Tuesday, March 14, 2017

Midwest Region: Kansas Beats Louisville (but some methods show Iowa St. in Finals or Louisville)

This blog breaks down all four double header of games played in the Midwest Region, which are the games that appear in the upper right corner of brackets. It shows the top 10 players on the floor for each of these double headers, and gives details on which factors give advantages to which teams.

This bracket looks wide open however. Kansas is the overall winner despite Louisville and Iowa State splitting the nine categories evenly, and based on the "Top 3 Players" equation Iowa State goes all the way to the championship game.
Click here for the grid showing the results of the entire tournament using 10 different approaches. If you simply want to fill out a bracket quickly, you can go straight to that link and fill out your bracket in about two minutes choosing any of the 10 options. That post also explains the 10 different approaches. Many more stories appear here, and you can sort the rating for all 4000+ players and see who is injured by clicking on www.valueaddbasketball.com.

Tulsa 1st two rounds
Midwest: No. 1 Kansas vs. No. 16 NC Central/UC Davis
Midwest: No. 8 Miami vs. No. 9 Michigan State

Top 10 Players
3, Frank Mason #0, Kansas
40, Davon Reed #5, Miami FL
49, Josh Jackson #11, Kansas
63, Bruce Brown #11, Miami FL
77, Devonte' Graham #4, Kansas
176, Nick Ward #44, Michigan St.
191, Miles Bridges #22, Michigan St.
308, Landen Lucas #33, Kansas
327, Brynton Lemar #0, UC Davis
381, Anthony Lawrence #3, Miami FL

Possible “style/home” edge upset: Kansas will have the big home advantage.

Milwaukee 1st two rounds
Midwest: No. 5 Iowa State vs. No. 12 Nevada
Midwest: No. 4 Purdue vs. No. 13 Vermont

10 Best Players

7, Monte Morris #11, Iowa St.
17, Caleb Swanigan #50, Purdue
42, Marcus Marshall #1, Nevada
55, Nazareth Mitrou-Long #15, Iowa St.
120, Vincent Edwards #12, Purdue
171, Dakota Mathias #31, Purdue
174, Matt Thomas #21, Iowa St.
198, Cameron Oliver #0, Nevada
238, Deonte Burton #30, Iowa St.
256, Jordan Caroline #24, Nevada

Possible “style/home” edge upset: None. “Home” advantage: Two higher seed home edge, but Iowa State more so in second game including Deonte Burton coming back to the arena where he played for Marquette before transferring.

Sacramento, California
Midwest: No. 6 Creighton vs. No. 11 Rhode Island
Midwest: No. 3 Oregon vs. No. 14 Iona

36, Jordan Bell #1, Oregon
72, Khyri Thomas #2, Creighton
111, Justin Patton #23, Creighton
134, Hassan Martin #12, Rhode Island
151, Dillon Brooks #24, Oregon
226, Dylan Ennis #31, Oregon
263, Tyler Dorsey #5, Oregon
335, EC Matthews #0, Rhode Island
349, Rickey McGill #0, Iona
382, Kuran Iverson #23, Rhode Island

When one of the greatest coaching family’s of all time (Dan Hurley) is coaching Allen Iverson’s cousin, it is no surprise Rhode Island has improved from 50th to 37th. Greg McDermitt steadied the ship with a run to the Big East Finals after the team had fallen from 16th to 27th after Watson’s injury. He hopes to have a chance to take on Creighton’s former coach in Dana Altman of Oregon.

Healthy: Oregon and Creighton were hit with two of the biggest injuries in the country, however Oregon’s bench is good enough to offset most of the loss of Chris Boucher, while Creighton was one of the most hurt teams in the country after point guard Mo Watson went down for the season.
Possible “style/home” edge upset: Rhode Island is very good at denying 3-pointers (18th in country) that Creighton needs (13th best 3-point shooting).

Indianapolis, Indiana
Midwest: No. 7 Michigan vs. No. 10 Oklahoma State
Midwest: No. 2 Louisville vs. No. 15 Jacksonville State

8, Derrick Walton #10, Michigan
19, Donovan Mitchell #45, Louisville
21, Jawun Evans #1, Oklahoma St.
30, Jeffrey Carroll #30, Oklahoma St.
141, Phil Forte #13, Oklahoma St.
161, Moritz Wagner #13, Michigan
168, DJ Wilson #5, Michigan
235, Deng Adel #22, Louisville
255, Erik Durham #15, Jacksonville St.
289, Quentin Snider #4, Louisville

Michigan improved from 40th to 21st in the last month, winning the Big Ten title along the way after surviving a plane crash to enter the tournament as the hottest team in the country behind only SMU.
Possible “style/home” edge upset: Michigan doesn’t turn the ball over (9th best at protecting the ball) and forces opponents to take 2-pointers (9th best), which seems to stop the two chances Oklahoma State would have at the upset (29th in steals, and 9th in three-point shooting).

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