Top Big East Performances

 The underdog heading into UConn tonight, but check out my latest piece in #10 Marquette.

2021 MVP Mobley and USC edge Dayton and 2020 MVP Toppin 79-76 in OT

With Dayton 2020 leading 52-46 with 7:03 to play, Evan Mobley (19 points, 17 rebounds, 10 fouls drawn) drew a 5th foul against Obi Toppin. 

With Toppin in the bench, USC 2021 exploded for a 19-11 run to go up 65-63 with 16 seconds left, but Jalen Crutcher hit a buzzer beater to force overtime. 

USC dominated the boards in OT for a 79-76 road win. The game last 57 minutes from first dice roll.

Pregame write up

In 2020, Obi Toppin was picked as the top player in the country by the Naismith Committee, but Covid kept him from trying to lead Dayton to the national title. In 2021, Evan Mobley was calculated as the top player in the country by www.valueaddbasketball.com. Both are newer teams in our game and won their opener, so we played them against each other to determine which would then play 2-0 Colorado 2021 to see which of the new teams started 3-0.

The following is the line-up rotation we decided to use for each team. You do NOT need to be this precise in playing time - you can just play the bottom five players on the sheet from the 44th to 38th possession and the top row of starters from the 37th possession to the 1st (actually last and final) possession.

Results will be posted later tonight. 

Colorado 2021 Breaks into Top 50 with win; Missouri 1982 falls to 2-1

 McKinley Wright led the Colorado 2021 squad to a second straight high scoring minor upset. The 89-82 win against Missouri 1982 followed up on their 86-82 opener against Illinois 1989 and moved Colorado from 62nd to 47th in our rankings.

Missouri drops to 2-1, and falls from 44th to 66th in our all-time rankings. 

Colorado will now face the winner of the Dayton 2020 vs. their fellow 2021 Pac-12 team USC to conclude our mini-tournament of the last undefeated teams with only one or two games played.

The only other two undefeated teams are Bill Walton's UCLA team (6-0) and Paul Pierce Kansas team (5-0). 

Colorado 2021 featured the 4th best player in the country according to Value Add Basketball (McKinley Wright), and the 8th best team in the country that year according to www.kenpom.com. 

Colorado 2021 confusing rotation vs. Missouri 1982 six-man rotation

One reason we are trying to play each team in the game a couple of times is to catch anything confusing about a particular team, and to add the suggested player rotation. This was definitely needed as we reviewed Colorado 2021, which featured the 4th best player in the country according to Value Add Basketball (McKinley Wright), and the 8th best team in the country that year according to www.kenpom.com. 

Colorado already upsets Illinois 1989 by an 86-82 margin, and scored heavy again with am 89-82 win against the Missouri 1982. That year Missouri won the Big 12 and Colorado was last place - but in 2021 Colorado was great. If USC beats Dayton 2020 in our other game in the 4-team battle of lesser known unbeatens, it would set up a Pac-12 showdown between teams Pomeroy said were almost even that year.

Rotations:

Note you can use the basic rules of the game by simply playing the bottom row of players on the team for possessions 44 down to 38, then playing the top line starters from possession 37-1. 

If you play advanced rules then you try to keep players to the number of possessions b their "Stamina" number. The Colorado numbers were not filled in before we played, but we found it was necessary to write them out to keep track and they are now on the bottom of the cards as indicated above.

Here is what we wrote before the game:

In setting up the Colorado 2021 at Missouri 1982 game, we realized setting up the rotation for Colorado was a little tricky to keep all 10 players to their Stamina rating. First, the players do not have enough total Stamina to play at strength the entire game because the Staminas only add up to 217. 

You don't need to be a stickler on this, but if a player plays more than his Stamina, then every 20-sided die roll needs to be adjusted up 1 to make a missed slight slightly more likely, and every 11-66 roll must be adjusted one against him in either direction to help the opposing team. 

Colorado has 217 total Stamina between their 10 players and you need 220 to have 5 players on the court for all 44 possessions. We chose Walker to play 11 possessions, three past his Stamina limit, so on possessions 36-34 any die roll involving him is adjusted.

Here is what we came up with - and in this case we printed out a table. Most reams are much easier and in fact Missouri 1982 only plays six players.

 

Possession	PG-1	SG-2	SF-3	PF-4	C-5	Pos
44-44	Daniels	Barthelemy (&6)	Schwartz	Walker (&7)	Walton (&8)	44
43-38	McKinley (&6)	Barthelemy	Daniels	Walker (&7)	Walton (&8)	43
37-36	McKinley (&6)	Parquet	Daniels	Walker (&7)	Walton (&8)	37
35-34	McKinley (&6)	Parquet	Daniels	Walker (&7)	da Silva	35
33-32	McKinley (&6)	Parquet	Horne (&7)	Daniels	da Silva	33
31-31	McKinley (&6)	Parquet	Schwartz	Daniels	Battey (&8)	31
30-29	McKinley (&6)	Daniels	Schwartz	Horne (&7)	Battey (&8)	29
28-26	McKinley (&6)	Daniels	Schwartz	Daniels	Battey (&8)	28
25-1	McKinley (&6)	Parquet	Schwartz	Horne (&7)	Battey (&8)	26

To break down the players in the order they appear on the sheets:

1, Wright (&6), 43, PG 43-1

2, Parquet, 34, SG 37-32, 28-1

3, Schwartz, 32, SF 44, 33-1

4, Horne (&7), 29, SF 33-32, PF 30-29, 25-1

5, Battey (&8), 31, C 31-1

6, Barthelemy (&6), 7, SG 44-38

7, Daniels, 19, PG 44, SF 43-34, PF 33-31, SG 30-29, PF 28-26

8, Walker (&7), 8, PF 44-34 (stamina gone 36-34)

9, da Silva, 5, C 35-32

10, Walton (&8), 9, C 44-36

, Total Stamina, 217, (game needs 220 stamina for 5 players 44 possessions each)

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Four Teams Vie to Join Kansas 1997 and UCLA 1972 as 3rd All-Time Unbeaten

After a great day of college basketball, we flipped back to a couple of Value Add Basketball Games. Only six of our 136 teams are still undefeated.

UCLA is 6-0 due to winning the big tournament we did of the first 96 teams we created. Kansas 1997 is 5-0 after winning the second tournament we did after creating new teams. 

While those two teams rank 1st and 3rd, the other four teams have played only a game or two and rank between 44th and 71st in our all-time rankings. We decided we should at least let these teams play until they've lost at least once, so we are pitting 1982 Missouri against 2021 Colorado, and then 2021 USC against the team that might have won the tournament if not for Covid - 2020 Dayton.

At that point only two of those four will be undefeated, and then they can play each other and we will have one 3-0 team (or if Missouri wins both a 4-0 team) as the only undefeated team except for 1997 Kansas and 1972 UCLA).

Rank	Next Game	Year	Player	Won	Lost	Score	Allow	Rating
44	Missouri	1982	Steve Stipanovich	2	0	69.5	65.5	1.5
62	Colorado	2021	McKinley Wright	1	0	86.0	82.0	-0.6
	Game After
71	Dayton	2020	Obi Toppin	1	0	87.0	82.0	-1.6
56	USC	2021	Evan Mobley	1	0	77.0	67.0	0.0
	Not playing, only other undefeated
3	Kansas	1997	Paul Pierce	5	0	76.8	62.2	14.7
1	UCLA	1972	Bill Walton	6	0	72.0	62.0	15.5

As a reminder, to play you click on the Value Add Basketball Game to print scoresheets or review the rules and charts, then click on the 136 all-time great teams and you will see on page 1 that you click pages 16, 23, 82 and 123 to print those four teams.

Marquette Offense Posts 4 of Top 7 Season Performances

The following is the list of all Big East offensive performances against teams in the www.kenpom.com top 250 this season. 

Marquette's 96 point outing against Baylor in just 69 possessions calculates as the top offensive performance of the year based on AdjO (adjusted offense - points per possession).

The following are the steps to calculated this figure.

1. The Raw Offense is 1.39, based on points (96) divided by Possessions (69).

2. The figure is then adjusted by the opponent's defense. Baylor typically averages allowing 0.06 fewer points per possession than the average team. Therefore Marquette's total is adjusted up 0.06 from 1.39 to 1.45.

3. Marquette was at home for the game, and that helps a team 0.02 on offense and defense, so the figure is adjusted down to 1.43 as the estimate of how many points per possession Marquette would have had verses an average team on a neutral court.

Marquette's offense has posted four of the top seven offensive performances this season in of 217 Big East performances.

The worst (217th best) Big East offensive performances was DePaul scoring only 45 points in 74 possessions against Northwestern, for a 0.61 average. Because Northwestern is an excellent defense and the game was at Northwestern, the final AdjO is a bit better at 0.71.

Best O	Best Def Team	Opponent	Score	Poss	RawO	Adj Opp	AdjO Venue
1	Marquette	Baylor	96	69	1.39	1.45	1.43
2	Creighton	St. John's	104	75	1.39	1.44	1.42
3	Marquette	Seton Hall	83	66	1.26	1.37	1.35
4	Connecticut	Butler	86	66	1.30	1.36	1.34
5	Marquette	DePaul	89	67	1.33	1.32	1.34
6	Creighton	Seton Hall	83	67	1.24	1.35	1.33
7	Marquette	St. John's	96	76	1.26	1.31	1.33
8	Connecticut	UNC Wilmington	86	66	1.30	1.34	1.32
9	Xavier	Florida	90	77	1.17	1.31	1.31
10	Xavier	Georgetown	102	77	1.32	1.29	1.31
11	Marquette	Providence	83	66	1.26	1.32	1.30
12	Xavier	Connecticut	82	70	1.17	1.28	1.30
13	Connecticut	DePaul	90	70	1.29	1.28	1.30
14	Providence	Rhode Island	88	70	1.26	1.26	1.28
15	Providence	Connecticut	73	61	1.20	1.30	1.28
16	Xavier	Creighton	90	76	1.18	1.30	1.28
17	Villanova	Oklahoma	70	57	1.23	1.30	1.28
18	DePaul	UTEP	91	74	1.23	1.30	1.28
19	Marquette	Connecticut	82	69	1.19	1.30	1.28
20	Creighton	Arkansas	90	78	1.15	1.27	1.27
21	St. John's	Florida St.	93	72	1.29	1.26	1.27
22	Seton Hall	St. John's	88	71	1.24	1.29	1.27
23	Xavier	Montana	86	65	1.32	1.29	1.27
24	Connecticut	Iowa St.	71	63	1.13	1.27	1.27
25	Creighton	Texas Tech	76	63	1.21	1.26	1.26
26	Marquette	Notre Dame	79	61	1.30	1.24	1.26
27	Connecticut	Alabama	82	74	1.11	1.26	1.26
28	Connecticut	Oregon	83	69	1.20	1.25	1.25
29	Creighton	Xavier	84	68	1.24	1.27	1.25
30	Providence	Marquette	103	86	1.20	1.27	1.25
31	Seton Hall	Butler	70	60	1.17	1.22	1.24
32	Marquette	Seton Hall	74	67	1.10	1.22	1.24
33	Xavier	West Virginia	84	71	1.18	1.26	1.24
34	Villanova	Michigan St.	71	63	1.13	1.22	1.24
35	Connecticut	Florida	75	70	1.07	1.21	1.23
36	Connecticut	Oklahoma St.	74	67	1.10	1.25	1.23
37	St. John's	Connecticut	85	77	1.10	1.21	1.23
38	Marquette	Georgetown	95	74	1.28	1.25	1.23
39	Providence	Marquette	75	66	1.14	1.21	1.23
40	Xavier	Providence	85	72	1.18	1.24	1.22
41	Butler	Villanova	79	65	1.22	1.24	1.22
42	Marquette	Providence	98	86	1.14	1.20	1.22
43	Xavier	Villanova	88	75	1.17	1.20	1.22
44	Creighton	Butler	78	66	1.18	1.24	1.22
45	Creighton	Butler	73	64	1.14	1.20	1.22
46	Providence	Butler	79	67	1.18	1.24	1.22
47	Xavier	Georgetown	95	75	1.27	1.23	1.21
48	Xavier	Marquette	80	69	1.16	1.23	1.21
49	Butler	Kansas St.	76	67	1.13	1.23	1.21
50	Providence	Xavier	83	72	1.15	1.19	1.21
51	Xavier	Connecticut	83	74	1.12	1.23	1.21
52	Marquette	North Carolina Central	90	73	1.23	1.22	1.20
53	DePaul	Oklahoma St.	78	74	1.05	1.20	1.20
54	Creighton	Xavier	87	76	1.14	1.18	1.20
55	Marquette	Wisconsin	77	69	1.12	1.21	1.19
56	Villanova	Boston College	77	66	1.17	1.19	1.19
57	Connecticut	Marquette	76	69	1.10	1.17	1.19
58	Marquette	Purdue	70	66	1.06	1.17	1.19
59	Xavier	Gonzaga	84	74	1.14	1.18	1.18
60	Butler	Georgetown	80	67	1.19	1.16	1.18
61	Marquette	Georgia Tech	84	72	1.17	1.18	1.18
62	Creighton	UC Riverside	80	66	1.21	1.20	1.18
63	Providence	Villanova	70	62	1.13	1.16	1.18
64	Seton Hall	St. John's	84	76	1.11	1.16	1.18
65	DePaul	Connecticut	76	70	1.09	1.19	1.17
66	Georgetown	Xavier	89	77	1.16	1.19	1.17
67	Xavier	Indiana	79	71	1.11	1.19	1.17
68	St. John's	Marquette	85	76	1.12	1.19	1.17
69	Villanova	Butler	71	65	1.09	1.15	1.17
70	Villanova	Iowa St.	79	77	1.03	1.16	1.16
71	Marquette	Xavier	76	69	1.10	1.14	1.16
72	Georgetown	Connecticut	73	71	1.03	1.14	1.16
73	Seton Hall	Butler	76	68	1.12	1.17	1.15
74	DePaul	Samford	103	86	1.20	1.17	1.15
75	Providence	Butler	72	67	1.07	1.13	1.15
76	Butler	BYU	75	71	1.06	1.15	1.15
77	Georgetown	Xavier	82	75	1.09	1.13	1.15
78	Villanova	Oregon	67	61	1.10	1.15	1.15
79	St. John's	DePaul	86	73	1.18	1.17	1.15
80	St. John's	Creighton	76	75	1.01	1.13	1.15
81	Connecticut	Xavier	79	70	1.13	1.16	1.14
82	Marquette	Villanova	68	62	1.10	1.12	1.14
83	Xavier	Cincinnati	80	76	1.05	1.12	1.14
84	DePaul	Villanova	75	66	1.14	1.16	1.14
85	Connecticut	Creighton	69	66	1.05	1.16	1.14
86	Georgetown	Connecticut	62	59	1.05	1.16	1.14
87	Creighton	Arizona	79	75	1.05	1.14	1.14
88	Georgetown	Villanova	73	67	1.09	1.12	1.14
89	Connecticut	Georgetown	68	59	1.15	1.12	1.14
90	Seton Hall	Marquette	69	66	1.05	1.12	1.14
91	DePaul	Minnesota	69	63	1.10	1.11	1.13
92	Georgetown	Siena	75	66	1.14	1.15	1.13
93	Georgetown	DePaul	81	70	1.16	1.15	1.13
94	DePaul	Seton Hall	67	65	1.03	1.15	1.13
95	Connecticut	Georgetown	84	71	1.18	1.15	1.13
96	Providence	Seton Hall	71	72	0.99	1.10	1.12
97	Connecticut	Seton Hall	66	67	0.99	1.10	1.12
98	Xavier	St. John's	84	80	1.05	1.10	1.12
99	Xavier	Creighton	67	68	0.99	1.10	1.12
100	DePaul	Loyola Chicago	78	69	1.13	1.10	1.12
101	Villanova	Marquette	66	62	1.06	1.13	1.11
102	Villanova	Penn	70	60	1.17	1.13	1.11
103	Creighton	Arizona St.	71	69	1.03	1.11	1.11
104	DePaul	Georgetown	83	71	1.17	1.13	1.11
105	Xavier	Seton Hall	73	72	1.01	1.13	1.11
106	St. John's	Providence	80	78	1.03	1.09	1.11
107	Providence	DePaul	75	66	1.14	1.13	1.11
108	Providence	Creighton	67	69	0.97	1.09	1.11
109	Seton Hall	DePaul	71	65	1.09	1.08	1.10
110	Butler	Yale	71	66	1.08	1.12	1.10
111	Butler	DePaul	78	69	1.13	1.12	1.10
112	Creighton	Providence	73	69	1.06	1.12	1.10
113	Villanova	Saint Joseph's	71	66	1.08	1.08	1.10
114	Georgetown	St. John's	73	71	1.03	1.08	1.10
115	Marquette	Villanova	73	67	1.09	1.12	1.10
116	Providence	St. John's	83	78	1.06	1.11	1.09
117	Villanova	Georgetown	77	67	1.15	1.11	1.09
118	Connecticut	Butler	68	67	1.01	1.07	1.09
119	DePaul	Butler	70	69	1.01	1.07	1.09
120	Villanova	Providence	65	62	1.05	1.11	1.09
121	Seton Hall	Connecticut	67	67	1.00	1.11	1.09
122	Providence	Saint Louis	73	68	1.07	1.08	1.08
123	Villanova	Xavier	80	75	1.07	1.10	1.08
124	Connecticut	Providence	61	61	1.00	1.06	1.08
125	Georgetown	DePaul	76	71	1.07	1.06	1.08
126	DePaul	Marquette	69	67	1.03	1.10	1.08
127	Seton Hall	Kansas	65	69	0.94	1.06	1.08
128	St. John's	Butler	77	74	1.04	1.10	1.08
129	Georgetown	Marquette	73	74	0.99	1.06	1.08
130	Villanova	Georgetown	73	67	1.09	1.05	1.07
131	Villanova	St. John's	78	75	1.04	1.09	1.07
132	Villanova	Connecticut	66	70	0.94	1.05	1.07
133	DePaul	Georgetown	76	70	1.09	1.05	1.07
134	Connecticut	Buffalo	84	77	1.09	1.09	1.07
135	Creighton	DePaul	80	73	1.10	1.09	1.07
136	St. John's	Seton Hall	66	71	0.93	1.05	1.07
137	Connecticut	Villanova	74	70	1.06	1.08	1.06
138	St. John's	Temple	78	77	1.01	1.06	1.06
139	Creighton	BYU	80	83	0.96	1.06	1.06
140	Xavier	Duke	64	66	0.97	1.06	1.06
141	Marquette	Creighton	69	72	0.96	1.07	1.05
142	DePaul	Providence	64	66	0.97	1.03	1.05
143	Villanova	Temple	64	65	0.98	1.03	1.05
144	Providence	TCU	62	68	0.91	1.03	1.05
145	Creighton	Texas	67	72	0.93	1.03	1.05
146	Villanova	Marquette	64	67	0.96	1.03	1.05
	Average Offensive Game						1.048
147	Seton Hall	Creighton	61	67	0.91	1.02	1.04
148	St. John's	Seton Hall	72	76	0.95	1.06	1.04
149	Connecticut	Xavier	73	74	0.99	1.02	1.04
150	Seton Hall	Oklahoma	64	66	0.97	1.04	1.04
151	Creighton	Connecticut	60	66	0.91	1.02	1.04
152	Xavier	Fairfield	78	74	1.05	1.06	1.04
153	St. John's	Nebraska	70	71	0.99	1.05	1.03
154	Seton Hall	Memphis	70	73	0.96	1.03	1.03
155	Seton Hall	Xavier	70	72	0.97	1.01	1.03
156	DePaul	Creighton	65	73	0.89	1.00	1.02
157	DePaul	Xavier	73	73	1.00	1.04	1.02
158	Seton Hall	Georgetown	66	64	1.03	0.99	1.01
159	Providence	DePaul	74	74	1.00	0.99	1.01
160	Georgetown	UMBC	79	71	1.11	1.03	1.01
161	St. John's	Syracuse	76	77	0.99	1.00	1.00
162	St. John's	Xavier	79	80	0.99	1.02	1.00
163	Villanova	Portland	71	69	1.03	0.99	1.00
164	St. John's	Georgetown	75	71	1.06	1.02	1.00
165	Xavier	DePaul	72	73	0.99	0.98	1.00
166	Villanova	DePaul	65	66	0.98	0.97	0.99
167	Xavier	Southern	79	79	1.00	1.01	0.99
168	Georgetown	Texas Tech	65	71	0.92	0.97	0.99
169	Georgetown	Northwestern	63	68	0.93	1.01	0.99
170	Georgetown	Syracuse	64	67	0.96	0.97	0.99
171	Connecticut	St. John's	74	77	0.96	1.01	0.99
172	Marquette	Radford	79	80	0.99	1.01	0.99
173	DePaul	St. John's	67	73	0.92	0.97	0.99
174	Butler	Creighton	56	66	0.85	0.96	0.98
175	St. John's	Iowa St.	60	73	0.82	0.96	0.98
176	Georgetown	South Carolina	71	69	1.03	1.00	0.98
177	Butler	Connecticut	56	66	0.85	0.96	0.98
178	St. John's	Niagara	78	76	1.03	1.00	0.98
179	Georgetown	Loyola Marymount	66	70	0.94	0.97	0.97
180	Seton Hall	Providence	67	72	0.93	0.99	0.97
181	Creighton	St. Thomas	72	67	1.07	0.99	0.97
182	Marquette	Mississippi St.	55	66	0.83	0.97	0.97
183	Providence	Rider	66	65	1.02	0.99	0.97
184	Providence	Miami FL	64	68	0.94	0.97	0.97
185	Seton Hall	Rutgers	45	59	0.76	0.94	0.96
186	Butler	N.C. State	61	68	0.90	0.96	0.96
187	Seton Hall	Drexel	66	68	0.97	0.97	0.95
188	DePaul	Texas A&M	66	72	0.92	0.97	0.95
189	Georgetown	American	70	70	1.00	0.97	0.95
190	Butler	Penn St.	62	70	0.89	0.93	0.95
191	Butler	Providence	58	67	0.87	0.93	0.95
192	Seton Hall	Iowa	67	70	0.96	0.97	0.95
Worse O	Worst 25 Offensive Gms	Opponent	Score	Poss	RawO	Adj Opp	AdjO Venue
193	Marquette	Butler	60	66	0.91	0.97	0.95
194	Villanova	St. John's	57	66	0.86	0.91	0.93
195	Butler	Seton Hall	49	60	0.82	0.93	0.91
196	Creighton	Georgetown	63	68	0.93	0.89	0.91
197	Butler	Creighton	52	64	0.81	0.93	0.91
198	Creighton	Marquette	58	72	0.81	0.88	0.90
199	Butler	St. John's	61	74	0.82	0.87	0.89
200	Georgetown	Seton Hall	51	64	0.80	0.91	0.89
201	St. John's	Villanova	63	75	0.84	0.87	0.89
202	Butler	Seton Hall	51	68	0.75	0.87	0.89
203	DePaul	Duquesne	55	64	0.86	0.86	0.88
204	Butler	Marquette	52	66	0.79	0.86	0.88
205	Georgetown	Creighton	53	68	0.78	0.89	0.87
206	Butler	Tennessee	45	69	0.65	0.86	0.86
207	Georgetown	Villanova	57	67	0.85	0.88	0.86
208	Seton Hall	Marquette	53	67	0.79	0.86	0.84
209	DePaul	Providence	59	74	0.80	0.86	0.84
210	Seton Hall	Siena	55	67	0.82	0.83	0.83
211	DePaul	Santa Clara	61	75	0.81	0.83	0.83
212	Butler	Providence	52	67	0.78	0.84	0.82
213	Georgetown	Butler	51	67	0.76	0.82	0.80
214	Creighton	Nebraska	53	71	0.75	0.82	0.80
215	Butler	Connecticut	46	67	0.69	0.79	0.77
216	St. John's	Villanova	49	66	0.74	0.77	0.75
217	DePaul	Northwestern	45	74	0.61	0.69	0.71

Ranking of All Big East Defensive Performances - UConn Elite 6 Times

Marquette at UConn Tuesday is a top 10 match-up based on www.kenpom.com ratings. A full story will appear on the CBS sports site MU Hoops.

The match-up features the team that has been the best offense in the country until Saturday's game - Marquette - against the team that was the best defenses in the country until Big East play started.

UConn was 11-0 in non conference games, and six times turned in truly elite defensive performances. The following is a list of all 217 games played by a Big East team ranked from best defensive performance to worst defensive performance.

While Ken Pomeroy calculated the season AdjO (Offensive Efficiency adjusted for level of defenses faced) and the AdjD (Defensive Efficiency adjusted for level of offenses faced) - and here is how our per game AdjD is calculated using the best defensive effort of the season - UConn's effort against Alabama (the 22nd best defensive performance of these 217).

1. UConn allowed only 67 points on 74 Alabama possessions.

2. That is an average of 0.91 points per possession (RawD).

3. Alabama is a strong offense, averaging 0.12 points more per possession than the national average (1.17 vs. the national 1.05) - so UConn's defensive rating for the game is lowered by that same 0.12 from 0.91 to 0.79.

4. In this case, that is the final AdjD for the game because the game was at a neutral site. However, teams average doing 0.02 better on both AdjD and AdjO at home then on the road, so in the case of UConn vs. Butler, step three yielded a 0.69, but since the game was played at Butler it was even more impressive, and the final AdjD is dropped to 0.67.

The 0.67 Final AdjD indicates that UConn played defense well enough against Butler that the average team on a nuetral court would have scored 0.67 points per trip in that game, and in the Alabama game the average team would have scored 0.79. 

The calculation proceeds from the best to worst defensive effort by a Big East team this year.

St. John's allowed Creighton to score 104 points in 75 possessions, which calculated to a 1.26 AdjD - the worst of 217 performances this season by a Big East Team.

 

Best D	Best Def Team	Opponent	Allow	Poss	RawD	Adj Opp	AdjD Venue
1	Connecticut	Butler	46	67	0.69	0.69	0.67
2	Seton Hall	Rutgers	43	59	0.73	0.70	0.68
3	Villanova	St. John's	49	66	0.74	0.71	0.69
4	Marquette	Creighton	58	72	0.81	0.70	0.72
5	Butler	Marquette	60	66	0.91	0.75	0.73
6	St. John's	Nebraska	50	71	0.70	0.71	0.73
7	Connecticut	Florida	54	70	0.77	0.75	0.73
8	Butler	Georgetown	51	67	0.76	0.76	0.74
9	Marquette	Seton Hall	53	67	0.79	0.76	0.74
10	Providence	DePaul	59	74	0.80	0.77	0.75
11	Creighton	Georgetown	53	68	0.78	0.77	0.75
12	Providence	Butler	52	67	0.78	0.78	0.76
13	Connecticut	Oregon	59	69	0.86	0.77	0.77
14	Seton Hall	Butler	51	68	0.75	0.75	0.77
15	Seton Hall	Drexel	49	68	0.72	0.75	0.77
16	Seton Hall	Georgetown	51	64	0.80	0.79	0.77
17	Creighton	UC Riverside	51	66	0.77	0.75	0.77
18	Connecticut	Iowa St.	53	63	0.84	0.78	0.78
19	Creighton	Marquette	69	72	0.96	0.80	0.78
20	Creighton	Butler	52	64	0.81	0.81	0.79
21	Connecticut	UNC Wilmington	50	66	0.76	0.77	0.79
22	Connecticut	Alabama	67	74	0.91	0.79	0.79
23	Seton Hall	Butler	49	60	0.82	0.82	0.80
24	St. John's	Connecticut	74	77	0.96	0.82	0.80
25	St. John's	Villanova	57	66	0.86	0.78	0.80
26	Marquette	Butler	52	66	0.79	0.79	0.81
27	Xavier	Southern	59	79	0.75	0.80	0.82
28	Villanova	St. John's	63	75	0.84	0.81	0.83
29	Villanova	Georgetown	57	67	0.85	0.85	0.83
30	Connecticut	Creighton	60	66	0.91	0.81	0.83
31	St. John's	Syracuse	69	77	0.90	0.83	0.83
32	Seton Hall	Xavier	73	72	1.01	0.86	0.84
33	Butler	Penn St.	68	70	0.97	0.86	0.84
34	St. John's	Butler	61	74	0.82	0.82	0.84
35	Georgetown	Creighton	63	68	0.93	0.82	0.84
36	Creighton	Xavier	67	68	0.99	0.83	0.85
37	DePaul	Xavier	72	73	0.99	0.83	0.85
38	Creighton	Texas	72	72	1.00	0.87	0.85
39	Connecticut	Buffalo	64	77	0.83	0.83	0.85
40	DePaul	Minnesota	53	63	0.84	0.88	0.86
41	DePaul	Santa Clara	69	75	0.92	0.86	0.86
42	Seton Hall	Memphis	69	73	0.95	0.86	0.86
43	Marquette	Mississippi St.	58	66	0.88	0.87	0.87
44	Seton Hall	Connecticut	66	67	0.99	0.85	0.87
45	Connecticut	Butler	56	66	0.85	0.85	0.87
46	Creighton	Butler	56	66	0.85	0.85	0.87
47	Xavier	Connecticut	73	74	0.99	0.85	0.87
48	Marquette	Georgia Tech	60	72	0.83	0.87	0.87
49	Creighton	St. Thomas	60	67	0.90	0.85	0.87
50	Creighton	Providence	67	69	0.97	0.86	0.88
51	Marquette	Baylor	70	69	1.01	0.86	0.88
52	Creighton	DePaul	65	73	0.89	0.86	0.88
53	Providence	Seton Hall	67	72	0.93	0.90	0.88
54	Villanova	Boston College	56	66	0.85	0.88	0.88
55	Providence	Connecticut	61	61	1.00	0.86	0.88
56	Connecticut	Villanova	66	70	0.94	0.86	0.88
57	Providence	Butler	58	67	0.87	0.87	0.89
58	Creighton	Connecticut	69	66	1.05	0.91	0.89
59	Butler	Kansas St.	64	67	0.96	0.87	0.89
60	St. John's	Iowa St.	71	73	0.97	0.91	0.89
61	Seton Hall	Providence	71	72	0.99	0.87	0.89
62	Marquette	Radford	69	80	0.86	0.87	0.89
63	Seton Hall	St. John's	72	76	0.95	0.91	0.89
64	Marquette	Villanova	64	67	0.96	0.88	0.90
65	Butler	Yale	61	66	0.92	0.88	0.90
66	Butler	Connecticut	68	67	1.01	0.88	0.90
67	Seton Hall	Siena	60	67	0.90	0.90	0.90
68	Villanova	Connecticut	74	70	1.06	0.92	0.90
69	Creighton	Seton Hall	61	67	0.91	0.88	0.90
70	DePaul	Providence	74	74	1.00	0.88	0.90
Elite above	Defensive team	Opponent	Allow	Poss	RawD	Adj Opp	AdjD Venue
71	St. John's	DePaul	67	73	0.92	0.89	0.91
72	Villanova	Marquette	73	67	1.09	0.93	0.91
73	St. John's	Xavier	84	80	1.05	0.89	0.91
74	Seton Hall	St. John's	66	71	0.93	0.89	0.91
75	Creighton	Nebraska	63	71	0.89	0.90	0.92
76	St. John's	Temple	72	77	0.94	0.92	0.92
77	DePaul	Villanova	65	66	0.98	0.90	0.92
78	St. John's	Providence	83	78	1.06	0.95	0.93
79	Xavier	St. John's	79	80	0.99	0.95	0.93
80	Providence	Creighton	73	69	1.06	0.96	0.94
81	Xavier	Cincinnati	77	76	1.01	0.96	0.94
82	St. John's	Villanova	78	75	1.04	0.96	0.94
83	Connecticut	Oklahoma St.	64	67	0.96	0.93	0.95
84	Connecticut	Xavier	83	74	1.12	0.97	0.95
85	Creighton	Arizona	81	75	1.08	0.95	0.95
86	Xavier	West Virginia	74	71	1.04	0.93	0.95
87	Xavier	DePaul	73	73	1.00	0.97	0.95
88	Providence	Villanova	65	62	1.05	0.97	0.95
89	Connecticut	Seton Hall	67	67	1.00	0.97	0.95
90	Providence	Miami FL	74	68	1.09	0.95	0.95
91	Marquette	Purdue	75	66	1.14	0.98	0.96
92	Villanova	Penn	59	60	0.98	0.94	0.96
93	Providence	DePaul	64	66	0.97	0.94	0.96
94	Villanova	Marquette	68	62	1.10	0.94	0.96
95	Xavier	Fairfield	65	74	0.88	0.94	0.96
96	DePaul	Duquesne	66	64	1.03	0.98	0.96
97	Xavier	Seton Hall	70	72	0.97	0.94	0.96
98	Villanova	Saint Joseph's	64	66	0.97	0.98	0.96
99	Butler	Tennessee	71	69	1.03	0.96	0.96
100	Xavier	Marquette	76	69	1.10	0.94	0.96
101	Marquette	Villanova	66	62	1.06	0.98	0.96
102	Xavier	Villanova	80	75	1.07	0.99	0.97
103	Seton Hall	Marquette	74	67	1.10	0.95	0.97
104	Xavier	Connecticut	79	70	1.13	0.99	0.97
105	Georgetown	UMBC	70	71	0.99	0.95	0.97
106	DePaul	Creighton	80	73	1.10	0.99	0.97
107	Butler	BYU	70	71	0.99	0.97	0.97
108	St. John's	Niagara	70	76	0.92	0.96	0.98
109	Creighton	Texas Tech	65	63	1.03	0.98	0.98
110	Marquette	DePaul	69	67	1.03	1.00	0.98
111	Marquette	Notre Dame	64	61	1.05	1.00	0.98
112	Butler	Providence	72	67	1.07	0.96	0.98
113	Seton Hall	DePaul	67	65	1.03	1.00	0.98
114	Marquette	Xavier	80	69	1.16	1.00	0.98
115	Marquette	Connecticut	76	69	1.10	0.96	0.98
116	Xavier	Montana	64	65	0.98	0.96	0.98
117	Butler	St. John's	77	74	1.04	1.01	0.99
118	Xavier	Duke	71	66	1.08	0.99	0.99
119	Creighton	BYU	83	83	1.00	0.99	0.99
120	Villanova	Iowa St.	81	77	1.05	0.99	0.99
121	Providence	Rider	65	65	1.00	0.98	1.00
122	Creighton	St. John's	76	75	1.01	0.98	1.00
123	Providence	TCU	75	68	1.10	1.02	1.00
124	DePaul	Providence	75	66	1.14	1.02	1.00
125	Georgetown	St. John's	75	71	1.06	1.02	1.00
126	Marquette	Georgetown	73	74	0.99	0.98	1.00
127	Butler	DePaul	70	69	1.01	0.98	1.00
128	Providence	Marquette	98	86	1.14	0.98	1.00
129	Providence	Xavier	85	72	1.18	1.02	1.00
130	Creighton	Xavier	90	76	1.18	1.03	1.01
131	Providence	St. John's	80	78	1.03	0.99	1.01
132	Connecticut	Marquette	82	69	1.19	1.03	1.01
133	Villanova	Temple	68	65	1.05	1.03	1.01
134	Georgetown	Seton Hall	66	64	1.03	1.00	1.02
135	Creighton	Arizona St.	73	69	1.06	1.02	1.02
136	Georgetown	Connecticut	84	71	1.18	1.05	1.03
137	Connecticut	Georgetown	62	59	1.05	1.05	1.03
138	Georgetown	Villanova	73	67	1.09	1.01	1.03
139	Butler	Villanova	71	65	1.09	1.01	1.03
140	Butler	N.C. State	76	68	1.12	1.03	1.03
141	Villanova	Providence	70	62	1.13	1.01	1.03
142	Connecticut	DePaul	76	70	1.09	1.05	1.03
143	Xavier	Gonzaga	88	74	1.19	1.03	1.03
144	Georgetown	Connecticut	68	59	1.15	1.01	1.03
145	Connecticut	Xavier	82	70	1.17	1.02	1.04
146	Marquette	Seton Hall	69	66	1.05	1.02	1.04
147	Villanova	Xavier	88	75	1.17	1.02	1.04
148	Georgetown	Texas Tech	79	71	1.11	1.06	1.04
149	DePaul	UTEP	70	74	0.95	1.02	1.04
150	Marquette	Providence	75	66	1.14	1.02	1.04
151	DePaul	Loyola Chicago	72	69	1.04	1.06	1.04
152	Butler	Providence	79	67	1.18	1.06	1.04
153	Connecticut	Georgetown	73	71	1.03	1.02	1.04
154	St. John's	Georgetown	73	71	1.03	1.02	1.04
Ave	Average Defense						1.048
155	Xavier	Indiana	81	71	1.14	1.03	1.05
156	Seton Hall	Iowa	83	70	1.19	1.03	1.05
157	Georgetown	Villanova	77	67	1.15	1.07	1.05
158	Providence	Saint Louis	76	68	1.12	1.05	1.05
159	Georgetown	Siena	68	66	1.03	1.03	1.05
160	Creighton	Arkansas	87	78	1.12	1.05	1.05
161	Xavier	Providence	83	72	1.15	1.04	1.06
162	Butler	Creighton	73	64	1.14	1.04	1.06
163	Butler	Creighton	78	66	1.18	1.08	1.06
164	DePaul	Northwestern	83	74	1.12	1.08	1.06
165	Connecticut	Providence	73	61	1.20	1.08	1.06
166	Xavier	Florida	83	77	1.08	1.06	1.06
167	Marquette	Providence	103	86	1.20	1.08	1.06
168	Xavier	Creighton	87	76	1.14	1.04	1.06
169	St. John's	Florida St.	79	72	1.10	1.07	1.06
170	Marquette	St. John's	85	76	1.12	1.08	1.06
171	DePaul	Texas A&M	82	72	1.14	1.04	1.06
172	Butler	Seton Hall	76	68	1.12	1.09	1.07
173	Georgetown	DePaul	76	70	1.09	1.05	1.07
174	DePaul	Oklahoma St.	82	74	1.11	1.08	1.08
175	Villanova	Michigan St.	73	63	1.16	1.10	1.08
176	Providence	Marquette	83	66	1.26	1.10	1.08
177	Seton Hall	Marquette	83	66	1.26	1.10	1.08
178	Providence	Rhode Island	74	70	1.06	1.10	1.08
179	Georgetown	Northwestern	75	68	1.10	1.06	1.08
180	DePaul	Seton Hall	71	65	1.09	1.06	1.08
181	Villanova	DePaul	75	66	1.14	1.10	1.08
182	DePaul	Georgetown	76	71	1.07	1.07	1.09
183	Seton Hall	Oklahoma	77	66	1.17	1.09	1.09
184	Connecticut	St. John's	85	77	1.10	1.07	1.09
185	Georgetown	Xavier	95	75	1.27	1.11	1.09
186	Georgetown	American	74	70	1.06	1.07	1.09
187	St. John's	Seton Hall	84	76	1.11	1.08	1.10
188	Villanova	Oklahoma	66	57	1.16	1.08	1.10
189	Villanova	Georgetown	73	67	1.09	1.08	1.10
190	DePaul	Samford	98	86	1.14	1.09	1.11
191	Georgetown	Marquette	95	74	1.28	1.13	1.11
192	Xavier	Georgetown	82	75	1.09	1.09	1.11
Worst D	Worst 25 D Games	Opponent	Allow	Poss	RawD	Adj Opp	AdjD Venue
193	DePaul	Butler	78	69	1.13	1.13	1.11
194	Marquette	North Carolina Central	78	73	1.07	1.09	1.11
195	Xavier	Creighton	84	68	1.24	1.13	1.11
196	Seton Hall	Creighton	83	67	1.24	1.14	1.12
197	Georgetown	DePaul	83	71	1.17	1.14	1.12
198	DePaul	St. John's	86	73	1.18	1.14	1.12
199	Georgetown	South Carolina	74	69	1.07	1.10	1.12
200	Villanova	Oregon	74	61	1.21	1.13	1.13
201	St. John's	Marquette	96	76	1.26	1.11	1.13
202	Xavier	Georgetown	89	77	1.16	1.15	1.13
203	DePaul	Georgetown	81	70	1.16	1.15	1.13
204	Butler	Connecticut	86	66	1.30	1.17	1.15
205	Villanova	Portland	83	69	1.20	1.16	1.15
206	Georgetown	Syracuse	83	67	1.24	1.17	1.15
207	Butler	Seton Hall	70	60	1.17	1.14	1.16
208	Georgetown	Loyola Marymount	84	70	1.20	1.16	1.16
209	Marquette	Wisconsin	80	69	1.16	1.14	1.16
210	DePaul	Connecticut	90	70	1.29	1.15	1.17
211	Georgetown	Xavier	102	77	1.32	1.17	1.19
212	St. John's	Seton Hall	88	71	1.24	1.21	1.19
213	DePaul	Marquette	89	67	1.33	1.17	1.19
214	Villanova	Butler	79	65	1.22	1.22	1.20
215	Seton Hall	Kansas	91	69	1.32	1.22	1.20
216	Georgetown	Butler	80	67	1.19	1.19	1.21
217	St. John's	Creighton	104	75	1.39	1.28	1.26