22
105	San Jose St.	0.22
106	Nevada	0.21
107	Florida Gulf Coast	0.20
108	Providence	0.20
109	UCF	0.20
110	UTEP	0.20