Monday, July 29, 2019
Updated Top 25 Trade Deadline Acquisitions Including Puig vs. Bauer - Astros 3rd Ace in Greinke
We updated the top 25 pickups in the final week leading up to the trade deadline. These ratings are based purely on how good the projected Statis-Pro card was for the player is for the player and how much it upgraded the team (all player cards here and updated by current team). We look forward to the match-up of two of the biggest pickups when the Reds' Bauer faces the Indians' Puig in a game scheduled in our season (see grid of all games here, including NL Central vs. AL Central teams).
Sunday, July 21, 2019
10 Shortcuts for High Volume Statis-Pro Seasons - with Dodgers and Braves Facing Off
In my first match-up of division leaders, the Dodgers defeated the Braves 5-3 and 3-2 to hold by far the best record in my NL Statis-Pro game at 32-16. While many play the great Statis-Pro Advanced all-time series with more focus on each game over time to replay perhaps one great teams entire 154- or 162-game season, I use several steps to get in as many games as possible in short period of time to have a little truer test.
The steps I used are below the photo of the actual condensed scoresheet of the Braves-Dodgers games (click here for projections of all 2019 players).
1. I always play 2-game series so I just write the line-up, shuffled my 4-sided Fast Action Cards once, and get in two games (or you can use dice of course).
2. Because teams have a 14% chance of a sweep in a 3-game series and 14% chance of winning a game by 5 runs I could each games as either a 2-to-1 win for the winning team, or they can get credit for a series sweep if they lead by 5-runs or more after the 8th inning WITHOUT using their best reliever available (some trial and error here, but bringing in the closer to hold a 5-run lead OR letting a team hit in the bottom of the 9th to try to get a 5-run lead both mess up the spirit of the game).
3. I use a 4-man starting rotation and each team starts either their 1st and 4th best pitcher or 2nd and 3rd best in each series so that even if one team gets ahead of another in games played they are both still using fairly "equal" parts of their rotation.
4. I only let relievers pitch in one of two games - another example of the above where Jansen and Kelly (the Dodgers 2 best relievers) were used to preserve the first win, so were not available in the second game. Then I typically just count down so the best relievers still available will be available for the 9th inning. So with those two gone and Buehler lasting 5 innings, the 4th best pitcher still available (Ferguson) pitched the 6th, then the 3rd best available (Rosscup) pitched the 7th, Stripling the 8th, and then the one other PB:2-8 in the pen - Alexander - pitched the 9th of Game 2.
5. I only let each reliever pitch one inning OR up to 4 batters in one of the two games. You obviously want to use the best pitchers as much as you can and there are great ways in the advanced game to decide on rest, BUT to get in volume of games this lets you see who was used in Game 1 of each series and not use them in Game 2. You can bring in a pitcher ahead of his inning to get out of a jam but unless he induces a double play as his only batter faced in one inning and then gets three straight in the next inning for a 1 2/3rd inning start, you are playing with fire because he may not be able to finish closing a game and then you end up with a lesser pitcher in a jam. My projected cards include any player who plays or is projected to play any measurable time in the current season, so you should have plenty of extra projected pitchers and pinch hitters to add to your set of cards even for a marathon extra inning game.
6. I leave a space between the two games to allow for platoon changes in the line-up or to mark pitch hitters. The 3 by Vedugo means he actually hit the 3rd time the No. 9 pitchers spot was due up, and the 4 by Taylor means he hit the 4th time.
7. In playing the current season in addition to the players from the past year, I do keep simple staple cards you can calculate based purely on projected ERA and OPS to change only the home run range to plug in a new surprise player like Alvarez for the Astros (click here for projected cards of all 2019 players including new ones). The disadvantage to this sheet is it lists only ranges for singles and doubles, unlike the cards that tell you if the hit goes to the infield (1Bf), left field (1B7), etc. When using a projected card for a new player without these ranges I just use the following:
If the last digit of the Random Number is a 1,2 or 3 he pulled the ball
If it is a 4, 5 or 6 he hits the ball to centerfield
If it is a 7 or 8 he goes opposite field
8. I only have injuries last for the rest of the game, but because I am using projected cards you don't get ridiculous ones for a player who only played a handful of games.
9. Since I do not actually calculate Clutch Batting (BD) ranges, I just convert the following on the offensive card: 1B becomes a base clearing 2B, 2B become Home Runs, all OUTs (but not strikeouts) become Deep Sac flies with all runners advancing, and I draw a new number if the first one was a Walk or Hit by Pitch - with all other results (3b, HR, K) staying the same.
10. Because the projected cards do not have a breakdown for facing left handers or righthanders, use the basic game adjustment of 88s turning into hits if it is a right-hander vs. left hander in either combination, an 11 turning into a strikeout if right vs. right or left vs left, and then a 12 also an out if left vs. left.
I realize some of this goes in the opposite direction of the great advanced rules that keep improving the game when playing the all-time teams where the roster is set and you know what players you will have in place for the whole year. But for any who do like trying to keep up with current rosters for some of their games, it gives the ability to get a more realistic test in a shorter season I believe.
For whatever it is worth, here are my standings so far this season in the balanced NL where it seems the only near certainty is that the Dodgers will win and the Marlins will lose any given series. (the standings continued to be updated on this google sheet with a line on every game played).
The steps I used are below the photo of the actual condensed scoresheet of the Braves-Dodgers games (click here for projections of all 2019 players).
1. I always play 2-game series so I just write the line-up, shuffled my 4-sided Fast Action Cards once, and get in two games (or you can use dice of course).
2. Because teams have a 14% chance of a sweep in a 3-game series and 14% chance of winning a game by 5 runs I could each games as either a 2-to-1 win for the winning team, or they can get credit for a series sweep if they lead by 5-runs or more after the 8th inning WITHOUT using their best reliever available (some trial and error here, but bringing in the closer to hold a 5-run lead OR letting a team hit in the bottom of the 9th to try to get a 5-run lead both mess up the spirit of the game).
3. I use a 4-man starting rotation and each team starts either their 1st and 4th best pitcher or 2nd and 3rd best in each series so that even if one team gets ahead of another in games played they are both still using fairly "equal" parts of their rotation.
4. I only let relievers pitch in one of two games - another example of the above where Jansen and Kelly (the Dodgers 2 best relievers) were used to preserve the first win, so were not available in the second game. Then I typically just count down so the best relievers still available will be available for the 9th inning. So with those two gone and Buehler lasting 5 innings, the 4th best pitcher still available (Ferguson) pitched the 6th, then the 3rd best available (Rosscup) pitched the 7th, Stripling the 8th, and then the one other PB:2-8 in the pen - Alexander - pitched the 9th of Game 2.
5. I only let each reliever pitch one inning OR up to 4 batters in one of the two games. You obviously want to use the best pitchers as much as you can and there are great ways in the advanced game to decide on rest, BUT to get in volume of games this lets you see who was used in Game 1 of each series and not use them in Game 2. You can bring in a pitcher ahead of his inning to get out of a jam but unless he induces a double play as his only batter faced in one inning and then gets three straight in the next inning for a 1 2/3rd inning start, you are playing with fire because he may not be able to finish closing a game and then you end up with a lesser pitcher in a jam. My projected cards include any player who plays or is projected to play any measurable time in the current season, so you should have plenty of extra projected pitchers and pinch hitters to add to your set of cards even for a marathon extra inning game.
6. I leave a space between the two games to allow for platoon changes in the line-up or to mark pitch hitters. The 3 by Vedugo means he actually hit the 3rd time the No. 9 pitchers spot was due up, and the 4 by Taylor means he hit the 4th time.
7. In playing the current season in addition to the players from the past year, I do keep simple staple cards you can calculate based purely on projected ERA and OPS to change only the home run range to plug in a new surprise player like Alvarez for the Astros (click here for projected cards of all 2019 players including new ones). The disadvantage to this sheet is it lists only ranges for singles and doubles, unlike the cards that tell you if the hit goes to the infield (1Bf), left field (1B7), etc. When using a projected card for a new player without these ranges I just use the following:
If the last digit of the Random Number is a 1,2 or 3 he pulled the ball
If it is a 4, 5 or 6 he hits the ball to centerfield
If it is a 7 or 8 he goes opposite field
8. I only have injuries last for the rest of the game, but because I am using projected cards you don't get ridiculous ones for a player who only played a handful of games.
9. Since I do not actually calculate Clutch Batting (BD) ranges, I just convert the following on the offensive card: 1B becomes a base clearing 2B, 2B become Home Runs, all OUTs (but not strikeouts) become Deep Sac flies with all runners advancing, and I draw a new number if the first one was a Walk or Hit by Pitch - with all other results (3b, HR, K) staying the same.
10. Because the projected cards do not have a breakdown for facing left handers or righthanders, use the basic game adjustment of 88s turning into hits if it is a right-hander vs. left hander in either combination, an 11 turning into a strikeout if right vs. right or left vs left, and then a 12 also an out if left vs. left.
I realize some of this goes in the opposite direction of the great advanced rules that keep improving the game when playing the all-time teams where the roster is set and you know what players you will have in place for the whole year. But for any who do like trying to keep up with current rosters for some of their games, it gives the ability to get a more realistic test in a shorter season I believe.
For whatever it is worth, here are my standings so far this season in the balanced NL where it seems the only near certainty is that the Dodgers will win and the Marlins will lose any given series. (the standings continued to be updated on this google sheet with a line on every game played).
| Team | Division | Wins | Losses | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cubs | NL Central | 27 | 21 | 0 |
| Brewers | NL Central | 22 | 20 | -2 |
| Reds | NL Central | 20 | 22 | -4 |
| Cardinals | NL Central | 22 | 26 | -5 |
| Pirates | NL Central | 17 | 25 | -7 |
| Braves | NL East | 24 | 18 | 0 |
| Nationals | NL East | 24 | 18 | 0 |
| Phillies | NL East | 24 | 18 | 0 |
| Mets | NL East | 22 | 20 | -2 |
| Marlins | NL East | 16 | 32 | -11 |
| Dodgers | NL West | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| Giants | NL West | 28 | 20 | -4 |
| Padres | NL West | 22 | 20 | -7 |
| Diamondbacks | NL West | 21 | 21 | -8 |
| Rockies | NL West | 17 | 25 | -12 |
Tuesday, July 16, 2019
Statis-Pro Relives the Past ... and Maybe Predicts the Future
Many enjoy playing the 1927 Yankees against the 1976 Reds or entire replays of past seasons for their favorite historic teams using Statis-Pro cards available here. My best friend and I have also enjoyed playing with cards for the current rosters since the 1980s - rotating leagues to quickly understand each team's strengths and weaknesses in 30 minute games. (get free starter game here)
The only problem with playing the "present" season is that critics can jump on the game looking "unrealistic" whenever a team in a short Statis-Pro season has a much different record than their actual squad. Last year I had the AL and the Red Sox, Yankees, Astros and Indians ran away with the league - all finishing within a game of 38-22, but while that all seemed realistic, the Chicago White Sox were annoyingly decent in Statis-Pro while terrible in real MLB games.
However, as I took the NL this year I knew there was much more balance, and the biggest discrepancy between my current season based on projected Statis-Pro cards and the actual MLB season a few weeks ago was that the Colorado Rockies and San Francisco Giants seemed to be flipped.
In Statis-Pro the Giants were battling for first in the NL West while the Rockies were buried in last, while the actual standings showed the Giants at 32-42 and the Rockies were 40-34.
The only problem with playing the "present" season is that critics can jump on the game looking "unrealistic" whenever a team in a short Statis-Pro season has a much different record than their actual squad. Last year I had the AL and the Red Sox, Yankees, Astros and Indians ran away with the league - all finishing within a game of 38-22, but while that all seemed realistic, the Chicago White Sox were annoyingly decent in Statis-Pro while terrible in real MLB games.
However, as I took the NL this year I knew there was much more balance, and the biggest discrepancy between my current season based on projected Statis-Pro cards and the actual MLB season a few weeks ago was that the Colorado Rockies and San Francisco Giants seemed to be flipped.
In Statis-Pro the Giants were battling for first in the NL West while the Rockies were buried in last, while the actual standings showed the Giants at 32-42 and the Rockies were 40-34.
I do play with park neutral stats, so the Rockies line-up of
All-Stars in the actual MLB only looked like a decent offense in Statis-Pro,
but by the same token their pitching looked pretty good once adjusted for Coors
Field.
Monday night the Giants took a series 4-2 over the Rockies –
to maintain a big lead over the Rockies in our Statis-Pro standings:
| Team | Division | Wins | Losses | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dodgers | NL West | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| Giants | NL West | 24 | 18 | -2 |
| Diamondbacks | NL West | 19 | 17 | -4 |
| Padres | NL West | 19 | 17 | -4 |
| Rockies | NL West | 17 | 25 | -9 |
| Cubs | NL Central | 27 | 21 | 0 |
| Brewers | NL Central | 22 | 20 | -2 |
| Reds | NL Central | 20 | 22 | -4 |
| Cardinals | NL Central | 22 | 26 | -5 |
| Pirates | NL Central | 16 | 20 | -5 |
| Braves | NL East | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| Nationals | NL East | 21 | 15 | -1 |
| Mets | NL East | 19 | 17 | -3 |
| Phillies | NL East | 19 | 17 | -3 |
| Marlins | NL East | 12 | 24 | -10 |
That meant the Giants actually caught the Rockies at 46-49.
That made me curious – since my Statis-Pro stats reflected a 42-game record how
had each team done in their last 42 games?
It turns out with the Giants third straight win over the
Rockies in the real MLB, the Giants are now 25-17 in their last 42 while the Rockies
are 20-22. So the Statis-Pro Rockies are just three games worse than the real
Rockies, and the Statis-Pro Giants are just one game better than the real
Giants.
This is not the first time that the Statis-Pro cards seemed to show a team was much better or worse than their actual record to date - only to turn out to have predicted the future as the real team caught up.
This is not the first time that the Statis-Pro cards seemed to show a team was much better or worse than their actual record to date - only to turn out to have predicted the future as the real team caught up.
I also actual watched their game Tuesday night, watching
Giants closer Will Smith blow a 3-run lead in the 9th only to have
the Giants respond with 4 runs to win.
This was an incredible match for real action in the
following two updates I posted on my Monday night Statis-Pro double header in
which Smith gave up 4 runs in the 9th to offset 3 Giants runs in the
9th.
The following are my actual updates on the final two games I
played – so I entered these updates after midnight Monday night – less than 24
hours before an almost exact 9th inning explosion for both teams
occurred (this link goes to my update on all games):
Col Gray 8 SF Bumgarner 7 no Only a Rockies game -
Belt's 3-run HR in top of 9th off Col closer Oberg made it 7-4, then Colorado
tagged Giants closer Smith for 4 runs to win. Desmond's new HR24-31 card
yielded 31 HR.
SF Blach 9 Col Senzatek 8 sweep Col scored 4 in bottom of 9th
again, but fell one short and gave up sweep due to 9-4 after 8 innings. Both
teams scored 16 runs in the two game series.
Keep in mind my records are based on each game played
counting as three games – with the winning team getting credit for a 2 games to
1 win UNLESS they lead by 5 or more after 8 innings without using their closer
and hold the lead in the ninth (this works out well mathematically because
teams sweep a 3-game series about as often as they win by 5 runs – 14 percent
of the time.
While many people enjoy the great all-time series and even
play whole 162-game seasons with Statis-Pro, and I love to do this in the
offseason – playing off the current season with our projected cards may
occasionally even predict the future J.
Though obviously any shorter season like I play can yield different
results than a team sustaining their record over a true test in a 162-game
season.
In addition to my free links to the game and all current player cards above, I just updated on the most improved 75 players here.
In addition to my free links to the game and all current player cards above, I just updated on the most improved 75 players here.
Monday, July 15, 2019
75 Most Improved MLB players; 23 Well Below expectations
We compared our 1200 Statis-Pro player cards to current stats, and found that about 1 in 12 (just over 100) were performing well above - or well below - the projected cards we gave them. In those cases we split the different between or original projections and their stats so far to come up with a compromise card and new projected OPS and ERA.
If you see and "upgrade" by a batter it means his OPS so far this year was at least 0.080 points higher than our projected card, so we added a HR number which ups his card OPS by 0.40. An "upgrade 2x" means had an ops of .160 higher than we projected so we added 2 HRs on his card to up him .080, and an upgrade 3.0 means we added 3 HRs to make his projected card result .120 higher. A downgrade likewise takes away a homer and lowers the card ops by 0.040.
For pitchers (the blue players) remember each pitcher has a PB: 2-9 (best), 2-8, 2-7, 4-7 (average), 2-6, 2-5 or 2-4 (worse). In these cases, if the pitcher's PB this year would be at least 2 better than we projected we split the difference by improving him 1, and if at least 4 higher than by 2. In the case of Mike Soroka of the Braves he was projected as the worst PB - a 2-4 - and is actually pitching at the highest level - a PB: 2-9. For that, we went just past halfway and gave him an above average PB: 2-7 as the player who has ost exceeded expections.
If you've already printed out the team sheets, you can just look at the players on a given team below to make the quick adjustment to the last HR number or to the PB. If you go to the link and print them now, these players are all updated to reflect below. The Rockies Desmond was the first to benefit on an Random Number of 31 on his new HR 24-31 range that was the difference in an 8-7 win (all game logs here).
If you see and "upgrade" by a batter it means his OPS so far this year was at least 0.080 points higher than our projected card, so we added a HR number which ups his card OPS by 0.40. An "upgrade 2x" means had an ops of .160 higher than we projected so we added 2 HRs on his card to up him .080, and an upgrade 3.0 means we added 3 HRs to make his projected card result .120 higher. A downgrade likewise takes away a homer and lowers the card ops by 0.040.
For pitchers (the blue players) remember each pitcher has a PB: 2-9 (best), 2-8, 2-7, 4-7 (average), 2-6, 2-5 or 2-4 (worse). In these cases, if the pitcher's PB this year would be at least 2 better than we projected we split the difference by improving him 1, and if at least 4 higher than by 2. In the case of Mike Soroka of the Braves he was projected as the worst PB - a 2-4 - and is actually pitching at the highest level - a PB: 2-9. For that, we went just past halfway and gave him an above average PB: 2-7 as the player who has ost exceeded expections.
If you've already printed out the team sheets, you can just look at the players on a given team below to make the quick adjustment to the last HR number or to the PB. If you go to the link and print them now, these players are all updated to reflect below. The Rockies Desmond was the first to benefit on an Random Number of 31 on his new HR 24-31 range that was the difference in an 8-7 win (all game logs here).
Sunday, July 14, 2019
Statis-Pro Analysis Confirms Brewers Desperate to Add Starting Pitching (Dodgers 1st, Yankees 2nd, Astros 3rd)
The urgency for the Brewers to pick-up "Thor" (Mets starting pitcher Noah Syndergaard) or some other starting pitching after Dallas Keuchel chose the Brewers is apparent to me as I continue to play off the season with projected player cards in my free Statis-Pro baseball game.
Adjusted for ballparks, the Brewers have one of the better offenses (despite the weaker bottom of the linte-up) and fielding, with one of the top relief corp and base running teams - but ranks as only the 20th best starting rotations. This played out out in a series split I played Sunday that left the Brewers in almost the exact spot in the NL Central as they are in actual play. Even though I use injured players like Jimmy Nelson when I play - playing series after series with all teams just feels like they cannot get to the bullpen with a lead enough unless they add starting pitching.
Here are the two games I played out and the current standings in my game - counting down the final two weeks and who might be picked up. Of the 101,000 who have clicked on my site these first couple of years, more than 11,000 have clicked on this link to how to play the game with another link to the google sheet of all MLB players and likely players.
As I played the NL Central this week in my current season (all updates and standing here), the first place Cubs avoided a sweep against the Cardinals due to two great defensive plays by two great defenders with Clutch Defense 5 rating - Rizzo (1b) and Heyward (RF).
The Dodgers nudged ahead of the Yankees for first and the Astros nudged ahead of the Nationals for third in their overall rating (second table below) that also weighted each team's starting line-up OPS (x4), starting rotation (x2), top six relievers (x1), these clutch defensive ratings (x2) and team speed (x1). (see post on original ratings before adding defense here.
This isn't perfect of course, for example I give only gold glove winners the top rating of "Clutch Defense 5" which means Lorenzo Cain only gives the Brewers the next best rating of "4" at centerfield even though his stats point to him being a 5.
With the fielding rankings above incorporated into the previous rankings, the following is our current ratings of how good each team's Statis Pro cards look with the Dodgers ranked in first by averaging a ranking of almost 6th in the league once all aspects are averaged together, and the Orioles the worst with an average ranking of just better than 28th of 30.
Adjusted for ballparks, the Brewers have one of the better offenses (despite the weaker bottom of the linte-up) and fielding, with one of the top relief corp and base running teams - but ranks as only the 20th best starting rotations. This played out out in a series split I played Sunday that left the Brewers in almost the exact spot in the NL Central as they are in actual play. Even though I use injured players like Jimmy Nelson when I play - playing series after series with all teams just feels like they cannot get to the bullpen with a lead enough unless they add starting pitching.
Here are the two games I played out and the current standings in my game - counting down the final two weeks and who might be picked up. Of the 101,000 who have clicked on my site these first couple of years, more than 11,000 have clicked on this link to how to play the game with another link to the google sheet of all MLB players and likely players.
Most recent Statis-Pro Games and NL Central Standings
Chicago Cubs 4, Milwaukee 1 (Darvish vs. Nelson) - After Yelich
singled and scored on a Moustakas single, but bryant and Schwarber drive in
runs to make it 4-1 Cubs, the pitching settled
down with Kimbrel getting the save.
Milwaukee 11, Chicago Cubs 7 (Woodruf vs. Lester) Lester
took 5-0 lead into 6th, but Brewers hit 4 HRs the final 4 innings (Moustakas 2,
Grandal, Yelich) to salvage split and stay just 2 games behind the Cubs in NL
Central.
Cubs 27- 21 0
Brewers 22-20 2
Reds 20-22 4
Cardinals 22-26 5
Pirates 16-20 5
Rating all MLB Defenses (Brewers 11th of 30)
As I played the NL Central this week in my current season (all updates and standing here), the first place Cubs avoided a sweep against the Cardinals due to two great defensive plays by two great defenders with Clutch Defense 5 rating - Rizzo (1b) and Heyward (RF).
I calculated who seemed to to have the best Statis Pro cards this season (see Statis Pro card of all players based on projections of all players here) by creating the first table below showing the starting player's CD of 1 to 5 at all eight positions for each of the 30 teams - but multiplying the shortstop rating by five, the third baseman by 3 and the second baseman by 2. The Giants had the best overall CD with 63 of a possible 75(if all eight players were a CD5).
The Dodgers nudged ahead of the Yankees for first and the Astros nudged ahead of the Nationals for third in their overall rating (second table below) that also weighted each team's starting line-up OPS (x4), starting rotation (x2), top six relievers (x1), these clutch defensive ratings (x2) and team speed (x1). (see post on original ratings before adding defense here.
This isn't perfect of course, for example I give only gold glove winners the top rating of "Clutch Defense 5" which means Lorenzo Cain only gives the Brewers the next best rating of "4" at centerfield even though his stats point to him being a 5.
| Team | C | 1b | 2b | 3b | SS | LF | CF | RF | Total CD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Giants | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 25 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 63 |
| 2 | Cardinals | 5 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 57 |
| 3 | Padres | 4 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 56 |
| 4 | Rockies | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 49 |
| 5 | Athletics | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 20 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 48 |
| 6 | Dodgers | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 20 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 48 |
| 7 | Indians | 4 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 47 |
| 8 | Yankees | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 47 |
| 9 | Angels | 4 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 46 |
| 10 | Braves | 1 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 45 |
| 11 | Brewers | 4 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 43 |
| 12 | Cubs | 4 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 43 |
| 13 | Rangers | 4 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 43 |
| 14 | Astros | 1 | 1 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 42 |
| 15 | Blue Jays | 4 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 42 |
| 16 | Mets | 2 | 1 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 41 |
| 17 | Royals | 4 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 41 |
| 18 | Mariners | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 39 |
| 19 | Nationals | 1 | 1 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 38 |
| 20 | Pirates | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 35 |
| 21 | Diamondbacks | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 34 |
| 22 | Marlins | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 34 |
| 23 | Rays | 4 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 33 |
| 24 | Red Sox | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 33 |
| 25 | Reds | 4 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 31 |
| 26 | White Sox | 1 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 29 |
| 27 | Twins | 3 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 26 |
| 28 | Phillies | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 25 |
| 29 | Orioles | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 23 |
| 30 | Tigers | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 |
Ranking Potential for all 30 Teams Based on Projected Playing Cards for 2nd Half
With the fielding rankings above incorporated into the previous rankings, the following is our current ratings of how good each team's Statis Pro cards look with the Dodgers ranked in first by averaging a ranking of almost 6th in the league once all aspects are averaged together, and the Orioles the worst with an average ranking of just better than 28th of 30.
| Overall | Park Neutral Cards | Line-up OPS | rnk (4) | rotation era | rnk (2) | 6 relievers | rnk (1) | OBR/SP Rnk (1) | Total CD | rnk (2) | Wt Ave |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dodgers | 0.817 | 1 | 3.72 | 8 | 3.54 | 5 | 25 | 48 | 6 | 6.2 |
| 2 | Yankees | 0.786 | 7 | 3.68 | 7 | 3.38 | 1 | 12 | 47 | 8 | 7.1 |
| 3 | Astros | 0.813 | 2 | 3.99 | 15 | 3.7 | 14 | 3 | 42 | 14 | 8.3 |
| 4 | Nationals | 0.778 | 9 | 3.49 | 3 | 3.69 | 13 | 4 | 38 | 19 | 9.7 |
| 5 | Padres | 0.764 | 14 | 3.88 | 11 | 3.57 | 7 | 6 | 56 | 3 | 9.7 |
| 6 | Cubs | 0.786 | 6 | 3.9 | 12 | 3.59 | 9 | 24 | 43 | 12 | 10.5 |
| 7 | Red Sox | 0.789 | 5 | 3.46 | 2 | 3.75 | 16 | 22 | 33 | 24 | 11 |
| 8 | Cardinals | 0.783 | 8 | 4.1 | 18 | 3.74 | 15 | 29 | 57 | 2 | 11.6 |
| 9 | Braves | 0.771 | 11 | 3.76 | 9 | 3.85 | 20 | 15 | 45 | 10 | 11.7 |
| 10 | Indians | 0.74 | 25 | 3.37 | 1 | 3.59 | 8 | 2 | 47 | 7 | 12.6 |
| 11 | Brewers | 0.768 | 13 | 4.24 | 20 | 3.47 | 4 | 9 | 43 | 11 | 12.7 |
| 12 | Angels | 0.804 | 3 | 4.27 | 21 | 4.21 | 28 | 28 | 46 | 9 | 12.8 |
| 13 | Rockies | 0.744 | 21 | 3.77 | 10 | 3.77 | 17 | 1 | 49 | 4 | 13 |
| 14 | Phillies | 0.796 | 4 | 4.05 | 16 | 3.67 | 11 | 16 | 25 | 28 | 13.1 |
| 15 | Mets | 0.763 | 15 | 3.64 | 5 | 3.62 | 10 | 20 | 41 | 16 | 13.2 |
| 16 | Rays | 0.752 | 18 | 3.67 | 6 | 3.54 | 6 | 14 | 33 | 23 | 15 |
| 17 | Giants | 0.745 | 20 | 4.28 | 22 | 3.44 | 3 | 26 | 63 | 1 | 15.5 |
| 18 | Athletics | 0.761 | 16 | 4.35 | 24 | 3.78 | 18 | 19 | 48 | 5 | 15.9 |
| 19 | Pirates | 0.759 | 17 | 3.92 | 13 | 3.69 | 12 | 17 | 35 | 20 | 16.3 |
| 20 | Reds | 0.77 | 12 | 3.97 | 14 | 4 | 25 | 18 | 31 | 25 | 16.9 |
| 21 | Diamondbacks | 0.742 | 24 | 3.57 | 4 | 3.43 | 2 | 23 | 34 | 21 | 17.1 |
| 22 | Twins | 0.773 | 10 | 4.16 | 19 | 3.85 | 21 | 27 | 26 | 27 | 18 |
| 23 | Blue Jays | 0.745 | 19 | 4.3 | 23 | 3.92 | 24 | 21 | 42 | 15 | 19.7 |
| 24 | Rangers | 0.714 | 28 | 4.05 | 17 | 3.85 | 19 | 13 | 43 | 13 | 20.4 |
| 25 | Mariners | 0.743 | 23 | 4.5 | 27 | 4.09 | 27 | 10 | 39 | 18 | 21.9 |
| 26 | White Sox | 0.744 | 22 | 5.05 | 29 | 4.01 | 26 | 5 | 29 | 26 | 22.9 |
| 27 | Royals | 0.707 | 29 | 4.46 | 26 | 3.91 | 23 | 7 | 41 | 17 | 23.2 |
| 28 | Marlins | 0.726 | 27 | 4.38 | 25 | 3.88 | 22 | 30 | 34 | 22 | 25.4 |
| 29 | Tigers | 0.731 | 26 | 4.61 | 28 | 4.32 | 30 | 8 | 20 | 30 | 25.8 |
| 30 | Orioles | 0.702 | 30 | 5.28 | 30 | 4.28 | 29 | 11 | 23 | 29 | 27.8 |
Wednesday, July 10, 2019
AL Defeats NL 5-1 in Statis-Pro Game of Projected 2019 Cards
After getting back after 1 a.m. from a long work day, I put on the All-Star game to watch the AL win 4-3, and played my old school Statis-Pro All-Star game at the same time.
I used the current cards, using the projected stats from before the season, and how they have played during my current season. One nice aspect of this was that Carrasco was my second pitcher for the AL on a night when he was actually cheered while watching the game with his recently discovered leukemia. Obviously some players have actually played above their projections, and others below, so the line-ups weren't the same.
The AL won the Statis-Pro game as well, having a little easier time with two runs each off Scherzer and deGrom including a two for two night and home run from Guerrero, who we projected as an All-Star before the season, to cruise to a 5-1 win. I actually put a few all-time great cards of members of the Big Red Machine alongside Bob Gibson's cards by an old school Statis-Pro Board I used years ago with the Reds players - but obviously they were not really in teh game.
I used the current cards, using the projected stats from before the season, and how they have played during my current season. One nice aspect of this was that Carrasco was my second pitcher for the AL on a night when he was actually cheered while watching the game with his recently discovered leukemia. Obviously some players have actually played above their projections, and others below, so the line-ups weren't the same.
The AL won the Statis-Pro game as well, having a little easier time with two runs each off Scherzer and deGrom including a two for two night and home run from Guerrero, who we projected as an All-Star before the season, to cruise to a 5-1 win. I actually put a few all-time great cards of members of the Big Red Machine alongside Bob Gibson's cards by an old school Statis-Pro Board I used years ago with the Reds players - but obviously they were not really in teh game.
Sunday, July 7, 2019
Top 20 Starting Statis-Pro Pitchers through All-Star Break
The following is the rough estimate of the top ERA's in the NL Statis-Pro season through 12 games (3 starts for each pitcher). We do a quick run of the teams score in each game, with a cap of 9, so this is really how many runs the team (including his relievers) allowed in his starts, followed by the team's record in those games.
| Rnk | Pitcher | Est. ERA | Wins | Losses |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | deGrom - NYM | 0.33 | 3 | 0 |
| 2 | Fried - Atl | 1.00 | 3 | 0 |
| 3 | Scherzer - Was | 1.33 | 2 | 1 |
| 4 | Quintana - Chi | 1.67 | 3 | 0 |
| 5 | Fedde - Was | 2.00 | 3 | 0 |
| 6 | Velazquez - Phi | 2.33 | 2 | 1 |
| 7 | Archer - Pitt | 2.33 | 2 | 1 |
| 8 | Woodruf - Mil | 2.66 | 2 | 1 |
| 9 | Gray - Col | 2.67 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Lugo - NYM | 2.67 | 2 | 1 |
| 11 | Pivetta - Phi | 2.67 | 2 | 1 |
| 12 | Buehler - LAD | 3.00 | 2 | 1 |
| 13 | Kershaw - LAD | 3.00 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 | Paddock - SD | 3.00 | 2 | 1 |
| 15 | Ray - Ari | 3.00 | 2 | 1 |
| 16 | Ryu - LAD | 3.00 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 | Syndergaard - NYM | 3.00 | 1 | 2 |
| 18 | Reyes - StL | 3.33 | 2 | 1 |
| 19 | Darvish - Chi | 3.67 | 2 | 1 |
| 20 | Freeland - Col | 4.00 | 2 | 1 |
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