Saturday, April 7, 2018

Statis-Pro Standings, Pre-season ranking based on cards and Results (2018 Rosters, 2017 Player Cards) - All-Star results added

We keep the updated standings of the current AL season we are playing here, and while the sample size of games is low enough that there are always some surprises (think of the Mets start early this year), right now our season lines up with four of the same five teams in line for the playoffs as in actual play. The exceptions is the lowly Orioles are actually one game ahead of the real-life surprising Mariners for the last playoff spot. The White Sox have also played well above their real season.

The two differences between the real season and our simultaneous play is that we use cards based on last year's stats, and we let anyone on the roster play even if they are injured or suspended. Two of the reason the White Sox and Orioles are better in Statis-Pro are the great hitting cards of Colby Rasmus, who was actually out most of the season before quitting baseball again, and Welington Castillo, who looked like a big time pick-up in our game but has been serving an 80-day suspension in real life. All that and the variable luck plays in a short season and here are the AL standings followed by how our All-Star games went in Statis-Pro.

AL TeamWLGBWin%New OpponentIF playoffs today
Houston251100.694MilwaukeeAL West Pennant
New York2313-20.639NY MetsAL East Pennant
Boston2115-40.583CincinnatiWild Card host
Cleveland2418-40.5714-2 v PittsburghAL Central
Baltimore2016-50.556Chicago CubsWild Card visitor
Seattle1917-60.528San Diego
Chicago2220-60.5242-4 vs Washington
Kansas City1719-80.472Atlanta
Los Angeles1422-110.389Miami
Tampa Bay1422-110.389NL
Texas1422-110.389LA Dodgers
Detroit1323-120.361San Francisco

NL Wins All-Star Series two games to one with two cliffhanger wins

Game 1 (NL 4, AL 3) – As soon as Clayton Kershaw was gone, Carlos Correa’s homer and Gary Sanchez rbi as part of a 2 of 3 days gave the NL a 2-1 lead and a 7-3 edge in hits through three innings that held up into the 7th inning.

However, a 2-run homer by the Cubs’ Anthony Rizzo and solo shot by the Rockies Trevor Story rallied the NL in the 7th and 8th to take a dramatic 4-2 lead with Corey Knebel striking out the side in between for the win and the Cubs Brandon Morrow pitching through an error, walk and hit in the 9th for a dramatic opening game win.

Game 2 (NL 2, AL 1 in 12 innings) Brandon Morrow appeared ready to wrap up a Game 2 shutout when the NLs great defense (3b Arenado throwing a runner out at home, and Molina throwing Trout out stealing) was replaced with a dropped line drive at first base by Posey and a rare bobbled pitch by Molina to let a runner get to third who then scored an unearned run to force extra innings.

However, Herrera doubled in the top of the 12th and Parra’s sac fly to right clinched the series with a 2-1 12th inning run once Hendricks worked the 11th and 12th for a win as he induced Judge to ground into a double play to end the 11th and Altuve to strikeout to end the game.

Game 3 (AL 5, NL 2) Gary Sanchez was moved in front of Adrian Beltre in the lineup for Game 3 – and belted a homer-hitting after Yankees teammate Aaron Judge to spark the AL to salvage a game. Justin Verlander pitched three scoreless innings, and Mike Moustakas came off the bench to drive in two more runs for a 5-0 lead.

The NL did get to Ranger Alex Claudio to cut the lead to 5-2, but the Indians-Red Sox combo of Andrew Miller and Craig Kimbrel was once again shut down to get the Hold and the Save to salvage the final of the three games and actually give the AL the better run differential.

While the NL won the series on two cliffhangers, the AL not only had a 9-8 edge in run differential in the three-game series and destroyed the NL in the futures game 7-2 as Ohtani went three shut out innings for the win. Tampa’s Field hit two homers for 5 RBIs, and the Yankees Austin had two runs and doubles on a three of four day, and the White Sox Palka added a single and an RBI triple.

Here is the composite box for the All-Star Games:

PosAll-Start Line-UpTeamABHHRRBIRNotes
CFGeorge SpringerHou71000
SSCarlos CorreaHou72111
DHMike TroutLA71001
RFAaron JudgeNY82001
3BAdrian BeltreTex51000
CGary SanchezNY73121Gm 3 HR in win
2BRobinson CanoSea51000
1BEdwin EncarnacionCle63001
LFAndrew BenintendiBos51000
2BJose AltuveHou71000
SSJeimer CandelarioDet20000
CWellington CastilloChi62001
RFShin-Soo ChooTex41010
CFDelino DeShieldsTex10000
CFDustin FowlerOak10000
RFAvisail GarciaChi40000
1BJohn HicksDet21000
CFKevin KiermaierTB60001
3BFrancisco LindorCle10000
3B-SSManny MachadoBal51001
CRussell MartinTor00000
1BJoe MauerMin40010
LFWhit MerrifieldKC30000
SSMike MoustakasKC310212 RBI in Gm 3 win
P-DHShohei OhtaniLA10000
2BDustin PedroiaBos00000
Gm 1Corey KluberCle231102
Gm 2Shohei OhtaniLAA321117
Gm 3Justin VerlanderHou320011Gm 3 win
Alex ClaudioTex474406Gm 1 loss
Dallas KeuchelHou310004
Craig KimbrelBos310004Gm 3 save
Mike LeakeSea341102Gm 2 loss
Andrew MillerCle431126Gm 3 hold
Chris SaleBos420014
PosAL All-Star Line-upTeamABHHRRBIRNotes
RFGerardo ParraCol56011Gm 2 GW SF in 12th
2BDJ LaMahieuCol45000
DHJoey VottoCin72111Gm 2 HR
1BCody BellingerLA51010
3BNolan ArenadoCol111000
CFMichael ConfortoNY41000
SSCorey SeagerLA50000
LFDavid PeraltaArz50000
CYadier MolinaStl80000
2B-3B-1BMatt CarpenterStl00000
1BFreddie FreemanAtl31000
2BScooter GennettCin71000
CFOdubel HerreraPhl2100112th in 2b, GW R Gm 2
CFEnder InciarteAtl41000
CFAndrew McCutchenSF70000
CFAJ PollockArz51001
CBuster PoseySF63020last 2 RBIs, rally short
1BAnthony RizzoChi21121
SSTrevor StoryCol53112
1BRyan ZimmermanWas43001
StartedAL PitchersTeamIPHRERBBKNotes
Gm 1Clayton KershawLA240001
Gm 2Chase AndersonMil310001
Gm 3Carlos MartinezStl321114Gm 3 Loss
Jake ArrietaPhl241004
Luis CastilloCin130000
Josh HaderMil110001
Brad HandSD200002
Kyle HendricksChi210002Gm 2 W, 11th-12th
Yoshihisa HiranoArz300024
Raisel IglesiasCin200011
Corey KnebelMil200005Gm 2 Win
Brandon MorrowChi332015Gm 2 Save
Hector NerisPhl133311G3 collapse
Jose UrenaMia000000
Felipe VazquezPit310002

The updates standings and final AL All-Star selections are now posted here.

(14 NL teams will play 14 AL teams WITH the DH after the games above, but Tampa Bay and St. Louis will be left out since they already played two interleague teams)

NL Standings

The NL went 55-41 in AL Statis-Pro games to date, which were all played with the pitchers batting. After the Oakland at St. Louis series, the next interleague series will all be played with the DH, but the following are the NL teams that did the best in my games against the AL. Keep in mind each NL team played it's games against one specific NL team, so some had touch challenges and some had easy challenges:

The official NL games are being played by my friend.

My friend does not use my quirky "game counts as 3-game series" system, so his records in the NL are straight up one statis pro game per game in the record. He took the top 8 teams as opposed to the whole league. He also played some interleague games with these 8 and even though he used the DH and I did not - seemingly giving the AL the advantage - the NL went 11-5 in those games which are part of the records below. While the AL seems to have the three best teams in actual MLB play, overall the leagues had actually split interleague games exactly 50-50 as of a few days ago. The Cubs are in 1st and if they met the 2nd best team in the league - Milwaukee - at this point, they would have only a 90 minute drive to Miller Park for way games. If they faced the third-place St. Louis Cardinals, they would have only a 4 1/2 hour drive to Busch Stadium.

National League Standings (does not include my AL interleague games)
Chicago          11-4
Milwaukee      10-5
St. Louis          9-6
Washington     7-8
Colorado         7-8
Los Angeles     6-9
New York        6-9
Arizona           6-9

Team Notes:
The Cubs establishing themselves.
Fewest runs allowed  (15gm/51 RA)
Best Run Differential  (15gm/  +19)

No surprise, most runs scored
Colorado  (15 gm/87 RS)
However, Home Runs
Milwaukee (15 gm/ 24 HR)
Colorado (15 gm/20 HR)

Obscure Stat of the Month
(I'm calling this a Statis-Pro Record)
The Dodgers lost to the Rockies 10-5,
and LA left 17 men on-base.  They had 13 hits
and a generous 9 walks from Colorado pitching.
So 5 runs scored and literally every other man was left out there!

All-Star Considerations

We will both figure out how to select our All-Star teams in the near future.

In the AL, I am also scoring MVP voting based on results. We play everyone without regarding for injuries or suspensions, and Cano and Judge are now tied for MVP with Indians starter Kluber.

Top All-Stars, MVPs MVP Points (top 3 players each game divide up 9 star points - max 5 for one player)
Judge NY 15
Cano Sea 13
Kluber Cle 13
Miller Cle 12
Verlander Hou 12
Beltre Tex 11
Merrifield KC 11
A Garcia Chi 10
Ohtani LA 10
Springer Hou 10
Correa Hou 9
Encarcacion Cl 9
Leake Sea 9
Mahtook Det 9
Moustakas KC 9
Sale Bos 9
Sanchez NY 9
Candelario Det 8
Castillo Chi 8
DeShields Tex 8
Duffy KC 8
Trout LA 8
Altuve Hou 7
Avilon Chi 7
Choo Tex 7
Faria TB 7
Keuchel Hou 7
Lindor Cle 7
Martinez Stl 7
Pedroia Bos 7
Benintendi Bos 6
Betts Bos 6
Brantley Cle 6
Cashner Bal 6
Cruz Sea 6
Davidson Chi 6
Fulmer Det 6
Joyce Oak 6
Kiermaier TB 6
Kimbrel Bos 6
Ozuna StL 6
Powell Oak 6
Sanchez Chi 6
Andrus Tex 5
Avila Ari 5
Bradley Bos 5
Castillo Cin 5
Cespades NYM 5
Chacin Mil 5
Contreras ChiC 5
Cozart LA 5
Cron TB 5
Desmond Col 5
Estrada Tor 5
Gattis Hou 5
Giolito Chi 5
Hicks NY 5
Martinez Det 5
Odorizzi TB 5
Pearce Tor 5
Perez KC 5
Richards LAA 5
Rizzo ChiC 5
Stroman Tor 5
Triggs Oak 5
Hiriano Ari 4 4
Andujar NY 4
Arrieta Ari 4
Barnhart Cin 4
Beckman Bal 4
Berrios Min 4
Bregman Hou 4
Cobb Bal 4
Deitrich Mia 4
Escobar KC 4
Field TB 4
Freeman Atl 4
Garcia Chi 4
Gibson Min 4
Goody Cle 4
Greinke Ari 4
Harrison Pitt 4
Healy Sea 4
Herrera KC 4
Incarte Atl 4
Junis TB 4
L Garcia Chi 4
Marisnick Hou 4
Martin Tor 4
McCutcheon SF 4
Olson Oak 4
Paxton Sea 4
Reed Mi 4
Roberts NY 4
Rosario Min 4
Sano Min 4
Santana Phi 4
Sequia Sea 4
Severino NY 4
Sotu... Was 4
Stanton NY 4
Allen Cle 3
Alonso Cle 3
Bauer Cle 3
Bour Mia 3
Buxton Min 3
Castro Bal 3
Chiranos Tex 3
Conforte NYM 3
Freese Pit 3
Gomes Cle 3
Gomez Tex 3
Gray NY 3
Gregorius NY 3
Gross Mi 3
Gurriel Hou 3
Haniger Sea 3
Happ Tor 3
Herrera Phi 3
Heyward ChiC 3
Hicks Det 3
Ianetta Col 3
Kershaw LAD 3
Mauer Min 3
Mengden Oak 3
Murphy Was 3
Nicasio Sea 3
Parker LA 3
Phelps Sea 3
Rivera LA 3
Sanchez Tor 3
Santana Min 3
Santiago Chi 3
Schebler Cin 3
Scherzer Was 3
Seager Sea 3
Shoemaker LA 3
Smoak Tor 3
Sucre TB 3
Trumbo Bal 3
Tulowitzke Tor 3
Upton LA 3
Votto Cin 3
Archer TB 2
Bleier Bal 2
Bonifacio KC 2
Britton Bal 2
Chapman Oak 2
Claudio TX 2
Cole Hou 2
Davis Oak 2
Delminico Chi 2
Donaldson Tor 2
Doolittle Was 2
Duda KC 2
Duffy TB 2
Gardner Phi 2
Giles Hou 2
Gonzalez Sea 2
Gordon KC 2
Hand SD 2
Harper Was 2
Kepler Cle 2
Lowrie Oak 2
Martin Det 2
McCann Atl 2
McCann Hou 2
Minor Tex 2
Moncado Chi 2
Moreland Bos 2
Morrison Min 2
Peacock Hou 2
Petit Oak 2
Piscotty Oak 2
Price Bos 2
Rasmus Bal 2
Reddick Hou 2
Schoe Bal 2
Tepera Tor 2
Urena Mia 2
Warren NY 2
Zimmer Cle 2
Anderson Chi 1
Anderson Mil 1
Beckham Mil 1
Bellinger LAD 1
Bruce NYM 1
Escobar Min 1
Grandal LAD 1
Green NY 1
Hechavarrio TB 1
Morales Tor 1
Parra Col 1
Posey SF 1
Ramirez Cle 1
Simmons LA 1
Store Col 1
Torres NY 1

Who is hot in the NL: 

David Peralta, Arz (19-39 .487) DJ LaMahieu, Col (19-47 .404) Matt Carpenter, Stl 5 HR Gerardo Parra, Col 11 RBI Anthony Rendon, Wsh 11 RBI Jose Martinez, Stl 11 Runs Scored Kyle Hendricks, Chi (3-0, 2.45) Who is not: Bryce Harper, Wsh (3-34, 0 HR, 0 RBI) Stephen Strasburg, Wsh (0-3, 4.75)

Update: We are adding rookie cards on a spreadsheet that lets you add any player you want in this google sheet. I based new cards on the MLB projected stats for the whole year, and going through rookie pitchers with more than 14 innings pitched Shane Carle of the Atlanta Braves is the only PB2-8 pitcher so far. I started the rookie batters just with their actual stats to get something on the page, and Houston has a Home Run 26-33, while the Yankees have 31-35 and 27-37 and Tampa Bay has a 42-43, but because the sample is small I will look at batters projections before actually playing with new rookies. This definitely makes the Yankees much stronger and the Astros and Rays a bit stronger than the rankings I have further down in this blog.

AL League Rules

Each game counts as a 3-game series. Winning team gets a 2-1 series win unless they win by at least 5 runs without extra innings, in which case they get a 3-0 sweep. Mathematically, it is just as hard to get a 5-run win as a sweep and run differential is a truer test in the short season.

Using 2017 Statis-Pro cards but current rosters. As long as someone is on the roster they can be used in a better role (eg a player with a better card from last year can play ahead of the player actually starting this year, or relievers who have better cards can be the closer. Also, relievers can be used to protect against a sweep (closer to hold a 5-run lead or keep a 4-run deficit from becoming a 5-run deficit.

1 comment:

  1. Not reflected yet, Oakland lost 3-6 and 4-6 to St Louis to fall to 14-16 above.